Quinnipiac Poll - National 2-17-16

Tim Malloy, Assistant Director,
Quinnipiac University Poll

(203) 645-8043
Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
FOR RELEASE: FEBRUARY 17, 2016
TRUMP SURGES TO 2-1 LEAD AMONG REPUBLICANS NATIONWIDE,

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS;
CLINTON, SANDERS LOCKED IN A TIE AMONG DEMOCRATS
The Donald Trump juggernaut rolls to a 2-1 lead among Republican voters nationwide, with 39
percent, his highest total so far, followed by Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida with 19 percent and
Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas with 18 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll
released today. Ohio Gov. John Kasich has 6 percent with former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Dr.
Ben Carson at 4 percent each. Nine percent are undecided.
This compares to the results of a February 5 survey by the independent Quinnipiac
(KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing Trump with 31 percent, Cruz with 22 percent and Rubio
with 19 percent.
In the Democratic race nationwide, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has 44
percent, with Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont at 42 percent, and 11 percent undecided,
unchanged from February 5.
The top three Republicans are closely matched in terms of voter opinion as Trump gets a
62 31 percent favorability among Republicans, with 64 17 percent for Rubio and 62 23
percent for Cruz.
Reports of Donald Trumps imminent demise as a candidate are clearly and greatly
exaggerated. Like a freight train barreling through signals with his horn on full blast, Trump
heads down the track towards a possible nomination, said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the
Quinnipiac University Poll.
There is a but. Trumps raw numbers are formidable, but he trails the pack on some
from the gut character measurements. And the kind of bright spot that Jeb Bush supporters,
few as they be, may grab ahold of. The former Florida governor polls best in the pack on
experience.
-more-
Quinnipiac University Poll/February 17, 2016 page 2

