World Agricultural Production

United States
Department of
Agriculture
Foreign
Agricultural
Service
Circular Series
WAP 1-16
January 2016
World Agricultural
Production
South Africas Corn: Area and Production Down due to Lack of Rain
South
Africas
2015/16
corn
production forecast was reduced to
8.0 million metric tons, down 4.0
million tons from last month and
down 2.8 million from last year.
Harvested area is forecast at 2.2
million hectares, down 0.8 million
hectares from last month and last
year. The forecast yield is 3.63 tons
per hectare, down 10 percent from the
5-year average.
Area was significantly reduced due to
insufficient start-of-season rainfall for
planting and emergence in the western
corn belt. Sparse rainfall from
October through December hampered
planting and emergence during the
optimal planting season. Planting
typically begins after sufficient
rainfall has been received.
Landsat-8 satellite imagery shows
mostly bare fields in the western corn
belt at the end of December. In
addition, vegetative indices from
MODIS
(Moderate
Resolution
Imaging Spectroradiometer) satellite
imagery showed very little vegetation
emerged by early January, especially within the western corn belt of western Free State and
North-west provinces.
A lack of rainfall delayed planting by 40 days or more in the eastern corn belt of KwaZulu-Natal,
Mpumalanga, and eastern Free State provinces. Below average yields are expected within the
Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board
eastern corn belt due to delayed planting and below average rainfall during the current growing
season. (For more information, please contact Curt.Reynolds@fas.usda.gov.)
China Corn: Production Rebounds from Last Years Drought Stricken Crop
Chinas 2015/16 corn production
estimate was revised slightly this
month to a record 224.6 million
metric tons, up 8.9 million tons from
last year due to higher planted area
and improved yield. Harvested area
is estimated at 38.1 million hectares,
up 1.0 million hectares from last year
and is the tenth consecutive year-toyear area increase. Yield is estimated
at 5.89 tons per hectare, up 1.4
percent from last year but down 2.0
percent from the record set in
2013/14.
The revision is based on data
published by Chinas National
Bureau of Statistics in December. Although province level data for 2015/16 is not yet available,
analysis suggests a significant year-to-year production increase in the Northeast, Chinas most
important corn-growing region, following last years drought. Estimated corn production also
increased in Northwest China (Xinjiang, Gansu, and Shaanxi provinces) and Henan province on
the North China Plain.
Area in China has been steadily increasing in response to government policies that encouraged
grain production, such as subsidies for inputs, a minimum procurement price that is significantly
above the world price, and large government stock purchases. The introduction of new hybrid
varieties has enabled corn planting to extend northward into areas formerly sown to soybeans.
Corn has also replaced cotton, minor grains, and fodder crops that are generally less profitable.
Since 2006, Chinas corn area and production has increased by 36 percent and 48 percent,
respectively. (For more information, please contact Paulette.Sandene@fas.usda.gov.)
2
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
January 2016
Russia Corn: Estimated Production Reduced but Still a Record

Russia corn production for 2015/16 is
estimated at a record 13.0 million metric
tons, down 0.5 million tons from last month
but up 1.7 million tons from last year. The
month-to-month decrease is based on
analysis of harvest data from Rosstat, the
state statistical agency. Harvested area is
estimated at a record 2.65 million hectares,
down slightly from last month but slightly
surpassing last years record. Yield is
estimated at 4.91 tons per hectare, down 1.9
percent from last month, up 13 percent from
last year, and 17 percent above the 5-year
average.
On December 25, Rosstat released preliminary data citing corn output at 12.7 million tons from
harvested area of 2.6 million hectares, with a yield of 4.90 tons per hectare. Final production
data typically is published in April, and for the past four years the final reported output for corn
has surpassed the preliminary figure by at least 0.2 million tons. The difference is most likely
attributable to a combination of end-of-season harvest and routine delays in the collection of
harvest data. The difference between preliminary and final yield, meanwhile, has been
negligible. (For more information, please contact Mark.Lindeman@fas.usda.gov.)
Ukraine Corn: Harvest Approaches Completion
Ukraine corn production for 2015/16 is estimated at 23.5 million metric tons, up 0.5 million tons
from last month but down 5.0 million tons from last year. The revision is based on an increase in
the estimated harvested area, from 4.0 to 4.1 million hectares. Yield is estimated at 5.73 tons per
hectare, virtually unchanged from last month but down 6.8 percent from last year.
Reports from the Ministry of Agricultural Policy and Food indicate that output had reached 23.3
million tons from 4.07 million hectares as of December 18, and that over 98 percent of the
planted area had been harvested by that date. Severe drought prevailed throughout the growing
season in the western half of Ukraine, but the low yields in the western territories were offset by
above normal yields farther east. Preliminary harvest data will be released by the State
Statistical Committee of Ukraine in mid-January. (For more information, please contact
Mark.Lindeman@fas.usda.gov.)
Brazil Soybeans: Production Unchanged at a Record 100 Million Tons
USDA forecasts Brazils 2015/16 soybean production at a record 100.0 million metric tons,
unchanged from last month and up 3.8 million tons from last year. Harvested area is unchanged
and is estimated at a record 33.3 million hectares, up 1.2 million hectares from last year. Yield is
forecast at 3.00 tons per hectare, slightly above the 5-year average.
3
January 2016
Heat and dryness in Mato Grosso and northeastern Brazil has heightened concerns among
forecasters causing some to reduce their estimates. Planting is complete and the high
temperatures may have resulted in some damage to soybeans at pod set and pod fill, especially in
Mato GrossoBrazils largest soybean producing state. IMEAthe state agency in Mato
Grossoconducted an online survey of crop conditions in mid-December and reported that 43
percent were in poor to very poor conditions. IMEA lowered their yield estimate to 3.05 from
3.16 tons per hectare. Early harvest results have been poor. Recent rains in Mato Grosso and
northeastern Brazil may have ameliorated the dryness.
Meanwhile in southern Brazil (Parana, Rio Grande do Sul, and Santa Catarina accounting for 35
percent of production) rains continued boosting yield prospects for soybeans. DERALthe state
agency in Paranaincreased their yield estimates to 3.44 from 3.39 tons per hectare.
Satellite-derived vegetation indices show conditions near normal and slightly below last year for
most areas including Mato Grossoin contrast to the reported crop conditions. Progress of the
soybean crop in Mato Grosso is mixed according to the Crop Enhancement Index (CEI) with
normal progress west of BR-163 and delayed progress east of BR-163. The CEI is a
measurement of biomass differences between the minimal levels during the dry season and the
increased amounts during the rainy season.
4
January 2016
Planting was delayed in western Bahia, a minor area with about 3 percent of national production.
The recent rains at the end of December and continued rains in January will be needed to reach
average yield potential. (For more information, please contact Robert.Tetrault@fas.usda.gov.)
Pakistan Cotton: Estimated Output decreased based on Arrival Data
USDA estimates Pakistans 2015/16 cotton production at 7.2 million bales (480-pound bales),
down 0.8 million bales from last month and down 3.4 million bales from last year. Area
harvested is estimated at 2.8 million hectares, same as last month, and down 0.15 million
hectares from last year. The yield is estimated at 560 kilograms per hectare (kg/ha), down 10
percent from last month, down 28 percent from last year, and down 22 percent from the 5-year
average.
Harvest is almost complete and for two consecutive months, December and January, USDA has
reduced estimated production by 11 and 10 percent, respectively. The major reason for these
downward revisions are continued reports of significantly poor productivity across the major
cotton growing provinces Punjab and Sindh. Yields are reported at record low levels due to
widespread Whitefly and cotton leaf curl virus infestations. Treatment was ineffective because
farmers cutback on chemical use in an effort to reduce costs. Farmers also limited the number of
cotton pickings. Cotton picking labor costs are relatively higher this year, 400 to 500 Rupees per
40 kg, further reducing the farmers cash profit.
Harvest of the early crop (sown in February) started in June; harvest of the late crop (planted in
May) began September. The peak harvest is typically in October. According to the Pakistan
Cotton Ginners Association (PCGA), cumulative seed cotton arrivals at gins at the end of
December are down approximately 33 percent from the same time last year. At the provincial
level, the arrivals are down 45 percent in Punjab and 5 percent in Sindh.
USDA analysis based on satellite-derived vegetation indices show significant variation in
biomass and crop vigor. Early-to-mid season crop conditions were favorable; but conditions
deteriorated beginning in mid-season due to ideal conditions in Punjab for infestations of
Whitefly and Cotton leaf curl virus. (For more information, please contact
Dath.Mita@fas.usda.gov.)
5
January 2016
Philippine Rice: Production Forecast Higher on Revised Typhoon Losses

Philippine 2015/16 rice production is forecast at 11.5 million tons (milled basis), up 0.25 million
tons from last month but down 0.4 million from last year. Harvested area is estimated at 4.65
million hectares, up 0.3 million from last month but down 0.06 million from last year. Yield is
estimated above-average at 3.93 tons per hectare.
Super Typhoon Koppu struck prime rice-growing areas in the northern island of Luzon in midOctober 2015, causing widespread flooding and reports of extensive wind-related crop damage.
The typhoon slowly meandered over the island for seven consecutive days, inundating crops at
or near harvest stage with up to 43 inches of rainfall. Initial post-disaster crop loss estimates
from the government and the International Rice Research Institute (IRRI) indicated up to 1.1
million tons of paddy was lost (0.7 MMT milled basis). Final field assessments from the
Philippine government in December, however, indicated losses were not that high. The
typhoons torrential rains had replenished Luzons main irrigation reservoirs which will enable
greater irrigated crop acreage during the remainder of 2016. The government is forecasting
higher rice area and production in the final two quarters of the 2015/16 growing season as a
result of the improved irrigation supply. Approximately 40 percent of annual rice production
occurs in the January to June period, which marks the last half of the USDA 2015/16 marketing
year. (For more information, please contact Micheal.Shean@fas.usda.gov.)
6
January 2016
World Agricultural Production

U.S. Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service / Office of Global Analysis
International Production Assessment Division (IPAD / PECAD)
Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building
Washington, DC 20250-1051
http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/
Telephone: (202) 720-1156
Fax: (202) 720-1158
This report uses information from the Foreign Agricultural Services (FAS) global network of
agricultural attachs and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign
source materials, and the analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. Estimates of foreign
area, yield, and production are from the International Production Assessment Division, FAS, and
are reviewed by USDAs Inter-Agency Commodity Estimates Committee. Estimates of U.S.
area, yield, and production are from USDAs National Agricultural Statistics Service. Numbers
within the report may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA
estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-549),
January 12, 2016.
Printed copies are available from the National Technical Information Service. Download
an order form at http://www.ntis.gov/products/specialty/usda/fas_a-g.asp, or call NTIS at
1-800-363-2068.
The FAS International Production Assessment Division prepared this report. The next issue of
World Agricultural Production will be released after 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time, February 9, 2016.
Conversion Table
Metric tons to bushels
Wheat, soybeans
Corn, sorghum, rye
Barley
Oats
=
=
=
=
MT * 36.7437
MT * 39.36825
MT * 45.929625
MT * 68.894438
Metric tons to 480-lb bales

