Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
: 0960504
Campus:
BI Oslo
Programme:
Master of Science in Strategy and Innovation
This thesis is a part of the MSc Programme at BI Norwegian Business School. The school takes no
responsibility for the methods used, results found and conclusion drawn.
01.09.2014
Acknowledgement
We would like to thank our supervisor, Dr Torger Reve, whose advice and
feedback has been instrumental in driving our thesis forward. Having one of the
worlds leading oil & gas experts as our thesis supervisor was not only beneficial
in terms of being a source of knowledge, but also in terms of ensuring that our
final thesis was both practical and relevant, while our recommendations were
realistic.
Jarand Rystad of Rystad Energy provided us with access to data, which has been
an important component within our analysis, and we are very grateful for his
support. In addition, we would like to particularly thank the Canadian Association
of Petroleum Producers (CAPP), and the Alberta Department of Energy where
multiple officials were kind enough to speak with us. Last but not least, we would
like to thank all our interviewees, who were very generous with their time, and
provided us with in-depth insight which enabled us to move forward.
Rahman Khanani
Jie Li
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Executive Summary
This thesis includes an analysis of the Canadian onshore, offshore and oil field
service (OFS) industries, and the Norwegian oil industry via Porters Diamond,
which was used to evaluate these industries.
Canada has a strong business environment. However, a low number of PhD
students, and lower than average patents and innovation related spending and
financing illustrates that the innovation environment in the country is poor as
compared to other developed countries. In addition, its economy is significantly
dependent on the U.S. economy, while several provinces within the country
appear to prefer local content as opposed to national or international content. It is
important to note that the fiscal environment is variable all across Canada, with
Alberta having the lowest corporate income tax in Canada.
Canada has one of the worlds largest oil reserves, with 98% of its reserves
accounting for unconventional oil within the oil sands, and offshore reserves in
Atlantic Canada accounting for approximately 1% of Canadian reserves.
However, there is a strong possibility of finding significant reserves offshore,
considering almost $2 billion has been invested in into exploration.
The onshore oil industry in Canada is located in Western Canada and the
operating conditions are very complex. This has led to suppliers innovating within
the technologies of hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling. The U.S. receives
99% of Canadas total exports, and 88% of total oil production. It is important to
note that total production in the U.S. is expected to increase significantly over the
next decade, while demand is expected to decrease, which is a concern for the
Canadian oil & gas industry. However, the oil is transported via pipeline, and
pipeline capacity to the Gulf Coast the location of refiners for heavy oil is
lacking significantly. In addition, proposals for constructing new pipelines have
faced many hurdles from environmentalists to First Nations groups. Rail is an
alternative for pipeline but there is limited capacity for rail transportation. It
should also be noted that the cost of rail transportation is higher than the cost of
pipeline transportation. Lack of access to other U.S. markets (i.e. the U.S. Gulf
Coast, the U.S. East Coast, Rockies and the U.S. West Coast) has led to a Western
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Canada Select (WCS) to West Texas Intermediate (WTI) differential of 21% due
to oversupply in the U.S. Midwest. It is also important to note that production
costs of the oil sands are very high, which implies high operational risks and
substantial investment. There have been several environmental concerns which
have led to a poor perception of the oil sands not only provincially or nationally,
but internationally.
The offshore oil industry in Canada has one of the harshest, if not the harshest
environment in the world. In addition, costs of drilling and operations are also
significant. Total demand is low while the industry is cyclical, which leads to
significant knowledge being lost as many individuals within the industry move to
other regions. There is a lack of critical mass, and this can be attributed to the lack
of production. There are significant local (provincial) content requirements via the
Atlantic Accords, which have minimized collaboration between the oil & gas
industry in Newfoundland and Labrador, and the shipping industry in Nova
Scotia. It is important to note that the offshore industry is expecting significant
finds; BP and Shell have invested approximately $1 billion each in exploration.
Canada does not have a market leading oil field service industry, while Norway is
leading the industry in this market. This could be attributed to it having
competencies in onshore oil field services, for which there is a significant market
in North America. However, 77% of total sales of Canadian oil field service
companies are within this region, which is a concern, as it demonstrates lack of
global competitiveness. Significant drawbacks are that Canadian firms are
conservative, and are suffering from a significant labour shortage, which is a
concern for the entire oil & gas industry. Significant concerns within this industry
are in terms of access to capital, especially as most capital in Canada is within the
sectors of mining and software. The value chain in onshore Canada is fairly
comprehensive, and appears to have competencies in hydraulic fracturing and
horizontal drilling. The value chain in offshore Canada has strengths within
engineering and operations, and lacks subsea design companies, while most
capital equipment is brought in for projects from overseas
The Norwegian industry has a very different licensing system than the Canadian
industry, as it allows licenses to be awarded based on expertise as opposed to a
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Thesis Structure
Part One: Introduction and Cluster Theory
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
Part Two: Canadian Oil Industry
3. Canada Overview
4. Canadian National Diamond
5. Oil Overview
Part Three: Canadian Onshore Diamond
6. Canada Onshore Oil Diamond
Part Four: Canadian Offshore Diamond
7. Canada Offshore Oil Diamond
Part Five: Canadian OFS
8. Canada OFS Diamond
Part Six: Norwegian Oil Industry
9. Norwegian National Diamond
Part Seven: Comparative Analysis
10. Oil Costs Canada vs. Norway
11. Comparing the Canadian and Norwegian Oil Clusters
Part Eight: Recommendation
12. Recommendations to upgrade the Canadian Oil Clusters
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Table of Contents
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6.3.2 Investment............................................................................................. 58
6.3.3 High Breakeven Costs .......................................................................... 60
6.3.4 Competition .......................................................................................... 61
6.3.5 Rivalry .................................................................................................. 61
6.3.6 Local Content and Ownership .............................................................. 63
6.4 Related and Supporting Industry ................................................................. 65
6.4.1 Oil Field Services ................................................................................. 65
6.5 Demand Conditions ..................................................................................... 65
6.5.1 Markets ................................................................................................. 65
6.5.2 U.S. Oil Imports .................................................................................... 66
6.5.3 Sluggish U.S. Demand.......................................................................... 67
6.5.4 U.S. Shale Revolution .......................................................................... 67
6.5.5 Pricing ................................................................................................... 68
6.5.6 Refining Capacity ................................................................................. 69
6.5.7 Environmental Concerns ...................................................................... 70
6.5.8 Exploration ........................................................................................... 70
6.6 Diamond Summary & Cluster Map ............................................................. 71
7.0 Canada Offshore Oil Diamond ..................................................................... 74
7.1 Government ................................................................................................. 74
7.1.1 Regulators ............................................................................................. 74
7.1.3 Royalty.................................................................................................. 75
7.1.4 Government Initiatives ......................................................................... 76
7.1.5 Play Fairway Analysis (PFA) ............................................................... 78
7.1.6 Industry Sexiness .................................................................................. 79
7.2 Factor Conditions ........................................................................................ 80
7.2.1 Natural Resources ................................................................................. 80
7.2.2 Operating Environment ........................................................................ 80
7.2.3 Labour ................................................................................................... 81
7.2.4 Transportation ....................................................................................... 81
7.2.5 Capital Markets ..................................................................................... 82
7.3 Firm Strategy and Rivalry ........................................................................... 82
7.3.1 Local Rivalry and Capital Spending ..................................................... 82
7.3.2 Local Content and Ownership .............................................................. 83
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The Norwegian and Canadian offshore oil industries have adopted very different
approaches, and these approaches have been influenced by government regulation.
The Canadians have adopted a free market approach, which is considered a more
North American approach to industry (Hsieh 2013). The Norwegians on the other
hand have had significant government involvement (Hsieh 2013). According to
the Norwegian Oil & Gas Association (2010) the history of the oil & gas industry
in Norway is a saga of wise political decisions, world-class industrial
development and huge value creation. This has led to a very strong and
prominent cluster within the oil & gas industry in Norway and has led to the
successful creation and operations of various companies which are involved
within the service aspect of the industry. These companies have been very
competitive in the global market, despite the fact that costs in Norway are some of
the highest in the world. Therefore, we can conclude by stating that the
Norwegian collaborative approach has been more effective in terms of industrial
development, than the individualistic approach adopted by the Canadians.
1.2 Thesis Aims & Objectives
Canada has two industries within oil & gas, onshore and offshore, while Norway
has purely an offshore industry. This thesis will examine all three industries, and
compare and contrast the differences. This will ultimately lead to this study being
a comparative cluster development analysis of the Canadian and Norwegian oil &
gas industries. There will be an additional focus on determining the reasons
behind Norways success within oil & gas. Utilizing comparative analysis, a
number of recommendations for the Canadian industry will be stated, while
accounting for the differences in geography, history, industry specialization, and
natural resources.
This thesis is essentially a way for Canada to learn from Norway in terms of
developing industries. Excellent industrial development policies within the oil &
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gas industry have been significant drivers in making Norway one of the worlds
most prosperous countries. This thesis will enable Canada to learn from these
best practices, and see if they can use similar policies to enhance industrial
development and overall prosperity.
Several individuals within both the provincial and federal government have
recognized that the prior strategy employed by Canada was to take advantage of
its natural resources. According to Larry Ziegenhagel, from the Department of
Energy at the Government of Alberta, there has been a recent focus on enhancing
value creation, and this thesis will act as a blue print for this.
A comparative study of the Canadian and Norwegian oil & gas industries has
never been undertaken. Therefore, the learnings from this study could potentially
provide significant insight for industry, academia and government.
What can Canada learn from Norway in terms of developing its oil & gas cluster?
This qualitative thesis consists of both secondary and primary research, for which
more details are listed below:
The secondary data collection phase was divided into multiple segments.
1) Background information
The first aspect for both authors was enhancing their knowledge of both the
Canadian and Norwegian oil & gas industries. They did so by subscribing to
publications about the oil & gas industry in Canada, and globally. In addition, the
authors read background data about the industries in both Canada and Norway in
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Primary research was essential in order to have a thesis which consisted of all the
required data. Therefore, we had to identify viable interview subjects.
1) Selection of Interview Subjects
After mapping out the oil & gas clusters, we determined the organizations we
would like to get in touch with, and after researching the organization, we
determined the position of the ideal person we would like to interview. LinkedIn
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was an excellent tool in determining the name of the individual of interest. Alumni
of Queens School of Business and Trent University were given preference as the
authors had attended those institutions and it was likely that we had a chance of
obtaining a better response from alumni as this built an immediate connection
with them.
The goal in terms of determining the individuals we wanted to interview was to
ensure that the subjects had depth of knowledge, which we determined was based
on their prior experience, organization, and position. In addition, we ensured that
individuals from across the industry were interviewed; this included government,
trade associations, capital markets, oil field companies, industry experts and
operators. The reason we did so was to ensure that biases were prevented, and that
the opinions of stakeholders across the board were considered.
Individuals of interest were based both in Norway and in Canada. However, as the
research had a greater focus on Canada, most of the individuals interviewed were
from the Canadian oil & gas industry.
2) Obtaining Interviews
After determining the individual we would like to interview, we tried to use our
personal and professional network in order to get introduced. If we did not have
an individual in our networks who could introduce us to the individual of interest,
we would email them or send them a brief request to connect via LinkedIn. If this
failed, we would call them directly to express our interest in interviewing them.
3) Conducting Interviews
The interview varied as per the individual interviewed. However, all interviews
were limited to 75 minutes and consisted of a maximum of ten scripted questions.
The interview guide for the interview was tailored to the individual interviewed,
his/her position, educational and professional background along with their current
position within the industry.
Rahman Khanani interviewed all the interviewees within the thesis. This was
because of his prior experience in conducting research, and strong interpersonal
and communication skills.
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In order to ensure that the perspectives of both authors were recorded during the
interview, it was deemed necessary for both individuals to take notes. As most
interviews were conducted virtually, it was practical for both authors to take notes
on their computers.
The interview typically started with explaining to the interviewee the nature of the
study and the focus of the interview. The interviewee was also told to feel free to
divulge into any information that they might think would be relevant for the
purpose of this report, but was not specific to a question asked.
The following is a list of all interviewees:
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Name
Organization
Position
EY Norway
Senior Associate
Anthony Patterson
Virtual Marine
CEO
Bettina Pierre-Gilles
Phasis Consulting
Brian Pyra
Deloitte Canada
Director of Operations
Bruce Edgelow
ATB Financial
VP Energy
Christian Hansen
Christopher Theal
Kootenay Capital
Cooper H. Langford
University of Calgary
Professor
Craig Watt
Executive Director
10
David Arthur
Project Leader
11
Geoff Hill
Deloitte Canada
Partner
12
Hkon Skretting
INTSOK
Regional Director
13
Welaptega Marine
Engineering Manager
14
Jarand Rystad
Rystad Energy
Managing Partner
15
John Winterbourne
Trade Commissioner
16
Josh Hutchings
Imperial Oil
Project Manager
17
Rystad Energy
Project Manager
18
Jon Myran
BW Offshore
19
Kelly Morrison
20
Kinnon Kendziora
Project Manager
21
Larry Ziegehagel
Senior Advisor
22
Mark OByrne
President
23
Mark Salkeld
24
Matthew Foss
25
Max Ruelokke
Aker Solutions
Senior Manager
26
Mette Kloster
EY Norway
Senior Consultant
27
Michael Eklund
28
Paul Barnes
29
Paul Paynter
30
Peter Tertzakian
31
Richard Grant
Partner
32
Richard Wayken
33
Shannon Chmelyk
34
Steven I. Paget
FirstEnergy Capital
35
Susan Hunt
Program Manager
36
Statoil Canada
Research Lead
37
Tore Sorheim
Trican Norway
General Manager
38
Wade Locke
Memorial University
Professor
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2.1 Introduction
This section outlines the literature used within this study. The key concepts,
theories and frameworks are Cluster Theory, National Competitiveness, Porters
Diamond, Amir Sasson and Torger Reves Emerald Model, and the Global
Knowledge Hub concept authored by Torger Reve.
Cluster theory was chosen as the primary theory within our study because it is
most relevant to national competitiveness. Industrial clusters contribute to
industrial competitiveness, and national competitiveness is the accumulated and
synergetic effect of competitive industries. Supported by related industries, a
strong industrial cluster requires a critical mass of industrial and knowledge actors
at every stage of the value chain or value network (Reve 2009). The industrial
clusters produce positive knowledge externalities, because there are knowledge
spillovers and rapid learning processes that stimulate both innovation and
commercialization of innovation (Reve 2009). Like public goods, knowledge
externalities are undersupplied and hence government policies are essential to
bring the supply of knowledge externalities to the optimal level (Reve 2009). The
aim of our thesis is to provide recommendations that strengthen the Canadian
onshore and offshore oil clusters, after evaluating these clusters via Porters
Diamond
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particular field that compete but also cooperate ( Porter 2000, 16).
According to Porter (2008), a cluster is a series of industries that are horizontally
(i.e. pharmaceutical and skin care industry) or vertically (i.e. supplier and services
providers, buyers) related to the central industry. A cluster is a set of firms that are
co-located and co-dependent (external economics: i.e. skin care industry
benefits from breakthroughs in pharmaceutical R&D), and they tend to have
strong commonalities and complementarities in terms of resources, skills, and
knowledge. Clusters also include institutions (i.e. specialized training entities,
standard-setting agencies, and industrial associations) which provide the
interconnection between different elements within the cluster.
Porter (1990) uses the Diamond Model to refer to the effect of the microeconomic
environment on industry competitiveness. The characteristics of the Diamond
Model are as follows:
1) Context for Firm Strategy and Rivalry
This determinant refers to how companies are created, organized and managed in
the nation, as well as how they compete (Porter 1998a). A healthy local
environment for firm strategy and rivalry encourages innovation, investment,
competition, and thus sustained growth. Vigorous competition among local rivals
indicates strong incentives to follow sophisticated strategies such as investing in
R&D, collaborating with institutions in innovation, and accumulating human
capitals in order to attain or maintain competitive advantage.
2) Factor (Input) Conditions
Factor conditions are essential variables which are required to compete in the
industry. They include natural resources, human capital, financial resources, and
physical and knowledge-based infrastructures. However, it is important to note
that, the stock of factors that a nation enjoys is less important than the rate
and efficiency with which it creates, upgrades, and deploys them in particular
industries (Porter 1990, 172).
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David Ricardo (1971), at the national level, if opportunity cost is taken into
consideration, the productivity improvement due to specialization and
international trade is called the law of comparative advantage.
One country is said to have a comparative advantage over another in the
production of a particular good relative to other goods if it produces that good
less inefficiently than it products other goods, as compared with the other
country (Baumol and Blinder 2012, 49).
The comparative advantage is shared between countries engaged in international
trade. Consequently, international trade is referred to as a win-win situation due to
the law of comparative advantage. However, in the 1980s and 1990s, the classical
concept of free trade was challenged by protectionist forces due to market failures
(Bhagwati 1994). In 1992, Lester Thurow authored a book titled Head to Head:
The Coming Economic Battle among Japan, Europe, and America. He wrote
about advanced nations being in a win-lose competition for world markets
because they all compete against each others to become the worlds most powerful
economy (Thurow 1992). This win-lose perception directly challenged the
fundamental propositions of the classical international trade model, because it
promoted local protectionism and government intervention instead of free
international trade, which the law of competitive advantage advocates (Krugman
1994, Krugman 1996).
Despite the ongoing debates between classical (win-win situation) and the
Mercantilist-based concept (win-lose competition) of national competitiveness,
the focus has shifted towards achieving national competitiveness (Krugman
1996). Porters cluster study in 1990s lays the foundation for creating and
sustaining national competitiveness in a knowledge-based economy and is the
dominant theory in national competitiveness studies.
