Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
1-1-2005
Michael E. Porter
Harvard University
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392
Chapman, 1998; Antweiler et al., 1998), energy (Suri and Chapman, 1998),
and the spatial density of economic activity (Kaufmann et al., 1998).
In the environmental eld, a number of initiatives have been launched
to develop metrics or indicators of environmental performance.1 A few
efforts have been made to use regression analysis or other advanced
statistical techniques to explore the relationship between policy choices and
environmental performance (York et al., 2003; Dasgupta et al., 2001, 2002;
Panayotou, 1997). But none of these efforts has examined a large number
of countries (including both developed and developing countries) across a
broad spectrum of possible policy determinants.
The resulting knowledge gap is unfortunate. Without solid evidence
on how regulatory choices and a nations underlying economic and
legal system affect environmental performance, policies are often based
on crude analysis, heated rhetoric, and imprecise concepts such as
sustainable development. The lack of systematic data and analysis fuels
the long-standing controversies over the role of environmental outcomes
in sustaining economic growth over the long term (Panayotou and Vincent,
1997; Panayotou, 2000), whether environmental gains must come at the
expense of competitiveness (Porter and van der Linde, 1995; Jaffe et al.,
1995; Esty and Porter, 1998), and the contours of the optimal environmental
strategies for developing countries. More sophisticated metrics together
with objective ways to gauge the success of environmental policies offer
a constructive way forward in this highly contentious arena in which
divergent points of view are strongly held (Esty, 2002).
In this paper, we take a step towards developing a set of empirical
tools to identify the key policy options and to test their links to improved
1
393
For a more complete discussion of the data gaps that plague the environmental
domain, see World Economic Forum (2002; Esty et al., 2005).
3
Particulates and SO2 are both core elements of air pollution, making ambient levels
a direct measure of environmental performance. We focus on urban pollution
levels because it is in cities where data are collected and where public health
issues arise. As appendix A discusses, our gures for each country are based on
weighted (by population) average concentrations across all cities in a country
where measurements are available.
394
396
Energy usage
(per mil. $ GDP)
Annual mean
Rank
Country
Annual mean
Rank
Country
Bil. Btu
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
Sweden
Norway
France
Iceland
New Zealand
Switzerland
Canada
Netherlands
Australia
Germany
Japan
Austria
Finland
Argentina
Portugal
Venezuela
Czech Republic
Denmark
Hungary
Slovak Republic
Spain
Romania
Korea
Italy
9.0
10.3
14.2
24.0
27.3
30.7
31.3
40.0
43.2
43.3
43.6
45.7
49.9
50.0
50.4
53.0
58.4
61.0
63.7
64.5
72.7
82.0
83.8
86.9
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
Argentina
Lithuania
New Zealand
Finland
Iceland
Sweden
Latvia
Norway
Denmark
Portugal
Netherlands
Romania
Spain
Thailand
Switzerland
Germany
Canada
Australia
Austria
France
United States
Italy
Ireland
Singapore
1.02
2.10
3.49
4.38
5.00
5.23
5.36
5.47
7.00
9.22
10.00
10.00
11.00
11.00
11.34
12.80
12.87
13.17
13.21
13.89
15.43
15.55
18.89
20.00
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
Denmark
Switzerland
Japan
Italy
Ireland
