Sie sind auf Seite 1von 13

Single Integrated Operational Plan

The Single Integrated Operational Plan (SIOP) was the United States' general plan for nuclear
war from 1961 to 2003. The SIOP gave the President of the United States a range of targeting
options, and described launch procedures and target sets against whichnuclear weapons would
be launched.[1] The plan integrated the capabilities of the nuclear triad of strategic bombers, landbased intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM), and sea-based submarine-launched ballistic
missiles (SLBM). The SIOP was a highly classifieddocument, and was one of the most secret
and sensitive issues in U.S. national security policy.[2]

Montage of submerged submarine launch to the reentry of the multiple independently targetable reentry
vehicles of a Trident missile

The first SIOP, titled SIOP-62, was finished on 14 December 1960 and implemented on 1 July
1961 (the start of fiscal year 1962).[3] The SIOP was updated annually until February 2003, when
it was replaced by Operations Plan (OPLAN) 8044.[4] Since December 2008, the US nuclear war
plan has been OPLAN 8010, Strategic Deterrence and Global Strike.[5]
Contents
[hide]

1Planning process

2History
2.1Early targeting after the Second World War

2.1.1Truman

2.1.2Eisenhower

2.1.2.1Prevention versus preemption

2.2Presidential involvement and start of civilian policy direction

2.3The first SIOP

2.3.1SIOP-63

2.4Counterforce migrates to deterrence and warfighting

2.5Return to counterforce, with strategic defense

2.6Renaming and refocusing

3Executing the SIOP

4United Kingdom participation

5SIOP in fiction

6See also

7Notes

8References

9External links

Planning process[edit]
While much of the United States' nuclear war planning process remains classified, some
information on the former SIOP planning process has been made public. The planning process
began with the President issuing a presidential directive establishing the concepts, goal, and
guidelines that provided guidance to the nuclear planners.[6] The Secretary of Defense then used
the President's guidance to produce the Nuclear Weapons Employment Policy (NUWEP) that
specified basic planning assumptions, attack options, targeting objectives, types of targets,
targeting constraints, and coordination with combatant commanders. The NUWEP was then
used by the Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS) to create the "Joint Strategic Capabilities Plan (JSCP),
Annex C (Nuclear)." This document established a more detailed and elaborate set of goals and
conditions that included targeting and damage criteria for the use of nuclear weapons. The final
stage in the planning process occurred when the Strategic Air Command (SAC) (from 1961 to
1992) or theUnited States Strategic Command (USSTRATCOM) (from 1992 to 2003) took the
guidance from the JSCP and created the actual nuclear war plan that becomes the SIOP.
Detailed planning was carried out by the Joint Strategic Target Planning Staff (JSTPS) co-located
with SAC Headquarters in Omaha, Nebraska. [7]
As part of SIOP planning, Strategic Air Command (SAC, later USSTRATCOM) developed a set
of plans and a series of options based on a target set known as the National Target Base (NTB).
The number of targets in the NTB varied over time, from 16,000 in 1985 to 12,500 at the end of
the Cold War in 1992, to 2,500 by 2001.[8] The SIOP was primarily directed against targets in
the Soviet Union (later Russia) but targets in the People's Republic of China, which had been
part of the SIOP until the 1970s, were added back into the plan in 1997. [9] In 1999, the NTB
reportedly included targets in Russia, China, North Korea, Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Libya.[10]

History[edit]
SIOP, and its renamed successors, is most importantly an "integrated" plan that uses both Air
Force and Navy delivery systems; it is "single" only in the sense that it comes out of one planning
group. The "plan" actually contains multiple "attack options" that are themselves complex plans.

