Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Bachelor Thesis
Abstract
The main focus of this thesis is to assess the impact of divestitures on company performance
and also to investigate effects of announcement on share price ex post. The factors that lead to
such restructuring decisions could be a partial explanation to the issue at question. Research
on divestitures has shown that the main determinant for divestment decisions is poor firm
performance. In order to study the relationship between a divestiture announcement and a
companys business health various accounting ratios are studied prior to the divestiture
announcement and compared with subsequent firm performance indicators. In addition,
announcement effects on share price will be examined through testing for abnormal returns in
the post-announcement period.
Table of Contents
1 Introduction
4
4
10
6 Conclusion
References
Appendix
11
1
1 Introduction
2
2. Corporate Divestiture: Definition and Types
In a spin-off, the shareholders of the divesting entity become shareholders of the new, independent one.
In an equity carve-out, the shares of the divested subsidiary are sold via an IPO.
3
2.2 Discrepancies between sell-offs, spin-offs and equity carve-outs
The most common type of divestiture is a sell-off in which an entire division of a company is
sold to another. The parent company can also opt for a spin-off, which involves allocation of
shares of the subsidiary to be divested between the existing shareholders. Another possibility
is an equity carve-out, in which a portion of the new shares are sold in an IPO, whilst the rest
is kept by the parent firm. Typically the restructuring process in the aforementioned
divestment decisions leads to increased focus on the core businesses, leaving less significant
units out. For instance, ownership is transferred to existing shareholders in spin-off
transactions. In a sell-off, the ``buyer`` company supplies external financing and undertakes
control over the subsidiary. Only in the case of equity carve-outs there is still involvement in
the divested units business activities (Slovin et al. 1995).
There is ample research conducted on the different types of divestment decisions as
well as the information that each one conveys. Evidence is conclusive that the announcement
of either one yields positive returns for the parent company. However, the benefits stem from
various reasons that are not relevant for the analysis in this paper. No distinction has been
made between the type of divestiture announced in the sample applied to this study.
4
3 Underlying Factors Leading to Divestment Decisions
In the following sub-sections, I will briefly summarize literature on the possible triggers of
firms decision to divest that subsequently suggests the effect on firm performance and share
price. These factors can be grouped in two main groups that follow as sub-sections, namely,
external and internal. The external causes are merely discussed to provide a more thorough
representation of the spectrum of possible impact on decisions to divest.
5
3.2 Internal Determinants
6
firm performance, investors are disadvantaged as poor firm health is not revealed to them(Cho
& Cohen 1997).
7
4.2 Firms operating performance and testing
In order to assess the performance of each firm various ratios are extracted for the sample of
companies.
In view of measuring profitability, the return on assets and return on equity3, are compared.
The average of these ratios for the three years prior to the divestiture announcement is then
compared with the same for the post-divestiture period. Subsequently, the percentage change
is calculated and examined.
Similarly, to evaluate the liquidity the same technique is applied to the current ratio4.
It is an indicator of the ability of the company to cover short-term liabilities with currently
available cash and disposable assets.
Likewise, the leverage is assessed applying the same methodology through the debt
ratio5.
(1)
(2)
rst depicts the return of stock s on day t. The systematic risk measured by the beta of each
stock s ( s ) is multiplied by the return on the market for day t . Furthermore, a firm-specific
Return on assets (ROA) is net profit after taxes divided by total assets.
Return on equity (ROE) equals net profit after taxes divided by total equity.
4
Current ratio equals current assets divided by current liabilities
5
Debt ratio equals total debt divided by total assets
8
element ( st ) is added and the noise term st accounts for unexplained fluctuations.
Subsequently, equation (3):
Rst = a st + s Rmt
(3)
represents the expected return on the stock in question. The value of the noise term is zero and
thus, has been excluded from equation (3).
R st and Rmt are the realized returns on the stock and the market respectively. The S&P 500
daily index prices retrieved from the Thomson Datastream and the corresponding daily
returns have been calculated and aligned to match the corresponding stock prices of each
company within the time span of two year (one year before and one year after the
announcement).
The abnormal return on stock s on day t ( ARst ) is precisely the difference between
realized return on day t ( rst ) and expected R st calculated through ( st + s rmt ) .
st and s are the single-index model intercept and slope coefficients estimated by the OLS
for each firm over a 200 day period starting 1 year before the divestiture announcement day.
CARsti =
1 n
n s =1
( AR )
ti
s
(4)
CAR ti
CAR / n
(5)
ti
5 Results
Table 2 in the Appendix shows the results on the various ratios of firm performance. Data for
some companies was unavailable and thus, the sample for these may be lower.
