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Market Report

Northern Virginia | 1st Quarter 2016

cushmanwakefield.com

Contents

DC Metropolitan Area Overview..............................................................................3


Northern Virginia & Map........................................................................................4-6
Alexandria.........................................................................................................................7
RB Corridor.......................................................................................................................8
Crystal City/Pentagon City........................................................................................9
Tysons Corner....................... .......................................................................................10
Reston/Herndon............................................................................................................11
50-66.................................................................................................................................12
Route 28 South/Chantilly..........................................................................................13
Loudoun County...........................................................................................................14
Appendix..........................................................................................................................15
Tables..........................................................................................................................15-24
Methodology & Definitions......................................................................................25
About Cushman & Wakefield.................................................................................26

Cushman & Wakefield | 2

Washington, DC Metropolitan Area


The first quarter of 2016 marked a continuation of and improvement
on the robust growth experienced over the course of 2015 in the
Washington, DC metropolitan region (DC Metro), and any potential
slowdown in hiring due to the uncertainty of the upcoming
presidential election has not been evident in the employment data.
Quite the opposite, in fact: at the close of March 2016, DC Metro
employers have added over 83,000 total nonfarm payroll jobs since
March of 2015. Note that this is a region that typically adds closer
to 35,000 jobs per year. While the DC Metro regions economy
outperformed that of the United States (U.S.) as a whole from
the 1990s into 2011, budget sequestration and general gridlock
in Washington caused the DC Metro region to lag the U.S. since
the third quarter of 2011. But there is a sign that the region has
returned to normalcy: its economy has now finally eclipsed the
U.S. economy in year-over-year employment growth percentage,
finishing Q1 2016 up 2.3% versus the national growth rate of 1.9%.
Job growth was above average for all jurisdictions in the DC Metro
region. Northern Virginia led the way with 40,700 job gains on a
year-over-year basis. Suburban Maryland accounted for 28,400
new jobs, the District of Columbia contributed 9,200 to the total,
and outlying parts of the region making up the balance. Officeusing jobs including federal employment accounted for 27% of the
total. The largest gains in the region were in the office-intensive
Professional and Business Services sector which accounted for
over 23,000 new positions compared to March of 2015. Growth in
the Financial and Federal Government sectors was modest with
1,730 and 860 new jobs added to payrolls, respectively. In nonoffice using employment, year-over year gains were impressive:
the Leisure & Hospitality posted 16,160 new jobs, Manufacturing &
Construction added 12,620, Retail added 10,540, and Education &
Healthcare sectors posted 8,850 new jobs.

WASHINGTON, DC METRO

Economic Indicators
Q1 15

Q1 16

DC Metro Employment

3.14M

3.22M

DC Metro Unemployment

4.6%

4.0%

U.S. Unemployment

5.5%

5.0%

Q1 15

Q1 16

Overall Vacancy

18.3%

17.8%

Net Absorption

289K

(334K)

Market Indicators

Under Construction

4.6M

6.8M

Deliveries

391K

764K

$36.40

$36.19

Average Asking Rent (FS)

Looking forward, the consensus forecast for job growth in the


region remains bullish with major forecasting firms calling for
above-average job growth of 50,000-60,000 job gains per year
through 2019. With the space-use efficiency trend that has eroded
office demand from job growth the past five years slowly coming
to an end among most of the large occupier sectors in the market,
increased positive demand from each job created can be expected

12-Month
Forecast

Net Absorption/Asking Rent


4Q TRAILING AVERAGE
$39.00

2.0

$38.50
$38.00
$37.50

1.0

$37.00
$36.50
$36.00

0.0

$35.50
$35.00
$34.50

-1.0

2010

2011

2012

2013

Net Absorption, MSF

2014

2015

2016

$34.00

Asking Rent, $ PSF

Washington, DC Metropolitan Area


NET ABSORPTION - DELIVERIES - VACANCY

10.0

20%

8.0

16%

6.0
MSF

The Washington, DC metropolitan regions office market continues


to slowly trend back towards historic norms after several years of
elevated vacancy and flat absorption. The vacancy rate for the
region ended the first quarter of 2016 at 17.8%, down from 18.3% a
year ago. Overall net absorption was basically flat for the quarter
at negative 334,000 square feet (sf) for the DC Metro region. The
submarkets that continue to outperform in the District of Columbia
and in the suburbs all offer proximity to transit and retail amenities
in a mixed-use environment. New supply to market continues to
be well below historic norms. The average new supply to market
post-recession has fallen to 2.1 million square feet (msf) 3.3 msf
less than the average from 2000-2009. 2018 has the potential
to be the next big supply year based on projects currently in the
pipeline driven particularly by development and redevelopment in
the downtown core.

12-Month
Forecast

4.0

12%

2.0
8%

0.0
-2.0

4%

-4.0
-6.0

Vacancy Rate

Strong Economic Showing in Q1 2016

05

06 07 08 09
Net Absorption

10 11 12 13 14 15
Deliveries
Vacancy Rate

16

0%

in the midterm.
cushmanwakefield.com | 3

Northern Virginia
Economy

Market Indicators
1Q 15

The Northern Virginia economy continued the momentum seen

12-Month
Forecast

1Q 16

in 2015 into the first quarter of 2016. Unemployment remains

Overall Vacancy

21.7%

21.4%

extremely low, with the City of Alexandria and Arlington, Fairfax

Net Absorption

(50K)

(479K)

and Loudoun counties all reporting jobless rates below 3.5%.

Under Construction

2.7M

3.6M

Preliminary numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show

Deliveries

that Northern Virginia added 11,600 net new nonfarm payrolls

Average Asking Rent

199K

160K

$33.24

$32.14

of the 16,100 total nonfarm jobs created in the Washington, DC


Metropolitan region during January and February of 2016. All office-

Net Absorption/Asking Rent

using employment sectors posted gains in the first two months of

4Q TRAILING AVERAGE

the year, with Professional and Business Services leading the way
with 2,400 jobs added and the Information, Federal Government,
and Financial Services sectors following with 425, 330 and 240 net
new jobs, respectively.

400

$34

200

$33
$32

$31

-200

$30

-400

Market Overview

-600

The Northern Virginia office market registered negative 479,000

-800

$29
$28
2010

square feet (sf) of net absorption in the first quarter of 2016

2011

2012

2013

2014

Net Absorption, SF (thousands)

2015

2016

$27

Asking Rent, $ PSF

as several large scale move-outs by federal contractors hit the


market. The overall vacancy rate stood at 21.4%, down from 21.7%
a year ago but up from 21.2% at year-end 2015.

Overall Vacancy
24%

Renewals dominated leasing activity in the first quarter, accounting

22%

for seven of the top 10 transactions. The most significant deal was

20%

that of tech company Opower, which committed to a 63,000sf prelease at 2311 Wilson Boulevard in Arlingtons Courthouse
submarket. Their 175,000-sf future headquarters building is

18%
16%

scheduled to be delivered by Carr Properties in mid-2018. The

14%

competition to land this tech company that services the utility

12%

industry has endured for years and spanned several jurisdictions;


ultimately, the Commonwealth of Virginia was successful in

10%

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

keeping the company within its borders with the help of a $1


million incentive from the Governors Opportunity Fund.