Sen. Bernie Sanders and Secretary Hillary Clinton are neck and neck. But while Bernie
has the trust, Hillary has the experience. Two different measurements of two dissimilar
candidates, Malloy added.
Trump has a good chance of winning in November, 77 percent of Republican voters
nationwide say, while 61 percent say Rubio has a good chance of winning and 60 percent say
Cruz has a good chance.
Looking at key characteristics, Bush leads in one area as 74 percent of Republicans say
he has the right kind of experience to be president, with Cruz at 68 percent, Trump at 60 percent,
Kasich at 59 percent and Rubio at 54 percent. On other qualities, Republican voters say:
72 percent that Rubio is honest and trustworthy, with 70 percent for Bush, 65 percent for
Kasich, 62 percent for Cruz and 60 percent for Trump;
80 percent that Trump has strong leadership qualities, with 69 percent for Cruz, 63
percent for Rubio, 60 percent for Bush and 58 percent for Kasich;
73 percent that Rubio cares about their needs and problems, with 67 percent for Cruz, 66
percent for Bush and 62 percent each for Trump and Kasich;
70 percent say Rubio shares their values, with 69 percent for Bush, 67 percent for Cruz,
60 percent for Trump and 57 percent for Kasich.
Clinton Sanders
The Democratic gender gap is shrinking as women back Clinton over Sanders 47 41
percent while men back Sanders 44 40 percent. Clinton would have a good chance of winning
in November, 83 percent of Democrats say, compared to 69 percent who say Sanders has a good
chance. Looking at key characteristics among Democratic voters:
93 percent say Clinton has the right kind of experience to be president, compared to 74
percent for Sanders;
87 percent say Sanders is honest and trustworthy, compared to 61 percent for Clinton;
87 percent say Clinton has strong leadership qualities, with 79 percent for Sanders;
86 percent say Sanders cares about their needs and problems, compared to 78 percent for
Clinton;
82 percent say Sanders shares their values, compared to 75 percent for Clinton.
From February 10 15, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,342 registered voters
nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines
and cell phones. The survey includes 602 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage
points and 563 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
Visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
1. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being
held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, John Kasich,
Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Bush
Carson
Cruz
Kasich
Rubio
Trump
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
Bush
Carson
Cruz
Kasich
Rubio
Trump
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
4%
4
18
6
19
39
1
9
1%
4
44
3
11
34
3
4%
8
25
6
16
30
11
2%
5
38
4
13
27
11
2%
1
10
9
25
45
8
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
4%
2
20
6
20
38
1
9
1%
4
16
4
26
41
1
6
3%
9
13
7
15
43
2
7
3%
4
23
6
18
36
1
9
6%
5
9
6
19
44
1
1
9
2%
2
21
6
15
45
1
6
5%
5
16
6
22
34
1
12
5%
3
16
11
24
30
10
3%
4
19
4
16
44
1
1
8
7%
3
12
10
14
39
1
13
1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your
mind before the primary?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1............................
CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1...........
Tot
Cruz
Rubio
Trump
Made up
Might change
DK/NA
53%
45
2
60%
38
3
33%
67
-
64%
33
3
2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would
definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Cruz,
Kasich, Rubio, or Trump? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses
were allowed)
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Bush
Carson
Cruz
Kasich
Rubio
Trump
No/No one
DK/NA
Bush
Carson
Cruz
Kasich
Rubio
Trump
No/No one
DK/NA
20%
8
17
10
13
28
30
5
23%
2
2
16
12
24
39
2
18%
7
11
8
9
27
39
6
19%
3
6
11
7
30
35
6
17%
6
21
6
11
21
36
5
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
19%
9
17
10
12
28
30
5
16%
8
16
7
13
32
30
1
27%
7
17
10
13
25
30
3
21%
7
16
13
13
26
30
6
23%
13
22
13
17
32
21
3
21%
9
18
12
13
19
35
3
19%
8
16
9
13
35
26
7
17%
11
17
6
7
26
33
5
22%
7
17
11
15
27
30
4
21%
11
20
7
12
25
29
7
3. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being
held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, for whom would you
vote?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Clinton
Sanders
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
Clinton
Sanders
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
44%
42
2
11
30%
64
3
3
40%
44
1
3
12
47%
41
1
11
41%
46
1
1
11
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
47%
39
3
11
33%
58
1
8
38%
50
1
2
9
55%
30
1
14
33%
53
1
12
47%
38
1
2
13
48%
34
1
2
14
49%
35
3
14
61%
24
2
3
11
45%
40
3
11
3A. (If candidate chosen q3) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your
mind before the primary?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q3................
CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q3......
Tot
Clinton
Sanders
Made up
Might change
DK/NA
67%
32
2
66%
34
-
67%
30
3
16a. (Summary tables from ques 16-23) Is your opinion of [Rotate Democratic Candidate]
favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her/him?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS
Hvn't
Fav
UnFav Hrd
Ref
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
74%
82%
21
6
3
11
2
-
16b. (Summary tables from ques 16-23) Is your opinion of [Rotate Republican Candidate]
favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS
Hvn't
Fav
UnFav Hrd
Ref
Jeb Bush
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
55%
62%
49%
64%
62%
32
23
11
17
31
10
13
38
17
3
2
2
2
2
4
16. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about her?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
