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820 NE 63 ST

Oklahoma City, OK 73105


405.607.4664

News 9/News on 6 Presidential Tracking 2016


November, 2015
Sample: Likely voters registered to vote statewide in Oklahoma (n=794)
Margin of Error: 3.48%
Results weighted by: age congressional district, sex and political party; stratified to Oklahoma likely voter demographics
Introduction:
[OKC VIEWING AREA] Hello, this is Kelly Ogle with News 9 in Oklahoma City. We're conducting a very short scientific political poll for our News at 10. It won't
take but just a minute and your participation is greatly appreciated. Press 1 to get started now
[TULSA VIEWING AREA] Hello, this is Terry Hood with News on 6 in Tulsa. We're conducting a very short scientific political poll for our News at 10. It won't
take but just a minute and your participation is greatly appreciated. Press 1 to get started now

1.

2.

With which political party are you registered?


1. For Democrat, press 1
2. For Republican, press 2
3. For Independent, press 3
To have these choices repeated, press 4 [REPEAT]
[ANOTHER SELECTED NUMBER OR NO SELECTION: REPEAT QUESTION]
[DEMOCRATIC] On March 1st next year, Oklahoma voters will cast votes for president. If the election were today and
you were standing in the voting booth RIGHT NOW and had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?
1. For Hillary Clinton, press 1
2. For Martin OMalley, press 2
3. For Bernie Sanders, press 3
4. If you are unsure, press 4
To have these choices repeated, press 5 [REPEAT]
[ANOTHER SELECTED NUMBER OR NO SELECTION: REPEAT QUESTION]

369
389
36

46.5
49.0
4.5

n=369

MoE:5.1%

172
8
45
144

46.6
2.2
12.2
39.1

Page 1 of 13

News 9/News 6 Presidential Tracking Poll (November, 2015)

3.

4.

[REPUBLICAN] On March 1st next year, Oklahoma voters will cast votes for president. If the election were today and
you were standing in the voting booth RIGHT NOW and had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?
1. For Donald Trump, press 1
2. For Marco Rubio, press 2
3. For Rand Paul, press 3
4. For John Kasich, press 4
5. For Mike Huckabee, press 5
6. For Carly Fiorina, press 6
7. For Ted Cruz, press 7
8. For Ben Carson, press 8
9. For Jeb Bush, press 9
10. For another candidate not mentioned here, press the star key, *
11. If you are unsure, press the pound or hashtag key, #
To have these choices repeated, press Zero 0 [REPEAT]
[ANOTHER SELECTED NUMBER OR NO SELECTION: REPEAT QUESTION]
Currently, would you say that you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE opinion of Oklahoma Governor Mary Fallin?
1. If your opinion is Very Favorable, press 1
2. If your opinion is Somewhat Favorable, press 2
3. If your Neutral or have No opinion, press 3
4. If your opinion is Somewhat Unfavorable, press 4
5. If your opinion is Very Unfavorable, press 5
To have these choices repeated, press 6 [REPEAT]
[ANOTHER SELECTED NUMBER OR NO SELECTION: REPEAT QUESTION]

n=389

MoE: 5.1%

105
63
8
2
17
9
71
68
9
10
26

27.1
16.3
2.2
0.5
4.3
2.3
18.3
17.5
2.2
2.5
6.7

216
217
106
121
134

27.2
27.3
13.3
15.3
16.9

Page 2 of 13

News 9/News 6 Presidential Tracking Poll (November, 2015)

5.

6.

Now, thinking about the death penalty. If those typically given the death penalty in Oklahoma were given life
without any possibility of parole and ordered to pay mandatory restitution to the victims families for the rest of
their life, would you SUPPORT or OPPOSE the abolition of the death penalty in Oklahoma?
1. If you strongly support, press 1
2. If you somewhat support, press 2
3. If you have no opinion on the issue, press 3
4. If you somewhat oppose, press 4
5. If you strongly oppose, press 5
To have these choices repeated, press 6 [REPEAT]
[ANOTHER SELECTED NUMBER OR NO SELECTION: REPEAT QUESTION]
Now, thinking about the education funding. Do you SUPPORT or OPPOSE a one-cent statewide sales tax to fund
education which includes raising teacher pay, improving reading, stopping tuition increases and expanding career
training?
1. If you strongly support, press 1
2. If you somewhat support, press 2
3. If you have no opinion on the issue, press 3
4. If you somewhat oppose, press 4
5. If you strongly oppose, press 5
To have these choices repeated, press 6 [REPEAT]
[ANOTHER SELECTED NUMBER OR NO SELECTION: REPEAT QUESTION]

