Coast Guard Maritime Patrol

Aircraft Requirements

An Evaluation of
Post-9/11 LRS/MRS
Integrated Deepwater
System Requirements
CAPT J. H. KORN
D8 (osr)
Objectives

ƒ Define MPA mission demand

ƒ Compare asset capabilities
ƒ Develop asset mixes that meet existing and
emerging mission demand
ƒ Present business cases: Capability/Risk/Cost
ƒ Recommend solution set

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

 Approach

ƒ Point of Departure – 1998 Baseline PFHs

ƒ Add post-1998 demand
ƒ Determine minimum LRS/heavy-lift assets required
ƒ Determine MPA candidate Op Eff equivalencies
ƒ Define solution sets
ƒ Analyze capabilities and risk
ƒ Develop 30 year cost model
ƒ Recommend best business case

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

Assumptions

ƒ HAE-UAVs provide 16,100 annual PFH

ƒ HAE-UAVs do not provide target ID

ƒ VUAVs Do Not Offset FW Requirements

ƒ SAR Readiness maintained

ƒ No degradation of current mission suite

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

 Assumptions (Cont’d)
ƒ 1000 PFH per year
– (Proposed 1200 for CASA is unrealistic)
ƒ Total PFH Required Divided by 1000 = # MPA
– Adjusted by OpEff Equivalency
ƒ FW coverage of Gulf of Mexico Required
– (Proposal = no presence in Corpus; Mobile)
ƒ MDA Surveillance, Detection, Classification also
provided by other means (National Technical Means,
UAVs, etc.)
– LRS used out to 1000nm to ID TOIs
ƒ Organic Heavy Lift required on both coasts to meet
response requirements of NSF/MSSTs (to include boat
xport)

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

Known Fixed Wing Requirements
ƒ 1998 Baseline requirements: 44,400 PFH
– Traditional missions (SAR, LE, Log, Training)
– Air Interdiction
– International Ice Patrol
– SONS/MERO
– Aerial Dispersant Delivery System (ADDS)
– Excludes addt’l unconstrained 36,000 hour MPA shortfall
ƒ New requirements:
– MARSEC I/II/III
– Increased MDA to 1,000 nautical miles
– Heavy lift (NSF, MSST, critical incident response)
– DHS mission growth
– CBR defense and detection

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

Probable and Potential MPA
Requirements

ƒ Probable
– Weaponization
– USN MPA CD patrols (DoD pull out)
– Defensive measures
– Increased Transport (FEMA/OGA)
– FW-to-RW ground refuel
ƒ Potential
– Parachute drops (SEAL team insertion)
– Airborne Early Warning (AEW)
– FW-to-RW air-to-air refueling

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

Capability and Capacity Gaps:
ƒ Extended MDA boundary presence (1,000 NM)
ƒ Decreased DoD CD patrols
ƒ MARSEC I/II/III
ƒ NSF, MSST, OGA heavy lift capability
ƒ Growth margin
– Lift, surge, mission, weapons, and equipment
Requirement = Baseline Demand (44,400 PFH
52 FW assets) + Increased Heavy lift
capability + Forecast New Demand

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

 1998 Operational Support Augments Total
BASELINE Aircraft Aircraft Baseline PFH
HC-130 26 4 7 23,600
HU-25 26 4 0 20,800
TOTAL 52 8 7 44,400

New Requirement Annual Sources

PFH
DoD CD Pullout 5139 P3, E2, S3, EC130; source: JIATF East, West

MARSEC III Ops 3973 Per MSMP V2 Demand Levels

MARSEC II Ops 6441 Per MSMP V2 Demand Levels

MARSEC I Ops 9429 Per MSMP V2 Demand Levels

Long-Range MDA SDCI 738 1 12-hr flight/week

NSF/OGA Transport 71 6 training@2 hrs, 1 actual@24hrs, 1 actual

OGA@24hrs.
MSST Transport 216 Per MSMP V2 Demand

Training efficiencies - 3552 15% v. Historical 23%

NEW REQUIREMENTS 22,454 PFH
Total FW Requirement 66,854 PFH minus 16,100 HAE-UAV PFH = 50,754 =
Requirement for 51 FW @ 1000 PFH per year each
USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03
Capability Comparisons
Individual Asset Range Comparisons