Improvements in distance-free Information Communication Technologies (ICT)
alter the economics of location, because companies are no longer bound to source
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inputs (i.e. labour, capital and supplies) and do business locally (Cairncross 2001).
However, Porter observes the formation of clusters in every advanced economy,
and states that with globalization, geographical location is becoming more rather
than less important (Porter 1998b, Porter 2000, Ketels 2006). It is pointed out that
localization appears to be the feature of most business activities (i.e. computers,
software, biotechnology, fashion, design, media, and music) (Martin 2007).
Indeed, while globalization and the new information and communication
technologies are rendering the national economy increasingly borderless and
problematic as a concept, it seems that economic production and organization are
becoming increasingly localized (Martin 2007, 35).
Classical economic theory underlined the importance of labour costs, interest
rates, exchange rates and economies of scale as determinants of national economic
competitiveness, and thus the studies of national competitiveness focused on
utilizing macroeconomic factors of comparative advantage in international trade
(Porter 1998b). Porters insights in relation to national competitiveness are
essentially threefold:
1) National prosperity is dependent upon the competitiveness of its local industry
which is influenced by both macroeconomic factors and the microeconomic
business environment (Porter 1998c). Porters cluster theory focuses on
microeconomic factors.
2) Industry competitiveness is created and sustained through a highly localized
process (Porter 1998b, 155). Cluster effects are the main advantages of the
localized process of upgrading (Porter 2008).
3) In the process of industry upgrading, demanding local customers, competitive
home-based suppliers, and intensive rivalry all benefit the innovation and
upgrading process (Porter 1998a).
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Alfred Marshall (2009) uses the term localized industry to describe geographic
concentration of an industry.
According to Marshall, when an industry has thus chosen a locality for itself, it is
likely to stay there long: so great are the advantages which people following the
same skilled trade get from near neighborhood to one another (2009, 255).
Physical conditions, such as climate, soil, natural resources and ease of
transportation, were identified as the most important reasons for the emergence of
localized industry. Localized industry has advantages due to the hereditary
skill, the growth of subsidiary trades, the use of highly specialized machinery and
a constant market for special skill (Marshall 2009). However, sometimes a
localized industry makes too expensive demands for one kind of labour (Marshall
2009, 226). According to Marshall (2009), multiple localized industries
contribute to regional prosperity through avoiding depression, because different
industries in the same neighborhood mitigate each others depression (227).
Porters concept of clusters shares some similarities with Marshalls localized
industry definition (Martin and Sunley 2003), because it also describes geographic
concentration of industries.
Porter (1998a) refers to the location externalities defined by Marshall as cluster
externalities, which essentially provide better access to specialized inputs,
employees, information, institution, local complementary activities and other
public goods. In addition, firms in clusters have stronger incentives for innovation
because firms can better involve local suppliers and customers in the innovation
journey, and utilize innovation in related industries that are co-located. This
enables them to remain competitive in the long run (Porter 1998a, Porter 1998c,
Porter 2000).
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Other than stronger incentives and richer capabilities for innovation, close
proximity allows them to transact business more cheaply and easily, resolve their
problems more quickly and efficiently, and learn earlier and more directly about
new and innovative technologies and practices (Rosenfeld 1997, 3).
Nevertheless, different authors tend to have a different emphasis (i.e. proximity,
collaboration, network effects, synergy, and innovation), which leads to confusion
of clusters definitions (Martin and Sunley 2003). Crouch and Farrell suggest a
more general concept of cluster which is a tendency for firms in similar types of
business to locate close together, through without having a particularly important
presence in an area (2001, 163). Similarly, Enright emphasis on proximity and a
cluster is defined as an industrial cluster in which member firms are in close
proximity to each other (1996, 191).
Roelandt and Hertag use the network concept to describe cluster and a cluster is
defined as networks of producers of strongly interdependent firms (including
specialized suppliers) linked to each other in a value-adding production chain. In
some cases, clusters also encompass strategic alliances with universities, research
institutes, knowledge-intensive business services, bridging institutions (brokers,
consultants) and customers (1999, 9).
Rosenfeld (1996, 1997) highlights that active channels for collaboration (i.e.
business transaction, information sharing, communication, feedback) and cluster
synergy in addition to geographic proximity and concentration. According to
Rosenfeld (1997), good cluster dynamics achieved through active channels for
collaboration are the key to synergy and competitiveness. Consequently, a critical
mass without collaboration, which has no cluster synergy, should not be classified
as cluster (Rosenfeld 1997).
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in a cluster stem from both improved operations (internal) and conditions of the
cluster diamond (external). Several empirical studies demonstrated that companies
within a cluster experience stronger growth and faster innovation than companies
which are not part of a cluster. Audretsch and Feldman (1996) examine the spatial
distribution of innovative activity and geographic concentration of production,
and find that innovative activities tend to cluster according to geographic
concentration of production, especially in industries that are characterized by
knowledge spillovers. In an empirical study based on firm activities statistics
gathered in the UK, Baptista and Swann (1998) find that firms located in strong
industrial clusters or regions are more likely to be innovative.
2) Self-Reinforcing Dynamic of the Competitive Diamond
As per Porters Diamond, each aspect within the diamond affects industry
competitiveness which ultimately affects national prosperity (1998c). The
intensity of interaction within the competitive diamond is enhanced if the firms
are clustered (Martin and Sunley 2003). Firms and institutions are likely to have
stronger linkages if they are clustered, than if they are far away from each other.
Therefore the self-reinforcing dynamic of the competitive diamond as a group
of interlinked industries and associated activities is the driving force making for
cluster development (Martin and Sunley 2003).
Although clustering takes place spontaneously, governmental policies influence
the formation and upgrading of the cluster through affecting the macroeconomic
context and microeconomic business environment. Therefore, the government
should aim to enhance the self-reinforcing dynamic of a cluster through the
variables within the Diamond (Porter 1998c).
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activities.
However, cluster life cycles differ from the local representation of the industry life
cycle in three aspects (Menzel and Fornahl 2010). Firstly, during the growth stage,
with increasing numbers of co-located companies, cluster dynamics start to show
strong externalities which are rapid innovation and strong collaboration. Secondly,
clusters start to have a negative effect on companies within the cluster in the late
maturity stage (Menzel and Fornahl 2010). These negative effects, according to
Grabher (1993) and Maskell and Malmberg (2007) include lock-in traditional
trajectory and falling into the deep specialization trap. Thirdly, if the knowledge
heterogeneity is recreated in clusters, despite of entering into mature stage of
industry life cycle, clusters can be renewed (Menzel and Fornahl 2010).
Porters Cluster mapping has been criticized for lacking clear industrial and
geographical boundaries (Martin and Sunley 2003).
Martin and Sunley argue that in practice, there are probably very few firms that
do not have horizontal or vertical links (co-operative or competitive) of some sort
with other loosely-defined geographical proximate firms. Does this mean that
virtually every firm could be considered part of a potential cluster (2003, 13)?
Porter (2004) defines a regions prosperity as productivity which is the value of
output produced per unit of labour and capital, and other resources employed.
Porters productivity-based definition standardizes the unit of analysis in the study
of national competitiveness. Although economic, social and environmental goals
are not mutually exclusive, productivity-based definition is narrowly economic
and fails to consider social and environmental aspects (Ketels 2006).
Research illustrates that the effect of a cluster approach on small enterprises
competitiveness has not been extensively researched in developing (transition)
countries, especially from the point of view of companies, as a result it is unclear
whether their performances have improved due to cluster effects (Karaev, Koh ,
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Reve and Sasson (2012) developed the Emerald Model to study the
competitiveness of a cluster. The six-dimensions of this model are Cluster
Attractiveness, Education Attractiveness, Talent Attractiveness, R&D and
Innovation
Attractiveness,
Ownership
Attractiveness,
Attractiveness.
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and
Environmental
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3.1.1 History
Canada was initially colonized by England in the mid-1700s. The European
explorers arrived in Canada and tried to establish claims to property of the
Aboriginal people, also referred to as the First Nations people. These people were
enrolled in industrial and residential schools run by Christian churches in order to
civilize them and convert them to Christianity. In addition, residential reserves
were created for First Nations people to live on in order to isolate them, while
they were forced to renounce their language, cultural practices and beliefs. Canada
gained independence in 1857, but it still remains loyal to the British
Commonwealth.
3.1.2 Economy
1) GDP per Capita
According to the United Nations Statistics (2014), Canada had a GDP per capita
slightly above $U.S. 42,000 in 2011, making it the 2ed highest in the G7 countries.
For the purpose of comparision, Norway has the worlds highest GDP per capita
in 2011, about $ U.S. 65,000.
2) Strong Service Sector
As demonstrated in the figure below, GDP is dominated by the service sector
(69.9%), while the industrial sector contributes 28 % and the agricultural sector
contributes 1.7% of GDP, based on a 2013 estimation.
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Serviceproducing
industries
30%
70%
Mining,
quarrying, and
oil and gas
extraction
27%
Manufacturing
35%
Construction
24%
Utilities
8%
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4) Export-Driven Economy
According to Trading Economics (2014), exports account for more than 45% of
Canadas GDP, and the main exports are oil & gas, mineral products, chemicals,
primary metals and food products. In addition, Canada also has increasing exports
in professional and financial services (Burt 2013).
5) Major Trading Partners
Canada has close ties with other developed countries, especially the U.S. The
North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), between the U.S., Canada and
Mexico has led to substantial trade between these countries as per the figures
below.
74%
50%
11%
4%
4%
China
United States
China
6%
Mexico
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United States
Norway
United States
Canada
Norway
$70,000
$60,000
$50,000
$40,000
$30,000
$20,000
$10,000
$0
3.1.3 Social
1) Language
Canada has two official languages, French and English. French is considered the
primary language in the province of Quebec.
2) First Nations
Over the past few decades, positive steps have been taken to address the grave
injustices suffered by the First Nations people. Currently, the First Nations people
receive extra government assistance in terms of tax breaks, funding for higher
education and monthly remunerative assistance. Some First Nations people have a
share of the money distributed from oil & gas royalties on their land, or land
settlements. It is important to note that some First Nations people feel aggrieved
about the injustices they faced from the European settlers. The First Nations
communities own significant pieces of land all over Canada, and the government
is required to negotiate with them prior to using their land for any activities. The
injustices committed to First Nations communities, along with the fact that these
communities own significant pieces of land has greatly affected the oil & gas
industry in Canada, and will be discussed in further detail below.
Page 25
01.09.2014
3.1.4 Political
Page 26
01.09.2014
4.1 Government
1) Fiscal Policies
The fiscal policy in Canada varies by province, although it is coordinated with the
federal government.
2) Monetary Policies
The Bank of Canada and the federal financial authorities promote the stability and
efficiency of Canadas financial systems. According to the Bank of Canada
(2013), the Central Bank has aimed for an inflation rate of 2% since 1991. The
monetary framework enjoys a high degree of credibility as inflation has remained
close to the 2% target since 1995 (OECD 2012). In order to support economic
recovery, the Bank of Canada has maintained its policy rate at 1 % since 2010
(OECD 2012). Canadian banks have little direct exposure to the vulnerable euro
area, although a major crash could have damaging indirect effects due to lower
equity prices and higher funding costs (OECD 2012). The World Economic
Forum (WEF) ranked Canadas banking sector as the most sound in the world for
six years in a row from 2008 2013 and has praised the sector for adequate
capitalization and efficient regulation (Schwab 2013). The stability within
financial services in Canada is beneficial for the oil industry as a whole.
3) Royalty and Tax
Canadian oil & gas producers pay tax and royalty to federal and provincial
governments. The table below illustrates the fiscal burden and differences within
tax.
Page 27
01.09.2014
Corporate
Income Tax
Energy
Production
Royalties
Tax Credits
Page 28
01.09.2014
Alberta
Conventional
Oil
Alberta
Oil Sands
Newfoundland
and Labrador
Conventional
Oil
Nova Scotia
Conventional
Oil
Page 29
01.09.2014
Page 30
01.09.2014
127
Norway
Canada
Alta.
124
N.L.
112
101
86
76
70
55
69
58
65
55
74
55
1998
29
2000
70
2001
2002
88
74
65
53
50
37
35
31
85
73
55
27
81
64
42
25
1999
82
77
62
55
41
24
72
91
24
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
01.09.2014
369
59
46
167
147
136
21
49
17
14
19
13
Page 32
01.09.2014
Despite the 2008 financial crisis, there has been significant access to capital in the
Canadian energy sector (Canadian Energy Research Institute 2013c). Based on the
2011 estimates, a total of $15 $20 billion in capital was invested via equity and
debt.
Equity and Debt Capital Raised
Annual Financings Including Trusts
01.09.2014
50% of Canadas total FDI (Market Line 2013). Over the past four decades,
Canadas inward FDI has steadily dropped (The Conference Board of Canada
2012). Canada receives a grade D and 6th place out of the 16 peer countries on
inward FDI. Looking at FDI outflow, Canada receives a C and is ranked in 10th
place (The Conference Board of Canada 2013).
Stock of Foreign Direct Investment in Canada
by Region 2007
Africa
1%
Asia/Oceania
6%
Europe
31%
North America
and Caribbean
59%
South and
Central America
3%
Source: Statistics Canada, Canada's State of Trade and Investment Update 2008
9) Recent Decline in SOEs Investment in Canadian Energy Sector
In 2012, the capital committed by State Owned Enterprises (SOEs) to the
Canadian oil & gas sector totaled $28 billion (Canadian Energy Research Institute
2013c). This is about 15.38% of Canadian GDP in 2012. The increased level of
investment from foreign SOEs has raised serious concern with the Canadian
federal government, because foreign SOEs are inherently susceptible to foreign
government influence, which might undermine Canadian economic objectives
(Business Monitor International 2013). In December 2012, the federal government
announced changes in reviewing SOEs investment in Canadian oil sands. These
changes made it harder for SOEs to become controlling shareholders in the
Canadian oil sands projects. This development took place because the government
wanted to ensure that the oil sands were owned primarily by private sector
companies (Tertzakian and Baynton 2011).
The new practice to review SOEs investment under the Investment Canada Act
(ICA) places significant limitations on acquisitions of control by SOEs in
Canadian oil sands development. The view held among commentators was that
changes in policy would lead to more joint ventures with Canadian partners as an
alternative to the takeover of Canadian oil companies (Tertzakian and Baynton
Page 34
01.09.2014
Page 35
01.09.2014
The biggest concern is that Canada is ranked 27th in capacity for innovation, 29th
in company spending on R&D and 18th in university and industry collaboration on
R&D (Schwab 2013). The lack of innovation and R&D is likely to significantly
affect Canadian industry.
Canada spent 1.8 % of its GDP on research and Development in 2011, compared
to the US which spent 2.8 %, while the EU average is 2.0 %. R&D spending has
not increased despite generous tax incentives for business innovation (Market
Line 2013). Canada ranked 14th overall in competitiveness for the second year in a
row, down from 9th place in 2009 (Schwab 2013). Michael Bloom, Vice-President
of the Conference Board of Canada stated: When it comes to business
innovation, Canada is seriously underperforming" (Canadian Press 2013). In
innovation and business sophistication Canada dropped 4 places to 25th place in
2013. Innovation related access to financing, and insufficient capacity to innovate
have been defined as significant factors preventing the development of industries.
Canada also has performed poorly in terms of total patents. It has developed 165.6
patents per million people compared to 385.5 in the US, and 397.5 in Japan.
Therefore, innovation performance in Canada received a D grade, and 13th place
out of 16 peer countries (The Conference Board of Canada 2013). The lack of
patents, spending on R&D, and PhD graduates appears to be significantly
impacting ability of Canadian innovation.
01.09.2014
Geographic proximity, the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), and
the large market size of the US have made it Canadas most important trading
partner. As discussed earlier, Canada has a strong dependence on the US economy.
The Canadian market is large and is ranked 13th in market size (Schwab 2013)
which illustrates that it has strong demand conditions.
Page 37
01.09.2014
Page 38
01.09.2014
Page 39
01.09.2014
Alberta
36%
1.61
Oil Sands
169.3
Conventional Oil
The Rest
of Canada
64%
1.49
0
50
100
150
Alberta
172.4
billion
barrels
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
172.4
2.65
1.49
CoventionalOil
200
01.09.2014
per day by 2025, up from 2.8 million barrels per day in 2010.
According to the Canadian Centre for Energy Information (2014a), as of 2011,
Canada has the 3ed largest proven crude oil reserves in the world at 176 billion
barrels, and over 97% of the reserves are oil sands. According to the U.S. Energy
Information Administration, the Canadian proven oil reserve is 173.6 billion of
barrels in 2012, and still has the 3ed ranking. The figure below illustrates the
increase in total oil production in Canada by 2040, and it is clear that it is likely to
increase significantly.
Production (kbbl/d)
Page 41
01.09.2014
Page 42
01.09.2014
As per the figure below, Canada is still expected to be the second largest producer
of unconventional energy globally behind the US in 2025.
However, it is
Page 43
01.09.2014
5.3.1 Onshore
According to the Alberta Energy Resources Conservation board, Alberta is the
largest producer of conventional crude oil, synthetic crude, natural gas, and gas
products in Canada. In addition, there are three oil sands deposits Athabasca,
Pease River and Cold Lack in Alberta and Saskatchewan as illustrated below
(Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers 2013a). The oil sands are at the
surface near Fort McMurray. Therefore, mining is the technology used to recover
oil from the oil sands. Oil sands in the other two deposits are deeper in the ground
(more than 200 feet below the ground), and drilling (in situ) is the major method
used to extract the oil (Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers 2013a). The
figure below illustrates the location of the oil sands in Western Canada.