Large Blocks of Contiguous Space


25-50k SF

Several large-scale developments continued or entered into

Loudoun County

50-100k SF

construction in the first quarter. What will be the largest office

Route 28 South

100-150k SF

building in the region Capital Ones 1 msf headquarters

Springfield/Newington

150-200k SF

expansion now rises above ground level and is set for a 2018

50/66

completion. In addition, Comstock Partners began construction

Reston/Herndon

of their 350,000 sf speculative office building at Wiehle-Reston

Tysons Corner

East Metro Station, as yet another Silver Line station continues to

Arlington

add density. Lerner Enterprises speculative 475,000-sf building,

Alexandria

1775 Tysons Boulevard, and MITREs 340,000-sf build-to-suit at


7598 Colshire Drive, should be delivering by mid-year.

200k+ SF

20

40

60

80

# of Blocks

Cushman & Wakefield | 4

Northern Virginia Office Submarkets


Northern Virginia Office Submarkets

LOUDOUN
LOUDOUN
PHASE II
2016

267

MARYLAND
metro

ROUTE
772

metro

ROUTE
606

metro

RESTON
RESTON

267

INNOVATION
CENTER

WASHINGTON
DULLES
INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT

PHASE I

metro

HERNDON

metro

RESTON TOWN
CENTER

metro

267

WIEHLE - RESTON
EAST
TY
UN

TY

CO

UN

CO
X

SPRING
HILL

FA

OU

WASHINGTON, DC
metro

IR

UD

123

28

Y
NT TY
OU UN
X C CO
FA N
IR TO
FA ING
L
R
A

FA

LO

DI
ST

DULLES
AIRPORT

D
AN
YL IA
AR IN
M IRG
V

metro

RI MA
RY
CT
OF LA
N
D
CO
LU
M
BI
A

HERNDON
HERNDON

LOUDOUN COUNTY

50

FAIRFAX COUNTY

GREENSBORO

metro

metro

metro

MCLEAN

TYSONS
CORNER

286

ARLINGTON COUNTY

TYSONS

metro

495

WEST FALLS
CHURCH

metro

EAST FALLS
CHURCH

VIR
metro

29
66

66
metro

metro
metro

BALLSTON
ALGONKIAN P

50

FAIRFAX CENTER
metro

IA

CLARENDON

VIRGINIA SQUARE - GMU

R-B CORRIDOR

495

VIENNA

66

AR

28

29

GIN

ROSSLYN

COURT HOUSE

metro

DUNN LORING/
MERRIFIELD

123

ROUTE 28 SOUTH

metro

50

50

metro

PENTAGON

CRYSTAL CITY

MERRIFIELD

AY
KW

29

395

RONALD
REAGAN
WASHINGTON
NATIONAL
NATIONAL
AIRPORT
AIRPORT
metro

236

I-395 CORRIDOR
286

FAIR FAX COUN


TY

PRINCE WILLIAM C
O

POTOMAC
RIVER

metro

VAN DORN
STREET

UNT Y

EISENHOWER
AVENUE

metro

KING STREET

metro

OLD TOWN
ALEXANDRIA

EISENHOWER
AVENUE
PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY

95

metro

FRANCONIA/
SPRINGFIELD

SPRINGFIELD/
NEWINGTON

cushmanwakefield.com | 5

Top Transactions
Key Lease Transactions 1Q 2016
PROPERTY

SF

TENANT

TRANSACTION TYPE

SUBMARKET

14370 Newbrook Drive

160,000

CACI

Renewal

Route 28 South/Chantilly

14700 Lee Road

84,700

General Dynamics

Renewal

Route 28 South/Chantilly

2311 Wilson Boulevard

63,000

Opower

Prelease

Courthouse/Clarendon/VA Square

251 18th Street S

53,900

Chemonics International

New Lease

Crystal City/Pentagon City

Key Sales Transactions 1Q 2016


PROPERTY

SF

SELLER/BUYER

PRICE

SUBMARKET

McKinley & Pierce Buildings

574,558

Dividend Cap Diversified Prop Fund / Northop


Grumman

$158,400,000

Tysons Corner

Pacific Corporate Park

696,387

Gramercy Property Trust / Beacon Capital Partners

$145,500,000

Route 28 North

Mission Ridge I & II

312,203

Lasalle Investment / Salus Property

$96,000,000

Route 28 South

600,906

NYSCRF JV Liberty Property Trust / Normany Real


Estate Partners JV Siguler Guff

$80,500,000

Reston

Presidents Park I, II, and III

Northern Virginia Office Market

Northern Virginia Office Market

Net Absorption - Deliveries - Vacancy, First Quarter 2016

Inventory and Vacancy by Submarket, First Quarter 2016


30

30%

25

25%

20

20%

15

15%

10

10%

5%

15%

10%

-1

-3

5%

2003

2004

2005

New Deliveries

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Net Absorption

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Vacancy Rate

2016

0%

MSF

20%

Alexandria

RB
Crystal City Tysons
Corridor

Leased

Reston/
Herndon

Vacant

50/66

Route 28 S Loudoun
Chantilly

Vacancy Rate

25%

Vacancy Rate

Square Feet (Millions)

0%

Vacancy Rate

Cushman & Wakefield | 6

Alexandria
Market Indicators
*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Vacancy
24.7%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

35,500 SF

720,000 SF

Deliveries

Asking Rent

0 SF

$31.13 FS

After a very slow fourth quarter, Alexandria experienced an

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy

sized deals in the submarket were signed. Advanced Resource


by Coggins 15,669 sf new lease at 44 Canal Center Plaza and
the AMCPs (Academy of Managed Care Pharmacy) new deal for
15,585 sf at 675 North Washington Street. In a win for the I-395
Corridor section of Alexandria, Northern Virginia Community
College (NVCC) signed a new lease for 15,000 sf at 4700 King
Street.

Square Feet, 000s

Technologies 18,000-sf renewal at 1555 King Street was followed

800

30%

600

25%

400

20%

200

15%

10%

-200

5%

-400
-600

Old Town continues to boast the lowest vacancy rate of any


submarket in NoVA. Its overall vacancy rate of 9.1% is significantly
less than that of the next-lowest submarket, Reston/Herndon

Vacancy Rate

increase in deal activity in Q1 2016 as several relatively large-

06

07

Net Absorption

08

09

10

Deliveries

11

12

13

Vacancy Rate

14

15

Q1
2016

0%

Old Town Vacancy Rate

(17.1%). The I-395 and Huntington/Eisenhower submarkets


continue to struggle with high vacancy rates of 37.5% and 41.4%,
respectively. Rental rates in Alexandria have increased by a slight

New Leasing Activity

1.8% from a year ago, due mainly to an uptick in rents for Class

1.20

A space. Absorption was relatively unchanged, with Alexandria


experiencing only a handful of small move-ins and move-outs.

1.00
0.80

Avenue (across from the new National Science Foundation HQ)

MSF

Rubenstein Partners is gutting and renovating 2461 Eisenhower


and rebranding it Carlyle Tower. This 14-story, 335,000-sf office

0.60
0.40

building is undergoing a 15-month transformation into a Class


A office building and will redeliver in early 2017. The General

0.20

Service Administration has delayed the Transportation Safety

0.00

Administrations (TSA) move to its new headquarters until mid2020. TSA had originally planned to consolidate and relocate by

2006

2007

2008

2009

Q1

Spring 2018, but now will likely have to extend at 601 and 701 S 12

2010

2011

Q2

Q3

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q4

St in Pentagon City.
Advanced Resource Technologies executed a sale-leaseback

Asking Rent
$41

32,003-sf building sold for $9.47M ($296/sf) and was 80% leased

$39

at the time of sale, to the seller and a variety of smaller tenants.

Outlook

Vornado/Charles E. Smith is currently marketing their


Skyline portfolio for sale. The rare opportunity to buy
2.45 million square feet has presented itself through
this seven building portfolio. These properties will be
a great value play for future investors.

Full Service PSF

with Bernstein Management Corporation at 1555 King Street. The

$37
$35
$33
$31
$29
$27
$25

2011

2012
Class A

2013

2014

2015

Q1 2016

Class B

cushmanwakefield.com | 7

RB Corridor
23.3%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

38,500 SF

552,800 SF

The Rosslyn-Ballston Corridor (RB Corridor) has experienced


a rapid increase in vacancy over the last few yearsfrom midsingle-digits in 2011 to over 20% by the end of 2013. The climb in
vacancy was due primarily to contractor and GSA downsizings
and relocations, and to a lesser degree the delivery of 1812 North
Moore Street. Vacancy in the Corridor peaked at an all-time high
of 24.4% in Q2 2015 and has declined slightly to its current 23.3%.
Rosslyns vacancy currently stands at 29.8%, the highest of any
submarket outside of I-395 and Eisenhower Avenue.
Ballstons Class A vacancy rate of 14.6% is the lowest of any
submarket besides Old Town, and the 21.2pp difference between
class A (14.6%) and class B (35.8%) vacancy is wider than in any
other NoVA submarket. This difference illustrates the dichotomy
between Class A and commodity space and their relative
desirability among tenants in NoVA.
The most notable development news of the quarter was OPowers
announcement of its 63,000-sf prelease at the proposed 2311
Wilson Boulevard in Courthouse. Its commitment will allow
construction of the 175,000-sf, 8-story building to proceed, with
anticipated delivery at the end of 2017, after which the company
will be relocating from its current space at 1515 North Courthouse
Road. The largest deal of Q1 2016 was Sinclair Television Groups
100,000 sf renewal in Monday Properties Twin Towers buildings
(1100 and 1101 Wilson Boulevard). Source Office Suites renewed
for 32,612 sf at Colonial Place I, SMDI signed a new 28,315-sf lease
at 1101 Wilson Boulevard, and Innovative Defense Technologies
signed a 25,073-sf relet at 4401 Wilson Boulevard. Leasing activity
for the quarter came in at a modest 176,701 sf, with 166,084 sf
(94.0%) occurring in class A buildings.

