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Initial price per unit

Annual increase in price


Production cost per unit
Annual increase in cost
Tax rate
Discount rate
Growth rate

20.00
0.01
13.40
0.01
0.15
0.07
0.05

Year
Investments
Machinery
Warehouse rent
Working capital requirement
Change in working capital
Investment cash flows

-167095575
-30000
2137764
0
-167125575

900000
1237764
1237764

954450
-54450
-54450

450000
20.00
9,000,000.00
13.40
6,030,000.00
1,012,500.00
1,957,500.00
-8,354,778.75
6,397,278.75
927,605.42
13,824,452.08

472,500
20.20
9,544,500.00
13.53
6,394,815.00
1,063,125.00
2,086,560.00
-53,470,584.00
51,384,024.00
7,450,683.48
97,403,924.52

15,062,216.08

97,349,474.52

14,096,467.12

85,266,105.97

Operations
Sales forecast (units sold)
Price per unit
Total Revenue
Production cost per unit
Total production costs
Other costs(salary)
EBITDA
Depreciation
EBIT
Taxes
Operating cash flows (OCF)
Terminal Value
Free Cash Flows (FCF)

-167,125,575.00

NPV

IRR/discount rate

7%
75%

Rb

1,330,600,866.21

0.0606823

PV @ 6th yr
EMI for 6-10 yrs

77591583.4433095
18454165.6723574

LOAN AMORTIZATION
year
1
2
3
4
5

Beginning Balance Total Payment


77591583.4433095
18454165.6723574
63845853.514934
18454165.6723574
49266001.0793259
18454165.6723574
33801409.6642645
18454165.6723574
17398391.2735769
18454165.6723574

1012095
-57645
-57645

1073326.7475
-61231.7475
-61231.7475

1138263.01572375
-64936.2682237499
-64936.2682237499
Debt
-55708525

496,125
20.40
10,120,950.00
13.67
6,781,701.31
1,116,281.25
2,222,967.44
-32,082,350.40
29,859,382.96
4,329,610.53
57,612,122.83

520,931
20.60
10,733,267.48
13.81
7,191,994.24
1,172,095.31
2,369,177.93
-19,249,410.24
16,880,232.31
2,447,633.68
33,682,008.87

546,978
20.81
11,382,630.16
13.94
7,627,109.89
1,230,700.08
2,524,820.19
-19,249,410.24
16,724,590.05
2,425,065.56
33,548,934.73

-108070602

Depreciation and loan amortization

1,812,476,214.63
57,554,477.83

33,620,777.12

1,846,025,149.36

47,178,414.87

25,792,496.70

1,325,392,956.56

1,330,600,866.21

1957500
-8354778.75
6397278.75

Interest Paid
Principal Paid
Ending Balance
4708435.74398194 13745729.9283755
63845853.514934
3874313.23674928 14579852.4356081
49266001.0793259
2989574.25729598 15464591.4150614
33801409.6642645
2051147.2816698 16403018.3906876
17398391.2735769
1055774.39878058 17398391.2735768 1.04308128356934E-007

Equity

B/S
-111417050

0.5

Depreciation and loan amortization

16,724,590.05
2086560 2222967 2369178 2524820
-53470584 -3E+007 -2E+007 -2E+007
51384024 29859383 16880232 16724590

Only For Evaluation


Simulation Data
Only For Evaluation
Date
8/31/2015
Time
11:05:45 PM
Not For Commercial Or Instructional Use
Workbook
Capital Budgeting.xlsx
Pro Version Has No Bold Watermarks
Number of Trials
10000
Seed
100
Output Value Worksheet
Output Value Cell
Output Value Label