Cotton
MT * 4.592917
Metric tons to hundredweight

Rice
1 hectare
1 kilogram
=
Area & weight
=
=
MT * 22.04622
2.471044 acres
2.204622 pounds
7
January 2016
For further information, contact:

U.S. Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
International Production Assessment Division
Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building
Washington, DC 20250-1051
Telephone: (202) 720-1156
Fax: (202) 720-1158
GENERAL INFORMATION
Director
Deputy Director
USDA Remote Sensing Advisor
Sr. Analyst/Satellite Imagery
Archives Manager/Technical Lead
Sr. Analyst/ Technical Lead
Sr. Analyst/ Global Special
Projects Manager/Technical Lead
Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead
GIS Analyst/WAP Coordinator
Ronald Frantz
Robert Tetrault
Glenn Bethel
Curt Reynolds, PhD
202-720-4056
202-720-1071
202-720-1280
202-690-0134
ronald.frantz@fas.usda.gov
robert.tetrault@fas.usda.gov
glenn.bethel@fas.usda.gov
curt.reynolds@fas.usda.gov
Dath Mita, PhD

Jim Crutchfield
202-720-7339
202-690-0135
dath.mita@fas.usda.gov
james.crutchfield@fas.usda.gov
Vacant
Justin Jenkins
202-720-0419
justin.jenkins@fas.usda.gov
COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATION

South America, Argentina and Colombia
Denise McWilliams, PhD
Western and Central Europe
Bryan Purcell
and North Africa
Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine
Mark Lindeman
and other FSU-12 countries
Canada, Caribbean, Sri Lanka
Arnella Trent
and Bangladesh
East Asia, China, and Japan
Paulette Sandene
India, Pakistan, and Nepal
Dath Mita, PhD
Sub-Saharan Africa, Mexico,
Curt Reynolds, PhD
Nigeria and South Africa
S.E. Asia, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Michael Shean
Cambodia, and Vietnam
Brazil, Venezuela, Central America,
Vacant
Australia, New Zealand,
Jim Crutchfield
Papua New Guinea and South Pacific Islands
Middle East, Afghanistan, Iraq,
Bill Baker, PhD
Iran, Syria
Western United States
Justin Jenkins
Eastern United States
Vacant

202-720-0107
202-690-0138
denise.mcwilliams@fas.usda.gov
bryan.purcell@fas.usda.gov
202-690-0143
mark.lindeman@fas.usda.gov
202-720-0881
arnella.trent@fas.usda.gov
202-690-0133
202-720-7339
202-690-0134
paulette.sandene@fas.usda.gov
dath.mita@fas.usda.gov
curt.reynolds@fas.usda.gov
202-720-7366
michael.shean@fas.usda.gov
202-690-0135
james.crutchfield@fas.usda.gov
202-260-8109
william.baker@fas.usda.gov
202-720-0419
justin.jenkins@fas.usda.gov
January 2016
The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for
cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates
(WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.
FAS Reports and Databases:

Current World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:
http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx
Archives World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:
http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7
Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online):
http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx
EU Countries Area & Production Estimates
http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDownload.aspx
Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):
http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx
Export Sales Report:
http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/
Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attach Reports):
http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx
Other USDA Reports:

World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):
http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/
Economic Research Service:
http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops
National Agricultural Statistics Service:
http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

January 2016
Table 01 World Crop Production Summary

Million Metric Tons
Commodity
World
Total
North
North
North
Former
Former
Asia
Asia
Asia
Asia
Asia
South
South
Selected
Selected
Selected
All
Foreign
America
America
America
Soviet
Soviet
(WAP)
(WAP)
(WAP)
(WAP)
(WAP)
America
America
Other
Other
Other
Others
none
none
United
Canada
Mexico
Russia
Ukraine
China
India
Indo-
Paki-
Thai-
Argen-
Brazil
Aus-
South
Turkey
none
none
States
nesia
stan
land
tina
tralia
Africa
---Million metric tons--Wheat

2013/14
715.4
657.2
58.1
37.5
3.4
52.1
22.3
121.9
93.5
0.0
24.2
0.0
10.5
5.3
25.3
1.9
18.8
240.6
2014/15 prel.
725.9
670.8
55.1
29.4
3.7
59.1
24.8
126.2
95.9
0.0
26.0
0.0
12.5
6.0
23.7
1.8
15.3
246.6
Dec
734.9
679.1
55.8
27.6
3.8
60.5
27.0
130.0
88.9
0.0
25.0
0.0
10.5
6.0
26.0
1.5
19.5
252.7
Jan
735.4
679.5
55.8
27.6
3.8
61.0
27.0
130.2
88.9
0.0
25.5
0.0
10.5
5.6
26.0
1.5
19.5
252.5
2013/14
1,281.1
914.0
367.1
28.7
32.0
35.7
40.0
225.4
43.2
9.1
5.4
5.0
35.7
82.6
12.2
15.5
13.1
330.4
2014/15 prel.
1,297.0
919.7
377.2
22.0
32.4
40.4
39.4
222.8
42.0
8.8
5.1
4.9
33.5
87.6
11.7
11.3
9.5
348.6
Dec
1,268.6
900.4
368.2
25.7
31.3
39.0
32.8
231.5
39.1
9.6
5.7
4.8
33.5
84.1
12.7
12.6
14.1
324.0
Jan
1,261.9
895.0
366.9
25.7
31.3
37.3
33.3
231.6
39.1
9.6
5.5
4.8
33.5
84.1
12.7
8.5
14.1
324.1
2013/14
478.5
472.4
6.1
0.0
0.1
0.6
0.1
142.5
106.6
36.3
6.8
20.5
1.0
8.3
0.6
0.0
0.5
148.4
2014/15 prel.
478.3
471.1
7.1
0.0
0.2
0.7
0.0
144.6
104.8
35.6
7.0
18.8
1.0
8.5
0.5
0.0
0.5
149.1
Dec
469.3
463.3
6.1
0.0
0.1
0.7
0.0
145.5
100.0
36.3
6.9
16.4
0.9
8.0
0.2
0.0
0.5
147.6
Jan
470.1
464.0
6.1
0.0
0.1
0.7
0.0
145.8
100.0
36.3
6.9
16.4
0.9
8.0
0.2
0.0
0.5
148.1
2013/14
2,474.9
2,043.6
431.3
66.3
35.5
88.4
62.4
489.9
243.4
45.4
36.4
25.4
47.2
96.2
38.1
17.4
32.3
719.4
2014/15 prel.
2,501.1
2,061.7
439.5
51.4
36.3
100.1
64.2
493.5
242.6
44.4
38.1
23.6
47.0
102.1
35.8
13.0
25.2
744.3
Dec
2,472.8
2,042.8
430.1
53.3
35.2
100.2
59.9
507.0
228.0
45.9
37.6
21.2
44.9
98.1
38.9
14.2
34.1
724.4
Jan
2,467.5
2,038.6
428.8
53.3
35.2
99.0
60.3
507.5
228.0
45.9
37.9
21.2
44.9
97.7
38.9
10.0
34.1
724.6
2013/14
505.2
406.1
99.0
24.0
0.9
13.6
16.7
58.6
36.8
11.5
4.6
0.6
56.9
90.0
5.8
1.9
2.5
81.8
2014/15 prel.
536.5
420.5
116.0
22.5
1.2
13.0
16.3
57.7
33.6
12.1
5.1
0.5
66.1
99.2
4.3
1.8
2.6
84.7
Dec
529.0
411.3
117.7
23.5
1.0
13.3
16.5
54.1
32.0
12.1
3.9
0.6
61.3
102.8
4.0
2.1
2.2
82.0
Jan
526.9
410.8
116.2
23.5
1.0
13.6
16.5
54.4
31.8
12.1
3.5
0.6
61.1
102.8
4.0
1.6
2.2
82.1
2013/14
120.4
107.5
12.9
0.0
0.9
0.0
0.0
32.8
31.0
0.0
9.5
0.0
1.2
8.0
4.1
0.0
2.3
17.6
2014/15 prel.
119.2
102.8
16.3
0.0
1.4
0.0
0.0
30.0
29.5
0.0
10.6
0.0
1.1
7.0
2.3
0.1
3.2
17.7
Dec
103.7
90.7
13.0
0.0
1.0
0.0
0.0
24.3
28.5
0.0
8.0
0.0
1.0
6.5
2.4
0.1
2.7
16.3
Jan
101.6
88.6
12.9
0.0
1.0
0.0
0.0
23.8
28.0
0.0
7.2
0.0
1.0
6.5
2.4
0.1
2.7
16.0
2015/16 proj.
Coarse Grains
2015/16 proj.
Rice, Milled
2015/16 proj.
Total Grains
2015/16 proj.
Oilseeds
2015/16 proj.
Cotton
2015/16 proj.
1/ Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above.

January 2016
Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Production
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
219.86
222.52
224.81
224.83
3.25
3.26
3.27
3.27
715.35
725.91
734.93
735.39
0.46
0.06
9.48
1.31
United States
18.35
18.77
19.06
19.06
3.17
2.94
2.93
2.93
58.11
55.15
55.84
55.84
0.00
0.00
0.69
1.26
Total Foreign
201.51
203.75
205.75
205.78
3.26
3.29
3.30
3.30
657.25
670.76
679.09
679.55
0.46
0.07
8.78
1.31
European Union
25.88
26.79
26.69
26.73
5.59
5.84
5.91
5.91
144.58
156.53
157.66
157.98
0.31
0.20
1.45
0.93
China
24.12
24.07
24.15
24.14
5.06
5.24
5.38
5.39
121.93
126.21
130.00
130.19
0.19
0.15
3.98
3.16
World
none
South Asia
30.00
30.47
30.60
30.60
3.12
3.15
2.91
2.91
93.51
95.85
88.94
88.94
0.00
0.00
-6.91
-7.21
Pakistan
8.66
9.20
9.10
9.18
2.80
2.82
2.75
2.78
24.21
25.98
25.00
25.48
0.48
1.91
-0.50
-1.93
Afghanistan
2.55
2.56
2.55
2.55
1.96
1.96
1.96
1.96
5.00
5.03
5.00
5.00
0.00
0.00
-0.03
-0.50
Nepal
0.77
0.77
0.77
0.77
2.48
2.57
2.34
2.45
1.90
1.98
1.80
1.89
0.09
5.00
-0.09
-4.55
23.40
23.64
25.50
25.60
2.23
2.50
2.37
2.38
52.09
59.08
60.50
61.00
0.50
0.83
1.92
3.25
6.57
6.30
7.00
7.00
3.39
3.93
3.86
3.86
22.28
24.75
27.00
27.00
0.00
0.00
2.25
9.09
12.95
11.92
11.50
11.50
1.08
1.09
1.22
1.22
13.94
13.00
14.00
14.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
7.73
Uzbekistan
1.40
1.40
1.40
1.40
4.86
5.11
5.14
5.14
6.80
7.15
7.20
7.20
0.00
0.00
0.05
0.70
Belarus
0.69
0.73
0.70
0.70
3.06
4.00
3.43
3.43
2.10
2.90
2.40
2.40
0.00
0.00
-0.50
-17.24
10.44
9.48
9.60
9.60
3.59
3.10
2.88
2.88
37.53
29.42
27.60
27.60
0.00
0.00
-1.82
-6.19
India
Former Soviet Union - 12