01.09.2014
Nova Scotia, Cape Breton Island, and in Northern and Eastern Prince Edward
Island (National Energy Board of Canada 2013a).
5.3.2 Offshore
According to the Canadian Center for Energy Information, large amounts of crude
oil and natural gas are located beneath the ocean floors of Canadas shores (Bott
2004). Today, there is offshore production in the Beaufort Sea off the Mackenzie
Delta in Northern Canada. In addition, there is offshore drilling in the provinces of
Nova Scotia and Newfoundland and Labrador. The fields of Hibernia, Terra Nova
and White Rose are located off the coast of Newfoundland and Labrador. There
has also been offshore drilling and production in the field of Sable Island off the
coast of Nova Scotia. There is drilling across the continental shelf off Nova
Scotia, Laurentian Fan, and the Northumberland Strait (National Energy Board of
Canada 2013a). Canadas offshore industry has primarily focused on the East
Coast due to significant resources in Eastern/Atlantic Canada. Furthermore, these
resources are located close to energy-hungry markets in Europe, Asia, and Eastern
U.S. and Canada.
The reason there is a high level of activity in offshore is because Canadas major
petroleum basins are passing into maturity, and production is declining (Bott and
Carson 2007). Therefore, the offshore reserves will become a major source for
crude oil and natural gas. In addition, the average onshore well in Western Canada
produces less than 50 barrels of crude oil per day, while approximately 57,000
barrels of crude oil initially flowed from the Hibernia well (Bott and Carson
2007). Although the wells output will decline over time, their production is still
significantly greater than the typical onshore well. On the cost side, crude oil and
natural gas produced via offshore developments reduces Canadas use of imported
oil, which is shipped into Eastern Canada via an ocean tanker, mainly from South
America and the Middle East (Bott and Carson 2007). This is because it is cheaper
than transporting crude oil via pipeline from Western Canada. About half the
imports directly go to Eastern Canadian ports, while the remainder is delivered to
Portland, Maine for shipment via pipeline to Quebec and Ontario (Bott and
Carson 2007).
Page 45
01.09.2014
As stated above, most of Canadas reserves are unconventional onshore oil. The
figure below illustrates production forecasts in Canada specifically in regards to
offshore and onshore production. It is clear that offshore production is expected to
increase, and the increase might be significant relative to total offshore
production, but not significant compared to total Canadian oil production. In
addition, onshore production is expected to rise significantly as well.
Production (kbbl/d)
Page 46
01.09.2014
Provincial
governments
have
jurisdiction
on
exploration,
01.09.2014
4) Royalty
According to National Energy Board (2000), prior to 2009, Alberta collected a
single rate of 25% royalty based on net profit of the project only when payout
began. Otherwise, there is a 1% royalty based on gross revenue if the net profit tax
is not paid, or if the development costs are not recovered. In Alberta, royalty for
conventional oil & gas production is based on production, but the oil sands royalty
regime is not (National Energy Board 2000). This difference is due to high cost,
long lead-time and the associated high-risk nature of oil sands investment. After
2009, the oil sands royalty varies by oil price. The new royalty rates on net profits
range from 25% if price below $55 per barrel to 40% at $120 per barrel (Mintz
and Chen 2010). Albertas oil sands have a lower fiscal burden than conventional
oil & gas production, because oil sands royalty regime provides an explicit
deduction of costs from the taxable income (Mintz and Chen 2010). This appears
to be an effective strategy to enhance investment into the oil sands, as the biggest
concerns appear to be price per barrel.
5) Value Add Strategy
According to Larry Ziegenhagel, Special Advisor in the Oil Sands Division at the
Department of Energy in Alberta, the government is looking to enhance the value
added activities being conducted in the province. This includes encouraging
refining activities, and increasing petroleum products and petrochemicals
productions. In addition, the government is looking to move up the oil sands value
chain to support integrated hydrocarbon processing. Therefore, the government is
encouraging
the
development
of
hydrocarbon-processing
cluster.
01.09.2014
The IETP supported the first field wide polymer flood in Canada. It also funded
the first steam assisted gravity drainage project in Alberta this led to the
potential to tap another 300 billion barrels of bitumen (Alberta Energy 2014).
7) Industry Sexiness
Amir Sasson and Torger Reve used the sexiness barometer to determine talent
attractiveness as per the Emerald Model within specific industries. The sexiness
barometer was determined based on a quantitative study of positive as compared
to negative articles written about the industry in the media. As per the Emerald
Model, it impacts talent attractiveness. However, we believe that the sexiness
barometer also impacts the perception of the industry by other stakeholders.
This study has not included a quantitative study of the articles written by the
industry. However, based on our knowledge and conversations with interviewees,
we can confidently state that the onshore oil & gas industry is Canada is not sexy.
It has faced significant negative publicity, especially due to the perceived
environmental impact of the oil sands. This can be attributed to the Keystone XL
pipeline facing strong opposition not just within Canada but also the U.S. this is
discussed further below. In addition, the Northern Gateway pipeline has also faced
opposition. Last but not least, the industry appears to not be viewed favourably by
residents in Western Canada, despite the strong positive economic impact it has
had on the region.
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01.09.2014
6.2.2 Feasibility
It is important to note that oil sands are heavy and require substantial investment
in upgraders and refineries. In addition, diluents are required to reduce the
viscosity of the crude, ensuring that oil flows in the pipeline (Canadian Energy
Research Institute 2013b). This reduces the profit margin of the producers and can
at times reduce the feasibility of oil sands production.
In addition, it is not financially feasible to move forward with some oil sands
projects, as the WCS has been trading at a discount to the WTI due to
infrastructure bottlenecks. According to Craig Watt, Executive Director, Premiers
Office, Southern Alberta at the Government of Alberta, the differential between
the WTI and the WCS last year was 21%. In addition to it commanding lower
revenue, the WCS has higher costs at about $60 per barrel. Trading against the
Brent is considered the preferred situation for the oil sands, but it is only likely to
occur if Canada is able to end its singular dependence on the US or significantly
increase the oil shipped to other markets (Deloitte 2013).
Page 50
01.09.2014
Oil is transported from Western Canada to the U.S. via pipelines. However, the
limited capacity of the pipelines has reduced production. According to CAPP, the
lack of pipeline market access costs the economy $40 million per day.
According to many analysts, the current takeaway capacity of Western Canadian
oil is 3 million barrels per day (MBD), with 1.5 MBD allocated to heavy oil, such
as oil from the oil sands. In 2012, production from the oil sands in Western
Canada exceeded available takeaway capacity by 0.3 MBD. As per CAPP,
Canadas total export capacity will need to double by 2030, and this will equal 8
MBD. Therefore, even if all the pipelines including Keystone XL are built,
Canada will still need to add more export capacity (Carbon Tracker Initiative
2013).
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01.09.2014
1) Keystone XL
The proposed Keystone XL (KXL) Pipeline project is a $7 billion project run by
TransCanada, which will connect Hardisty, Alberta with Steele City Nebraska.
This pipeline will transport crude oil from Canada and the U.S. to the large
refining markets in the American Midwest and Gulf Coast. However, President
Obama and the American government are concerned with the increase of CO2
emissions released via the pipeline. If built, this pipeline would have a capacity of
830,000 barrels per day (BPD). Taking into account that TransCanada has
allocated roughly 100,000 BPD of this amount to light oil from North Dakotas
Bakken formation, the KXL would move 730,000 BPD to the Gulf Coast
refineries, which is equal to almost half of Western Canadas takeaway capacity
for heavy oil (Carbon Tracker Initiative 2013).
However
the
pipeline
has
faced
significant
opposition
from
01.09.2014
can cap costs to $10 per barrel if they have their own rail infrastructure. In
addition, deployment of unit trains where all rail cars are shipped from the same
origin and arrive at the same destination would help reduce costs (Carbon
Tracker Initiative 2013).
As per the Carbon Tracker Initiative (2013), report titled Keystone XL Pipeline: A
Potential Mirage for Oil Sands Investors, the question arises, as to how much of
the rail capacity will be built, and if so on what timeframe. This is because
manufacturers of heated and coiled rail cars will need to be able to deliver the
significant backlog of orders. In order to unload 20 30 thousand barrels per day
(KBD) of oil, one Gulf Coast refinery will need 1,600 heated and coiled tank cars.
Furthermore, rail cars have restrictions on maximum weight. Therefore, the higher
density of bitumen as opposed to the lighter oil reduces the number of barrels each
rail car can carry. Bitumen also needs to be heated before being unloaded and this
reduces the number of barrels each rail car can carry. These factors make it
expensive to transport heavy crude via rail. Another issue appears to be the fact
that the companies are unwilling to build loading terminals if the refineries in the
Gulf Coast do not have unloading terminals. The refiners in the Gulf Coast are not
willing to build unloading terminals, unless there are firm commitments from
producers in Western Canada.
It is important to note that currently there is limited capacity for rail, and demand
has exceeded supply for rail transportation. According to Richard Wayken, Vice
President, Pipelines at Alberta Innovates, this will lead to the oil industry paying a
higher price for rail transportation, which will take away capacity from other
industries. He stated that the limited capacity of rail has especially affected the
forestry industry. Therefore, it can be stated that the lack of pipeline capacity is
negatively impacting not only the direct and indirect oil & gas industry, but also
other industries.
Peter Tertzkakian, Chief Energy Economist and Managing Director of ARC
Financial Group has a very different opinion about rail transportation. He stated
that infrastructure (rail roads, and loading and unloading facilities) has been built
at record rates over the past 18 months. This was reiterated by Bruce Edgelow, VP
at ATB Financial, who stated that there is greater rail capacity than Keystone XL
Page 53
01.09.2014
could provide. He also stated that rail transportation could give the WCS access to
over 40 to 50 refineries which possess the technology to refine heavy Canadian
oil, while pipeline only gives access to 4 or 5 refineries. In addition, rail can move
the oil a lot faster to the destination, which means that oil producers will be paid
for the oil quicker than if it were transported via pipeline. Furthermore, oil
companies can influence the feasibility of rail transport by examining back
hauling other products to the destination. For example, if oil is being transported
from Edmonton to Houston, another product could be transported back from
Houston, which would reduce the total cost of transportation via rail.
According to Bruce Edgelow, VP Energy at ATB Financial, the impact and
demand for rail can be demonstrated by earnings per share of Canadian rail firms
which transport crude oil. This is illustrated by the fact the incremental growth in
their earnings per share has been substantial.
6.2.5 Labour
In a report published by the Canadian Energy Research Institute, it was stated that
if all new oil sands projects were to move forward, it would lead to $2.1 trillion
investment, and would grow the labour force in North America from 75,000
employees to 900,000 which is equal to the current population of Edmonton,
Alberta, Canada. This does not take into account the growth in the work force for
existing projects (Deloitte 2012). This illustrates that there is a significant
requirement for more labour in Western Canada.
A study conducted by Deloitte (2012) illustrated that Alberta will remain an
employee-driven market until 2020. In addition, Baby Boomer retirements and the
few established plans to retain talent suggest that skill shortages will worsen in the
next few years. In addition, the higher turnover in Generations X and Y will
escalate replacement costs for talent in the oil & gas industry, leading to be 25%
200% of the annual compensation of the employee. The total cost of turnover is
$58 million for a company which has 5000 employees, and less than 10%
turnover .Temporary foreign worker allowances enable the Canadian industry to
fill gaps for skilled labour, but only on a short term basis. The program suffers a
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01.09.2014
6.2.6 Calgary
Calgary is the capital of Alberta and is the location of the oil & gas cluster in
Canada. According to Calgary Economic Development (2008), Calgary is now the
location of 87% of Canadas oil and natural gas producers, although there are
relatively few well sites near Calgary. However, Calgary is where the expertise in
management, finance and technology is located, and provides knowledge for oil &
gas exploration and extraction. This has enabled Calgarys economy to become a
knowledge economy (Langford, Li and Ryan 2010).
As per British Petroleums World Energy Review in 2011, Calgary is home to the
head office of almost every major oil & gas company in the country. Most of the
Page 55
01.09.2014
1) Education
Calgary has five post-secondary institutions within the city and two postsecondary institutions in the suburbs. In addition, there are thirty independent
research institutions in Calgary, and many of them have been recognized
internationally for their work (City of Calgary 2008). According to a report
published by the City of Calgary, there is a significant labour force shortage in the
city. In order to counter this issue, the city has taken a number of initiatives to
attract and retain labour from other parts of the country and the world. A concern
for the city is the fact that Calgarys post-secondary transition rates of 63.5% of
high school graduates proceeding towards post-secondary education within six
years of graduation are not suitable to be competitive in the global economy (City
of Calgary 2008). In addition, a low unemployment rate has contributed to higher
wage levels, which has led to many companies moving to other parts of the
country in order to be cost competitive.
2) Human Capital
As per the Civic Census of 1981, there were 591,857 residents in Calgary. The
Civic Censure of 2006 reported a population of 1,079,310 which illustrates that
the population doubled as of 1981. It is important to note that Calgary attracted
the highest number of Science and Engineering professionals, and Business and
Finance professionals across Canada. As per Calgary Economic Development
(2008), Calgary offers the highest concentration of engineering, business and
finance talent in Canada. Furthermore, Calgarys scientists and engineers have
played a significant role in developing techniques of horizontal drilling, shale
fracking, Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage (SAGD), Toe to Heel Air Injection
(THAI) and other technologies for extracting hydrocarbons (Paynter and Yin
2012).
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01.09.2014
3) Calgary Logistics
Calgarys location in Western Canada and its integrated multi-modal
transportation infrastructure has helped it in becoming a centre for transportation
and warehousing operations (City of Calgary 2008). It has logistics, supply chain
management and transportation management services, accessible terminals,
warehousing and distribution centers, and linked road, rail and air networks. There
are rail and intermodal auto and trainload facilities available from both the
Canadian Pacific Railway and Canadian National, and they serve every major city
in North America. Furthermore, it provides access to the Canamex smart
corridor which runs between Alaska and Mexico City, and has enhanced the
development of the manufacturing base in the province (City of Calgary 2008).
4) Capital Market
Most major financial institutions and lenders are present in Calgary. 17 of the top
20 investment banks are present in Calgary. As Canadas M&A hub, it accounted
for more than 26% of the total M&A deal volume in the country, which was
higher than any other Canadian city. The finance and business industry is growing
rapidly in Calgary, and has added 13,300 new jobs over the past ten years, which
amounts to an increase of 39%. In September 2012, Calgary ranked 23rd on the
Global Finance Centre Index (GFCI), which measures 77 global financial centres
in terms of competitiveness (Paynter and Yin 2012). Calgarys financial services
sectors advantage is in its knowledgeable experience and sophistication of its
workforce, especially in the selling side of the transaction, as the energy sector in
Calgary is an attractive market for firms in financial services due to its high
concentration of capital intensive companies, high deal velocity and large deal
size (Paynter and Yin 2012). According to Paynter & Yin, while only 3% of the
worlds energy M&A deals took place in Calgary, it still represented 12% of the
total deal volume.
There are five main segments in the Canadian oil & gas industry (Natural
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01.09.2014
1) Upstream oil & gas companies (exploration, drilling, production, and field
processing)
2) Oilfield services providers to the upstream oil & gas extraction operation
(perform drilling and well maintenance services based on contracts)
3) Petroleum refineries that process crude oil into refined products
4) Oil pipelines that transport crude oil and refined produced between production
sites, refineries, export or import border points, and end-users
5) Distributors of refined products at wholesale and retail levels
According to Natural Resource Canada (2013), each segment is composed of a
large number of private sector firms, including multinational companies, regional
firms, and small businesses. Several upstream players (e.g., Imperial
Oil/ExxonMobil, Shell Canada, Chevron, and Suncor) are vertically integrated oil
companies, having activities such as in-house oil field services, oil field
productions, refineries, and retail distribution networks. The figure below shows
the largest producers within Alberta.
60,000
50,000
40,000
As of June 2013
30,000
2012
20,000
10,000
-
6.3.2 Investment
The oil sands have received the most FDI in Canadas energy sector since 2007.
Page 58
01.09.2014
Foreign entities can gain access to the oil sands via farm-ins, where new entrants
can negotiate deals with established lease holders (Canada Research Institute
2013). Leases are initially available through a land tenure system which is
administered by the Alberta Department of Energy. Most of these rights are
offered through public offerings via auctions, which are held throughout the year.
Rights are sold to the higher bidder at these auctions for a minimum price of $1.25
per hectare. Canadian and foreign companies both have equal rights to participate.
This process has led to a busy market place, along with frequent rights transfers
and trades, mergers and acquisitions. Chinese and U.S. Investment represents 60%
of the total FDI going into the oil sands since 2007 (Canada Research Institute
2013).
The figure below illustrates total investment in the Canadian upstream energy
sector. We did not have the data for separate onshore and offshore investments.
However, due to the substantial production in onshore Canada, we can state that
most of these investments were made within that sector. It is clear that investment
is expected to increase over the next decade within both the onshore and offshore
clusters.
01.09.2014
Page 60
01.09.2014
6.3.4 Competition
Competition for the pipeline growth is from shale oil production in the U.S.,
which has led to an increase in crude by rail deliveries, which is more expensive.
In addition, there has been an increase in liquids produced, mainly from the
Bakken formation in North Dakota. The product found is a lighter and sweeter
version, which can be sold for a higher price to refineries as compared to the
heavier crude from the oil sands. This has reduced the U.S. demand for Canadian
crude.
In Canada, there are about 200 upstream producers, while the top 40 upstream
operators dominate the upstream market. As shown in the following chart, the top
20 upstream producers produce about 60% of total national production, and the
top 40 upstream producers produce about 80% of total national production.
