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68.5000
68.0000
67.5000
67.0000
66.5000
66.0000
01 Jan
08 Jan
15 Jan
22 Jan
29 Jan
Source: RBI
India recorded a $11,664 million trade deficit in December of 2015, higher than the $9,434 million gap a year earlier, as
exports fell 15% and imports declined only 3.9%.
Indian wholesale price fell by 0.73% year-on-year in December 2015, as compared with a 1.99% drop in November.
Prices of food rose higher than in the previous month, while cost of petrol and manufactured goods declined at a
slower pace.
The all-India general consumer price index inflation inched up to 5.61% in December 2015 (new base 2012=100),
recording a rise for the fifth straight month. The core CPI inflation rose to 4.5% in December 2015 from 4.2% in
November.
India's IIP declined 3.2% in November 2015 over a year ago, driven by the high base effect with output rising 5.2% in
November 2014.
Manufacturing PMI in India increased to 51.1 in January 2016 from 49.1 in December 2015.
The Nikkei/Markit Services PMI in India rose to 54.3 in January 2016 from 53.6 in December 2015. It was the highest
since June 2014.
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Bullion
Gold
MCX Gold February 2016 Futures Contract closed January
2016 at `26,638 per 10 g, up 6.85% month on month.
Tensions in the Middle East, slump in global equities led by
the Chinese stock market, and plunging oil prices creating
uncertainties in the global economy pushed up gold prices.
U.S. Federal Reserves policy statement suggesting an
unwillingness to increase interest rates amid market
choppiness also aided the price rise.
Source: MCX
Source: MCX
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Base metals
Copper
MCX Copper February 2016 Futures Contract moved down
1.24% in January 2016 to close the month at `311.60 per kg.
Copper prices fell on continuing weak macroeconomic outlook
for China, given the release of weak economic data
(manufacturing, inflation and so on). The concerns were also
evident as the turmoil in Chinese stock markets affected
markets globally.
However, talks of further stimulus measures by the European
Central Bank and the Indian rupee depreciation against the
dollar kept the price fall under check.
Nickel
MCX Nickel January 2016 Futures Contract prices fell by 0.46%
in January 2016, to close the month at `579.30 per kg.
Like copper, concerns over the Chinese economy got reflected
in plummeting stock markets across the globe, casting doubt
on nickels demand, and pushed down prices.
Later, data from the World Bureau of Metals Statistics, indicated
a small deficit in the Jan.Oct. period (primarily due to a fall in
nickel output in the Philippines) helped the recovery in price.
Moreover, expectations that the European Central Bank could
bolster stimulus in March and the INR depreciation against the
USD aided the price recovery in nickel.
Source: MCX
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Base metals
Aluminium
MCX Aluminium January 2016 Futures Contract increased
by 3.59% in January, with a month-close of `103.75 per kg.
A pledge to boost demand by Chinese leaders; ECB hinting
at more stimulus measures; fall in expected aluminum
surplus for 2016, according to Harbor Intelligence; and INR
depreciation helped the rise in aluminium prices.
Lead
MCX Lead January 2016 Futures Contract fell by 1.69% in
January 2016 to close at `116.05 per kg.
Concerns over a weak Chinese economy, and WBMS data
indicating small surplus in lead for Jan.Oct. 2015, kept lead
prices under pressure.
However, hopes for more stimulus by various central banks
and the INR depreciation resisted a major fall in lead prices.
Zinc
MCX Zinc January 2016 Futures Contract was up by 2.87%
in January 2016, closing at `109.20 per kg.
Plunging Chinese equities highlighting the countrys
economic problems, kept zinc prices down initially.
Expectations of more ECB stimulus, data showing surging
Chinese zinc imports in December 15, upbeat U.S. new
home sales and INR depreciation helped zinc prices rise.
Source: MCX
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Energy
Crude oil
MCX Crude Oil Futures declined by 8.3% in January 2016 to
close the month at `2,286 per barrel.
Crude oil prices dropped on a stronger dollar and on
concerns over a global oil glut and an economic slowdown
in China that rattled global financial markets.
Expectations that Iran would add to the worlds crude oil
glut, and a statement by the chairman of the Saudi Arabian
Oil Co. that the state-run oil company could withstand low
oil prices for a long, long time, aided the decline in prices.
Source: MCX
Source: MCX
*Prices of crude oil and natural gas refer to the most active futures contracts on MCX
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Agriculture
Crude palm oil
MCX January CPO Futures contract closed the month at
`432.50 per 10 kg, up by 5.2% as domestic inventory
witnessed a drawdown, according to trade sources.
Global palm oil production is expected to be lower in 2016
compared with the previous year due to the lagged effect of
the El Nio phenomenon, which would affect output.
Indonesia would increase its biodiesel mandate to 20%
blend, pushing prices higher, according to The Star, a
Malaysia-based online news portal.
Cotton
Source: MCX
Source: MCX
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Agriculture
Cardamom
MCX Cardamom February 2016 Futures Contract rose by
1.8% in January to close the month at `770.50 per kg as
export buying remained supportive of the prices.
Continuous rise in arrivals during the early part of the month
pulled prices down.
However, steady demand from exporters and domestic
buyers and news about delay in Guatemalan crop led to the
recovery in later part of the month.
Source: MCX
Mentha oil
MCX Mentha Oil January 2016 Futures Contract fell by 4.5%
to close at `864.20 per kg on January 28, 2016.
Absence of any substantial export demand kept the
sentiment subdued.
Additionally, demand from domestic industry too remained
low keeping prices under pressure throughout the month.
