I

UNIVERSITI
TEKNOLOGI
P ETRONAS

FINAL EXAMINATION
SEPTEM BER 2012 SEMESTER
COURSE

FCM2063 IEBB2123IEAB2123 _ PROBABILITY &

STATISTICS
DATE

31't DECEMBER 2012 (MONDAY)

TIME

9.00 AM

- 12.00 NOON (3 hours)

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES

L
2.
3.
4.
5.

Answer ALL questions in the Answer Booklet.

Begin EACH answer on a new page.
lndicate clearly answers that are cancelled, if any.

Where applicable, show clearly steps taken in arriving at the solutions and
indicate ALL assumptions.
Do not open this Question Booklet until instructed.

Note

There are SEVEN (7) pages in this Question Booklet including

the cover page.
il

Graph Paper (2pcs) and Engineering Data and Formulae

Booklet is provided.

Universlti

Teknologi

PETRONAS

EBB 2123 I FCtVt2063

1. a.

The times (in minutes) taken for a sample of 18 people to assemble a new
pre-packed TV cabinet are:

13
40
i.

19
44

32
32

32
31

30
28

29
15

36
36

37
33

34
23

Find the mean and the variance of the data.

[2 marks]

ii.

Construct a box plot of the data.

[7 marks]

iii.

lf there is any outlier, determine their values.

[1 mark]

b.

A shipment of 15 air-conditioners contains

20%:o

of defective items. An office

makes a random purchase of 3 items. Find the probability that

i.

more defective items than non-defective items will be selected,

[3 marks]

ii.

not more than one non-defective item,

[3 marks]

ii.

at least one defective item but not less than one non-defective tem.
[4 marks]

EBB 2123 I FCM2O63

2

a.

Suppose that the thickness X, in millimetres, of a coating process is a random

variable with the probability density function

Itso.r(l-5x), o<x<0.2
f G):1

l0

i.

elsewhere.

Determine E(X),
[5 marks]

ii.

What is the probability that the thickness exceeds its mean?

[5 marks]

b. i.

A fabric manufacturer claims that not less than

40o/o

of orders for raw

lf a random sample of 96 orders shows that 33

arrived late, do the data show sufficient evidence to reject his claim?
materials arrive late.

Use the level of significance

ii.

Determine the P-value.

cr.

= 5%.

EBB 2123 / FCM2O63

.)-

a.

A company that produces fine crystal products knows from experience that
90% of its products are non-defective.

What is the probability that a random sample of '10 products contains

exactly one defective item?
[3 marks]
il-

Find the probability that a random sample of 10 products contains not

less than one defective item?
[3 marks]

iii.

Determine the probability that at least 86 defective products are found in

a random sample of 1000 products.

[4 marks]

b.

Twenty Iwo (22) randomly selected mathematics graduates with doctoral

degrees have a mean starting weekly salary of RM 1355 with a standard
deviation of RM 216, and 20 randomly selected physics graduates with the

doctoral degrees have

a mean starting weekly salary of RM'1620 with a

standard deviation of RM 241. Do the data suggest, at the 5% level, that

there is

significant difference

in mean salaries for the

mathematics

graduates and physics graduates with doctoral degrees?

[10 marks]

EBB 2123 I FCI\il2063

4.

a.

A class in Advanced Statistics consists of 259/o juniors, 60% seniors and 15%
graduate students. The final grades for the course shows that 12% of lhe
juniors, 25o/o of the seniors and 80% of the graduate students attained anA.

i.

Find the probability that a student selected at random from this class
had an A.
[5 marks]

ii.

lf a student selected from this class had an .zl in the course, what is the
probability that the student is a senior?
[5 marks]

b.

The amounts of a chemical compound, r, that dissolved in'100 grams of

water at various temperature,

, (grams)

r,

were recorded as follows:

Plot a scatter diagram.

[1 mark]
il.

etermine the estimated regression line.

[5 marks]

Estimate the mean amount of chemical that will dissolve in 100 grams of

water at 50oG.
[1 mark]

iv.

Estimate the standard deviation

of the model.

[3 marks]

EBB 2123 I FCtVi2063

5.

a.

A new production line is designed to dispense 150 grams of a drink into each
can. There will be some variability in the random variable X, the amount of
drink dispensed per can. After calibration of the machinery, five observations

on

X are taken each hour for 24-hour period. The sample mean and

the

sample range for each of 24 samples are given in TABLE e5a.

TABLE Q5a
Sample

Sample

Sample

Sample

Sample

Sample

number

mean

range

number

mean

range

150.87

2.02

13

'150.39

2.17

149.10

2.28

14

150.05

4.65

'150.88

2.00

15

149.69

2.47

149.71

2.49

16

I 50.1

3.1

149.62

2.15

17

150.25

3.89

149.70

1.33

18

149.72

2.84

148.50

2.68

19

149.25

1.82

I
I

149.61

2.77

2A

149.83

2.67

150.53

2.83

21

149.79

10

149.82

2.47

22

149.63

2.05

11

149.66

3.40

23

150.01

2.58

12

150.31

2.47

24

149.94

2.14

Use the given data to construct the

.71

chart and the A - chart to control

the mean and the variability in future.

[10 marks]

EBB 2123 / FCM2O63

il.

The process is monitored 6 times during the course of each day. The
data on a day are shown in TABLE QSb.

TABLE Qsb
Sample
number

Sample
mean

Sample
range

Sample
number

Sample
mean

151.26
149.98
153 96

2.68
3.25
2.30

149.78
150.28
149.75

2
J

5
6

Sample
range
3.1

2.55
3.43

Plot the data on respective charls constructed from part (a)(i) and
comment on the mean and the variability of the process.
[4 marks]
b

A Physician's Handbook provides statistics on heights of children by age. The

heights, in inches, of 20 randomly selected 6-year-old girls are as follows

44 38 50 47
47 46 40 47

48
41

44 42
46 48

43
51

43
41

45
46

Assume that the heights of 6-year-old girls are normally distributed

Determine

point estimate for the population mean height p of

6-year-old girls.
[1 mark]

ii.

Determine the 90% confidence interval for

Lt.

[5 marks]

-END OF PAPER_