Top 20 (%)
Top 30 (%)
Top 40 (%)
79%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
6.3.5 Rivalry
The figure below illustrates the largest players within the global onshore industry
in 2013, along with total Canadian production. Canada was ranked in 5th place
within total onshore production in 2013, and the biggest players were Russia,
Page 61
01.09.2014
Page 62
01.09.2014
The Investment Canada Act governs the foreign ownership in Canada. To acquire
Canadian firms, foreign investors have to complete a net benefit to Canada test
to see if the investment amount exceeds $330 million, and this review process
takes at least 30 days (Deyholos and Cuschieri 2013). If the foreign investor is a
stated-owned enterprise, the investment plan has to demonstrate no threats to
Canadas national security. As discussed previously, in December 2012, changes
were made to the Investment Canada Act and these changes place significant
limitations on acquisitions of control by SOEs specifically within the oil sands.
According to Jarand Rystad, Managing Partner, Rystad Energy, international firms
are taxed 1% more than Canadian firms. Canada has a 25% branch tax imposed on
unincorporated branches of non-resident corporations in addition to the normal
corporate income tax (PwC 2012). According to Income Tax Act bulletin, the 25%
branch tax is imposed on the branchs after-tax Canadian source income, as
adjusted by deducting an allowance for investment property in Canada. If the
branch is incorporated in Canada as a subsidiary of a foreign company, it would
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01.09.2014
01.09.2014
has no similar residence requirement, and as a result, companies in the oil & gas
business tend to locate their main office in Calgary and not in B.C. (Huntington
2012).
According to Michael Ekelund Deputy Minister, Government of Alberta, the
government requires a registered office, which is not necessarily a head office, in
order to ensure that the government can provide the companies a notice on
environmental issues if the need arises. This residence requirement ensures that
operators are liable under Alberta law for paying royalties, cleanup, and
reclamation. This residency requirement governs only operators not OFS
companies. According to Michael Ekelund, the Government of Alberta recognizes
offices in some other Canadian provinces, but the operators have to convince the
Government of Alberta that sufficient supervision and enforcement are in place.
Based on our interviews with industry experts from both public and private
sectors, oil field services firms in Alberta have developed excellent local expertise
in horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing. An entire section within this report
has been dedicated to relating and supporting industry within the oil & gas sector.
6.5.1 Markets
Only 12% of the oil produced in Canada was used within the country, and the
remaining 88% was exported. 97% of total Canadian heavy crude oil exports were
to the U.S. The most important U.S. markets were the Midwest (72% of total
exports), Rockies (12% of total exports), Gulf Coast (6% of total exports), West
Coast (4% of total exports) and the East Coast (2% of total exports). The five subregions within these areas were Chicago, Wood River, Twin Cities, Billings and
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The U.S. import requirements averaged 17.5 million barrels per day in 2010. 9.5
million barrels were imports, with Canada being the largest exporter of oil to the
U.S., exporting 2 million barrels per day (21% of imported oil). Saudi Arabia was
second with 1.1 million barrels per day (11.6% of imported oil) (Angevine and
Oviedo 2012). 99% of oil sold from Canadian oil sands to the U.S. is sold at
discounted rates due to oversupply to the Mid-West, which can be attributed to the
lack of market access to the Gulf Coast (Canadian Energy Research Institute
2013b). In addition, the total demand for oil is declining in the U.S., while it is
increasing for the BRIC nations. The figure below illustrates the differences in
demand between the U.S. and BRIC nations.
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A concern for the Canadian producers is where the production could go after
reaching the U.S. Gulf Coast, as domestic U.S. production has been increasing
and there has been increasing efficiency of use. Regardless of Canada gaining
efficiency in production, processing and transportation, the question about who
will purchase the oil is valid. There have been predictions by some that the U.S.
could be an energy exporter by 2020 2025 (Carbon Tracker Initiative 2013).
This will ultimately reduce demand for Canadian oil sands imports.
The options to export are either via pipeline or rail. The benefits of providing
access to refineries provides the oil with access to global markets which will
ultimately lead to higher prices, and this is essential to further expanding the oil
sands production. The Keystone XL pipeline debate linking Alberta to the Gulf
Coast is key for the industry to grow (Carbon Tracker Initiative 2013). The
industrys preference is for pipelines due it being more cost effective than rail
transport. In addition, rail has substantial infrastructure development issues, and
use of rail negatively affects other industry, as stated above.
01.09.2014
account the declining U.S. demand, it is likely that U.S. dependence on Canadian
oil will decrease significantly. Keeping in mind that Canada does not have other
markets for its oil means that oil resources in Canada could be obsolete, unless
Canada can acquire access to the Asian markets.
6.5.5 Pricing
A major challenge for the producers is the lack of access to refining capacity. The
heavy oil from the oil sands has higher sulphur content than conventional oil in
Canada and the U.S. Therefore, it can be refined by a limited number of refineries
which have invested in such technology and are located close to Western Canada.
Oil sands production is much higher than the refining capacity available to
process it in the Canadian and U.S. mid-continent markets (areas accessible via
existing infrastructure). Therefore, due to increased supply, the price for WCS has
traded at a steep discount to the WTI. Over the past 12 months, the WCS has been
priced over 24% lower than the WTI, which has reduced profit margins for the
producers (Carbon Tracker Initiative 2013).
As per the Carbon Tracker Initiative report (2013), the WCS is similar to the
Mexican heavy crude, which sets the price for the Maya. Therefore, once the
WCS is accessible to the Gulf Coast refineries, its price will be similar to Maya.
Canada exports 1.1 MBD of heavy oil to the U.S. Midwest and the amount is
expected to rise to 1.6 MBD by 2016. This increase in heavy oil exports and
infrastructure bottlenecks are constraining the oil being transported to the U.S.
Gulf Coast. This has created a glut which is depressing price for Western
Canadian Select (WCS) (Carbon Tracker Initiative 2013). This costs producers in
Canada millions of dollars per day, and is driving the push to build more
infrastructure which is required to deliver the heavy crude to refineries in the U.S.
Gulf Coast which are likely to pay a higher price. The other options appear to be
building pipelines to send the crude to the U.S. West Coast, Asia and the Canadian
East Coast. However, the short term solution appears to be pipeline expansion to
the U.S. Gulf Coast (Carbon Tracker Initiative 2013).
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01.09.2014
01.09.2014
Canadas largest crude oil market. In addition, an increase in oil production from
the oil sands in Western Canada is also enhancing supply. Due to the discounted
crude oil, the refineries are able to purchase cheaper feedstock, which ultimately
leads to enhancing profits for the refiners. However, the lack of capacity in
Canadas pipeline network is still likely to be a huge issue, and this will reduce the
gains (Canadian Energy Research Institute 2013a).
6.5.8 Exploration
According to Matthew Foss, Executive Director from the Department of Energy
of the Government of Alberta, there is not a lot of exploration taking place in
Alberta as the geology is reasonably mapped out, and over 300,000 wells have
been drilled. However, it is important to note that the success rate of drilling in
Alberta is significantly higher at 70% 80% compared with the success rate of
drilling in the rest of the world which is 10% 20%. More discoveries are likely
to take place even though the geology is well mapped out, but the size of projects
is likely to be small. Exploration and production are feasible for smaller
companies that have the cost structure to operate smaller scale projects. In
addition, it is important to note that the incremental cost of drilling a well in
Western Canada is reasonably less compared to other places in the world, while
the time frame required between deciding to drill and having production on the
market can be as short at 6 8 weeks, which makes small production fields more
attractive to smaller companies which have the flexibility to operate on such time
frames.
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Canadian Onshore (Alberta) Oil Cluster Map Oil Production Value Chain
Transportation
Pipelines
Oil Exploration
Oil Completion
&
&
&
Rails
Development
Production
Oil Distributors
& End
Oil
Customers
Refining
Focused Operators:
Enbridge,
Ten refineries in
Imperial Oils,
TransCanada,
Western and
Petro-Canada,
ShawCor, Mullen
Central Canada;
Devon Canada,
Group, Superior
72% of total
Gibson Energy,
Plus, Canadian
Nexen, Shell
Energy
Pacific, Canadian
Energy, Sunwest
National rail
pipelines
Integrated Operators:
Imperial Oil/ExxonMobil, Shell Canada, Chevron, Suncor, Husky Energy, Cenovus Energy, Harvest
Operations
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Exploration
Completion
Transportati
Distribution
&
&
on
Development
Production
Pipelines &
End
Rails
Customers
&
Refining
Mental Fabrication,
Equipment
Renewable Energy
Precision Drilling,
AMEC, WorleyParsons
Project
Development
Business Services
Engineering,
Fabrication,
Kiewit Energy Canada Corp.,
Construction &
Installation
Private Equity
Waste
Management
Specialized Institutions
Regulators:
Associations:
Research
Training Centers:
Institutions:
NAIT,
Provincial
JCPT, APEGBC,
Alberta Innovates,
University of Calgary
Governments
OSLI, CEPA,
CERI, COSIA,
University of Regina
CAODC, PTAC,
University of Alberta,
Enform
ESRD
CSUR
University of Calgary,
SRC, SDTC
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7.1 Government
7.1.1 Regulators
According to the Canada Petroleum Resource Act, federal law governs offshore
acreage, and companies have to obtain rights from the federal government through
a public-call-for-bids process. They have to pay royalty to the federal government
(Business Monitor International 2013). Accord Implementation Acts govern how
offshore energy management and revenues are shared between the federal
government and the provincial government. As a result two offshore regulatory
boards, the Canada Newfoundland and Labrador Offshore Petroleum Board
(CNLOPB) and the Canada Nova Scotia Offshore Petroleum Board (CNSOPB),
were established (Business Monitor International 2013). The roles of the
governments and regulatory bodies are listed below.
1) The Federal Government
Collects royalty
2) Provincial Governments
01.09.2014
research and development to be carried out in the province and for education and
training to be provided in the province (Canada Newfoundland and Labrador
Offshore Petroleum Board 2011). According to Canada Newfoundland and
Labrador Offshore Petroleum Board (2011), the R&D expenditure that operators
have to commit is not a fixed percentage of revenue. During the exploration
phase, the R&D expenditure could up to a maximum of 5%. Production phase
R&D expenditure is the residual of total R&D expenditure (which is the product
of Statistics Canada benchmark for oil & gas extraction companies, total
recoverable oil, and long-term oil price) minus the R&D expenditure during the
exploration phase.
Newfoundland and Labrador and Nova Scotia both have Atlantic Accords with the
Government of Canada. According to Svein Inge Eida of Statoil, this leads to
preference of regional content in terms of both employees and companies.
Therefore, companies within the province(s) have an advantage as compared to
Canadian companies, which have an advantage as compared to international
companies. Such protectionist measures negatively impact companies and prevent
them from being globally competitive as per Porters diamond model.
As noted above, provincial trade can be difficult as provinces have different
agreements between them and with the federal government. According to Svein
Inge Eide, one of the reasons Norway has developed a strong offshore oil field
services industry is because it carried over its knowledge from the shipping and
maritime industries. The province of Nova Scotia has several companies within
these industries, while companies within offshore are based in Newfoundland and
Labrador. Due to the Atlantic Accord and provincial trade restrictions, the
knowledge of the shipyards and maritime industries in Nova Scotia have been
underutilized in Newfoundland and Labrador, which has prevented the offshore
oil field services cluster from being a market leader.
7.1.3 Royalty
Newfoundland and Labrador Offshore Royalty Regime and Nova Scotias Generic
Offshore Petroleum Royalty Regime provide guidelines for offshore energy
royalty collection (Business Monitor International 2013). In Newfoundland and
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01.09.2014
Labrador, oil royalties include basic royalty (calculated based on gross revenue,
and ranges from 1% to 7.5% as cumulative production rises), which are to be paid
at all stages of the project and are linked to realized prices, and net royalty
(calculated based on net revenue), which varies according to the projects
profitability (Mintz and Chen 2010). According to Bott & Carson (2007), due to
accords between the provincial and federal governments, the provinces are able to
create royalty policies based on the wellhead value of the petroleum and the
profitability of the individual projects.
There are three tiers of oil royalty rates in Newfoundland and Labrador, while four
tiers in Nova Scotia. Royalty regimes are similar in Nova Scotia and
Newfoundland and Labrador, because in both provinces royalties are determined
based on the profitability of the project (Mintz and Chen 2010). The previous
table in the Canadian National Diamond Government section illustrates the
differences in royalty rates between Newfoundland and Nova Scotia.
A recent study illustrated that oil & gas producers in Newfoundland and Labrador
and Nova Scotia have a low tax and royalty burden due to both a royalty structure
that provides excessive deductibility for investment costs and the Federal Atlantic
Investment tax credit (Mintz and Chen 2010). However, Paul Barnes, CAPP
Atlantic Region manager, stated that the complexity of the royalty regime had
made energy investment in Atlantic Canada less attractive for international oil
companies. In his opinion, despite the fact that the Newfoundland and Labrador
government have royalty regime established, royalties rates were not clear and oil
companies had to devote significant efforts in negotiating royalty payments and
seeking tax credits. This illustrates that the transaction cost involved for oil & gas
firms to negotiate royalty rates can be significant, and it should be taken into
account when determining the total cost of the project.
01.09.2014
01.09.2014
through the Energy Corporation to purchase proprietary seismic data for reevaluation and acquire new data to fill in the gaps in existing offshore geological
data (Newfoundland and Labrador Department of Natural Resource 2007). This is
because new exploration opportunities are often discovered through the process of
geological data consolidation. This demonstrates that the government understands
the importance of having more discoveries.
01.09.2014
The diversity of the opportunity set makes Nova Scotia of interest to a wide range
of companies. Combined with the proximity to the worlds largest market and the
political stability of a G8 nation, this makes Nova Scotia Offshore a very valuable
investment opportunity for the oil industry. This became evident when,
subsequent to the completion of the PFA, two call-for-bids rounds were held. In
2011, Shell Canada was awarded four deep water parcels in the southwest for a
combined work expenditure bid of $970 million. In 2012, BP was awarded four
deep water parcels in the region south west of Sable Island for a total work
commitment of $1.05 billion. Additionally, Shell Canada was also awarded two
deep water and two shelf parcels for a combined work commitment of $32
million. In total, this resulted in $2.05 billion in work commitment bidding
including the highest bids received in Atlantic Canada on both a per bid round and
per block basis.
The 2013 call-for-bids focused on the shallow water regions north and east of the
Sable Island area. Since this call, the province has completed new geoscience
analysis including seismic reprocessing. Although there werent any bids in 2013,
the industry expects positive results in future as the province will release new
geological data when these areas again come up for bid.
The 2014 call-for-bids is in the Laurentian Subbasin. The province will release
new geoscience research in time for the 2014 call-for-bids. This new information
will address many geological questions for the industry.
The Canadian offshore oil & gas industry can be considered sexier than the
onshore industry. This can be attributed to the lack of its impact on the
environment, which can also be attributed to the lack of production within this
industry. However, this is a very small industry and has not generated significant
attention as most of the attention has been focused on the industry in Western
Canada. According to Jim Logan Forbes, Senior Subsea Engineer at Wesi, the
industry has faced significant opposition from the fishing industry, and the
environmentalists. However, there have not been any spills so far which is
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01.09.2014
beneficial for the offshore oil & gas industry. In addition, the industry is small and
has not significantly impacted the Canadian economy yet.
01.09.2014
It is also important to note that the vessels need to be mobilized from Europe,
which is very expensive the mobilization cost for the construction vessel bought
to the Deep Panuke project cost $1 billion, and they had to do it twice. In addition,
the industry is very cyclical, and due to the weather conditions, operations can
only take place between May and October, which is the Canadian summer, and
many individuals within the industry prefer being on vacation.
7.2.3 Labour
Similar to the onshore oil production in Alberta, labour shortage also hinders the
development of the offshore energy industry in Atlantic Canada. Based on our
interview with Max Ruelokke, the labour market in Newfoundland and Labrador
is tight, and hence costs have gone up due to stronger competition for labour. In
addition, it is important to note that companies that conduct business in
Newfoundland and Labrador have to train local people because it is cheaper than
hiring expatriates. The government has done a better job of having companies
employing locals and expect to see a transformation from 20% to 90% local
employees.
7.2.4 Transportation
According to National Energy Board (2014), over 80% of oil produced offshore in
Atlantic Canada is transported to refineries located in the U.S. East Coast by
tankers. According to Jim Logan Forbes, Senior Subsea Engineer at Wesi, the oil
is located between 1500 and 2000 metres under water, which it makes it
challenging to get the oil to the market. There is a very long drop off, and an
unstable bank, which prevents oil from being transported via pipelines. Therefore,
floating structures are needed and FPSOs are used which offload the oil into the
tankers. In addition, during certain months, the weather conditions do not permit
oil to be offloaded, which is why production needs to be reduced. This illustrates
that production and transportation of oil in Atlantic Canada is very challenging.
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01.09.2014
Oil Sands
Western Canada
37.6
38
36
23
22.7
1.5
0.3
1.5
0.3
2011
23
1.5
0.5
2012
2013
activities
(Canada-Newfoundland
and
Labrador
Offshore
01.09.2014
very small local service companies and aim to earn contracts via these companies.
They do not establish an office or head office within the province in Nova Scotia
or Newfoundland and Labrador. This illustrates that the local content requirement
has not been very successful.
The preference for local content by the provincial government in Atlantic Canada
has raised the cost of production, which negatively affects the attractiveness of the
industry. According to Hkon Skretting, Canadian firms in the oil & gas sector
have the tendency to seek protection, and this leads to high production costs and
inefficiencies. This also limits competition, and a lack of competition, as per
Porters diamond model is not beneficial for the local industry, as it prevents it
from being competitive globally.