1,000

Arlingtons ability to keep OPower within the county


marks a successful application of the Commonwealth
Opportunity Fund, which contributed $1 million in
incentives as the company committed to adding jobs
and investing in capital within the county. The County
Board is now considering the creation of smaller
incentives funds targeted towards smaller companies
in high-growth sectors such as cybersecurity and data
analytics, in order to further combat high vacancy.

25%

800

20%

600
400

15%

200
0

10%

-200
-400

5%

-600
-800

06

07

08

09

10

Net Absorption

11

12

13

Deliveries

14

15

Vacancy Rate

Q1
16

0%

New Leasing Activity


1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

Q1

2010

2011

Q2

Q3

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q4

Asking Rent

Full Service PSF

Outlook

$40.72 FS

0 SF

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy

The U.S. Coast Guard vacated 89,451 sf at 4200 Wilson


Boulevard in a consolidation to its St. Elizabeths campus, ESI
International vacated 51,000 sf at 901 North Glebe in a move
to 4301 North Fairfax Drive, and Westwood College departed
39,216 sf at 4420 North Fairfax Drive, as for-profit colleges
continue their downsizing. Sands Capital moved into 78,000 sf
at 1000 Wilson Boulevard as it switched between Twin Towers,
GW Medical Associates took 48,700 sf at 3811 North Fairfax
Drive in Courthouse, and MakeOffices occupied 39,837 sf at 3100
Clarendon Boulevard.
Shooshan Company and Brandywine are changing plans for
4040 Wilson to allow for eight floors of office topped by 12 floors
of residential. This change spurred a prelease for two floors from
Vida Fitness, and will reduce the desired 40% RBA office prelease
to 80,000 sf.

Asking Rent

Deliveries

Vacancy Rate

Vacancy

Square Feet, 000s

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

MSF

Market Indicators

$56
$54
$52
$50
$48
$46
$44
$42
$40
$38
$36
$34
$32

2011

2012

2013
Class A

2014

2015

Q1 2016

Class B

Cushman & Wakefield | 8

Crystal City/Pentagon City


Vacancy

Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

22.2%

(93,700) SF

0 SF

0 SF

$37.69 FS

Since peaking at 26.8% in Q4 2013, vacancy in Crystal City has


slowly declined to its current 22.9%. The submarket experienced
net negative absorption in Q1 2016. NATO and MB Consulting
moved into 30,000 sf and 6,000 sf, respectively, at 2511 Jefferson
Davis Highway, but this was more than offset by Lockheed
Martins 85,535 sf move-out at 1550 Crystal Drive.
The largest relet deal of the quarter was in Crystal City:
international development consultant Chemonics International
signed for 53,929 sf at 251 18th Street South. The second largest
deal of Q1 2016 was NATO Sea Sparrows relocation from 727
23rd Street South to 30,700 sf at nearby Presidential Tower. Two
associations the American Intellectual Property Law Association

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy

500

25%

20%

-500

15%

-1,000

10%

-1,500

5%
06

07

08

09

10

Net Absorption

11

12

13

Deliveries

14

15

Vacancy Rate

0%

Q1
16

New Leasing Activity


2.50

2.00

1.50
MSF

WeLive, the residential counterpart to WeWork, has officially


opened at 2221 South Clark Street, joining other entrepreneurial
startup ventures in the area such as Eastern Foundry, 1776, and
TechShop.

30%

-2,000

and the Association for Professionals in Infection Control and


Epidemiology signed two new leases for 12,000 sf each at 1400
Crystal.
Crystal Citys reliance on GSA users and contractors is once
again evident. The Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA),
whose 503,776-sf lease at 600 and 700 Army Navy Drive expires
in September 2018, is beginning the search for a new home in
the 478,607 sf to 575,000 sf range. Between the DEA and the
Transportation Safety Administration (TSA) Crystal City could
potentially lose around 1 msf of GSA tenants in 2018.

1,000

Vacancy Rate

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Square Feet, 000s

Market Indicators

1.00

0.50

0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

Q1

2010

Q2

2011

Q3

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q4

Asking Rent
$44

Outlook

The Bartlett, the largest multifamily project under


construction in NoVA, is due for delivery in mid-2016.
The area surrounding Pentagon City Mall should see
continuous revival over the next few years, as the area
has several other multifamily projects in the planning
stages.

Full Service PSF

$42
$40
$38
$36
$34
$32

2011

2012

2013
Class A

2014

2015

Q1 2016

Class B

cushmanwakefield.com | 9

Tysons Corner
Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

(97,700) SF

1,790,809 SF

0 SF

$31.65 FS

Tysons current overall vacancy rate is 19.3%. That is slightly above


its five-year average of 18.8% and marking a slight decline from
the 20.4% rate in Q1 2015 which was the highest vacancy rate
since the post dot-com bubble years of 2002-2003. Direct rental
rates have decreased by 4.5% from the first quarter of last year, as
higher-priced, Metro-accessible, Class A product has continued
to capture new leasing and experienced few move-outs.
The submarket, along with the rest of Northern Virginia, registered
low leasing volume of 132,071 sf in Q1 2016. Watt Tieder Hoffar
Fitzgerald signed a new lease for 32,620 sf at Greensboro Station
I, PAE Shield Acquisition Company expanded by 18,117 sf at 7799
Leesburg Pike, Enterprise Information Services renewed for 16,572
sf at 1945 Old Gallows Road, and Arrowpoint Corporation signed
for 14,371 sf at 8260 Greensboro Drive. The majority of deals were
for less than 10,000 sf and consisted mainly of consulting and
technology companies.
Pentagon Federal Credit Union moved into 137,135 sf at 7940
Jones Branch, the building it acquired from LMI and MRP
Realty in Q4 2015. Washington Gas occupied 51,591 sf at 8614
Westwood Center Drive, and new owner MRP Realty plans on
attracting further activity through the creation of WeWorkstyle shared office space, the first of its kind in Tysons. Sagenet
vacated all 142,932 sf at 1750 Old Meadow Drive as it relocates
its Washington DC operations to Reston. Owner Matan Realty
plans to renovate the building which was originally built in 1985.
The GSA vacated 31,919 sf at 2070 Chain Bridge Road, PwC gave
back a floor (26,789 sf) at 1800 Tysons Boulevard, as did Palantir
(25,598 sf) at 1660 International Drive.

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


1,000

25%

800
20%

600

Vacancy Rate

Vacancy
19.3%

Square Feet, 000s

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

400

15%

200
0

10%

-200
-400

5%

-600
-800

06

07

08

09

10

Net Absorption

11

12

13

Deliveries

14

15 Q1 16

0%

Vacancy Rate

New Leasing Activity


3.50
3.00
2.50

MSF

Market Indicators

2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00

MITREs 340,000-sf build-to-suit and Lerners 476,000-sf


speculative office building at 1775 Tysons Boulevard are due to
deliver by mid-2016. Capital One Towers 980,000 sf have begun
to rise above ground level, with completion scheduled for 2018.

2006

2007

2008

2009

Q1

2010

2011

Q2

Q3

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q4

Asking Rent

Outlook

In Northern Virginia, Class A office buildings


accounted for 74.2% of all leasing activity (renewals
and new leases) by square footage in 2015. However,
only 50.1% of Tysons office inventory is considered
Class A and the submarket contains 41 buildings built
before 1980. With tenants flocking to high-quality, onMetro buildings, especially professional and business
service firms which dominate Tysons, an increase in
conversions and renovations may be likely in the near
future.

Full Service PSF

$50
$45
$40
$35
$30
$25

2011

2012
Class A

2013

2014

2015

Q1 2016

Class B

Cushman & Wakefield | 10

Reston/Herndon
Vacancy
17.1%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

(195,900) SF

354,900 SF

0 SF

$30.22 FS

Since hitting a five-year low of 14.9% in Q1 2014, vacancy in


Reston/Herndon has hovered in the 15% to 17% range and
currently sits at 17.1%. Direct weighted asking rates have remained
virtually unchanged for all building classes over the past 24
months. The largest lease in Reston/Herndon in Q1 2016 was that
of the Virginia Spine Institute which signed for 32,779 sf at 11800
Sunrise Valley Drive.
Fannie Mae occupied the entirety of One Reston Crescent, which,
like Two Reston Crescent, is now fully occupied. Brookfield
Properties, owner of these two buildings, is seeking rezoning
of adjacent land (site of demolished 12010 Sunrise Valley Drive)
from Industrial to Planned Residential Community. Brookfield is

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


2,500

25%

2,000

20%

1,500

The New York State Common Retirement Fund (Liberty Property


Trust) sold Presidents Park I/II/III to Normandy Real Estate
Partners for $80.5M ($134/sf) in March. The buildings were ~60%
occupied at time of sale. Goldman Sachs purchased 13600 &
13650 Dulles Technology Drive (Three & Four Dulles Tech Center)
from Dallas-based Lone Star Funds for $55M ($243/sf). Three
Dulles Tech is fully leased to Cisco, and Four Dulles Tech is ~70%
leased to multiple tenants. AEW Capital Management sold 205
Van Buren (Atrium at Worldgate) to Cambridge Property Group
in March for $19.65M.

