Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
CHAPTER: 1
INTRODUCTION
1
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
1. INTRODUCTION
2
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
3
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
incomes led to emergence of interest groups and lobbies which started influencing farm
policy in the country. There has been a considerable increase in subsidies and support to
agriculture sector during this period while public sector spending in agriculture for
infrastructure development started showing decline in real term but investments by
farmers kept on Moving on a rising trend (Mishra and Chand 1995, Chand 2001). The
output growth, which was concentrated in very narrow pockets, became broad- based and
got momentum. The rural economy started witnessing process of diversification which
resulted into fast growth in non foodgrain output like milk, fishery, poultry, vegetables;
fruits etc which accelerated growth in agricultural GDP during the 1980s.This growth
seems largely market driven.
4
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
CHAPTER: 2
REVIEW
OF
LITERATURE
5
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
2. Review of Literature
India, which is one of the largest agricultural-based economies, remained closed until the
early 1990s. By 1991, there was growing awareness that the inward-looking import
substitution and overvalued exchange rate policy coupled with various domestic policies
pursued during the past four decades, limited entrepreneurial decision making in many
areas and resulted in a high cost domestic industrial structure that was out of line with
world prices. Hence the new economic policy of 1991 stressed both external sector
reforms in the exchange rate, trade and foreign investment policies, and internal reforms
in areas such as industrial policy, price and distribution
controls, and fiscal restructuring in the financial and public sectors. In addition, India’s
membership and commitment to World Trade Organization (WTO) in 1995 was a clear
sign of India’s intention to take advantage of globalization and face the challenge of
accelerating its economic growth. One measure of economic growth is given by
productivity growth as it forms
the basis for improvements in real incomes and welfare. The concept of productivity
growth gained importance for sustaining output growth over the long run as input growth
alone is insufficient to generate output growth because of diminishing returns to input
use. This paper, which examines India’s productivity growth in the agricultural sector in
the context of globalization, has three main aims. First, it examines these possible links in
the agricultural sector in general. Second, it discusses the problems and prospects for
agricultural productivity growth of various Indian states. Third, the paper highlights the
challenges of globalization and draws policy implications for the success of Indian
agriculture.
* Renuka Mahadevan, School of Economics, Universty
6
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
With a population of about 1.1 billion, India is expected to overtake China as the world's
most populous country by 2030. India's economy ranks as Asia's third largest, after Japan
and China, and is now one of the world's fastest growing. While growth has led to
significant reductions in poverty, India still ranks among the world's low income
countries in terms of income per capita. Nevertheless, economic growth has resulted in a
burgeoning middle-class. India's agriculture sector accounts for 18% of GDP, and
employs around 60% of the workforce. Rice, wheat, cotton, oilseeds, jute, tea, sugarcane,
milk and potatoes are India's major agricultural commodities. With its growing urban
middle-class and increasing influence in global affairs, India's policies have important
implications not only for its own economic development but also for global agricultural
markets and trade. This note first reviews India's macro reforms, followed by discussion
of the competitiveness of Indian agriculture. The evolution of India's major agricultural
policies is then described, and new policy directions and emerging challenges are
discussed. The note closes with some of the prospects for India's agri-food.
7
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Chapter: 3
RESEARCH
METHODOLOGY
8
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
The methods adopted to fulfill the objective of the study that included collecting primary
and secondary data. I conducted the survey in order to gather the information’s from the
knowledgeable on the issue reverent to my thesis topic.
To find out the effects of decline in agriculture sector on the Indian economy.
To find out solutions for the revival of Indian agriculture sector after analyzing
different Interventions adopted in India and different countries.
To find out how Agro-Marketing can help in the revival of Indian agriculture sector
and how to use it for overall change in the agriculture sector?
9
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Websites: www.google.com
www.scribd.com
10
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
CHAPTER: 4
FINDINGS
11
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
India, which is one of the largest agricultural-based economies, remained closed until the
early 1990s. By 1991, there was growing awareness that the inward-looking import
substitution and overvalued exchange rate policy coupled with various domestic policies
pursued during the past four decades, limited entrepreneurial decision making in many
areas and resulted in a high cost domestic industrial structure that was out of line with
world prices. Hence the new economic policy of 1991 stressed both external sector
reforms in the exchange rate, trade and foreign investment policies, and internal reforms
in areas such as industrial policy, price and distribution
controls, and fiscal restructuring in the financial and public sectors. In addition, India’s
membership and commitment to World Trade Organization (WTO) in 1995 was a clear
sign of India’s intention to take advantage of globalization and face the challenge of
accelerating its economic growth. One measure of economic growth is given by
productivity growth as it forms the basis for improvements in real incomes and welfare.