242
174
108
52
218

30.5
21.9
13.7
6.6
27.4

324
129
77
70
194

40.7
16.3
9.7
8.8
24.4

Page 3 of 13

News 9/News 6 Presidential Tracking Poll (November, 2015)

7.

8.

9.

10.

Were almost done. If you are:


1. Male, press 1
2. Female, press 2
To have these choices repeated, press 3 [REPEAT]
[ANOTHER SELECTED NUMBER OR NO SELECTION: REPEAT QUESTION]
In which of the following age groups do you fall?
1. If youre 17 or younger, press 1 [TERMINATE]
2. If youre 18 to 34, press 2
3. If 35 to 49, press 3
4. If youre 50 to 64, press 4
5. If youre 65 or older, press 5
To have these choices repeated, press 6 [REPEAT]
[ANOTHER SELECTED NUMBER OR NO SELECTION: REPEAT QUESTION]
Do you consider yourself to be a liberal, moderate or conservative in your political beliefs?
1. If very liberal, press 1
2. If somewhat liberal, press 2
3. If moderate, press 3
4. If somewhat conservative, press 4
5. If very conservative, press 5
6. DK/Refused [DNR]
To have these choices repeated, press 6 [REPEAT]
[ANOTHER SELECTED NUMBER OR NO SELECTION: REPEAT QUESTION]
How often do you attend religious services?
1. If once a week or more, press 1
2. If occasionally throughout the year, press 2
3. If just on major religious holidays, press 3
4. If never, press 4
5. DK/Refused [DNR]
To have these choices repeated, press 5 [REPEAT]
[ANOTHER SELECTED NUMBER OR NO SELECTION: REPEAT QUESTION]

365
429

46.0
54.0

0
14
94
305
382

0.0
1.7
11.8
38.4
48.0

57
84
201
163
237
52

7.2
10.6
25.4
20.6
29.8
6.5

399
170
55
108
62

50.2
21.4
7.0
13.7
7.8

Page 4 of 13

News 9/News 6 Presidential Tracking Poll (November, 2015)

11.

12.

13.

Voter Score [PRE-CODE]


1. Less than 80
2. 81-150
3. 151-220
4. 221-290
5. Over 290

125
315
174
105
75

15.7
39.6
21.9
13.2
9.5

Congressional District [PRE-CODE]


1. Bridenstine
2. Mullin
3. Lucas
4. Cole
5. Russell

166
172
166
145
144

20.9
21.7
20.9
18.3
18.2

Media Market [PRE-CODE]


