Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
COMMISSION
Brussels, 19.3.2014
COM(2014) 130 final/2
ANNEXES 1 to 3
Corrigendum
Annule et remplace le document COM(2014)130 final du 05.03.2014.
Concerne les versions EN, FR et DE des annexes la Communication (remplacement de deux
graphiques dans l'annexe 2).
ANNEXES
to the
COMMUNICATION FROM THE COMMISSION TO THE EUROPEAN
PARLIAMENT, THE COUNCIL, THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL
COMMITTEE AND THE COMMITTEE OF THE REGIONS
Taking stock of the Europe 2020 strategy
for smart, sustainable and inclusive growth
EN
EN
Background:
For each of the Europe 2020 targets, this Annex reviews:
Progress to date at EU level and illustrates possible scenarios until 2020.
Latest data available on performances at national level and national targets for
2020.
Trends in national performances, with some international comparisons where
possible.
The graphs are based on the latest data available as of February 2014. EU averages correspond
to EU28, unless otherwise indicated.
Detailed data, with more variables, are regularly updated and available on Eurostat's website
at: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/europe_2020_indicators/headline_indicators
Additional
information
and
details
on
the
targets
are
available
at:
http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/europe_2020_indicators/headline_indicators/targets
A complete report, with further methodological and statistical explanations, was produced in
Autumn 2013 and is also available at: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_OFFPUB/KS-02-13238/EN/KS-02-13-238-EN.PDF
Reading: on the basis of current commitments, the EU employment rate could reach 71.8% by 2020.
* 2000 and 2001: EU27 data.
** Estimated values based on Commission 2013 Autumn Forecast for 2014-2015, assuming an employment growth to the levels of 2014-2015,
taking into account a 1.0% reduction of the active population during the decade.
*** No target set by the UK: the projection for the EU assumes 75% for the UK in 2020.
EU27 data.
Reading: in 2012, the employment rate in the EU was 68.4%, against a target of 75% for 2020.
* No target set by the UK. SE: target well above 80 %. IE: 69-71% (70% assumed); IT: 67-69% (68% assumed); CY: 75-77% (76% assumed);
AT: 77-78% (77.5% assumed).
Reading: for the EU as a whole, the employment rate increased by 1.8 percentage points over 2000-2012 (horizontal axis), to reach 68.4% in
2012 (vertical axis).
* 2000: EU27 data; HR: 2002-2012
Reading: on the basis of current commitments, EU investment in R&D could reach 2.2% by 2020.
*
Scenario based on the continuation of ongoing reforms and financial efforts.
**
No targets sets by CZ and the UK: 2020 figures were estimated by Commission services.
***
The EU target includes R&D expenditure by intergovernmental research infrastructures, which is not included in the R&D expenditure of the
Member States.
Reading: in 2012, R&D intensity in the EU amounted to 2.06% of GDP, against a target of 3% for 2020.
*
LU: 2010.
**
No targets set by CZ (only for the public sector) and the UK. IE: the target is 2.5% of GNP, which is estimated to be equivalent to 2% of GDP.
LU: the target is between 2.30% and 2.60% of GDP (2.45% assumed). PT: the target is between 2.70% and 3.30% of GDP (3% assumed).
Reading: investment in R&D in the EU has increased at an annual growth rate of 0.9% over 2000-2012 (horizontal axis), to reach 2.06% in
2012 (vertical axis).
*
Performance: EL, SI: 2007; LU, NL, RO: 2010; US, JP, CN: 2011. Progress: SI: 2000-2007; LU, NL, RO: 2000-2010; CN: 2000-2011; EL:
2001-2007; HR: 2002-2012; HU, MT: 2004-2012; SE: 2005-2012; US: 2006-2011; DK: 2007-2012; JP: 2008-2011; PT: 2008-2012; FR: 20102012.
Reading: if the climate and energy 2020 package is fully implemented, the EU could reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 24% by 2020,
compared to 1990 levels.
10
Reading: in 2012, greenhouse gas emissions in non-ETS sectors were 10% lower than in 2005 in the EU.
*
The EU ETS sets a cap on overall emissions from high-emitting industry sectors. Companies may buy and sell
emission allowances within this cap.
11
Between 2000 and 2011, carbon intensity decreased in all Member States,
although progress varies a lot. Highly carbon-intensive countries have generally
achieved a sizeable reduction; low carbon-intensive countries display more limited progress.
Situation in 2011 and progress in terms of carbon intensity since 2000, by country
Reading: in 2011, most Member States were close to the EU average in terms of carbon intensity and progress.
12
Reading: based on current developments and policies, EU share of renewables in energy consumption could reach 20.9% by 2020.
3
4
13
Reading: in 2012, EU share of renewables in energy consumption amounted to 14.4%, against a target of 20% for 2020.
14
Reading: EU share of renewables in energy consumption has increased by 5.9 percentage points over 2005-2012 (horizontal axis),
to reach 14.4% in 2012 (vertical axis).
15
As opposed to final energy consumption, primary energy consumption refers to energy that has not been subject to
any conversion or transformation process.
16
Reading: in 2012, 17 Member States had reached their indicative national targets on energy efficiency.
17
Energy intensity7 the amount of primary energy consumption per unit of GDP
improved in all Member States between 2005 and 2011. Overall, the countries with
the highest energy intensity have sizeably reduced it. The decrease is more moderate for
less energy-intensive Member States.
Situation in 2012 and progress since 2005, by country
Reading: in 2012, most Member States were close to the EU average in terms of energy intensity and progress.
The energy intensity indicator depends on the industrial structure of the economy and thus is not an exact proxy for
energy efficiency in Member States.
18
Reading: on the basis of current commitments, early school leaving rate in the EU could reach 10.1% by 2020.