Russia
Ukraine
Kazakhstan
Canada
South America
Argentina
3.50
4.20
3.50
3.50
3.00
2.98
3.00
3.00
10.50
12.50
10.50
10.50
0.00
0.00
-2.00
-16.00
Brazil
2.20
2.73
2.45
2.45
2.41
2.20
2.45
2.29
5.30
6.00
6.00
5.60
-0.40
-6.67
-0.40
-6.67
Uruguay
0.46
0.40
0.48
0.30
3.32
2.70
3.54
3.33
1.53
1.08
1.70
1.00
-0.70
-41.18
-0.08
-7.06
Australia
12.63
13.81
13.80
13.80
2.00
1.71
1.88
1.88
25.30
23.67
26.00
26.00
0.00
0.00
2.33
9.86
Africa
Egypt
1.35
1.35
1.26
1.26
6.11
6.15
6.43
6.43
8.25
8.30
8.10
8.10
0.00
0.00
-0.20
-2.41
Morocco
3.28
3.06
3.20
3.20
2.13
1.67
2.50
2.50
7.00
5.10
8.00
8.00
0.00
0.00
2.90
56.86
Ethiopia
1.75
1.80
1.80
1.80
2.43
2.44
2.17
2.17
4.25
4.40
3.90
3.90
0.00
0.00
-0.50
-11.36
Algeria
2.00
1.70
2.10
2.10
1.65
1.12
1.29
1.29
3.30
1.90
2.70
2.70
0.00
0.00
0.80
42.11
27.87
Middle East
Turkey
7.70
7.71
7.86
7.86
2.44
1.98
2.48
2.48
18.75
15.25
19.50
19.50
0.00
0.00
4.25
Iran
6.40
6.80
6.80
6.80
2.27
1.91
2.06
2.06
14.50
13.00
14.00
14.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
7.69
Iraq
2.57
2.46
2.45
2.45
1.29
1.42
1.35
1.35
3.30
3.50
3.30
3.30
0.00
0.00
-0.20
-5.71
40.00
Syria
1.55
1.30
1.45
1.45
2.58
1.92
2.41
2.41
4.00
2.50
3.50
3.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
Mexico
0.64
0.71
0.82
0.82
5.29
5.21
4.59
4.59
3.38
3.69
3.78
3.78
0.00
0.00
0.09
2.52
Others
8.06
8.40
8.22
8.22
2.73
2.62
2.56
2.55
22.01
22.02
21.01
20.99
-0.02
-0.08
-1.03
-4.67
World and Selected Countries and Regions

January 2016
Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Production
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
321.60
322.22
321.51
320.17
3.98
4.03
3.95
3.94
1,281.05
1,296.98
1,268.56
1,261.95
-6.62
-0.52
-35.03
-2.70
United States
39.81
37.77
37.66
37.78
9.22
9.99
9.78
9.71
367.09
377.23
368.16
366.90
-1.25
-0.34
-10.33
-2.74
Total Foreign
281.79
284.45
283.85
282.39
3.24
3.23
3.17
3.17
913.96
919.75
900.41
895.05
-5.36
-0.60
-24.70
-2.69
China
38.28
39.18
39.83
40.15
5.89
5.68
5.81
5.77
225.41
222.75
231.50
231.58
0.08
0.03
8.83
3.96
European Union
31.39
30.76
30.46
30.44
5.06
5.55
4.94
4.95
158.92
170.64
150.43
150.68
0.25
0.17
-19.97
-11.70
16.81
16.75
16.78
16.78
4.91
5.23
5.01
5.01
82.60
87.60
84.08
84.08
0.00
0.00
-3.52
-4.02
5.93
5.17
5.30
5.30
6.01
6.48
6.31
6.31
35.67
33.53
33.46
33.46
0.00
0.00
-0.07
-0.21
15.49
16.73
16.10
15.23
2.31
2.41
2.42
2.45
35.74
40.39
39.00
37.32
-1.68
-4.31
-3.07
-7.59
8.79
8.44
7.44
7.50
4.56
4.67
4.41
4.44
40.02
39.39
32.83
33.25
0.43
1.29
-6.14
-15.59
World
none
South America
Brazil
Argentina
Russia
Ukraine
Kazakhstan
2.26
2.31
2.39
2.39
1.55
1.47
1.44
1.44
3.51
3.39
3.44
3.44
0.00
0.00
0.05
1.47
Belarus
1.23
1.21
1.22
1.22
3.10
3.50
3.29
3.29
3.79
4.24
4.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
-0.24
-5.66
Africa
13.25
13.65
13.10
13.10
1.46
1.39
1.37
1.37
19.29
19.02
17.95
17.95
0.00
0.00
-1.07
-5.60
South Africa
3.28
3.25
3.22
2.41
4.73
3.47
3.92
3.55
15.52
11.28
12.62
8.54
-4.08
-32.33
-2.74
-24.27
Tanzania
5.17
5.25
5.25
5.25
1.26
1.18
1.27
1.27
6.51
6.19
6.69
6.69
0.00
0.00
0.50
8.08
Burkina
4.08
3.85
3.85
3.85
1.11
1.12
1.17
1.17
4.54
4.29
4.50
4.50
0.00
0.00
0.21
4.80
Ethiopia
6.16
5.89
5.84
5.84
2.35
2.27
2.12
2.12
14.47
13.35
12.40
12.40
0.00
0.00
-0.95
-7.12
Nigeria
Egypt
0.94
0.97
0.97
0.97
7.10
7.04
7.05
7.05
6.66
6.82
6.86
6.86
0.00
0.00
0.04
0.59
Mali
3.02
3.20
3.20
3.20
1.15
1.41
1.38
1.38
3.48
4.50
4.40
4.40
0.00
0.00
-0.10
-2.22
India
25.24
24.38
24.80
24.80
1.71
1.72
1.58
1.58
43.22
41.97
39.10
39.10
0.00
0.00
-2.87
-6.84
9.09
Southeast Asia
Indonesia
3.12
2.94
3.14
3.14
2.92
2.99
3.06
3.06
9.10
8.80
9.60
9.60
0.00
0.00
0.80
Philippines
2.58
2.56
2.60
2.60
2.91
3.00
3.00
3.00
7.53
7.67
7.80
7.80
0.00
0.00
0.13
1.68
Vietnam
1.18
1.18
1.30
1.30
4.40
4.47
4.62
4.62
5.19
5.28
6.00
6.00
0.00
0.00
0.72
13.64
-2.06
1.15
1.13
1.12
1.12
4.31
4.30
4.25
4.25
4.96
4.86
4.76
4.76
0.00
0.00
-0.10
Mexico
9.39
9.31
9.08
9.08
3.41
3.48
3.45
3.45
32.02
32.39
31.33
31.33
0.00
0.00
-1.07
-3.29
Canada
5.40
4.44
4.87
4.87
5.33
4.95
5.27
5.27
28.75
21.99
25.66
25.66
0.00
0.00
3.67
16.68
Australia
5.19
5.31
5.64
5.64
2.34
2.19
2.25
2.25
12.16
11.65
12.68
12.68
0.00
0.00
1.02
8.79
Turkey
4.24
4.28
4.35
4.35
3.08
2.21
3.24
3.24
13.08
9.48
14.08
14.08
0.00
0.00
4.60
48.55
Iran
2.07
2.01
2.04
2.04
2.59
2.87
2.88
2.88
5.36
5.76
5.86
5.86
0.00
0.00
0.10
1.74
66.19
70.31
69.98
69.84
1.46
1.46
1.42
1.42
96.49
102.53
99.40
99.05
-0.36
-0.36
-3.48
-3.39
Thailand
Middle East
Others
World and Selected Countries and Regions; Coarse Grain includes: Barley, Corn, Millet, Mixed Grains, Oats, Rye and Sorghum

January 2016
Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Production
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
181.19
178.59
177.28
176.79
5.47
5.65
5.49
5.48
991.39
1,008.52
973.87
967.93
-5.94
-0.61
-40.59
-4.02
United States
35.39
33.64
32.64
32.68
9.93
10.73
10.62
10.57
351.27
361.09
346.82
345.49
-1.33
-0.38
-15.61
-4.32
Total Foreign
145.80
144.95
144.63
144.11
4.39
4.47
4.34
4.32
640.12
647.43
627.05
622.45
-4.61
-0.73
-24.99
-3.86
36.32
37.12
37.85
38.12
6.02
5.81
5.94
5.89
218.49
215.65
225.00
224.58
-0.42
-0.19
8.93
4.14
World
none
China
South America
15.80
15.75
15.80
15.80
5.06
5.40
5.16
5.16
80.00
85.00
81.50
81.50
0.00
0.00
-3.50
-4.12
Argentina
3.40
3.20
3.20
3.20
7.65
8.28
8.00
8.00
26.00
26.50
25.60
25.60
0.00
0.00
-0.90
-3.40
Bolivia
0.32
0.32
0.32
0.32
2.30
2.30
2.31
2.31
0.73
0.73
0.73
0.73
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.69
9.66
9.53
9.29
9.29
6.69
7.95
6.22
6.22
64.64
75.79
57.75
57.75
0.00
0.00
-18.04
-23.80
Brazil
European Union
Africa
South Africa
3.08
3.05
3.00
2.20
4.85
3.54
4.00
3.64
14.93
10.80
12.00
8.00
-4.00
-33.33
-2.80
-25.93
Nigeria
4.25
4.15
3.80
3.80
1.81
1.81
1.84
1.84
7.70
7.52
7.00
7.00
0.00
0.00
-0.52
-6.85
Ethiopia
2.68
2.40
2.40
2.40
2.78
2.71
2.50
2.50
7.45
6.50
6.00
6.00
0.00
0.00
-0.50
-7.69
Egypt
0.71
0.75
0.75
0.75
8.12
8.00
8.00
8.00
5.80
5.96
6.00
6.00
0.00
0.00
0.04
0.67
Tanzania
4.12
4.00
4.00
4.00
1.30
1.25
1.38
1.38
5.36
5.00
5.50
5.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
10.00
Malawi
1.68
1.75
1.75
1.75
2.17
2.25
1.64
1.64
3.64
3.93
2.88
2.88
0.00
0.00
-1.05
-26.78
Zambia
1.00
1.21
0.96
0.96
2.57
2.80
2.72
2.72
2.57
3.38
2.62
2.62
0.00
0.00
-0.76
-22.54
Kenya
1.80
1.65
1.70
1.70
1.56
1.61
1.65
1.65
2.80
2.65
2.80
2.80
0.00
0.00
0.15
5.66
Uganda
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.75
2.75
2.60
2.60
2.75
2.75
2.60
2.60
0.00
0.00
-0.15
-5.45
Zimbabwe
0.90
1.30
1.53
1.53
0.89
1.00
0.46
0.46
0.80
1.30
0.70
0.70
0.00
0.00
-0.60
-46.15

