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by Riceplus Magazine
November 16,2015
Vol 5, Issue XI
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News Detail...
Pakistan needs a fresh disaster mitigation strategy
The rural economy takes a huge hit from frequent floods that can be better managed, says Ibrar
ul Hassan Akhtar.
The history of disasters in South Asia reveals what is at stake in the face of climate change.
Analyses of data for natural disasters from the international disaster database EM-DAT, and
covering hazards including droughts, epidemics, floods and landslides shows that India is the
country that has been most affected by these events since 1900, followed by Pakistan,
Bangladesh and Afghanistan. [1] .Every year, agricultural losses related to disaster cost Pakistan
an average of US$15-20 million. This is due to poor governance, rural communities residing
inside flood-prone areas, a lack of adaptive agricultural research and a resistance to changing
what has become a flood business the government compensating those affected by floods
and then resettling them back to the same flood-prone areas. This spells a need to rethink the
countrys national framework for disaster management to protect its agricultural economy.
Rising disaster risk
According to EM-DAT data, the risk of natural disasters in Pakistan has increased over the past
100 years: four per cent (four events) of the global total of natural disasters occurred in the
country during 1900-1947, rising to 64 per cent (79 events) during 1948-1990 and 32 per cent
(40 events), in just the past 15 years, from 1991-2015.Development policy has also changed,
alongside these trends, over the past few decades. There is no doubt that Pakistan has shifted
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towards industries based on agricultural raw materials such as cotton ginning (separating fibres
from seeds) or rice exports much less agricultural growth is occurring
among farming communities. The agro-industrial sector contributes around 21-25 per cent to
national GDP (gross domestic product).
Wheat, cotton, sugar cane and rice are the crops of major economic importance for the country.
Wheat is mainly grown in the Rabi growing season (October-May), which generally avoids the
floods caused by monsoon rains that typically fall from June until September. It follows that
extreme monsoon events and floods harm the national economy directly through losses to life
and of crops, livestock and houses and indirectly, through the huge investments the
government then needs to make to rehabilitate affected areas.Cotton, sugar cane, rice and other
high-value crops are mainly grown in Kharif season (July-September), when they are most at
risk from the monsoon floods. Cotton contributes an average of around 1.5 per cent to GDP, with
rice providing 0.7 per cent, sugar cane 0.6 per cent and maize 0.4 per cent.
Although geospatial technology can help to map and monitor areas at risk of disaster, this is not
enough. The adoption of policies to reduce the impacts of flooding needs legislation.
Ibrar ul Hassan Akhtar
The numbers on losses speak for themselves. During the flooding that took place in each of the
past six years (2010-2015), Pakistan lost cumulatively more than an estimated 1,359,000
hectares of cotton, 372,000 hectares of sugar cane and around 1,391,000 hectares of rice. [2-4,
unpublished data 2013-15]
No doubt, the 2010 floods were the worst in terms of geographical extent and damage to crops.
But they also highlighted the lack of a preparedness infrastructure and mechanisms in Pakistan.
Life on the edge
Systems that rely on satellite technology, such as remote sensing and geographic information
systems, have helped improve the countrys management of disasters, through near-real-time
situation analysis, coverage of a wider area than could be monitored physically on the
ground, and through spatial analysis. Crucially, this technology has also enabled us to understand
how many of the countrys rural population live inside or near flood-prone areas and rely on
smallholdings for their livelihood.In the province of Punjab, 531,000 hectares (4.4 per cent) of
agriculture is practised inside the floodplain; in Sindh province, the figure is 489,000 hectares
(7.4 per cent).
During the monsoon season, rising rivers can easily flood crops up to five to ten kilometres
around the river channel. Geospatial analyses have identified several districts in Punjab and
Sindh with significant areas of crops growing inside floodplains during the July-September flood
season.But although geospatial technology can help to map and monitor areas at risk of disaster,
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this is not enough. The adoption of policies to reduce the impacts of flooding needs legislation
to permanently relocate families to safer zones, adopt flood-resilient cropping practices as a
preventive measure, and promote research into cropping systems adapted to floods. In essence, it
needs a revised disaster-management framework.