HU-25
CASA 235
CASA 235M ER
C-27J
HC-130H
HC-130J

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

 Patrol Capability:
HU-25 Sorties for MARSEC II

Norfolk, VA
CGAS Elizabeth City

Aircraft Sorties Transit Hrs Patrol Hrs Total Hrs

HU-25 6 8.9 11 19.9
CN-235 3 7.1 15.6 22.7
CN-235ER 3 7.6 15.6 23.2
C-27J 2 3.2 13.9 17.1
C-130J 1 1.9 11.8 13.7

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

 Patrol Capability:
CN-235 Sorties for MARSEC II

Norfolk, VA

CGAS Elizabeth City

Aircraft Sorties Transit Hrs Patrol Hrs Total Hrs

HU-25 6 8.9 11 19.9
CN-235 3 7.1 15.6 22.7
CN-235ER 3 7.6 15.6 23.2
C-27J 2 3.2 13.9 17.1
C-130J 1 1.9 11.8 13.7

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

 Patrol Capability:
C-27J Sorties for MARSEC II

Norfolk, VA
CGAS Elizabeth City

Aircraft Sorties Transit Hrs Patrol Hrs Total Hrs

HU-25 6 8.9 11 19.9
CN-235 3 7.1 15.6 22.7
CN-235ER 3 7.6 15.6 23.2
C-27J 2 3.2 13.9 17.1
C-130J 1 1.9 11.8 13.7

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

 300-500NM Patrol Capability:
CN-235 Sorties for MARSEC II

Norfolk, VA
CGAS Elizabeth City 300 N
M
500 N
M

Aircraft Sorties Transit Hrs Patrol Hrs Total Hrs

HU-25 NOT FEASIBLE
CN-235 4 16.6 14.7 31.3
C-27J 3 10.6 13.2 23.8
C-130J 1 2.9USCG Fixed
11.2Wing Aircraft14.1
Requirements 11-Jan-03
 300-500NM Patrol Capability:
C27J Sorties for MARSEC II

Norfolk, VA
300 N
M
CGAS Elizabeth City 500 N
M

Aircraft Sorties Transit Hrs Patrol Hrs Total Hrs

HU-25 NOT FEASIBLE
CN-235 4 16.6 14.7 31.3
C-27J 3 10.6 13.2 23.8
C-130J 1 2.9 USCG11.2Fixed Wing14.1
Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03
Proposed IDS Coverage

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

Current and Recommended Coverage

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

 Minimum Long Range/Heavy Lift
Aircraft Required

ƒ MSST/NSF/SAR readiness
ƒ Additional local requirements:
– International Ice Patrol - ECity
– Guam/Samoa deployments – Barbers Pt.
– Stan Team, OPBAT lift, deep south deployment -
Clearwater
– Logistics, MBL,addt’l patrol requirements - Kodiak
ƒ 1000 mile MDA boundary response
ƒ Civil Support Team Transport

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

MPA Candidate Aircraft Descriptions
Item Alenia C-27J CASA CN 235
Max T/O Wt (2.25 G) 70,000 Lbs 36,340 Lbs
Max Payload (2.25 G) 22,000 Lbs 11,942 Lbs
Max Fuel Wt 20,700 Lbs 9,150 LBs
Fuel Consumption
1,670 Lbs/Hr 800 Lbs/Hr
(Normal Transit Speed)
Pallets 4 3.5
Cargo Cabin 37.5' L x 8.04' W x 31.67' L x 7.75' W x
Dimensions 7.4' H 6.25' H
Engines Allison AE-2100D2 GE CT7-9C3
Radius of Action (ROA) 1,400 Miles 910 Miles
Tactical Speed 303 kts 240 kts
Patrol Speed 197 kts 176 kts

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

Aircraft Required to Meet Equivalent
Patrol Mission Demands
35

30

25

20 CN-235
C-27J 25 (32)
15 C-130 (28)
(25)
10

ƒ Equivalencies due to differences in:

– Transit Speed
– Patrol Speed (non-SAR)
– Effective Range

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

 Mission Capability Matrix By Asset
C-130J C-27 CN-235 HU-25
PREVIOUS KNOWN
Surveillance (SDCI)
Aerial Delivery
SONS / MERO
International Ice Patrol
FW > RW Grnd Refuel
Transport for CG/OGA (e.g. FEMA)
Hot Day – Max Gas - Op Config
Mission & Systems Growth
ADDS
NEW KNOWN
NSF/MSST Transport
CBR D&D
1000 mile target ID
Air Interdiction
NEW PROBABLE
Weaponization
Defensive Measures
Extended Range Tanks
NEW POTENTIAL
AEW
Para Drops
FW > RW Air to Air Refuel