Ukraine
4.83
4.63
4.00
4.10
6.40
6.15
5.75
5.73
30.90
28.45
23.00
23.50
0.50
2.17
-4.95
-17.40
Russia
2.32
2.60
2.70
2.65
5.01
4.36
5.00
4.91
11.64
11.33
13.50
13.00
-0.50
-3.70
1.68
14.79
-11.28
South Asia
India
9.07
9.30
9.00
9.00
2.68
2.55
2.33
2.33
24.26
23.67
21.00
21.00
0.00
0.00
-2.67
Pakistan
1.17
1.13
1.15
1.15
4.23
4.15
4.43
4.43
4.94
4.70
5.10
5.10
0.00
0.00
0.41
8.63
Nepal
0.91
0.91
0.90
0.90
2.52
2.54
2.22
2.22
2.28
2.30
2.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
-0.30
-13.04
9.09
Southeast Asia
Indonesia
3.12
2.94
3.14
3.14
2.92
2.99
3.06
3.06
9.10
8.80
9.60
9.60
0.00
0.00
0.80
Philippines
2.58
2.56
2.60
2.60
2.91
3.00
3.00
3.00
7.53
7.67
7.80
7.80
0.00
0.00
0.13
1.68
Vietnam
1.18
1.18
1.30
1.30
4.40
4.47
4.62
4.62
5.19
5.28
6.00
6.00
0.00
0.00
0.72
13.64
-2.08
1.12
1.10
1.09
1.09
4.38
4.36
4.31
4.31
4.90
4.80
4.70
4.70
0.00
0.00
-0.10
Mexico
7.05
7.33
7.00
7.00
3.24
3.48
3.36
3.36
22.88
25.48
23.50
23.50
0.00
0.00
-1.98
-7.77
Canada
1.48
1.23
1.31
1.31
9.59
9.36
10.38
10.38
14.19
11.49
13.60
13.60
0.00
0.00
2.11
18.39
Thailand
Turkey
0.58
0.55
0.62
0.62
8.79
8.73
9.68
9.68
5.10
4.80
6.00
6.00
0.00
0.00
1.20
25.00
Others
23.68
22.34
22.48
22.43
2.26
2.47
2.34
2.34
53.57
55.23
52.58
52.39
-0.19
-0.35
-2.84
-5.14

January 2016
Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Production
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
50.51
49.61
49.97
49.76
2.86
2.85
2.90
2.93
144.38
141.19
145.16
145.83
0.66
0.46
4.64
3.29
United States
1.23
1.01
1.26
1.26
3.84
3.91
3.71
3.71
4.72
3.95
4.67
4.67
0.00
0.00
0.71
18.04
Total Foreign
49.28
48.60
48.71
48.51
2.83
2.82
2.88
2.91
139.66
137.23
140.50
141.16
0.66
0.47
3.93
2.86
12.41
12.39
12.34
12.33
4.81
4.88
4.92
4.95
59.67
60.46
60.73
60.96
0.23
0.38
0.50
0.83
World
none
European Union
Russia
8.02
8.80
8.20
8.05
1.92
2.27
2.04
2.12
15.39
20.03
16.70
17.10
0.40
2.40
-2.93
-14.61
Ukraine
3.23
3.20
2.90
2.90
2.34
2.95
3.00
3.00
7.56
9.45
8.70
8.70
0.00
0.00
-0.75
-7.94
Kazakhstan
1.84
1.91
2.00
2.00
1.38
1.26
1.30
1.30
2.54
2.41
2.60
2.60
0.00
0.00
0.19
7.79
Belarus
0.57
0.63
0.60
0.60
2.94
3.60
3.33
3.33
1.67
2.25
2.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
-0.25
-11.11
0.33
0.30
0.30
0.30
2.50
2.00
2.33
2.33
0.82
0.60
0.70
0.70
0.00
0.00
0.10
16.67
Canada
2.65
2.14
2.35
2.35
3.86
3.33
3.50
3.50
10.24
7.12
8.23
8.23
0.00
0.00
1.11
15.54
Australia
3.81
3.84
4.00
4.00
2.41
2.09
2.18
2.18
9.17
8.01
8.70
8.70
0.00
0.00
0.69
8.56
Azerbaijan
Middle East
Turkey
3.33
3.40
3.40
3.40
2.19
1.18
2.18
2.18
7.30
4.00
7.40
7.40
0.00
0.00
3.40
85.00
Iran
1.64
1.58
1.60
1.60
1.71
2.03
2.06
2.06
2.80
3.20
3.30
3.30
0.00
0.00
0.10
3.13
Iraq
1.07
1.15
1.16
1.16
0.88
0.87
0.91
0.91
0.94
1.00
1.05
1.05
0.00
0.00
0.05
5.00
Syria
1.28
0.50
0.70
0.70
0.71
0.70
0.71
0.71
0.90
0.35
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.15
42.86
Africa
Ethiopia
1.21
1.25
1.20
1.20
1.70
1.68
1.58
1.58
2.05
2.10
1.90
1.90
0.00
0.00
-0.20
-9.52
Morocco
1.69
1.44
1.60
1.60
1.60
1.18
2.19
2.19
2.70
1.70
3.50
3.50
0.00
0.00
1.80
105.88
Algeria
0.90
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.67
1.63
1.30
1.30
1.50
1.30
1.30
1.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Tunisia
0.24
0.58
0.40
0.40
1.31
1.55
1.00
1.00
0.32
0.90
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.00
-0.50
-55.56
South Africa
0.08
0.09
0.10
0.10
3.28
3.55
3.65
3.65
0.27
0.30
0.35
0.35
0.00
0.00
0.05
14.90
South America
Argentina
1.27
0.90
0.95
0.95
3.74
3.22
3.58
3.58
4.75
2.90
3.40
3.40
0.00
0.00
0.50
17.24
Uruguay
0.07
0.10
0.09
0.09
3.50
2.43
3.59
3.59
0.25
0.24
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.09
35.80
Brazil
India
0.11
0.12
0.10
0.10
3.14
2.56
2.80
2.80
0.33
0.30
0.28
0.28
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-6.67
0.70
0.67
0.80
0.80
2.52
2.72
2.00
2.00
1.75
1.83
1.60
1.60
0.00
0.00
-0.23
-12.62
China
0.47
0.47
0.42
0.47
3.65
3.86
3.57
3.62
1.70
1.81
1.50
1.70
0.20
13.33
-0.11
-6.08
Mexico
0.22
0.22
0.23
0.23
2.56
2.56
2.60
2.60
0.55
0.55
0.59
0.59
0.00
0.00
0.04
6.36
Afghanistan
0.28
0.28
0.28
0.28
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Others
1.88
1.86
2.00
1.91
2.16
2.16
2.17
2.19
4.07
4.02
4.35
4.18
-0.17
-3.84
0.17
4.16

January 2016
Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Production
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
World
9.68
9.37
9.69
9.52
2.43
2.38
2.33
2.32
23.50
22.31
22.53
22.10
-0.43
-1.92
-0.22
-0.96
United States
0.41
0.42
0.52
0.52
2.30
2.43
2.52
2.52
0.94
1.02
1.30
1.30
0.00
0.00
0.28
27.58
Total Foreign
9.27
8.95
9.17
9.01
2.43
2.38
2.31
2.31
22.56
21.29
21.23
20.80
-0.43
-2.04
-0.50
-2.33
2.65
2.54
2.63
2.63
3.16
3.09
2.90
2.91
8.38
7.85
7.62
7.64
0.02
0.25
-0.21
-2.61
none
European Union
Russia
3.01
3.08
3.00
2.84
1.64
1.71
1.67
1.60
4.93
5.27
5.00
4.55
-0.45
-9.00
-0.72
-13.61
Ukraine
0.24
0.25
0.20
0.20
1.94
2.49
1.88
1.88
0.47
0.61
0.38
0.38
0.00
0.00
-0.24
-38.52
-14.89
Belarus
0.13
0.14
0.14
0.14
2.65
3.36
2.86
2.86
0.35
0.47
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.00
-0.07
Kazakhstan
0.22
0.19
0.20
0.20
1.39
1.18
1.25
1.25
0.31
0.23
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.02
10.62
1.11
0.93
1.05
1.05
3.51
3.21
3.27
3.27
3.91
2.98
3.43
3.43
0.00
0.00
0.45
15.14
-7.62
Canada
South America
Argentina
0.22
0.25
0.24
0.24
2.07
2.14
2.06
2.06
0.45
0.53
0.49
0.49
0.00
0.00
-0.04
Brazil
0.17
0.15
0.15
0.15
2.24
2.00
2.00
2.00
0.38
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Chile
0.14
0.09
0.09
0.09
4.49
4.68
5.53
5.53
0.61
0.42
0.47
0.47
0.00
0.00
0.05
11.64
Uruguay
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.04
1.41
1.64
1.40
1.40
0.04
0.02
0.06
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.03
143.48
Oceania
Australia
0.72
0.68
0.80
0.80
1.76
1.59
1.63
1.63
1.26
1.09
1.30
1.30
0.00
0.00
0.21
19.60
New Zealand
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
5.60
5.00
6.00
5.67
0.03
0.04
0.04
0.03
0.00
-5.56
0.00
-2.86
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
2.90
3.00
3.00
3.00
0.58
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Algeria
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
1.29
1.29
1.29
1.29
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Morocco
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
1.19
1.19
1.19
1.19
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
South Africa
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
2.19
1.83
1.83
1.83
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Norway
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
3.10
3.42
3.42
3.42
0.21
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Serbia
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
2.20
2.20
2.20
2.20
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Albania
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
2.15
2.08
2.08
2.08
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Bosnia and Herzegovina
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
2.80
2.70
2.73
2.73
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
11.11
0.00
China
Africa
Other Europe
Turkey
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
2.33
2.33
2.33
2.33
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mexico
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
1.80
1.80
1.80
1.80
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Others
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
1.79
1.86
1.79
1.79
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
-3.85

January 2016
Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Production
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
World
5.45
4.99
4.72
4.17
2.89
2.91
2.79
2.87
15.74
14.55
13.19
11.99
-1.20
-9.10
-2.56
United States
0.11
0.10
0.15
0.15
1.72
1.76
2.00
2.00
0.19
0.18
0.29
0.29
0.00
0.00
0.11
59.56
Total Foreign
5.33
4.89
4.58
4.03
2.92
2.94
2.82
2.91
15.55
14.37
12.90
11.70
-1.20
-9.30
-2.67
-18.59
2.58
2.11
1.91
1.91
3.94
4.19
4.00
4.00
10.15
8.86
7.66
7.66
0.00
0.00
-1.20
-13.52
-35.96
-17.60
none
European Union
Russia
1.78
1.85
1.80
1.25
1.89
1.77
1.83
1.68
3.36
3.28
3.30
2.10
-1.20
-36.36
-1.18
Belarus
0.32
0.34
0.33
0.33
2.01
2.79
2.46
2.46
0.65
0.95
0.80
0.80
0.00
0.00
-0.15
-15.79
Ukraine
0.28
0.19
0.15
0.15
2.29
2.57
2.50
2.50
0.64
0.48
0.38
0.38
0.00
0.00
-0.10
-21.05
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
1.10
1.42
1.25
1.25
0.04
0.06
0.05
0.05
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-18.03
Turkey
0.14
0.14
0.14
0.14
2.50
2.50
2.50
2.50
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Canada
0.09
0.09
0.10
0.10
2.56
2.48
2.37
2.37
0.22
0.22
0.23
0.23
0.00
0.00
0.01
3.21
Kazakhstan
South America
Chile
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
5.00
5.00
5.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Argentina
0.04
0.05
0.04
0.04
1.49
1.90
1.56
1.56
0.05
0.10
0.06
0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.04
-42.27
Other Europe
Bosnia and Herzegovina
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
2.25
2.67
2.67
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
-11.11
Switzerland
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
5.00
5.50
5.50
5.50
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Serbia
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.50
2.50
2.50
2.50
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Australia
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.57
0.57
0.61
0.61
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
10.00
Others
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.90
0.93
0.93
0.93
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

