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PIMCO has always believed actively managed bond portfolios should provide returns
over and above those of passively managed portfolios, particularly over the longer
term.
PIMCO has identified three specific reasons why active management strategies are
likely to produce higher returns than passive strategies, with limited changes to overall
portfolio risk:
• Bond Market Inefficiencies: Inefficiencies in the bond market, often the result
of restrictions on passive strategies, provide both structural and tactical
opportunities to generate returns that should exceed those of benchmark
indices.
PIMCO believes there is a significant distinction between "core" and "non-core" active
management. PIMCO's active management philosophy is to identify as many
opportunities as possible to add value relative to the benchmark. We consider this a
"core" approach because we diversify our sources of excess return by taking many
small deviations from the benchmark index, rather than one or two large positions, a
"non-core" approach, which can cause a significant divergence between portfolio and
index returns. We believe our approach is far better suited to core fixed-income
allocations because it tends to track the targeted index while attempting to provide
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enhanced returns, helping to ensure that our actively managed portfolios perform as
expected relative to other markets and asset classes and do not include aggressive
positions that might skew those relationships.
The fixed income market includes a wide variety of securities, from nominal and real-
return Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities to bonds from corporate and
emerging market issuers. Each sector has its own distinct risk and return
characteristics. The degree of inefficiency varies from sector to sector as well. Active
managers with access to the full spectrum of fixed income securities have a much
broader opportunity set than passive strategies, which are limited by the index, not only
for seeking additional returns but for diversifying risks as well.
PIMCO has identified four specific structural aspects of the bond market that commonly
allow the active manager to provide more return than passively managed portfolios:
• Liquidity Premiums: Benchmark bond indexes often include only the largest,
most actively traded securities, and many investors similarly limit themselves to
these issues and are forced to pay a price premium for maximum liquidity that
is often unnecessary. The reverse is also true: as an active manager, PIMCO
has the discretion to purchase securities with slightly less liquidity and thereby
earn a yield premium for our willingness to invest in issues from which others
are restricted.
• Volatility Premiums: PIMCO has found that it often pays to "sell volatility" in
the bond market because investors usually overpay for price stability. Holding
issues with embedded call or put features, such as mortgage-backed
securities, or collecting premiums by selling options outright, is another source
of added return largely unavailable to passively managed portfolios.
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One way to add value by using derivatives might be to gain exposure to a particular
maturity through futures, which are often cheaper than actual cash bonds but provide
the same interest rate exposure. The institutional time horizon can be nicely exploited
to earn additional return by backing forward liabilities implicitly built into Treasury
futures contracts with cash or higher yielding bond equivalents that should earn much
more than the financing rate embedded in the futures contract. Interest rate swaps can
be even more flexible than futures because they provide a complete yield curve while
Treasury futures offer only two-year, five-year, 10-year and 30-year maturities.
Other tactical strategies may be based on broad macroeconomic views. These views
form the basis for identifying which maturities, sectors, or countries are most likely to
outperform over the long-term. PIMCO makes particular use of this approach because
we tend to have an investment horizon that is flexibly longer on average than many
other market participants. By assessing opportunities within the framework of our three-
to five-year secular outlook, we are often able to identify securities that have been
mispriced by those with shorter-term views or less flexibility.
The following distinct set of characteristics can distinguish an effective core active
manager:
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Passive managers typically pursue one of two broad strategies: a "laddered" portfolio of
bonds with staggered maturities or a portfolio that attempts to replicate a bond market
index. Both strategies have limitations.
Managers who attempt only to replicate a benchmark index are also subject to a set of
distinct risks and opportunity costs. The major bond market indices are slow to
incorporate new sectors and new types of securities. This can render whole portions of
the fixed income universe inaccessible to passive managers, limiting diversification.
Some examples of securities passive managers have been slow to adopt include
mortgage-backed securities, asset-backed securities and commercial mortgage-backed
securities. Moreover, because institutional demand for new instruments is sparse and
the securities are less well understood, and less fully valued, passive managers may
forego potential opportunities to enhance returns.