10%

500

5%

0
-500

proposing 2,260 residential units, 1.18 msf of office, 64,000+ sf


of retail, and a potential 160-bed hotel on this site mile south of
the future Reston Town Center Metro station.

06

07

08

09

10

Net Absorption

11

12

13

Deliveries

14

15

0%

Q1
16

Vacancy Rate

New Leasing Activity


3.00
2.50
2.00
MSF

Quadrant signed an expansion for 23,031 sf and SOS International


moved into its 21,000-sf expansion at 1881 Campus Commons
Drive, bringing this building to 100% occupancy. Strayer vacated
and placed on the sublease market 87,414 sf at 2303 Dulles
Station Boulevard, continuing the trend of for-profit college
downsizing. Scitor vacated its sublease space at 12010 Sunset
Hills, and Stanley Martin vacated 31,112 sf at 11111 Sunset Hills Road.
With Booz Allen Hamilton having vacated the 396,490-sf 13200
Woodland Park Drive, new owners Federal Capital Partners plan
a full renovation of the building, originally built in 2002.

15%

1,000

Vacancy Rate

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Square Feet, 000s

Market Indicators

1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

Q1

2010

2011

Q2

Q3

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q4

Asking Rent
$32

Outlook

The Wiehle-Reston East Metro Station area is in a


unique position to be a first-mover before other
Silver Line stations begin service in 2020. Comstock
Partners has begun construction of its 350,000sf speculative office building without a prelease, as
many office properties within mile of the Metro
station have successfully pushed rents upwards and
decreased vacancy.

Full Service PSF

$30
$28
$26
$24
$22
$20

2011

2012
Class A

2013

2014

2015

Q1 2016

Class B

cushmanwakefield.com | 11

50/66
Vacancy
19.9%

Under Construction

Net Absorption

0 SF

(220,700) SF

Merrifield/Route 50
Vacancy in the Merrifield/Route 50 submarket declined from
20.2% in Q4 2015 to 17.4% in Q1 2016 as Fairfax County Schools
took occupancy at 8270 Willow Oaks Corporate Drive, a
relocation from 3877 Fairfax Ridge Road. The GSA accounted
for the two largest deals of the first quarter as two immigration
entities ICE and USCIS renewed for 55,000 sf and 49,000
sf at 2675 and 2677 Prosperity Avenue, respectively. These
Metro-accessible buildings are fully leased. Kingfisher Systems,
a contractor, renewed for 10,500 sf and expanded by another
10,456 sf at 3110 Fairview Park Drive. This is a small win for the
Fairview Park area, as this section of the Merrifield submarket
east of I-495 has been hit by a rash of move-outs, most notably
Reed Smith which relocated to Tysons, Nobilis which moved to
Reston, and eventually General Dynamics, which plans to relocate
in the next several years to Reston.

Outlook

The Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna submarkets current


vacancy rate of 21.6% is its highest level in over
10 years. With few public transit options and low
developer interest, the submarket must continue to
rely on its proximity to Fairfax County Court and other
local government operations.

$24.92 FS

400

25%

200

20%

15%

-200
10%

-400

5%

-600
-800

06

07

08

09

10

Net Absorption

11

12

13

Deliveries

14

15

0%

Q1
16

Vacancy Rate

New Leasing Activity


2.00
1.80
1.60
1.40
MSF

1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Asking Rent
$34
$32
Full Service PSF

Rockville-based Lerner Corporation sold a pair of buildings in Q1


2016 10530 Rosehaven Street and 3211 Jermantown Road to
A&A Investment Group of Reston. 3211 Jermantown Road is fully
leased to General Dynamics through 2019, and 10530 Rosehaven
Street is ~40% leased to multiple users. The combined 279,293 sf
sold for $31.1M ($111/sf).

Asking Rent

0 SF

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy

Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna
The submarket experienced several move-outs in Q1, resulting
in 406,138 sf of negative absorption. SRA International vacated
the entirety of 4300 and 4350 Fair Lakes Court (290,000 sf
total) as it finalizes a headquarters move to Westfields office
park in Chantilly. The contractor is moving to an open floor plan
in a reduction of its sf/user ratio. ManTech vacated and listed
for sublease 46,129 sf at 12015 Lee Jackson Highway, and Pulte
Homes vacated 34,655 sf at 10600 Arrowhead Drive in a move
to Hunters Branch. Leasing activity in the submarket consisted
of 29,868 sf of renewals, the largest of which was a 14,003 sf
extension by Data Systems Analysts at 10300 Eaton Place,
followed by an 8,129 sf extension by Brown Automotive Group at
12500 Fair Lakes Circle.

Deliveries

Vacancy Rate

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Square Feet, 000s

Market Indicators

$30
$28
$26
$24
$22

2011

2012

2013

Merrifield/Route 50

2014

2015

Q1 2016

Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna

Cushman & Wakefield | 12

Route 28 South/Chantilly
25.0%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

(23,200) SF

0 SF

150,000 SF

$24.72 FS

In Q1 2016, the Route 28 South submarket was home to a slate of


large long-term renewals, reaffirming the view that we are at the
end of a contractor downsizing cycle. CACI renewed for 159,987
sf at 14370 Newbrook Drive and 60,530 sf at 14360 Newbrook
Drive, and General Dynamics renewed for 84,652 sf at 14700 Lee
Road.
Overall vacancy, at 25.0%, was up 0.8 pp from Q1 2015 and 0.2
pp from Q4 2015. Vacancy in the submarket hit an all-time high
of 26.1% in Q2 2015. Outside of the I-395 Corridor, the submarket
has the highest sublease vacancy rate of 2.1%, as committed
users find it difficult to fill their preexisting obligations in the carcentric, contractor-heavy submarket. After hitting the $30 psf
mark in 2009, direct rental rates declined steadily before settling
in the $26 psf range. Commodity space in the submarket is not in
high demand: Class B vacancy is 27.1% and direct rental rates for
Class B product in Route 28 South average $23.26 psf, lower than
in any other NoVA submarket except Loudoun. However, with
the cycle of contractor downsizing nearing an end and federal
procurement expected to increase, the number of massive blocks
of vacant space coming back to market should be slowing down.
Boston-based Federal Partners sold 4755 Meadow Wood Lane
to Chicago-based Boyd Watterson for $31.8M ($306/sf). The
building is fully leased to the GSA. Carr Properties sold 14200
Park Meadow Drive (Victory Point) to Bethesda-based Goldstar
Group for $16.3M ($111/sf). Goldstar has traditionally focused
on multifamily assets, and this is their first office transaction in
several years.

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


1,200

While not imposing a significant impact on overall


market vacancy, several smaller tenant moves in
Q1 2016 may provide insight into future trends. ATA
Engineering doubled its current footprint at 13921 Park
Center Road, expanding by 6,886 sf, and Millenium
Space Systems signed a 6,750 sf new lease at 14425
Penrose Place joining other aerospace companies
in the Route 28 Corridor such as Inmarsat, Stellar
Solutions, and Ball Aerospace. These companies are
well-positioned near SpaceX and Orbital ATK, the two
market leaders which continue to win contracts for
public and private spaceflight and which rely on many
small engineering and parts distribution companies
for their final products.

600

20%

400

15%

200
0

10%

-200
-600

5%
06

07

08

09

10

Net Absorption

11

12

13

Deliveries

14

15

0%

Q1
16

Vacancy Rate

New Leasing Activity


1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Asking Rent
$30
$28
Full Service PSF

25%

800

-400

4850 Stonecroft Boulevard, a 160,000 sf build-to-suit project,


has delivered and joins identical 4970 Stonecroft Boulevard
next door. These two buildings are believed to be leased to a
confidential GSA tenant.