74%
21
3
2
70%
24
1
5
67%
29
1
3
79%
15
5
1
75%
20
3
2
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
76%
20
2
2
68%
26
3
2
68%
27
3
3
83%
11
5
1
66%
23
8
2
78%
18
3
1
72%
22
5
1
74%
19
5
2
83%
15
1
1
73%
22
4
2
17. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
62%
31
3
4
70%
27
1
3
59%
31
5
5
61%
30
1
8
66%
28
4
2
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
62%
31
3
4
57%
38
2
3
62%
29
5
4
65%
30
2
3
58%
36
5
2
71%
24
3
2
54%
37
3
6
55%
37
5
4
66%
28
3
3
60%
28
6
6
18. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
62%
23
13
2
89%
1
10
-
72%
16
11
1
82%
12
5
1
59%
24
14
2
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
64%
23
11
2
57%
23
17
2
56%
21
22
2
60%
26
12
2
48%
31
19
1
62%
21
15
2
62%
25
12
2
61%
27
9
3
62%
21
15
2
69%
20
10
1
19. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
64%
17
17
2
66%
16
17
-
69%
14
16
1
82%
11
6
-
65%
14
18
3
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
66%
16
17
2
56%
20
21
3
60%
19
20
1
67%
15
17
1
49%
24
26
1
63%
17
17
3
66%
17
17
1
75%
15
9
1
59%
18
21
2
70%
16
13
1
20. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
82%
6
11
-
95%
3
3
-
85%
6
9
-
80%
6
13
-
90%
6
4
-
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
82%
7
11
-
92%
2
6
-
84%
7
9
-
80%
6
14
-
82%
6
12
1
93%
4
3
-
71%
9
19
-
76%
9
15
-
74%
10
15
1
78%
7
15
-
22. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
55%
32
10
2
52%
30
15
3
57%
28
11
3
60%
30
5
4
56%
27
15
1
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
57%
31
10
2
55%
30
12
2
49%
36
13
3
53%
36
10
1
52%
37
10
2
51%
35
13
2
59%
30
8
3
65%
28
5
2
51%
35
13
2
61%
26
10
3
23. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
49%
11
38
2
42%
19
36
2
53%
11
35
-
53%
16
25
5
53%
8
39
-
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
47%
12
40
1
39%
10
49
2
55%
10
32
3
45%
17
37
1
42%
11
48
-
48%
16
35
1
50%
7
41
2
62%
9
28
1
43%
13
43
1
67%
5
28
1
24. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
77%
18
1
3
86%
11
2
2
84%
13
2
-
89%
8
2
81%
14
2
2
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
82%
15
1
3
73%
22
1
5
60%
31
3
6
80%
17
2
2
63%
30
2
4
77%
19
1
3
77%
18
2
3
81%
15
2
1
76%
20
1
3
82%
14
1
3
25. Is your opinion of Bill Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
83%
10
5
1
79%
12
7
3
87%
9
3
1
80%
11
7
2
85%
10
3
1
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
85%
10
4
1
81%
10
8
1
80%
13
6
1
90%
5
5
-
79%
10
9
2
82%
10
8
-
86%
9
4
1
83%
11
4
1
90%
8
2
1
83%
10
6
1
26. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
84%
12
2
2
93%
6
2
79%
15
2
4
88%
10
2
-
91%
8
1
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
86%
12
1
1
83%
14
1
1
82%
16
1
1
87%
7
3
3
79%
14
3
3
92%
7
1
76%
19
3
2
85%
12
1
2
84%
10
4
2
80%
15
3
2
35. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
61%
34
5
58%
33
8
59%
38
3
62%
31
7
62%
33
4
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
65%
30
5
51%
40
9
55%
40
5
71%
24
5
46%
47
7
67%
28
5
59%
37
4
62%
35
3
79%
19
2
60%
34
6
36. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
60%
36
4
57%
37
6
60%
33
6
56%
38
6
66%
30
4
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
62%
33
5
57%
39
4
52%
46
3
60%
38
2
58%
41
2
63%
34
3
56%
38
6
59%
38
3
60%
34
5
62%
29
9
37. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
87%
10
3
95%
5
-
92%
6
2
82%
14
4
92%
7
2
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
87%
9
4
92%
7
2
88%
10
2
85%
10
5
85%
13
2
95%
5
1
82%
13
5
84%
12
4
82%
12
6
84%
12
4
38. Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
70%
25
5
74%
22
4
74%
20
6
82%
16
2
65%
29
5
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
74%
23
3
63%
29
8
54%
34
11
72%
27
1
66%
30
4
68%
25
7
72%
26
2
79%
18
3
66%
29
5
78%
16
6
39. Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
72%
21
7
77%
19
3
76%
16
8
87%
12
1
72%
19
9
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
75%
18
7
68%
26
6
62%
29
9
73%
20
7
63%
29
8
70%
23
7
75%
18
7
77%
17
6
70%
22
8
77%
14
9
40. Would you say that - Ted Cruz is honest and trustworthy or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
62%
31
7
84%
13
3
71%
23
6
79%
16
5
61%
31
7
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
65%
28
7
59%
36
5
53%
39
8
60%
34
6
49%
44
7
63%
31
6
62%
30
8
61%
32
6
62%
30
8
68%
19
12
10
41. Would you say that - John Kasich is honest and trustworthy or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
65%
18
18
63%
16
20
70%
13
16
73%
15
13
62%
18
19
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
65%
18
17
60%
21
20
62%
16
22
66%
18
16
61%
20
19
65%
21
14
64%
14
22
77%
9
14
60%
21
19
71%
13
16
42. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
87%
12
1
89%
11
-
82%
17
1
91%
8
1
91%
8
-
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
89%
10
1
83%
16
1
86%
14
1
89%
10
1
80%
20
-
94%
6
-
82%
16
2
89%
10
1
90%
9
1
85%
14
1
43. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
80%
18
2
81%
16
3
82%
16
2
78%
20
2
79%
19
1
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
81%
18
2
83%
16
-
75%
21
4
79%
20
2
81%
17
2
82%
16
2
78%
20
2
81%
18
1
80%
18
2
74%
20
6
11
44. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
79%
15
6
97%
2
1
77%
17
6
81%
14
6
80%
16
4
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
81%
14
5
86%
10
4
81%
14
5
77%
17
6
73%
19
9
79%
16
5
71%
21
8
78%
16
5
69%
21
10
79%
14
7
45. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
60%
37
4
69%
29
1
59%
38
4
68%
28
4
58%
38
4
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
62%
36
2
62%
36
2
52%
39
9
59%
39
2
54%
43
3
59%
37
4
60%
37
3
68%
30
2
56%
40
4
60%
33
7
46. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
63%
29
8
79%
17
4
66%
26
8
75%
18
7
65%
29
6
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
66%
27
7
67%
29
4
54%
35
11
62%
32
6
53%
38
9
61%
32
6
66%
