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1.0 . Introduction
In general commodities exchange implies an exchange where various commodities and derivative
products are traded. A commodity exchange, more precisely, is defined as an organized market
where contracts on commodities are available for purchase or sale at an agreed price and for
delivery on a specified date. Most commodity markets across the world trade on contracts based
on agricultural products and other raw materials (like jute, wheat, barley, sugar, maize, cotton,
cocoa, coffee, milk products, pork bellies, oil, metals, etc.). This market in effect provides
insurance against the risk of price changes by transferring that risk to speculators who are willing
to assume it. Commodity exchanges are divided roughly into three main types: metal exchange,
fuel exchange, and soft (agricultural) commodity exchange. This market is also called commodity
futures market.
Commodity futures markets perform two essential functions:
First, they facilitate the transfer of price risk and increase liquidity between agents with
different risk preferences.
The second major economic function of future markets is price discovery. Commercial
traders, including producers and processors of agricultural commodities, utilize futures
contracts to insure their future inventories against the risk of fluctuating prices.
Commodities contracts include forwards, futures and in some cases, options on futures. In the
commodities markets, the parties to a future trade thus can set and lock a price through
entering into the contract.
1.1. Background of the Research
If we look at the domestic market of Bangladesh then we will find that during bumper harvest of
paddy, jute, and potato price fall drastically. If we consider our export and import basket then
also we will find that different items like Jute, cotton (industrial input), wheat, sugar,
soybean oil etc face price volatility a lot. It is the most common practice in the international
markets for commodity importers and exporters to transfer the risks through financial
instruments. Unique nature of commodities market lends its benefits to a wide spectrum of
people like investors, importers, exporters, producers, corporate etc. In Bangladesh some
organizations who are pioneer in their sectors and follows international practices, has started
using commodity derivative through developing financial partnership with bank like
Standard Chartered by entering into different deals. So, it is high time to establish
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2.0.
Commodities like jute, paddy, potato, wheat, soybean oil, sugar, cotton face regular price
fluctuation and these are the items upon which our country is heavily dependent. Price volatilities
for these items are described below:
2.1. Jute
Jute trade is currently centered around the Indian subcontinent. The major producing countries
of Jute are: Bangladesh, India, China, Thailand, and Myanmar. The industrial term for jute fiber
is raw jute. Bangladesh is the largest exporter of raw jute, and India is the largest producer as
well as largest consumer of jute products in the world (Wikipedia, 2011). USA, Ghana, Syria,
Turkey, Egypt, Belgium, UK, Saudi Arabia, UAE are the major importers of jute goods. Figure01 demonstrates top 5 jute producers of 2008 where India enjoys the leading position followed
by Bangladesh. Bangladesh contributes 26.35% in the total production (made by top 5
countries).
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Figure 01: Top jute producers in 2008, Source: Food and Agricultural Organization of United Nations: Economic and
Social Department: The Statistical Division
Yearly price volatility for raw jute: Unit price of raw jute also varies over the period of time. Figure 02
exhibits a snap on price volatility for raw jute and this volatility affects raw jute exporters. Figure shows
that unit price of raw jute was highest in April-June of 2008 and after that it started falling from USD 45.56
to USD 42.55.
Figure 02: Unit price of per bale raw jute, Source: Bangladesh Bank and Export Promotion Bureau
2.2. Paddy
If we consider farm level i.e. the price obtained by paddy growers (shown in figure 3) then we
will find that price varies a lot for the growers. In the farm level, lowest price was Tk 10.00
(January 2007), highest price was Tk 16.00 (August, 2008) and after that price of paddy declined
again at the growers level. Wholesale and retail price also followed the trend of growers price.
During December 2009, farm level price of paddy was Tk. 14.50 per kg, average wholesale price
of coarse rice was Tk. 22.66 per kg in the domestic market. On the other hand, retail price of rice
was Tk. 24.33 per kg. Yearly price volatility of paddy-
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Figure 03: Monthly Wholesale and Retail Price Of Rice (Coarse) and Paddy Price at the Farm Level: January 2007 to
December 2009
Note: In demonstrating price volatility of different commodities, USD price is used for import and export commodities and for
domestic cases, price is given in BDT.