Austria
Germany
France
Finland
United Kingdom
Spain
Honduras
Mauritius
Sweden
Israel
Peru
Netherlands
Slovenia
Australia
Guatemala
Portugal
Belgium
Norway
Argentina
4.84
5.19
6.55
6.66
6.85
7.09
7.28
7.39
8.37
8.59
8.73
8.97
9.11
9.14
9.96
10.81
11.01
11.26
11.46
11.52
11.77
11.83
12.17
12.22
397
Country
Rank
398
Table 1. Conitinued
Urban SO2 concentration
(per city population)
Energy usage
(per mil. $ GDP)
Rank
Country
Annual mean
Rank
Country
Annual mean
Rank
Country
Bil. Btu
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
Malaysia
Latvia
Russia
Brazil
Lithuania
Colombia
Ecuador
Greece
Bulgaria
Philippines
Thailand
Costa Rica
Indonesia
Guatemala
India
Mexico
China
Honduras
91.6
100.0
100.0
106.2
114.3
120.0
125.7
178.0
199.2
200.0
223.0
244.5
271.0
272.3
277.5
279.0
310.8
320.0
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
Malaysia
Belgium
Ecuador
United Kingdom
South Africa
Slovak Republic
Japan
Czech Republic
India
Chile
Philippines
Venezuela
Greece
Hungary
Costa Rica
Korea
Bulgaria
Poland
Egypt
Mexico
Brazil
China
Russia
20.49
21.02
21.52
21.96
22.37
22.66
24.33
27.34
27.55
29.00
33.00
33.00
34.00
37.33
38.84
52.41
52.45
54.72
69.00
74.00
75.78
97.07
97.55
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
Uruguay
Greece
Bangladesh
United States
Sri Lanka
El Salvador
Brazil
Iceland
New Zealand
Paraguay
Estonia
Costa Rica
Chile
Canada
Mexico
Korea
Bolivia
Dominican Republic
Panama
Thailand
Philippines
Singapore
Zimbabwe
Malaysia
Indonesia
12.86
12.95
13.15
13.41
13.70
13.75
14.01
14.49
15.09
15.32
16.09
16.13
16.63
17.54
17.72
17.91
18.41
18.68
18.70
19.29
19.74
20.41
22.34
22.88
22.96
Nigeria
Colombia
Latvia
Ecuador
India
Egypt
Hungary
Jordan
Jamaica
Nicaragua
South Africa
China
Venezuela
Poland
Lithuania
Czech Republic
Romania
Bulgaria
Slovak Republic
Vietnam
Russia
Ukraine
23.66
23.98
25.01
27.57
28.13
31.03
32.29
34.52
35.58
36.46
37.92
39.10
44.11
45.05
54.92
56.22
58.39
60.71
63.95
64.57
74.19
96.53
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
399
400
Daniel C. Esty and Michael E. Porter
Figure 2. Relationship between urban particulate concentration and GDP per capita
120
100
Russia
80
Brazil
Mexico
Egypt
60
y = -16.515Ln(x) + 182.61
R2 = 0.2473
Poland
Bulgaria
Korea
40
Costa Rica
Hungary
Greece
PhilippinesVenezuela
Chile
India
Japan
United Kingdom
Belgium
Singapore
Ireland
Ecuador
20
Czech Republic
Italy
Thailand
Romania
Portugal
Spain
Latvia
New Zealand
Lithuania
5,000
Netherlands
Sweden
Finland
United States
Canada
Switzerland
Denmark
Norway
Iceland
Argentina
0
-
France
Austria
Australia
Germany
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
35,000
401
Figure 3. Relationship between urban SO2 concentration and GDP per capita
30,000
China
402
120
100
Ukraine
y = 84.76+41.57*dum
7.36*Ln(x)
R2 = 0.71
80
Russia
Vietnam
Slovak Republic
Bulgaria
Romania
60
Czech Republic
Lithuania
Venezuela
40
China
Nicaragua
Jamaica
Jordan
Poland
South Africa
Hungary
Egypt
IndiaEcuador
Latvia
Colombia
Indonesia
Malaysia
Zimbabwe
Philippines Panama
ThailandRepublic
Dominican
Mexico
Chile
Estonia
Costa Rica
Paraguay
Brazil
El Salvador
BangladeshSri Lanka
Uruguay
Guatemala
Peru
Mauritius
Honduras
Nigeria
20
Singapore
Bolivia
Korea
New Zealand
Argentina
Greece
Portugal
Slovenia
Israel
Spain
Canada
Iceland
Norway
Belgium
Australia
Netherlands
Sweden
United Kingdom
Finland
Germany
Austria
Ireland
ItalyFrance
Japan
Switzerland
Denmark
United States
0
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
Figure 4. Relationship between energy usage and GDP per capita (log model)