25
9
70%
25
5
61%
31
8
60%
23
16
12
47. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has strong leadership qualities or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
69%
26
5
90%
10
1
79%
17
5
82%
14
5
66%
28
6
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
70%
26
4
70%
27
3
67%
26
7
67%
29
4
61%
35
4
71%
26
3
67%
26
7
64%
32
4
71%
24
6
69%
20
10
48. Would you say that - John Kasich has strong leadership qualities or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
58%
26
16
64%
20
16
65%
22
14
67%
23
10
52%
28
20
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
58%
28
14
58%
24
18
59%
17
24
51%
34
15
55%
26
19
61%
28
12
55%
24
21
72%
17
11
53%
30
17
71%
14
15
49. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
78%
20
3
81%
17
2
76%
21
3
79%
19
3
83%
16
1
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
81%
16
2
75%
24
1
74%
24
2
83%
13
4
66%
31
3
81%
17
1
73%
24
4
74%
22
4
87%
10
3
75%
22
3
13
50. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
62%
34
4
66%
32
3
66%
31
3
64%
33
3
62%
34
5
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
65%
31
4
58%
41
2
54%
43
3
63%
34
4
59%
37
4
66%
32
2
59%
36
5
65%
33
1
62%
33
5
63%
29
8
51. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
86%
11
3
99%
1
-
88%
10
2
84%
12
4
94%
6
1
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
85%
12
4
90%
6
3
89%
10
2
80%
13
6
89%
9
2
93%
6
-
76%
18
6
84%
13
2
78%
18
4
81%
14
5
52. Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or
not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
66%
31
3
71%
29
-
69%
28
3
74%
24
2
66%
32
2
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
68%
29
2
65%
30
5
56%
37
7
62%
36
2
58%
37
4
63%
31
6
68%
31
1
76%
21
3
61%
36
3
74%
22
4
14
53. Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
73%
22
5
82%
18
-
76%
19
5
83%
14
4
75%
21
4
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
76%
20
4
74%
22
4
63%
28
9
72%
24
4
62%
31
8
72%
24
4
74%
20
6
79%
17
4
70%
24
6
72%
19
10
54. Would you say that - Ted Cruz cares about the needs and problems of people like you or
not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
67%
28
6
88%
12
-
73%
22
5
79%
16
5
67%
28
5
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
70%
25
5
64%
33
3
53%
39
8
65%
29
7
55%
38
6
65%
30
5
68%
26
6
67%
29
4
67%
27
7
71%
23
7
55. Would you say that - John Kasich cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
62%
23
15
69%
19
13
62%
23
15
65%
21
14
60%
25
15
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
63%
24
14
62%
23
15
62%
18
20
59%
27
15
61%
22
17
63%
28
10
62%
18
20
79%
11
10
56%
28
16
69%
14
17
15
56. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of experience to be President
or not?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
93%
6
1
91%
8
1
92%
7
1
94%
5
1
96%
3
1
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
93%
6
1
97%
2
1
91%
8
1
97%
3
1
93%
6
1
97%
3
-
92%
7
1
89%
10
2
92%
8
-
92%
8
1
57. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President or
not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
60%
37
3
70%
25
5
58%
41
2
58%
38
3
61%
37
2
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
61%
35
3
58%
40
2
55%
43
2
61%
37
2
60%
38
2
62%
34
4
58%
40
2
60%
38
1
61%
36
4
58%
37
5
58. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has the right kind of experience to be President
or not?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
74%
18
7
82%
12
6
79%
17
4
71%
20
9
74%
21
5
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
75%
18
7
84%
8
8
75%
19
6
74%
18
8
71%
20
9
75%
17
8
71%
22
8
70%
25
5
64%
29
7
75%
17
9
16
59. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
74%
23
3
79%
15
7
71%
23
6
81%
15
4
73%
24
3
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
75%
22
3
77%
19
4
67%
29
4
72%
26
3
71%
28
1
75%
22
3
73%
24
3
82%
17
1
70%
26
4
72%
24
4
60. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of experience to be President or
not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
54%
39
7
58%
36
6
59%
35
7
66%
27
7
53%
38
9
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
55%
39
6
55%
41
5
50%
39
11
54%
40
6
45%
51
4
51%
43
5
56%
36
9
61%
33
6
51%
42
7
54%
36
10
61. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
68%
26
6
94%
2
4
75%
19
6
82%
13
5
64%
29
7
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
71%
23
6
69%
26
5
58%
35
7
69%
24
7
62%
35
4
68%
26
6
68%
25
6
68%
30
2
67%
25
8
64%
28
8
17
62. Would you say that - John Kasich has the right kind of experience to be President or
not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
59%
25
16
63%
20
17
61%
25
14
65%
22
13
58%
27
15
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
58%
26
16
62%
23
16
62%
21
17
56%
26
18
56%
25
19
62%
27
12
56%
23
21
73%
16
11
54%
29
17
65%
22
13
63. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton shares your values or not?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
75%
21
4
75%
22
3
69%
26
5
80%
17
3
81%
16
3
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
76%
20
4
70%
26
4
71%
26
3
82%
13
5
72%
24
4
81%
19
-
72%
23
5
76%
21
3
82%
14
4
72%
25
4
64. Would you say that - Donald Trump shares your values or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
60%
34
6
68%
25
7
61%
34
5
57%
37
6
68%
28
4
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
62%
31
6
60%
36
4
50%
44
5
59%
35
6
54%
39
7
67%
30
3
53%
39
8
58%
39
3
61%
32
7
59%
34
7
18
65. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders shares your values or not?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
82%
13
4
98%
2
-
82%
13
5
83%
13
4
91%
8
2
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
83%
13
4
90%
8
2
85%
13
2
78%
15
8
79%
16
5
90%
8
2
71%
21
7
79%
16
5
71%
21
8
78%
17
6
66. Would you say that - Jeb Bush shares your values or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