Such a framework would also reinforce the role of technology, by promoting tools that are more
time-effective and reliable. For example, conventional approaches to data collection in Pakistan
rely on centuries-old administrative systems; they need to be revamped with state-of-the-art
geospatial technologies that can visualise and measure every inch of land surface in the country.
Capacity building is important too: those running management systems lack proper technical
skills, adding further to improper planning and the tendency towards unscientific approaches to
tackling natural disasters.
Pakistan needs a framework that promotes proper assessments of climate change, develops
mitigation strategies, maps risk-prone areas by classifying multiple disasters and supports
research for agricultural adaptations that can add resilience to cropping systems. The countrys
bureaucratic approach to disaster management needs to turn into a technocratic one.Ibrar ul
Hassan Akhtar is a scientist at Pakistans Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission,
Islamabad. He can be contacted at ibrar.space@gmail.com
The views expressed in this article are his and do not reflect the official view of his
organisation.
References
[1] Guha-Sapir D, Below R and Hoyois Ph. EM-DAT: The CRED/OFDA International Disaster Database (, a
[2] Pakistan: floods/rains 2010 Rapid crop damage assessment, series no. 1, series no. 2. (Suparco and FAO,
2010)
[3] Pakistan: floods/rains 2011 Rapid crop damage assessment, series no. 3 (Suparco and FAO, 2011)
[4] Pakistan: floods/rains 2012 Rapid crop damage assessment, series no. 4 (Suparco and FAO, 2012)
http://www.scidev.net/global/disasters/opinion/pakistan-disaster-mitigation-strategy.html
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Based on research done by the Philippine Rice Research Institute, every individual is wasting an
average of 2 tablespoons of rice, which becomes 3.3 kg annually and at 100 million population,
it adds up to 330,000 MT (metric tons) per year.This also amounts to P27 million worth of rice
wasted every day, or P10 billion worth of rice wasted every year.The NFA said that food
guardians pledge not to waste rice; help in making sure that rice is available, accessible,
affordable and visible in public markets; and follow the correct food handling procedures to
make sure that rice is safe for consumers.Interested food guardian volunteers can sign up at
http:foodguardian.me where they could get their free digital ID. (JCM/LTP/PIA-Iloilo).
http://news.pia.gov.ph/article/view/2421447385333/nfa-targets-71-000-foodguardians#sthash.ONFqdT6m.dpuf
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Indonesians consume about 2.5 million tonnes of rice every month. The Jakarta Post noted that it
is a politically sensitive commodity in the country because it is the main food staple as well as
farmers' main crop.Mr Sutarto Alimoeso, chairman of the association of Indonesian rice-paddy
huskers, told tvOne: "The government is doing a relatively good job in trying to ensure rice
supplies are adequate because it needs to import only up to 1.5 million tonnes despite the fact
that it is an El Nino year."Campaigns for the consumption of cassava and potato as an alternative
to rice and repairing dilapidated irrigation systems are among the keys to ensuring adequate
supplies for Indonesians, according to Mr Sutarto.
President Joko Widodo has made it a priority for Indonesia to be self-sufficient in key
commodities - such as rice, corn, soya beans and sugar - and as part of this push the government
embarked on a range of programmes, including infrastructure improvements in the form of
repairs to damaged irrigation systems.Reports said Mr Joko earlier this year insisted that stocks
would remain adequate even though they were running low and agreed to the import plan only
late last month. He said the decision to import rice was necessary to maintain sufficient stocks in
anticipation of failed harvests due to prolonged drought.
