Tim Malloy, Assistant

Director,
Quinnipiac University Poll
(203) 645-8043
Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact:
Pat Smith
(212) 2, 2015
FOR
RELEASE:
DECEMBER

BUMP FOR TRUMP AS CARSON FADES IN REPUBLICAN RACE,

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS;
CLINTON, SANDERS SURGE IN MATCHUPS WITH GOP LEADERS
Eleven months before the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump is the undisputed leader in
the Republican field, as Dr. Ben Carson, in a virtual tie with Trump four weeks ago, drops to
fourth place, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today.
On the Democratic side, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton widens her lead over
Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont to 60 30 percent, compared to 53 35 percent in a November
4 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll. Former Maryland
Gov. Martin OMalley has 2 percent, with 6 percent undecided.
Trump gets 27 percent of Republican voters today, with 17 percent for Sen. Marco Rubio
of Florida, 16 percent each for Carson and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas and 5 percent for former
Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. No other candidate tops 3 percent, with 8 percent undecided.
Last month, Trump had 24 percent, with 23 percent for Carson.
Among Republicans, 26 percent of voters say they would definitely not support Trump,
with 21 percent who would not back Bush.
It doesnt seem to matter what he says or who he offends, whether the facts are
contested or the political correctness is challenged, Donald Trump seems to be wearing
Kevlar, said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
Dr. Ben Carson, moving to center stage just one month ago, now needs some CPR. The
Doctor sinks. The Donald soars. The GOP, 11 months from the election, has to be thinking,
This could be the guy.
Secretary Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders have to be hoping Trump is the
GOPs guy.
-more

Quinnipiac University Poll/December 2, 2015 page 2

American voters shift to Clinton as the Democrat gains ground against Republicans:

47 41 percent over Trump, compared to 46 43 percent November 4;

Clinton at 45 percent to Rubios 44 percent, compared to a 46 41 percent Rubio lead
last month;
Clinton tops Cruz 47 42 percent, compared to Cruz at 46 percent to Clintons 43
percent last month;
Clinton at 46 percent to Carsons 43 percent compared to Carsons 50 40 percent lead
last month.
Sanders does just as well, or even better, against top Republicans:

Topping Trump 49 41 percent;

Getting 44 percent to Rubios 43 percent;
Beating Cruz 49 39 percent;
Leading Carson 47 41 percent.
Clinton has a negative 45 51 percent favorability rating. Other favorability ratings are:

Negative 35 57 perce4t for Trump;

40 33 percent for Carson;
44 31 percent for Sanders;
37 28 percent for Rubio;
33 33 percent for Cruz.
American voters say 60 36 percent that Clinton is not honest and trustworthy. Trump is

not honest and trustworthy, voters say 59 35 percent. Sanders gets the best honesty grades
among top candidates, 59 28 percent, with Carson at 53 34 percent, Rubio at 49 33 percent
and Cruz at 43 39 percent.
All American voters say 63 32 percent, including 69 27 percent among independent
voters, that Clinton would have a good chance of beating the Republican nominee in a head-tohead matchup.
Voters are divided 46 49 percent on whether Trump would have a good chance of
beating the Democrats, with independent voters divided 47 48 percent.
From November 23 30, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,453 registered voters
nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines
and cell phones. The survey includes 672 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.8
percentage points and 573 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.