Outlook

30%

1,000

Vacancy Rate

Vacancy

Square Feet, 000s

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

MSF

Market Indicators

$26
$24
$22
$20
$18

2011

2012
Class A

2013

2014

2015

Q1 2016

Class B

cushmanwakefield.com | 13

Loudoun County
Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

33,200 SF

64,800 SF

0 SF

$26.13 FS

Absorption in Loudoun County for each of the past five years has
averaged 66,703 sf. Overall vacancy has trended downward from
a high of 27.8% in Q1 2012 to a current 19.7%, a 2.0 pp decline
just from the previous quarter. Class A vacancy, at 17.0%, is at its
lowest point in 10 years.
The largest deal of the quarter was a renewal by Asurion, a phone
insurance company, for 82,660 sf at 22894 Pacific Boulevard.
On the heels of this was the 74,200-sf renewal by Orbital ATK at
21700 Atlantic Boulevard. The aerospace company recently won
both a NASA contract to resupply the International Space Station
and an Air Force contract for the development of engines.
JK Moving, the largest privately owned mover in the region, plans
to develop and move its headquarters to a 42 acre site at the
Northeast corner of Route 28 and Route 606 (Old Ox Road) it
acquired in November. The plans call for one 80,000 sf office
building and four 110,000 sf warehouse buildings.
Beacon
Capital
Partners
acquired
Pacific
Corporate
Park,
four
Raytheon-occupied
buildings
in
Dulles
(22110/22260/22265/22270 Pacific Boulevard), from Gramercy
Property Trust for $145.5M ($209/sf). Their 696,377 sf are
86% leased to Raytheon for the next 10 years. Two land parcels
totaling 22 acres are also included in the sale, and represent
potential future expansion space for Raytheon. The sale is part
of Gramercys plan to dispose of select single- and multi-tenant
office assets.

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


600

25%

500

20%

400
300

15%

200

10%

100

5%

0
-100

Vacancy Rate

Vacancy
19.7%

Square Feet, 000s

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

06

07

08

09

10

Net Absorption

11

12

13

Deliveries

14

15

0%

Q1
16

Vacancy Rate

New Leasing Activity


0.90
0.80
0.70
0.60
MSF

Market Indicators

0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10

Illinois-based Alter Group sold 128,477-sf Loudoun Gateway V


for $20M ($156/sf) to New York-based Crown Properties. Carr
Properties sold 102,422-sf Loudoun Gateway IV to Snider &
Weinstein, a DC-based law firm, for $14.4M ($141/sf). Snider plans
on occupying half of the building and potentially expanding into
the rest.

0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

Q1

2010

2011

Q2

Q3

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q4

Asking Rent
$28

Outlook
With an abundance of available development
opportunities and cheaper land prices than in other
submarkets, several companies are moving ahead
on owner-occupied or build-to-suit projects in
Loudoun. JK Movings decision to build a 520,000 sf
headquarters on company-owned land joins GEICOs
commitment to constructing a 32,675 sf office and
training center on three acres it owns in Ashburn. In
the same vein, EITs 64,800 sf build-to-suit is currently
under construction at 309 Kellys Ford Plaza with a
delivery scheduled for late 2016.

Full Service PSF

$26
$24
$22
$20
$18
$16

2011

2012
Class A

2013

2014

2015

Q1 2016

Class B

Cushman & Wakefield | 14

Appendix

Table Summaries
Metro Washington Office
Market Summary
15
Employment Data
15
Office Availability, Vacancy,
and Net Absorption
16

Metro Washington Office Market Summary: First Quarter 2016p


Total
Inventory

Total Space
Vacant

Vacancy
Rate

Q1 2016
Absorption

YTD
Absorption

Washington, DC

109,130,610

12,868,353

11.8%

4,297

4,297

Northern Virginia

130,440,659

27,946,515

21.4%

(479,132)

(479,132)

Suburban Maryland

56,647,416

11,797,419

20.8%

141,012

141,012

Regional Totals

296,218,685

52,612,287

17.8%

(333,823)

(333,823)

Trailing 12-Month Data


17
Historical Year-End Data
18

Metro Washington Current Employment Data


Non Farm
Employment
(Jan-Mar 2015)

Non Farm
Employment
(Jan-Mar 2016p)

Jobs Added/
Lost*

Percent Change

Washington, DC

764,500

774,667

10,167

1.3%

Northern Virginia

1,388,133

1,424,433

36,300

2.6%

968,200

990,867

22,667

2.3%

3,144,900

3,217,900

73,000

2.3%

Market Statistics by Class


19-20
Survey of New Office Space
by Submarket
21-24
Methodology & Definitions
25

Suburban Maryland
Regional Totals

SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Not seasonally adjusted)


* Average per year to date
p - preliminary

cushmanwakefield.com | 15

3,899,865
11,053,908

965,549
15,229,791

7,095,248
10,945,402
32,211,020
21,265,618
7,991,666
6,058,050
2,761,709
16,811,425
49,022,445
1,369,626
6,608,194
9,509,467
22,573,953
24,290,837
8,675,922
3,268,420
76,296,419
16,117,661
5,121,795
81,418,214
130,440,659

Ballston

Crystal City/Pentagon City

Arlington County

RB Corridor

Old Town

I-395 Corridor

Huntingon/Eisenhower

City of Alexandria

Inside the Beltway

Annandale/Baileys

Merrifield/Route 50

Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna

Tysons Corner

Reston/Herndon

Rt 28 S/Chantilly

Springfield

Fairfax County

50-66 Corridor

Loudoun County

Outside the Beltway

Northern Virginia

1,662,816

1,190,996

42,339

147,135

1,148,657

37,159

182,234

470,577

298,968

67,475

79,660

12,584

471,820

245,126

8,945

162,949

73,232

148,006

226,694

78,688

54,101

49,401

44,504

Sublet Space
Available

27,946,515

16,420,787

1,007,888

3,209,720

15,412,899

1,084,518

2,172,947

4,147,312

4,366,779

2,058,741

1,150,979

431,623

11,525,728

4,144,991

1,142,236

2,271,553

731,202

4,953,074

7,380,737

2,427,663

1,499,281

1,026,165

2,427,628

Total Space
Available

21.4%

20.2%

19.7%

19.9%

20.2%

33.2%

25.0%

17.1%

19.3%

21.6%

17.4%

31.5%

23.5%

24.7%

41.4%

37.5%

9.1%

23.3%

22.9%

22.2%

21.1%

18.6%

28.1%

Vacancy
Rate

(296,520)

(271,827)

49,604

(193,145)

(321,431)

(15,188)

25,932

(24,092)

(96,393)

(353,792)

160,647

(18,545)

(24,693)

36,978

14,179

6,433

16,366

9,402

(61,671)

(71,073)

(230,464)

144,452

95,414

New/Relet
Absorption

(182,612)

(187,583)

(16,406)

(27,534)

(171,177)

78,533

(49,105)

(171,796)

(1,275)

(52,346)

24,812

4,971

(1,467)

3,534

7,953

(12,954)

29,099

6,438

(22,661)

20,623

27,696

(19,220)

Sublet
Absorption

(479,132)

(459,410)

P - Preliminary

33,198

(220,679)

(492,608)

63,345

(23,173)

(195,888)

(97,668)

(406,138)

185,459

(18,545)

(19,722)

35,511

17,713

14,386

3,412

38,501

(55,233)

(93,734)

(209,841)

172,148

76,194

Total Net
Absorption

1 The Rosslyn/Ballston (R/B) corridor is comprised of Rosslyn, Clarendon/Courthouse, Virginia Square, and Ballston submarkets.

2 Inside the Beltway is comprised of Arlington County and Alexandria/Outside the Beltway is comprised of Fairfax and Loudoun Counties