On the other hand, institutional demand for the same securities included in most
indexes tends to be strong, creating competition for these "must own" issues, whether
they be Treasuries, agencies, mortgages or corporates. This competition among
buyers tends to make securities included in indexes more expensive. In an effort to
improve returns, some passive managers "tilt" portfolios by including more agency,
corporate or mortgage debt. But when applied structurally rather than tactically, the
strategy relies on the weakest aspects of both active and passive approaches,
producing only modestly higher yields while putting total return at risk by adding credit
risk and volatility that most passive managers are less able to evaluate.
Passive management strategies are not without merits, particularly in the equity market
where it can prove extremely difficult to consistently outperform the broad market
through stock selection. In contrast to bond indices, which capture only a portion of the
investible fixed income universe, equity indices represent the full opportunity set. A
passive equity manager can thus directly replicate an index by holding all of its
component securities. In PIMCO portfolios with an equity component, we attempt
merely to match a broad equity index. All efforts to provide additional return over the
index are made with fixed-income vehicles rather than stock selection, because we
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believe structural opportunities to add value are simply not available in the equity
market to the extent they are in fixed-income.
Prudent active management requires diverse sources of added value, vigorous risk
management, a long-term view and a robust process for evaluating opportunities on
both a top-down and bottom-up basis. Attempts to add value should consist of small
departures from the underlying index because large deviations can significantly alter
risk levels and correlations to other markets and asset classes. A core active manager
with expertise in all sectors of the fixed income market both domestically and abroad is
more likely to identify a sufficient number of diverse opportunities to add value than
those with a narrower focus and limited resources.
Passive management strategies have many inherent limitations and are subject to the
same interest rate and credit risks common to all fixed-income investing. Passive
managers typically have restrictions on the types of bonds in which they are able to
invest, and often must purchase, at a premium, those issues that are most in demand.
These restrictions limit the opportunities available to passive managers, both to add
value and to diversify risk. Passive managers that attempt to overcome these
restrictions by deviating from an index through additional exposure to agencies,
corporate bonds or mortgage-backed securities, may be taking risks they do not
understand, or their clients do not anticipate.
PIMCO's long-term approach to core active management, global scope and expertise
in all fixed income market sectors allow us to identify a broad and diverse array of
opportunities to add value. PIMCO has invested heavily in proprietary, quantitative
analytics and risk controls, in-house credit analysis and market expertise in order to
make every effort to consistently generate excess returns without materially altering the
level of portfolio risk.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. This article contains the current opinions of PIMCO
and does not represent a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product. Such
opinions are subject to change without notice. This article is distributed for educational purposes only and
should not be considered as investment advice or an offer of any security for sale. Information contained
herein has been obtained from sources believed reliable, but not guaranteed.
Each sector of the bond market entails risk. Municipals may realize gains & may incur a tax liability from time
to time. The guarantee on Treasuries & Government Bonds is to the timely repayment of principal and
interest. Shares of the portfolio are not guaranteed. Mortgage-backed securities & Corporate Bonds may be
sensitive to interest rates. When interest rates rise the value of fixed income securities generally declines.
There is no assurance that private guarantors or insurers will meet their obligations. An investment in high-
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yield securities generally involves greater risk to principal than an investment in higher-rated bonds. Investing
in non-U.S. securities may entail risk due to non-U.S. economic and political developments and may be
enhanced when investing in emerging markets. Portfolios may use derivative instruments for hedging
purposes or as part of the investment strategy. Use of these instruments may involve certain costs and risks
such as liquidity risk, interest rate risk, market risk, credit risk, management risk and the risk that a fund could
not close out a position when it would be most advantageous to do so. Portfolios investing in derivatives
could lose more than the principal amount invested. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or
referred to in any other publication, without express written permission. Pacific Investment Management
Company LLC. ©2003 PIMCO.
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