01.09.2014
Based on our interview with Kinnon Kendziora, the small market size and cyclical
nature of oil production in the Atlantic offshore make OFS hard to grow. This is
because industry is on and off, which corresponds to the development of offshore
oil fields. It is not easy to predict the market size in Atlantic Canada, because this
region is underexplored. He also stated that due to lack of collaboration, the
experience is not taken from one project to another.
7.3.4 Global Rivalry
As stated above, the Canadian offshore industry is very small. The figure below
contains global offshore production data for 2013, and it is clear that the Canadian
offshore industry is not a large global player due to minimal production.
Production (kbbl/d)
The figure below illustrates expected global offshore production in 2025, and it is
clear that Canada is not expected to be a large global player, although its total
production is expected to increase significantly. However, it is important to note
that both BP and Shell have each committed to $1 billion in exploration in
Atlantic Canada. This is a very large investment in exploration, and local industry
Page 85
01.09.2014
Production (kbbl/d)
Page 86
01.09.2014
01.09.2014
The province only has one refinery that was built in 1970s. Very few opportunities
have been identified as feasible for adding value to oil & gas processing
(Newfoundland and Labrador Department of Natural Resource 2007). This can be
attributed to low and volatile margins on refining, which has led to low
international investment for capacity increases at refineries, or the construction of
new refineries. According to Paul Barnes, the refinery in Newfoundland and
Labrador is a sour refinery which uses sour crude oil as input, but the type of
crude oil produced in the offshore Newfoundland and Labrador is light sweet
crude oil. As a result, the local refinery is not designed to process the type of
crude oil produced offshore, and hence it would be cheaper to process offshore oil
into other products elsewhere.
1) Industrial Fabrication in Newfoundland and Labrador
Industrial fabrication is the metal fabrication process of equipment used in largescale
construction
projects
(Province
of
New
Brunswick
2012).The
Page 88
2)
01.09.2014
The province of New Brunswick in Atlantic Canada also plans to further develop
its industrial fabrication industry. As of 2011, there were approximately 100
industrial fabrication companies in New Brunswick. This sector provides highskilled employment for 2,000 people (Province of New Brunswick 2012). More
than 170 local engineering firms also support the industrial fabrication industry.
7.5.1 Exports/Imports
Over 81% of oil produced offshore in Atlantic Canada is transported to refineries
located in the U.S. East Coast by ocean tankers, 16% to the U.S. Gulf Coast, and
3% to the U.K. (National Energy Board 2014). Unlike the oil produced in Western
Canada, oil production in the Atlantic Canada region is exported at the Brent
crude oil price, which is the world crude oil price benchmark.
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01.09.2014
U.K.
3%
U.S. East
Coast
81%
Source: National Energy Board of Canada, Canadian Energy Overview 2007 Energy Market Assessment
Although Canada is a net exporter, refineries in Atlantic Canada rely on the
imported oil as input. In 2007, 80% of the Atlantic refining inputs were met by
imports and the remaining 20% were met with oil produced in Eastern Canada
(National Energy Board 2014).
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01.09.2014
Canadian Offshore (St. Johns) Oil Cluster Map Oil Production Value Chain
Oil Completion
Oil Exploration
&
&
Production
Development
Transportation
Oil Distributors
&
& End
Vessels
Customers
Oil
Refining
Irving, DOF
Three refineries in
Imperial Oils,
Subsea, ROMOR
Atlantic Canada;
Petro-Canada,
EnCana
Ocean Solutions,
Devon Canada,
Genoa Design
production goes to
Gibson Energy,
International, IMV
refineries located
Nexen, Shell
Projects Atlantic
Energy, Sunwest
Operators with exploration licenses: Multi Klient Invest AS, ExxonMobil, Husky, GXT, Statoil,
Suncor, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Petro-Canada, BP, Shell, HMDC
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Exploration
Completion
Transportati
Distribution
&
&
on
Development
Production
&
End
Vessels
Customers
&
Refining
Nalcor, WorleyParsons,
Equipment
Fabrication
Project
Development
Business Services
Engineering,
Fabrication,
Wood Group PSN, Kiewit
Construction &
Installation
Private Equity
McDonald
Underwater
Intervention
Specialized Institutions
Regulators:
Associations:
Research Institutions:
Training Centers:
CAPP, Oceans
Marine Institute,
Memorial University,
Provincial
Governments
Atlantic, Dalhousie
CNLOPB, CNSOPB,
NSERCC, RDC-NL
University,
ACOA
SERT Centre
Page 93
01.09.2014
Exploration
Agreements &
Field Development
Completion
and Production
Licensing
Concession
agreements
Production
sharing
contracts
Risk service
agreements
Joint operating
agreements
Setting Fiscal
terms
Pre license
prospecting
Environmental
assessments
Geological services
Seismic surveys
(2D,3D, 4D)
Electromagnetic
techniques
Existing well data
Sedimentary
environment
analysis
Remote sensing
Scientific drilling
Well Planning
Well Design
(sections,
trajectory
subsurface
conditions)
Rigs systems
and equipment
Onshore/
Offshore
logistics
Subsurface
drilling
equipment
Remote
monitoring and
operations
support
Reservoir
management
Scheduling
Data
acquisition
interpretation,
and analysis
Reservoir
mapping
Reservoir
modeling
Subsurface
development
plan
Economic
evolution and
field
management
The OFS segment is divided into Equipment and Services. Equipment refers to all
the tools, machinery, high tech components, vehicles, vessels, and fabricated
pieces such as pipes, casing and cables that are used to locate and extract crude
oil. Equipment can be small pieces of apparatus such as handheld computer
equipment, or drill bits, while the largest equipment can be heavy machinery and
offshore platform systems. Services refer to the human resource requirements
necessary to operate the equipment in the search for, retrieval or transportation of
crude oil. Services can be general or skilled labour. Specialized expertise consists
of geophysical exploration, contract drilling, pumping, pipeline services, field
processing, transportation, engineering and geometrics.
Large extraction firms such as Imperial Oil, Husky, Shell and Statoil are highly
important in the OFS, as they represent a great portion of the demand for
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01.09.2014
Alberta is Canada's principal producer of oil and petroleum products and has
approximately 68% of total Canadian oil production. According to Hathway
Management Consulting (2013), over 40 major energy companies have large
offices in Calgary, and nearly one in six working Albertans are directly or
indirectly employed in the energy sector. Many OFS companies also collocate
with operators. According to Hathway Management Consulting (2013), in
Canada, 20 operators dominate the upstream production, and there are over 8000
OFS firms with an average of 13 staff. Although we do not have an exact number
of OFS firms in Alberta, as Alberta has significant oil production, we would argue
that a large percentage of Canadian OFS firms are headquartered in Alberta. We
would argue that the Canadian Onshore Cluster (in Alberta) has reached a critical
mass due to large production, significant investment, and large number of
operators and OFS firms.
St. Johns, Newfoundland and Labrador is the location of the OFS cluster within
offshore technology. However, this cluster is very small and does not have critical
mass.
8.2 Government
The province of Alberta which is the location of the OFS onshore cluster has
no municipal sales tax, provincial sales tax, provincial general capital tax,
inventory tax, machinery and equipment tax, or payroll tax. In Canada, Alberta
has the lowest provincial tax at 10%, while Canadas corporate tax rate is 15%.
Alberta has a flat personal income tax rate of 10%, and is the only Canadian
province to adopt such a tax scale. As a result, low tax regimes enhance Calgarys
attractiveness as the location of the OFS cluster.
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01.09.2014
companies he referred to them as The Junior Mining Board while there are a
significant number of venture capital companies with the software industry.
However, the venture capital market for hi-tech companies in Canada is nonexistent. He also stated that Virtual Marine requires the capital to grow and is
more likely to be acquired by an American or European company. However, this
would be unlikely if the venture capital market in Canada was strong, which
would enable Virtual Marine to expand its operations globally. According to
Kinnon Kendziora, Project Manager at Talon Energy Services, the venture capital,
and capital markets are even weaker for Atlantic Canada, as compared to the rest
of Canada, and this significantly deters companies from commercializing their
technology or growing further.
8.3.2 Investment
Between 2005 and 2011, FDI in the support activities industry has increased from
$3.6 to $11.6 billion, with the U.S. being the dominant player accounting for 72%
of the total FDI. Foreign Inflows into professional services have increased from
$9.4 billion in 2005 to $14.1 billion in 2011, while outflows of capital have not
risen significantly (The Conference Board of Canada 2012). However, Canada
performed well in engineering services exports, which totalled $3 billion in 2010,
although the number is down from $3.3 billion in 2005.
Source: The Conference Board of Canada, Fuel for Thought: The Economic
Benefits of Oil Sands Investment for Canada's Region, Page 20
Indirect investment in oil production produces jobs in six sectors as outlined in the
figure above (The Conference Board of Canada 2012). It is interesting to note that
all of the sectors in the figures outlined above pay high than average wages. The
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01.09.2014
lowest paying sector outlined above is transportation and warehousing, and even
its earnings are 5% higher than the average. Oil field services have average
weekly wages of over $1600, which equals more than $80,000 annually (The
Conference Board of Canada 2012). The average weekly wages in Alberta are
$1140, while the average weekly wages in Canada are $932. This illustrates how
the OFS sector has significantly higher wages. This sector has been most affected
by investment in the oil sands because many of the services such as well
development and maintenance are labour intensive tasks and need to be conducted
on site.
Despite the high wages in the OFS industry, firms have had issues attracting
labour (The Conference Board of Canada 2012). 33% of large and medium sized
Canadian organizations reported difficulty in recruiting and retaining engineers
(The Conference Board of Canada 2012). This can be attributed to firms focusing
purely on the domestic market, as they do not have the resources to grow exports,
considering access to skilled labour is a significant issue for both the oil & gas
and the OFS sector. These findings were reiterated via a survey conducted by the
Petroleum Service Association of Canada, where 65% of the respondents of OFS
service firms stated that their firm was facing a shortage of labour, which led to
48% of those firms turning down new business, 65% stated that this constrained
company growth, while 45% stated that it led to succession planning challenges.
This was reiterated in a confidential Government of Canada report, which also
forecasted an increase of competition between firms for new talent, and forecasted
that operations are likely to be scaled back due to a lack of human capital. Mark
OBryne, President of Schlumberger Canada stated that the lack of qualified
personnel was a significant concern and had driven up labour costs
According to Kelly Morrison, from Canadian Petroleum Services Association, this
shortage is compounded with barriers to bring in workers from foreign
jurisdictions, along with workers having to work in remote towns with minimal
infrastructure which require them to have a fly-in and fly-out lifestyle, adding to
the issues in recruiting and retaining skilled labour. In a survey conducted by
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01.09.2014
PSAC, 65% of the respondents within the OFS sector stated that they had
employees who needed to have a fly-in and fly-out lifestyle.
A confidential Government of Canada report stated that due to the depressed
prices of crude oil since 2008, there has been significant competition between
companies in regards to cost. This has put pressure on equipment and service
providers, as the sector has demanded lower costs within exploration and
extraction in order to maintain project viability. Employment costs are expected to
rise as is competition for human resources within the next 5 10 years, since a
number of senior employees will retire. This concern is most significant in
pipeline contracting due to recruitment challenges (seasonality, and remote
locations)
Source: The Conference Board of Canada, Fuel for Thought: The Economic
Benefits of Oil Sands Investment for Canada's Region, Page 21
The figure above illustrates the number of jobs created per $1 billion of
investment in the oil sands. Engineering falls under professional services instead
of oil field services. It is still likely that not all engineering services provided were
within for oil field services, but it can be safe to assume that a significant
percentage of engineering jobs were created in OFS (The Conference Board of
Canada 2012). The graph demonstrates that a disproportionate number of
engineering jobs are created in Alberta, which has led to a shortage of labour, and
disproportionately high wages for engineering professionals.
According to Jim Logan Forbes, Subsea Engineer at Wesi, the skill set within
upper management is not present in Atlantic Canada, which is why management
within companies in oil & gas in Atlantic Canada typically consists of individuals
from the U.K. and Norway. However, the skill set is being built and there should
be adequate human capital within this segment in the future. In addition, there is a
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8.3.4 Education
There are many educational programs within petroleum management, geology,
chemical science, energy finance, and oil & gas engineering as specified in the
table below.
Programs
Institute
Lakeland College
Dalhousie University
Petroleum Engineering
University of Regina
Processing Engineering
Memorial University
University of Calgary
University of Calgary
01.09.2014
88.6%
244,380
168,870
137.8%
159,444
77.9%
61.5%
44.7%
67,062
11,535
1992
18,627
Master's
Level
2008
8.3.5 Innovation
Porter (1998b) stated that innovation is an important element which illustrates the
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01.09.2014
largest source of
government support for R&D, which gives firms cash refunds or tax credit for
R&D expenditures. This accounted for $3.53 billion in 2010, of which 8.7% was
in the mining and oil & gas sector. Total federal support for R&D was $6.44
billion, and it was interesting to note that mining, and oil & gas received only
3.8% of the total support.
8.3.7 Patents
Canada had 881 oil & gas technology related patents in 2013, which is a
significant increase from 240 in 2003. However, according to Matthew Foss,
Executive Director, Economics and Markets at the Department of Energy,
Government of Alberta, this can be attributed to advancement in horizontal and
multi stage fracking, which led to several patent applications within that specific
field. This included innovations within bits, drilling apparatus and safety
equipment. He also stated that the broad range of operating conditions in the
province enable it to function as a research laboratory for OFS companies.
8.4.1 Structure
The Canadian OFS industry is dominated by small and medium sized firms. The
majority (75%) of Canadian oil & gas equipment and service companies can be
classified in this category. Although the number of firms might be significant, it is
important to note that the top 4 firms earn 49% of the revenue, while the top 10
firms earn 75% of the revenue, as per the figure below.
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Total
Top 10
$9,859 (75%)
$6,473
(49%)
Top 4
Average
37 firms
$356
(3%)
0
5000
10000
15000
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Revenues of Large Canadian OFS Companies
in North America Market 2013
(MUSD)
$1,893
$2,000
$1,797
$1,800
$1,506
$1,600
$1,400
$1,277
$1,200
$1,000
$800
$600
$400
$0
Aecon
Bird Construction
Black Diamond
Bonnets Energy Corporation
Calfrac Well Services
Calmena Energy Services
Canadian Energy Services
Canyon Services Group
Cathedral Energy Services
CHC Helicopter
Eagle Well Servicing
Enerflex
Enseco Energy Services
Ensign Energy
Essential Energy Services
Finning
Gasfrac Energy Services
Hyduke Energy Services
Macro Enterprises
McCoy
Mullen Group
Orion
Pason Systems
PHX Energy Services
Precision Drilling
Pulse Seismic
Ridgeline Energy Services
Savanna Energy Services
Secure Energy Services
ShawCor Industries
SNC-Lavalin
Strad Energy Services
Trican Wellservice
Wenzel Downhole Tools
Western Energy Services
Winalta
Xtreme Drilling and Coil
$200
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69
37
13
$13,154
$0
$188
$5,009
$428
$109
$40
$936
$1
$90,674
$10,294 $7,167
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$1,120
Avg.$636
$595 $498
$835
$796
$468
$356
$418
$137
Many value added activities are conducted via large companies such as
Halliburton, Baker Hughes, Schlumberger and Weatherford. According to Max
Ruelokke, Senior Manager at Aker Solutions, integrated operators such as
ExxonMobil prefer having one company which conducts all the work along the
value chain under one offshore OFS contract. This is very different from the
onshore OFS environment, because onshore operators like to have multiple
contractors specializing in niches. This demonstrates that it can be challenging to
operate in offshore OFS industry as there are significant barriers to entry, the most
significant being the need to be vertically integrated.
01.09.2014
Offshore technologies are dominated by U.S., U.K. and Norwegian firms, while
Canadian OFS service companies lack the expertise in offshore technology.
According to Max Ruelokke, Senior Manager, Aker Solutions, Canada, this can be
attributed to the fact that there are only four offshore producing wells (three in
Newfoundland, one in Nova Scotia). This is consistent with Porters diamond,
which emphasizes the importance of strong local demand as a key component of
developing the industry.
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According to Max Ruelokke, Atlantic Canada has the harshest and one of the most
expensive operating environments in the world. As introduced previously in the
Canada Offshore Oil Diamond section, the cost of operating in the icebergs
environment is very high it can cost $500,000 to drill per day, with the services
required to support drilling costing a similar amount. In addition, it is important to
have an FPSO vessel which must be able to be disconnected very quickly because
of several icebergs. This illustrates the difficulties of operating in Newfoundland
and Labrador. As per the Porters diamond, sophisticated local demand is a key
driver for industry development. We would argue that challenging operation
conditions would benefit the Canadian offshore OFS industry.
The Canadian OFS cluster also consists of large international firms such as
National Oilwell Varco, Shell, Baker Hughes and Halliburton. However, there is a
lack of globally strong Canadian OFS firms, despite those firms having excellent
developed technologies and knowledge. According to Chris Theal and Brian Pyra,
this can be attributed to lack of access to investment capital. Geoff Hill, National
Oil & Gas Leader for Deloitte Canada, stated that there is a poor venture capital
and angel-investing infrastructure in Alberta. This was reiterated by Richard
Wayken who stated that it is essential to develop an innovation system to connect
the industry with venture capitalists. This will provide OFS firms the opportunity
to grow as opposed to being acquired by the asset heavy firms such as
Schlumberger, Haliburton and Baker Hughes. According to Tore Sorheim, General
Manager Trican Well Services Norway, when the big four firms acquire smaller
firms, they typically allow a grace period of two years, where the small firms are
allowed to conduct their operations. After that period is over, the knowledge from
these firms is absorbed into the head office. This view was reiterated by Mark
OBryne, President of Schlumberger Canada. This is not very beneficial for the
cluster, as it could lead to expertise leaving the local industry.