The concept of productivity growth gained importance for sustaining output growth over
the long run as input growth alone is insufficient to generate output growth because of
diminishing returns to input use. This paper, which examines India’s productivity growth
in the agricultural sector in the context of globalization, has three main aims. First, it
examines these possible links in the agricultural sector in general. Second, it discusses
the problems and prospects for agricultural productivity growth of various Indian states.
Third, the paper highlights the challenges of globalization and draws policy implications
for the success of Indian agriculture.
12
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
India’s agricultural area is vast with total arable and permanent cropland of 170 million
hectares in 2003- 2005. It has the second largest arable area in the world after the United
States. OECD in it’s 2007 agricultural policy monitoring report notes that Indian
agriculture is dominated by a large number of small scale holdings that are
predominantly owner occupied. The average size of holding in the late nineties was about
1.4 hectares and continues to decline, as farms are usually divided on inheritance. Out of
India’s 116 million farmers, around 60% have less than 1 hectare and together they farm
17% of the land. The share of medium to large farms (above 4 hectares) is very small at
just over 7% of all holdings, but these
farms account for around 40% of the land. The implication is that many of the very small
farms are subsistence holdings, with low investment and little productivity growth.
13
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
14
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
15
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
farmers. In 1969, the government changed the status of agricultural cooperatives from
unlimited societies to limited ones. This year, the Agricultural Cooperative Federation of
Thailand was also established as the apex agricultural cooperative of the country.
16
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Although agriculture contributes only 22% of India’s GDP, its importance in the
country’s economic, social, and political fabric goes well beyond this indicator. The rural
areas are still home to some 72 percent of the India’s 1.1 billion people, a large number
of whom are poor. Most of the rural poor depend on rain-fed agriculture and fragile
forests for their livelihoods. The sharp rise in food grain production during India’s Green
Revolution of the 1970s enabled the country to achieve self-sufficiency in food grains
and stave off the threat of famine. Agricultural intensification in the 1970s to 1980s saw
an increased demand for rural labor that raised rural wages and, together with declining
food prices, reduced rural poverty. Sustained, although much slower, agricultural growth
in the 1990s reduced rural poverty to 26.3 percent by 1999/00. Since then, however, the
slowdown in agricultural growth has become a major cause for concern. India’s rice
yields are one-third of China’s and about half of those in Vietnam and Indonesia. With
the exception of sugarcane, potato and tea, the same is true for most other agricultural
commodities. The Government of India places high priority on reducing poverty by
raising agricultural productivity. However, bold action from policymakers will be
required to shift away from the existing subsidy-based regime that is no longer
sustainable, to build a solid foundation for a highly productive, internationally
competitive, and diversified agricultural sector.
17
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
(2) Sustainability
(3) Efficiency and
(4) Equity.
There are also other important concerns like food security, livelihood, employment,
improvement in standard of living of agricultural population. Addressing these
challenges requires efforts on several fronts like incentive structure, infrastructure,
technology, market development, extension, regulations, input supply, tenancy etc. New
agriculture policy should address above challenges through efforts in abovementioned
areas and also provide direction to the future of agriculture in the country. The National
Agricultural Policy (NAP) document aims to attain output growth rate in excess of 4
percent per annum in agriculture sector based on efficient use of resources. It seeks to
achieve this growth in a sustainable manner and with equity. The Policy resolution than
describe in detail the strategy and policy alternatives which are grouped under the
following heads:
1. Sustainable agriculture
2. Food and nutrition security
3. Generation and transfer of technology
4. Inputs management
5. Incentive for agriculture
6. Investment in agriculture
7. Institutional structure
8. Risk management
18
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
19
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Slow Down in Agricultural and Rural Non-Farm Growth: Both the poorest as well as the
more prosperous ‘Green Revolution’ states of Punjab, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh have
recently witnessed a slow-down in agricultural growth. Some of the factors hampering
the revival of growth are:
Poor
composition of public expenditures: Public spending on agricultural subsidies
is crowding out productivity-enhancing investments such as agricultural research and
extension, as well as investments in rural infrastructure, and the health and education of
the rural people. In 1999/2000, agricultural subsidies amounted to 3 percent of GDP and
were over 7 times the public investments in the sector.
Over-regulation
of domestic agricultural trade: While economic and trade reforms
in the 1990s helped to improve the incentive framework, over-regulation of domestic
trade has increased costs, price risks and uncertainty, undermining the sector’s
competitiveness.
Government
interventions in labor, land, and credit markets: More rapid growth
of the rural non-farm sector is constrained by government interventions in factor markets
-- labor, land, and credit -- and in output markets, such as the small-scale reservation of
enterprises.
20
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
21
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Inadequate
infrastructure and services in rural areas.
Deteriorating
irrigation infrastructure: Public spending in irrigation is spread over
many uncompleted projects. In addition, existing infrastructure has rapidly deteriorated
as operations and maintenance is given lower priority.
Computerization
of land records has brought to light
institutional weaknesses: State government initiatives to computerize land records have
reduced transaction costs and increased transparency, but also brought to light
institutional weaknesses.
