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TRENDS
In 2015, WHO announced that there was sufficient evidence linking processed meats like
ham, sausages and bacon to colorectal cancer. This announcement was picked up my most
media outlets across the world and subsequently attracted much public attention. In Hong
Kong, most consumers have become aware that processed meat increases the risk of cancer.
However, WHOs ruling did not have a strong impact on the categorys performance, mainly
because the announcement was made only in the last quarter of 2015. Moreover, the majority
of consumers who eat processed meat regularly have not witnessed any negative effect on
their health. Thus, they do not see a strong need to reduce their consumption of processed
meat as a result of WHOs announcement.
Processed meat and seafood saw retail current value growth of 5% in 2015, which was faster
than the review period CAGR. Many consumers prefer processed meat and seafood as they
can be stored for a longer period than fresh versions. This suits consumers hectic lifestyles
which reduce the time for cooking. Consumers also chose processed versions when
purchasing meat or seafood due to lower prices than fresh versions.
Chilled processed red meat recorded the fastest retail current value sales growth of 6% in
2015. Growth was boosted by the strong demand for ham. Ham is used in many dishes such
as macaroni and noodle soup which are consumed regularly by most consumers. Thus, the
demand for chilled processed red meat remained stable.
The majority of premium meat and seafood falls under chilled and frozen ranges. As a result,
retailers tend to market chilled and frozen options more aggressively as these products
generate higher profit margins than shelf stable options.
The average current unit price of processed meat and seafood continued to trend upwards.
However, the pace of growth slowed in 2015. This was largely due to the depreciation of the
Chinese currency, which saw prices of imported processed meat and seafood decline.
Supermarkets remained the dominant distribution channel for processed meat and seafood,
with a 74% share of retail value sales in 2015. The rate at which products are replenished or
restocked in supermarkets is much faster than in other important distribution channels, such
as independent small grocers. Thus, consumers preferred shopping in supermarkets as their
products are perceived to be fresher.
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COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
AS Watsons Group led processed meat and seafood in 2015 with a 12% retail value share,
followed closely by Dairy Farm International Holdings Ltd, with an 11% share. Both
companies leveraged on the strong performances of their private label brands, First Choice
and Best Buy, respectively. With the economy slowing down, many consumers are cautious
about spending. These private label brands were preferred by many consumers due to their
lower prices.
Shineway Food (HK) Co Ltd recorded the highest retail value sales growth in 2015. The shelf
space afforded to Shineways products in supermarkets expanded significantly, which drove
fast growth in retail value sales. The brand also gained popularity by offering prices that are
affordable for most consumers.
In-store advertising/promotion was the main marketing strategy of most companies.
Companies tend to try to influence consumer decision making through price promotions and
strategic product shelf displays.
The competitive landscape was highly fragmented in 2015. There was no clear winner
between international and domestic players. Domestic players traditionally hold an edge over
international players due to higher brand awareness among local consumers. However, over
the review period, the reputation of domestic brands was affected by the frequent occurrence
of food scandals in China. Consumers shied away from purchasing domestic brands as many
manufacturers used ingredients imported from Mainland China. For safety reasons, more
consumers shifted to international brands as their products are manufactured in other
countries.
PROSPECTS
Processed meat and seafood is projected to see a 1% retail value CAGR at constant 2015
prices over the forecast period. This is an improvement on the marginally negative review
period CAGR at constant 2015 prices. The demand for processed meat and seafood is likely
to remain unaffected by WHOs ruling. Processed meat is a key component of the local diet
and most people have grown accustomed to consuming such products over many years. It
would therefore be difficult for consumers to change this eating habit overnight. Moreover,
with the rising demand for convenience, consumers will continue to prefer processed meat
and seafood as they are easier to cook and prepare than fresh options.
Chilled processed red meat is predicted to see the fastest retail value CAGR of 2% at
constant 2015 prices over the forecast period. This type of food, such as ham, is a common
ingredient in most local consumers diet, thus steady demand is anticipated. Manufacturers
are also expected to launch new flavours in an attempt to create excitement for a maturing
category.
At constant 2015 prices, the average unit price of processed meat and seafood is set to
decline over the forecast period. This is largely due to the depreciating Chinese currency,
which is likely to reduce manufacturing costs for most players and exert downward pressure
on retail prices of processed meat and seafood.