1. OKC News9
2. Tulsa Newson6

359
435

45.2
54.8

Page 5 of 13

SoonerPoll.com
Age
18-34
DemBallot

RepBallot

Fallin

DeathPenalty

Sex

35-49

50-64

65+

Male

Female

Clinton

39.4%

21

49.9%

71

54.6%

78

40.6%

66

40.9%

106

51.0%

OMalley

0.0%

0.0%

1.2%

3.4%

2.7%

1.8%

Sanders

22.5%

12

28.1%

12

8.9%

21

10.7%

33

20.5%

12

5.6%

Undecided

38.1%

22.0%

46

35.2%

87

45.4%

58

35.9%

86

41.6%

Trump

52.5%

14

28.7%

46

29.4%

41

23.4%

57

30.8%

48

23.6%

Rubio

0.0%

11.2%

28

17.9%

30

16.9%

35

19.1%

28

13.7%

Paul

0.0%

4.0%

1.8%

2.1%

1.5%

2.8%

Kasich

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

1.1%

0.8%

0.3%

Huckabee

0.0%

8.1%

3.0%

4.7%

4.3%

4.3%

Fiorina

0.0%

14.8%

0.0%

1.1%

1.5%

3.1%

Cruz

28.7%

3.3%

40

25.7%

27

15.5%

37

20.0%

34

16.8%

Carson

11.1%

13

26.6%

23

14.6%

32

17.9%

23

12.3%

45

22.3%

Bush

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

4.9%

1.9%

2.5%

Another

0.0%

0.0%

2.9%

2.9%

1.7%

3.2%

Undecided

7.6%

3.3%

4.7%

17

9.4%

11

6.1%

15

7.3%

Very favorable

33.4%

23

24.3%

62

20.2%

127

33.3%

112

30.6%

105

24.4%

Somewhat favorable

15.9%

23

24.5%

90

29.6%

101

26.5%

85

23.3%

132

30.7%

No opinion

23.4%

17

18.6%

32

10.4%

53

14.0%

39

10.6%

67

15.7%

Somewhat unfavorable

5.5%

16

16.7%

53

17.3%

52

13.6%

58

15.8%

64

14.8%

Very unfavorable

21.9%

15

15.9%

68

22.5%

48

12.5%

72

19.8%

62

14.4%

Strongly support

26.1%

14

15.1%

83

27.3%

141

37.0%

114

31.3%

128

29.8%

Somewhat support

8.2%

26

27.3%

65

21.3%

82

21.5%

76

20.9%

98

22.8%

No opinion

30.5%

18

18.9%

34

11.3%

52

13.7%

41

11.3%

67

15.7%

Page 6 of 13

SoonerPoll.com
Age
18-34

OneCent

Sex

35-49

50-64

65+

Male

Female

Somewhat oppose

0.0%

1.7%

22

7.4%

28

7.4%

19

5.3%

33

7.6%

Strongly oppose

35.2%

35

37.0%

100

32.7%

78

20.5%

114

31.2%

104

24.1%

Strongly support

46.1%

37

39.2%

132

43.2%

149

39.0%

121

33.0%

203

47.3%

Somewhat support

23.1%

24

25.2%

31

10.0%

72

18.8%

49

13.3%

80

18.7%

No opinion

10.5%

9.4%

28

9.1%

39

10.3%

40

10.8%

38

8.8%

Somewhat oppose

0.0%

1.7%

27

8.8%

42

10.9%

43

11.7%

27

6.3%

Strongly oppose

20.3%

23

24.6%

88

28.8%

80

21.0%

114

31.1%

80

18.8%

Page 7 of 13

SoonerPoll.com
Party
Democrat
DemBallot

Clinton

Fallin

DeathPenalty

Independent

Liberal

Conservative

Moderate

172

46.6%

0.0%

0.0%

76

66.0%

16

15.8%

74

57.6%

OMalley

2.2%

0.0%

0.0%

0.5%

3.7%

1.7%

Sanders

45

12.2%

0.0%

0.0%

18

15.6%

7.0%

15

11.6%

144

39.1%

0.0%

0.0%

21

18.0%

73

73.5%

38

29.2%

Trump

0.0%

105

27.1%

0.0%

44.6%

73

24.9%

14

25.0%

Rubio

0.0%

63

16.3%

0.0%

3.7%

48

16.5%

13

22.5%

Paul

0.0%

2.2%

0.0%

0.0%

1.3%

3.5%

Kasich

0.0%

0.5%

0.0%

0.0%

0.4%

1.2%

Huckabee

0.0%

17

4.3%

0.0%

3.6%

3.1%

10.4%

Fiorina

0.0%

2.3%

0.0%

8.1%

2.6%

0.0%

Cruz

0.0%

