You are on page 1of 12


Population, Conquest and Terror in the 21st Century
By Gunnar Heinsohn (August 2005)

Beginning around the year 1500, Europe experienced a population explosion
— with total fertility rates up to the beginning of the 20th century as experienced
today in Gaza or Niger — that quickly led to world domination. Today, Moslem
countries are undergoing a similar growth in population that could well have similar
Throughout the 1400s, a Europe that had been reduced from 80 to 50 million
people by devastating outbreaks of bubonic plague found its borders under constant
pressure from conquering Moslem armies. In 1456, Constantinople fell. In 1492,
Columbus sailed west seeking new paths to the orient. The old trading routes had
fallen under Moslem control. By 1500 the Christian nations of Europe were locked
in a desperate struggle for survival.
Suddenly everything changed. Europe’s population began to grow
exponentially. Numerous explanations have been offered for this stunning increase.
Some experts cite the arrival of new foods, such as the potato and maize. Others
point to economic expansion and lower mortality rates. My own research has shown
that after 1484, when Pope Innocent VIII decreed the death penalty for those who
practiced birth control, European women began to have an average of six or seven
children each, compared with two or three in earlier times.
Because a father’s land went to his oldest son, Europe’s “population bulge”
produced large numbers of young men who had no secure place in society. In the

With so many young men seeking a place in the world. Frankfurt am Main: Fischer. 208 .e. 350 were either born in Europe or European in origin. (1967).2 And most of these young “whites” are either only sons or only children.. Thanks to a private property-based economy and advanced military weapons. Only 120 of every 1. In the years following that war. Today. Europe continuously produced large numbers of “fighting-age males” – i. Spain had a name for its youthful conquistadors. Europe’s teachers and priests preach imperialism. second sons and those who followed. European control of the globe became child’s play. During World War II. among every 1. Italy. the prime age for military service. However.000 “fighting-age males” worldwide are “whites”. Europe’s aging population lost every war it fought against young men from emerging countries. But Europe’s rapid growth in population also placed severe strains on land and the economy.000 young men worldwide. Tenenti. In 1500. European nations began to fight for each other’s colonies. among every 1. Right up to the end of the first World War. Reformation. When there was nothing left to conquer. and Germany became the last great powers that tried to take land and colonies away from others. after Europe suffered 10 million dead in World War I. things went downhill fast. between 15 and 29. the “white” population level has fallen back to where it was in 1500. providing ample manpower for the European armies that turned the tide of battle against Islam. With fewer ”fighting-age males” available for military service. p. There was only one place for huge numbers of excess people to go. Renaissance. R. A. Throughout the world. They were known as Secundones1. European explorers were followed by European conquerors and settlers. In 1914. about 100 came from Europe. Europe — like a never-ending Mongol horde — conquered nine-tenths of the Earth. and with each loss on the 1 Romano. Die Grundlegung der modernen Welt: Spaetmittelalter.2 1500s many of these young men became soldiers. Japan.000 men in that age bracket worldwide.

000 Indian nobles and royal bodyguards. Instantly. it is no surprise that today’s professors and social activists preach pacifism and anti-authoritarian beliefs. On May 20 he sent his wife Laura on a goodwill tour to the Palestinians and the pyramids. On May 9. It wasn’t only European pacifists who blamed an American “desecration of the Koran” for these terror attacks. a special unit from the Spanish army seized Atahualpa and dragged him away.3 battlefield reported in painful detail in the press. But I can’t help but wonder: does President Bush know what’s really happening here? Or does he agree with those who naively believe that the kings of the Aztec and Inca empires could have saved themselves by venerating the Bible and converting to Christianity? On November 16. “Global Distribution of Fighting Age Males (15-29 years) between 1492 and 2020”. An interpreter explained to the God King that the voice of the only true God spoke from this book. the Inca threw the Bible into the dust. 2005. The hail of bullets killed 6. G. “Newsweek” reported that supervisors at the Guantanamo detention camp were supposed to have put copies of the Koran into the latrines. Even the streets of London ran red with blood. but only wants to bring democracy to Muslim countries. The battlefields in Afghanistan and Iraq saw new waves of attacks by Islamic militants. 15 people were killed. Bush reassures everyone that America must not be identified with misdemeanors against the verses of Allah. Atahualpa took the sacred volume and listened to it carefully. a Spanish priest named Father Valverde handed a copy of the Holy Bible to Atahualpa. President Bush seemed to agree. ruler of the Incas. 1532. (2005). a 2 Heinsohn. Mrs. The other Spaniards opened fire. In the violent mass demonstrations that followed in Islamic countries. table . Refusing to convert immediately to the Catholic faith would mean a commencement of hostilities with the Imperial House of Hapsburg. When the pages remained mute.