Rural
poor have little access to credit: While India has a wide network of rural
finance institutions, many of the rural poor remain excluded, due to inefficiencies in the
formal finance institutions, the weak regulatory framework, high transaction costs, and
risks associated with lending to agriculture.
22
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
23
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
In the past, India has made great progress in providing food security for its
people. However the growth rate of agriculture has decreased from 3.2 during 1985-90
(seventh plan) to 2.1 during 1997-2002 (Ninth plan). There has also been a decline in the
growth rate of foodgrain production from 3.22 (1960) to 1.23 (1997). Foodgrain
production is becoming a matter of concern again. The challenge facing the country is in
24
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
achieving a higher production of food production over the next 2–3 decades (Daniel
2000). According to a study by Bhalla et.al (1999), baseline projection for total cereal
demand in 2020 is 246 million tons for direct human consumption. The relevant question
that arises is whether India would be able to increase the foodgrain production in the
coming years with the net-cropped area remaining same? Much of the additional food
demand in the future will have to be met through productivity enhancement. What factors
have contributed most to the productivity growth in the past? Reaching towards the goal
of sustainable agriculture with high yield requires a crucial role of irrigation and other
factors. In the paper, we explore the marginal contribution of factors like irrigation and
fertilizer on yield of foodgrain using a regression model. We also test the hypothesis that
marginal effect of fertilizer on yield depends much on the irrigated conditions.
Over the past 15 years, increase in irrigated area has mainly taken place from
groundwater source. Yields in areas irrigated by groundwater are often substantially
higher than the yield from surface water sources. Research indicates that yields in
groundwater irrigated areas are higher by one third to one half than in areas irrigated
from surface sources, and as much as 70-80% of India’s agricultural output may be
groundwater dependent (Marcus 1996). Higher yields from groundwater-irrigated areas
are in large part due to increase in the reliability of water supply. In the paper, we explore
how irrigated area driven by groundwater irrigation expansion will contribute in
increasing the irrigation intensity.
Much of the contribution in yield change in the last two decades is caused by high
fertilizer usage (Daniel 2000; Ahluwalia 1996). High use of fertilizer in agricultural
production is also contributed by expansion of irrigation as the latter reduces the risk of
investment in fertilizer. Two decades back, farmers applied only 30 kg of mineral
fertilizers (nitrogenous, phosphatic and potassic fertilizers) to their land. Today, they
apply 29kg per hectare which is three times as much. In the same period, foodgrain yields
has increased every year, from about 1.023 tonnes/ha to 1.67 tonnes/ha. One of the
concerns regarding the factors constraining the yield growth is imbalanced use of
fertilizer. The pattern of fertilizer use is distorted to great extent. Data suggests extreme
overuse of nitrogenous fertilizer, and to large extent it is due to under market price of
nitrogenous fertilizer. The excessive use of nitrogenous fertilizer usage is sticking mainly
25
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
in the irrigated area of the north zone. With declining ground water table over use of
nitrogenous fertilizer may slow down the yield growth in future (Fresco 2003).
We hypothesize both time series and cross section variation in yield and the
factors influencing the latter across the states in India. Using a panel data, we investigate
the yield of foodgrains, and assess the future impacts of increasing irrigated area and
fertilizer usage. We have used annual time series and cross section data of 15 major
states in India, which constitutes more than 95 % of the agrarian economy of India, for
the period 1990-2001. Based on the regression results, we analyze the contribution of the
different factors in the relative changes in yield growth. To get into further insights we
also assess the contribution of the factors in relative change in yield in different zones of
India, for instance North, South, East and West Zones.1
It is essential to project India’s future food production, as the current concern is to
meet the food demand of the increasing population. The proportion irrigated area,
fertilizer usage and gross cropped area are determined using a quadratic time trend of the
last decade; and then based on the regression results and time trend values of the factors,
we project the yield of foodgrains in 2010, 2025 and 2050.
The structure of the paper is as follows. In the first section, we discuss about the
past agricultural scenarios .In the next section, we explore the yield of foodgrains and the
relative contribution of the factors in changing it’s growth. In the fourth section, we make
future projections of yield and food production. Finally, the last section summarizes the
findings and results of the paper.
4.2.1 Agriculture scenario:
In the past, India has made great progress in providing food security for its
people. The growth of food production has surpassed the growth of population, with per
capita food availability increased from 167kg per year during 1980-1990 to 174 kg per
year during 1990-2000. Indian policy makers have shifted their focus from self-
sufficiency to generating additional income in rural area (Ahluwalia 2004). But will India
continue to be self-sufficient in foodgrain in the years ahead with declining net cropped
area for the same? Till 1990, foodgrain production was driving the agricultural sector
growth- a natural consequence of high priority food policy regime pursued since
1
See appendix for the states in each geographical zones.