71

18.3%

0.0%

0.0%

70

23.9%

3.3%

Carson

0.0%

68

17.5%

0.0%

16.4%

53

18.2%

10

17.7%

Bush

0.0%

2.2%

0.0%

0.0%

2.5%

1.1%

Another

0.0%

10

2.5%

0.0%

16.9%

1.0%

2.3%

Undecided

0.0%

26

6.7%

0.0%

6.6%

16

5.6%

13.0%

Very favorable

55

14.9%

155

39.9%

16.0%

16

11.3%

151

37.6%

29

14.4%

Somewhat favorable

71

19.2%

138

35.4%

22.8%

20

14.3%

140

35.0%

51

25.6%

No opinion

60

16.3%

39

10.1%

17.7%

19

13.8%

46

11.4%

22

11.0%

Somewhat unfavorable

68

18.3%

41

10.6%

12

34.1%

24

17.3%

45

11.2%

46

23.0%

Very unfavorable

116

31.3%

15

3.9%

9.4%

61

43.2%

19

4.8%

52

26.0%

Strongly support

124

33.6%

104

26.7%

14

38.7%

67

47.7%

106

26.4%

67

33.1%

84

22.7%

84

21.6%

17.1%

27

19.0%

85

21.1%

51

25.6%

Undecided
RepBallot

Republican

Label

Somewhat support

Page 8 of 13

SoonerPoll.com
Party
Democrat

OneCent

Republican

Label
Independent

Liberal

Conservative

Moderate

No opinion

59

16.1%

45

11.7%

9.8%

21

14.9%

35

8.8%

21

10.4%

Somewhat oppose

26

7.1%

25

6.4%

3.1%

5.6%

30

7.5%

13

6.5%

Strongly oppose

76

20.5%

131

33.6%

11

31.3%

18

12.7%

145

36.2%

49

24.5%

Strongly support

184

49.8%

128

32.8%

12

33.2%

83

58.8%

124

30.9%

109

54.2%

Somewhat support

68

18.4%

52

13.5%

24.0%

26

18.2%

58

14.4%

41

20.4%

No opinion

29

8.0%

41

10.6%

19.2%

3.4%

28

7.0%

3.7%

Somewhat oppose

23

6.1%

45

11.6%

5.7%

4.7%

47

11.7%

15

7.5%

Strongly oppose

65

17.7%

122

31.5%

17.9%

21

14.9%

144

36.0%

29

14.2%

Page 9 of 13

SoonerPoll.com
Church
Once week or more
DemBallot

RepBallot

Clinton

Never

41.2%

46

56.0%

20

60.0%

29

50.4%

OMalley

1.7%

4.3%

0.0%

0.0%

Sanders

15

9.3%

7.4%

13.0%

14

24.3%

Undecided

79

47.7%

27

32.4%

27.0%

15

25.3%

Trump

52

23.3%

14

18.6%

33.3%

21

48.9%

Rubio

24

10.8%

24

30.5%

12.7%

19.7%

Paul

0.9%

2.5%

6.5%

1.8%

Kasich

0.2%

0.0%

4.3%

1.6%

11

4.9%

3.8%

8.8%

0.0%

2.9%

0.0%

11.3%

1.6%

Cruz

56

25.0%

10

12.7%

7.6%

6.5%

Carson

46

20.8%

14

18.1%

15.5%

5.7%

Bush

3.5%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Another

1.7%

4.0%

0.0%

5.5%

Fiorina

Undecided

DeathPenalty

Major holidays

68

Huckabee

Fallin

Occassionally

13

6.0%

9.8%

0.0%

8.7%

Very favorable

125

31.4%

34

20.1%

12

22.5%

19

17.2%

Somewhat favorable

132

33.2%

43

25.5%

14

24.5%

19

17.5%

No opinion

44

11.0%

24

14.3%

10.8%

12

10.8%

Somewhat unfavorable

47

11.9%

30

17.4%

12.0%

34

31.0%

Very unfavorable

50

12.5%

39

22.8%

17

30.3%

26

23.5%

Strongly support

130

32.5%

55

32.5%

15

27.1%

37

33.7%

Somewhat support

89

22.2%

36

21.3%

10

18.9%

25

22.7%

No opinion

40

10.1%

20

12.0%

15.3%

7.5%

Page 10 of 13

SoonerPoll.com
Church
Once week or more
Somewhat oppose

OneCent

Occassionally

Major holidays

Never

26

6.6%

15

8.9%

4.9%

6.0%

Strongly oppose

114

28.6%

43

25.2%

19