Proven Potential Incapable

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

 Mission Capability Matrix By
Mix of Assets
C-130 (19) C-130 (19) ICGS C-130 (5)
C-27(28) CN235 (32) CN235 (31)
PREVIOUS KNOWN
Surveillance (SDCI)
Aerial Delivery
SONS / MERO
International Ice Patrol
*
FW > RW Grnd Refuel
Transport for CG/OGA (e.g. FEMA)
Hot Day – Max Gas - Op Config
Mission & Systems Growth
ADDS
NEW KNOWN
NSF/MSST Transport
CBR D&D
Air Interdiction
NEW PROBABLE
Weaponization
Defensive Counter Measures
Extended Range Tanks
NEW POTENTIAL
AEW
Para Drops
FW > RW Air to Air Refuel
*Increased risk
Proven Potential Incapable

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

Risk And Cost Comparisons
 Risk Matrix By Mix of Assets
C130 (19) C130 (19) ICGS C130 (5)
C27 (28) CN235 (32) CN235 (31)
COST
OE Funding Support
AC&I Funding Support

SCHEDULE

PERFORMANCE
Meet Major Contingency Lift Req't
Meet Surge Patrol (MARSEC 2/3)
AIR SAFETY
ETOPS
* *
Egress (Ditching)
* *
Engine Out Performance
POLITICAL
Neg. Image of Offshore
Maintaining ICGS Solution
TECHNICAL
Logistics (Closed vs Open Loop)
Logistics Chain Stability
Ease of Tech Support
Growth
Max Gross Wt Ops

High Moderate Low

* Assumes mitigation of shortfalls
USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03
 Cost Analysis
Constant 2002 Dollars In Millions
Non-
Total Number recurring Recurring 30 year 30 Year
Aircraft in service (AC&I) (OE) recurring Total
C-130J 21 19 $1,613 $81 $2,428 $4,041
C-27J 31 28 $992 $90 $2,690 $3,682
52 47 $2,605 $171 $5,118 $7,723

C-130J 21 19 $1,651 $81 $2,436 $4,087

CN-235 36 32 $906 $92 $2,750 $3,656
57 51 $2,557 $173 $5,186 $7,743

30 Year savings -$20

CN-235 FFP, C-27J ROM plus 15% ICGS, C-130J ROM USAF

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

Fixed Wing Force Laydown
 Proposed ICGS Laydown

Astoria
Astoria
33––CN235
CN235
Total
TotalOperational
Operational Cape
CapeCod
Cod
C130J
C130J––55 33––CN235
CN235
CN235
CN235––3131
Total
TotalPFH
PFH==41,200
41,200
Elizabeth
ElizabethCity
City
44––CN235
CN235
San ATC
ATCMobile
SanDiego
Diego Mobile
33––CN235
33––CN235
CN235 CN235

Miami
Miami
66––CN235
CN235

Clearwater
Clearwater Borinquen
Kodiak 33––CN235 Borinquen
Kodiak CN235 33––CN235
CN235
55––C130J Barber's
Barber'sPoint
Point
C130J 33––CN235
CN235

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

 Recommended Solution Set
C-130J / C-27J
Astoria
Astoria
33––C27J
C27J
Total
TotalOperational
Operational Cape
CapeCod
Cod
C130J
C130J––1919 33––C27J
C27J
Sacramento
Sacramento C27J
C27J––2828
44––C130J Total
C130J
22––C27J TotalPFH
PFH==47,000
47,000
C27J Elizabeth
ElizabethCity
City
33––C130J
C130J
ATC
ATCMobile
Mobile 22––C27J
C27J
55––C27J
C27J

Miami
Miami
55––C27J
C27J

Clearwater
Clearwater Borinquen
Borinquen
Kodiak
Kodiak 44––C130J 44––C27J
Barber's C130J C27J
55––C130J
C130J Barber'sPoint
Point 22––C27J
33––C130J C27J
C130J
22––C27J
C27J