Supermarkets is likely to remain the dominant distribution channel over the forecast period.
While internet retailing is gaining traction in Hong Kong, it may see value shares stagnate
within processed meat and seafood. Few online grocers offer delivery options for
chilled/frozen processed meat and seafood as the logistics of doing so is complicated. While
online players are likely to find a solution over the forecast period, most consumers will still
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frequent supermarkets so they can assess the freshness of these products before
purchases.
CATEGORY DATA
Table 1
'000 tonnes
Processed Meat
- Shelf Stable Meat
- Chilled Processed Meat
- Frozen Processed Meat
Processed Seafood
- Shelf Stable Seafood
- Chilled Processed
Seafood
- Frozen Processed
Seafood
Meat Substitutes
- Chilled Meat
Substitutes
- Frozen Meat Substitutes
- Shelf Stable Meat
Substitutes
Processed Meat and
Seafood
Source:
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
15.4
4.6
2.9
7.9
17.2
9.4
1.8
15.8
4.7
3.0
8.1
17.7
9.7
1.9
16.1
4.8
3.1
8.3
18.1
10.0
1.9
16.6
4.9
3.2
8.5
18.5
10.3
1.9
17.0
5.0
3.3
8.7
19.0
10.6
1.9
17.5
5.1
3.4
8.9
19.6
10.9
2.0
6.0
6.1
6.2
6.4
6.5
6.7
32.6
33.4
34.2
35.1
35.9
37.1
Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
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Table 2
HKD million
Processed Meat
- Shelf Stable Meat
- Chilled Processed Meat
- Frozen Processed Meat
Processed Seafood
- Shelf Stable Seafood
- Chilled Processed
Seafood
- Frozen Processed
Seafood
Meat Substitutes
- Chilled Meat
Substitutes
- Frozen Meat Substitutes
- Shelf Stable Meat
Substitutes
Processed Meat and
Seafood
Source:
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
980.2
242.1
217.5
520.5
1,117.4
627.6
102.0
1,010.4
244.6
228.4
537.4
1,150.0
638.9
106.6
1,042.2
248.2
238.7
555.3
1,190.5
656.8
111.1
1,089.7
258.1
253.0
578.5
1,235.2
681.8
115.5
1,151.8
269.3
268.2
614.3
1,285.6
709.1
119.0
1,208.3
279.2
283.7
645.4
1,339.1
737.4
124.0
387.7
404.4
422.6
437.8
457.5
477.7
2,097.6
2,160.4
2,232.7
2,324.8
2,437.4
2,547.4
Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
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Euromonitor International
Table 3
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% volume growth
Processed Meat
- Shelf Stable Meat
- Chilled Processed Meat
- Frozen Processed Meat
Processed Seafood
- Shelf Stable Seafood
- Chilled Processed Seafood
- Frozen Processed Seafood
Meat Substitutes
- Chilled Meat Substitutes
- Frozen Meat Substitutes
- Shelf Stable Meat Substitutes
Processed Meat and Seafood
Source:
2014/15
2010-15 CAGR
2010/15 Total
3.0
2.8
4.1
2.7
3.2
3.5
2.4
3.0
3.1
2.6
2.3
3.4
2.5
2.6
3.0
1.9
2.2
2.6
13.6
11.8
18.0
13.1
13.8
16.2
9.8
11.3
13.7
Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
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Table 4
Processed Meat
- Shelf Stable Meat
- Chilled Processed Meat
- Frozen Processed Meat
Processed Seafood
- Shelf Stable Seafood
- Chilled Processed Seafood
- Frozen Processed Seafood
Meat Substitutes
- Chilled Meat Substitutes
- Frozen Meat Substitutes
- Shelf Stable Meat Substitutes
Processed Meat and Seafood
Source:
2014/15
2010-15 CAGR
2010/15 Total
4.9
3.7
5.8
5.1
4.2
4.0
4.2
4.4
4.5
4.3
2.9
5.5
4.4
3.7
3.3
4.0
4.3
4.0
23.3
15.3
30.4
24.0
19.8
17.5
21.5
23.2
21.4
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Table 5
Crabsticks
Fish Fingers
Fish Processed Fillets
Processed Shrimp/Prawns
Smoked Salmon
Euromonitor International
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
31.0
9.5
31.0
8.5
7.0
31.0
7.5
32.0
9.0
7.5
31.0
7.5
32.0
9.5
7.0
30.9
7.5
32.0
9.5
7.1
30.9
7.5
32.0
9.5
7.1
30.8
7.5
32.0
9.8
7.2
Others
Total
Source:
13.0
100.0
Passport
13.0
100.0
13.0
100.0
13.0
100.0
13.0
100.0
12.7
100.0
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Table 6
Nuggets
Sausages
Seasoned Chicken Breast
Fillet/Patties
Seasoned Chicken Wings
Others
Total
Source:
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
16.8
30.0
17.2
16.9
30.0
17.5
17.0
30.0
17.5
17.0
30.0
17.5
16.9
30.2
17.1
16.8
30.2
17.0
22.0
14.0
100.0
22.5
13.1
100.0
22.8
12.7
100.0
23.0
12.5
100.0
22.8
13.1
100.0
22.8
13.2
100.0
Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
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Table 7
Euromonitor International
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
11.9
10.7
12.0
10.8
12.0
10.8
12.0
10.9
12.0
10.9
10.2
10.0
10.1
10.0
10.0
8.6
6.2
6.2
8.6
6.2
6.1
8.7
6.2
6.1
8.7
6.1
6.0
8.8
6.1
6.0
5.8
5.9
5.9
5.9
5.9
5.8
5.8
5.9
5.8
5.8
4.9
3.6
4.9
3.6
4.9
3.6
4.9
3.7
4.9
3.7
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.4
1.9
2.4
1.9
2.4
1.9
2.4
1.9
2.4
2.3
1.9
1.3
1.2
1.1
2.3
-
1.4
1.2
1.1
2.3
-
1.4
1.2
1.1
2.3
-
1.4
1.2
1.1
2.3
-
1.5
1.2
1.0
-
Others
Total
Source:
Passport
13.3
100.0
12.9
100.0
13.0
100.0
12.9
100.0
Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
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Table 8
Company
Dragon Island
No Frills
Best Buy
Maling
Del Monte
Four Seas
Valley Chef
Pearl River
Select
John West
Maid
Great Wall
Wanchai Ferry
Tulip
First Choice
Birds Eye
Armour
Shineway
Kibun
Hormel
Birds Eye
Birds Eye
Cheong Kee
Others
Total
Source:
13.0
100.0
2012
2013
2014
2015
8.6
8.4
8.7
8.4
8.7
8.5
8.8
8.5
7.2
6.5
7.2
6.6
7.2
6.5
7.2
6.5
6.2
6.1
6.2
6.1
6.1
6.0
6.1
6.0
5.9
5.9
5.9
5.9
5.8
5.9
5.8
5.8
4.8
4.9
3.6
3.5
4.8
4.9
3.6
3.5
4.9
4.9
3.7
3.5
4.9
4.9
3.7
3.5
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
1.9
1.9
1.9
2.3
1.9
1.4
1.2
1.1
2.3
-
1.4
1.2
1.1
2.3
-
1.4
1.2
1.1
2.3
-
1.5
1.2
1.0
-
13.0
100.0
12.9
100.0
13.0
100.0
12.9
100.0
Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
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Table 9
Store-Based Retailing
Euromonitor International
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
99.5
99.5
99.5
99.5
99.5
99.5
- Grocery Retailers
-- Modern Grocery
Retailers
--- Convenience Stores
--- Discounters
--- Forecourt Retailers
--- Hypermarkets
--- Supermarkets
-- Traditional Grocery
Retailers
--- Food/drink/tobacco
specialists
--- Independent Small
Grocers
--- Other Grocery
Retailers
- Non-Grocery Specialists
-- Health and Beauty
Specialist Retailers
-- Other Foods NonGrocery Specialists
- Mixed Retailers
Non-Store Retailing
- Vending
- Homeshopping
- Internet Retailing
- Direct Selling
Total
Source:
Passport
98.0
78.5