* 2000 and 2001: EU27 data.
** Business as usual corresponds to an extrapolation of the 2000-2012 developments.
EU27 data.
19
Reading: the EU average rate of early leavers from education and training was 12.7% in 2012, against a target of 10% for 2020.
* EU28, DK, DE, LU and SE: <10%; LT: <9%; SK: <6%. The UK has not set a target.
20
% point annual change in the rate of early leaving from education and training (2000-2012)
Source: European Commission
Reading: the rate of early leaving from education and training in the EU was reduced by around 0.4 percentage point every year over 2002-2012
(horizontal axis), to reach 12.7% in 2012 (vertical axis).
* EU: 2002-2012
Early school leaving is marked by gradually decreasing variations across the EU.
The gap between the lowest and the highest early school leaving rate has declined by more
than half between 2000 and 2012. With the lowest rate for Sweden, at 7.3% and the
highest for Malta, at 54.2%, the gap reached 46.9 percentage points in 2000. In 2012, it
decreased to 20.7 percentage points, with the lowest value at 4.2% for Croatia and the
highest at 24.9% for Spain. Overall, Southern European countries tend to have highest
shares of early leaving from education and training. Reflecting this pattern, regions in
Northern and Eastern European countries have predominantly low rates of early school
leaving, in contrast with Southern European regions.
21
Reading: on the basis of current commitments, EU tertiary attainment rate could reach 45.1% by 2020.
* 2000-2001: EU27 data.
** Business as usual corresponds to an extrapolation of 2000-2012 developments.
EU27 data.
22
Reading: tertiary attainment rate stood at 35.7% in the EU in 2012, against a target of 40% for 2020.
* EU28, DK: at least 40%; DE: 42%, including ISCED 4; IT: 26-27% (26.5% was assumed); LV: 34-36% (35% was assumed); NL: more than
40%; AT: 38%, including ISCED 4/4a; SE: 40-45% (42.5% was assumed); the UK has not set a target; FI: 42% (narrower definition); FR:
population aged 17-33
10
It must be noted that the targets of Germany and Austria are different from those of the other Member States since
they include post-secondary attainment.
23
Reading: the tertiary attainment rate in the EU has increased by more than 1 percentage point annually since 2000 (horizontal axis), to reach
35.7% in 2012 (vertical axis).
* 2000: EU27 data
Inter-country performance shows a varied picture within the EU. Overall, Northern
Europe shows the highest tertiary attainment levels, also reflected in the regional
performances of the different countries. The large gap in tertiary outcomes, amounting to
35.2 percentage points between the weakest performance of Malta and the strongest results
of Lithuania in 2000, has been declining over the years, reaching 29.4 percentage points in
2012. Italy has the lowest tertiary attainment rate, standing at 21.7%, whereas Ireland is
the best performing country, with a rate of 51.1%. Regional outcomes show some intracountry dispersion, notably in Spain and Germany. In addition, the various ambitions of the
Member States also translate to the regional performance, with some countries displaying a
high number of well-performing regions, although they remain below the national target.
24
Reading: based on three different ways of measuring poverty, a total of 124.2 million people were at risk of poverty or social exclusion in the EU
in 2012 (with 9.3 million people belonging to the three groups).
Given the harsh impact of the crisis, the Europe 2020 target on poverty seems out
of reach. The years until 2009 were marked by a steady decrease in the number of people
exposed to poverty or social exclusion. The lowest level was reached in 2009, with around
114 million people at risk of poverty or social exclusion15, against more than 124 million in
11
25
200516. However, the crisis offset these positive developments and led to a rise in the
values of the EU28 aggregates, with the number of people at risk of poverty or social
exclusion increasing to more than 118 million in 2010, more than 121 million in 2011 and
more than 124 million in 2012. Monetary poverty affects the highest number of people and
severe material deprivation has increased most rapidly, by 7.1 million people since 2010.
Based on recent trends and according to the latest projections, the EU target of reducing
the number of people at risk of poverty or social exclusion to 96.4 million by 2020 is
unlikely to be met and the indicator might remain close to 100 million.
Reading: in 2012, 124 million people were at risk of poverty or social exclusion in the EU, namely 28 million more than the Europe 2020 target.
*
2005-2009: EU27 data, 2010-2012: EU28 data. The 2020 target of 96.4 corresponds to the 2008 figure for EU27 (116.4) minus the 20 million
people that the EU aims to lift out of poverty and social exclusion. HR excluded from the calculation of the target.
16
EU27 data.
26
Reading: in 2012, 24.8% of the population was at risk of poverty or social exclusion in the EU, which is about 5 percentage points over the
Europe 2020 target.
*
2020 target refers to at risk of poverty or social exclusion rate if 2020 target achieved - UK, SE not included due to the specificity of their
national targets; IE: 2011.
17
These countries had met their national targets, which are not expressed in terms of people at risk of poverty
or social exclusion.
27
Reading: the share of population at risk of poverty or social exclusion increased by more than 1 percentage point between 2008 and 2012
(horizontal axis), to reach 24.8% of the population in 2012 (vertical axis).
2008: EU27 data.
28
18
19
COM(2012)173.
COM(2012)727.
29
20
2011/C191/01.
2013/C120/01.
22
Youth Guarantees ensure that all young people under the age of 25 years receive a good-quality offer of
employment, continued education, an apprenticeship or a traineeship within a period of four months of becoming
unemployed or leaving formal education.
21
30
31
32
33
23
COM(2011)112.
COM(2011)144.
25
COM(2011)885.
26
COM(2011)571.
27
COM(2011)244.
28
COM(2012)673.
29
COM(2013)918.
30
COM(2014)15.
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34
31
COM(2013)83.
2013/112/EU.
33
COM(2011)173.
34
COM(2012)55.
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35