26
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
independence. Since 1990, the non -foodgrain sector appeared to have taken over. Table
2.1 shows the production of major foodgrains over the last 50 years. The major growth
has taken place in rice and wheat production while coarse cereals and particularly pulses
are lagging behind. The table also illustrates a decelerating growth of food grains
production during 1990-2000.In the paper, we explore the factors influencing the gross
area and yield of foodgrains, which determine the production of the same.
27
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
year we find considerable growth in the rainfed intensity. This is largely due to
governmental policies directed towards improving the position of small farmers in the
non-irrigated areas through extending the productivity revolution and production of high
valued crops.
However, cropping intensity growth in the irrigated area is still higher than that of the
rain fed area.
Table 2.2: Cropping , irrigation and rainfed intensity of India during 1990-2000; Source:
Ministry of Agriculture, Government of India
28
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
are taking place in the rainfed part of the cropped area, and it contributes in
increasing the cropping intensity.
We analyze the state wise variation in cropping intensity across states in the last
decade. Many climatic factors like rainfall, drought affects cropping intensity. So, we
have taken a four-year average for the period 1990-1993 and 1997-2000.Table 2.1 shows
the average cropping intensity and the corresponding growth rate. We observe high
growth of cropping intensity in the northern and eastern states, and mainly in Uttar
Pradesh and West Bengal. In the latter two states, intensity is driven by higher irrigation
expansion. In Tamil Nadu, however, there is decrease in cropping intensity. In Tamil
Nadu, depletion of groundwater resource increases the opportunity cost of increasing the
intensive margin, and resulting a decrease in cropping intensity.
250
GSA and NSA
200
million hectares
150
100
Net sown area
Gross sown area
50
0
1 9 -5 1
1 9 -5 4
19 -5 7
19 - 6 0
19 - 6 3
19 - 6 6
19 - 6 9
19 -72
1 9 -7 5
1 9 -7 8
1 9 -8 1
1 9 -8 4
1 9 -8 7
19 -9 0
19 - 9 3
19 -96
9
-9
50
53
56
62
65
68
71
74
77
80
83
86
89
95
98
59
92
19
year
Figure 2.1 Gross and net sown area of India during 1950-2000; Source: Ministry of
Agriculture, Government of India
29
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Table 2.3: Cropping intensity in India during 1990-1993 and 1997-2000. Source:
Ministry of Agriculture, Government of India
30
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Among the food grain crops, the area under superior cereals, i.e., rice and wheat, is
increasing; while that of coarse cereals (millets) is on decline.
While cereals and pulses have lost area, the major gainers of this area shift are the
non-foodgrain crops especially oilseeds. If we look at the grain orientation of agriculture
defined as a ratio of gross cropped area for foodgrain to total cropped area, we observe a
declining trend. Grain orientation of agriculture during the last decade has decreased
from 71% to 67%. Most of the change in grain orientation, however, is taking place
under rainfed conditions to reduce the risk factor of crop failures due to drought or less
rains. This is also evident from figure 2.2. Although comparative advantage, yield
difference and crop rotation considerations often favour diversification in irrigated areas.
31
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
100%
Pulses
80%
Wheat
% of GSA foodgrain
Maize
60%
Others
40%
20% Rice
0%
19 -51
19 -55
19 -59
19 -63
19 -67
19 -71
19 -75
19 -79
19 -83
19 -87
19 -91
19 -95
9
-9
50
58
62
66
70
74
78
82
90
98
54
86
94
19
Area of Foodgrains
135
130
125
120
115
110
105
1966-67
1968-69
1970-71
1972-73
1974-75
1976-77
1978-79
1980-81
1982-83
1984-85
1986-87
1988-89
1990-91
1992-93
1994-95
1996-97
1998-99
2000-01
Figure 2.4: Trend in gross sown area of foodgrains in India from 1966-2000. Source:
Ministry of Agriculture, Government of India
32
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Table 2.3 shows the grain orientation of 16 major states and the growth from the
period 1990-1993 to 1997-2000. The table suggests changes in grain orientation are
taking place in most of the major states and with greater prominence in the rain fed area.
Area wise change in grain orientation is more among the southern states. In the rice
wheat producing states of Punjab, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh, diversification is taking
place slowly in irrigated area. Much of diversification in Punjab is taking place in the
rain-fed area. The minimum support price provided to farmers in the northern agricultural
states act as risk reducing insurance against fluctuation in price. Farmers have little
incentive to change to other high valued crops. Considering the rice dominant states, we
observe a decline in grain orientation in West Bengal. Among the southern states, crop
diversification is taking place only under irrigated conditions during the period 1997-
2000 in Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu. One of the reasons of change in grain
orientation in Tamil Nadu especially is rapidly decline in groundwater level, caused by
higher withdrawal rate than the recharge rate. It induces farmers to shift to water saving
commercial crops in irrigated area.