2.3. Potato
According to Trading Corporation of Bangladesh, since the beginning of the harvest, the retail
prices slumped more than 60 percent to Tk 6-Tk 8 a kilogram at city markets. At the grower level,
potatoes were sold at Tk 3-Tk 5 at that time. Each and every year farmers of potato face this sort
of problem during the harvest time.
2.4. Wheat, Soybean oil and Sugar
Bangladesh largely depends on the different countries for importing wheat, soybean oil, and sugar
to meet the demand of people. Bangladesh imported wheat of $643 million, sugar of $413
million, and soybean oil of $865 million in 2009 (Statistics department, Bangladesh bank).
Figure
04
shows
that
high
during
mid-2007 to mid-2008. At
that time, price of sugar had
risen at a relatively lower
pace International price of
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sugar has almost doubled during the last one year (increased from USD 259 per mt (metric ton) in
December 2008 to USD 510 per mt in December 2009). Wheat price had been declining during
March 2008 to September 2009 and started to increase after that. Wheat price has increased from
USD 191 per mt in September to USD 206 per mt in December 2009. It is known that
Bangladesh imports most of her crude soybean oil from the international market, primarily from
Argentina, Brazil and USA. Crude soybean oil is refined and marketed by a number of companies
in the country. After the very high price of crude soybean oil in the international market during
2007 and 2008, prices returned to normal trends in November 2008 and remained low till March
2009. Since April 2009, price of crude soybean oil has been showing fluctuating but rising trend.
International price of crude soybean oil increased from USD 725 per mt in March 2009 to USD
933 per mt in December 2009 .
2.5. Cotton
In the year 2009, Bangladesh imported raw cotton of $1291 million and in 2010 it was $1439
million (provisional). Bangladesh requires importing raw cotton for textile sector mainly and we
are in the top 5 among the cotton importing country. Price fluctuations of cotton affect a lot the
business that is related with cotton import.
Table 01: Top 5 cotton importing country of the world
2006-07
2.3
0.7
0.9
0.5
2007-08
2.5
0.8
0.7
0.5
2008-09
1.5
0.8
0.6
0.4
2009-10
2.4
0.8
1.0
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.4
Source: USDA
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'A' Index is widely considered to be a proxy for the world price of cotton and in response of the
incremental scenario of cotton price sector like textile manufacturing affected a lot and prices for
all fibers, including synthetics, have risen as well. Figure 5 shows that- A index started raising
after March 2009 and from 50 cents/lb it reached to 180 cents/lb by November 2010.
Figure 05: Price volatility of cotton, Source: USDA
Prices of cotton as a major industrial input have historically been very volatile in the international
markets. To face the situation, it is the most common practice in the international markets for
commodity importers and exporters to transfer the risks through financial instruments.
3.0.
Broad objective of the study is to explore a model for the purpose of establishing a commodity
exchange market in Bangladesh which will act as a mechanism for mitigating the risk of price
volatility of commodities.
3.2. Specific Objectives of the Research
To explore a model for the commodity exchange market of Bangladesh through analyzing
the model/structure of well-established market of India as well as recently developed
Bangladesh.
To explore the possibility/viability of the implementation prerequisites for the
development of commodity exchange market.
4.0.
Research Type: Exploratory type of research has been designed to develop a model for the
establishment of commodity exchange market in Bangladesh. Main focus has been given on
identifying pre-requisites for the establishment of commodity exchange market, potential
resource requirements etc.
4.1. Sources of Qualitative Data
4.1.1.
Primary Data:
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5.0.
Literature Review
There are few studies related to commodity exchange market in Bangladesh. Parvez, Asif (2009)
conducted a study on The Prospect of commodity exchange for Bangladesh where his main
focus was on the functionalities of commodity exchange market and perceived benefit of
commodity exchange market. From the study it was found that establishment of commodity
exchange market in Bangladesh will facilitate blooming of many trading firms (trading arcade)
where traders will be able to utilize a wide range of strategies including technical analysis,
fundamental analysis or/and statistical arbitrage to take positions in the market place in a
variety of assets and they will get the opportunity to speculate, providing liquidity to the market.