The declining supplies have affected prices. The price of the most widely sold "medium type" of
the grain has gone up from 7,000 rupiah (70 Singapore cents) a kilogram in August to 8,600
rupiah now, according to rice trader Zulmawan, who goes by only one name, in Cilacap, Central
Java."They decided to import late. Rice prices wouldn't have risen this much had they acted more
timely," he told The Straits Times.Drought has badly affected the rice-growing regions of
Karawang and Indramayu in West Java as well as Klaten in Central Java, according to Mr
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Zulmawan. "Stocks held by traders and wholesalers are declining. The worries are for January
and February, ahead of the March main rice harvest."
http://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/indonesia-may-face-rice-shortage-due-to-el-nino
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Breeding centers may sequence tens of thousands of varieties of a single crop to create a catalog
of millions of genetic markers for different traits like disease-resistance or heat tolerance. The
mountains of data can be used for a plant-breeding strategy called genomic selection, which uses
statistical modeling to predict how a new plant variety will perform before being tested in the
field. But to use these markers to make better, faster choices, breeders need tools to access and
analyze the information. The GOBII project hopes to bridge the gap between plant breeders and
available genomic resources to yield better crops, especially in developing countries.Theres so
much information that one can store, and all the centers have overlapping needs, so the goal is to
come up with the core requirements that are going to satisfy all the centers, said Yaw NtiAddae, GOBIIs lead software developer.
Nti-Addae said that the four-day workshop was successful in bringing the interested parties face
to face and in planning out a roadmap for the project.In April 2015 the group received $18.5
million from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation through Cornell to create a breeding database
for five major staple crops wheat, rice, maize, sorghum and chickpea but ultimately, they
hope to develop a system that will work for any crop.Previously, researchers working on a single
crop have maintained their own data sets, using a variety of platforms, formats and terminology,
which are not easily shared. IRRI has developed the International Rice Information System, but
plenty of data is sitting in individual spreadsheets.
We dont have [a database] set up yet and we dont have that much capability to develop
something, said Victor Jun Ulat, a bioinformatician at the International Maize and Wheat
Improvement Center in Texcoco, Mexico.BTIs Lukas Mueller, associate professor, is a
collaborator on the project. His lab has developedCassavaBase, a database of genomic data and
physical traits from thousands of cassava varieties. Peter Bradbury, a USDA computational
biologist who works on TASSEL, a software program that analyzes sequence data to find
markers associated with plant traits, also attended the workshop.The plant people moved into
the big data realm, said Ramil Mauleon, a bioinformatics specialist at IRRI, and now we have
to find a way to get a handle on it.Patricia Waldron is the staff science writer for the Boyce
Thompson Institute.
http://www.news.cornell.edu/stories/2015/11/plant-scientists-tackle-big-data-problems-workshop
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the sprawling 300-acre land and all the research work on various crop varieties is going on well,
said Principal Scientist (Agronomy) and Head, B. Joseph.Established in the year 1932 by the last
Nizam of the Hyderabad State, Mir Osman Ali Khan, to conduct research on sugarcane to
develop high yielding varieties, the station subsequently took up research on other crops also.
The basic idea behind the establishment of the station was water being available with the
construction of the Nizam Sagar Project.During the course of eight decades, the station had seen
several ups and downs while carrying out research work. Scientists here developed several
varieties of paddy and also sugarcane that was sent to the local Nizam Sugar Factory at Bodhan.
But later, for reasons best known to the rulers, the research station was somewhat neglected.As
of now, as many as ten agriculture scientists on regular basis and five research assistants are
doing research at the station affiliated to Prof. Jayashankar Telangana State Agriculture
University. We need at least 10 more scientists to carry out the research work in full swing,
said Prof. Joseph.
http://www.thehindu.com/todays-paper/tp-national/tp-telangana/a-new-lease-of-life-for-rudrur-researchstation/article7875787.ece
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colleague scientists at IIRR he is chalking out the strategies for stepping up the rice production,
also to face the challenges emerged out of water, climate change and labour related issues.