69%
25
5
72%
23
5
74%
21
5
75%
21
4
67%
28
5
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
72%
24
4
73%
22
4
62%
31
8
66%
29
5
67%
27
6
66%
29
5
73%
22
5
76%
20
4
66%
28
6
72%
22
7
67. Would you say that - Marco Rubio shares your values or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
70%
23
8
77%
22
2
75%
21
5
84%
14
2
67%
24
9
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
72%
21
7
65%
25
9
60%
29
11
71%
24
5
59%
30
11
68%
25
7
71%
21
9
78%
17
5
66%
25
9
74%
18
8
19
68. Would you say that - Ted Cruz shares your values or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
67%
27
6
92%
6
2
76%
20
3
81%
14
5
69%
26
4
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
70%
24
5
62%
32
7
53%
38
9
68%
28
4
52%
40
8
69%
28
3
64%
27
9
66%
30
5
67%
26
7
71%
22
6
69. Would you say that - John Kasich shares your values or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
57%
23
21
59%
20
21
62%
21
17
60%
20
20
58%
25
16
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
56%
25
20
57%
23
20
61%
16
23
52%
26
22
52%
22
25
58%
28
14
55%
18
27
73%
14
13
51%
26
23
68%
14
18
70. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton would have a good chance of defeating the
Republican nominee in the general election for President or not?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
83%
13
4
85%
8
7
86%
12
2
81%
13
6
86%
9
5
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
85%
10
5
83%
13
4
79%
16
5
88%
8
3
76%
23
1
88%
9
3
79%
17
4
81%
15
4
86%
9
5
81%
15
4
20
71. Would you say that - Donald Trump would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
nominee in the general election for President or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
77%
18
5
72%
18
10
77%
20
4
78%
14
8
81%
14
5
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
78%
17
5
74%
21
5
73%
20
7
79%
17
4
74%
25
2
77%
17
6
77%
18
5
79%
18
2
77%
17
6
77%
16
7
72. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders would have a good chance of defeating the
Republican nominee in the general election for President or not?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
69%
22
10
77%
14
9
73%
21
5
65%
22
13
60%
33
7
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
69%
22
10
78%
14
8
64%
25
11
76%
16
8
68%
22
10
70%
22
8
63%
26
10
59%
30
11
67%
22
11
73%
16
11
73. Would you say that - Jeb Bush would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
32%
60
8
36%
53
11
35%
57
8
37%
53
10
32%
60
7
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
33%
59
8
31%
61
8
28%
65
7
30%
63
7
30%
67
4
36%
57
7
29%
63
8
37%
56
7
30%
62
8
36%
56
9
21
74. Would you say that - Marco Rubio would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
61%
30
9
71%
23
6
68%
24
7
74%
17
8
57%
32
11
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
63%
29
8
58%
33
9
53%
34
13
63%
31
6
52%
41
7
61%
32
7
60%
28
11
65%
29
7
60%
31
10
62%
27
11
75. Would you say that - Ted Cruz would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
60%
32
8
84%
8
8
67%
25
8
78%
14
8
55%
34
11
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
64%
29
7
57%
37
6
45%
43
12
61%
30
9
48%
47
6
64%
30
7
57%
33
10
53%
38
8
63%
29
9
60%
31
9
76. Would you say that - John Kasich would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
35%
53
12
41%
53
6
36%
51
13
39%
50
11
33%
55
12
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
34%
55
11
29%
63
8
37%
48
15
32%
56
12
33%
55
12
34%
58
8
35%
49
16
42%
46
12
32%
56
12
49%
38
13
22
77. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Thinking about the Democratic nominee for president
in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values,
cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is
honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of
winning?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Shares values
Cares needs/problems
Strong leadership
Honest/trustworthy
Right experience
Best chance/winning
DK/NA
Shares values
Strong leadership
Honest/trustworthy
Right experience
Best chance/winning
DK/NA
14%
30
15
16
14
8
3
18%
38
14
10
9
11
-
14%
30
13
18
13
8
4
14%
30
17
15
14
7
2
21%
21
16
14
14
12
2
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
13%
31
14
17
14
8
3
17%
34
9
18
13
7
2
16%
29
16
16
12
9
2
11%
34
13
18
15
5
4
19%
29
18
13
12
5
3
18%
30
9
11
16
10
6
10%
27
18
23
16
5
2
12%
30
20
14
14
9
1
12%
22
22
18
13
6
7
11%
35
15
17
14
5
3
78. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Thinking about the Republican nominee for
president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares
your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership
qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best
chance of winning?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Shares values
Strong leadership
Honest/trustworthy
Right experience
Best chance/winning
DK/NA
Shares values
Strong leadership
Honest/trustworthy
Right experience
Best chance/winning
DK/NA
22%
14
26
23
4
9
3
23%
15
25
22
3
9
3
25%
10
19
28
3
11
3
29%
7
20
29
1
10
3
20%
17
30
19
3
8
2
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
20%
13
27
25
3
9
3
24%
28
21
16
2
9
1
27%
18
23
17
7
6
2
24%
8
28
27
6
6
2
18%
17
28
23
6
6
2
23%
13
22
24
3
11
4
21%
14
30
22
5
7
2
23%
12
23
18
5
16
2
21%
15
28
25
2
6
3
14%
7
26
29
3
13
8
23
79. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you
in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination for President: the economy and
jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate
change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes?
LIBERAL..... Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Economy and jobs
Terrorism
Immigration
Federal deficit
Health care
Foreign policy
Climate change
Race relations
Abortion
Gun policy
Taxes
DK/NA
Economy and jobs