January 2016
Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Production
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
38.98
42.85
43.22
43.25
1.57
1.48
1.57
1.58
61.26
63.49
67.96
68.18
0.22
0.32
4.69
7.38
United States
2.67
2.59
3.09
3.18
3.74
4.24
4.87
4.77
9.97
10.99
15.08
15.16
0.08
0.50
4.17
37.95
Total Foreign
36.32
40.26
40.12
40.07
1.41
1.30
1.32
1.32
51.29
52.50
52.87
53.02
0.15
0.27
0.52
0.98
World
none
Africa
Nigeria
5.00
5.50
5.30
5.30
1.32
1.22
1.16
1.16
6.59
6.70
6.15
6.15
0.00
0.00
-0.55
-8.21
Ethiopia
1.82
1.80
1.80
1.80
2.26
2.22
2.11
2.11
4.11
4.00
3.80
3.80
0.00
0.00
-0.20
-5.00
Sudan
4.36
8.63
8.00
8.00
0.52
0.73
0.69
0.69
2.25
6.28
5.50
5.50
0.00
0.00
-0.78
-12.43
Burkina
1.80
1.80
1.80
1.80
1.04
1.02
1.06
1.06
1.88
1.84
1.90
1.90
0.00
0.00
0.06
3.49
Mali
0.94
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.87
1.30
1.30
1.30
0.82
1.30
1.30
1.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Niger
3.10
3.00
3.00
3.00
0.42
0.33
0.37
0.37
1.29
1.00
1.10
1.10
0.00
0.00
0.10
10.00
Cameroon
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
1.44
1.44
1.44
1.44
1.15
1.15
1.15
1.15
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Tanzania
0.71
0.90
0.90
0.90
1.17
0.93
0.93
0.93
0.83
0.84
0.84
0.84
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Egypt
0.14
0.14
0.14
0.14
5.31
5.36
5.36
5.36
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Uganda
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.85
0.86
0.91
0.91
0.30
0.30
0.32
0.32
0.00
0.00
0.02
6.67
Ghana
0.23
0.25
0.25
0.25
1.11
1.17
1.20
1.20
0.25
0.29
0.30
0.30
0.00
0.00
0.01
2.39
Mozambique
0.63
0.62
0.62
0.62
0.30
0.36
0.52
0.52
0.19
0.23
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.10
44.44
South Africa
Mexico
0.08
0.07
0.08
0.06
3.35
1.65
2.87
2.25
0.27
0.12
0.22
0.14
-0.08
-37.21
0.02
15.38
2.07
1.72
1.80
1.80
4.10
3.66
3.97
3.97
8.50
6.27
7.15
7.15
0.00
0.00
0.88
14.04
South America
Argentina
1.00
0.77
0.87
0.87
4.40
4.55
4.48
4.48
4.40
3.50
3.90
3.90
0.00
0.00
0.40
11.43
Brazil
0.73
0.73
0.73
0.73
2.59
2.74
2.74
2.74
1.89
2.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
South Asia
India
5.79
5.50
6.00
6.00
0.96
0.92
0.92
0.92
5.54
5.05
5.50
5.50
0.00
0.00
0.45
8.91
Pakistan
0.20
0.17
0.24
0.24
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.12
0.10
0.15
0.15
0.00
0.00
0.04
40.78
0.52
China
0.58
0.62
0.61
0.61
4.97
4.66
4.26
4.75
2.89
2.89
2.60
2.90
0.30
11.54
0.02
Australia
0.53
0.65
0.70
0.70
2.41
3.23
3.14
3.14
1.28
2.10
2.20
2.20
0.00
0.00
0.10
4.56
European Union
0.14
0.15
0.15
0.15
5.21
6.03
5.50
5.50
0.70
0.88
0.80
0.80
0.00
0.00
-0.08
-9.43
Others
5.33
5.10
4.99
4.95
0.99
0.96
0.99
0.98
5.29
4.92
4.93
4.86
-0.08
-1.52
-0.06
-1.28

January 2016
Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
161.73
160.01
158.78
158.93
4.41
4.46
4.41
4.41
478.54
478.25
469.32
470.12
0.80
0.17
-8.13
-1.70
United States
1.00
1.19
1.04
1.04
8.62
8.49
8.32
8.37
6.12
7.11
6.06
6.11
0.05
0.83
-1.00
-14.06
Total Foreign
160.74
158.82
157.74
157.89
4.39
4.43
4.38
4.38
472.42
471.15
463.26
464.01
0.75
0.16
-7.13
-1.51
China
30.31
30.31
30.35
30.21
6.72
6.81
6.85
6.89
142.53
144.56
145.50
145.77
0.27
0.19
1.21
0.84
Japan
1.62
1.61
1.61
1.61
6.73
6.70
6.74
6.74
7.94
7.84
7.90
7.90
0.00
0.00
0.06
0.74
Korea, South
0.83
0.82
0.80
0.80
6.76
6.91
7.22
7.22
4.23
4.24
4.33
4.33
0.00
0.00
0.09
2.03
Korea, North
0.57
0.57
0.53
0.53
5.07
4.63
4.69
4.69
1.88
1.70
1.60
1.60
0.00
0.00
-0.10
-5.88
India
44.14
43.00
43.00
43.00
3.62
3.66
3.49
3.49
106.65
104.80
100.00
100.00
0.00
0.00
-4.80
-4.58
Bangladesh
11.75
11.79
12.00
12.00
4.39
4.39
4.33
4.33
34.39
34.50
34.60
34.60
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.29
Pakistan
2.79
2.89
2.85
2.85
3.66
3.64
3.63
3.63
6.80
7.01
6.90
6.90
0.00
0.00
-0.11
-1.50
Nepal
1.50
1.56
1.56
1.56
3.37
2.98
2.98
2.98
3.36
3.10
3.10
3.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sri Lanka
1.15
1.15
1.23
1.23
3.63
3.64
3.96
3.96
2.84
2.85
3.30
3.30
0.00
0.00
0.45
15.79
World
none
East Asia
South Asia
Southeast Asia
12.10
11.83
12.16
12.16
4.72
4.73
4.70
4.70
36.30
35.56
36.30
36.30
0.00
0.00
0.74
2.08
Vietnam
7.79
7.79
7.66
7.66
5.79
5.80
5.89
5.89
28.16
28.24
28.20
28.20
0.00
0.00
-0.04
-0.12
Thailand
Indonesia
10.92
10.27
9.65
9.65
2.84
2.77
2.57
2.57
20.46
18.75
16.40
16.40
0.00
0.00
-2.35
-12.53
Burma
7.05
7.03
6.80
6.80
2.65
2.80
2.80
2.80
11.96
12.60
12.20
12.20
0.00
0.00
-0.40
-3.17
Philippines
4.80
4.71
4.35
4.65
3.92
4.02
4.11
3.93
11.86
11.92
11.25
11.50
0.25
2.22
-0.42
-3.48
Cambodia
2.97
3.03
2.90
2.90
2.49
2.43
2.34
2.34
4.73
4.70
4.35
4.35
0.00
0.00
-0.35
-7.45
Laos
0.89
0.96
0.93
0.93
2.94
3.11
3.00
3.00
1.65
1.88
1.75
1.75
0.00
0.00
-0.13
-6.67
Malaysia
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
3.91
4.02
4.04
4.04
1.76
1.80
1.81
1.81
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.56
Brazil
2.40
2.30
2.30
2.30
5.09
5.42
5.12
5.12
8.30
8.47
8.00
8.00
0.00
0.00
-0.47
-5.49
Peru
0.41
0.38
0.40
0.40
7.72
7.73
7.80
7.80
2.16
2.00
2.15
2.15
0.00
0.00
0.15
7.65
South America
Africa
Egypt
0.77
0.65
0.80
0.80
8.94
10.10
7.25
7.25
4.75
4.53
4.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
-0.53
-11.70
Madagascar
1.30
1.45
1.45
1.45
2.78
2.74
2.55
2.55
2.31
2.55
2.37
2.37
0.00
0.00
-0.18
-6.99
Nigeria
2.50
2.70
2.40
2.40
1.76
1.67
1.79
1.79
2.77
2.84
2.71
2.71
0.00
0.00
-0.13
-4.44
European Union
0.43
0.43
0.42
0.43
6.45
6.43
6.58
6.73
1.94
1.90
1.93
2.01
0.08
3.89
0.10
5.42
Iran
0.59
0.60
0.63
0.63
4.24
4.33
4.32
4.32
1.65
1.72
1.78
1.78
0.00
0.00
0.07
3.85
10.47
10.34
10.29
10.27
3.05
3.10
3.08
3.11
21.07
21.12
20.83
20.99
0.16
0.75
-0.13
-0.62
Others
Yield is on a rough basis, before the milling process. Production is on a milled basis, after the milling process.

