Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
27 AUG 2014
Vinati Organics
NOT RATED
INDUSTRY
SPECIALITY CHEM
CMP (as on 26 Aug 2014)
Rs 403
Target Price
NA
Nifty
7,905
Sensex
26,443
VO IN
49
20/328
Well placed
We met with the management of Vinati Organics
Ltd to get insights on the business and outlook.
Vinati organics (VOL) is a mid-size specialty focused
company having a concentrated portfolio (3
products contributing ~90% to revenues). Vinati has
delivered a strong 30% CAGR in revenues/PAT over
FY09-14 driven by strong demand for its products,
capacity expansions and few product additions.
17
Rs 416/74
3M
6M
12M
Absolute (%)
54.5
52.9
331.3
Relative (%)
47.5
26.9
288.8
75.00
1.15
FIIs
2.75
21.10
FINANCIAL SUMMARY
YE Mar (Rs mn)
Net Revenues
Growth (%)
EBIDTA
EBIDTA margin (%)
APAT
EPS (Rs.)
P/E (x)
EV/EBITDA
RoE (%)
FY11
3,226
39.2
761
23.6
520
10.5
38.3
27.2
36.2
FY12
4,475
38.7
978
21.9
548
11.1
36.3
21.8
29.3
FY13
5,529
23.6
1241
22.4
687
13.9
29.0
17.7
28.5
FY14
6,961
25.9
1621
23.3
862
17.5
23.1
13.0
27.8
HDFC securities Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg HSLB <GO> & Thomson Reuters
120
100
80
38
IB
Others
10
11
13
43
57
60
ATBS
48
41
41
40
57
20
51
33
40
43
FY12
FY13
35
0
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY14
TOP 3 PRODUCTS
Product
Application
Competition
2-acrylamido 2-methylapropane
sulphonic acid (ATBS)
Isobutylene (IB)
VOL's installed
capacity (tpa)
16,000
26,000
12,000
Page | 2
Vinati Organics is also the largest manufacturer of 2Acrylamido 2-Methylpropane Sulfonic Acid (ATBS) in
the world. ATBS is a specialty monomer with several
applications including the manufacture of acrylic
fibers, personal care products, water treatment
chemical, enhanced oil recovery chemical. VOL began
Page | 3
PRODUCTWISE REVENUES
In Rs mn
IBB
YoY %
ATBS
YoY %
IB
YoY %
Others
YoY %
FY09
1116
9.9%
744
39.0%
0
0.0%
98
47.4%
FY10
1227
9.9%
1034
39.0%
0
0.0%
144
47.4%
FY11
1078
-12.2%
1861
79.9%
131
0.0%
196
35.8%
FY12
1801
67.1%
2161
16.1%
360
175.8%
180
-8.1%
FY13
2394
32.9%
2282
5.6%
557
54.5%
334
85.4%
FY14
2436
1.8%
2854
25.0%
905
62.6%
766
129.2%
Page | 4
7,000
40.0
60
6,000
35.0
50
30.0
5,000
25.0
4,000
3,000
2,000
30
15.0
20
10
0
FY09
FY14
FY13
FY12
0.0
FY11
FY10
5.0
FY09
1,000
EBIDTA margins
40
20.0
10.0
Gross margins
Inventory days
No.
Recv days
Payable days
45
Rs mn.
RoCE
RoE
40
70
35
60
30
50
25
40
20
30
FY14
FY13
FY12
FY09
FY14
FY13
FY12
FY11
FY10
FY09
10
10
FY11
15
20
FY10
80
FY14
45.0
FY13
Rs mn.
