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1.1: Introduction:
To engage in business the financial managers of a firm must
find answers to three questions. First, what long-term
investments should the firm take on? This is the capital
budgeting decision. Second, how can cash be raised for the
required investments? We call this the financing decision.
Third, how will the firm manage its day to day cash and
financial affairs? These decisions involve short term finance
and concern net working capital.
Now, let us see how a company can raise cash to finance
their investment decision? This is done by setting or issuing
securities.
These securities are also called as financial instruments or
claims, may be roughly classified as equity or debt.
The cashflow paid to the bondholders and stockholders of the
firm should be higher than the cashflows put into the firm by
them.
Caselet:{Assignment 1}
M & M has decided to expand its operations and announced
an IPO for Rs.10,00,000 shares @ Rs.200 each. It even tried
for a debt of Rs.30,00,000 @ 15% interest. With this finance
it has invested in operating assets 3/4th of the amount and
rest for its day-to-day operations. The M & M was able to
generate a cashflow of Rs.20,00,000 from the fixed assets.
In the next year M&M has increased its working capital by
20% and purchased new machinery for increasing its
turnover for Rs. 30,00,000. For this it has again opted for
IPO of Rs.50,00,000 divided into 10,000 shares.
10,00,000
(-) costs
9,00,000
----------------
Profit
1,00,000
---------------
Income statement
Cash inflow
(-)Cash outflow
0
9,00,000
-----------
(9,00,000)
------------
xxx
xxxx
------EBDIT
xxxxx
(-) Current Taxes
xxx
-------Operating cash flow xxxx
-------The second step is changes in fixed assets which is the
capital spending or expenditure.
It is the difference between acquisition and sale of fixed
assets between 2 years.
The third and final step is finding the additions for net
working capital.
The total cash flow generated by the firm assets is the sum
of
Operating cash flow less capital spending and deducting
additional investment in net working capital from it.
1.2 Shareholder Value Analysis: (SVA)
The SVA is also called as shareholder value added or
shareholder value approach. This is described by Alfred
Rappaport and is a variation of DCF methodology.(DCF
methodology is a Discounting Cash Flow technique where the
cash flows generated are discounted at the cost of
capital)SVA values the whole enterprise as a single unit.
Value creation:
Sales Growth %
Operating Profit
Margin, %
Sales / NBV of
Assets
W.C invt. / Sales %
Cash tax rate, %
Depreciation /NBV
of Fixed Assets, %
ACTUAL
1999
Competitive Advantage
Period
Future
2004
onwards
8
12
2000 2001
8
6
12
12
2002 2003
5
3
12
12
0
12
2.8
2.8
2.8
2.8
2.8
2.8
15
30
7
15
30
7
15
30
7
15
30
7
15
30
7
15
30
7
ACTUA
L
1999
Future
2004
onwards
2000
3,24
0
388.
8
81
2001
3,434.
4
412.1
2002
3,606.
1
432.7
2003
3,414.
3
409.72
85
90.2
92.9
92.9
469.
8
116.
6
166.
7
498
522.9
502.62
538.6
123.6
129.8
122.92
133.7
155.3
151.5
131.5
92.9
36
29.2
25.8
16.2
150.
189.9
215.8
232
312.0
3,714.3
445.7
5
Working notes:
1. Sales growth is 8% :
Sales for year 2000 = sales of 1999 + 8% of sales of
1999
= 3,000 +8% of 3,000
= 3,240
Like this sales has to be calculated for 2001 to 2004.
2. Operating profit margin is 12% of sales:
Operating profit for the year 2000 = sales for 2000 x
12%
=388.8
In similar manner operating profit for 2001 to 2004 is to
be calculated.
3. NBV of Fixed Assets:
For calculation of NBV of fixed assets we use the multiple
Sales / NBV of Assets = 2.8
NBV of fixed assets for the year 2000:
= sales for the year 2000/NBV of assets = 2.8
= NBV of assets = 3,240 / 2.8
=1157.4
In the same way NBV for all the competitive advantage
period (CAP) should be calculated.