There is significant North American demand, which has led to firms going
international only when there has been a reduction in local demand. According to
Peter Tertzakian, Chief Energy Economist and Managing Director of ARC
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Financial Group, profitability within Canada is very high, which prevents firms
from going global. In addition, several firms went to international markets in the
1990s, and were unsuccessful. These failed ventures have led to other firms within
the industry being pessimistic of the international market. In addition to North
America being a comfort zone for many firms, the economy has been strong,
which is the reason why Canadian OFS firms have not needed to expand.
Furthermore, Canada is geographically distant from many markets that require oil
field services, and this makes it difficult for Canadian OFS firms to go global.
Max Ruelokke stated that Canadians are not as entrepreneurial as Americans,
while being more risk averse, which is preventing these firms from going global.
Craig Watt, Executive Director, Premiers Office, Southern Alberta, Government
of Alberta stated that the lack of asset heavy companies in Canada is not purely
attributed to the oil & gas sector, but across other industries as well. According to
Brian Pyra, this is due to the Canadian psyche, which essentially plans for failure
by making small investments in small operations. He stated that for firms to
operate effectively in global markets they need to have production of 500,000
barrels per day. He gave an example of an undisclosed client who has an operation
in Australia but is facing difficulty being competitive because the operation is not
large enough to attain economies of scale.
Hkon Skritting, from INTSOK, also stated that Canadian companies which come
to Norway do not fully establish their operations, and take an unserious
approach by attending fairs with other companies from the region, and not doing
the market research and analysis required to be successful. He stated that many of
these companies have the technology and capabilities to be successful in Norway,
but their lack of commitment to the market prevents them from gaining clients.
Brian Pyra stated that in order for firms to be successful, they need to attain
economies of scale, and follow their current clients in going global. Furthermore,
firms need a combination of capital markets, strong local competition, good
management, and understanding of the global environment, while ensuring that
they sign contracts which provide them with a good return. In addition, they need
to spend time in the local environment in order to fully understand the market and
the drivers which will make them competitive. The lack of capital markets,
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venture capital and private equity has led to Canadian firms not being globally
competitive. Brian Pyra also stated that private equity firms in the U.S. have been
looking at OFS firms in Canada, and if these firms get an influx of private equity,
it could help them go global.
According to Richard Wayken, OFS firms have several projects they are working
on, hence they do not have the resources or capacity to innovate, and this could
negatively impact the industry as innovation is a significant driver in obtaining
and sustaining competitive advantage.
The figure below illustrates that demand conditions in Canada within OFS, and it
is clear that demand is expected to rise within the next decade as production
increases.
180000
160000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
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01.09.2014
As per the figure below, the large four Canadian OFS firms earn the most amount
of revenue abroad, and there appears to be only ten firms which earn in excess of
$ U.S. 500 million in revenue from international operations.
Canadian OFS Companies Abroad
2013 (MUSD)
$2,500
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000
$500
Trican Wellservice
Ensign Energy
Precision Drilling
Calfrac Well Services
CHC Helicopter
Secure Energy Services
Savanna Energy Services
Mullen Group
Canadian Energy Services
Enerflex
PHX Energy Services
Western Energy Services
Tuscany International Drilling
Bird Construction
Essential Energy Services
Canyon Services Group
Xtreme Drilling and Coil Services
SNC-Lavalin
Macro Enterprises
Cathedral Energy Services
Strad Energy Services
Finning
ShawCor Industries
Gasfrac Energy Services
Bonnets Energy Corporation
Calmena Energy Services
Hyduke Energy Services
Enseco Energy Services
Wenzel Downhole Tools
Pason Systems
Computer Modelling Group
Eagle Well Servicing
McCoy
Orion
Pulse Seismic
Black Diamond
Winalta
Ridgeline Energy Services
NXT Energy Solutions
Discovery Air
$0
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The total revenue of Canadian OFS firms is $ U.S. 16.5 billion. The figure below
demonstrates that 77% of the revenue distribution of Canadian OFS firms comes
from the North American market, while 6% is generated from the European
market and 5% from the South American market. This figure further reinforces the
statement made by Brian Pyra, that Canadian firms prefer conducting business in
North America as the market is favourable, and it is within their comfort zone.
However, this can also be attributed to the fact that Canadian OFS firms have
strengths within unconventional resources, and as per the data above, production
of most of the unconventional resources is located in North America. In addition,
production within this region is expected to rise. Therefore, it is likely that we can
see an increased percentage of revenue from this market.
$852,
5%
$12689,
77%
Australia
Asia
Middle East
Africa
America S
America N
Europe
Russia
Unknown
N/A
As mentioned above, Canadian oil producers are sophisticated producers, and this
has led to the development and innovation within hydraulic fracturing and
horizontal drilling. According to Matthew Foss, Canadian firms are pioneers
within enhanced recovery techniques. It is also important to note that there are a
broad range of operating conditions ranging from shallow to deep operating
depths within Canada. This has led some oil fields in Western Canada serving as a
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According to Richard Wayken the biggest gap within the value chain is in terms of
understanding the adopters and users of technology. Therefore, it is essential to
create models for companies to develop or validate the technology they eventually
develop. He stated that Albertas strength is that it has a comprehensive value
chain within oil field services. However, areas for improvement include leakage
detection in pipelines and spill response, along with greater collaboration between
the aerospace and oil & gas industries could lead to synergies within both
industries. In addition, improvement within metal fabrication is required as there
are a large number of small metal fabrication companies which use old
technology. Richard Wayken also stated that there are many small companies
within the OFS sector which can put together pilot projects within weeks, and this
illustrates that there are several early adopters within the province, which is
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The value chain within the offshore cluster in Atlantic Canada is not as
comprehensive as the value chain within the onshore cluster. According to Max
Ruelokke, Senior Manager, Aker Solutions, the strength within the value chain is
in providing services and capabilities to support both the project development and
operations phases, while a weakness due to the small labour pool is a shortage of
both skills and non-competitive compensation expectation in some sectors.
According to Kinnon Kendziora, Project Manager at Talon Energy Services, there
is a lack of Subsea companies, which is why this work is outsourced to foreign
firms. In addition, local firms lack the capital and machinery required for most
capital intensive projects, which is why most of the machinery in Atlantic Canada
is from overseas.
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Stortinget (Parliament)
The Government
Ministry of
Ministry of
Ministry of
Ministry of
Ministry
Petroleum and
Climate and
Labour and
Transport and
of
Energy
Environment
Social Affairs
Communication
Finance
The
Norwegian
The
The Norwegian
Government
Norwegian
Environment
Petroleum
Coastal
Pension
Petroleum
Agency
Safety
Administration
Fund
Directorate
Authority
Global
The
Petoro AS
Petroleum
Tax office
Gassco AS
Statoil ASA
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01.09.2014
Norway has a strong industry specialization which is oil & gas, as illustrated by
the diagram below. Over 50% of its exports are oil & gas, and this industry has
positively affected the Norwegian economy significantly. GDP per Capita in
Norway has increased by approximately 350% since 1960 which is prior to when
oil was discovered. At that time Norways GDP per Capita was below countries
such as Italy and Ireland and was ranked 17th in the world. However, GDP per
Capita in Norway is within the top 3 countries currently. The figure below
illustrates the impact of the oil & gas industry in Norway.
This study has not included a quantitative study of the articles written by the
industry, however, based on our knowledge and conversations with interviewees,
it can be stated that the Norwegian oil & gas industry is incredibly sexy.
Since the early stages of the Norwegian oil & gas industry, there has been political
consensus about the importance of finding optimal socioeconomic development
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that benefits most coastal cities on the NCS. Prior to the 1980s, it was widely
acknowledged that the State would be the ideal candidate to ensure the
foundations for monetizing resources are well laid out, and this was later
recognized as the infant industry protection, which the Norwegian oil regime
shared with other European oil policies at that time (Sasson and Blomgren 2011).
However, what differentiates Norwegian petroleum policy from other infant
industry protections in the1970s and 1980s are threefold:
(1) Although the State requires local content, the policy favours Norwegian-based
but not necessarily Norwegian-owned inputs (Heum 2008, Sasson and Blomgren
2011). As a result, in 2011, the foreign ownership among Norwegian OFS
suppliers was about 51% (Sasson and Blomgren 2011).
(2) The State signed a goodwill agreement with operators, requiring foreign
operators to conduct as much oil & gas R&D in Norway as possible (Sasson and
Blomgren 2011). As a result, foreign operators conducted significant R&D on
NCS. It is argued that while other oil-rich nations focused on providing works for
nationally owned companies, the Norwegian petroleum policy focused on value
creation and facilitating extensive collaboration between multinational companies
(Heum 2008, Sasson and Blomgren 2011). The States petroleum policy
maximized the value created by the petroleum sector through creating stability
and helping local players gain competitiveness in collaboration with foreign
operators. When the NCS was deregulated in 1994, the local competitiveness in
the OFS had been established (Sasson and Blomgren 2011). This goodwill
agreement laid the foundation for the Norwegian oil & gas innovation (Heum
2008). This pro-innovation mentality was further reflected in the generous tax
credits given for oil & gas R&D on the NCS. Since the tax rate on the net profit is
extremely high (50% on oil tax in addition to 28% corporate tax), R&D tax credits
provide operators with a strong incentive to innovate. As a result, the NCS is an
attractive place for oil & gas R&D (Sasson and Blomgren 2011). It is said that as
of 2011, 31% of all Norwegian-based oil & gas companies use 4% or more of
sales on R&D, and innovate more than other Norwegian industries (Sasson and
Blomgren 2011).
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(3) Although the State has the right to grant licenses and require local content, and
decide tax credits, the state has acted in a understandable and friendly manner by
providing transparency and stability for foreign operators on the NCS (Sasson and
Blomgren 2011), which are key features of Norwegian petroleum policy (Ministry
of Petroleum and Energy 2013). Today, as outlined in the Ten Commandments,
the goal, the general licensing process, and the governance structure of the
Norwegian petroleum sector are largely the same as what they were 50 years ago.
This shows that there is consistency in the Norwegian Petroleum policy, which
has provided stability to the industry. Public hearings are in place for each
decision made by the State regarding each block. The state does not discriminate
between domestic or foreign operators and bases the licensing decision on the best
geological understanding, technical expertise and past records (Ministry of
Petroleum and Energy 2013). Although the State has a 67% ownership in Statoil,
Statoil is taxed the same as and competes with other foreign operators. The
conflict of interest is further diminished as dividend income from national
operator, Statoil, is only a small portion of overall cash flow generated in the
petroleum sector to the State (Ministry of Petroleum and Energy 2013).
Despite the governance continuity in the Norwegian model, as the production in
the North Sea entered mature stage, and technologies became more obtainable, the
State reduced its participation in the industry. This is reflected in progressive
policy easing since the 1990s, the deregulation of the petroleum sector in 1994,
and the privatization of Statoil in 2001. The policy shifts are further explained in
the figure below.
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Accumulating local
competitiveness in the OFS
Globally competitive
OFS industry in the
2000s:
Songa Offshore,
Statoil
Local cont legislation 1970-1975-1980s
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As per a confidential EY report, the authorities realized very early that they had
the opportunity to influence the pattern of the players on the NCS through policies
of awarding new production licenses, and by approving or withholding approval
of transfers. The overall policy objective was to help secure a pattern which
ultimately promoted the most effective resource management, while laying the
basis for maximizing value and government revenues. As per this confidential EY
report, the government searched for a concession system where the companies
chosen as operators were evaluated strictly based on their experience and
competence, and their plans for the development and production of that specific
field. Therefore, instead of the auction system, companies were invited to seek
permission to explore for and exploit submarine deposits in the first licensing
round in 1965.
According to the confidential EY report, the concession regulations were the
principal controlling instrument for the Norwegian state in determining which
companies should be granted permission to operate on the NCS, and where the
operations should be concentrated. Therefore, this system strengthened Statoils
dominance, as it received big shares and privileges for different licenses. For the
Norwegian industry, this meant that the knowledge of domestic industrial capacity
and competence was present in different licensing groups, as these were
represented by both foreign and Norwegian oil companies. Statoil also received
50% interest in oil licenses, and had no development costs. The sliding scale
meant that this interest could increase to 80% on larger finds. In addition, skills
transfer and local R&D were rewarded in the subsequent licensing rounds. The
figure below illustrates how licenses were awarded.
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Experience
R&D
Good Will
Competence
Points
Award of Licenses
Development
Knowledge
Plans
Transfer
Production
Plans
The opening of new blocks was a structured process (Ministry of Petroleum and
Energy 2013). The purpose was to ensure geological knowledge, experience and
technological developments and accumulation before moving into new regions.
Over time, the opening moved north, starting with the southern parts of the North
Sea and moving up to the Norwegian Sea and the Barents Sea. The purpose was to
ensure that local players involved in the initial production area had sufficient time
to absorb global best practices, and then develop local competences. In addition,
stepwise opening helped in maximizing the recovery rate in the initial production
area before moving north.
Currently, stepwise opening is no longer a concern on the North Sea, which is
considered a mature area, because geological knowledge, experience, and
technologies are mature. This is reflected by emergence of a strong local OFS
supply industry, which gained experience as the NCS functioned like a laboratory
for technology development (Ministry of Petroleum and Energy 2013). According
to Jon Myran of BW Offshore, Norwegian companies developed technology and
immediately employed them on an oil field, unlike other foreign companies,
which did not move forward as rapidly in terms of applying their innovations.
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This led to rapid technological development on the NCS. In the North Sea priority
has shifted to improving recovery rates and utilizing existing infrastructure
(Ministry of Petroleum and Energy 2013). This is because a small percentage
improvement in recovery rate means an exponential increase in revenue for the
state, due to significant quantities of oil. As the production technologies mature,
best utilizing existing infrastructures would provide new opportunities for
reducing production costs on the NCS.
The State put in place the Ten Oil Commandments in 1971. These oil
commandments have significantly influenced the direction of the Norwegian
petroleum sector, because the States strong participation in the energy sector was
enforced (Norwegian Petroleum Directorate 2010). The ultimate goal is to ensure
the energy sector benefits the entire Norwegian community, and the State was the
best candidate to safeguard the national interests. The oil commandments are as
follows:
1. National supervision and control must be ensured for all operations on the
NCS.
2. Petroleum discoveries must be exploited in a way which makes Norway as
independent as possible of others for its supplies of crude oil.
3. New industry will be developed on the basis of petroleum.
4. The development of an oil industry must take necessary account of existing
industrial activities and the protection of nature and the environment.
5. Flaring of exploitable gas on the NCS must not be accepted except during brief
periods of testing.
6. Petroleum from the NCS must as a general rule be landed in Norway, except in
those cases where socio-political considerations dictate a different solution.
7. The state must become involved at all appropriate levels and contribute to a
coordination of Norwegian interests in Norways petroleum industry as well as the
creation of an integrated oil community which sets its sights both nationally and
internationally.
8. A state oil company will be established which can look after the governments
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oil
companies,
technology
suppliers,
service
companies
and
01.09.2014
In 1969, the first commercial discovery, Ekofisk, was announced. Since then, the
reserves have increased significantly, due to a number of big discoveries.
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1,095
598
155
Since 2000, crude oil production has fallen significantly. Crude oil production in
2013 was roughly half of what it was in 2001 (Norwegian Petroleum Directorate
2013a). Over the same period, gas production has increased significantly, and this
has helped keep the total production on the NCS constant over the last decade.
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The operating conditions on the NCS are considered to be very harsh and this has
led to Norwegian companies having to develop innovative technology in order to
operate in these conditions. According to Porter, sophisticated customers within a
local industry enhance the competitiveness of the industry, as they require
companies to innovate. This ultimately enhances the competitiveness of the
industry.
According to the McKinsey Global Institute report, in the early years of offshore
energy development, the offshore energy industry tapped into manpower from
other related industries, such as maritime services, finishing, and construction
(Dobbs et al. 2013).
From 2005 to 2008, the energy-related education attractiveness has improved at
the bachelor and master level, while worsened at the PhD level (Sasson and
Blomgren 2011). A declining number of PhD students might be an early sign
indicating lower advanced R&D-based value addition (Sasson and Blomgren
2011).
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According to Sasson and Blomgren (2011), over the last few decades, demand for
a higher educated workforce in the oil & gas industry has increased significantly.
As a result an increasing number of engineers work in this industry. There is also
a significant increase of employees with a business or economics education
background. The number of foreign workers has also increased significantly over
the last decade.
The Oslo Brs Stock Exchange and the Oslo Axess Stock Exchange are two
listing markets in Norway. Oslo Brs Stock Exchange is preferred by more
established companies, whereas Oslo Axess Stock Exchange is suitable for
companies that have less than three years of history. As of June 2014, the number
of issuers is 179 on the Oslo Brs Stock Exchange, and 34 on the Oslo Axess
Stock Exchange (Oslo Brs Stock Exchange 2014b). In addition, the energy sector
accounts for around half of the market on Oslo Brs Stock Exchange. Based on
the number of firms listed, the TSX, NYSE, and Oslo Brs Stock Exchange are
among the top three stock exchanges for OFS firms (TMX Group 2014). Other
than the energy sector, the Oslo Brs Stock Exchange consists of a variety of
companies within the shipping and seafood sectors (Oslo Brs Stock Exchange
2014a). More than half of the brokerage firms active on Oslo Brs Stock
Exchange are international firms, and this indicates that firms listed on the
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exchange have access to international capital (Oslo Brs Stock Exchange 2014b).