35000
40000
403
404
Table 2. Energy usage relative to expected given GDP per capita, listed by income groups
Middle income countries ($6,50023,000)
Rank
Country
Residual
Rank
Country
Residual
Rank
Country
Residual
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
Honduras
Bangladesh
Guatemala
Peru
Nigeria
Sri Lanka
El Salvador
Bolivia
Paraguay
Zimbabwe
Philippines
Romania
Indonesia
Bulgaria
Dominican Republic
Panama
Thailand
India
Ecuador
Colombia
Egypt
Nicaragua
Jordan
Jamaica
China
Venezuela
Ukraine
Vietnam
18.29
17.48
12.60
11.57
11.28
10.96
9.13
9.04
7.69
4.27
4.05
3.53
2.84
2.26
2.09
1.82
0.88
0.67
1.90
3.17
6.55
8.98
10.96
11.21
15.30
22.98
30.66
35.66
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
Hungary
Poland
Mauritius
Lithuania
Brazil
Uruguay
Spain
Argentina
Israel
Slovenia
Estonia
Costa Rica
Portugal
Chile
Greece
Mexico
Czech Republic
New Zealand
Korea
Malaysia
Latvia
Slovak Republic
Singapore
Russia
South Africa
24.70
14.29
8.22
6.24
5.19
4.96
3.44
3.21
2.06
1.74
1.51
1.42
1.34
0.96
0.41
0.09
0.02
3.24
4.98
5.08
5.25
6.14
9.58
14.20
20.33
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Denmark
Italy
Switzerland
Japan
Ireland
France
Germany
Austria
United Kingdom
Finland
Sweden
Netherlands
Australia
Belgium
Norway
Iceland
United States
Canada
4.78
4.08
4.06
3.44
3.31
3.12
2.96
2.75
2.18
1.89
1.42
0.96
1.46
2.16
3.17
5.41
5.43
8.10
Table 3. Urban particulate concentration relative to expected given GDP per capita, listed by income groups
Low income countries ($6,500)
Country
Residual
Rank
Country
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Venezuela
Ecuador
Romania
Colombia
Philippines
Bulgaria
India
Indonesia
Guatemala
Thailand
Honduras
China
121.87
106.27
83.06
50.93
8.40
20.92
22.78
37.35
59.80
60.26
67.85
102.36
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Latvia
Argentina
Slovak Republic
Brazil
Malaysia
Lithuania
Russia
Hungary
Czech Republic
New Zealand
Portugal
Spain
Korea
Greece
Costa Rica
Mexico
Residual
57.59
52.99
48.69
44.20
41.31
41.17
40.59
39.10
34.57
30.61
23.31
10.93
12.41
101.19
114.79
146.02
Rank
Country
Residual
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Sweden
France
Norway
Iceland
Canada
Netherlands
Switzerland
Germany
Australia
Japan
Finland
Austria
Denmark
Italy
32.50
26.77
11.65
1.05
3.80
4.93
5.62
5.75
8.73
9.28
12.13
13.20
31.29
43.13
Rank
405
406
Rank
Country
Residual
Rank
Country
Residual
Rank
Country
Residual
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Ecuador
Romania
Thailand
India
Philippines
Venezuela
Bulgaria
Egypt
China
28.49
28.10
26.69
26.49
12.81
6.84
11.99
21.64
51.25
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Lithuania
Latvia
Argentina
New Zealand
Portugal
Malaysia
South Africa
Spain
Slovak Republic
Chile
Czech Republic
Singapore
Costa Rica
Hungary
Greece
Poland
Korea
Brazil
Mexico
Russia
34.29
31.41
26.04
15.54
12.63
11.88
9.52
8.72
6.21
2.89
2.07
3.26
7.03
10.30
11.60
22.43
30.98
40.29
41.61
63.80
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Finland
Sweden
Iceland
Norway
Denmark
Netherlands
Germany
France
Switzerland
Australia
Austria
Italy
Canada
Ireland
United States
United Kingdom
Belgium
Japan
11.07
10.89
7.81
7.16
7.02
4.97
2.60
2.12
1.85
1.70
1.31
0.97
0.75
3.67
5.09
5.37
6.91
9.49
Table 4. Urban SO2 concentration relative to expected given GDP per capita, listed by income groups
407
r
r
r
r
r
r
The full list of variables used in the analysis along with their denitions and
sources are given in appendix A.