4. Depreciation: one of the given multiple is
Depreciation /NBV of fixed assets = 7%
Depreciation = 7% x NBV of fixed assets
For the year 2000 depreciation = 1157.4 x 7% = 81
Calculate depreciation for all the CAP
5. Tax is 30 % of operating profits:
Tax for 2000 is 30% of 388.8 = 116.6
2001
189.9
0.842
2002
215.8
0.772
2003
232
0.708
FCF
Discount
factor 9%
Discounte 138
159.89 166.59 164.25
d
6
FCF
3rd step: Calculate residual value by discounting simplified
cash flows beyond the competitive advantage period.
Residual value = FCF beyond CAP x Discount factor 9%
= 312.0 x 7.871(i.e Discount factor 9%)
=2,455.752
4th step: calculation of the value of the enterprise: for this
add the PV of all FCF in the CAP to the residual value and the
resultant is the Value of the Enterprise.
Sum of CAP FCF = 138 +159.89 +166.59 +164.256
= 628.736
Terminal or residual value = 2,455.752
Value of the firm = Sum of CAP FCF + residual value
= 628.736 + 2,455.72
=3,084.456
5th step:Add the market value of non-trade or nonoperational assets to the result to get the corporate value
that belongs to all investors.
As we dont have any market value of non-operational assets
in the case directly we can move to 6th step.
6th step: The value of equity is then determined by deducting
the value of debt:
Value of equity = Value of firm market value of debt
= 3,084.456 500
= 2584.456
Case 2 for Assignment:1
You have been asked to value a potential acquisition. The
following information regarding the target is available:
Current sales 10 million per annum
Competitive Advantage period 5 years
Value driver information:
Year
Sales
growth %
Operating
profit
margin %
Cash tax
rate %
IFCI% on
sales
1
8
2
5
3
7
4
6
5
5
Beyond
0
20
20
17
15
12
10
30
30
30
30
30
30
IWCI %
10
10
12
8
5
0
on sales
Coc
14
14
14
14
14
14
Depreciation 5 million p.a ; market value of short term
investments is 10 million and the value of debt is 15 million.
Value the business using SVA.
Should mail to the students from here:
Advantages of SVA:
SVA has a principal that the management of a company
should first consider the interest and advantage of the
shareholders before it makes any decision.
The advantages of SVA are as follows:
1. It provides a universal approach that is not subject to
the particular accounting policies that are adopted.
Therefore, it is internationally applicable and can be
used across sectors.
2. If forces the organization to focus on the future and its
customers, in particular the value of future cash flows.
3. SVA holds that management should first and foremost
consider the interests of shareholders in its business
decisions.
4. SVA takes a long-term view and is about measuring and
managing cash flows over time. It provides the user
the clear understanding of value creation or degradation
overtime.
Disadvantages of SVA:
1. Estimation of future cash flows, a key component of
SVA, can be extremely difficult to complete accurately.
This can lead to incorrect or misleading figures forming
the basis for strategic decisions.
Shareholder value
Revenue
Operating
margin
Growth
Direct
costs
volum
e
price
Indire
ct
costs
Asset Efficiency
Expectations
Property
&
Equipmen
Inventory
Receivables
& payables
Company
strengths
External
strengths
An
increase
in cash
ValueDrivers
StrategicRequirements
Higher revenues
and growth
Lower costs
and income
taxes
flow from
operation
s
A
reduction
in capital
charge
Reduction in
capital
expenditure
Reduced
business risk
Optimize
capital
structure
Reduced cost of
debt
Reduced cost
of equity
Case:
We will say about Hellions way of linking strategy to its
shareholder value.
Hellions strategic vision is customer satisfaction and it is
achieved through strategic objectives such as repurchase, cross
selling, lower price sensitivity and positive word of mouth.
With these objectives the Hellions should maximize the
shareholder value which is its target.
Customer satisfaction: customer satisfaction involves behavior
of customers that typically relates to purchase or consumption
fo product or services.
Drivers of
Shareholder value
Repurchase
Customer
satisfacti
on
Acceleration of
CF
Cross - selling
Increase of
CF
Lower
price
sensitivity
Reduction
in risk with
Positive
word of
mouth
Shareholde
r Value
High
Residual
Value
Rs. In
crores
Assets
Rs. In
crores
15
15
Fixed Assets:
Gross
(-)Acc.Depreciation
11.20
Investments
59
26
33
1.50
1
11.40
10.50
0.50
7
7.30
2.50
4.40
10.50
57.90
Miscellaneous
expenditures and
losses
57.90
15
11.20
14.30
6.90
47.40
57.90
10.50
47.40
5.1.a Accuracy:
The accuracy of the book value approach depends on how
well the net book values of the assets reflect their fair market
values.