Basic model
$C$35
IRR/discount rate

Information Worksheet
Information Cell
Information Label

Basic model
$B$2
Annual increase in price

Information Worksheet
Information Cell
Information Label

Basic model
$B$4
Annual increase in cost

Not For Commercial Or Instructional Use

www.TreePlan.com

Only For Evaluation


Univariate Summary
Only For Evaluation
IRR/discount rate Annual increase in price
Mean
52,652,559.53
0.01
St. Dev.
3,021,593.59
0.00
Mean St. Error
30,215.94
0.00
Skewness
+0.002
+0.003
Not For Commercial Or Instructional Use
Minimum
47,402,553.99
0.01
First Quartile
50,046,969.90
0.01
Median
52,640,018.63
0.01
Third Quartile
55,295,060.42
0.01
Maximum
57,885,457.86
0.01
Pro Version Has No Bold Watermarks

Not For Commercial Or Instructional Use

Annual increase in cost


0.01
0.00
0.00
-0.012
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01

www.TreePlan.com

Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
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35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53

B.bal
Tot Paymnt Interest Principal End bal B.bal
Tot Paymnt
Interest
55708525 678478.84 282256.5 396222.3 55312303 55708525 13225003.309 3352539
55312303 678478.84 280249 398229.8 54914073 45836061 13225003.309 2758414
54914073 678478.84 278231.3 400247.5 54513825 35369472 13225003.309 2128535
54513825 678478.84 276203.4 402275.5 54111550 24273003 13225003.309 1460749
54111550 678478.84 274165.2 404313.7 53707236 12508749 13225003.309 752776.5
53707236 678478.84 272116.7 406362.2 53300874 36522.27 13225003.309 2197.91
53300874 678478.84 270057.8 408421.1 52892453
52892453 678478.84 267988.4 410490.4 52481963
52481963 678478.84 265908.6 412570.2 52069392
52069392 678478.84 263818.3 414660.6 51654732
71099763.332 16420269
51654732 678478.84 261717.3 416761.5 51237970
58945480.464 16420269
51237970 678478.84 259605.7 418873.1 50819097
46061940.625 16420269
50819097 678478.84 257483.4 420995.4 50398102
32405388.395 16420269
50398102 678478.84 255350.4 423128.5 49974973
17929443.031 16420269
49974973 678478.84 253206.5 425272.3 49549701
49549701 678478.84 251051.8
427427 49122274
49122274 678478.84 248886.2 429592.7 48692681
48692681 678478.84 246709.6 431769.3 48260912
48260912 678478.84 244522 433956.9 47826955
47826955 678478.84 242323.2 436155.6 47390799
47390799 678478.84 240113.4 438365.5 46952434
46952434 678478.84 237892.3 440586.5 46511847
46511847 678478.84 235660 442818.8 46069029
46069029 678478.84 233416.4 445062.4 45623966
45623966 678478.84 231161.4 447317.4 45176649
45176649 678478.84 228895 449583.8 44727065
44727065 678478.84 226617.1 451861.7 44275203
44275203 678478.84 224327.7 454151.1 43821052
0
43821052 678478.84 222026.7 456452.2 43364600
0
43364600 678478.84 219714 458764.9 42905835
0
42905835 678478.84 217389.6 461089.3 42444746
0
42444746 678478.84 215053.4 463425.5 41981320
0
41981320 678478.84 212705.4 465773.5 41515547
0
41515547 678478.84 210345.4 468133.4 41047414
0
41047414 678478.84 207973.6 470505.3 40576908
0
40576908 678478.84 205589.7 472889.2 40104019
0
40104019 678478.84 203193.7 475285.1 39628734
0
39628734 678478.84 200785.6 477693.3 39151041
0
39151041 678478.84 198365.3 480113.6 38670927
0
38670927 678478.84 195932.7 482546.1 38188381
0
38188381 678478.84 193487.8
484991 37703390
0
37703390 678478.84 191030.5 487448.3 37215942
0
37215942 678478.84 188560.8 489918.1 36726024
0
36726024 678478.84 186078.5 492400.3 36233623
0
36233623 678478.84 183583.7 494895.1 35738728
0
35738728 678478.84 181076.2 497402.6 35241325
0
35241325 678478.84 178556 499922.8 34741403
0
34741403 678478.84 176023.1 502455.7 34238947
0
34238947 678478.84 173477.3 505001.5 33733945
0
33733945 678478.84 170918.7 507560.2 33226385
0
33226385 678478.84 168347 510131.8 32716253
0
32716253 678478.84 165762.4 512716.5 32203537
0
32203537 678478.84 163164.6 515314.3 31688223
0