Khan, Salahuddin and Talukdar, Bakhtear (2009) addressed that systematic market information
based trading mechanism along with wider participation in the markets need to be established
in the country to minimize oligopolistic cartels (or syndication arrangements) and their
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perception was: a well functioning commodity exchange along with appropriate regulatory
framework and infrastructural facilities can attain this objective effectively.
6.0.
(Ethiopia)
In South Asian context besides India, Srilanka and Nepal have also established the commodity
exchange market in their countries. Indian commodity exchange market is trading 24 goods
consisting of cash crops, food grains, plantations, spices, oil seeds and metals Pakistan
commodity exchange market trades gold, cotton, yarn, sugar, rice and wheat in their exchange
centre in Karachi, while Nepal is exchanging cash crops, food grains, vegetables, spices, oil
seeds, metals and bullion.
6.1.1. Nepal Derivative Exchange Limited: NDEX
The Nepal Derivative Exchange (NDEX) is an Electronic Commodity and derivative Market
which provides online state-of-the-art platform for traders to buy and sell Commodities and
derivatives products efficiently and at a justified price. NDEX aims to facilitate trading on
commodities, metals, energies, currencies and others.
NDEX provides the best and genuine platform for traders, investors, farmers, financial
institutions and others to trade in commodities, energies, and other products to get attractive
returns and mitigate their respective risk. It provides insurance against fluctuating products
prices. NDEX provides these services in the form of commodities and derivatives trading.
NDEX is a professionally managed on-line multi commodities and derivatives exchange. NDEX
is a public limited company incorporated on November 20, 2008 under the Companies Act, 2063.
Matching principles for Orders and Quotes: Price/Time Priority
Orders and quotes are entered into the central order book; they are sorted by type, price and entry
time. Orders and quotes in the central order book are anonymous: A trader never knows the
opposite side on a trade executed through the exchange. NDEX Trading-Cum-Clearing Brokers
are always the counterparty, which is managed and monitored by clearing and settlement
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department of NDEX. Orders and quotes at a given price level are aggregated, although the
number of orders and quotes making up the total remains unknown. Participants only see the
specific details of their own orders. For all products, the best bid and ask prices, as well as their
respective aggregated bid and offer sizes, are always available in real time.
Price/Time Priority: The principle of price/time priority refers to both orders and quotes. When
an order (or quote) is entered into the order book, it is assigned a timestamp. This timestamp is
used to prioritize orders in the book with the same price - the order entered earliest at a given
price limit gets executed first. When a new order (or quote) is entered, the NDEX system first
checks the limits of all orders contained in the central order book. If the incoming order is
immediately executable, meaning it is capable of being matched against an existing order or
orders; one or more transactions are generated. Orders may not necessarily be executed at a single
price, but may generate several partial transactions at different prices. When a large order
executes against the total available quantity at a given price level, the next best price level
becomes best. This process continues as long as the incoming order remains executable. If not
executed upon entry, an order is held in the central order book.
6.1.2. Mercantile Exchange Limited: MEX Lanka
MEX Lanka, the largest commodity marketplace in Sri Lanka, provides real-time prices of major
commodities in an easily understandable interface. MEX Lanka Ltd, the leading online
commodity futures exchange in Sri Lanka, by employing the latest technologies, has made online
commodity trading possible in Sri Lanka. The prices are automatically updated that allows to
monitor progress of various items such as energies, metals, grains, livestock, and, finally, soft
materials through the trading day. With these live prices traders can closely monitor the market
movement and trade accordingly.
Categories of trading commodities
1. Energy (including crude oil, heating oil, natural gas and gasoline)
2. Metals (including gold, silver, platinum and copper)
3. Agricultural (including corn, soybeans, wheat, rice, cocoa, coffee, cotton and sugar)
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Participants
Producer
Importer
Speculators
Member
Hedges
Consumer
Member
Market Maker
Clearing
Quote/Order
MEX
*Clearing members play the role of market making by accepting the risk of holding any of the
traded commodities in order to facilitate trading in those commodities.
Source: Mercantile Exchange Limited
Figure 06: Trading system architecture of MEX Lanka
MCX is India's No. 1 commodity exchange. Globally, MCX ranks no. 1 in silver, no. 2 in
natural gas, no. 3 in crude oil and gold in futures trading. The highest traded item is gold.
MCX has several strategic alliances with leading exchanges across the globe.