January 2016
Table 10 Total Oilseed Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
World Total
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
505.15
536.54
528.96
526.93
-2.02
-0.38
-9.61
-1.79
Total Foreign
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
406.13
420.51
411.29
410.76
-0.52
-0.13
-9.75
-2.32
Oilseed, Copra
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
5.43
5.43
5.51
5.51
0.00
0.00
0.07
1.36
Oilseed, Palm Kernel
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
15.77
16.31
16.49
16.52
0.02
0.15
0.21
1.27
230.71
234.40
232.29
231.56
2.10
2.20
2.18
2.18
483.96
514.80
506.96
504.91
-2.05
-0.40
-9.89
-1.92
35.44
38.98
38.71
38.45
2.79
2.98
3.04
3.02
99.02
116.03
117.67
116.17
-1.50
-1.27
0.14
0.12
195.27
195.41
193.58
193.11
1.97
2.04
2.01
2.01
384.94
398.77
389.28
388.74
-0.55
-0.14
-10.03
-2.52
59.15
61.57
63.01
62.91
2.73
2.92
2.86
0.00
161.51
179.99
180.03
179.83
-0.20
-0.11
-0.16
-0.09
Brazil
31.47
33.35
34.46
34.46
2.86
2.97
2.98
0.00
89.92
99.09
102.71
102.71
0.00
0.00
3.62
3.66
Argentina
21.64
22.05
22.21
22.11
2.63
3.00
2.76
0.00
56.92
66.12
61.31
61.11
-0.20
-0.33
-5.01
-7.58
none
Major OilSeeds
United States
none
Foreign Oilseeds
South America
Paraguay
3.36
3.35
3.52
3.52
2.47
2.46
2.55
0.00
8.32
8.26
8.97
8.97
0.00
0.00
0.71
8.65
Bolivia
1.18
1.28
1.50
1.50
2.26
2.30
2.30
0.00
2.67
2.95
3.45
3.45
0.00
0.00
0.50
16.78
1.34
1.36
1.16
1.16
2.49
2.31
2.73
0.00
3.34
3.15
3.17
3.17
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.44
China
24.69
24.34
22.77
22.87
2.38
2.37
2.38
0.00
58.64
57.65
54.14
54.43
0.29
0.54
-3.22
-5.59
South Asia
40.82
39.09
37.98
37.98
1.00
0.98
0.93
0.00
40.93
38.20
35.43
34.83
-0.60
-1.69
-3.37
-8.82
37.18
35.36
34.45
34.45
0.97
0.93
0.91
0.00
36.07
32.83
31.22
31.02
-0.20
-0.64
-1.81
-5.51
3.37
3.46
3.26
3.26
1.36
1.48
1.21
0.00
4.59
5.11
3.95
3.55
-0.40
-10.13
-1.56
-30.55
European Union
12.17
11.96
11.73
11.77
2.63
2.99
2.71
0.00
32.05
35.72
31.73
31.98
0.25
0.79
-3.73
-10.45
20.76
21.22
20.74
20.59
1.68
1.59
1.61
0.00
34.89
33.75
33.38
33.66
0.29
0.85
-0.09
-0.25
Russia
9.11
9.34
9.38
9.28
1.49
1.39
1.42
0.00
13.58
12.99
13.30
13.63
0.33
2.44
0.64
4.90
Ukraine
7.65
7.98
7.88
7.88
2.19
2.04
2.10
0.00
16.73
16.30
16.50
16.50
0.00
0.00
0.20
1.23
Uzbekistan
1.30
1.29
1.29
1.29
1.24
1.19
1.13
0.00
1.61
1.53
1.45
1.45
0.00
0.00
-0.08
-5.10
Canada
10.05
10.61
10.34
10.34
2.38
2.12
2.27
0.00
23.96
22.51
23.51
23.51
0.00
0.00
0.99
4.42
Africa
18.31
17.55
18.35
17.99
0.91
0.90
0.92
0.00
16.66
15.79
16.82
16.25
-0.57
-3.40
0.47
2.96
Nigeria
3.44
3.37
3.39
3.39
1.10
1.11
1.11
0.00
3.76
3.74
3.76
3.76
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.59
South Africa
1.17
1.34
1.38
1.10
1.63
1.37
1.49
0.00
1.90
1.84
2.05
1.57
-0.48
-23.37
-0.26
-14.22
Uruguay
India
Pakistan
1.29
1.24
1.24
1.24
0.82
0.75
0.74
0.00
1.07
0.94
0.92
0.92
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-1.92
3.46
3.41
3.37
3.37
1.41
1.45
1.46
0.00
4.89
4.96
4.92
4.92
0.00
0.00
-0.04
-0.87
Indonesia
1.11
1.10
1.07
1.07
1.64
1.63
1.64
0.00
1.82
1.79
1.75
1.75
0.00
0.00
-0.03
-1.85
Burma
1.92
1.89
1.88
1.88
1.20
1.27
1.27
0.00
2.31
2.40
2.38
2.38
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-0.84
Australia
3.21
2.97
2.75
2.75
1.80
1.44
1.44
0.00
5.78
4.26
3.95
3.95
0.00
0.00
-0.31
-7.23
Turkey
1.13
1.07
0.96
0.96
2.20
2.40
2.25
0.00
2.49
2.57
2.15
2.15
0.00
0.00
-0.42
-16.23
Others
1.54
1.62
1.57
1.57
2.04
2.09
2.06
2.06
3.15
3.38
3.23
3.23
0.00
0.00
-0.15
-4.41
Tanzania
Southeast Asia
World Total and Total Foreign: (Major Oilseeds plus copra and palm kernel) Major Oilseeds: (soybeans, sunflowerseeds, peanuts(inshell), cottonseed and
rapeseed)

January 2016
Table 11 Soybean Area, Yield, and Production
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
113.03
118.65
121.00
120.81
2.50
2.69
2.65
2.64
282.87
318.80
320.11
319.01
-1.10
-0.34
0.21
0.06
United States
30.86
33.42
33.36
33.12
2.96
3.20
3.25
3.23
91.39
106.88
108.35
106.95
-1.40
-1.29
0.08
0.07
Total Foreign
82.17
85.22
87.64
87.68
2.33
2.49
2.42
2.42
191.48
211.92
211.75
212.05
0.30
0.14
0.13
0.06
Brazil
30.10
32.10
33.30
33.30
2.88
3.00
3.00
3.00
86.70
96.20
100.00
100.00
0.00
0.00
3.80
3.95
Argentina
19.40
19.79
20.00
20.00
2.76
3.10
2.85
2.85
53.50
61.40
57.00
57.00
0.00
0.00
-4.40
-7.17
World
none
South America
Paraguay
3.26
3.24
3.40
3.40
2.52
2.50
2.59
2.59
8.19
8.10
8.80
8.80
0.00
0.00
0.70
8.64
Bolivia
1.00
1.08
1.28
1.28
2.40
2.45
2.42
2.42
2.40
2.65
3.10
3.10
0.00
0.00
0.45
16.98
Uruguay
1.31
1.33
1.12
1.12
2.52
2.33
2.78
2.78
3.30
3.11
3.11
3.11
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.03
East Asia
China
6.79
6.80
6.40
6.55
1.76
1.79
1.80
1.83
11.95
12.15
11.50
12.00
0.50
4.35
-0.15
-1.23
Korea, South
0.08
0.08
0.07
0.07
1.93
1.85
1.71
1.71
0.15
0.14
0.12
0.12
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-13.67
Korea, North
0.12
0.12
0.11
0.11
1.41
1.40
1.36
1.36
0.16
0.17
0.15
0.15
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-9.09
Japan
0.13
0.13
0.13
0.13
1.55
1.71
1.69
1.69
0.20
0.23
0.22
0.22
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-2.65
12.20
10.91
11.65
11.65
0.78
0.80
0.69
0.69
9.50
8.70
8.00
8.00
0.00
0.00
-0.70
-8.05
1.86
2.24
2.20
2.20
2.88
2.71
2.83
2.83
5.36
6.05
6.24
6.24
0.00
0.00
0.19
3.07
Russia
1.20
1.91
2.00
2.03
1.36
1.36
1.40
1.40
1.64
2.60
2.80
2.85
0.05
1.79
0.26
9.83
Ukraine
1.35
1.80
2.10
2.10
2.05
2.17
1.81
1.81
2.77
3.90
3.80
3.80
0.00
0.00
-0.10
-2.56
0.47
0.57
0.73
0.73
2.57
3.16
2.80
2.80
1.21
1.81
2.05
2.05
0.00
0.00
0.24
13.26
-1.59
India
Canada
European Union
Southeast Asia
Indonesia
0.45
0.46
0.45
0.45
1.44
1.37
1.38
1.38
0.65
0.63
0.62
0.62
0.00
0.00
-0.01
Vietnam
0.11
0.12
0.12
0.12
1.44
1.45
1.46
1.46
0.16
0.17
0.18
0.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.57
Thailand
0.04
0.03
0.03
0.03
1.60
1.71
1.67
1.67
0.06
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
-5.66
Burma
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.17
1.23
1.21
1.21
1.21
0.21
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mexico
0.18
0.19
0.20
0.20
1.35
1.84
1.85
1.85
0.24
0.36
0.36
0.36
0.00
0.00
0.01
1.41
Iran
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
2.45
2.44
2.44
2.44
0.19
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-16.04
Africa
South Africa
0.50
0.69
0.70
0.56
1.88
1.54
1.63
1.59
0.95
1.06
1.14
0.89
-0.25
-21.93
-0.17
Nigeria
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Zambia
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Uganda
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
1.19
1.19
1.19
1.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Middle East
Iran
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
2.45
2.44
2.44
2.44
0.19
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Turkey
0.04
0.04
0.03
0.03
3.71
3.86
3.60
3.60
0.13
0.14
0.09
0.09
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-33.33
0.34
0.36
0.38
0.38
1.82
1.91
2.08
2.08
0.62
0.68
0.79
0.79
0.00
0.00
0.11
16.35
Others

January 2016
Table 12 Cottonseed Area, Yield, and Production
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
31.90
33.01
30.31
30.09
1.43
1.34
1.28
1.26
45.68
44.35
38.87
37.90
-0.97
-2.49
-6.45
United States
3.05
3.78
3.30
3.27
1.25
1.23
1.15
1.15
3.81
4.65
3.80
3.77
-0.03
-0.71
-0.88
-18.95
Total Foreign
28.84
29.23
27.01
26.82
1.45
1.36
1.30
1.27
41.87
39.70
35.07
34.13
-0.94
-2.69
-5.57
-14.03
11.70
12.70
11.80
11.80
1.11
0.98
1.03
1.01
12.95
12.50
12.10
11.90
-0.20
-1.65
-0.60
-4.80
2.90
2.95
2.80
2.80
1.41
1.56
1.25
1.11
4.10
4.60
3.50
3.10
-0.40
-11.43
-1.50
-32.61
4.80
4.40
3.45
3.40
2.67
2.67
2.77
2.74
12.84
11.76
9.54
9.33
-0.21
-2.20
-2.43
-20.64
World
-14.54
none
South Asia
India
Pakistan
China
Uzbekistan
1.30
1.29
1.29
1.29
1.24
1.19
1.13
1.13
1.61
1.53
1.45
1.45
0.00
0.00
-0.08
-5.10
Turkmenistan
0.58
0.55
0.55
0.50
1.06
1.10
1.00
1.02
0.61
0.60
0.55
0.51
-0.04
-7.29
-0.09
-14.88
Tajikistan
0.19
0.18
0.15
0.15
0.92
0.90
0.87
0.87
0.18
0.16
0.13
0.13
0.00
0.00
-0.03
-16.56
Kazakhstan
0.14
0.13
0.10
0.10
0.96
0.73
0.80
0.80
0.13
0.09
0.08
0.08
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-15.96
Brazil
1.12
1.02
0.93
0.93
2.38
2.31
2.38
2.38
2.67
2.36
2.20
2.20
0.00
0.00
-0.16
-6.78
Argentina
0.56
0.48
0.45
0.45
0.75
0.78
0.76
0.76
0.42
0.38
0.34
0.34
0.00
0.00
-0.04
-9.33
South America
Middle East
Turkey
0.33
0.43
0.37
0.37
2.24
2.40
2.31
2.31
0.74
1.03
0.85
0.85
0.00
0.00
-0.18
-17.18
Syria
0.11
0.06
0.05
0.05
2.51
1.62
1.80
1.80
0.28
0.10
0.09
0.09
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-7.22
Iran
0.10
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.90
0.87
0.89
0.89
0.09
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.08
Australia
0.44
0.21
0.29
0.29
4.31
3.47
2.60
2.60
1.88
0.71
0.74
0.74
0.00
0.00
0.03
4.08
European Union
0.31
0.36
0.32
0.32
1.54
1.47
1.22
1.22
0.48
0.52
0.38
0.38
0.00
0.00
-0.14
-26.77
-10.99
Africa
Burkina
0.65
0.66
0.63
0.63
0.53
0.57
0.53
0.53
0.35
0.37
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
-0.04
Mali
0.45
0.54
0.58
0.58
0.54
0.56
0.54
0.54
0.24
0.30
0.31
0.31
0.00
0.00
0.01
2.64
Cameroon
0.22
0.23
0.22
0.22
1.14
1.15
1.17
1.17
0.25
0.27
0.26
0.26
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-3.02
Cote d'Ivoire
0.45
0.41
0.44
0.44
0.47
0.55
0.52
0.52
0.21
0.23
0.23
0.23
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Benin
0.35
0.35
0.33
0.33
0.54
0.68
0.62
0.62
0.19
0.24
0.21
0.21
0.00
0.00
-0.03
-13.81
Tanzania
0.35
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.47
0.34
0.30
0.30
0.17
0.14
0.12
0.12
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-13.24
Egypt
0.13
0.16
0.10
0.10
1.02
1.02
1.04
1.04
0.13
0.16
0.10
0.10
0.00
0.00
-0.06
-35.00
25.58
Nigeria
0.29
0.22
0.24
0.24
0.40
0.40
0.45
0.45
0.11
0.09
0.11
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.02
Uganda
0.05
0.06
0.06
0.06
1.22
1.27
1.68
1.27
0.06
0.07
0.10
0.07
-0.03
-30.69
0.00
0.00
Zimbabwe
0.26
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.39
0.35
0.42
0.42
0.10
0.06
0.08
0.08
0.00
0.00
0.01
20.63
Sudan
0.06
0.09
0.11
0.05
1.34
1.20
0.94
1.34
0.08
0.11
0.10
0.07
-0.04
-34.95
-0.04
-37.96
Mexico
0.12
0.18
0.13
0.13
2.58
2.56
2.48
2.48
0.32
0.46
0.32
0.32
0.00
0.00
-0.14
-30.39
Burma
0.30
0.30
0.29
0.29
1.23
1.23
1.23
1.23
0.37
0.37
0.35
0.35
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-5.41
Others
0.61
0.62
0.67
0.65
0.54
0.65
0.59
0.58
0.33
0.40
0.40
0.37
-0.03
-6.27
-0.03
-7.43