________________________________________
http://www.thehansindia.com/posts/index/2015-11-13/New-Director-For-Indian-Institute-OfRice-Research-186298
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burner, it gives out FIR. The ceramic plate is placed above the grains that are moved around by a
conveyor underneath.Once it is finally ready for commercialization, the technology will have a
great impact on the rice industry.
VETERAN RICE BREEDER At the Vietnam rice forum, we also met a veteran rice breeder
at PhilRice, Ms. Thelma F. Padolina who holds a degree in chemistry and an MS in crop science.
She heads a group that has been responsible in producing various outstanding rice varieties that
are commercially grown by farmers today. She also heads a technical working group that tests
certain lines before they are approved as varieties by the National Seed Industry Council (NSIC)
for commercial production.
Two well known varieties developed by Ms. Padolina and her team are NSIC Rc 160 and 218.
These have excellent eating quality and are well liked by consumers because they are soft when
cooked. These varieties are good for both the wet and dry seasons, yielding five to six tons per
hectare. It is said that these two varieties are also the favorite of rice millers because they have a
high milling recovery.
Some millers use the two varieties in coming up with what they call ramble rice. This is a
mixture of several varieties that will be acceptable to most customers. Why do they have to do
that? Well, there is an inbred variety NSIC Rc 222 which usually yields 30 cavans higher than
most other commercial varieties. The problem is that when cooked, the rice is hard because it has
a high amylose content. So by mixing the varieties with more desirable eating quality, they can
come up with the ramble that can be acceptable in price and eating quality to many consumers.
**** **** ****
AANI FARM TOUR If you want to see an award-winning organic farm, better join the AANI
Farm Tour tomorrow, November 15. The tour will visit the Costales Nature Farms in Majayjay,
Laguna which has become a favorite destination for tourists who are interested in organic
farming.Aside from organic vegetables, Costales also raises organic pigs and poultry. It has also
become a training center for people who want to go into organic farming. It is an accredited
technology provider in organic agriculture by the Agricultural Training Institute of the
Department of Agriculture. You can contact Jocelyn Mahipus for your reservation at 0917-7950616.
http://www.mb.com.ph/attending-conferences-is-rewarding/
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the current price trend in the market, where wholesale prices of non-basmati prices are ruling
down at Rs 25 per kg as against Rs 30 per kg last year. Similarly, wholesale rates of premium
basmati rice have declined sharply by about 30 per cent to Rs 44-45 per kg at present from Rs
62-65 per kg last season, as per traders.
Whereas industry body Assocham in its study said after pulses, onion and mustard oil, rice prices
may trouble consumers if timely adequate safeguards are not taken. "...prices of rice may shoot
up and reach a boiling point in the coming months as the stock of the key staple cereal is
depleting fast owing to deficient rains and fall in output," the study said. As per the government
estimates, kharif rice production is estimated at 90.61 million tonnes in 2015-16 crop
year. "...this is unlikely to be achieved due to severe deficit rains in Punjab, Haryana, Uttar
Pradesh,Bihar, Maharashtra and Karnataka and the best that could be achieved is 89 million
tonnes," it said adding that overall rice output may be around 103 million tonnes during 201516.
That apart, the study said rice stocks have declined in last three years from 24.59 million tonnes
in 2012 to 13.89 million tonnes (plus unlimited paddy 3.61 tonnes) in stocks at
present. "Increasing export outgo on account of PDS (Public Distribution System) and other
welfare schemes will continue to weigh on availability in the open market. Unless government is
able to handle the situation prudently, depleting stocks will soon reflect on the open market
prices", adds the study.
The Times of India
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engineering industries, the expansion of the cement industry, the industrialization of the coconut
industry, an integrated pulp and paper mill, copper smelter, aluminum smelter, phosphate
fertilizer, the manufacture of diesel engines and Alcogas.