408
409
410
of international bodies such as the World Bank and the World Health
Organization are, however, the best ones currently available. Despite
the limitations, these data allow us to begin to identify empirically the
determinants of a nations success in controlling pollution and improving
resource productivity.
Statistical methodology
Our analytic approach unfolds in several stages. First, we use bilateral
regressions (tables 5, 6, and 7) to explore whether there is a statistically
signicant relationship between each independent variable and energy
usage, urban particulate levels, and SO2 concentrations. Because our sample
sizes of 4070 countries are relatively small in comparison to the number of
explanatory variables, we have limited degrees of freedom. Moreover, the
fact that many of our independent variables are highly correlated limits our
ability to use multiple regression techniques to examine the joint inuence
of the variables (Rawlings et al., 1998). Instead, as a second stage of analysis,
we roll up the signicant independent variable in each category into a subindex using common factor analysis. Then, we regress these sub-indices
against the dependent variables.11 Finally, the statistically signicant subindices are rolled up into an overall environmental regulatory regime index
(ERRI) and an overall economic and legal context index (ELCI).
In light of the signicant association between per capita GDP and
environmental performance, we analyze performance relative to a peer
group of countries dened by income level. We regress ERRI against GDP
per capita (graphed in gure 6) and calculate the residuals (distance above
or below the regression line) for each country (table 9). This provides a way
of analyzing how each countrys environmental regime performs against
expectations established by its income level.
Results for individual measures and indexes
The bilateral regression results are shown in tables 5, 6, and 7.12 As table 5
highlights, a large number of the independent variables show a statistically
signicant relationship with energy usage, with the expected negative sign
and a reasonable degree of explained variance. All of the elements of
the regulatory stringency category show particular signicance, as do the
enforcement variables. Most of the regulatory structure measures also prove
11
In developing the category sub-indices, we use only those variables that appear
appropriately grouped, based on eigen value analysis, as shown in the factor
analysis results given in appendix B. Thus, in developing the regulatory stringency
sub-index, we drop the overall regulation measure. The sectoral EIA guidelines
measure and the environmental strategies and action plans measure drop
out of the information sub-index. The measure of civil liberties, public sector
competence, irregular payments, and regulatory burden are all dropped from the
administrative infrastructure sub-index. And the scientists/engineers, licensing
of foreign technology, and business innovation measures fall out of the technical
capacity sub-index. Appendix B reports the percentage of covariance illustrated
by the rst factor and the rst factor coefcient for each index variable.
12
GMM estimation instead of OLS estimation is used due to the presence of
heteroscedeasticity.
411
()
R2
Sig.
df
5.281
5.632
4.044
3.859
3.576
3.902
3.917
4.480
4.005
4.982
4.058
6.094
6.355
2.507
0.271
1.009
0.041
0.197
0.67
0.68
0.69
0.68
0.67
0.68
0.67
0.64
0.60
0.65
0.67
0.62
0.63
0.61
0.62
0.58
0.59
0.59
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.002
0.102
0.001
0.000
0.016
0.007
0.081
0.020
0.764
0.923
0.815
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
41
68
68
7.065
4.466
3.890
3.976
4.740
1.392
0.699
3.994
4.836
5.647
5.190
2.383
4.200
4.756
3.426
4.973
3.880
5.144
5.695
4.558
3.788
0.003
3.636
3.341
3.692
4.207
3.803
6.158
2.962
0.66
0.65
0.65
0.64
0.65
0.60
0.65
0.63
0.65
0.68
0.75
0.59
0.64
0.71
0.66
0.68
0.66
0.63
0.69
0.65
0.63
0.64
0.66
0.62
0.61
0.64
0.62
0.62
0.60
0.000
0.001
0.001
0.002
0.001
0.300
0.001
0.011
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.333
0.003
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.006
0.000
0.001
0.008
0.004
0.000
0.018
0.055
0.002
0.033
0.020
0.160
68
68
68
68
68
68
67
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
64
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
412
To build the sub-indices and indexes, we employ only the statistically signicant
variables.
