Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Ole Rummel
CCBS, bank of England
ole.rummel@bankofengland.co.uk
18 July 2012
Outline
What is the transmission mechanism?
Different channels of transmission:
the old view - interest rate, exchange rate and asset price channels;
the new view credit market frictions and their consequences; and
new developments in the transmission mechanism for emerging
market economies
Government intervention
In the past, government intervention in the financial system
affected the monetary transmission process in at least three
ways:
by imposing interest rate controls or other limits on financial market
prices;
by imposing direct limits on bank lending; or
by providing government-financed credit to selected areas
Summary (1)
Developments in financial markets can affect both banks ability
and willingness to lend and companies ability to raise funds in
the capital markets
which, in turn, will affect the consumption and investment
decisions of households and businesses
Endogenous changes in creditworthiness may increase the
persistence and amplitude of business cycles (the financial
accelerator) and strengthen the influence of monetary policy (the
credit channel)
Summary (2)
These channels complement the traditional interest rate channel
The different channels of the monetary transmission mechanism
are not mutually exclusive
and the economys overall response to monetary policy will
incorporate the impact of a variety of channels
But monetary policy appears to have less of an impact on real
activity than it once had although the causes of that change
remain an open issue
Conclusions
The transmission mechanism is important
We need to know the structure of the economy i.e., what is the
relevant transmission mechanism (in different countries)?
The channels of transmission continue to change as the
economy evolves central banks therefore need to be alert to
the implications of such changes and calibrate their policy
responses to macroeconomic developments
The uncertainty of the impact of any policy change increases the
importance of having a credible and transparent monetary policy
regime