The percentage change of the profitability measurements of ROA and ROE are
19,57% and 18,70% which is in line with the reasoning that divestments enhance firm
performance. Indeed, the three years prior to the divestment announcement show lower
values. The p-values for the increase are not significant on the 5% level, but on the 10%. Yet,
due to the complexity within each divestment decision, these results give a representative
picture that the profitability of companies increases as a result of the divestment decision.
However, this increase can also be inherent to a firm that decreases the proportion of assets by
ridding itself from some divisions.
In line with the implied improvement of the firm performance, the liquidity indicator
should increase, which is not the case for the sample. In fact a decrease of 10,18% is the
average change of the ratio. This is not surprising as it can be due to increased debt financing
needed for boosting the operations of the company, which consequently results in lower
current ratio. Yet, the significance of the results, measured through the p-value show that the
decrease is rather unlikely (p-value=0,04478).
The measure of leverage shows on average a decrease in the ratio by 6.11%. Such a
decrease should be expected if the performance of the firm is enhanced. Yet, the outcome is
10
not of statistical significance (p-value=0,42634). The rationale behind this result can be biased
due to unforeseen changes of financing policy within each firm.
To sum up, the profitability of the companies increases as a result of the divestment
implementation, but this does not necessarily involve improvement of firm performance as a
certain percentage of assets are divested away. This indicator confirms the conclusions of
previous studies that performance of firms is boosted through the restructuring element.
Whilst, the other measures show mixed result, this is not unanticipated due to the different
nature of each business.
The outcome for the analysis of the response of the market to the announcement of divestiture
is summarized in Table 3 of the Appendix.
The numbers show that in all time periods there is an increase of the average share
price in the days after the announcement. Between day (-1,3) and day (-1,5) there is a jump in
the average returns from 1,44% to 2,4% and then this value decreases to 1,31% over the
period day (-1,10). Furthermore, as shown in the period of day (-1,20), this value approaches
0, which would imply that the stock price has reached its fair value in the eyes of the
shareholders. This is in accordance with previous studies analyzing the shocks due to
announcement of the divestments. Yet, the statistical significance of the results show p-values
around 0.85 which means that the outcome is not supported on a statistically significant level.
Therefore, the hypothesis H 0 : CAR ti = 0 cannot be rejected. Nevertheless, the p-values
approach statistically significant level and might be incorrect due to insufficient sources of the
information on the divestitures.
11
6 Conclusion
This paper attempts to assess the firm performance change as a result of the divestiture
announcement in the first part of the analysis and the market response to the information
conducted in the second.
The random selection of the sample of thirty-eight companies, listed on NYSE,
NASDAQ, or AMEX that have announced a divestment decision between 1998 and 2005, is
the sample applied in this study. The findings in this paper show that the profitability of the
firms increases after the divestment restructuring. Yet, whether or not this is due to the
divestiture or the decreased asset side on the balance sheet as a result of the divestiture is
questionable. For that purpose an analysis in terms of the percentage of assets divested should
be taken into account and can be a ground for future research. The liquidity and leverage
indicators are not statistically significant.
Subsequently, testing the hypothesis for existence of abnormal returns does not
confirm the existence of a short-term shock to shareholder return. However, the explanation
of this effect may be due to other factors. The findings of (Klein 1986), for example, suggest
that the divestiture-announcement effects on stock price of a sell-off firm is significantly
different from zero only if the price of the transaction is also revealed. This is also only
relevant for announcement of this price in the initial divestiture disclosure date. Therefore, a
more thorough distinction between the nature and/or characteristics of the inherent divestiture
decision should be made.
In summary, a relationship between divestitures and subsequent improvement of firm
performance is not supported by the analysis of the accounting indicator. Nonetheless,
excluding unprofitable divisions is a corporate restructuring that focuses on optimal allocation
of resources. A discrepancy between the ratios of assets divested to total assets should be
considered. Furthermore, announcements should also be analyzed in more detail, as
statistically insignificant results for the existence of a shock to short-term shareholder wealth
have not embraced the character of the announcements.
12
References
Boot AWA (1992) Why Hang on to Losers? Divestitures and Takeovers. The Journal of
Finance 47:1401-1423
Borde SF, Madura J, Akhigbe A (1998) Valuation Effects of Foreign Divestitures. Managerial
and Decision Economics 19:71-79
Boudreaux KJ (1975) Divestiture and Share Price. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative
Analysis 10:619-626
Brauer M (2006) What Have We Acquired and What Should We Acquire in Divestiture
Research? A Review and Research Agenda. Journal of Management 32:751-785
Buchholtz AK, Lubatkin M, O'Neill HM (1999) Seller Responsiveness to the Need to Divest.