33
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
250
Yield (Kg./Hectare)
200
Production (Million
150 Tonne)
Area (Million
100
Hectare)
50
0
1 9 -5 1
1 9 -5 7
1 9 -6 3
1 9 -6 9
1 9 -7 5
1 9 -8 1
19 -8 7
19 - 9 3
9
-9
50
56
62
68
74
80
86
92
98
19
year
34
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Figure 2.5: Food production and gross sown area for foodgrain from 1950-2000. Source:
Ministry of Agriculture, Government of India
Reaching towards the goal of sustainable agriculture with high yield requires a crucial
role of irrigation. Irrigation has played a contributory role in the production of foodgrain
in the past and it is also evident from the figure shown below.
The yield and irrigation grew at the same rate for longer time period. The question,
however, remains whether irrigation would continue to play similar role in future. From
figure 2.6 we observe that 1990 onwards irrigation has played a less significant role in
yield change compare to pre 1990 period, and is highlighted by the increasing differences
between yield and irrigation ratio. Much of the yield change in the last two decades is
caused by high fertilizer usage. High use of fertilizer in agricultural production is also
contributed by expansion of irrigation as the latter reduces the risk of investment in
fertilizers.
400
Indices(%)-Base year 1980
350
300 Irrigation Coverage
250
yield tonne per
200
hectare
150 Fertilizer use per
100 hectare
50
0
1950-51
1955-56
1960-61
1965-66
1970-71
1975-76
1980-81
1985-86
1990-91
1995-96
Figure 2.6: Irrigation coverage, fertilizer usage and yield of foodgrain from 1950-2000.
Source: Ministry of Agriculture and Fertilizer Association of India, Government of India
35
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
1993)
Table 2.5: Yield of foodgrains in India during 1990-1993 and 1997-2000 Source:
Ministry of Agriculture, Government of India
Table 2.5 shows the yield of foodgrains during the period 1990-1993 and 1997-2000.
The yield of foodgrains in India has increased by around 15% from 1990-93 to 1997-00.
In the past, the gains in productivity remain confined to select areas. Part of this disparity
can be explained by the fact that during the period of Green Revolution Punjab and
Haryana were way ahead of other states in terms of irrigated area, intensity of irrigation,
and intensity of cropping. Availability of irrigation is one of the crucial factors governing
regional variations. However, from 1990 there are signs of diminishing returns as a result
of decreasing fertiliser productivities and long-term extraction of ground water and soil
36
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
minerals., and thus raising the question of sustainability of growth and possible
exhaustion of the green revolution potential.
During the periods 1990-93 and 1997-00, major increase in yield growth has taken place
in the west zone where the average yield was low compare to other regions.
Growth is striking in Gujarat, where water harvesting is the primary source of water for
agriculture.
Table 2.6 and 2.7 show the yield of rice and wheat and percentage coverage under
irrigation of all the major states for these crops. The national growth rates of yield mask
variability in the performance of different states. In few states, like Punjab, Haryana,
Orissa and Gujarat rice yield has decreased in the period 1997-2000. The decrease in
yield is due to the presence of salinity in the groundwater level caused by over
exploitation. Zone-wise analysis of growth suggests an equally disquieting trend with the
most productive north zone showing slow growth in productivity The only redeeming
factor is the impressive growth rate of the eastern and southern zone The gap between
state yield and national yield is high among the western states. Ecology and agro climatic
conditions accounts for such gap in this region.
1990-1993 1997-2000
% coverage under
yield % coverage under irrigation yield irrigation
Haryana 2.73 0.99 2.46 0.99
Punjab 3.43 0.99 3.39 0.97
Himachal
Pradesh 1.31 0.61 1.54 0.62
Uttar Pradesh 1.84 0.51 2.05 0.67
North Zone 2.32 0.67 2.44 0.78
West Bengal 2.06 0.23 2.32 0.34
Bihar- 1.13 0.37 1.44 0.41
Orissa 1.36 0.36 1.24 0.38
Assam 1.33 0.21 1.46 0.15
East Zone 1.53 0.30 1.68 0.34
Karnataka 2.36 0.64 2.49 0.70
Kerala 1.98 0.42 2.16 0.57
Tamil Nadu 3.15 0.92 3.47 0.93
37
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Andhra
Pradesh 2.56 0.95 2.83 0.96
South Zone 2.65 0.85 2.91 0.89
Gujarat 1.46 0.59 1.37 0.66
Maharashtra 1.56 0.25 1.59 0.29
MP 1.12 0.23 0.91 0.24
Rajasthan 1.11 0.32 1.17 0.55
West Zone 1.24 0.26 1.09 0.29
INDIA 1.84 0.48 1.97 0.53
Major States 1.85 0.50 1.96 0.55
Table 2.6: Yield of Rice in India during 1990-1993 and 1997-2000; Source: Ministry of
Agriculture, Government of India
Regarding wheat, India has made much progress in the productivity growth. The major
wheat producing states, Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and
Bihar contribute more than 90 % of the wheat production. In these states, there has been
considerable growth of yield. Among the major factors that affect yield, expansion in
irrigated and high yielding variety (HYV) area seem to play a important role in raising
yield.