Early targeting after the Second World War[edit]


Truman[edit]
Main articles: Berlin Blockade and Korean War
There is no evidence that the Soviet Union's contingency plans from the end of World War II to
1950 were anything but routine and defensive, and the substantial postwar demobilization of the
Soviet military supports the view that the USSR did not view a new war in Europe as likely.
Although Soviet doctrine believed in the innate hostility of the capitalist powers to Communism,

Soviet leader Josef Stalin apparently believed that neither the USSR nor the West could afford to
fight another world war, and was skeptical of the Western ability to raise an army large enough to
occupy Soviet territory. Soviet planning thus emphasized defenses against nuclear bombing, and
attacks on Western European bomber bases. Plans in 1946 and 1948 assumed that during war
with an unspecified enemy, Soviet forces in Germany would assume defensive positions within
the Soviet occupation zone and wait for reinforcements before counterattacking.[11]
Soviet conventional forces greatly outnumbered the West's, however, and United States strategic
nuclear strike plans were developed accordingly. While the United States was the only nation
with the atomic bomb, in 1946 it had only 17 Silverplate B-29 bombers and 11 atomic bombs.
Many early American war plans were based on using hundreds of nonexisting weapons; for
example, an autumn 1945 plan envisioned using 196 atomic bombs on Soviet industrial targets,
but SAC could not deliver such quantities until 1952. [12]The bombs were of the Mark 3 type,
weighing five tons and requiring 39 men two days to assemble.[13] The press reported that
"atomic-capable" B-29s were deployed to Britain in mid-1948 during the Berlin Blockade, by
which time the US possessed about 50 atomic weapons. The Soviets likely knew through
espionage, however, that none of the aircraft was a Silverplate; rather, they would have been
used as part of plan DOUBLEQUICK, involving World War II-like sustained conventional bombing
raids on Soviet air bases in Eastern Europe.[12] Other than increasing its anti-aircraft defenses,
the Soviets did not change its military preparations in any way during the blockade, unlike the
reaction in the West. Although the Soviets launched an intensive public relations effort in 1949,
aided by sympathetic Western European fellow travelers, to oppose the formation of NATO, the
new alliance's military strength was so weak that the Politburo did not bother to discuss it for six
months after its formation.[11]
Strategic bombing during World War II of key transportation and energy sites was more effective
than attacking cities, and early postwar non-nuclear war plans envisioned focusing on the Soviet
petroleum industry. US war planners lacked updated maps of the USSR, however, and had to
use pre-World War II mapssome older than the Russian Revolutionor perhaps German
aerial photos from the war. Due in part to the lack of updated intelligence, nuclear planning
increasingly focused on urban areas, which were easier to target and offered the potential for
"bonus damage".[13][14]:8990,92 The early Plan Totality targeted 20 cities with the 30 nuclear bombs
then available.[15] Plan BROILER (November 1947) envisioned 34 bombs on 24 Soviet cities. [13] It
and later plans such as HALFMOON (May 1948; 50 bombs on 20 cities) and OFFTACKLE
(December 1949; 104 urban targets, 220 bombs, 72 more reserved for follow-up attacks)
envisioned Western forces in Europe slowly retreating while the United Kingdom was reinforced
as an air base for atomic attacks on the Soviet Union.[12][13] President Harry S. Truman hoped for
an international ban on atomic weapons and believed that the American people would not
support their use for "aggressive purposes", and ordered JCS to devise a plan for conventional
war; however, Secretary of Defense James Forrestal in July 1948 ordered it to stop and resume
atomic war planning due to the Berlin crisis.[13]
Officials were pessimistic about the effectiveness of the atomic plans, however. Britain's 1948
SPEEDWAY plan assumed that the Soviets would not have atomic weapons, but nonetheless
forecast that the West could not "withstand a Russian advance in Western Europe, even with the
full defence co-operation of the Western Powers", including 560 American and British atomiccapable bombers.[14]:400402 The American TROJAN (December 1948) envisioned 133 bombs
(although only 50 existed) hitting 70 cities. A committee led by General Hubert R.
Harmon reported in May 1949 that even if all precisely hit their targets, the USSR would not
surrender, its leadership would not be seriously weakened, and its military could still operate in
Western Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. The attacks would reduce Soviet industrial capacity
by 30 to 40%, but only temporarily without follow-up attacks.[13][14]:92[11] The Harmon report had three
immediate results: 1) It supported those within the United States Navy and elsewhere who
criticized the centrality of atomic bombs and mass attacks on cities in American war planning. 2)
It led to a substantial rise in nuclear-weapons production. 3) It caused the Joint Chiefs of Staff to,
in fall 1949, assign SAC with the duty of slowing a Soviet invasion of Western Europe as part of
NATO.[13] Erroneous US and British intelligence reports led to exaggerated NATO estimates of
Soviet conventional forces. One 1951 estimate foresaw 175 combat divisions allegedly prepared
to simultaneously attack Western Europe, the United Kingdom, the Balkans, the Middle East, and