70
FY12
8,000
FY11
Revenue
FY10
Page | 5
1QFY14
2QFY14
3QFY14
4QFY14
1QFY15
YoY (%)
QoQ (%)
1,479
1,749
1,702
1,943
1,961
32.6
0.9
Material Expenses
901
978
1,065
1,245
1,281
42.1
2.9
299
301
227
189
218
(27.3)
14.9
67
70
70
67
80
18.7
19.7
211
400
339
443
383
81.3
(13.6)
45
22
59
22
(51.3)
134.7
Net Revenues
Employee expenses
Operating income
Other operating income
256
422
398
452
405
58.0
(10.5)
Other Income
17
18
22
35
22
30.2
(38.7)
Depreciation
36
48
37
40
40
43
18.4
9.2
49
43
42
25
(46.9)
(39.5)
PBT
189
354
337
406
358
89.8
(11.9)
Tax
62
127
105
130
117
88.2
(10.2)
127
227
232
276
241
90.5
(12.7)
1QFY14
2QFY14
3QFY14
4QFY14
1QFY15
YoY (bps)
QoQ (bps)
60.9
55.9
62.6
64.0
65.3
437
127
4.5
4.0
4.1
3.4
4.1
(48)
64
20.2
17.2
13.3
9.7
11.1
(914)
135
14.3
16.8
22.9
19.9
22.8
19.5
524
(327)
23.8
22.6
23.2
20.4
360
(275)
8.6
13.0
13.6
14.2
12.3
374
(191)
32.9
36.0
31.2
32.0
32.6
(27)
62
EBIDTA
Interest expense
Exceptional items
RPAT
Sources : Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
MARGIN ANALYSIS
Page | 6
VOL has grown at a healthy CAGR of ~35% over FY0614 largely driven by exports which posted a CAGR of
~55%, whereas domestic revenues have grown at
~25%. EBIDTA margins have shown a steady
expansion from ~11% in FY06 to ~23% in FY14 led by
both gross margin expansions as well better
operating leverage.
Page | 7
PEER VALUATION
Vinati
EPS
P/E
EV/EBIDTA
RoE (%)
CMP
(Rs)
Mcap
(Rs bn)
FY13
FY14
FY15E
FY16E
FY13
FY14
FY15E
FY16E
FY13
FY14
FY15E
FY16E
FY13
FY14
FY15E
FY16E
403
20.0
13.9
17.5
23.1
29.3
29.0
23.1
17.4
13.7
17.7
13.0
11.3
9.0
32.1
31.3
31.8
30.5
Omkar spe
145
2.8
10.5
6.9
8.3
10.0
13.9
21.0
17.6
14.5
11.4
10.7
8.4
6.3
17.7
10.3
11.3
12.4
Atul Ltd
1285
38.0
40.4
73.9
84.9
103.0
31.8
17.4
15.1
12.5
16.9
11.4
9.6
8.1
17.1
25.7
24.1
24.4
Aarti Ind
294
26.0
15.2
18.3
22.9
30.8
19.4
16.0
12.8
9.6
9.7
8.8
7.2
5.9
20.0
20.0
20.7
24.3
PE
Avg PE
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
Feb-14
Apr-14
Jun-14
Aug-14
Feb-13
Apr-13
Jun-13
Aug-13
Oct-13
Dec-13
Feb-12
Apr-12
Jun-12
Aug-12
Oct-12
Dec-12
Feb-11
Apr-11
Jun-11
Aug-11
Oct-11
Dec-11
Feb-10
Apr-10
Jun-10
Aug-10
Oct-10
Dec-10
Feb-09
Apr-09
Jun-09
Aug-09
Oct-09
Dec-09
Apr-08
Jun-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
Dec-08
0.00
Page | 8
Company Background
Page | 9
INCOME STATEMENT
BALANCE SHEET
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
Net Sales
2,318
3,226
4,475
5,529
6,961
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Growth (%)
21.7
39.2
38.7
23.6
25.9
1,328
1,834
2,677
3,351
4,188
Employee Expenses
115
149
183
226
347
546
665
748
Operating Profits
527
697
950
1,203
1,529
22.7
21.6
21.2
21.8
22.0
84
64
28
38
92
Material Expenses
Share Capital
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
99
99
99
99
99
Reserves
893
1,338
1,772
2,314
3,002
274
992
1,437
1,870
2,412
3,101
970
Minority Interest
570
417
1,108
1,720
1,493