Over the last decade, accesses to capital and quality of financial services have
improved (Sasson and Blomgren 2011). According to Hkon Skretting, Regional
Director, INTSOK, it is easy to grow a new business within OFS, because
entrepreneurs with great ideas can utilize many local resources, such as seminars,
factories, and engineers. The whole supply chain understands the elements
required to grow a new enterprise. In addition, there are well documented
standards for all processes to test new technologies. Local investors and financial
institutions are important in the entrepreneurial phase, but when the capital needed
surpasses the amount that local investors could provide, firms often turns to
foreign banks (Sasson and Blomgren 2011).
According to the McKinsey Global Institute report, the State also provided direct
funding to universities on a large scale, such as the University of Stavanger and
RF-Rogaland Research programs (Dobbs et al. 2013). Statoils LOOP program is
a venture capital fund that supports high-tech start-ups in the OFS. Over the last
20 years, this program has provided over 600 million NOK (about $104 million)
to support more than 260 companies and technologies. Based on our interview
with Arnt Inge Enoksen, from EY, venture capital from operators and government
has provided good access to capital for OFS firms. However, the funding from
government has reduced overtime, which has led to the current debate about
whether the support from the Norwegian government is adequate.
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9.2.7 Infrastructure
According to the U.S. Energy Information Aministration (2014), the offshore oil
fields are connected to onshore processing terminals via pipelines. There are eight
major domestic oil pipelines with a total capacity of around 2 million barrels per
day. In addition to eight major domestic pipelines, ConocoPhillips operates the
Norpipe pipelines that connect the Ekofisk oil field to the oil terminal and refinery
at Teesside, England. The Oseberg Transport System and the Troll I and II
pipeline systems are the major pipelines systems, and Statoil is the operator for
these major pipeline systems.
Norway has an excellent rail infrastructure which connects Oslo with Stavanger
and Bergen which are the largest cities in Norway and the locations of multiple
aspects of the oil & gas cluster. In addition, Oslo has three airports, which have
high frequencies of international flights. The airport in Stavanger is well
established and connects with other international and local destinations, including
a direct flight to Houston, Texas. The airport in Bergen is also well developed. It
is important to note that costs of local air travel can be considered significant after
taking into account the distance and travel time between these cities.
9.2.8 Innovation
Norway has strong oil & gas oriented research institutes. The state, oil companies,
and educational and research institutions together drive innovation in Norway. As
per a confidential EY report, these institutions are also responsible for the largest
amount of R&D investments. It is also important to note that Statoil is a
demanding user, and acts as a project sponsor and provider of information of
expertise. Therefore, it can ensure that the necessary technology is developed and
can be utilized to develop the entire petroleum sector. Most entities are dependent
on each other. Therefore, there are not only linkages between various entities, but
also between national and international oil companies, and between SMEs and
new technology based firms.
As per the confidential EY report, this has facilitated knowledge transfer and led
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to the creation of science parks in the oil & gas cluster. It is also important to note
that there is strong collaboration between academia, government, and industry,
and this has led to several relevant research projects within oil & gas.
According to Jon Myran from BW Offshore, a percentage of all investment was
given back to companies for investment within R&D in purely offshore oil & gas,
not downstream oil & gas. He also stated that once the technology was developed,
there was significant collaboration with the supplier industry about drilling and
seismic models. As per Jon Myran, this reiterated the importance of jumping from
laboratory research to pilot projects, and enabled Norwegian companies to
establish competencies within those fields.
Together with the Gulf of Mexico, the North Sea retains leadership position in
demonstrating continuing technology advancements in the offshore oil & gas
industry (Pinder 2001). Boosting recovery rates in mature fields has become
increasingly important in the North Sea, because the state plans to maintain the
same level of oil & gas production through gradually opening new areas, and
improving recovery rates of mature fields (Ministry of Petroleum and Energy
2013).
The NCS has functioned as a laboratory for technologies development, because
innovative solutions were needed as the costs of developing and producing in the
offshore oil fields were very high and complex. Without creating innovative
technologies in order to make production feasible, the NCS would not be an
attractive location for oil & gas production. It is important to note that several key
stepwise technologies changes (i.e. platform-based, subsea & floating, and subsea
to shore) were implemented in one pilot project in an oil field. Due to their
success, these technologies became standard across the industry. Using the NCS
as a laboratory for technology development has lead to a strong local OFS supply
industry that competes globally (Ministry of Petroleum and Energy 2013).
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9.3.1 Structure
Over the past 20 years, technology on the NCS has matured, and an increasing
percentage of small to medium size operators have been present on the NCS. This
is because offshore exploration technology has advanced over time, making
operation more feasible for operators who are not fully integrated (Norwegian
Petroleum Directorate 2013a) As a result, the state no longer prefers integrated
multinational operators. Another reason that contributes to the increasing presence
of small-to-medium sized operators is that the NCS has a competitive local OFS
supplier industry, which has ultimately reduced the advantages of being an
integrated operator.
9.3.2 Competition
As of 2008, there were 2,500 firms in the oil & gas cluster (Sasson and Blomgren
2011). In 2009, 10 operators earned in excess of 1 billion NOK in revenue (which
is roughly equivalent to $173 million), while 94 operators reported negative
revenue (Sasson and Blomgren 2011). The large number of firms on the NCS
prove that the Norwegian oil & gas cluster has achieved a critical mass (Sasson
and Blomgren 2011). The large spread of revenue earned also demonstrates a
healthy diversity of large, medium, and small size firms across the value chain
(Sasson and Blomgren 2011). It can be stated that large numbers of firms in each
category within the value chain indicate strong local competition.
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1,229
376
178
142
191
Operators
Geo &
Seismic
Unprofitable
0-10 MNOK
10-1O0MNOK
100-1BNOK
1BNOK or above
Topside
Subsea
6%
Operators
11%
53%
18%
Topside
8% 0%
0% 11%
Operations
Support
12%
84
6%
0% 8%
13%
18%
27%
32%
59%
47%
67%
Subsea
10% 0%
Operations Support
1%0%
7%
15% 18%
33%
50%
66%
01.09.2014
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4) PETROMAKS
The PETROMAKS programme was launched in 2004 by the Norwegian
government. The Research Council of Norway had an annual budget of $50
million for petroleum R&D in 2006. This project assisted in implementation of the
strategies and plans for the governments strategy initiative titled Oil & Gas in the
21st century (The Research Council of Norway 2014b). According to the
Research Council of Norway, this programme has helped bring the Norwegian
petroleum related research and industry together, while enabling Norwegian
companies to become market leaders in innovative technologies.
This was a ten year programme where the Research Council was awarded NOK 2
billion ($325 million USD) in funding to focus on the following areas of research
(Criscione 2013):
Enhanced recovery
Gas technology
Public funding for this programme has been matched 50/50 with the industry via a
collaborative cost sharing model. The programme eventually attracted more
industry funding than initially anticipated in similar public research programmes
in Norway, which ultimately lowered the threshold of high risk projects which
would have never taken place via co-operation between the academic and private
sectors.
9.3.4 Technology
01.09.2014
American oil companies were present in Norway, and the industry was influenced
by craftsmanship. Craftsmen could smell if the oil was viable, and based on the
smell, they would start conducting calculations. The Norwegian companies turned
this craftsmanship into a scientific methodology because the fields were
significantly larger. In Jarand Rystads words we took what we learned from the
Americans and took it to the next level.
As of 2012, the Norwegian petroleum sector contributed 23% of GDP, 30% to the
states revenue, 29% of total investment, and 52% of total exports (Ministry of
Petroleum and Energy 2013). In 2012, oil & gas extraction including services
created approximately 700 billion NOK (about $123 billion) in revenue. This
illustrates that Norway has developed a very strong oil & gas supply and service
industry. In 2012, the market share of Norwegian suppliers in global markets was
close to 80% on drilling equipment, and 50% on seismic and subsea equipment
(Hansen, Karlsson, and God 2005). Norwegian companies, such as PGS
Geophysical AS, Aibel AS, FMC Kongsberg Subsea AS, Subsea 7 Norway NUF,
Schlumberger Norge AS and Aker Solutions MMO AS are benchmarks in the
subsea supply and service industry.
After the financial crisis in 2008, a high oil price improved the margins of both
operators, on the demand side, and oilfield service providers on the supply side of
the offshore oil & gas industry (EY 2014). From 2008 to 2012, the oil-related
supply and service industry increased revenue and employment by approximately
20% (EY 2014). In 2012, the oilfield service industry earned 385 billion NOK,
which is equivalent to about $70 billion, in revenue, employed 4% of the
employees, and accounted for 7% of value creation and 39% of exports in
mainland Norway (EY 2014).
According to Jarand Rystad, there is significant vertical integration within the
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Norwegian oil & gas industry. Companies such as Statoil, Norsk Hydro, and Saga
are all vertically integrated. In addition, it is important to note that there were joint
ventures between the largest players in the industry, (Statoil with FMC, Norsk
Hydro with Aker Solutions, and Saga with GE/Vetco) which led to stronger
competition, enabling Norwegian oil & gas companies to become market leaders.
This enabled Norwegian companies to develop very complex subsea equipment,
such as automated equipment which didnt require divers. According to Jarand
Rystad, this is why three of the four biggest players in subsea are Norwegian
companies.
As per Jarand Rystad, there was a similar pattern within the Seismic industry. An
oil field was mapped within the U.K. side, while there were no significant
amounts developed on the Norwegian side. Therefore, Norway had to quickly
develop that field. The industry invested a very significant amount in developing
Seismic equipment, and this has enabled Norwegian companies to develop
competitive advantages in Seismic equipment.
The figure below illustrates revenues of Norwegian OFS firms from international
vs. local operations in 2012. The total revenue of Norwegian OFS firms in 2012
was 461 million NOK (which is about $U.S. 74 million), out of which 60%
percent was from local operations, and 40% percent from international operations.
As per the figure, it is clear that Norwegian firms earn a significant portion of
their revenue from international operations. It is also clear that total revenue of
Norwegian OFS firms has increased significantly over the past decade.
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International Revenue
2012 (MUSD)
Others
1 NOK = 0.16 USD
Local
International
To 20 OFS fimrs
30MUSD
(186 MNOK)
7 MUSD
(42 MNOK)
26
22
13
10
7
32
3
13
19
15
35
38
44 MUSD
(275 MNOK)
23 MUSD
(143 MNOK)
19
2012
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East Asia
Western Europe (Excluding
Norway)
5.6 MUSD
(35 MNOK)
5.3 MUSD
(33 MNOK)
South America
North America
Western Africa
2.7
Southeast Asia
2.6
Australia
Russia
Other 9 Regions
Other 9 Russia
Regions 2%
Australia
8%
5%
3.4 MUSD
(21 MNOK)
East Asia
20%
Western
Europe
(Excluding
Norway)
19%
1.4
0.6
2.4
South
America
18%
Southeast
Asia
8%
Western
Africa
9%
North
America
11%
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1.8
1.6
Well services
Seismic and
G&G
10%
Topside and
Process
Equipment
23%
1.4
Engineering Services
0.5
Maintenance Services
0.3
Rig and
drilling
services
24%
Transport
and Logistics
11%
Subsea
equipment
and
installation
12%
9.4.3 Shipping
Norway has a strong shipping and maritime industry, which is Norways second
largest export industry after the energy sector. According to the Norwegian
Maritime department, Norway has been a major player for more than 150 years,
and the Norwegian maritime industry controls one of the worlds largest merchant
fleets (Norway's official websites abroad 2014). The Norwegian maritime industry
is an internationally competitive cluster, including leading shipping companies,
shipbuilding yards, equipment manufacturers, designers, service providers,
universities, research and development centers and regulatory bodies (Norway's
official websites abroad 2014).
According to Jarand Rystad, Managing Partner, Rystad Energy, Norwegian
shipyards are globally competitive, despite the competition from low-cost
shipyards. He said that this is because Norwegian shipyards focus on value-adding
activities, and gained construction contracts based on their technological
competencies. These related industries strongly support the development of the
offshore energy cluster, because the shipping companies participate in all phases
of offshore petroleum activities.
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Due to a small population, the local consumption of crude oil accounts for an
extremely small percentage of total production, as illustrated in the figure below.
In 2013, the major crude oil export markets were: U.K. (42%), Netherlands
(21%), and Germany (10%). It is important to note that Norway is not dependent
on a certain market to purchase its oil, and has access to several export markets as
illustrated in the figure below.
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Rest of the
world
9%
France
5%
United States
5%
Sweden
6%
Germany
10%
United
Kingdom
42%
Netherlands
21%
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Fiscal Burden
Operating Costs
o Labour Wages
o General & Administrative
Costs
o Finding & Development
Costs
Royalties
Taxes
o Interest
o Transportation Costs
In Canada, operating costs for both traditional energy production and oil sands
products are increasing. For traditional energy production, the industry average
operating cost was $7.7 per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE) in 2006, and increased
to $10.2/BOE in 2010; for oil sands production, the industry average operating
cost was $19.6/BOE in 2006, and increased to $25.5/BOE in 2010 (Tertzakian
and Baynton 2011). From 2005 to 2010, the operating costs for both oil sands and
conventional oil & gas increased over 50%.
In Alberta, the development of the energy sector leads to continuous wage
increases. From 2002 to 2010, the weekly wage earning for energy-related
occupations increased at any annual rate of 5.5% (McKibbon, Mortlock, and
Robinson 2011). As discussed in the cluster diamond section, labour supply
shortage, aging workforce, and high mobility within the energy sector all led to
wage increases.
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In the late 1990s, the general rule of thumb for General & Administrative Costs
(dominated by office salaries, leases and software licenses) in Canada was
$1/BOE. The industry average General & Administrative Costs was $1.7/BOE in
2005, and increased to $2.7/BOE in 2009 (Tertzakian and Baynton 2011). As of
2011, a $2.25/BOE General & Administrative Costs burden is considered
competitive in Canada (Tertzakian and Baynton 2011).
From 1996 to 2007, Finding & Development Costs increased 8% per year on
average in Canada (Tertzakian and Baynton 2011). According to Matthew Foss,
the Finding & Development Costs in Alberta are very competitive relative to the
global average. For instance, the success rate of drilling in Alberta is about 70% to
80% and is much higher than the international average, 10 20%. High finding
rate is a result of significant drilling activities in Alberta. According to the
Government of Alberta, since 1990, more than 300,000 wells have been drilled in
Alberta, and therefore geology has been reasonably mapped out.
Due to increasing financial capital supply, especially from Asian investors, the
cost of financing has decreased over time (Tertzakian and Baynton 2011).
However, costs of financing vary largely across operators due to different capital
structures, cash flows, corporate governances, and other company-specific factors.
Source: Turmoil and Renewal: The fiscal pulse of the Canadian upstream oil and
gas industry
Since 2009, the increase of Asian investment in Canadian oil sands has been
significant. From August 2009 to May 2011, $18.5 billion foreign capital, mainly
from China, South Korea, Thailand, and Japan, has been invested to the Canadian
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energy sector. About 55% of the $18.5 billion foreign investment targets the oil
sands (Tertzakian and Baynton 2011).
10.1.2 Transportation Costs
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Production costs increased dramatically over the last decade for upstream
operators. The figure below of Husky Energy shows the extent of operating cost
increase. In FY 2013, Husky Energy produced 175.1 mbbls/day conventional oil
and oil sands in Western Canada, and 44.1 mbbls/day light crude oil in the White
Rose and Terra Nova oilfields that are located on the offshore Atlantic Canada.
The unit operating cost of Husky Energy was $6.24/BOE in 2003, and the cost
increased to $16.28/BOE in 2013, a 159% increase over ten years.
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Source: Alberta Oil, Economist Andrew Leach and Kirsten Smith pop the notion
of a bitumen bubble
Based on our interview with Shannon Chmelyk from AER, Alberta's strong
economy and tight labour market has driven wages up. In addition, increasing oil
prices have lead to more focus on output, exploration, and other activities than
cost control. Multiple mega projects being developed concurrently in Alberta have
bid up the price of inputs like skilled labour, steel and copper. Development in
China with their major engineering projects has also been putting high demands
on the pool of inputs over the last decade. In addition, increasing oil prices have
allowed higher cost projects to be developed and continued.
Moreover, the operating costs increase with energy prices, but do not necessarily
decrease if the energy price goes down in the sense that wages are sticky
(Tertzakian and Baynton 2011). For example, in 2009, energy prices dropped due
to the financial crisis, while the unit operating costs did not. The average
Edmonton light oil prices peaked at an average of $100 per barrel in 2008, and
dropped to an average of $60 per barrel in 2009. However, in the post-financial
crisis period, the unit operating costs continued to increase by 2%, which is a
conservative estimate (Tertzakian and Baynton 2011).
Costs are broken down in two categories production costs and fiscal burden. As
per Mackenzies analysis of resource resource-driven economies (Dobbs et al.
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2013), Canadian energy production costs from 2013 to 2014, relative to Norway
are higher while the fiscal burden is lower. As per an interview with Hkon
Skritting, this can be attributed to both inefficiencies, and more intensive
operating conditions in Canada. The comparative analysis illustrates the
differences in the following figure.
Canada
Norway
Production Costs1
52%
29%
Fiscal Burden2
8%
52%
Overall Costs
60%
81%
However, it is
important to take into account that the cost of production might not be as relevant
as ROI, and based on our estimates, we assume that Norway has a higher ROI
because it is able to charge a higher price for its oil.