Journal of Management 25:633-652
Cho MH, Cohen MA (1997) The Economic Causes and Consequences of Corporate
Divestiture. Managerial and Decision Economics 18:367-374
Duhaime IM, Grant JH (1984) Factors Influencing Divestment Decision-Making: Evidence
from a Field Study. Strategic Management Journal 5:301-318
Hopkins HD (1991) Acquisition and divestiture as a response to competitive position and
market structure. Journal of Management Studies 28:665-677
Hoskisson RE, Johnson RA, Moesel DD (1994) Corporate Divestiture Intensity in
Restructuring Firms: Effects of Governance, Strategy, and Performance. The
Academy of Management Journal 37:1207-1251
Ilmakunnas P, Topi J (1999) Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Influences on Entry and
Exit of Firms. Review of Industrial Organization 15:283-301
Jensen MC (1993) The Modern Industrial Revolution, Exit, and the Failure of Internal
Control Systems. The Journal of Finance 48:831-880
Klein A (1986) The Timing and Substance of Divestiture Announcements: Individual,
Simultaneous and Cumulative Effects. The Journal of Finance 41:685-696
Markides CC (1992a) Consequences of Corporate Refocusing: Ex Ante Evidence. The
Academy of Management Journal 35:398-412
Markides CC (1992b) The Economic Characteristics of De-diversifying Firms. British Journal
of Management 3:91-100
Montgomery CA, Thomas AR (1988) Divestment: Motives and Gains. Strategic Management
Journal 9:93-97
Montgomery CA, Thomas AR, Kamath R (1984) Divestiture, Market Valuation, and Strategy.
The Academy of Management Journal 27:830-840
Powers E (2001) Spinoffs, Selloffs and Equity Carveouts: An Analysis of Divestiture Method
Choice, Working paper, University of South Carolina
Slovin MB, Sushka ME, Ferraro SR (1995) A comparison of the information conveyed by
equity carve-outs, spin-offs, and asset sell-offs. Journal of Financial Economics 37:89104
Tan G, Yuan L (2003) Strategic incentives of divestitures of competing conglomerates.
International Journal of Industrial Organization 21:673-697
13
Appendix - Table 1 Sample Selected
Company
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
Divestiture
DS Mnemonic Announcement
Date
@SBGI
19-03-1998
@CKFR
01-04-1998
U:CDI
15-04-1998
U:WOR
12-06-1998
@PRGO
29-06-1998
U:HAL
22-01-1999
U:BGC
09-02-2000
AZN
06-03-2000
U:FLS
20-07-2000
U:MAG
27-07-2000
U:SFN
12-09-2000
@LNDC
22-09-2000
@ROIA
09-11-2000
U:IP
30-11-2000
U:TRP
08-05-2001
U:EW
04-06-2001
U:STI
04-12-2001
U:POL
11-01-2002
U:LMT
30-05-2002
U:MWV
24-07-2002
U:APD
14-01-2003
U:LB
31-03-2003
U:WLT
21-07-2003
U:CAG
30-10-2003
U:EVC
15-01-2004
@TSFG
03-02-2004
U:MON
29-03-2004
U:ACV
05-05-2004
U:PH
08-06-2004
U:SJM
26-07-2004
U:CLS
24-09-2004
U:WBS
08-02-2005
U:IFC
14-03-2005
@NEWP
06-04-2005
U:WOC
15-08-2005
U:CIT
30-09-2005
U:NU
07-11-2005
U:ACS
11-11-2005
14
% change ROE
19,57% Mean
38 n