3 The 50/66 corridor is comprised of Merrifield, Vienna, Oakton, Fairfax Center, and Fairfax City submarkets.

****New Space Available and New Space Absorption based on buildings delivered 2005 to present

26,283,699

3,062,585

14,264,242

1,047,359

1,990,713

3,676,735

4,067,811

1,991,266

1,071,319

419,039

1,133,291

2,108,604

657,970

4,805,068

7,154,043

2,348,975

1,445,180

976,764

5,531,747

Courthouse/
Clarendon/Virginia Square

2,383,124

8,638,623

New/Relet Space
Available

Rosslyn

Total Inventory

Office Availability, Vacancy, and Net Absorption, First Quarter 2016p

Appendix

Cushman & Wakefield | 16

8,613,043

8,613,043

5,531,747

7,076,618

10,945,402

32,166,810

21,221,408

8,191,666

6,058,050

2,742,707

16,992,423

49,159,233

1,358,705

6,608,194

9,505,603

23,240,699

24,690,837

9,242,182

3,268,420

77,914,640

16,113,797

5,121,795

83,036,435

132,195,668

Rosslyn

Courthouse/
Clarendon/
Virginia Square

Ballston

Crystal City/
Pentagon City

Arlington County

RB Corridor

Old Town

I-395 Corridor

Huntington/
Eisenhower

City of Alexandria

Inside the Beltway

Annandale/Baileys

Merrifield/Route 50

Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna

Tysons Corner

Reston/Herndon

Rt 28 S/Chantilly

Springfield

Fairfax County

50-66 Corridor

Loudoun County

Outside the Beltway

Northern Virginia

132,195,668

83,036,435

5,121,795

16,113,797

77,914,640

3,268,420

9,242,182

24,690,837

23,240,699

9,505,603

6,608,194

1,358,705

49,159,233

16,992,423

2,742,707

6,058,050

8,191,666

21,221,408

32,166,810

10,945,402

7,076,618

5,531,747

8,613,043

4th Qtr
2015

130,440,659

81,418,214

5,121,795

16,117,661

76,296,419

3,268,420

8,675,922

24,290,837

22,573,953

9,509,467

6,608,194

1,369,626

49,022,445

16,811,425

2,761,709

6,058,050

7,991,666

21,265,618

32,211,020

10,945,402

7,095,248

5,531,747

8,638,623

1st Qtr
2016

21.2%

20.0%

21.8%

17.9%

19.9%

39.5%

26.1%

16.8%

18.9%

18.1%

17.5%

26.1%

23.4%

23.5%

42.1%

33.4%

10.0%

24.4%

23.3%

21.1%

19.4%

22.0%

30.0%

2nd Qtr
2015

21.1%

19.9%

20.7%

18.6%

19.8%

38.5%

24.8%

15.9%

19.8%

17.7%

19.8%

26.5%

23.2%

24.2%

42.1%

35.6%

9.9%

23.7%

22.7%

20.6%

19.5%

20.0%

29.6%

3rd Qtr
2015

21.2%

19.7%

20.3%

18.5%

19.7%

35.1%

24.8%

16.4%

19.1%

17.4%

20.2%

30.4%

23.6%

25.0%

42.3%

37.3%

10.2%

23.7%

22.9%

21.3%

18.9%

21.7%

29.1%

4th Qtr
2015

Office Vacancy Rate

21.4%

20.2%

19.7%

19.9%

20.2%

33.2%

25.0%

17.1%

19.3%

21.6%

17.4%

31.5%

23.5%

24.7%

41.4%

37.5%

9.1%

23.3%

22.9%

22.2%

21.1%

18.6%

28.1%

1st Qtr
2016

219,642

149,611

(2,269)

19,502

151,880

(57,580)

(169,395)

154,494

209,842

(48,140)

67,642

(4,983)

70,031

(56,707)

(233)

(1,724)

(54,750)

10,329

126,738

116,409

44,254

(74,522)

40,597

2nd Qtr
2015

231,507

163,040

55,177

(118,511)

107,863

32,026

121,167

206,727

(128,206)

34,637

(153,148)

(5,340)

68,467

(118,463)

887

(131,449)

12,099

129,861

186,930

57,069

(10,856)

107,963

32,754

3rd Qtr
2015

150,018

125,945

18,110

7,300

107,835

111,018

(8,266)

(109,727)

160,384

33,223

(25,923)

(52,874)

24,073

(132,450)

(4,877)

(99,645)

(27,928)

159

156,523

156,364

46,270

(89,724)

43,613

4th Qtr
2015

Total Office Absorption

1 The Rosslyn/Ballston (R/B) corridor is comprised of Rosslyn, Clarendon/Courthouse, Virginia Square, and Ballston submarkets.

2 Inside the Beltway is comprised of Arlington County and Alexandria/Outside the Beltway is comprised of Fairfax and Loudoun Counties.

3 The 50/66 corridor is comprised of Merrifield, Vienna, Oakton, Fairfax Center, and Fairfax City submarkets.

4 The I-395 and Springfield/Newington submarkets were updated in the second quarter of 2012 with additional inventory.

p- preliminary

132,195,668

83,036,435

5,121,795

16,113,797

77,914,640

3,268,420

9,242,182

24,690,837

23,240,699

9,505,603

6,608,194

1,358,705

49,159,233

16,992,423

2,742,707

6,058,050

8,191,666

21,221,408

32,166,810

10,945,402

7,076,618

5,531,747

3rd Qtr
2015

Total Office Inventory

2nd Qtr
2015

Trailing 12-Month Data

(479,132)

(459,410)

33,198

(220,679)

(492,608)

63,345

(23,173)

(195,888)

(97,668)

(406,138)

185,459

(18,545)

(19,722)

35,511

17,713

14,386

3,412

38,501

(55,233)

(93,734)

(209,841)

172,148

76,194

1st Qtr
2016

Appendix

cushmanwakefield.com | 17

23,240,699
24,690,837

1,358,705
6,746,835
9,505,603
23,638,285
24,690,837
9,092,182
3,268,420
78,300,867
16,252,438

Merrifield/Route 50

Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna

Tysons Corner

Reston/Herndon

Rt 28 S/Chantilly

Springfield

Fairfax County

50-66

132,781,417

Northern Virginia

130,440,659

81,418,214

5,121,795

16,117,661

76,296,419

3,268,420

8,675,922

24,290,837

22,573,953

9,509,467

6,608,194

1,369,626

49,022,445

16,811,425

2,761,709

6,058,050

7,991,666

21,265,618

32,211,020

10,945,402

7,095,248

5,531,747

8,638,623

Q1 2016

21.1%

18.8%

21.0%

18.0%

18.7%

38.1%

22.4%

15.7%

20.1%

17.1%

19.3%

23.2%

23.9%

24.1%

41.6%

35.9%

9.2%

23.8%

23.7%

23.7%

20.9%

16.5%

30.6%

2014

21.2%

19.7%

20.3%

18.5%

19.7%

35.1%

24.8%

16.4%

19.1%

17.4%

20.2%

30.4%

23.6%

25.0%

42.3%

37.3%

10.2%

23.7%

22.9%

21.3%

18.9%

21.7%

29.1%

2015

21.4%

20.2%

19.7%

19.9%

20.2%

33.2%

25.0%

17.1%

19.3%

21.6%

17.4%

31.5%

23.5%

24.7%

41.4%

37.5%

9.1%

23.3%

22.9%

22.2%

21.1%

18.6%

28.1%

Q1 2016

Vacancy Rate (%)

(905,638)

(615,383)

88,059

15,030

(703,442)

(151,859)

(378,965)

64,288

(274,063)

(86,554)

101,584

22,127

(290,255)

65,115

61,173

(85,665)

89,607

(492,443)

(355,370)

137,073

(308,316)

194,219

(378,346)

2014

551,239

327,546

74,754

(100,526)

252,792

73,408

41,794

268,104

67,379

5,921

(106,447)

(97,367)

223,693

(327,466)

(17,885)

(227,461)

(82,120)

204,931

551,159

346,228

127,316

(81,594)

159,209

2015

(479,132)

(459,410)

33,198

(220,679)

(492,608)

63,345

(23,173)

(195,888)

(97,668)

(406,138)

185,459

(18,545)

(19,722)

35,511

17,713

14,386

3,412

38,501

(55,233)

(93,734)

(209,841)

172,148

76,194

Q1 2016

Total Annual Absorption

1 Inside the Beltway is comprised of Arlington County and Alexandria/Outside the Beltway is comprised of Fairfax and Loudoun Counties

2 The Rosslyn/Ballston (R/B) corridor is comprised of Rosslyn, Clarendon/Courthouse, Virginia Square, and Ballston submarkets.

3 The 50/66 corridor is comprised of Merrifield, Vienna, Oakton, Fairfax Center, and Fairfax City submarkets.

4 The I-395 and Springfield/Newington submarkets were updated in the second quarter of 2012 with additional inventory.

132,195,668

5,121,795
83,036,435

5,072,696
83,373,563

Loudoun County

Outside the Beltway

16,113,797

77,914,640

3,268,420

9,242,182

9,505,603

6,608,194

1,358,705

49,159,233

49,407,854

Inside the Beltway

Annandale/Baileys

2,742,707
16,992,423

6,058,050

2,742,707

6,293,050

I-395 Corridor

8,191,666

21,221,408

17,227,423

8,191,666

Old Town

City of Alexandria

21,048,500

RB Corridor

32,166,810

10,945,402

7,076,618

Huntingon/Eisenhower

11,131,931
32,180,431

6,820,962

Ballston

Arlington County

5,531,747

Crystal City/Pentagon City

8,613,043

8,695,791

Rosslyn

Courthouse/Clarendon/
Virginia Square
5,531,747

2015

Total Inventory
2014

Historical Year-End Data

Appendix

Cushman & Wakefield | 18

Market Statistics
Northern Virginia 1st Quarter 2016 Market Statistics

Buildings

Total
Inventory
(SF)

New/Relet
Vacancy
(%)

Sublet
Vacancy
(%)

Total
Vacancy*
(%)

Net
Absorption
Current QTR
(SF)

Under
Construction
(SF)

Average
Asking Rent
(FS)

47

8,193,196

19.0%

2.7%

21.7%

4,634

720,000

$37.96

64

6,746,020

31.9%

0.2%

32.1%

46,783

$30.01

27

1,872,209

10.2%

0.5%

10.7%

(15,906)