As of early 2010, the normal daily turnover of MCX was about US$ 6 to 8 billion
MCX now reaches out to about 800 cities and towns in India with the help of about 126,000
trading terminals
MCX COMDEX is India's first and only composite commodity futures price index and It is
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Trading at MCX: The Trader Work Station (TWS) is the application through which members
access the trading platform, place orders and execute trades. The TWS offers a multitude of user
friendly trading features which include commodity price ticker, market watch screen displaying
best buy, best sell, last traded price, volume for the day, open interest etc., top gainer and loser
contracts, net position, on-line backup facility etc.
Trading System: The best five buy and sell orders for every contract available for trading are
visible to the market and orders are matched based on price time priority logic. Orders can be
placed with time conditions and/ or price conditions. MCX has four types of orders and they are
DAY order, A Good Till Cancelled (GTC) order, A Good Till Date (GTD) order, and An
Immediate or Cancel (IOC) order.
6.1.4. National Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (NMCE)
Traders submit orders and the incoming orders are matched against the existing orders in the
order book. Transactions are cleared and settled through NMCEs in-house Clearing and
Settlement House, which is connected to all its Members and the Clearing Banks. Delivery of the
underlying commodities is permitted only through a Central Warehousing Corporation (CWC)
receipt, which meets highest contemporary international standards. Anonymity of trading
participants and effective risk management system strengthens the trust of the participants in the
trading system, which is a precondition for enhancing breadth and depth of the market.
How NMCE is structured?
Ministry of Consumer Affairs,
Food and Public
Distribution
(Government of India)
Forward Market
Commission
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Institutional Clearing
Members (ICM)
Trading Members
Traders
6.1.5. The National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) of India
NCDEX commenced operations on December 15, 2003 and offers trading facilities through its
trading and clearing members spread across over 150 centres in the country. NCDEX leveraged
the expertise of CRISIL Limited (earlier known as the Credit Rating Information Services of
India Limited), ICICI Bank Limited, IFFCO, Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC), National
Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (NABARD), National Stock Exchange of India
Limited (NSE) and Punjab National Bank (PNB) to realize its potential in the commodity space
for the benefit of its trading and clearing members.
6.1.5.1. The Way Jute Future Contract Works at NCDEX During 1998 to 2004, annual price volatility of raw jute was around 12.6% in India and thats
why Jute future contract was very important for them. Jute futures are exchange traded
contractual obligations to make or accept delivery of a specified quantity and quality of Jute
during a specified time in the future at a price agreed upon at the time the commitment is made.
Jute futures are highly standardized products and futures prices are quoted for Jute products with
precise specifications delivered at a specified location during a specified period of time. Since the
two parties to the transaction trade anonymously, the exchange provides a mechanism that
guarantees that the contract will be honored and thus eliminates counter party risk.
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Secondly, these markets help transfer risk from one class of participants (Hedgers, speculators
and arbitrageurs) to the other. Typically, less than 1 per cent of the total traded volume in futures
markets results in delivery. Most market participants choose to buy or sell their physical supplies
through their regular channel, using futures to manage price risk and liquidating their positions
before delivery.
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Agriculture has always been the backbone of Ethiopias economy and they felt that to lift millions
of Ethiopians out of poverty a transformation is required which take account of transforming
centuries-old subsistence agriculture to dynamic, technology-driven,market-oriented production.
They focused on coverting the market itself to function in such a way that serve the needs of all
concerned.
Dr. Madhin, Eleni Gabre (2007) stated that the Ethiopia Commodity Exchange, or ECEX, is a
marketplace, where buyers and sellers come together to trade. ECEX is a national multicommodity exchange that
Provides market integrity by guaranteeing the product grade and quantity and operating a
system of daily clearing and settling of contracts.
Enhances market efficiency by operating a trading system where buyers and sellers can
coordinate in a seamless way on the basis of standardized contracts.
Allows risk management by offering contracts for future delivery, providing sellers and
buyers a way to hedge against price risk.
