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monitor the policy rate stance to stabilize the risks of broader financial
imbalances given the extended period of relatively low and unchanged
interest rates.
The two major concerns for the increase in OPR were as follows:
1. Balance of Risks to the Outlook for Growth In early 2014, the
Malaysian Government projected a steady growth of the Malaysian
economy. In line with the positive outlook of the global growth, the
Malaysian exports were expected to rise. Domestic demand was
expected to be the main driver of growth with robust investment
from the private sector. By May 2014, the government expected the
growth in 2014 to be the upper end of the initial forecast of 4.5% 5.5%. But the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) recognized that
the downside risks to growth remained, particularly in relation to the
risk of moderation in private consumption growth and weaker
external demand.
2. Inflation The MPC expected greater upside risks to inflation which
was expected to trend above its long-run average of 3% in 2014
and 2015. This was expected because of the domestic cost factors
like upward adjustments in retail fuel prices, electricity tariffs and
introduction of GST in 2015.
Therefore, the MPC considered the rise in OPR to normalize the upside
risks of inflation in the economy and lower the downside risks of
Financial Imbalances. The adjustment in the policy rate occurred
smoothly without major disruptions to the financial system and the
overall economy. Retail lending rates adjusted quickly to the change in
OPR.
Monetary Operations
The average overnight interbank rate remained stable around the OPR
with an average deviation of 2 basis points.
Managing Liquidity
Total interbank money market transactions, which comprised deposits
and acceptances, bankers acceptance (BA), and negotiable instrument
of deposits (NID) in both the conventional and Islamic money markets,
recorded a marginal increase in volume to RM3.2 trillion (2013: RM3.1