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TEKNOLOGI

P ETRONAS

FINAL EXAMINATION

MAY 2012 SEMESTER

COURSE

RO BAB

LITY &

STATISTICS

DATE

O3'd

TIME

9.00 AM

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES

1.

2.

3.

4.

Where applicable, show clearly steps taken in arriving at the solutions and

indicate ALL assumptions.

5.

Note

the cover page.

il

provided.

Universiti Teknologi

pETRoNAS

1.

process is given below.

Leaf

Stem

I

I

1345 6

0113 58889

1344 778

235

11

6

7

i.

Find the mode, the median and the mean of the data.

[2 marks]

il

[6 marks]

ilt

[2 marks]

b. The number of cars arriving per minute at a toll booth on Penang Bridge is

Poisson distributed with a mean of 2.5. What is the probability that in any

given minute

i.

no cars arrive?

[2 marks]

i.

[3 marks]

lf the expected number of cars arriving at the toll booth per ten-minutes

interval is 25.0, what is the probability that in any given ten-minutes period

ilt

[2 marks]

tv.

[3 marks]

2

2.

a.

The random variable )'is called a Laplace random variable if its probability

density function is given by

,f(y):ke-tlYl ,>0,

-oo< y<@

Find the

i.

ii.

ii.

iv.

value of k

[2 marks]

mean of

I

[2 marksJ

standard deviation of ).

[2 marks]

)z

[4 marks]

b.

A box contains 100 washe rs, 24 of which are brass, 36 are copper and the

remainder are steel. One washer is taken from the box at random without

replacement and a second washer similarly drawn. What is the probability

that

i.

ii.

iii.

[4 marks]

[2 marks]

[4 marks]

3.

a.

component. The old method had a mean assembly time of 42 minutes.

The manufacturer would like the assembly time to be as short as possible,

and so he expects the new method to have a less mean assembly time. A

random sample of assembly time (in minutes) taken after the new method

had become established was

27

39

28

47

41

42

35

32

38

at

= 0.05?

[5 marks]

il

[3 marks]

b.

Do students who get higher grades study more time during night? To

answer this question, a random sample of 16 students who got a grade

point average between 3.5 - 4.0 last semester were asked the number of

hours they study each night. For this group, the sample mean was 2.6

hours with standard deviation 1.5 hours. A second random sample of the

same number of students who got a grade point average of 2.0 - 2.5 were

asked the same question. For this group the sample mean was 1.5 hours

wth standard deviation 1.3 hours.

i.

[6 marks]

ll

[2 marks]

ilt

Find the 99% two sided confident interval of this test. what is your

conclusion?

[4 marks]

4.

(design) and

B (cost of material). Two levels 11+ and (-)) of each factor are considered. Five

and the total lifetime measured (in hours) is as shown n TABLE Q4.

TABLE Q4

Treatment

Combination

DESIGN

MATERlAL

Total lifetime of 5

AB

(in hours)

(1)

122

60

qb

components

120

118

effects of design and material expense on the component lifetime.

Complete

answering the

TABLE Q4ai

Source

DF

A (Design)

B (Material)

lnteracton

Error

Total

SS

MS

204.8

F

?

180

28

11

569.60

,)

[10 marks]

o

ii.

Based on the results above, what conclusions can you draw from the

factorial experiment?

[4 marks]

iii.

[2 marks]

iv.

Write the least square fitted model using only the significant sources.

[4 marks]

5.

a.

proper weld strength in several of their welding procedures. Weld strength

periodically throughout the production process. The average and the range

of 22 samples are listed and given in TABLE QSa.

TABLE QSa

Sample

Sample

Sample

Sample

Sample

Sample

number

mean

range

number

mean

range

5.48

1.4

12

5.06

1.4

5.42

1.6

13

4.82

1.9

5.42

1.4

14

4.86

1.3

5.40

0.5

15

4.68

0.9

5.52

1.7

16

5.28

1.6

5.32

o.7

17

4.68

1.1

5.34

1.6

18

4.94

0.6

5.58

1.2

19

4,90

1.0

4.54

0.6

20

4.96

0.7

10

5.42

1.6

21

5.06

1.8

11

5.58

0.5

22

5.22

0.8

[6 marks]

il

ilt

[4 marks]

Suppose a sample of 6 is taken throughout the production process.

Brefly explain (no calculaton required) how will this affect the

monitoring process?

[2 marks]

b.

The memory size of the seven programs mentioned in the Disk l/O and CPU

time data were measured. The memory size (in Kbytes) and CPU time (in

milliseconds) pairs observed are:

(7O,2) , (75,5) , (144,7',), (190,9) , (210,10) , (235,13) , (400,20)

i.

[2 marks]

Analyse the data usng a simple regression model to predict CPU time

as a function of the memory size.

[6 marks]

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