2.5
Finland
2
Singapore
Sweden
Netherlands
Switzerland
Germany
France
Denmark
Iceland
New Zealand Canada
United Kingdom United States
Belgium
Australia
Japan
Norway
1.5
0.5
Italy
Ireland
Spain
Estonia
Hungary
Latvia
Lithuania
Panama
Egypt
Colombia
-0.5
Slovenia
Chile
Czech Republic
Uruguay
Poland
Jordan
Portugal
South Africa
Jamaica
Brazil Costa Rica
Korea
Malaysia
Slovak Republic
Mauritius
China
Thailand
Israel
y = 0.941x + 1E-16
2
R = 0.8855
Bulgaria
Mexico
Greece
Peru Zimbabwe
Argentina
Indonesia
Vietnam
Russia
Sri Lanka
Philippines
Dominican Republic
Venezuela
Bolivia
-1
Nicaragua
Honduras
-1.5
Bangladesh
India
El Salvador
Romania
Ukraine
Nigeria
Guatemala
Ecuador
Paraguay
-2
-2
-2
-1
-1
413
Figure 5. Relationship between the environmental regulatory regime index and economic and legal context index
Austria
414
()
R2
Sig.
df
58.19
67.58
46.86
46.44
45.10
46.24
47.54
52.54
89.06
60.31
45.23
61.14
46.15
56.07
3.86
58.76
0.99
4.94
0.44
0.52
0.52
0.53
0.52
0.51
0.51
0.35
0.33
0.42
0.47
0.17
0.12
0.22
0.15
0.18
0.00
0.01
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.007
0.028
0.002
0.011
0.028
0.825
0.525
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
25
40
40
65.95
58.31
52.79
49.93
47.86
16.40
6.40
47.01
58.94
57.48
42.67
42.49
53.99
45.62
32.47
59.91
40.45
47.93
54.64
43.16
58.15
0.04
42.94
57.57
56.20
49.65
75.25
63.51
68.82
0.31
0.43
0.45
0.38
0.29
0.05
0.22
0.25
0.40
0.39
0.37
0.07
0.36
0.48
0.30
0.46
0.35
0.15
0.38
0.24
0.38
0.42
0.40
0.36
0.15
0.32
0.41
0.15
0.26
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.150
0.002
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.095
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.013
0.000
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.010
0.000
0.000
0.012
0.001
40
40
40
40
40
40
39
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
39
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
415
416
()
R2
Sig.
df
11.351
13.857
9.407
9.592
9.283
9.538
9.839
9.686
9.312
11.905
10.105
11.584
11.128
10.206
0.207
21.624
0.708
0.722
0.21
0.28
0.27
0.28
0.27
0.27
0.27
0.16
0.05
0.20
0.28
0.09
0.11
0.10
0.00
0.25
0.01
0.00
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.005
0.130
0.002
0.000
0.038
0.022
0.029
0.662
0.004
0.464
0.732
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
29
45
45
12.301
10.989
8.960
10.221
6.921
6.270
0.684
8.027
11.738
12.815
12.206
3.364
10.056
9.644
7.166
12.413
9.343
9.259
12.877
8.685
10.010
0.006
7.931
8.883
11.980
7.802
15.067
15.770
9.316
0.15
0.18
0.17
0.19
0.08
0.10
0.04
0.10
0.19
0.23
0.47
0.01
0.15
0.27
0.18
0.26
0.23
0.10
0.27
0.11
0.14
0.09
0.18
0.11
0.08
0.12
0.20
0.13
0.06
0.008
0.003
0.004
0.003
0.053
0.030
0.194
0.034
0.002
0.001
0.000
0.553
0.008
0.000
0.003
0.000
0.001
0.032
0.000
0.021
0.009
0.038
0.003
0.025
0.049
0.020
0.002
0.011
0.109
45
45
45
45
45
45
44
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
417
Among the variables in the economic and legal context grouping, all but
one (public sector competence) emerge with high statistical signicance and
the expected negative sign in the SO2 regressions. Some of the measures
account for a reasonable degree of explained variance (e.g., civil liberties,
property rights, and irregular payments). In general, the administrative
infrastructure variables show greater signicance and higher degrees of
explained variance than the scientic and technical capacity measures.
