Math 4030 Probability and Statistics

Name:________________________________

Assignment #3
Due: Thursday, May 12th 4:00pm
(Please attach this sheet to your assignment)
1. Given that
() = 0.42

() = 0.35

( ) = 0.11

( ) = 0.22

() = 0.55
( ) = 0.21

( ) = 0.08

Determine the following:

a)

( )

e)

( )

i)

( |)

b)

( )

f)

(|)

j)

(| )

c)

( )

g)

(|)

k)

( | )

d)

( )

h)

( |)

l)

( | )

2. 125 students were asked if they like Math, Science, or Communications (everyone answered that they like at least one).
This is the data collected:
89
78
67

Like Math
Like Science
Like Communications

51
35
39

Like Math and Science

Like Science and Communications
Like Math and Communications

If a student is select at random, what is the probability that the student will:
a)
b)

like at least one of Math or Science

like all three subjects

c)
d)

like exactly one subject

like Math given they like Science

3. Below is a frequency of Engineering students who took Math 4030 in the years 2010 and 2011 divided by gender:
2010
Chemical
Civil
Electrical
Mechanical
Software

M
17
41
38
35
28

2011
F
2
6
3
2
4

M
19
37
43
36
22

F
3
7
2
4
5

If a student from this population was chosen at random, what

is the probability that:
a)
b)
c)
d)

the student was female

the student was male and took Civil
the student was taking Software or Chemical
the student was taking Electrical given that the student
was from 2010
e) the student was male given that he was taking Civil

4. A to Z Rentals rents a lot of equipment to various contractors across Thunder Bay. They often need to purchase spark
plugs and they generally buy them from three suppliers: 25% from Supplier A, 55% from Supplier B and 20% from Supplier C.
If 11% from A, 13% from B (cheapest), and 7% from C are defective, what is the probability that:
a) A to Z rentals gets a defective spark plug?
b) A defective spark plug came from Supplier C?

5. Check whether the following can define a probability distribution (explain your answer) and if it is a probability distribution,
calculate the mean and the standard deviation.

a)

3
4
= 1,0,1,2,3,4,5,6

() =

b)

1
6
= 0,1,2,3,4,5,6

() =

c)

+3
30
= 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

() =

d)

2 + 5
50
= 1,2,3,4

() =

6. An e-mail filter is planned to separate valid e-mails from spam. The word free occurs in 60% of the spam messages and
only 4% of the valid messages. Also, 20% of the messages are spam. Determine the following probabilities:
a) The message contains free.
b) The message is spam given that it contains free.
c) The message is valid given that it does not contain free.
7. Find the mean and variance of the uniform probability distribution function given by:
() =

1
,

for = 1,2,3, ,

8. The phone lines to an airline reservation system are occupied 40% of the time. Assume that the events that the lines are
occupied on successive calls are independent. Assume that 10 calls are placed to the airline.
a) What is the probability that for exactly three calls, the lines are occupied?
b) What is the probability that for at least one call, the lines are not occupied?
c) What is the expected number of calls in which the lines are all occupied?
d) What is the standard deviation for this situation?
9. Suppose that a healthcare provider selects 20 patients randomly (without replacement) from among 500 to evaluate
adherence to a medication schedule. Suppose that 10% of the 500 patients fail to adhere with the schedule. Determine the
following:
a) Probability that exactly 10% of the patients in the sample fail to adhere.
b) Probability that fewer than 10% of the patients in the sample fail to adhere.
c) Probability that more than 10% of the patients in the sample fail to adhere.
d) Mean and variance of the number of patients in the sample who fail to adhere.
10. The 2009 gross sales of all companies in Nipigon had a mean of $2.3 million and a standard deviation of $0.6 million.
Using Chebyshevs theorem, find at least what percentage of companies in Nipigon had gross sales between $1.1 million and
$3.5 million in 2009.

Q1

Q2

/12
Q6

Q3

/4
Q7

/6

Q4

/5
Q8

/4

Q5

/4
Q9

/6

Total

/12
Q10

/6

/2

/61