$24.70

TOTAL

138

16,811,425

23.2%

1.5%

24.7%

35,511

720,000

$31.98

49

12,757,247

20.7%

0.6%

21.3%

115,975

687,767

$44.04

35

6,227,522

23.1%

0.7%

23.8%

(31,660)

$40.40

19

2,280,849

31.7%

0.9%

32.6%

(45,814)

$32.86

TOTAL

103

21,265,618

22.6%

0.7%

23.3%

38,501

Alexandria
Class

RB Corridor
Class

687,767

$40.79

Crystal City/Pentagon City


Class
A

25

7,794,322

21.9%

1.0%

22.9%

(80,428)

$38.70

14

3,151,080

20.4%

0.1%

20.5%

(13,306)

$35.58

39

10,945,402

21.5%

0.7%

22.2%

(93,734)

$37.69

51

12,650,480

17.3%

1.6%

18.9%

110,776

1,790,809

$36.57

61

7,745,285

20.6%

1.1%

21.7%

(202,879)

$29.20

30

2,178,188

12.9%

0.6%

13.5%

(5,565)

$25.45

TOTAL

142

22,573,953

18.0%

1.3%

19.3%

(97,668)

1,790,809

$31.65

106

17,967,174

14.6%

2.0%

16.6%

(226,408)

354,913

$30.02

64

5,649,260

15.8%

2.0%

17.8%

19,775

$25.30

15

674,403

24.2%

0.0%

24.2%

10,745

$21.09

TOTAL

185

24,290,837

15.1%

1.9%

17.0%

(195,888)

TOTAL
Tysons Corner
Class

Reston/Herndon
Class

354,913

$28.15

* Vacancy Current - the vacancy rate is calculated using the combined total of vacant direct, sublease and new space.

cushmanwakefield.com | 19

Market Statistics
Northern Virginia 1st Quarter 2016 Market Statistics
Buildings

Total
Inventory
(SF)

New/Relet
Vacancy
(%)

Sublet
Vacancy
(%)

Total
Vacancy*
(%)

Net
Absorption
Current QTR
(SF)

Under
Construction
(SF)

Average
Asking Rent
(FS)

Merriield/Route 50
Class
A

20

3,616,798

19.8%

1.8%

21.6%

169,040

$30.91

15

1,566,456

16.6%

1.0%

17.6%

(420)

$27.05

20

1,424,940

6.8%

6.8%

16,839

$22.39

TOTAL

55

6,608,194

16.2%

1.2%

17.4%

185,459

$29.50

Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna
Class
A

25

4,365,706

17.9%

0.1%

18.0%

(10,010)

$27.91

47

4,410,647

23.3%

1.4%

24.7%

(400,483)

$25.05

12

733,114

24.8%

0.0%

24.8%

4,355

$23.52

TOTAL

84

9,509,467

20.9%

0.7%

21.6%

(406,138)

49

6,127,730

23.3%

0.9%

24.2%

(41,406)

$27.17

27

2,548,192

22.1%

5.1%

27.2%

18,233

$23.29

76

8,675,922

22.9%

2.1%

25.0%

(23,173)

$25.54

$25.32

Route 28 South
Class

TOTAL

Loudoun County
Class
A

40

3,658,941

16.1%

0.9%

17.0%

41,856

18

1,462,854

25.6%

0.7%

26.3%

(8,658)

64,800

$21.65

58

5,121,795

18.9%

0.8%

19.7%

33,198

64,800

$24.74

TOTAL

$26.13

Northern Virginia
Class
A

427

79,443,819

18.9%

1.4%

20.3%

140,929

3,553,489

$34.69

352

40,118,363

22.7%

1.2%

23.9%

(585,597)

64,800

$30.27

144

10,878,477

19.7%

0.4%

20.1%

(34,464)

TOTAL

923

130,440,659

20.1%

1.3%

21.4%

(479,132)

$26.69
3,618,289

$32.14

* Vacancy Current - the vacancy rate is calculated using the combined total of vacant direct, sublease and new space.
Cushman & Wakefield | 20

