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Power
Failure
wa rren judd is a north & south contributing writer.
4 8 | N O R T H & SOU T H | S E P T E M B E R 2 0 1 4
getty
ken downie
N O R T H & SOU T H | S E P T E M B E R 2 0 1 4 | 4 9
sprays Roundup?
I decided to look into it
In the United States, the average residential electricity price is US12.09 cents
per kilowatt-hour (kWh). Living on the
rural fringe of Auckland hardly the
boondocks I pay NZ32 cents per kWh.
Sure, the New Zealand dollar is worth
less than the greenback, but US power
is still half the price of mine and Consumer NZs Powerswitch tells me Im
getting a fair rate for my area. The national average residential price is 28.2
cents a kWh, ranging from 38.2 cents in
Balclutha to a whisker under 24 cents
in nearby Dunedin.
In the US, Hawaii is an outlier on 37
cents, but there are plenty of mainland
states where the price ranges from 8.7
cents (Washington) to 10 cents for a
kilowatt-hour.
Apart from price, theres another big
difference between electricity supplies
in New Zealand and the US how
theyre generated. Last year in the US,
39 per cent of electricity came from coal,
27 per cent from gas, 19.5 per cent from
5 0 | N O R T H & SOU T H | september 2 0 1 4
nuclear, six per cent from other renewables, and the balance from minor sources like diesel generation. In clean green
New Zealand in the March 2014 quarter,
the main contributors to the nations
electricity were hydro 57 per cent, gas
17 per cent, geothermal 16 per cent,
wind five per cent and coal 3.5 per cent,
with a smidgeon from sources like wood
and biogas. Since we class geothermal
as renewable, that gives us 78 per cent
from renewables, compared with only
12 per cent in the US.
Most US coal is now mined in remote
places like Wyoming and railed for hundreds or thousands of kilometres to generating plants in the Midwest and eastern seaboard (Ive watched the trains
and thought of the CO2) and yet its
apparently still much cheaper than our
rainwater.
Hydroelectric dams cost more to build
than thermal power plants but a wellbuilt dam lasts indefinitely, so elsewhere
in the world hydro is considered cheaper
than coal, gas and nuclear.
Of course, theres more than just the
getty
Above: Most US coal is now mined in remote places like Wyoming and railed for
hundreds or thousands of kilometres to generating plants in the Midwest and eastern
seaboard and yet its apparently still much cheaper than New Zealands rainwater.
Below: More than half of New Zealands electricity is generated by hydroelectric
plants, such as the Clyde Dam in Central Otago.
getty
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cost of generation pushing up our electricity bills. The Cook Strait cable is
costly, and its regularly explained that
distribution costs are high in a place like
New Zealand with its choppy terrain,
few people and long distances. That may
be fair comment with respect to a country like Great Britain, but not the US.
Pretty much the entire west, probably
two-thirds of the country, is much more
sparsely inhabited than New Zealand.
Even in California, the most populous
state with 38 million, most people live
close to the coast or in the Central Valley. People are thin on the ground in
northern and eastern California, and
even thinner in the likes of Nevada, Utah
and Montana. And New Zealand is now
one of the most urbanised countries in
the world, with 87 per cent of us in
towns or cities.
Burns, Oregon, is a typical town in the
dry western US slightly seedy and
straggling along a few kilometres of
Highway 20, the longest road in the
country. It has 3000 people and is 200km
from any other town larger than a gnats
whisker north or south, east or west. Its
the county seat of Harney County, population 7200, covering 26,500 square kilometres, 50 per cent larger than Northland and Auckland combined. Its
remoter than anywhere in New Zealand
and its power comes from the Bonneville
Power Administration, 400km north.
What does power cost? Distribution
charges are $US21.50 a month and power
is seven cents a unit for homes.
Incidentally, Bonneville Power, established in the 1930s within the US Department of Energy and charged with supplying electricity at cost to local utilities,
companies and co-ops, is something like
our old Electricity Department (NZED).
It produces half of the electricity in the
Pacific Northwest and is also responsible
for major transmission lines.
The Oregon Trail Electric Co-op, one
of two power sellers in Burns, was started
in 1987 by three citizens of another rural
town, who initiated a local buyout of a
disenchanted utility company. It services
an area half the size of the North Island
with only 33,000 electricity meters.
For comparison, I recently recontacted Don about his latest power bill.
He paid $US64.92 for 531 kWh (12.2
cents per unit, comprising $24.64 for
generation services, $15.68 fuel factor,
than commercial and industrial customers, but in New Zealand that differential
is particularly marked. The latest comprehensive data (2011) has industry paying 11.5 cents per kWh, commercial users
18.8 cents, and householders 28 cents (all
including GST).
It has not always been so. From the mid1970s (when prices for all users were a
glorious one to three cents) until 1993,
commercial users paid more than householders. Residential prices started to
mike white
Wellington economist Geoff Bertram has studied our electricity industry for
decades. He says power companies profit-friendly accounting systems mean
residential customers are being charged an excess of $1 billion annually.
most countries. In 1990, a unit of electricity cost 9.1 cents. By 2013, it averaged
27.4 cents a 300 per cent increase. According to the Reserve Bank, inflation
totalled 67 per cent over those 23 years.