Standard
0,79869 Deviation
1,51022 t-statistic
0,93451 p-value
18,70%
37
0,84277
1,34961
0,91143
% change
Current Ratio
Mean
-10,18%
n
32
Standard
Deviation
0,33923
t-statistic
-1,69772
p-value
0,04478
% change
Debt/Assets
Mean
-6,11%
n
38
Standard
Deviation 2,02867
t-statistic -0,18571
p-value
0,42634
15
Appendix Table 3 Abnormal Returns
DS
Mnemonic
@SBGI
@CKFR
U:CDI
U:WOR
@PRGO
U:HAL
U:BGC
AZN
U:FLS
U:MAG
U:SFN
@LNDC
@ROIA
U:IP
U:TRP
U:EW
U:STI
U:POL
U:LMT
U:MWV
U:APD
U:LB
U:WLT
U:CAG
U:EVC
@TSFG
U:MON
U:ACV
U:PH
U:SJM
U:CLS
U:WBS
U:IFC
@NEWP
U:WOC
U:CIT
U:NU
U:ACS
Cumulative
Average
n
Standard
Deviation
t-statistic
P-values
Day -1, 3
-0,7361%
3,9539%
-0,5112%
-0,5523%
-0,3940%
-0,7212%
-2,6568%
0,8411%
53,2755%
0,2548%
1,1934%
-0,1792%
-2,3652%
1,1642%
0,2387%
1,5748%
0,0997%
1,3026%
-0,1317%
0,3357%
0,3671%
-0,0651%
-0,2385%
-0,1062%
-0,2921%
0,0722%
0,8688%
-0,5661%
-0,0966%
-1,4163%
-0,0940%
0,0836%
0,4604%
1,0812%
-0,6465%
0,0639%
-0,5746%
-0,2900%
Day -1, 5
Day -1, 10
Day -1, 15
Day -1, 20
Day -1, 40
0,0788%
0,2363%
0,1329%
-0,1398%
-0,1687%
3,4624%
1,9013%
0,9678%
0,9394%
0,0125%
-0,6320%
-0,6892%
-0,6863%
-0,4013%
-0,6923%
-0,9987%
-0,7944%
-0,4696%
-0,5269%
-0,2743%
-0,1771%
-0,8734%
-0,3373%
-0,3296%
-0,0632%
-0,7981%
0,2254%
0,0876%
-0,1833%
0,3923%
-1,8933%
0,0667%
1,1671%
0,5562%
-0,0892%
2,1335%
1,2546%
1,1124%
0,7746%
0,4456%
87,7376%
47,4359%
27,1995%
-1,5300%
4,1643%
0,3763%
0,3549%
0,9890%
0,9554%
0,7967%
0,7579%
-0,2024%
-0,1977%
-0,1527%
0,1366%
0,2245%
0,0933%
-1,0918%
-0,2788%
-0,4053%
-1,0311%
-1,1332%
0,0104%
0,4956%
0,7014%
0,4073%
0,7522%
1,0233%
0,9808%
0,2144%
0,2158%
0,2229%
0,0377%
0,1171%
0,1147%
0,9884%
0,4065%
0,4326%
0,6052%
0,2202%
0,0028%
-0,1784%
-0,1252%
-0,0611%
-0,0314%
0,2988%
0,5908%
0,5040%
0,3545%
0,3188%
0,2789%
0,4723%
0,6995%
0,6450%
0,0052%
-0,8963%
-0,5632%
-0,5414%
-0,8999%
-0,4075%
0,1832%
0,0144%
0,1762%
0,1674%
-0,0074%
0,0878%
0,0359%
-0,1618%
-0,0020%
0,2182%
0,1580%
-0,0813%
0,0644%
0,0267%
-0,3432%
-0,1011%
0,0833%
0,1041%
0,1112%
0,1630%
0,0728%
-0,6347%
-0,3923%
-0,1976%
-0,4634%
0,1729%
0,1116%
0,1950%
0,0448%
-0,0211%
0,5234%
0,3051%
0,1724%
0,1459%
-0,0737%
-0,3935%
-0,3377%
-0,2711%
-0,0877%
0,0823%
-0,1108%
-0,1027%
0,0587%
0,0310%
0,0776%
-0,5908%
0,0017%
0,0977%
0,1064%
0,0224%
0,3726%
0,0915%
-0,1863%
0,2036%
0,4138%
-0,0034%
-0,0639%
-0,1448%
-0,0362%
0,0643%
0,4779%
0,4743%
0,1800%
-0,1171%
-0,1028%
1,0383%
0,7983%
0,3561%
-0,1691%
-0,1442%
-0,4757%
-0,3344%
-0,2359%
-0,4423%
-0,1104%
0,0922%
-0,0752%
0,1412%
0,0954%
0,1730%
-0,4931%
0,1341%
0,1005%
0,0772%
0,1564%
-0,3160%
-0,1623%
-0,2554%
-0,1769%
0,0889%
1,4368%
38
2,4008%
38
1,3115%
38
0,8135%
38
0,0448%
38
0,1470%
38
0,087046
1,017503
0,845543
0,142449
1,038944
0,850585
0,077054
1,049213
0,85296
0,044244
1,133453
0,871488
0,00495
0,55749
0,711404
0,007327
1,236506
0,891865