33.8%

33

30.1%

Strongly support

171

42.9%

72

42.4%

22

40.5%

47

43.2%

Somewhat support

63

15.7%

33

19.3%

12

22.0%

15

13.6%

No opinion

21

5.2%

11

6.4%

4.2%

6.3%

Somewhat oppose

33

8.3%

17

9.9%

4.3%

16

14.9%

111

27.9%

38

22.1%

16

29.0%

24

22.0%

Strongly oppose

Page 11 of 13

SoonerPoll.com
CD
Bridenstine
DemBallot

RepBallot

Fallin

DeathPenalty

Clinton

Mullin

NineorSix

Lucas

Cole

Russell

Newson6

News9

39

53.5%

46

42.2%

30

43.6%

32

53.8%

25

42.4%

88

46.3%

85

46.9%

OMalley

2.9%

0.9%

1.4%

1.4%

5.2%

2.2%

2.2%

Sanders

11

15.5%

6.8%

11

16.8%

8.6%

10

16.0%

24

12.7%

21

11.6%

Undecided

21

28.1%

55

50.0%

26

38.2%

21

36.2%

22

36.4%

73

38.8%

71

39.4%

Trump

19

22.8%

23

42.4%

20

21.3%

20

25.8%

23

28.9%

43

28.5%

62

26.1%

Rubio

13

15.4%

11

19.4%

17

17.7%

10

13.1%

13

16.3%

29

18.9%

35

14.6%

Paul

1.4%

3.2%

2.8%

2.9%

0.7%

2.4%

2.0%

Kasich

1.5%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

1.0%

0.8%

0.3%

Huckabee

6.5%

1.4%

8.1%

1.7%

2.2%

5.7%

3.5%

Fiorina

1.5%

1.4%

2.1%

4.7%

2.0%

1.3%

3.0%

Cruz

18

21.7%

13.2%

15

16.4%

15

18.6%

16

20.4%

27

17.7%

45

18.8%

Carson

15

18.6%

10.8%

17

18.4%

18

23.1%

12

14.5%

22

14.5%

46

19.4%

Bush

0.6%

3.2%

2.5%

1.7%

3.2%

1.5%

2.7%

Another

2.1%

0.0%

3.2%

3.9%

2.5%

2.1%

2.8%

Undecided

7.8%

5.0%

7.3%

4.4%

8.3%

10

6.6%

16

6.8%

Very favorable

43

25.6%

37

21.4%

56

33.5%

29

20.0%

52

36.2%

93

26.0%

123

28.3%

Somewhat favorable

38

23.0%

41

23.8%

48

28.7%

52

36.2%

37

25.8%

81

22.6%

136

31.2%

No opinion

21

12.4%

42

24.2%

16

9.5%

16

10.7%

12

8.6%

66

18.5%

39

9.1%

Somewhat unfavorable

22

13.2%

30

17.6%

26

15.4%

22

15.4%

21

14.7%

50

14.1%

71

16.3%

Very unfavorable

43

25.8%

23

13.1%

22

13.0%

26

17.8%

21

14.7%

68

18.9%

66

15.2%

Strongly support

61

37.0%

52

30.0%

47

28.5%

38

26.1%

44

30.2%

117

32.6%

125

28.8%

Somewhat support

35

20.8%

39

22.9%

35

21.3%

31

21.7%

33

22.9%

82

23.0%

91

21.0%

No opinion

24

14.2%

34

19.6%

13

7.9%

18

12.7%

19

13.4%

58

16.2%

50

11.6%

Page 12 of 13

SoonerPoll.com
CD
Bridenstine
Somewhat oppose

OneCent

Mullin

NineorSix

Lucas

Cole

Russell

Newson6

News9

5.6%

5.2%

13

8.0%

6.4%

12

8.0%

18

5.1%

34

7.8%

Strongly oppose

37

22.4%

38

22.3%

57

34.3%

48

33.2%

37

25.5%

83

23.2%

134

30.9%

Strongly support

76

46.0%

69

40.2%

67

40.2%

59

40.8%

52

35.9%

152

42.4%

172

39.4%

Somewhat support

30

17.9%

34

20.0%

23

14.0%

18

12.3%

24

16.5%

64

18.0%

65

14.9%

No opinion

14

8.5%

25

14.3%

17

10.5%

6.3%

12

8.4%

42

11.7%

36

8.2%

Somewhat oppose

19

11.4%

13

7.6%

11

6.4%

11

7.5%

17

11.5%

35

9.7%

35

8.1%

Strongly oppose

27

16.2%

31

18.0%

48

28.9%

48

33.1%

40

27.7%

66

18.3%

129

29.5%

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