they search for a lofty standpoint from which the killing appears to be the last bloodshed before salvation. of course. Whether conquistadores or Islamic radicals. Religion takes third place. the Inca Empire was to be subjugated and its heathen civilization is destroyed. But it soon became clear that a defense of Christianity was not the cause — or even the primary cause — that incited young Secundones to undertake such slaughter. and gospel” – we see their real motives on display. brought an act of mercy. In order to become honorable executioners. he was prepared for a lecture given at Bundesnachrichtendienst (BND). The 180 Europeans did not lose a single man. Even if Atahualpa had immediately converted. 2005 . Therefore Europeans become Christianists and Muslims. However. All of Europe understood that a less violent punishment for this act of desecration would not have been acceptable. however. the Conquistadores would have found a different justification for his elimination.“Gold. named Hassan Butt. Yes. fame. He was strangled instead. A fifth of the Inca gold will. Islamists. A recruiter of British Muslims for the war against the West in Afghanistan. His last-minute conversion. go to the crown.4 massacre so atrocious that 50. Munich-Pullach. young men do not want to come to power as ordinary murderers or suicidal psychopaths. But in their war cry -. England. Atahualpa is condemned to death by burning. The Spaniards would not have calmly and happily sailed back home to Cadiz. they threw themselves to the floor and called on the Virgin Mary to assist them before they set to work. in troubled times religions are very useful. Due to this abominable desecration of the Bible. And after each victory they praised the lord. This urge to cloak bloodshed in respectability and honor was neatly expressed by a 25 year old Pakistani from Manchester. June 21.000 Inca warriors fled in panic. For his desecration of the Bible. the Spanish king is told.

We were still excelling in our studies and getting top grades in our exams. Where at first there are no suitable masses. were involved in crime. And even where it can be shown that Islamic schools manage without terrorism in their curriculum. After 55 people died in London on July 7. I was very hot-headed. No. They are caused by people who don’t want to appear as common killers. The public is not told that Pakistan’s population increased 3 Prospect (2005).5 interviewed by Aatish Taseer for the August 2005-issue of Prospect: “Even before I was a practising Muslim. 113. Therefore. or by those who might abuse those books. The unceasing flood of articles about the evil influence of radical Islamic teachers simply reverses cause and effect. the bloodshed was frequently explained by the poverty of the Pakistanis. They are the ones who feel the urge to dust off the sacred texts. A lot of the people I grew up among were on drugs. I remember when I came across the first Muslim who talked to me about Islam in a language I understood. we weren' t thugs.“ 3 The cruelties of terrorism are not caused by pious books. He pointed out that I had a lot of anger and frustration that I should direct in a more productive manner. It was from there that I got discussing Islam seriously—even though we were hotheads. in 1947. prostitution. me and my brothers always had brains. the rage of young Islamic males cannot be assuaged with explanations of the “actual” or “really intended” contents of the archaic volumes. this does not prevent their graduates from fighting for a new Caliphate. Pakistan’s national “birth defect”4 — a failure. at very young ages. That hot-headedness was leading us down a path of destruction. Nobody mentions Pakistan’s birth rate with an uninterrupted youth bulge since 1945. Moreover. to separate religion and state — is said to suddenly have disastrous effects. even agitators of genius achieve practically nothing. August .

for example.08 5.48 4.6 Year 1930 1940 1950 1960 Pakistan’s population in millions5 23 27 39 50 Children in a woman’s lifetime6 6. But even abroad — e. (2005). As with most emigrants. Nor is it told about the six-fold increase in Pakistan’s per capita income in just 35 years. therefore producing three times as many offspring as. 3. But was Atahualpa attacked by Conquistadores because he sympathized with Montezuma? Today.14 1360 1910 2200 1947/1965: Kashmir wars against India. If their sons. July 14. millions of dead Purchasing power parity per capita ($)7 1971: Genocide against separatist Bangladesh (own youth bulge).g. the Islamic equivalent of the Spanish Secondones are making their mark on the world.28 1970 66 6. “Pakistan: Total fertility rate“.3). a majority of Pakistani emigrants keep quiet during the first generation out of sheer gratitude for their survival.: Mutual killings of Shiites and Sunni. their radicalization happens very fast. through renewed emigration or even return to the homeland. Globalis (website) Population Statistics .28 630 1990 2000 2005 115 146 163 6. p. “Pakistan: Historical Demographical Data of the Whole Country”. “Pakistan: GDP per capita“.28 350 1980 85 6. (website populstat) 5 6 7 Globalis (2005). in Canada or in Great Britain — their families have an average of four children.18 6. J. Between 1955 and 2005. Lahmeyer. millions of dead Late 1980s ff. thousands of dead sevenfold in only 75 years. Globalis (website) Globalis (2005). Yet nearly everywhere it is said that London was attacked because of Blair’s participation in Bush’s Iraq War. Iraq’s population increased from five 4 Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. 2005. do not achieve what they think they are capable of. which does not seem to point to hunger and impoverishment. the Germans (1. This is the justification used not only by the backpack bombers themselves but also by many learned observers.