98.0
78.0
98.0
77.2
98.0
76.3
98.0
75.5
98.0
74.2
78.5
19.5
78.0
20.0
77.2
20.8
76.3
21.7
75.5
22.5
74.2
23.8
1.5
2.0
2.9
3.7
4.5
5.7
9.0
8.8
8.6
8.5
8.4
8.3
9.0
9.2
9.3
9.5
9.6
9.8
1.5
0.5
0.5
100.0
1.5
0.5
0.5
100.0
1.5
0.5
0.5
100.0
1.5
0.5
0.5
100.0
1.5
0.5
0.5
100.0
1.5
0.5
0.5
100.0
Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
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Table 10
'000 tonnes
Processed Meat
- Shelf Stable Meat
- Chilled Processed Meat
- Frozen Processed Meat
Processed Seafood
- Shelf Stable Seafood
- Chilled Processed
Seafood
- Frozen Processed
Seafood
Meat Substitutes
- Chilled Meat
Substitutes
- Frozen Meat Substitutes
- Shelf Stable Meat
Substitutes
Processed Meat and
Seafood
Source:
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
17.5
5.1
3.4
8.9
19.6
10.9
2.0
18.0
5.3
3.6
9.1
20.2
11.3
2.0
18.4
5.4
3.7
9.3
20.8
11.6
2.1
18.9
5.5
3.8
9.6
21.3
12.0
2.2
19.3
5.6
3.9
9.8
21.9
12.3
2.2
19.7
5.7
4.1
10.0
22.4
12.6
2.3
6.7
6.8
7.0
7.2
7.3
7.4
37.1
38.1
39.2
40.2
41.2
42.1
Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews,
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Euromonitor International
Table 11
Passport
HKD million
Processed Meat
- Shelf Stable Meat
- Chilled Processed Meat
- Frozen Processed Meat
Processed Seafood
- Shelf Stable Seafood
- Chilled Processed
Seafood
- Frozen Processed
Seafood
Meat Substitutes
- Chilled Meat
Substitutes
- Frozen Meat Substitutes
- Shelf Stable Meat
Substitutes
Processed Meat and
Seafood
Source:
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
1,208.3
279.2
283.7
645.4
1,339.1
737.4
124.0
1,225.7
279.1
290.5
656.1
1,345.1
736.7
125.5
1,241.6
278.8
296.9
666.0
1,350.3
735.2
127.4
1,255.4
278.1
302.8
674.4
1,354.2
733.0
129.5
1,265.5
277.2
308.0
680.4
1,357.2
730.1
132.0
1,273.2
276.0
312.6
684.6
1,359.1
726.4
134.6
477.7
482.9
487.8
491.7
495.1
498.1
2,547.4
2,570.8
2,592.0
2,609.6
2,622.7
2,632.3
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Table 12
% volume growth
Processed Meat
- Shelf Stable Meat
- Chilled Processed Meat
- Frozen Processed Meat
Processed Seafood
- Shelf Stable Seafood
- Chilled Processed Seafood
- Frozen Processed Seafood
Meat Substitutes
- Chilled Meat Substitutes
- Frozen Meat Substitutes
- Shelf Stable Meat Substitutes
Processed Meat and Seafood
Source:
Table 13
2015/16
2015-20 CAGR
2015/20 Total
2.8
2.5
3.9
2.5
3.0
3.3
2.5
2.8
2.9
2.5
2.2
3.4
2.2
2.7
3.0
2.7
2.3
2.6
12.9
11.4
18.0
11.8
14.3
15.7
14.2
11.9
13.6
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Euromonitor International
2015-20 CAGR
2015/20 TOTAL
Processed Meat
- Shelf Stable Meat
- Chilled Processed Meat
- Frozen Processed Meat
Processed Seafood
- Shelf Stable Seafood
- Chilled Processed Seafood
- Frozen Processed Seafood
Meat Substitutes
- Chilled Meat Substitutes
- Frozen Meat Substitutes
- Shelf Stable Meat Substitutes
Processed Meat and Seafood
Source:
Passport
1.4
0.0
2.4
1.7
0.4
-0.1
1.2
1.1
0.9
1.1
-0.2
2.0
1.2
0.3
-0.3
1.7
0.8
0.7
Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews,
trade source
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5.4
-1.1
10.2
6.1
1.5
-1.5
8.6
4.3
3.3
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