Terrorism
Immigration
Federal deficit
Health care
Foreign policy
Climate change
Race relations
Abortion
Gun policy
Taxes
DK/NA
45%
5
3
2
13
7
8
4
2
3
3
5
36%
4
2
3
14
6
11
6
6
4
3
4
49%
5
3
3
7
8
10
4
4
2
3
42%
5
2
2
18
6
6
4
4
3
3
6
47%
3
1
3
9
11
9
6
5
3
1
3
PARTYID...
Dem
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
Wht
NonWht
43%
6
2
3
14
8
7
5
3
3
3
3
46%
4
4
2
10
4
10
5
3
4
4
4
46%
3
2
3
13
8
10
2
3
4
2
3
45%
8
4
1
14
6
3
5
1
2
4
6
52%
2
5
1
11
5
10
1
4
9
45%
6
1
7
9
13
5
2
7
1
4
50%
5
5
3
15
7
4
2
1
2
3
4
51%
3
3
4
16
9
4
1
2
2
1
4
34%
10
2
16
9
9
6
1
6
2
5
44%
6
4
2
16
5
7
3
4
3
6
24
80. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you
in deciding who to support for the Republican nomination for President: the economy and
jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate
change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Economy and jobs
Terrorism
Immigration
Federal deficit
Health care
Foreign policy
Climate change
Race relations
Abortion
Gun policy
Taxes
DK/NA
Economy and jobs

