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The forecasting method which uses anonymous questionnaires to achieve a consensus forecast is:
A)
salesforce opinions
B)
consumer surveys
C)
the Delphi method
D)
time series analysis
E)
executive opinions
Answer: C Page: 69 Difficulty: Easy
In business, forecasts are the basis for:
A)
capacity planning
B)
budgeting
C)
sales planning
D)
production planning
E)
all of the above
Answer: E Page: 66 Difficulty: Easy
Which of the following smoothing constants would make an exponential smoothing forecast equivalent to a
naive forecast?
A)
0
B)
.01
C)
.1 erd
D)
.5
E)
1.0
Answer: E Page: 75 Difficulty: Medium
Given an actual demand of 59, a previous forecast of 64, and an alpha of .3, what would the forecast for the
next period be using simple exponential smoothing?
A)
36.9
B)
57.5
C)
60.5
D)
62.5
E)
65.5
Answer: D Page: 75 Difficulty: Medium
Which of the following possible values of alpha would cause exponential smoothing to respond the most
quickly to sudden changes in forecast errors?
A)
0
B)
.01
C)
.05
D)
.10
E)
.15
Answer: E Page: 75 Difficulty: Medium
A manager uses the following equation to predict monthly receipts: Yt = 40,000 + 150t. What is the forecast
for July if t = 0 in April of this year?
A)
40,450
B)
40,600 fs
sdf
C)
42,100
D)
42,250
E)
42,400
Answer: A Page: 77 Difficulty: Medium
Which of the following is used for constructing a control chart?
A)
mean absolute deviation (MAD)
B)
mean squared error (MSE)
C)
tracking signal (TS)
D)
bias
E)
none of the above s
fdeferf
Answer: B Page: 93 Difficulty: Medium
The two most important factors in choosing a forecasting technique are:
A)
cost and time horizon
B)
accuracy and time horizon
C)
cost and accuracy
D)
quantity and quality
E)
objective and subjective components
Student ID:
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Value
138
142
Period
3
4
Value
148
144
144.20
144.80 erferfefrerf
144.67
143.00
144.00
Student ID:
C)
D)
E)
17.
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