January 2016
Table 13 Peanut Area, Yield, and Production
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
25.41
23.65
24.40
24.38
1.62
1.67
1.67
1.67
41.12
39.41
40.79
40.78
-0.01
-0.03
1.37
3.48
United States
0.42
0.54
0.64
0.64
4.49
4.40
4.40
4.44
1.89
2.35
2.80
2.82
0.02
0.68
0.47
19.75
Total Foreign
24.99
23.12
23.76
23.75
1.57
1.60
1.60
1.60
39.22
37.06
37.99
37.96
-0.03
-0.08
0.91
2.44
4.63
4.60
4.60
4.60
3.66
3.58
3.63
3.63
16.97
16.48
16.70
16.70
0.00
0.00
0.22
1.32
World
none
China
Africa
Nigeria
2.50
2.50
2.50
2.50
1.20
1.20
1.20
1.20
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sudan
2.16
1.25
2.18
2.18
0.82
0.77
0.86
0.86
1.77
0.96
1.87
1.87
0.00
0.00
0.91
94.29
Senegal
0.92
0.88
0.77
0.77
0.74
0.76
0.94
0.94
0.68
0.67
0.73
0.73
0.00
0.00
0.06
8.37
Cameroon
0.46
0.47
0.40
0.40
1.37
1.36
1.38
1.38
0.64
0.64
0.55
0.55
0.00
0.00
-0.09
-14.06
Ghana
0.33
0.40
0.40
0.40
1.24
1.10
1.10
1.10
0.41
0.44
0.44
0.44
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Chad
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Malawi
0.36
0.37
0.37
0.37
1.05
1.03
1.03
1.03
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Congo (Kinshasa)
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.78
0.78
0.78
0.78
0.37
0.37
0.37
0.37
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Niger
0.78
0.74
0.74
0.74
0.44
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.34
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mali
0.37
0.38
0.38
0.38
1.38
0.87
0.87
0.87
0.52
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Uganda
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.70
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Burkina
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.78
0.78
0.78
0.78
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Guinea
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
1.24
1.24
1.24
1.24
0.26
0.26
0.26
0.26
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Egypt
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
3.16
3.16
3.33
3.33
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Central African Republic
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
South Africa
0.05
0.06
0.05
0.04
1.90
1.29
1.89
1.57
0.10
0.08
0.09
0.06
-0.03
-35.29
-0.02
-26.67
Mozambique
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Cote d'Ivoire
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
1.19
1.13
1.13
1.13
0.10
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Benin
0.15
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.87
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.13
0.14
0.14
0.14
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
South Asia
India
5.40
4.60
4.50
4.50
1.05
1.07
1.04
1.04
5.65
4.90
4.70
4.70
0.00
0.00
-0.20
-4.08
Pakistan
0.09
0.10
0.11
0.11
1.07
0.89
0.90
0.90
0.10
0.09
0.10
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.01
11.76
Southeast Asia
Indonesia
0.66
0.63
0.62
0.62
1.77
1.83
1.84
1.84
1.16
1.15
1.13
1.13
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-1.74
Burma
0.89
0.89
0.89
0.89
1.55
1.55
1.55
1.55
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Vietnam
0.21
0.22
0.22
0.22
2.18
2.20
2.20
2.20
0.46
0.47
0.49
0.49
0.00
0.00
0.01
2.54
Thailand
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
1.47
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Argentina
0.38
0.34
0.36
0.36
2.64
3.48
3.25
3.25
1.00
1.19
1.17
1.17
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-1.52
Brazil
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
3.00
3.15
3.00
3.00
0.32
0.35
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-4.62
Mexico
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
1.75
1.74
1.75
1.75
0.10
0.10
0.11
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.96
Others
1.86
1.76
1.75
1.75
1.00
0.97
1.01
1.01
1.86
1.71
1.77
1.77
0.00
0.00
0.06
3.58
South America

January 2016
Table 14 Sunflowerseed Area, Yield, and Production
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
24.14
23.17
22.87
22.50
1.75
1.73
1.73
1.76
42.33
40.12
39.65
39.51
-0.14
-0.36
-0.61
-1.53
United States
0.59
0.61
0.72
0.73
1.55
1.65
1.83
1.82
0.92
1.01
1.32
1.33
0.01
0.53
0.32
31.68
Total Foreign
23.54
22.56
22.15
21.78
1.76
1.73
1.73
1.75
41.42
39.11
38.33
38.18
-0.15
-0.39
-0.93
-2.38
World
none
Russia
6.80
6.37
6.50
6.35
1.55
1.40
1.45
1.52
10.55
8.93
9.40
9.65
0.25
2.66
0.72
8.07
Ukraine
5.30
5.30
5.10
5.10
2.19
1.92
2.16
2.16
11.60
10.20
11.00
11.00
0.00
0.00
0.80
7.84
Kazakhstan
European Union
0.82
0.77
0.68
0.68
0.70
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.57
0.51
0.45
0.45
0.00
0.00
-0.06
-12.28
4.62
4.28
4.15
4.15
1.96
2.09
1.87
1.87
9.05
8.93
7.75
7.75
0.00
0.00
-1.18
-13.23
-17.72
South America
Argentina
1.30
1.44
1.40
1.30
1.54
2.19
2.00
2.00
2.00
3.16
2.80
2.60
-0.20
-7.14
-0.56
Uruguay
0.03
0.03
0.04
0.04
1.40
1.47
1.50
1.50
0.04
0.04
0.06
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.01
29.55
Bolivia
0.18
0.20
0.22
0.22
1.50
1.50
1.60
1.60
0.27
0.30
0.35
0.35
0.00
0.00
0.05
15.00
Brazil
0.15
0.12
0.12
0.12
1.59
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.23
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Paraguay
0.04
0.06
0.07
0.07
1.51
1.69
1.75
1.75
0.06
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.01
8.57
0.93
0.95
0.92
0.92
2.61
2.63
2.50
2.50
2.42
2.49
2.30
2.30
0.00
0.00
-0.19
-7.70
India
0.75
0.55
0.50
0.50
0.89
0.76
0.84
0.84
0.67
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Pakistan
0.16
0.16
0.15
0.15
1.25
1.25
1.27
1.27
0.20
0.20
0.19
0.19
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-5.00
China
South Asia
Middle East
Turkey
0.69
0.53
0.49
0.49
2.03
2.26
2.04
2.04
1.40
1.20
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
-0.20
-16.67
Iran
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
1.29
1.29
1.29
1.29
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Israel
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
1.20
1.60
1.60
1.60
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Egypt
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
2.67
2.43
2.43
2.43
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Morocco
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
1.12
1.25
1.25
1.25
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
South Africa
0.60
0.58
0.62
0.49
1.39
1.15
1.30
1.22
0.83
0.66
0.80
0.60
-0.20
-25.00
-0.06
-9.23
Africa
Burma
0.57
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.63
0.83
0.83
0.83
0.36
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Canada
0.03
0.03
0.04
0.04
1.86
1.90
1.92
1.92
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.07
0.00
0.00
0.02
32.73
Australia
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.03
1.06
1.19
1.20
1.20
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.01
57.89
Others
0.47
0.53
0.51
0.51
2.01
2.08
1.63
1.63
0.95
1.11
0.83
0.83
0.00
0.00
-0.28
-25.20

January 2016
Table 15 Rapeseed Area, Yield, and Production
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
From last month
From last year
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
36.24
35.91
33.72
33.78
1.99
2.01
2.00
2.00
71.96
72.12
67.54
67.72
0.18
0.26
-4.41
-6.11
United States
0.51
0.63
0.70
0.70
1.96
1.81
2.01
1.88
1.00
1.14
1.40
1.31
-0.10
-6.99
0.16
14.37
Total Foreign
35.72
35.28
33.02
33.08
1.99
2.01
2.00
2.01
70.95
70.98
66.14
66.41
0.28
0.42
-4.57
-6.44
-10.84
World
none
European Union
6.77
6.76
6.54
6.58
3.15
3.62
3.30
3.32
21.30
24.45
21.55
21.80
0.25
1.16
-2.65
Canada
8.16
8.34
8.10
8.10
2.27
1.97
2.12
2.12
18.55
16.41
17.20
17.20
0.00
0.00
0.79
4.81
China
7.53
7.59
7.40
7.40
1.92
1.95
1.91
1.91
14.46
14.77
14.10
14.10
0.00
0.00
-0.67
-4.55
South Asia
India
7.13
6.60
6.00
6.00
1.02
0.96
1.00
1.00
7.30
6.31
6.00
6.00
0.00
0.00
-0.31
-4.91
Pakistan
0.21
0.25
0.20
0.20
0.90
0.88
0.80
0.80
0.19
0.22
0.16
0.16
0.00
0.00
-0.06
-27.27
Bangladesh
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.92
0.92
0.92
0.92
0.23
0.23
0.23
0.23
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