1990-1993 1997-2000
Yield% Coverage under irrigationYield % Coverage under irrigation
Haryana 3.61 0.98 3.96 0.99 0.35
Punjab 3.86 0.97 4.36 0.97 0.50
Himachal Pradesh 1.43 0.18 1.42 0.18 -0.02
Uttar Pradesh 2.29 0.90 2.63 0.93 0.33
North Zone 2.80 0.91 3.17 0.93 0.37
West Bangal 2.16 0.86 2.29 0.76 0.13
Bihar- 1.89 0.87 2.19 0.89 0.30
Orissa - - 1.28 2.95 1.28
Assam - - 1.20 0.00 1.20
East Zone 1.92 0.88 2.17 0.85 0.25
Karnataka 0.74 0.35 0.76 0.41 0.02
Kerala - - - - -
Tamil Nadu - - - - -
Andhra Pradesh - 0.58 0.75 0.58
38
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
South Zone
Gujarat 2.11 0.91 2.30 0.86 0.18
Maharashtra 1.19 0.72 1.20 0.74 0.01
MP 1.50 0.61 1.67 0.71 0.17
Rajasthan 2.17 0.93 2.48 0.97 0.31
West Zone 1.71 0.73 1.92 0.80 0.21
INDIA 2.37 0.85 2.64 0.87 0.27
Major States 2.38 0.87 2.65 0.89 0.27
Table 2.7: Yield of wheat in India during 1990-1993 and 1997-2000; Source: Ministry of
Agriculture, Government of India
Fertilizer Usage:
With ground water tables declining, there are growing pressure to increase the
yield. The key factor behind high yield growth could be the development of new
technology that will produce higher yields per hectare, and fertilizer remains a key player
in this most important task as it has been in the past. However, fertilizer application
should be optimum in quantity to meet the crop’s nutrient requirement fully so as to
achieve the set yield target. Table 2.8 shows the usage of fertilizer per hectare of gross
cropped area in year 1990-91.The table illustrates significant difference in the
consumption of fertilizer in the irrigated and rain fed area. Mainly, the nitrogenous
fertilizer usage is almost double in the irrigated area than in the rainfed area. The pattern
of fertilizer use is distorted to great extent. On the basis of agronomic efficiency the ratio
of N: P: K should be 4:2:1, whereas usage is 8:3:1 in irritated area and 8:4:1 in the rain
fed area. The distortion in the pattern of fertilizer usage is caused by under price of
nitrogenous fertilizer (Ahluwalia 1996). There is substantial subsidy on both domestic
production and imports of nitrogenous fertilizer, while the prices of phosphatic and
potassic fertilizers are largely market determined. The excessive use of nitrogenous
fertilizer usage is sticking mainly in the irrigated area of the north zone. With declining
ground water table over use of nitrogenous fertilizer may slow down the yield growth.
39
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Table 2.8: Usage of fertilizer per hectare of cropped area during 2001; Source: Fertilizer
Association of India Government of India
Note: N-nitrogenous fertilizer, P- phosphatic fertilizer and K- potassic fertilizer
40
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Climate:
India has Monsoon climate in which a year has been divided into two distinct seasons of
summer and winter. Rainfall occurs mainly in summer.
Major Crops:
Rice, Wheat, Sugarcane, Oilseeds, Pulses, Cotton, Jowar, Bajra, Ragi, Tea, Coffee,
Coconut, Cashew, Rubber, Spices, Cauliflower, Onion, Cabbage, Mango, Banana,
Sapota, Acid lime.
Farm Size:
Indian Agriculture is characterized by small and marginal operational holdings. About
85% of total cultivated land has been fragmented into less than 10-hectare land. About
60% of farmland is less than 4 hectare in size.
Extent of Mechanization:
Mechanization in Indian agriculture is still at rudimentary stage showing regional
variation. But it is increasing over the years. Power availability for carrying out various
agricultural operations, which is one of the indicators of mechanization, has been
increased.
Plantation:
Tea, Coffee, and Natural rubber are the main plantation crops in India that contribute in
Indian export to a considerable extent. India is the largest producer and consumer of tea
in the world. It contributes 4% to global coffee production and enjoys a niche market by
producing both Arabica and robusta coffee. In rubber also, it ranks third in production
and fourth in consumption of natural rubber in the world.
Horticulture:
41
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
India has a great potential in the production of horticultural crops, which includes fruits,
vegetables, spices, floriculture, and plantations. Acreage under horticulture is around 20
million hectares. India is the second largest producer of both fruits and vegetables in the
world. It occupies first position in the production of cauliflower, second in onion, and
third in cabbage.
