BIRLA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY AND SCIENCE, PILANI

HYDERABAD CAMPUS SECOND SEMESTER 2015-2016

MATH F113: PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS: ASSIGNMENT-1.

NAME:
Q.No

ID:
2

10

Page
NO:

INSTRUCTIONS TO STUDENTS
1. Submit your own assignment on 11th March 2016 at 8.00 A.M during test-1 paper distribution by
showing your ID card.

Late submissions are not allowed (Carry 0

marks).
2. Assignment should be neatly handwritten on A4 size white sheets (Both sides can be used).
DO NOT SUBMIT YOUR ASSIGNMENT IN FOLDER.
3. Photocopies of assignments will not be accepted.
4. Violation of any instruction specified above will result ZERO marks in your assignment.
Answer all questions. One question will be chosen at random for evaluation.

BIRLA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY AND SCIENCE, PILANI

HYDERABAD CAMPUS SECOND SEMESTER 2015-2016
MATH F113: PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
ASSIGNMENT-1

Q1.

subject

is

allowed

Gi={the target is detected on thei th glimpse }

sequence

of
glimpses
to
detect
a
target.
Let
G
'
P( i)
with
. Suppose the Gi s are independent events,
pi

and write an expression for the probability that the target has been detected by the end of the nth glimpse.
Q.2 A system consists of two components. The probability that the second component functions in a satisfactory
manner during its design life is .9, the probability that at least one of the two components does so is .96, and the
probability that both components do so is .75. Given that the first component functions in a satisfactory manner
throughout its design life, what is the probability that the second one does also?
Q3. A transmitter is sending a message by using a binary code, namely, a sequence of 0s and 1s. Each
transmitted bit (0 or 1) must pass through three relays to reach the receiver. At each relay, the probability is .20
that the bit sent will be different from the bit received (a reversal). Assume that the relays operate independently
of one another. Transmitter Relay 1 Relay 2 Relay 3 Receiver
a. If a 1 is sent from the transmitter, what is the probability that a 1 is sent by all three relays?
b. If a 1 is sent from the transmitter, what is the probability that a 1 is received by the receiver?
4. The length of human pregnancies from conception to birth approximates a normal distribution with a mean of
266 days and a standard deviation of 16 days. What proportion of all pregnancies will last between 240 and 270
days (roughly between 8 and 9 months)? What length of time marks the shortest 70% of all pregnancies?
5. Assuming that the diameters of 1000 brass plugs taken consecutively from a machine form a normal
distribution with mean 0.7515 cm and standard deviation 0.0020 cm, how many of the plugs are likely to be
rejected if the approved diameter is 0.7520.004 cm?
6. Consider a discrete random variable X with a probability function

1
x x 1 , x 1, 2,...
p x

0,
Otherwise

Find E(x) and MGF (if exists).

7. One satellite is scheduled to be launched from Cape Canaveral in Florida, and another launching is scheduled
for Vandenberg Air Force Base in California. Let A denote the event that the Vandenberg launch goes off on
schedule, and let B represent the event that the Cape Canaveral launch goes off on schedule. If A and B are
independent events with P(A) > P(B), P(AB) = 0.144 and P(AUB) = 0.626. Determine the values of P(A) and
P(B).

8. A personnel manager is to interview four candidates for a job. These are ranked 1, 2, 3, and 4 in order of
preference and will be interviewed in random order. However, at the conclusion of each interview, the manager
will know only how the current candidate compares to those previously interviewed. For example, the interview
order 3, 4, 1, 2 generates no information after the first interview, shows that the second candidate is worse than
the first, and that the third is better than the first two. However, the order 3, 4, 2, 1 would generate the same
information after each of the first three interviews. The manager wants to hire the best candidate but must make
an irrevocable hire/no hire decision after each interview. Consider the following strategy: Automatically reject
the first s candidates and then hire the first subsequent candidate who is best among those already interviewed
(if no such candidate appears, the last one interviewed is hired).
For example, with s=2, the order 3, 4, 1, 2 would result in the best being hired, whereas the order 3, 1, 2, 4
would not. Of the four possible s values (0, 1, 2, and 3), which one maximizes P(best is hired)? [Hint: Write out
the 24 equally likely interview orderings s=0: means that the first candidate is automatically hired.]
9. Define density function for Weibull distribution then find mean, variance, standard deviation, moment
generating function of the distribution ( if exists) and mention atleast two real time applications.
10. Define density function for Beta distribution then find mean, variance and standard deviation, moment
generating function of the distribution ( if exists) and mention atleast two real time applications.

BIRLA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY AND SCIENCE, PILANI

HYDERABAD CAMPUS SECOND SEMESTER 2015-2016
MATH F113: PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS: ASSIGNMENT-1.

NAME:
Q.No

ID:
2

10

Page
NO:

INSTRUCTIONS TO STUDENTS
5. Submit your own assignment on 11th March 2016 at 8.00 A.M during test-1 paper distribution by
showing your ID card.

Late submissions are not allowed (Carry 0

marks).
6. Assignment should be neatly handwritten on A4 size white sheets (Both sides can be used).
DO NOT SUBMIT YOUR ASSIGNMENT IN FOLDER.
7. Photocopies of assignments will not be accepted.
8. Violation of any instruction specified above will result ZERO marks in your assignment.
9. Answer all questions. One question will be chosen at random for evaluation.