61
353
619
653
123
631
770
1,727
2,373
1,616
87
117
149
261
331
1,710
2,324
3,746
5,046
5,048
Net Block
796
1,112
1,443
2,901
3,042
CWIP
384
360
567
140
101
32
79
128
27
Inventories
189
350
430
546
466
359
519
857
1,132
1,151
18
20
320
338
453
Total Debt
EBIDTA
612
761
978
1,241
1,621
EBIDTA (%)
26.4
23.6
21.9
22.4
23.3
55.6
24.4
28.6
26.9
30.6
Other Income
FY10
Deferred Taxes
APPLICATION OF FUNDS
50
64
70
99
153
562
696
908
1,141
1,467
44
71
92
115
181
PBT
518
625
816
1,026
1,286
Tax
118
105
268
339
424
Debtors
PAT
400
520
548
687
862
59.3
29.8
5.5
25.3
25.5
106
185
350
271
281
8.1
10.5
11.1
13.9
17.5
671
1,075
1,956
2,287
2,351
59.3
29.8
5.5
25.3
25.5
Creditors
57
119
89
156
142
Depreciation
EBIT
Interest
EPS
EPS Growth (%)
84
135
211
254
331
141
254
299
410
473
530
820
1,657
1,877
1,878
1,710
2,324
3,746
5,046
5,048
Page | 10
CASH FLOW
Year ending March (Rs mn)
Reported PAT
Non-operating & EO items
KEY RATIOS
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
400
520
548
687
862
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
PROFITABILITY (%)
65
53
19
25
61
GPM
57.3
56.8
59.8
60.6
60.2
335
467
529
661
800
EBITDA Margin
26.4
23.6
21.9
22.4
23.3
Interest expenses
44
71
92
115
181
APAT Margin
17.3
16.1
12.2
12.4
12.4
Depreciation
50
64
70
99
153
RoE
40.4
36.2
29.3
28.5
27.8
(195)
(288)
(537)
(202)
114
ROIC
25.4
24.9
16.3
15.1
19.5
25.7
25.1
17.8
16.2
21.4
22.7
16.9
32.8
33.1
33.0
1.4
1.4
1.2
1.1
1.4
Inventory (days)
29.8
39.6
35.1
36.1
24.5
234
314
155
675
1,249
RoCE
Capex
(348)
(357)
(609)
(1,131)
(254)
EFFICIENCY
(115)
(42)
(454)
(456)
995
(32)
(47)
(49)
100
(348)
(388)
(656)
(1,179)
(154)
Investments
INVESTING CASH FLOW ( b )
Share capital Issuance
Debtors (days)
56.5
58.7
69.9
74.7
60.3
Debt Issuance
122
138
957
646
(757)
Payables (days)
9.0
13.5
7.2
10.3
7.4
(44)
(71)
(92)
(115)
(181)
29
30
32
112
70
(58)
(75)
(115)
(144)
(173)
Interest expenses
Dividend
FINANCING CASH FLOW ( c )
77.3
84.9
97.7
100.5
77.3
Debt/EBITDA (x)
1.0
1.0
1.8
1.9
1.0
Net D/E
0.6
0.5
0.8
0.8
0.4
12.7
9.8
9.9
9.9
8.1
48
23
782
498
(1,041)
Interest Coverage
(66)
(51)
281
(7)
54
65
53
19
25
61
EPS (Rs/sh)
8.1
10.5
11.1
13.9
17.5
18
20
320
338
453
CEPS (Rs/sh)
9.1
11.8
12.5
15.9
20.6
DPS (Rs/sh)
1.0
1.3
2.0
2.5
3.0
BV (Rs/sh)
20.1
29.1
37.9
48.9
62.8
P/E
49.7
38.3
36.3
29.0
23.1
P/BV
20.1
13.9
10.6
8.3
6.4
EV/EBITDA
33.6
27.2
21.8
17.7
13.0
VALUATION
OCF/EV (%)
1.1
1.5
0.7
3.1
5.9
FCF/EV (%)
(0.6)
(0.2)
(2.1)
(2.1)
4.7
FCFE/EV(%)
(0.8)
(0.6)
(2.7)
(2.9)
4.1
0.2
0.3
0.5
0.6
0.7
Page | 11
Rating Definitions
BUY
Where the stock is expected to deliver more than 10% returns over the next 12 month period
NEUTRAL
Where the stock is expected to deliver (-)10% to 10% returns over the next 12 month period
SELL
Where the stock is expected to deliver less than (-)10% returns over the next 12 month period
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Page | 12