Peace activists promise that the victory over hunger will also bring victory over war. No combination could be more explosive. 350. the rage that we often find in young men is increased by their demographic surplus. for positions in society. From Morocco to Indonesia. i.000 young Iraqi men who have reached fighting age over the same period. In Iraq. IDB (website) . For bread. But there are any number of third and fourth sons who. even while two million were dying violent deaths and two million more were fleeing the country. The Islamic “youth bulge” is truly enormous.000 Afghans reach fighting age. “IDB Summary Demographic Data: Afghanistan”. however. Not even one of those sons can find a legal job. education. shows again and again that when hunger ends.e. Those who succeed in emigrating -. every Afghan father who has given up fighting has left his unfinished work to three or four sons. in opium-free agriculture or within the army and police units financed with western money. Every year. and by sexual frustration. that number will reach half a million. The 2. by economic under-employment.000 deaths that have occurred over the last eighteen months fill the media day after day. people beg.which means colonizing 8 U. and medical care than ever. But nobody reports on the 550. for the eternal glory of Islam. seven million are below age 15.7 million to 25 million. they fight. The Secondones apply to the police and the army. Why? Because humanitarian measures have made millions of sons stronger and better educated. Since 1945. Since 1945 the population of Afghanistan has jumped from 8 to 30 million. Census Bureau (2005). even while expending a million people in wars and genocides. Of 15 the million male Afghanis. will blow themselves up outside the recruiting offices.S. In 2010. Youth bulge analysis. the killing starts in earnest. But all these aid measures provide better food. only the oldest brothers can find productive work. 8 Almost all of these young men want to prove themselves in the traditional warrior spirit of their homeland.

they can shake the world. But there will be 300 million “fighting-age” Muslims. there will only be 90 million Europeans and North Americans (in the US alone. 2005 10 . the only choices are insurrection. 9 Hobbes. In 2020. 12 With advanced technology at their disposal. “IDB Summary Demographic Data: Pakistan”. Between 1900 and 2005. such ignorance can not be excused. Already Thomas Hobbes — who presented his Leviathan in the middle of a population explosion and civil war (1651) — knew that war can provide every man with either victory or a hero’s death. G. June 21. For all others who want to get ahead. of whom 25 percent are obese.but who fail to succeed abroad. they would have the potential to be a world power. It is also possible that the West will be more respectful in its utterances about the Koran. IDB (website) 11 U. IDB (website) 12 Heinsohn.S. the Secundones of Spain were not the fault of the Aztecs and Incas. However. As we have seen. (2005). of the one billion men between 15 and 29 worldwide. Today. It is possible that Pakistan may try a different religious policy. Their share of the world’s population jumped from nine to 23 percent. Some of those who stay home expend their energy by joining criminal gangs. “IDB Summary Demographic Data: United States”. § 17 U. or wars of conquest. bloody colonization. (1651). XXX.8 without bloodshed -. are potential recruits for terrorist activities.4 billion people. Census Bureau (2005). table prepared for talk at Bundesnachrichtendienst (BND). but even without it. 10 With an overall population of 300 million. Islam exploded from 140 million to 1. i. Th. 24 million non-obese). “ Global Distribution of Fighting Age Males (15-29 years) between 1492 and 2020”. These great empires could not have known about the “youth bulge” in European demographics. Pakistan has more than 28 million men between 15 and 29 years of age. Leviathan. this would not change anything about those population figures. 9 Today. 1969 (facsimile edition). Menston: Scolar Press. Munich-Pullach. Right behind them are 33 million boys under 15. civil war. genocide.e. the USA only has 31 million boys under 1511. Census Bureau (2005).S.

The only thing it cannot provide the young people with are careers. But in the group of under 15-year-olds. “IDB Summary Demographic Data: Gaza Strip. London’s Mayor Ken Livingstone declared on July 19 that the attacks on underground trains and buses were to a large part the result of Israeli policy. So why should Jews be expected to do so? Nevertheless. around 600."14 But what would happen if of the 600. In that unfair balance. That’s why they would be justified only against Israel: "Palestinians don' t have jet fighters. there are 1. too. Many Israelis. Israel. believe that Sharon doesn’t go far enough in his peace efforts. they only have their bodies to use as weapons.000 Jewish boys under 15 none were to reach the age of 15 to 29? Would that advance the 300 million young Muslims of the year 2020 by one fraction of an inch? Or would they 13 U.S.000 Arabs. school meals. 13 Never has the Palestinian numerical superiority been larger.000.000 Jewish men against 315.000 Jewish boys. Among 30-44 year-olds there is. Even Tony Blair occasionally subscribes to this opinion.9 Can anything be done to placate the anger of these 300 million? Can we somehow ingratiate ourselves in a way that renders this numerical relationship ineffectual? Perhaps by sacrificing Israel? It’s not only the King of Jordan. that' s what people use. Israeli Jews. for the last time. IDB (website) . a majority of around 500. Their boys are the fittest in all of Islam. Census Bureau (2005).2 million Arabic boys who are getting ready for a decisive battle against 600. They are surprised that despite the Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and the start of democracy in Ramallah attacks on Jews are increasing again. because the world community pays for their school books. Palestinians have in Israel and in the territories 650. and medical care.000 men between 15 and 29. Jacques Chirac and most western reporters who believe that the Jews in their mini-State — which is less than one-thousandth of the world’s population — could help stop terror with better behavior. West Bank”. At present.