North America.[11] The perceived imbalance in forces was so great that American planners feared
that even Britain would have to be abandoned during the invasion, a possibility they did not
discuss with their British counterparts.[12]
Stalin did consider the possibility of war in Asia, as opposed to Europe. In January 1950, he
approved Kim Il Sung's proposal to conquer South Korea in what became the Korean War that
summer, believing that victory there would discredit NATO. The gambit backfired, however;
despite their initial optimism the Communists were unable to defeat the US-led forces in Korea,
and the war greatly increased Western military spending, for the first time making NATO a
significant threat against the Soviets in Europe. By late 1950, the USSR notified its Eastern
European satellites to prepare for war by the end of 1952, a date matching Western estimates. In
early 1951, based on an alleged NATO plan to launch a European war that year from Western
proxy Yugoslavia as a response to its defeat in Korea, he ordered a massive increase in Eastern
European forces that hurt the weaker Communist economies. Based on the Korean precedent,
the Soviets apparently expected that the West would not use atomic weapons in a European war.
During Stalin's lifetime, Soviet doctrine foresaw the next war as a more destructive version of
World War II similarly decided by giant armies supported by massive home fronts, a type of
conflict which benefited from the Soviet Union's innate strengths. [11]
The Soviet Union tested its first atomic weapon in 1949, but Stalin seems to have viewed
possessing it as a political rather than military benefit, and he did not integrate atomic weapons
into the Soviet military's equipment.[11] A 1951 Warsaw Pact war plan for Poland was, Vojtech
Mastny wrote, "unequivocally defensive" even while "NATO was haunted by the nightmare of
armed communist hordes sweeping all but unopposed through Europe". The Soviets assumed
that Western forces was ready to invade and that Eastern Europeans would see them as
liberators; as in the West, the Soviets overestimated their enemies' strength. [16]
By this time, Truman was pessimistic about international arms control and told his advisors
"Since we can't obtain international control we must be strongest in atomic weapons." He
approved the Harmon report's recommendation for increased weapons production, and approved
another increase soon after the start of the Korean War. JCS decided to emphasize "the
destruction of known targets affecting the Soviet capability to deliver atomic bombs", with
refineries, chemical and power plants, and shipyards as secondary and tertiary targets. The three
categories were codenamed BRAVO (blunting), ROMEO (retardation), and DELTA
(disruption/destruction) of the Soviet ability to fight, and formed the basis of American nuclear
targeting for almost a decade. When military theorist Bernard Brodie studied the resulting target
list, however, he strongly criticized the planners' ignorance of actual Soviet military capacity and
resulting failure to estimate what effect the attacks would have. Brodie later recalled that "There
was no calculated strategy for destroying Soviet capability to make war. The planners "simply
expected the Soviet Union 'to collapse' as a result of the bombing campaign.... People kept
talking about the 'Sunday punch'." He recommended that targets be chosen based on analysis of
the results of their destruction, and that "city-avoidance" strategies be studied. Brodie presented
his report in April 1951, but JCS found SAC head LeMay more persuasive. LeMay objected to
the list because of the difficulty of attacking isolated targets and the requirement for pre-attack
reconnaissance for many of them. He preferred attacking industrial targets in urban areas so that
even if a bomb missed, "a bonus will be derived from the use of the bomb". The target panel
agreed to have SAC review future target lists before sending them to JCS. [13]