Reasons for divergence of book values:
There are 3 reasons for divergence of book values from
market values. They are:
1. Inflation drives a wedge between the book value of an
asset and its current value. The book value of an asset
is its historical cost less depreciation. Hence , it does
not consider inflation which is definitely a factor
influencing market value.
the
the
the
the
v.
Particulars
EBITDA
BOOK VALUE OF
ASSETS
SALES
ENTERPRISE VALUE
EV/EBITDA
EV/BOOK VALUE
EV/SALES
A
280
800
B
360
1000
C
480
1400
1600
2000
7.1
2.5
1.25
2000
3500
9.7
3.5
1.75
3200
4200
8.8
3.0
1.31
Year1
12
75
80
150
12.5
2
1.88
Year2
15
80
100
240
16
3
2.40
Year3
20
100
160
360
18
3.6
2.25
Year1
180
---
Year2
200
---
Year3
229
3
----
---
Total income
Cost of goods sold
Selling and administration
expenses
Depreciation
Interest expenses
Total cost and expenses
Profit Before Tax
(-) Taxes
Profit after taxes
Dividend
Retained earnings
180
100
30
200
105
35
240
125
45
12
12
154
26
8
18
11
7
15
15
170
30
9
21
12
9
18
16
204
36
12
24
12
12
Balance sheet
Rs. in million
Particulars
Equity capital
Reserves & surplus
Debt
Total
Fixed assets
Investments
Net current assets
Total
Year1
60
40
100
200
150
50
200
Year2
90
49
119
258
175
20
63
258
Year3
90
61
134
285
190
25
70
285
Find the value of the firm using DCF assuming tax rate of 40%.
DCF 2 stage model:
It is an implication of gordan growth model in this we find 2
stages where the firm will have a higher growth continuously for
A certain period of time and after that it becomes stable to some
extent.
Value of the firm = PV of FCF during the high growth
period + PV of terminal value
Case: Discussed in the class.
DCF 3 STAGE GROWTH MODEL:
Value of the firm = PV of FCF during the high growth
period + PV of FCF during the transition period + PV of
terminal value
Multiform Limited is being appraised by an investment
banker. The following information has been assembled:
value the firm using DCF
Base year (year 0) Information:
Revenues
1,000 m
EBIT
250 m
Capital
Expenditure
295 m
Working capital
as a % of
revenues
20 %
Tax rate
5 years
Growth rate in
revenues ,
depreciation, EBIT &
capital expenditures
25%
Working capital as a %
20 %
of revenues
Cost of Debt
1.5
12%
6%
Equity Beta
1.583
WACC
14%
20 %
1:1
Cost of debt
11%
6%
Equity Beta
1.10
WACC
13 %
Growth rate in
revenues ,
depreciation, EBIT &
capital expenditures
10%
Working capital as a %
of revenues
20 %
Cost of Debt
0:1
10%
6%
Equity Beta
1.583
WACC
16%
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Understanding of approaches
Use of at least 2 approaches
Defining of value range
Value drivers
Flexibility
Avoid possible pit falls
Blend theory with judgement
1.
Understanding of approaches:
The appraiser must know when to use these methods of valuing
an organization. The adjusted book value approach is suitable
when liquidation is being considered as a distinct possibility. The
stock and debt approach is more suitable when securities of the
firm are actively traded and there si no price manipulation. The
direct comparision approach is quite appropriate when current
earnings of the firm are relative to future earnings capacity and
there are comparable companies.
2.
Use of at least 2 approaches:
The appraiser must always use two different approaches. The
final value should be arrived at by taking weighted average of
valuation figures produced by 2 different approaches.
3.
Defining value of range:
Valuation is a difficult exercise. So, the appraiser must look at
the situation from different scenarios and define a value range
based on the value indicator for these scenarios.
4.
Value drivers:There are several value drivers,i.e.invested
capital return on invested capital growth rate & cost of
capital.Return on invested capital is the most critical value
driver.The appraiser should always go behind the numbers and
examine the entry barriers like economies of scale,product
differential,technological edge,etc.
5.
Flexibility: The appraiser must consider the value of flexibility
in these approaches because management can change its
policies in the circumstances of future development and can
exercise a variety of options suitable to the needs of the
environment. The discounted cash flow approach is totally