54
55
56
57
58
59
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61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
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73
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90
91
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101
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103
104
105
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107

31688223
31170297
30649748
30126561
29600724
29072222
28541042
28007171
27470596
26931301
26389274
25844501
25296968
24746660
24193564
23637666
23078952
22517406
21953015
21385765
20815641
20242628
19666712
19087878
18506111
17921396
17333719
16743064
16149417
15552762
14953084
14350367
13744597
13135757
12523833
11908808
11290667
10669395
10044974
9417390
8786626
8152666
7515494
6875093
6231448
5584542
4934358
4280880
3624091
2963974
2300513
1633690
963488.7
289891.5

678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84

160553.7
157929.5
155292.1
152641.2
149977
147299.3
144607.9
141903
139184.4
136451.9
133705.7
130945.5
128171.3
125383.1
122580.7
119764.2
116933.4
114088.2
111228.6
108354.5
105465.9
102562.6
99644.67
96711.91
93764.29
90801.74
87824.18
84831.53
81823.71
78800.66
75762.29
72708.53
69639.29
66554.5
63454.09
60337.96
57206.05
54058.27
50894.53
47714.77
44518.9
41306.84
38078.5
34833.81
31572.67
28295.01
25000.75
21689.79
18362.06
15017.47
11655.93
8277.363
4881.676
1468.784

517925.2
520549.3
523186.8
525837.6
528501.8
531179.6
533870.9
536575.8
539294.5
542026.9
544773.2
547533.4
550307.5
553095.8
555898.1
558714.7
561545.5
564390.6
567250.2
570124.3
573012.9
575916.2
578834.2
581766.9
584714.5
587677.1
590654.7
593647.3
596655.1
599678.2
602716.5
605770.3
608839.5
611924.3
615024.8
618140.9
621272.8
624420.6
627584.3
630764.1
633959.9
637172
640400.3
643645
646906.2
650183.8
653478.1
656789
660116.8
663461.4
666822.9
670201.5
673597.2
677010.1

31170297
30649748
30126561
29600724
29072222
28541042
28007171
27470596
26931301
26389274
25844501
25296968
24746660
24193564
23637666
23078952
22517406
21953015
21385765
20815641
20242628
19666712
19087878
18506111
17921396
17333719
16743064
16149417
15552762
14953084
14350367
13744597
13135757
12523833
11908808
11290667
10669395
10044974
9417390
8786626
8152666
7515494
6875093
6231448
5584542
4934358
4280880
3624091
2963974
2300513
1633690
963488.7
289891.5
-387119

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120

-387119
-1067559
-1751447
-2438799
-3129635
-3823971
-4521824
-5223214
-5928157
-6636672
-7348776
-8064489
-8783828

678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84
678478.84

-1961.401
-5408.965
-8874
-12356.58
-15856.82
-19374.78
-22910.58
-26464.28
-30036
-33625.8
-37233.8
-40860.08
-44504.73

680440.2
683887.8
687352.8
690835.4
694335.7
697853.6
701389.4
704943.1
708514.8
712104.6
715712.6
719338.9
722983.6

-1067559
-1751447
-2438799
-3129635
-3823971
-4521824
-5223214
-5928157
-6636672
-7348776
-8064489
-8783828
-9506811

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Principal End bal


9872464 45836060.726
10466589 35369471.552
11096469 24273003.041
11764254 12508749.056
12472227 36522.265718
13222805 -13186283.133

4265986 12154282.868 58945480.464


3536729 12883539.84 46061940.625
2763716 13656552.23 32405388.395
1944323 14475945.364 17929443.031
1075767 15344502.086 2584940.9453

Co-founder
no. of shares

pre-money per share cost


500000
10
50000

Seed round
Angel

Increase in price

49562476
65295447

0.01 0.31743714
0.02
1

Increase in cost per unit

49562476
38923366

0.01 -0.21466059
0.02
1

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