The cost structure in Canada demonstrates that the operating costs in Canada on
average are significantly higher than that in Norway, while keeping in mind that
GDP per Capita in Norway is almost twice as high. This illustrates that the cost of
production in Canada is significantly higher, and this can be attributed to the fact
that it is more expensive to operate in the oil sands than other locations. However,
this also demonstrates that there is significant room for improvement in terms of
efficiency and technological enhancement.
This also demonstrates that the more expensive cost structure in Canada has led to
the government having lower royalties and taxes. Therefore, enhancements in
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In this section, we compare the NCS Oil Cluster, Canadian Onshore Cluster, and
Canadian Offshore Clusters through the lens of the Emerald Model.
11.1.1 Reserves
Canadian Onshore Cluster: This cluster has the largest reserves out of the three
clusters. Alberta has an estimated 1.49 billion barrels of conventional crude oil
reserves and 169.3 billion barrels oil sands reserves. According to CAPP, in 2012,
Alberta produced 556,000 barrels per day of conventional oil, and 1.74 million
barrels per day from oil sands. As per analysts, the oil sands have reserves for the
next 200 years. Unconventional production is expected to increase by 100%,
while conventional production is expected to stay stable over the next twenty
years.
Canadian Offshore Cluster: There are only four production wells in the offshore
cluster located in Atlantic Canada. According to the National Energy Board,
Initial oil reserves in Newfoundland and Grand Banks totalled 2,152 million
barrels, out of which 1,290 million barrels (or 60% of initial reserves) have been
explored, and 862 million barrels (or 40% of initial reserves) of established
reserves are remaining. In Nova Scotia, cumulative oil production totalled 44
million barrels, and the area offshore Nova Scotia has no significant remaining
established oil reserves. According to CAPP, in 2012, Newfoundland & Labrador
produced 197,000 barrels per day of oil. Nova Scotia has no major crude oil
production. Compared with Alberta, the production in the Atlantic Canada region
is small in scale. This suggests that there is no critical mass. Production is
expected to stay stable over the next twenty years. However, it is important to
note that Statoil has had a major discovery in Atlantic Canada over the past year,
and this is expected to enhance the interest of oil companies in Atlantic Canada. In
addition, BP and Shell have invested $1 billion each in exploration in Nova
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Scotia, and the local industry is expecting a huge find, perhaps equal to Norways
total reserves.
Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: Crude oil amounted to about 45 billion barrels,
and the majority of the crude oil reserves are located in the North Sea. Norway
has been producing a significant amount of oil over the past few decades, which
has led to 44% of the total reserves on the NCS having been produced. Since
2000, crude oil production has fallen significantly. Crude oil production in 2013
was roughly half of what it was in 2001. Oil production is expected to stay
constant, if not declining, unless there are major finds.
11.1.2 Location
Canadian Onshore Cluster: Over 98% of Canadas oil reserves are located in
Alberta, which is located in Western Canada. It is important to note that Alberta
is a landlocked province. Therefore, oil needs to be transported to markets via
pipeline or rail. This has limited oil producers in Alberta from diversifying their
markets.
Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: Norway has the ports necessary to transport the
oil to energy hungry markets in Europe.
11.1.3 Infrastructure
Canadian Onshore Cluster: Transportation of oil via rail is more expensive and
Canada does not have the required infrastructure. Transportation via pipeline is
the most viable option. However, there is limited capacity with current pipelines.
These pipelines are not owned by the government, but are owned by private
companies such as Enbridge and TransCanada.
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Canadian Offshore Cluster: Oil is transported via tankers and the infrastructure
is adequate for transportation. However, the oil is between 1500 and 2000 feet
under water in some wells, so it is challenging to drill. There is also a long drop
off and unstable bank which prevents pipelines from being used. Therefore,
floating offshore structures and FPSOs are needed. Oil needs to be loaded into
tankers, but weather conditions do not permit that during certain months, which
ultimately leads to a reduction in production.
Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: Offshore oilfields are connected to onshore
processing terminals via pipelines. Oil is mainly transported to international
markets via tankers. The infrastructure is considered adequate. The Oseberg
Transport System and the Troll I and II pipeline systems are the major pipelines
systems, and Statoil operates these major pipeline systems.
11.1.4 Demand
Canadian Onshore Cluster: Most of the oil produced in the onshore cluster is
either consumed locally or transported to the US. The oil produced in the oil sands
is classified as heavy crude and 97% of it is transported to specific refineries that
are capable of processing this oil. These refineries are located in the U.S. Midwest
and the Gulf Coast. However, most of this oil (72%) was transported to the U.S.
Midwest. It is important to note that Canada is largely dependent on the U.S. to
purchase its oil.
Canadian Offshore Cluster: 81% of this oil is transported to the U.S. East Coast,
which makes it the largest market for oil from Atlantic Canada. The remaining oil
is exported to the U.S. Gulf Coast (16%) and the U.K. (3%).
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11.1.5 Competition
Norwegian O&G Cluster: As of 2008, there were 2,500 firms in the oil & gas
cluster, and this demonstrates that the Norwegian oil & gas cluster has achieved a
critical mass (Sasson and Blomgren 2011). There is a large spread of revenue
earned, and it demonstrates a healthy diversity of large, medium, and small size
firms across the value chain (Sasson and Blomgren 2011). In addition, the large
numbers of firms in each category along the value chain indicates strong local
competition (Sasson and Blomgren 2011). Competition for the purchase of the
final product (oil) is not significant as Norway is located close to energy hungry
markets.
Canadian Onshore Cluster: There are several companies within the Canadian
Onshore Cluster, and most of these companies specialize in hydraulic fracking
and horizontal drilling the marriage between these two technologies has
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Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: The value chain and supplier list is very
comprehensive.
Canadian Onshore Cluster: There are several Canadian OFS firms with
international operations. However, the large four firms are not all present in all
regions. In addition, their proportion of international to domestic revenue in 2013
was 15%. It is important to note that 77% of the revenue of Canadian OFS firms
in 2013 came from the North American market, while the European market placed
second with 6% of total revenue. This illustrates that Canadian OFS firms do not
have a strong international presence.
Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: Norwegian firms are market leaders in multiple
segments of the value chain within offshore technology. They also have
significant global presence, which is demonstrated by the fact that over 40% of
the revenue with OFS came from international operations in 2012. In addition,
68% of the revenue of the large four firms came from international operations,
which is a stark difference from the largest Canadian firms.
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Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: Norway has a very strong shipping and maritime
industry and this has been beneficial for the oil & gas industry. There has been
significant collaboration between shipping and maritime, and the oil & gas
industries.
01.09.2014
Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: Compated to Canada, Norway has a high number
of PhDs (132 PhD graduates per 1million population aged 25 to 39, in 2011),
which demonstrate a strong willingness of performing high intensity R&D and a
high degree of education attractiveness. However, from 2005 to 2008, the energyrelated education attractiveness has improved at the bachelor and master level,
while worsened at the PhD level (Sasson and Blomgren 2011). It is argued that
declining PhD students might be an early sign of declining advanced R&D-based
value addition in the energy sector (Sasson and Blomgren 2011).
01.09.2014
Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: The industry has gone through a professional
process over the last few decades, many engineers, and employees with business
education backgrounds work in this industry (Sasson and Blomgren 2011).
Similar to the other two clusters, there is a shortage of both skilled and unskilled
labour within the oil & gas cluster in Norway.
Canadian Offshore Cluster: As per the Atlantic Accord, companies are expected
to invest a percentage of their production revenue, or exploration expenditure in
R&D within the province.
Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: There is a goodwill agreement between the state
and the operators about allocating as much R&D as possible in Norway. As of
2011, 31% of Norwegian based oil & gas companies used 4% or more of their
sales on R&D (Sasson and Blomgren 2011).
11.4.2 Innovation
Canadian Onshore Cluster: R&D grants have decreased significantly over the
past year, which has led to a reduction in R&D spending. However, there has been
an increase in patents over the past decade.
01.09.2014
are low, we would argue that low production levels and small industry capital
spending negatively influence the innovation attractiveness of the Atlantic Canada
region.
Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: Norway has strong oil & gas oriented research
institutes. The state, oil companies, educational and research institutions together
drive innovation in Norway, and according to a confidential EY report, they are
also responsible for the biggest amount of R&D investments.
11.4.3 Collaboration
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Canadian Offshore Cluster: As stated above, this cluster has one of the most
complex and harsh operating conditions in the world. In addition, operating costs
within this cluster are the highest within the offshore oil segment.
Norwegian Offshore Cluster: The operating conditions within this cluster are
very complex, and this has led to the development of innovative technologies
specifically for this cluster.
Canadian Onshore Cluster: Canadian oil & gas producers pay tax and royalty to
federal and provincial governments. The federal corporate tax rate is 15%. The
provincial fiscal environment in Alberta is very favourable; the corporate tax rate
in Alberta is 10%, which is the lowest in Canada. In Alberta, the royalty for
conventional oil varies with the price of oil, ranging from 29% ($50 per barrel) to
47% ($95 per barrel) of the gross profit. Royalties for oil sands are 1% when
development costs are not recovered. Once development costs are recovered,
royalties range from 25% to 40% of net profit. Royalties, exploration costs, and
development costs are tax deductible for both conventional and oil sands
production. Royalties for energy production on First Nations reserves are
negotiated on a case-by-case basis. In addition, the 20% federal tax credit on
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Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: The tax rate on the net profit is extremely high
(50% on oil tax in addition to 28% corporate tax), and R&D tax credits provide
operators with a strong incentive to innovate.
11.5.2 Licensing
Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: Licenses are not awarded to the best bidder, but
to the most suitable company. The companys record of accomplishments and
technology play a significant role.
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Canadian Onshore Cluster: Foreign companies have to pay higher taxes, while
local content is preferred for projects. In addition, there is a requirement for
foreign companies to have a head office in the province in order to operate oil &
gas properties. There are some trade agreements with other provinces, where
offices in those provinces are recognized by the Government of Alberta. There is
a 25% surtax in terms of income tax for foreign companies.
Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: Local content requirement was as high as 60% in
1980s, but the industry was deregulated in 1994. Currently, there are no
protectionist policies. As per Porters Diamond, competition is encouraged and
this has led to the creation of several market leading Norwegian companies.
Canadian Onshore Cluster: Calgary is the hub of energy finance, and 17 of the
top 20 banks are located in Calgary. The TSX and TSXV are also very strong
sources of capital within energy in Canada. The capital market is considered very
weak for oil & gas technology companies in Canada. The venture capital market
has been referred to as The Junior Mining Board by several individuals in the
industry, due to its stronger focus on mining, and not technology.
Canadian Offshore Cluster: Capital markets are located in Calgary and Toronto,
and the offshore cluster can benefit from it. However, the capital market is strong
for mining and software, but not oil & gas technology. Access to capital is a
significant issue for several companies within Canada.
Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: Measured by number of firms listed, the Oslo
Brs Stock exchange, along with TSX and NYSE, are among the top three stock
exchanges for OFS firms list their firms. Other than the energy sector, the Oslo
Brs Stock Exchange is a popular place for companies within the shipping and
seafood sectors. More than half of the brokerage firms active on Oslo Brs Stock
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01.09.2014
Exchange are international firms. This indicates that firms listed on the exchange
have strong capital access to international capital.
Canadian Onshore Cluster: The industry sexiness is very low for this particular
cluster, as several articles portraying the industry poorly have been written. In
addition, the environmentalists have strongly opposed the development of the oil
sands. In addition, there has been strong opposition due to environmental reasons
to Keystone XL.
Canadian Offshore Cluster: This industry can be considered sexier than the
onshore industry due to the lower perceived environmental impact. In addition,
the industry is small and is not expected to grow significantly.
Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: Industry sexiness for this cluster is very high. It
can be attributed to how this industry has positively impacted the economy of
Norway, making it one of the worlds strongest economies, with a GDP per
Capita within the top three countries.
Canadian Onshore Cluster: Despite of the economic benefits, the current debate
concerns whether the oil sands development is at the optimal rate that balances
economic and environmental outcomes, and Environmental organizations (i.e.
Greenpeace and Pembina Institute) and local First Nations have been strong forces
against oil sand projects (Best and Hoberg 2008). To ease the burden of
greenhouse emissions, water consumption and tailings pond management related
to the oil sands production, the current solution proposed by the provincial and
municipal governments is to support the development of renewable energy and to
produce and consume fossil fuels in a cleaner way (Government of Alberta
Page 167
01.09.2014
Norwegian Oil & Gas Cluster: It is suggested that the Norwegian energy
industry could develop more environmental friendly solutions and introduce more
environmentally friendly standards (Sasson and Blomgren 2011). The rationale is
to create a strong incentive to make sure NCS is at the far front of technology
development. We would argue that strong environmental awareness positively
impacts cluster development.
Page 168
01.09.2014
Page 169
Cluster
Attractiveness
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
Reserves
Location
Infrastructure
Demand
Competition
OFS value
chain
International
OFS firms
Supporting
industry
Education
Attractiveness
Talent
Attractiveness
01.09.2014
Canadian Onshore
Canadian Offshore
Cluster
Cluster
Cluster
+ High Reserves
+ Access to markets
+ Access to energy
- Low Reserves
industry
+ Critical mass
+ Critical Mass
industry
+ Internationally
- Landlocked province,
- Protectionism tendency
+ Sufficient infrastructure
- Declining production
Similar to onshore
+ Excellent schools
students
- Declining number of
students
PhD applications
Similar to onshore
unskilled workers
- Lack of lifestyle
attractiveness
R&D and
+ R&D requirement
Innovation
- Weak industry,
private collaboration
Attractiveness
o
o
o
o
R&D
requirement
Innovation
Collaboration
Sophisticated
customers
Ownership
Attractiveness
o
o
o
o
Fiscal
environment
Licensing
Protectionist
policy
Capital
markets
Similar to onshore
+ R&D requirement
collaboration
+ Favourable fiscal
- Local content
environment
requirement
- Local content
R&D
requirement
technology start-ups
exchange
+ Strong government
support in OFS
technology
commercialization
o
o
Environmental
- Negative public
Attractiveness
impression
Industry
Sexiness
Environmental
awareness
Page 170
01.09.2014
01.09.2014
01.09.2014
01.09.2014
1) Ensure individuals stay employed within the oil & gas industry by providing
suitable living conditions in oil & gas towns and cities
As per our interviews, it was determined that many individuals are not interested
in living in Fort McMurray because of its lack of infrastructure. This has led to
individuals adopting a fly-in and fly-out life style, which has ultimately made a
career within the oil & gas industry unattractive. Other areas with oil & gas have
had similar problems. Therefore, it is recommended that the government improve
infrastructure within such areas.
2) Invest in developing and marketing an immigration programme tailored to the
Canadian oil & gas industry
Most immigrants in Canada in absolute terms move to the provinces of Ontario
and Quebec. This has led to a high unemployment rate in those provinces. As
most of the population lives in those provinces, which is also where the national
capital is located, there is significant pressure upon the government to adopt a
strict immigration policy. However, the provinces of Alberta and Newfoundland
have a shortage of labour, and a significantly higher GDP per Capita. Many oil &
gas companies have stated that they have had to turn down projects, or not had the
ability to grow due to a lack of labour. Therefore, an immigration programme
tailored to the oil & gas industry for both skilled and unskilled labour would be
beneficial
3) Government & industry collaboration to recruit from Central Canada
Recruiting from parts of Canada that have higher unemployment rates will be
beneficial for both the industry and the government. Therefore, it is recommended
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01.09.2014
that the government create funding programs for the oil & gas industry to recruit
from Central Canada, or provide relocation assistance for individuals from Central
Canada who are interested in moving to Alberta, or Newfoundland.
4) Organize a federal and provincial level public relations campaign to enhance
industry sexiness
Industry sexiness within the Canadian oil & gas industry is very low as stated
above. It is particularly low in Western Canada as compared to Eastern Canada
due to the perceived environmental impact of the oil sands. This has led to
significant leakage of talent from the industry into other industries. Therefore, it is
recommended that both federal and provincial governments coordinate a
campaign to boost the image of the industry not just provincially or nationally but
also globally. This will enable Canada to attract the best global talent within the
oil & gas industry.
1) Increased government and industry funding for students within the sciences
and engineering
Engineering education in Canada is very expensive. Therefore, more funding for
such education will reduce the cost and make it more accessible for students. In
addition, scholarships and loans are more likely to make these fields of interest for
students. A greater number of students within these fields will mean a larger
number of students
2) Attract international students within the sciences and engineering
Foreign students within post-secondary institutions in Canada are highly likely to
stay after graduation, especially within the province of their education. Therefore,
collaboration with the Ministry of Education, Provincial governments, and
industry to provide scholarships to foreign students with the highest grades will
make them consider studying in the provinces of Alberta, Saskatchewan, and
Newfoundland. This may provide the industry with a chance to retain these
students after they graduate.
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01.09.2014
01.09.2014
01.09.2014
Page 178
01.09.2014
Conclusion
This study has demonstrated that Canada needs to enhance provincial
coordination, increase collaboration between players, and increase the focus on
R&D and innovation. In addition, providing access to markets for oil in Western
Canada is essential, as oil production in the U.S. is expected to increase, while
demand is expected to decrease.
Canada will become a larger player within oil in the next decade as per production
estimates. In addition, the offshore industry is expected to grow rapidly
considering the significant exploration amounts committed to offshore Nova
Scotia. Last but not least, several industry experts have stated that drilling in the
arctic will be feasible in the next decade. Keeping these factors in mind, the
government needs to enhance its focus on developing the oil field service industry
in Atlantic Canada, as this would significantly enhance the prosperity of this
region.
Page 179
01.09.2014
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