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trading platform
A network of 10 ECEX warehouses in surplus areas
A network of 20 ECEX remote access terminal centers in major markets
200 Market Information Points (Rural Electronic Price Tickers) at district level
Internal clearing and settlement system with 3 partner Settlement Banks
6 target commodities: maize, wheat, teff, pea bean,sesame, coffee ($1 billion in physical
trade)
Spot and futures contracts (on selected commodities)
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Hedge against price fluctuations Wide fluctuations in the prices of import or export
products can directly affect their bottom-line as the price at which they import/export is
fixed beforehand. Commodity contracts help them to procure or sell the commodities at a
price decided months before the actual transaction, thereby ironing out any change in
prices that happen subsequently.
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Lock-in the price for their production For farmers, there is every chance that the price
of their produced commodity may come down drastically at the time of harvest. By
taking positions in commodity contracts they can effectively lock-in the price at which
they wish to sell their produced commodity.
Assured demand Any glut in the market can make them wait unendingly for a buyer.
Selling commodity futures contract can give them assured demand at the time of harvest.
For large-scale consumers of a product, here is how this market can help them:
Cost Control For an industrialist, the raw material cost dictates the final price of their
output. Any sudden rise in the price of raw materials can compel them to pass on the hike
to their customers and make their products unattractive in the market. By buying
commodity futures, they can fix the price of their raw material.
Ensures continuous supply Any shortfall in the supply of raw materials can stall their
production and make them default on their sale obligations. They can avoid this risk by
buying a commodity futures contract by which they assured of supply of a fixed quantity
of materials at a pre-decided price at the appointed time.
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depends on the warehousing system available. Most international commodity exchanges used
certified warehouses (CWH) for the purpose of handling physical settlements.
So to provide platform for futures trading in agricultural commodities and non-agricultural
commodities, exchange market will require a large number of warehouses and support from
collateral management organizations for managing warehouses professionally. CWH are required
to provide storage facilities for participants in the commodities markets and to certify the quantity
and quality of the underlying commodity. The advantage of this system is that a warehouse
receipt becomes good collateral. Warehouse receipt will be given to ensure ownership of
commodities that are stored in a warehouse. Warehouse receipts will also act as indicator of
ownership about inventory goods and/or unfinished goods stored in a warehouse by a
manufacturer or distributor. Warehouses also need to be conveniently located with adequate
capacity to fulfill the need of physical delivery. Government controlled warehouses can be the
major providers of agricultural produce storage facilities.
7.1.2. Institute for Quality Assurance: Grading and Standardization
Commodity derivatives demand good standards and quality assurance/certification procedures. A
good grading system allows commodities to be traded by specification. Independent labs or
quality testing centers should be set up in each region to certify the quality, grade and quantity of
commodities so that they are appropriately standardized and there are no shocks waiting for the
ultimate buyer who takes the physical delivery. A committee can be created where personnel from
Department of agriculture, Jute Export Corporation, National agricultural research system and
other 11 research institutes will work to support quality testing institute.
7.1.3. Cold storage facility
For the perishable agro commodity like potato, vegetables; commodity exchange market will
require cold storage facility. Islam M.M., Kabir H. M., and Kabir M.S. (2008) stated that there are
283 cold storage facilities are available with a capacity of 2500 metric ton (average) and the
present capacity is not sufficient. To establish commodity exchange market, capacity of cold
storage will have to expand.
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Maintaining Market Integrity - conducting effective surveillance and monitoring; and audit of
exchanges and intermediaries.
Ensuring Alignment of Future and Spot Prices - ensuring final settlement based on correct
spot prices
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Investor Protection-overseeing fair and even headed conduct of the exchanges; and providing
protection against unscrupulous intermediaries.
Predominantly two sets of systems are in operation for regulation. In one case, separate
regulatory body is established to regulate the commodity derivates market. In other case, common
regulatory bodies are regulating both the financial derivates market and the commodity derivates
market. Instances of countries having common regulators for securities market and commodities
derivatives market are provided in Table 2.
Table 02: Countries Having Common Regulators for Financial and Commodity Derivatives
Country
China
Malaysia
Romania
UK
Turkey
Australia
Singapore
Commodity Exchange
Dalian Commodity Exchange
Shanghai Futures Exchange
Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange
Bursa Malaysia Derivatives
Stock Exchange
Shanghai Stock Exchange
Common Regulator
China Securities Regulatory
Commission (CSRC)
Securities Commission of
Malaysia
Securities and Exchange
Commission
Financial Service Authority
So, initially in establishing commodity exchange market for Bangladesh security exchange
commission can play the authoritative role. Later on, if it seems that SEC is facing problem then
authoritative role can be given to separate entity who will be only one regulator for commodity
exchange market.