Terrorism
Immigration
Federal deficit
Health care
Foreign policy
Climate change
Race relations
Abortion
Gun policy
Taxes
DK/NA
36%
18
7
7
3
10
1
4
6
2
6
27%
21
13
9
3
2
2
5
13
2
3
26%
21
9
8
5
14
6
5
1
6
26%
25
10
6
3
8
8
5
1
7
37%
14
10
10
4
10
1
2
6
3
3
PARTYID...
Rep
Ind
AGE IN YRS.......
18-44 45-64 65+
35%
19
7
7
3
9
1
5
6
2
5
40%
11
6
6
1
15
1
2
4
9
4
2
37%
15
6
7
2
14
1
1
2
6
3
6
37%
21
9
8
4
7
3
4
1
7
43%
16
3
6
2
13
1
1
3
4
3
5
38%
16
8
9
2
6
1
1
2
8
3
6
33%
21
6
6
4
14
6
3
2
5
42%
14
4
11
2
10
1
1
5
2
5
2
32%
20
8
6
4
10
1
4
7
1
7
27%
21
6
8
7
11
1
7
3
2
7
25

Quinnipiac Poll - National 2-17-16

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Quinnipiac Poll - National 2-17-16

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Tim Malloy, Assistant Director,

Quinnipiac University Poll

FOR RELEASE: FEBRUARY 17, 2016

TRUMP SURGES TO 2-1 LEAD AMONG REPUBLICANS NATIONWIDE,

Quinnipiac University Poll/February 17, 2016 page 2

Economy and jobs

Economy and jobs

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