In reaction, the International
Monetary Fund (IMF)-World Bank and their allies, including the Presidents technocrats, led by
then-Prime Minister Cesar Virata; the Makati Business Club, led by the late Jaime Ongpin and
the Zobel-Ayala group; and the Center for Research and Communication, an institution
associated with Opus Dei, whose spokesman was Dr. Bernardo Villegas, went to work,
relentlessly blocking and delaying the projects at every turn.To oppose Marcos, they even came
up with a sardonic slogan to dramatize their effort: You cant eat steel!Visibly irritated over
the negative reactions of the IMF-World Bank and the Makati business group, Marcos issued a
strong public statement accusing them of sabotaging the countrys industrialization plan.
A year later, Ninoy Aquino, who ignored the governments request to suspend his return to the
country, was assassinated on his arrival at the airport. The incident triggered a political and
economic crisis in the country, exacerbated by a spate of oil-price increases, inflation, capital
flight and the deliberate tightening control of credits by the IMF-World Bank and other foreign
creditors.As a consequence, Marcoss massive industrialization plan evaporated into thin air.
Look what happened:
The economy in the post-Marcos years turned from bad to worse notwithstanding his successors
accumulated budgets in 29 years of more than P30 trillion. This huge budget, which is now a
subject of a comprehensive research work by the Philippine Council of Management Research
Institute, was supposed to spur economic growth.By comparison, Marcoss official accumulated
budget in 20 years was only P486.42 billion. Yet, on records, none of them or all of his
successors combined could not even match his economic infrastructures of roads, bridges,
hospitals and schools; a tri-modal transportation system of air, land and sea; communication
facilities; energy infrastructure; and the laws required to safeguard the economy and make it
progressive.
Marcoss laws and other edicts
Marcos crafted and formulated with the help of experts 7,883 presidential decrees (PDs) and
other legal issuances from September 21, 1972 up to February 26, 1986, a span of 14
years.Justice Manuel Lazaro said these laws set the rules, regulations and penalties for almost
every facet of lawful and ethical human conductfrom birth to grave.
They are categorized as follows: PD (1 to 2036); Letters of Instruction (1 to 1525); Letters of
Implementation (1 to 157); General Orders (1 to 61); Executive Orders (EO) (366 to 1093);
Administrative Orders (349 to 504); Proclamations (1081 to 2486); and Memo Circulars (599 to
1297).Out of the 7,883 presidential issuances, only 67 PDs or less than .01 percent have either
been repealed or modified. The minimal percentage of 67 PDs either repealed or modified by EO
187 issued by Corazon Aquino were the decrees increasing the penalties for certain offenses
against public order and security, e.g., PDs 38, 1735, 1834, 1974 and 1996.
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Interestingly, the rationale and purpose of the PDs repealed or modified were resurrected in
enacting Article 134-A of the Revised Penal Code, as amended by RA 6968. Notably, 7,816
issuances are still effective and enforced up to the present. These laws are eloquent proof of the
wisdom, vision, dedication and foresight Marcos possessed as instruments of good and effective
governance.Lazaro said: No President in the countrys legal history had codified more laws.
Worth mentioning are the 15 codified laws, with social and economic relevance. These are the
Local Tax Code [PD 231]; Labor Code of the Philippines [PD 442]; Real Property Tax Code [PD
464]; Child and Youth Welfare Code [PD 603]; Insurance Code [PD 612];
Revised Forestry Code [PD 705]; Code of Sanitation [PD 856]; Coconut Industry Code [PD
961]; Water Code [PD 1067]; Code of Muslim Personal Laws of the Philippines [PD 1083];
National Building Code [PD 1096]; Philippines Environment Code [PD 1152]; Fire Code [PD
1185]; Government Auditing Code [PD 1445]; Tariff and Customs Code [PD 1464]; and Code of
Agrarian Reform [PD 444].
More important, there is the Judicial Development Fund, the wellspring of the financial benefits
of the members of the judiciary. There is also the Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corp., a
consistent source of revenues for the country.In essence, as long as the laws he issued are
embedded in the countrys legal system, Marcos lives and they will continue to guide and
safeguard the nation and its people.
http://www.businessmirror.com.ph/marcoss-unmatched-legacy/
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