Dairy:
India ranks first in the world in milk production, which was around 100 million tones in
2006-07.Strong networks of Milk Cooperatives, have been instrumental in this
phenomenal performance of dairy sector in India. Presently, 1.13 lakh village level
cooperative societies spread over 265 districts in the country form part of the national
Milk Grid. This Grid links milk producers throughout India and consumers in 700 towns
and cities. De-licensing of dairy sector in 1991 has directed considerable amount of
private funds both from inside and outside country in this sector especially in
manufacturing facilities while investment in cooperative sector are concentrated largely
in procurement and processing of milk. Livestock: Livestock sector contributes about
27% of the G.D.P. from agriculture and allied activities. This sector has excellent
forward and backward linkages, which p-promote many industries and increase the
incomes of vulnerable groups of the society such as agricultural labourers and small and
marginal farmers. India possesses the second largest livestock population in the world.
Fishery:
Fishing, aquaculture and a host of allied activities are a source of livelihood to over 14
million people and a major source of foreign exchange earner. In 2005-06, this sector
contributed about 1% of G.D.P. and 5.3% of G.D.P from agricultural sector.8, 118 k.m.
of coastline gives geographical basis for the development of marine fishery sector and
cultural factor boosts the inland fishery sector in India.
Agricultural Finance:
Credit: Availability of adequate credit is vital for every sector and agriculture is not an
exception. In India, Commercial Banks, Cooperative Banks, and Regional Rural Banks
(RRBs) are responsible for smooth flow of credit to agricultural sector. But a huge
unorganized market exists for credit to agricultural sector in India, which provide timely
fund to this sector but at the exorbitant rate of interest. Among organized credit
disbursement to agriculture commercial banks play a vital role with a share of about 70%
where as cooperative sector and RRBs contribute 20% and 10 % respectively.Kisan
Credit Card (KCC) scheme was introduced to provide adequate and timely support from
the banking system to the farmers for their cultivation needs. This scheme has made rapid
progress and more than645 lakh cards issued up to October 2006. The 'Farm Credit
Package' announced by the Government of India in June 2004 stipulated doubling the
flow of institutional credit for agriculture in ensuing three years.
42
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Insurance:
Insurance is a prime necessity to mitigate uncertainty that persists in Agriculture. In
India, agriculture is still affected by such factors, which are beyond control of human
being. So, there is a great need for agricultural insurance in India. Keeping this in mind,
Government of India in coordination with the General Insurance Corporation of India
(GIC) had introduced National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS) from Rabi 1999-
2000 seasons. The main objective of this scheme is to protect the farmers against losses
suffered by them due to crop failure on account of natural calamities. Agricultural
Insurance Company of India (AICIL) which was incorporated in December 2002 took
over the implementation of NAIS. AICIL introduced Rainfall Insurance Scheme called
'Varsha Bima' during 2004 southwest monsoon period. Varsha Bima provided for five
different options suiting varied requirements of farming community:
43
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
E-Chaupal:
44
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
chaupal business platform consists of three layers each of different level of geographic
aggregation. Each of the three layers is characterized by three key elements:
The first layer consists of the village level kiosks with internet access (echaupals),
managed by an ITC trained local farmer and within walking distance (I-5 kilometers) of
each target farmer. Each cluster of five villages gets an e-chaupal, which is justified by
sparse population in rural India. The second layer consists of a brick and mortar
infrastructure called hubs managed by the traditional intermediary who has local
knowledge/skills called a Samayojak and within tractorable distance (25- 30 kilometer)
of then target farmer.
45
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
imports to USA have been subject to anti dumping duty of 10.17% from August 2004. In
European markets, India's marine products have been facing problem due to multiplicity
of standards-in addition to the EU's own standards, the standards of each of the own
member states.
46
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
47
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
48
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Strength
• NER presents high potentiality for Horti production due to topography ,agro-
climatic factors & farmers’ familiarity
Weaknesses
• Inadequate infrastructure
– Irrigation
Opportunities
Threats
• If necessary measures are not been taken in time, Thailand and Mayanmar
will take over the marke
49
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
50
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
CHAPTER: 5
CONCLUSION
51
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
5.1 Conclusion
The Government of India trusts that the National Seeds Policy will receive the fullest
support of State Governments/Union Territory Administrations, State Agricultural
Universities, plant breeders, seed producers, the seed industry and all other stakeholders,
so that it may serve as a catalyst to meet the objectives of sustainable development of
agriculture, food and nutritional security for the population, and improved standards of
living for farming communities.
The National Seeds Policy will be a vital instrument in attaining the objectives of
doubling food production and making India hunger free. It is expected to provide the
impetus for a new revolution in Indian agriculture, based on an efficient system for
supply of seeds of the best quality to the cultivator.