The administrative infrastructure sub-index is highly signicant, with a
reasonable degree of explained variance. The technical capacity sub-index
shows a high degree of signicance, but does not account for an especially
large amount of explained variance. The overall ELCI is signicant and
explains a reasonable amount of the variance in SO2 concentrations.
Ranking environmental regulatory quality
The bilateral, sub-index, and index regressions establish a statistically
signicant relationship between the various policy measures and
environmental performance. In the next stage of analysis, we use the ERRI to
explore the differences across countries in environmental regulatory quality.
Table 8 presents countries ranked by absolute ERRI scores. This index
(combining the regulatory stringency, structure, subsidies, and enforcement
sub-indices)14 represents a summary performance measure of the quality of
the environmental regulatory system in a country. Among the top-ranked
countries are Finland, Sweden, and Singapore. Countries at the bottom
include Guatemala, Ecuador, and Paraguay.
Given the signicant relationship between income levels and
environmental performance, we would expect a similar relationship
between income and environmental regulatory quality. What is most
interesting in table 8, then, is not so much the fact that Finland outranks
Paraguay on regulatory stringency, but the reasons why countries with
similar incomes perform so differently. For instance, why does Costa Rica
(36th place) do better than Peru (50th place)? And why does Poland (29th)
come out way ahead of Russia (57th)?
To control for income differences and hence the level of economic
development, table 9 ranks countries by their residuals from the regression
of ERRI and GDP per capita (plotted in gure 6). This relative ranking
represents a measure of environmental regulatory quality relative to
expectations established by income level. Among the low-income countries,
Jordan and Jamaica come out on top, while Ecuador and Paraguay trail.
Among middle-income countries, Singapore, Estonia, and New Zealand
rank high; Israel, Argentina, and Greece lag. Among the wealthiest nations,
Finland, Sweden, and the Netherlands lead, while Italy, Norway, and
Ireland rank low. The United States occupies the bottom rung of the highincome group ladder.
As noted earlier, ERRI and ELCI are highly correlated. Nevertheless,
it is evident that some countries have an economic and legal context
that outpaces their environmental regulatory quality, while others have
14
418
Rank Country
Score
Rank Country
Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
2.303
1.772
1.771
1.747
1.641
1.631
1.522
1.464
1.384
1.354
1.299
1.297
1.185
1.184
1.159
1.083
1.057
1.045
0.546
0.498
0.437
0.296
0.283
0.209
0.177
0.073
0.059
0.021
0.005
0.002
0.028
0.029
0.036
0.037
0.077
0.078
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
0.121
0.127
0.146
0.177
0.224
0.242
0.290
0.348
0.389
0.416
0.584
0.602
0.619
0.722
0.732
0.732
0.743
0.758
0.759
0.770
0.895
0.936
1.014
1.014
1.079
1.164
1.215
1.268
1.297
1.300
1.314
1.331
1.532
1.616
1.743
Finland
Sweden
Singapore
Netherlands
Austria
Switzerland
Germany
France
Denmark
Iceland
New Zealand
Canada
United Kingdom
United States
Belgium
Australia
Japan
Norway
Ireland
Italy
Spain
Estonia
Hungary
Slovenia
Chile
Czech Republic
Uruguay
Israel