Labour has produced a graph from International Energy Agency data showing
that New Zealands household power
prices have risen faster than in any of the
agencys other 28 member countries.
Perhaps spurred by the new Labour/
Green power policy and ongoing public
disquiet about electricity prices, the
Electricity Authority recently released
risen so sharply over the past three decades? Although the Electricity Authority
report gives few indications, according
to its CEO Carl Hansen, rising fuel costs
are the main culprit. Since water and
geothermal steam are our principal fuels
(never falling below 65 per cent of generation capacity), this explanation does
not seem entirely satisfying. And remember that coal and gas in the US produce cheap power.
Bertram has a quite different explanation for rising prices. Back in 1999, the
competing SOEs, Meridian, Genesis and
Mighty River Power, were set up. Unlike
the old Electricity Department, whose
task was to supply the country with reliable electricity at cost, SOEs were businesses, charged with making profits for
the government. Establishing competing
SOEs was meant to act as a brake on the
government demand for profit while
still returning one nonetheless. Tricky.
According to Bertram, the new SOEs
were very lightly regulated in a sort of
gentlemens agreement that they behave
reasonably, and it was left up to them
as to how they balanced profiteering for
their master with charging consumers.
Bertram considers the method the SOEs
adopted breaches that understanding.
The assets of ECNZ were transferred
to Genesis, Meridian and Mighty River
Power in April 1999 and some to Contact
have reservations about our power industry. Between 2005 and 2009, Professor
Frank Wolak of Stanford University conducted an investigation into New Zealands wholesale electricity industry for
the Commerce Commission, following
complaints in 2004 by 22 heavyweight
industrial users. Their prices had risen
little relative to householders, but they
had the ear of the Labour government.
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A hydroelectric power plant in Manitoba, Canada, in winter. Canada is a good comparison with New Zealand as it generates
60 per cent of its electricity from hydro. Yet its average residential power price is less than half the New Zealand average.
where the generating arms of the gentailers make their profits is certainly
complex.
Every day is divided into 48 half-hour
trading periods, and for each period
electricity retailers advise how much
they want to buy; and sellers, how much
they plan to generate and at what price.
Transpower co-ordinates this market.
Imagine the period 10.30am to 11am
tomorrow. Transpower knows retailers
want to buy two GWh of electricity. Now
5 4 | N O R T H & SOU T H | september 2 0 1 4
Mighty River Powers chief executive Doug Heffernan and chair Joan Withers
deliver the power-generating companys annual result last August.
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Generators at the Bonneville Dam in Oregon, which supplies cheap, sustainable energy to a vast region. The dam itself was
built and is managed by the United States Army Corps of Engineers, one of the worlds largest public engineering agencies.
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But I wonder if there isnt another reason industry opposes the idea of a single
retail buyer. Recall the Electricity Authority was puzzled why industrial users are apparently being undercharged.
Perhaps householders are subsiding
prices for business users and such subsidies might become difficult with the
single-buyer model.
Although Bertram and Wolaks findings have inspired the Lefts initiative,
Wolak doesnt agree with it, saying its
likely to unleash new problems. He
points out that a single buyer has little
real power unless they can say no to
a deal and NZ Power wont be in that
position. He favours tighter regulation
of the monopolies (Transpower and
lines companies) and real competition
between gen-tailers.
To be fair, the government did make
changes following the Commerce Commissions 2009 report and a ministerial
inquiry the same year. It forced some
gen-tailers to shuffle generating plants
to try and reduce opportunities for exercising unilateral market power, and it
was made easier for consumers to switch
retailers. We now move between retailers with the aplomb of speed daters, a
fact the government heralds as proof that
our electricity market is ultra-competitive. Nonetheless, as with petrol, companies raise prices with the harmony of
synchronised swimmers and prices
keep rising.
5 8 | N O R T H & SOU T H | september 2 0 1 4
Just how much has government received in dividends from its electricity
SOEs? From 2000 to 2013, it received
$950 million from Mighty River (which
had total revenue of $12.85 billion so 7.4
per cent of revenue); a stellar $3.47 billion
from Meridians $25.35 billion (13.6 per
cent); a paltry $282 million from Genesiss
$22.44 billion (1.25 per cent) and a solid
$847 million from Transpower (8.8 per
cent of its total revenue of $8.66 billion).
Apart from Genesis, these results look
pretty good.
Of course, the government also reaps
15 per cent GST and collects tax from
all companies involved, including SOEs.
Although the asset sales will diminish
government revenue, the Crown will
still be doing nicely out of electricity.
Perhaps the most damning indictment
of rising power prices lies in Treasury
records. Total revenue for the three SOE
generators in 2000 was $1.51 billion, but
by 2013, it had quadrupled to $6.1 billion.
Over that time, power consumption rose
from 38,000 GWh to 42,500 GWh, a mere
12 per cent increase (so there was little
need for much new generation capacity)
and inflation totalled 39 per cent.
Revenue for the three SOEs from 2000
to 2013 was an eye-watering $60.65 billion, of which the government got only
$4.7 billion. Genesis has invested some
money in oil and gas, but it does seem as
though government has been squeezing
the toothpaste at the bottom and not as