Russia
1.11
1.06
0.88
0.90
1.26
1.38
1.26
1.25
1.39
1.46
1.10
1.13
0.03
2.27
-0.34
-23.16
Ukraine
1.00
0.88
0.68
0.68
2.36
2.50
2.52
2.52
2.35
2.20
1.70
1.70
0.00
0.00
-0.50
-22.73
-58.90
Belarus
0.40
0.40
0.17
0.17
1.68
1.82
1.82
1.82
0.68
0.73
0.30
0.30
0.00
0.00
-0.43
Kazakhstan
0.25
0.24
0.23
0.23
0.95
0.99
1.00
1.00
0.24
0.24
0.23
0.23
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-6.64
2.72
2.71
2.40
2.40
1.41
1.28
1.29
1.29
3.83
3.46
3.10
3.10
0.00
0.00
-0.36
-10.51
Australia
South America
Chile
0.04
0.05
0.05
0.05
3.68
4.10
4.00
4.00
0.14
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.50
Paraguay
0.05
0.03
0.04
0.04
1.15
1.28
1.31
1.31
0.05
0.04
0.05
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.01
12.20
0.00
Switzerland
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
3.32
3.14
3.14
3.14
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
Ethiopia
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
1.45
1.60
1.60
1.60
0.07
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.90
Others
0.04
0.05
0.04
0.04
2.26
2.13
2.08
2.08
0.10
0.10
0.08
0.08
0.00
0.00
-0.03
-25.00

January 2016
Table 16 Copra, Palm Kernel, and Palm Oil Production
Production
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
From last month
Jan
MMT
From last year
Percent
MMT
Percent
Oilseed, Copra
Philippines
2.28
2.23
2.30
2.30
0.00
0.00
0.07
3.14
Indonesia
1.58
1.60
1.60
1.60
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
India
0.71
0.71
0.72
0.72
0.00
0.00
0.01
1.41
Vietnam
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mexico
0.20
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Papua New Guinea
0.08
0.10
0.09
0.09
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-10.00
Thailand
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sri Lanka
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Solomon Islands
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Cote d'Ivoire
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
5.43
5.43
5.51
5.51
0.00
0.00
0.08
1.47
Indonesia
8.10
8.70
8.70
8.70
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Malaysia
5.10
5.05
5.15
5.15
0.00
0.00
0.10
1.98
Nigeria
0.73
0.73
0.73
0.73
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Thailand
0.40
0.36
0.44
0.44
0.00
0.00
0.08
22.22
Colombia
0.23
0.24
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Papua New Guinea
0.13
0.15
0.13
0.15
0.02
15.38
0.00
0.00
Cameroon
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Honduras
0.11
0.11
0.12
0.12
0.00
0.00
0.01
9.09
Ghana
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Ecuador
0.12
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
15.77
16.31
16.49
16.52
0.03
0.18
0.21
1.29
Indonesia
30.50
33.00
33.00
33.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Malaysia
20.16
19.88
20.50
20.50
0.00
0.00
0.62
3.12
Thailand
2.00
1.80
2.20
2.20
0.00
0.00
0.40
22.22
Colombia
1.04
1.11
1.13
1.13
0.00
0.00
0.02
1.80
Nigeria
0.97
0.97
0.97
0.97
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Papua New Guinea
0.50
0.52
0.52
0.58
0.06
11.54
0.06
11.54
Ghana
0.49
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Ecuador
0.57
0.49
0.51
0.51
0.00
0.00
0.03
6.25
Honduras
0.46
0.47
0.49
0.49
0.00
0.00
0.02
4.26
Guatemala
0.43
0.45
0.46
0.47
0.01
2.17
0.02
4.44
59.38
61.43
62.61
62.68
0.08
0.13
1.25
2.03
World
Oilseed, Palm Kernel
World
Oil, Palm
World

January 2016
Table 17 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
Yield
(Kilograms per hectare)
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
Production
(Million 480 lb. bales)
Jan
2013/14
Prel.
2014/15
2015/16 Proj.
Dec
From last month
Jan
MBales
Percent
From last year

MBales
Percent
32.79
34.02
31.24
31.02
799
762
723
713
120.41
119.15
103.71
101.56
-2.15
-2.08
-17.60
-14.77
United States
3.05
3.78
3.30
3.27
921
939
860
862
12.91
16.32
13.03
12.94
-0.09
-0.68
-3.38
-20.69
Total Foreign
29.74
30.24
27.94
27.75
787
740
707
695
107.50
102.83
90.68
88.61
-2.07
-2.28
-14.22
-13.83
11.70
12.70
11.80
11.80
577
506
526
517
31.00
29.50
28.50
28.00
-0.50
-1.75
-1.50
-5.08
2.90
2.95
2.80
2.80
713
782
622
560
9.50
10.60
8.00
7.20
-0.80
-10.00
-3.40
-32.08
4.80
4.40
3.45
3.40
1,486
1,484
1,534
1,524
32.75
30.00
24.30
23.80
-0.50
-2.06
-6.20
-20.67
World
none
South Asia
India
Pakistan
China
South America
Brazil
1.12
1.02
0.93
0.93
1,555
1,494
1,530
1,530
8.00
7.00
6.50
6.50
0.00
0.00
-0.50
-7.14
Argentina
0.56
0.48
0.45
0.45
474
499
484
484
1.22
1.10
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
-0.10
-9.09
Paraguay
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
381
348
381
381
0.04
0.03
0.04
0.04
0.00
0.00
0.00
9.38
Africa
Burkina
0.65
0.66
0.63
0.63
421
445
418
418
1.25
1.35
1.20
1.20
0.00
0.00
-0.15
-11.11
Mali
0.45
0.54
0.58
0.58
411
433
413
413
0.85
1.07
1.10
1.10
0.00
0.00
0.03
2.80
Cote d'Ivoire
0.45
0.41
0.44
0.44
382
450
423
423
0.78
0.86
0.86
0.86
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Benin
0.35
0.35
0.33
0.33
358
451
412
412
0.58
0.73
0.63
0.63
0.00
0.00
-0.10
-13.79
-35.24
Egypt
0.13
0.16
0.10
0.10
729
728
740
740
0.44
0.53
0.34
0.34
0.00
0.00
-0.19
Cameroon
0.22
0.23
0.22
0.22
495
502
510
510
0.50
0.53
0.52
0.52
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-2.83
Tanzania
0.35
0.40
0.40
0.40
235
169
147
147
0.38
0.31
0.27
0.27
0.00
0.00
-0.04
-13.18
Nigeria
0.29
0.22
0.24
0.24
199
203
227
227
0.26
0.20
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.05
25.00
Zimbabwe
0.26
0.18
0.18
0.18
224
224
242
242
0.26
0.19
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.02
8.11
Ethiopia
0.12
0.13
0.13
0.13
308
308
315
315
0.17
0.18
0.19
0.19
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.17

Uzbekistan
1.30
1.29
1.29
1.29
687
661
627
627
4.10
3.90
3.70
3.70
0.00
0.00
-0.20
-5.13
Turkmenistan
0.58
0.55
0.55
0.50
587
609
554
566
1.55
1.53
1.40
1.30
-0.10
-7.14
-0.23
-14.75
Tajikistan
0.19
0.18
0.15
0.15
516
498
486
486
0.45
0.40
0.34
0.34
0.00
0.00
-0.07
-16.25
Kazakhstan
0.14
0.13
0.10
0.10
536
408
440
440
0.34
0.24
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-0.04
-16.67
Middle East
Turkey
0.33
0.43
0.37
0.37
1,517
1,620
1,559
1,559
2.30
3.20
2.65
2.65
0.00
0.00
-0.55
-17.19
Syria
0.10
0.06
0.05
0.05
1,306
1,089
1,197
1,197
0.60
0.30
0.28
0.28
0.00
0.00
-0.03
-8.33
Iran
0.12
0.11
0.11
0.11
606
594
594
594
0.32
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Australia
0.44
0.21
0.29
0.29
2,047
2,443
1,833
1,833
4.10
2.30
2.40
2.40
0.00
0.00
0.10
4.35
Mexico
0.12
0.18
0.13
0.13
1,652
1,643
1,591
1,591
0.93
1.37
0.95
0.95
0.00
0.00
-0.42
-30.45
Burma
0.30
0.30
0.29
0.29
646
650
649
649
0.89
0.90
0.85
0.85
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-5.03
Others
1.78
1.98
1.94
1.85
483
467
420
421
3.95
4.24
3.74
3.58
-0.17
-4.41
-0.66
-15.66

January 2016
TABLE 18
The table below presents a record of the differences between the January projection and the final Estimate.
Using world wheat production as an example, the "root mean square error means that chances are 2 out of 3
that the current forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 0.7 percent. Chances are
9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 1.2 percent. The average difference
between the January projection and the final estimate is 3.2 million tons, ranging from 0.0 million to 8.3 million
tons. The January projection has been below the estimate 25 times and above 9 times.
RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS 1/
COMMODITY AND
REGION
Root mean
square error
Difference between forecast and final estimate
90 percent
confidence
interval
Average
Percent
Smallest
Largest
Years
Below
Above
final
final
---Million metric tons---
WHEAT
World
0.7
1.2
3.2
0.0
8.3
25
U.S.
0.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.3
14
Foreign
0.8
1.3
3.2
0.1
8.3
25
World
1.3
2.2
10.3
0.0
26.3
25
U.S.
0.4
0.7
0.3
0.0
4.6
15
Foreign
1.8
3.0
10.1
0.0
26.3
24
10
World
1.7
2.8
4.8
0.0
13.9
28
U.S.
1.7
2.9
0.1
0.0
0.3
13
Foreign
1.7
2.9
4.8
0.1
13.9
29
World
3.5
5.9
4.7
0.0
22.4
20
14
U.S.
1.4
2.5
0.7
0.0
2.5
15
14
Foreign
5.9
10.0
4.8
0.2
22.6
20
14
COARSE GRAINS 2/
RICE (Milled)
SOYBEANS
---Million 480-lb. bales---
COTTON
World
2.5
4.3
1.9
0.0
5.4
22
11
U.S.
1.0
1.7
0.1
0.0
0.3
13
20
Foreign
3.1
5.2
1.9
0.0
5.7
24
-------Million bushels-------
UNITED STATES
CORN
0.4
0.7
11
148
SORGHUM
1.1
1.8
53
BARLEY
0.7
1.2
11
14
OATS
0.3
0.6
1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2014/15. Final for grains, soybeans and cotton is defined as the first
January estimate following the marketing year for 1981/82 through 2013/14, and for 2014/15 last months
estimate.
2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain
January 2016

Office of Global Analysis, FAS, USDA
January 2016

World Agricultural Production

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World Agricultural Production

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United States

Russia Corn: Estimated Production Reduced but Still a Record

Philippine Rice: Production Forecast Higher on Revised Typhoon Losses

World Agricultural Production

Metric tons to 480-lb bales

Metric tons to hundredweight

For further information, contact:

Fax: (202) 720-1158

Dath Mita, PhD

COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATION

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

FAS Reports and Databases:

Other USDA Reports:

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Table 01 World Crop Production Summary

---Million metric tons--Wheat

1/ Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Production

From last month

From last year

Former Soviet Union - 12

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Production

From last month

From last year

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Production

From last month

From last year

Former Soviet Union - 12

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Production

From last month

From last year

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Production

From last month

From last year

Bosnia and Herzegovina

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Production

From last month

From last year

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Production

From last month

From last year

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Production

From last month

From last year

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Table 10 Total Oilseed Area, Yield, and Production

From last month

From last year

Oilseed, Palm Kernel

Former Soviet Union - 12