Source: MCX
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Commodity
CRUDE OIL
Units for
Volume and
Open Interest
Thousand Barrels
January 2016
December 2015
Average
Average Average Average
Daily
Daily Open Daily
Daily Open
Volume
Interest
Volume
Interest
33,643
5,575
24,068
4,950
January 2015
Average
Average
Daily
Daily Open
Volume
Interest
19,166
4,507
GOLD
5,244
4,015
5,874
Tonnes
20.10
9.10
16
21
11
SILVER
2,980
2,547
4,110
Tonnes
872
555
748
569
1,075
450
COPPER
1,569
1,531
1,953
Tonnes
51,898
25,913
49,087
23,164
54,401
20,751
ZINC
1,462
1,399
1163
Tonnes
1,42,346
28,890
1,36,589
43,035
88,252
27,661
LEAD
1,248
1,240
849
Tonnes
1,11,778
23,176
1,09,315
31,300
74,018
16,384
NATURALGAS
1,152
1,113
1,658
Thousand MMBTU
76,291
7,941
81,373
14,815
89,749
14,012
NICKEL
639
719
928
Tonnes
11,114
6,838
12,314
7,620
10,049
1,766
ALUMINIUM
573
616
648
Tonnes
57,094
28,637
61,618
28,170
57,335
19,613
COTTON
235
170
135
Bales
1,41,829
4,38,075
1,03,277
3,29,066
90,162
3,25,735
165
181
177
Tonnes
38,783
1,10,159
43,902
89,967
38,854
76,482
MENTHAOIL
82
93
114
Tonnes
933
3,902
1,029
4,186
1,524
4,231
CARDAMOM
16
13
45
Tonnes
199
229
175
180
418
245
22,639
19,710
23,366
TOTAL
Source: MCX
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NMCE: 0.3%
MCX: 87.9%
Source: Respective Exchanges' website
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
87.94%
80.00%
60.00%
40.00%
20.00%
14.09%
0.00%
Agri
Bullion
Energy
Metal
Grand Total
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Location
Ahmedabad
Ahmedabad
Mumbai
Vandanmedu (Kerala)
Barabanki & Chandausi (UP)
Jalna, Yavatmal, Jalgaon (Maharashtra);
Kadi, Rajkot(Gujarat); Raichur (Karnataka)
74.9 kg
2.09 kg
8.0 kg
28.4 MT
4,94,640.0 kg
Value
(Rupees crore)
18.96
0.56
2.13
2.22
50.24
9,700.0 bales
15.77
Quantity
Source: MCX
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Regulatory developments
SEBI Circulars / Regulations
January 29, 2016
Revision in position limits for agricultural commodities
In continuation of the SEBI circular No CIR/CDMRD/DMP/2/2016 dated January 15, 2016, the SEBI further revised the
position limits for clients and members (CDMRD/DMP/CIR/32/2016).
January 15, 2016
Reduction in daily price limits and near month position limits, and suspension of forward segment
Through the circular, the SEBI revised the daily price limits (DPL) and position limits for agricultural commodity
derivative contracts. DPL comes into force from February 1, 2016, whereas the revised position limits are applicable for
contracts expiring from March 2016 onwards (CIR/CDMRD/DMP/2/2016).
January 11, 2015
Exit policy for commodity derivatives exchanges
The SEBI has laid down the guidelines and steps for the exit policy of commodity exchanges, which among others
stipulates that if there is no trading on the platform of a commodity derivatives exchange for more than twelve
months, then such an exchange shall be liable to exit (CIR/CDMRD/DEA/01/2016).
January 01, 2016
Compliance by listed stock exchange
The SEBI circular provides detailed procedures for ensuring compliance with the Securities Contracts (Regulation)
(Stock Exchanges and Clearing Corporations) Regulations, 2012 (SECC Regulations), by listed stock exchanges
(CIR/MRD/DSA/01/2016).
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Awareness programmes
In order to educate various stakeholders of the commodity markets, MCX conducted 23 awareness programmes,
apart from training programmes across the country in January 2016.
Mumbai, January 16
Raichur (Karnataka)
January 22
Pune (Maharashtra)
January 22
Pakur(Jharkhand)
January 20
Surat (Gujarat)
January 23
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Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
10
11
12
15
16
17
18
19
22
23
24
25
26
29
07.15: CN HSBC Final Mfg PMI
14.30: EU Final Mfg PMI
15.00: UK Manufacturing PMI
19.00: US Core PCE Price Index/ Personal Spending
and Income
20.15: US Chicago PMI
20.30: US Pending Home Sales
**Timings in IST Disclaimer: Every effort has been made in compiling the data/ information to ensure the high quality and accuracy of the content of the MCX Global Economic Calendar. Under any circumstances, MCX shall
not be liable to any user for intended/accidental errors. Users may carry out due diligence before using any data/information herein, MCX will not be responsible for any discrepancies/disputes arising out of such use. The
calendarmay also be subject to change without any previousnotice.
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Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
10
11
14
15
16
17
18
21
22
23
24
25
28
29
30
31
**Timings in IST Disclaimer: Every effort has been made in compiling the data/ information to ensure the high quality and accuracy of the content of the MCX Global Economic Calendar. Under any circumstances, MCX shall not be liable to any
user for intended/accidental errors. Users may carry out due diligence before using any data/information herein, MCX will not be responsible for any discrepancies/disputesarising out of such use. The calendarmay also be subject to change without any previous notice.
Commodity Connect is not intended as professional counsel or investment advice, and is not to be used as such. While the exchange has made every effort to assure the
accuracy, correctness and reliability of the information contained herein, any affirmation of fact in the Commodity Connect shall not create an express or implied warranty that
it is correct. Commodity Connect is made available on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claims, demands or cause of action. MCX shall
also not be liable for any damage or loss of any kind, howsoever caused as a result (direct or indirect) of the use of the information or data in this Commodity Connect.
MCX 2016. All rights reserved.