Poland
Jordan
Portugal
South Africa
Latvia
Jamaica
Brazil
Costa Rica
Korea
Malaysia
Lithuania
Slovak Republic
Egypt
Panama
Mauritius
China
Thailand
Colombia
Bulgaria
Mexico
Greece
Peru
Argentina
Zimbabwe
Bolivia
Indonesia
India
Vietnam
Russia
Sri Lanka
Philippines
Dominican Republic
Venezuela
Nicaragua
El Salvador
Romania
Ukraine
Honduras
Nigeria
Bangladesh
Guatemala
Ecuador
Paraguay
Table 9. Environmental regulatory regime index relative to expected results given GDP per capita, listed by income groups
Low income countries ($6,500)
Residual
Rank
Country
Residual
Rank
Country
Residual
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
Jordan
Jamaica
Egypt
China
Panama
Vietnam
Colombia
Bolivia
India
Zimbabwe
Thailand
Indonesia
Bulgaria
Peru
Sri Lanka
Philippines
Nicaragua
Nigeria
Bangladesh
Honduras
Dominican Republic
Venezuela
El Salvador
Ukraine
Romania
Guatemala
Ecuador
Paraguay
0.794
0.793
0.612
0.455
0.355
0.216
0.204
0.204
0.188
0.187
0.180
0.132
0.078
0.002
0.092
0.211
0.217
0.225
0.307
0.359
0.397
0.436
0.461
0.470
0.684
0.714
0.730
0.981
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
Singapore
Estonia
New Zealand
Latvia
Chile
Brazil
Uruguay
Lithuania
Poland
Hungary
South Africa
Costa Rica
Malaysia
Mauritius
Czech Republic
Slovak Republic
Spain
Slovenia
Mexico
Portugal
Russia
Korea
Israel
Argentina
Greece
0.806
0.614
0.612
0.499
0.494
0.407
0.402
0.374
0.343
0.308
0.288
0.235
0.214
0.003
0.031
0.032
0.175
0.211
0.259
0.426
0.487
0.558
0.626
0.705
0.964
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Finland
Sweden
Netherlands
France
Germany
Austria
United Kingdom
Switzerland
Denmark
Canada
Australia
Japan
Belgium
Iceland
Italy
Norway
Ireland
United States
1.165
0.725
0.541
0.404
0.377
0.368
0.202
0.154
0.037
0.112
0.138
0.168
0.173
0.184
0.495
0.523
0.623
0.792
419
Country
Rank
420
Finland
y = 9E-05x - 1.1698
R2 = 0.7765
"clean" path
2
Environmental Regulatory Regime Index
2.5
1.5
New Zealand
0.5
Spain
Jordan
Jamaica
Egypt
China
-0.5
Estonia
Hungary
Slovenia
Chile
Czech Republic
Uruguay
Poland
South Africa
Portugal
Latvia
Brazil
Costa Rica
Korea
Lithuania Malaysia Slovak Republic
Panama
Mauritius
Thailand
Colombia
Bulgaria
Zimbabwe
Bolivia
IndonesiaPeru
India
Vietnam
Mexico
Singapore
Sweden Netherlands
Austria
Switzerland
Germany
France
Denmark Iceland
Canada
United Kingdom
Belgium
Australia
Japan
Norway
Italy
United States
Ireland
Israel
Greece
Argentina
Russia
Sri Lanka
Philippines Dominican Republic
Venezuela
Nicaragua
El Salvador
Romania
Ukraine
Honduras
Nigeria
Bangladesh
-1
-1.5
"dirty" path
Guatemala
Ecuador
Paraguay
-2
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
Note: Both linear and quadratic model are tested. The coefficient of the quadratic term is insignificant, hence the linear model is applied.
Figure 6. Relationship between the environmental regulatory regime index and GDP per capita
421
The CCI (GCR, 2001) explores the microeconomic bases of a nations GDP per
capita. It is constructed from measures of competitiveness, based primarily on
survey data drawn from senior business leaders and government ofcials. There
are two groups of measures, one measuring the sophistication of company
operations and strategy and the other addressing the quality of the business
environment. A single composite index was created by combining the two groups
using common factor analysis.