The National Seeds Policy will lay the foundation for comprehensive reforms in the seed
sector. Significant changes in the existing legislative framework will be effected
accompanied by programmatic interventions. The Policy will also provide the parameters
for the development of the seed sector in the Tenth and subsequent Plans. The progress
of implementation of the Policy will be monitored by a High Level Review Committee.
52
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
Although India missed the opportunity to open up two decades ago, its attempts to do so
now must be regarded as better late than never. Others such as Desai (1999) observe that,
“the logic of the global economy as well as India’s interests dictate that India become
proactive in its liberalization policies. India must liberalize not because it has no choice
but because it is the best choice”. His lament that India has adopted a ‘victim mentality’
when it really needs to adopt a ‘winner mentality’ has become less of a concern as over
time, India has shown commitment to stay on the bandwagon of globalization. Having
realized that globalization is a necessary but not a sufficient condition for high growth
production, India has undertaken economic reforms, both internal and external. However,
it must be ensured that these reforms are synchronized so that the pace of both reforms is
set right in order to work hand in hand to promote agricultural productivity growth. Asia-
Pacific Development Journal Vol. 10, No. 2, December 2003
71 Thus, training the farmers and educating them appropriately to change their mindset
and reorienting them to take up new activities or adopt foreign technology is of utmost
importance. In this context, it is necessary to involve non-governmental organizations in
training and mobilizing the rural poor to face the challenge of liberalization. Also, with
domestic economic reforms, more care needs to be exercised to draw up state-specific
liberalization measures to maximize their benefits. Lastly, in the implementation of these
reforms for successful globalization, one crucial element, not entirely within control is
the need for good governance and stability in the political and economic environment.
Political leaders who are the ultimate decision makers in these matters need to examine
their own role dispassionately. It is quite apparent that at this relatively early stage, there
is little observable evidence of gains to India’s agricultural performance after opening up.
However, there could easily be benefits that have not yet surfaced, or are yet to be
identified and perhaps too difficult or intangible to measure. Whatever the case, it is
53
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
highly likely that it is too soon to assess the full impact of globalization and economic
reforms. Furthermore, the process of liberalization has been gradual and remains
incomplete. For example, the complete removal of quantitative restrictions after March
2001 will have provided an opportunity for Indian farmers to tap world markets and, if
they are successful, results should start to become evident soon. Export promotion via the
development of export and trading houses as well as effective liberalizing export
promotion zone schemes for agriculture are fairly recent measures and only time will tell
as to how effective these measures are. Other possibilities such as agro-industry parks for
promoting exports are also in the pipeline. In conclusion, India has successfully set sail
on the waters of globalization and economic reforms and even in the wake of economic
and political instability, she has to carefully steer her course in order to reap the benefits
of increased productivity growth in the agricultural sector.
54
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
CHAPTER: 6
BIBLIOGRAPHY
AND
REFERENCES
55
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
6.1 BIBLIOGRAPHY
Books:
1. M.S.Ahluwalia
M.S. - New economic policy and agriculture
Journals:
1. Indian Economy
2. Asia-Pacific Development Journal
Internet:
1. scribd.com
2. Google.com
3. Altavista.com
4. MSN.com
56
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
6. REFERENCES
Chadha, R., 1999. Trade and Balance of Payments, National Council of Applied
Economic Research(Mimeographer).
Desai, M., 1999. “What should be India’s economic priorities in a globalized world?”,
Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi.
Gulati, A., and A.N. Sharma, 1995. “Subsidy syndrome in Indian agriculture”, Economic
and Political Weekly, 30 September 1995.
Kalirajan, K.P., G. Mythili and U. Sankar, eds. 2001. Accelerating Growth Through
Globalization of Indian Agriculture, Macmilan, India.
Shand, R., 1997. ‘The agriculture-manufacturing nexus and sequencing in India’s reform
process’,
Mahadevan, R. and Kalirajan K.P., 1999. “On measuring total factor productivity growth
in Singapore’smanufacturing industries”, Applied Economics Letters, vol. 6, pp. 295-298.
OECD, 1998. Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries (Paris).
Singh, M., 1995. Inaugural address delivered at the 54th Annual Conference, Indian
Journal of Agricultural Economics, vol. 50, No. 1: 1-6.
57
Role of agriculture in indian GDP.
1 Appendices
1.1.1
9 Contributes to 24%24%of GDP
10 Provides food to Provides food to 110 Billion110 Billionpeople people
11 Sustains 65% of the population : helps alleviate poverty
12 Sustains 65% of the population : helps alleviate poverty
13 Produces 51 major CropsProduces 51 major Crops
14 Provides Raw Material to IndustriesProvides Raw Material to Industries
15 Contributes to 1/6Contributes to 1/6ththof the export earningsof the export
earnings
16 One of the 12 BioOne of the 12 Bio-diversity centers in the world with over
diversity centers in the world with over 46,000 species of plants and
86,000 species of animals recorded
58