in Jerusalem Post. Long distance fighting capacity as well as the potential of American and British aircraft carrier groups may make unavoidable wars winnable. Until then. The challenge to the West has reached epic proportions. and Prague. Gdansk. with 75 million men between 15 and 29.5 million German youths? Or would there be attacks in Kaliningrad. 3 in the world. H. and by Cosmic Shield around the only remaining world power that is ready to fight. (20005).10 just find themselves standing on another sand hill by the Arabian Sea? And where would they go then – not only with their bodies but with jetfighters too? If the population of Germany since 1900 had increased at the same rate that Islam has. July 19. third or fourth brothers from engaging in acts of terror? What the Roman limes or the Great Wall of China had to achieve for two powers that were still the strong (though already starting to decline) will have to be achieved in present-day Israel by the separation fence. 2005 .15 He probably doesn’t even begin to suspect to what extent he is right demographically. Since colonization of other countries (settlement with the young women and killing or enslavement of the others) so far appears unimaginable. mankind would be faced with a nation of 600 million Germans. because progressive German youth should not be punished for Nazi crimes? The Islamic “youth bulge” is a (website). the West will have to hold out as a fortress. Would they carry ten times as much pacifism from Germany into the world as do the present-day 7. “Livingstone: Likud Is Like Hamas”. no. all that remains for 14 Keinon. though he has probably exaggerated the stretch of time. Mohammed Atta’s father promised to the TV station CNN a 50-year war in which there will be “many more fighters like my son”. Jpost. Then it will begin to lose explosive power due to a general decline in the birthrate. How many times can America send out an only son in order to prevent 10 second. For about twenty years. the population bomb will increase.

Dr. . pol.” 17 Gunnar Heinsohn Prof. the Koran teacher Mohammed Fazazin in Hamburg/St.8 to 2.5 million deaths have occurred due to the terrorism on the home fronts. (2003). . it is called conquista. . 2001: “We cannot take as much from them [the Germans and other western states] as they owe us. Thus we are allowed to take their daughters.worldnews (website). “Atta’s Father Praises London Bombs”. .> CNN. 2005 Heinsohn. nor was it for a Pizarro and his three brothers. mothers. . from civil war to genocide. During the same 30 years. the West — without the Russians but including the Israelis. As always. the dead of both Iraq wars and the war in Afghanistan — has suffered fewer than 15. This began in 1975. July 20. Zurich: Orell & Fuessli. rer. and the US after a maximum of 10.000 dead. 1 D .28359 Bremen GERMANY 15 Tel: +49(0)421/218-3154/2027 Fax: +49(0)421/218-7069 E-Mail: <gheins@uni-bremen. more than 1.8 million) and Iran (1955-1995 from 18 to 66 million) into failed states. Dipl. Universität Bremen/Fachbereich 11 RAPHAEL ..LEMKIN .und Genozidforschung Bibliotheksstr. 2003. cnn. phil. It is the current inability of young Muslim to prove themselves in conquest that translates into the lesser evil of terror. As early as 1998. This might change if European powers withdraw from a conflict after a maximum of 1. Georg responded to the twin Tower aggressors of September 11. The alternative to terrorism will not be peace. . from the Sahauris who have been subjected by the Moroccans to the Islamist partisans in the Philippines. (2005). when young men turned Lebanon (increase 1935-1975 from 0.000 dead. 60-70 16 . G. but also in wars. Since then.000 dead. We are here in a warlike country that fights Islam and the Muslims. and souls.INSTITUT für Xenophobie. 16 More than 98 percent of the dead are other Muslims or even Islamists. Soehne und Weltmacht: Terror im Aufstieg und Fall der Nationen.11 young Muslims are domestic solutions. Dr. pp.

p. in Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung.12 Why does the number of fallen western soldiers increases in Afghanistan? 17 Laabs. (2005). 49 . D. “Der Lehrer des Terrors”. 2005. July 17.