422
2.5
Finland
y = 0.9329x + 0.0226
2
R = 0.899
Singapore
Austria
1.5
0.5
-2
-1.5
Estonia
Hungary
Slovenia Chile
Czech Republic
Uruguay
Poland
Jordan
Portugal
South Africa
Latvia
Jamaica 0
Costa Rica
Brazil
Korea
Malaysia
-0.5Lithuania
0
0.5
Slovak Republic
Egypt
Panama
Mauritius
China
Thailand
Colombia
-1
Peru
Zimbabwe
Vietnam
Venezuela
Nicaragua
Honduras
Bangladesh
Guatemala
Ecuador
France
Denmark
Iceland
New Zealand
Canada
United Kingdom
Belgium
Japan Australia
Norway
United States
Ireland
Italy
Spain
Israel
1.5
-0.5
Bulgaria
Bolivia
Sweden
Netherlands
Switzerland
Germany
Mexico Greece
Argentina
Indonesia
India
Russia
Sri Lanka
Dominican
Republic
Philippines
-1
El Salvador
Romania
Ukraine
Nigeria
-1.5
Paraguay
-2
Current Competitiveness Index
Figure 7. Relationship between the environmental regulatory regime index and current competitiveness
2.5
Intercept
GDP per Capita, 1995 (thousand, ppp)
General Government Spending, 2000
Gross Fixed Investment (as % of GDP)
Environmental Regulatory Regime Index Relative
to Expected Given GDP per Capita
Parameter
estimate
t Value
1.577
0.056
3.62
1.77
0.001
0.082
0.830
1.51
0.135
Parameter
estimate
t Value
2.352
0.092
0.043
0.226
0.795
1.91
2.78
1.62
5.17
1.66
0.060
0.007
0.111
<.0001
0.102
Variable
423
424
425
426
427
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428
Variable
Environmental Performance
Energy use
Urban SO2
Urban particulates
Denition
Measurement
Source
(WEF/ESI)
ESI
ESI
ESI
WEF
WEF
WEF
WEF
WEF
WEF
Stability
Early or late
Compliance Hurts or
Helps Competitiveness
Regulation Adversarial or
Cooperative
Information
ESI Variables-%
Regulatory enforcement
Enforcement
WEF
WEF
WEF
WEF
ESI
ESI
ESI
ESI
WEF
WEF
429
430
Appendix A: Continued
Denition
Measurement
Source
(WEF/ESI)
International agreements
WEF
ESI
frequency count
ESI
WEF
Environmental institutions
IUCN
Memberships
Prevalence of ISO 14000
ESI
Survey data (scale 17)
WEF
WEF
WEF
WEF
Variable
Irregular payments
Trusted legal framework
Regulatory Burden
Level of Administrative Corruption
Honoring of Policies through
Gov. Transition
Institutions
Licensing foreign technology
Intellectual property protection
WEF
WEF
WEF
WEF
WEF
ESI
WEF
WEF
WEF
WEF
431
432
Variable
Denition
Measurement
Source (WEF/ESI)
WEF
WEF
WEF
WEF
Willingness to Absorb
New Technology
Importance of Innovation
to Revenue
Govt Purchase Decisions
for Tech. Products
Appendix A: Continued
433
3.97
3.95
99.16
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
4.05
3.60
81.08
0.216
0.239
0.221
0.224
0.210
1.15
0.29
57.3138
0.660
0.660
1.93
1.86
96.38
0.509
0.509
1.59
1.19
79.72
0.560
0.560
5.35
5.14
89.09
0.172
0.178
0.179
0.180
0.176
0.175
434
First
eigen
value
Difference
from
second EV
% of
variance
explained
4.52
4.32
90.38
Score
coefcient
0.214
0.212
0.212
0.210
0.203
3.46
3.06
86.56
0.279
0.274
0.238
0.281
1.90
1.79
94.81
0.513
0.513
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