cushmanwakefield.com | 21

Marymount University

1000 North Glebe Road

The JBG Companies

1201 Wilson Boulevard

Oaklawn Development Partners

309 Kellys Ford Plaza SE

Operating Expense and Real Estate Tax Base

FS = Full Service NN = Plus Electric & Char


N = Plus Electric NT = Plus Taxes
NNN = Net of all Operating Expenses and Taxes

Status

N/A

U/C = Under Construction


U/R = Under Renovation

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Leesburg
RENTAL RATE

N/A

USAA Real Estate Company/Lowe


Enterprises

2401 Eisenhower Avenue

Total

RENTAL RATE

OWNER/DEVELOPER

$55.00-$65.00 FS

RENTAL RATE

N/A

RENTAL RATE

BUILDING ADDRESS

Eisenhower Avenue

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Rosslyn

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Ballston

4Q16

DELIVERY
DATE

1Q17

DELIVERY
DATE

1Q18

DELIVERY
DATE

3Q17

DELIVERY
DATE

N/A = No Space Available

U/C

STATUS

U/C

STATUS

U/C

STATUS

U/C

STATUS

0
-

64,800

AVAILABLE
SPACE

AVAILABLE
SPACE

195,700

195,700

AVAILABLE
SPACE

56,631

56,631

AVAILABLE
SPACE

64,800

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

720,000

720,000

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

552,781

552,781

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

166,767

166,767

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

Northern Virginia Survey of Office Space Under Construction/Under Renovation

100%

100%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

100%

100%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

65%

65%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

66%

66%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

EIT, LLC

MAJOR TENANTS

The National Science Foundation

MAJOR TENANTS

Corporate Executive Board

MAJOR TENANTS

Marymount University

MAJOR TENANTS

Cushman & Wakefield | 22

Capital One

MITRE

Capital One Tower

Colshire Drive / MITRE IV

Comstock Partners

1900 Reston Metro Plaza

First Potomac Realty Trust

22318 Glenn Drive

4Q16

DELIVERY
DATE

2Q17

DELIVERY
DATE

2Q16

3Q18

DELIVERY
DATE

U/R = Under Renovation

NNN = Net of all Operating Expenses and Taxes

= Plus Electric NT = Plus Taxes

= Full Service NN = Plus Electric & Char

Operating Expense and Real Estate Tax Base

FS

Status

U/C = Under Construction

0
899,560

3,618,289

607,244

292,316

AVAILABLE
SPACE

15,000

15,000

AVAILABLE
SPACE

354,913

354,913

975,000

2018 DELIVERIES

2019 DELIVERIES
TOTAL CURRENTLY UNDER CONSTRUCTION/RENOVATION

880,609

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

182,000

182,000

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

354,913

354,913

AVAILABLE
SPACE

340,000

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

AVAILABLE
SPACE

340,000

975,000

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

1,762,680

N/A = No Space Available

U/C

STATUS

U/C

STATUS

U/C

U/C

STATUS

2017 DELIVERIES

N/A

RENTAL RATE

N/A

RENTAL RATE

N/A

N/A

RENTAL RATE

2016 DELIVERIES

Northern Virginia
Summary

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Route 28 North

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Reston

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Tysons Corner

Northern Virginia Survey of Office Space Under Construction/Under Renovation

75%

0%

100%

66%

67%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

92%

92%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

0%

0%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

0%

100%

100%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

N/A

MAJOR TENANTS

N/A

MAJOR TENANTS

MITRE

Capital One

MAJOR TENANTS

cushmanwakefield.com | 23

Merritt Properties, LLC

LGV Group

Comstock Holding Companies, Inc

Corporate Office Properties Trust

20193 Ashbrook Pl

22365 Broderick Dr

43777 Central Station Dr

4870 Stonecroft Blvd

Pentagon Federal Credit Union

KBS Realty Advisors

Macerich

7940 Jones Branch Dr

3001-3003 Washington Blvd

7900 Tysons One Pl

N/A = No Space Available

= Plus Electric NT = Plus Taxes

NNN = Net of all Operating Expenses and Taxes

*Vacancy rate for new space- does not include relet or sublet space available

= Full Service NN = Plus Electric & Char

1,130,554

528,290

306,007

Clarendon/Courthouse/VA
Square
Tysons

296,257

126,170

60,244

65,926

NEW SPACE
AVAILABLE

45,735

326,442

RENTABLE
BUILDING
AREA

159,300

32,690

13,045

35,368

99,099

NEW SPACE
AVAILABLE

32,675

RENTABLE
BUILDING
AREA

Tysons

SUBMARKET

Route 28 South

Loudoun

Loudoun

Loudoun

SUBMARKET

FS

$55.00-$65.00

Withheld

Delivered 1Q14

Delivered 2Q14

N/A

RENTAL RATE

N/A

$28.50

$22.75

N/A

RENTAL RATE

Delivered 4Q14

STATUS

Delivered 3Q15

Delivered 1Q15

Delivered 1Q15

Delivered 1Q15

STATUS

Operating Expense and Real Estate Tax Base

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

2014 Deliveries

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

2015 Deliveries

Northern Virginia Survey of New Office Space

11%

11%

22%

0%

VACANCY RATE (AS


OF CURRENT
QUARTER)*

14%

0%

33%

37%

0%

VACANCY RATE (AS


OF CURRENT
QUARTER)*

47%

44%

48%

53%

PERCENT LEASED
UPON DELIVERY

77%

100%

50%

26%

100%

PERCENT LEASED
UPON DELIVERY

Cushman & Wakefield | 24

Monday Properties

Lowe Enterprises

Monument Enterprises

Rubenstein Partners, LP

Halle Enterprises

Beulah Street LLC II

Zumot Real Estate Management

Duke Realty

1812 North Moore Street

1400 Crystal Drive

901 South Clark Street

7951-7961 Loisdale Road

5680 King Center Drive

6400 Beulah Street Office II

14399 Penrose Place

4801 Stonecroft Boulevard

Clark Enterprises/Fred Schnider Investment


Delivered 1Q12
Group/The Shooshan Company

The JBG Companies

Edens, Inc.

ING Clarion Partners, LLC

COPT, Inc.

675 North Randolph Street

800 North Glebe Road

2910 District Avenue

6361 Walker Lane

7770 Backlick Road

= Plus Electric NT = Plus Taxes

NNN = Net of all Operating Expenses and Taxes

*Vacancy rate for new space- does not include relet or sublet space available
N/A = No Space Available

Springfield/Newington

Springfield/Newington

Merrifield

Ballston

= Full Service NN = Plus Electric & Char

N/A

$41.00-$43.50 FS

N/A

$49.00-$52.00 FS

Ballston

Rosslyn

SUBMARKET

Route 28 South

Route 28 South

Springfield/Newington

Springfield/Newington

Springfield/Newington

Pentagon City

Crystal City

Rosslyn

SUBMARKET

Operating Expense and Real Estate Tax Base

Delivered 4Q12

Delivered 1Q12

Delivered 2Q12

Delivered 1Q12

N/A

$46.00-$47.00 FS

RENTAL RATE

N/A

$29.50 FS

$32.00 FS

$34.50-$37.50

Withheld

N/A

$44.00-$52.00 FS

$50.00-$65.00 FS

RENTAL RATE

FS

Total

Skanska

1776 Wilson Boulevard

Delivered 4Q12

OWNER/DEVELOPER

STATUS

Delivered 2Q13

Delivered 2Q13

Delivered 3Q13

Delivered 3Q13

Delivered 3Q13

Delivered 4Q13

Delivered 3Q13

Delivered 4Q13

STATUS

BUILDING ADDRESS

2012 Deliveries

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

2013 Deliveries

Northern Virginia Survey of New Office Space

1,452,697

240,565

330,582

78,499

311,776

352,740

138,535

RENTABLE
BUILDING
AREA

1,922,260

254,578

104,000

35,000

110,047

242,272

332,084

308,898

535,381

RENTABLE
BUILDING
AREA

368,077

116,670

166,150

73,817

11,440

NEW SPACE
AVAILABLE

1,086,850

26,952

2,353

70,447

221,316

230,401

535,381

NEW SPACE
AVAILABLE

25%

48%

50%

0%

24%

0%

8%

VACANCY RATE (AS


OF CURRENT
QUARTER)*

57%

0%

26%

23%

64%

100%

0%

75%

100%

VACANCY RATE (AS


OF CURRENT
QUARTER)*

75%

43%

27%

7%

32%

100%

82%

PERCENT LEASED
UPON DELIVERY

33%

100%

25%

67%

0%

0%

100%

0%

0%

PERCENT LEASED
UPON DELIVERY

Methodology & Definitions


Methodology

Explanation of Terms

Market statistics are calculated


from a base building inventory
made up of office properties
deemed to be competitive in the
typical Washington, DC office
market. Single-tenant buildings and
privately-owned buildings in which
the federal government leases space
are included.
Generally, owneroccupied
and
federally-owned
buildings are not included. Older
buildings unfit for occupancy or ones
that require substantial renovation
before
tenancy
are
generally
not included in the competitive
inventory. Vacant space is defined
as space that is physically vacant and
available immediately. Sublet space
still occupied by the tenant is not
counted as vacant space.

Total Inventory: The total amount


of office space (in buildings greater
than 10,000 square feet) that can be
rented by a Fourth party.
New Space Vacant: First generation,
never-occupied office space in
newly constructed or substantially
renovated buildings, being actively
marketed by a landlord.
Relet
Space
Vacant:
Secondgeneration,
unoccupied
office
space being actively marketed by a
landlord. (Space that is marketed but
largely occupied is not counted as
vacant space.)
Sublet Space Vacant: Secondgeneration, unoccupied space being
actively marketed by a tenant.
(Sublet space that is marketed but
still occupied is not counted as
vacant space.)
Total Space Vacant: The sum of
new, relet, and sublet space that
is unoccupied and being actively
marketed.
Vacancy Rate: The amount of
unoccupied space (new, relet, and
sublet) expressed as a percentage of
total inventory. (Total Space Vacant
divided by Total Inventory.)

Total Space Available: The total


amount of space, both vacant and
occupied, being actively marketed
for lease by a tenant or landlord.
(This includes space that is currently
occupied but marketed for future
availability.)
Availability Rate: The total amount
of space being actively marketed for
lease (both vacant and occupied)
expressed as a percentage of total
inventory. (Total Space Available
divided by Total Inventory.)
Absorption: The net change in
occupied space between two points
in time. (Total occupied space in the
previous quarter minus total occupied
space in the current quarter, quoted
on a net, not gross, basis.)
New/Relet/Sublet Absorption: The
net change in occupied new, relet,
and sublet space between two
quarters.
Total Absorption: The net change
in total occupied (new, relet, and
sublet) space between two quarters.
New Leasing Activity: The sum of
all square footage underlying any
leases between two quarters. This
includes pre-leasing activity as well
as expansion. It does not include
renewals.

Disclaimer
This report and other research materials may be found on our website at www.cushmanwakefield.com. This is a research
document of Cushman & Wakefield in Washington, DC. Questions related to information herein should be directed to the
Research Department at +1 202 463 2100. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable and
no representation is made as to the accuracy thereof.
About Cushman & Wakefield
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live. Our 43,000 employees in more than 60 countries help investors and occupiers optimize the value of their real estate by
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visit www.cushmanwakefield.com or follow @CushWake on Twitter.

cushmanwakefield.com | 25

Visit cushmanwakefield.com for more information on the full range of


Cushman & Wakefield commercial real estate services or contact:
Nathan Edwards
Regional Director
2101 L Street, NW, Suite 700
Washington, DC 20037
+1 202 463 2100
Joseph Wood
Research Analyst
2101 L Street, NW, Suite 700
Washington, DC 20037
+1 202 463 2100
Sam Prendergast
Research Analyst
2101 L Street, NW, Suite 700
Washington, DC 20037
+1 202 463 2100

About Cushman & Wakefield


Cushman & Wakefield is a leading global real estate services firm that helps clients
transform the way people work, shop, and live. Our 43,000 employees in more than
60 countries help investors and occupiers optimize the value of their real estate by
combining our global perspective and deep local knowledge with an impressive
platform of real estate solutions. Cushman & Wakefield is among the largest
commercial real estate services firms with revenue of $5 billion across core services
of agency leasing, asset services, capital markets, facility services (C&W Services),
global occupier services, investment & asset management (DTZ Investors), project &
development services, tenant representation, and valuation & advisory. To learn more,
visit www.cushmanwakefield.com or follow @CushWake on Twitter.

Publication date: 6.1.16


Copyright 2016 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved.

Core Services
Capital Markets
- Debt Placement
- Investment Sales
- Note Sales
- Structured Finance
Corporate Services
- Facilities Management
- Portfolio Administration
- Project Management
- Strategic Consulting
- Transaction Management
Project Leasing
Project and Development
Services
Property Management
Tenant Representation
Practices and Specialties
Auction Services
Distressed Assets
Financial Advisory
Food and Beverage
Golf and Resort Properties
Government Contracting
Government Services
Healthcare
Higher Education
Hospitality
Law Firm
Life Sciences
Location Advisory and Incentives
Mission Critical
Net Lease
Not-for-profit
Private Client
Supply Chain
Sustainability Services
Real Estate Types
Industrial
Land
Multi-family
Office
Retail

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