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

 Alternative Solution Set 1
C-130J / CN-235-300M
Astoria
Astoria
44––CN235
CN235
Total
TotalOperational
Operational Cape
CapeCod
Cod
C130J
C130J––1919 44––CN235
CN235
Sacramento
Sacramento CN235
CN235––3232
33––C130J Total
C130J
33––CN235 TotalPFH
PFH==51,000
51,000
CN235 Elizabeth
ElizabethCity
City
33––C130J
C130J
ATC
ATCMobile
Mobile
55––CN235
CN235

Miami
Miami
Corpus
CorpusChristi
Christi 77––CN235
33––CN235 CN235
CN235

Clearwater
Clearwater Borinquen
Borinquen
Kodiak
Kodiak 44––C130J 44––CN235
Barber's C130J CN235
55––C130J
C130J Barber'sPoint
Point 22––CN235
44––C130J CN235
C130J

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

Recommendations

ƒ Maintain LRS/Heavy lift capabilities

– Extend C-130H life, increase program hrs to 1000
through fully resourced augments
z Organic C-130 PDM

ƒ C-130Js replace HU25s in short term

ƒ Reevaluate MPA choice against DHS mission
demands and other DHS agency assets

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

Recommendations (continued)

ƒ Designate C-130 as National Security Aircraft

(NSA)
ƒ Make C-130J sensor configuration common to
the MPA ORD configuration
ƒ Incorporate recommended solution set when
IDS is re-baselined
ƒ If CN-235s chosen;
– Do NOT opt for ER
– Use 1000 programmed hrs, not 1200

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

Questions
 Cost Analysis
Constant 2002 Dollars

Number Number Non-Recurring Recurring 30yr Recurring 30 Year Total

in Service Annual Recurring & Non
C-130J 48 44 $3,778,420,000 $182,057,484 $5,461,724,510 $9,240,144,510

C-130J 23 21 $1,767,335,000 $88,675,872 $2,660,276,153 $4,427,611,153

C-27J 30 27 $961,094,500 $86,719,088 $2,601,572,625 $3,562,667,125
53 48 $2,728,429,500 $175,394,959 $5,261,848,778 $7,990,278,278

C-130J 23 21 $1,805,385,000 $88,820,772 $2,664,623,153 $4,470,008,153

CN-235 33 30 $833,760,000 $86,598,250 $2,597,947,500 $3,431,707,500
56 51 $2,639,145,000 $175,419,022 $5,262,570,653 $7,901,715,653

Includes:
Airframe Acquisition, Required Baseline Mods, No Sensor Mods, Simulators, Provisioning,
AFC 41, PDM’s, Aircrews, Maintenance Staff, Training (both initial and recurrent for pilots,
aircrew and technicians), Fuel, APO, ARSC Product Line Staff, and Facilities where required.

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03

 st
Aircraft Phase In (1 ten yrs)
2002 Dollars, Undiscounted, In Millions
YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6 YR7 YR8 YR9 YR10

C-130H 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 18 14
C-130H 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
AC&I $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
OE $101.8 $108.4 $108.4 $108.4 $108.4 $108.4 $108.4 $108.4 $76.3 $59.5

C-130J 6 12 17 21 21 21
C-130J 6 6 6 6 0 0 1 3 3 3
AC&I $473.6 $1.7 $2.0 $2.0 $0.0 $529.2 $529.2 $454.6 $0.0 $0.0
OE $25.6 $51.2 $72.8 $90.2 $90.2 $90.2

HU25 19 19 19 19 19 10 4
HU25 3 3 3 3 1 0 0
AC&I $17.0 $14.0 $13.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
OE $82.1 $82.1 $82.1 $82.1 $80.0 $48.4 $25.8

C27J 0 0 0 0 0 4 8 11 15 18
C27J 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2
AC&I $170.1 $121.0 $121.0 $121.0 $121.0
OE $14.5 $30.0 $36.5 $48.9 $58.5

TOTAL OP 43 43 43 43 49 50 53 56 43 43
TOTAL SUPPORT 12 12 12 12 4 3 4 7 5 5

Total AC&I 490.6 15.7 15.0 2.0 0.0 699.3 650.2 575.6 170.1 121.0
Deepwater AC&I 17.0 14.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 170.1 121.0 121.0 121.0 121.0
Total OE 183.9 190.5 190.5 190.5 214.0 222.5 237.0 235.1 181.0 179.7

USCG Fixed Wing Aircraft Requirements 11-Jan-03