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From the interview with experts (Those who are working for the establishment of commodity
exchange market in Bangladesh) it is found that estimated total resource requirement is around
USD 18 million and almost 80 percent of total resource would be allocated for automation and
computerization.
Table 03: Required Resources (Approximate)
Items
Cost in Million
BDT
USD
15
0.21
10
0.14
24
0.34
50
0.71
1000
14.29
120
1.71
20
0.29
8
0.11
10
0.14
20
0.29
1277
18.24
Share
1.17
0.78
1.88
3.92
78.31
9.40
1.57
0.63
0.78
1.57
100
This is a technology and human resource based activity and hence success of this venture mainly
will depend critically on engagement of appropriate experts and technology. Both local and
foreign entrepreneurs who are conversant in this field can be encouraged to come forward to
investment in this venture.
From the private sector- ACI, Ispahani, Pran and Rahimafrooz (decided to expand their business
in agro) are interested to invest. So, for warehouses, cold storage, and laboratory testing building
partnership with local enterprises will give better result. For technological issues help can be
taken from outsiders.
In the case of foreign joint ventures, it is expected that selection of proposals will be based on
experiences in derivates market; ability to provide required technology at the least cost and time;
a clear plan and time frame of technology transfer.
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With regard to the ultimate form and structure of ownership of the commodity exchanges, the
regulator may invite proposals from different institutions. Selection of proposals may be based on
experiences in derivatives market; ability to provide required technology at the least cost and
time; a clear plan and time frame of technology transfer in the case of foreign joint ventures;
financial solvency; delineation of targets/goals with respect to employment generation and
betterment of communities in general. A probable structure for Bangladesh commodity exchange
market is drawn in the following page-
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Development of a model for the establishment of commodity exchange market in Bangladesh: A mechanism for mitigating the risk of price volatility of
commodities.
Probable
Structure
of
Commodity
Exchange
Market
of
Ministry of Commerce
Access to Market
information (Real time data)
: Networking and
Computerization
Bangladesh Commodity
Exchange Market Authority
BCEX
Bangladesh Exchange Market
Clearing Members
Trading
members
Hedgers
(Producers, Farmers, Importers, Exporters)
Clearing settlement
Exchange
warehouses
Exchange
clearing
banks
Warehouse
receipt
Arbitragers
Speculators
Figure 09: Probable Structure of Commodity Exchange Market of Bangladesh-Model for Commodity Exchange of Bangladesh
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Public-private
partnership can
be built for
warehouse
facilities,
testing centers.
Regulating the business of the stock exchange or any other securities market
Registering and regulating the business of stock brokers, sub brokers, share transfer
agents, merchant bankers and managers of issues, trustee and trust deeds, registrar of an
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The regulations of the Commodity Exchange need to be approved by the SEC prior to
implementation. The regulations must concern the following:
a. General Rules and Regulation including the following provisions:
i.
ii.
iii.
Trading System
iv.
v.
Default
vi.
Arbitration etc.
b. Trading Regulations
c. Clearing and Settlement Regulations
d. Risk management Regulations
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9.0. Conclusion
Development of commodity exchange market is very important for Bangladesh to save the loss of
farmers and to ensure proper price of crops during their bumper harvest as well as for importers
and exporters this market is very important as it will help them to save huge amount of money
which they loss due to price volatility.
Warehouses, cold storage facilities, testing facilities need to be developed through the public and
private partnership. Agro-processing organizations like ACI, Pran, and other private organizations
can support in this regard. Other than agro processing organizations, large organizations from
light engineering sector, textile sector are also interested to involve them in the infrastructural
development.
Lack of knowledge can deter stakeholders taking the full advantages of the system. Thus to reap
full benefits with wider participants of stakeholders massive awareness campaign must be
initiated at all levels of the system. Government, private sectors, media, development partners,
Non-government organizations, and civil society activists should be encouraged to participate in
the awareness programs.
Though there are some issues that may interrupt the functional activities of commodity exchange
market but that issues are manageable through proper monitoring and action that will be taken by
regulatory authority.
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