Eisenhower[edit]
Main article: Massive retaliation
By the end of 1953, SAC would have 1,000 nuclear-capable bombers and was deploying the B47 jet bomber. In January 1953, Dwight D. Eisenhower inherited the Truman administration's
large defense budget. The new president believed such expenditures threatened the economy,
and cut $5 billion in defense spending that spring. Based on extensive experience with nuclear
strategy and targeting from his terms as Chief of Staff of the United States Army and NATO
Supreme Allied Commander, the Eisenhower administration's NSC 162/2 of October 1953 chose
a less expensive, defensive-oriented direction for the military that emphasized "massive
retaliation", still primarily delivered by USAF, to deter war.[17][13]

The document formalized efforts begun under Truman to deploy newly developed tactical nuclear
weapons small enough for most Air Force and Navy planes. The administration believed that
they would be useful both during a general war and to deter a local one in Europe, [13] and
Eisenhower said of tactical weapons that "on strictly military targets and for strictly military
purposes, I see no reason why they shouldn't be used just exactly as you would use a bullet or
anything else".[18]
The doctrine of massive retaliation meant that, for the first time, atomic weapons became the
basis of NATO strategy rather than an option of last resort. Similarly, the Soviet doctrine of nonatomic warfare began to change after Stalin's death in March 1953. In September that year a
general proposed in a military journal that new weaponry might end a war quickly unlike World
War II, and in October the Soviet Army held its first military exercise based on the enemy using
atomic weapons. In 1954 Soviet forces in Europe received their first tactical atomic weapons, by
which time Soviet officers publicly debated in the journal the merits of preemptive war.[11]

Prevention versus preemption[edit]


Main articles: Preventive war, Preemptive war and Pre-emptive nuclear strike
Many in the West also seriously discussed the idea of preventive and preemptive war. Truman
rejected preventive war, stating that "[s]tarting an atomic war is totally unthinkable for rational
men", but Attlee stated in 1945 that "twice is he armed who gets in the first blow". JCS proposed
in 1947 that the president be authorized to use atomic bombs to prevent a nuclear attack. NSC
68 of April 1950 opposed "a military attack not provoked by a military attack on us or on our
allies", but acknowledged "if possible" the benefits of preemptively "landing the first blow" before
the Soviet Union did so.[13][14]:9395 In August 1950 Secretary of the Navy Francis Matthews publicly
advocated a preventive war, but NSC 68 forecast that even after a massive preventive attack the
USSR would likely not surrender and its forces could still "dominate most or all of Eurasia." [19] A
committee led by retired general Jimmy Doolittle suggested in spring 1953 that the administration
study the possibility of giving the Soviets two years to cooperate, with the threat of possible war
otherwise, and an Air Force study in August warned of "The Coming National Crisis" due to
having to negotiate with a country run by "the whims of a small group of proven barbarians".
Eisenhower and Secretary of State John Foster Dulles discussed that month their fears that,
once the Soviets acquired fusion weapons, the resulting situation might force the United States
into either war or dictatorship. While the president and other civilian and military leaders doubted
the morality or legality of preventive war, preemptive war was much less problematic given that
NSC 5410/1 of March 1954 acknowledged that "the survival of the United States" was at risk.
The Central Intelligence Agency believed that it could warn of a surprise Soviet attack days or
even weeks ahead of time because of the necessary preparation time, and that up to 30 days
would be needed to deliver all Soviet weapons. The BRAVO-ROMEO-DELTA targeting strategy
continued, with tactical weapons to be used in Europe while SAC delivered strategic weapons to
the USSR.[13]
SAC obtained almost independent target selection by 1955. The Air Force often used target lists
to justify greater weapons production, then greater spending on delivery systems for the
additional weapons. Although other services opposed such "bootstrapping", they did not have
the IBM 704 computer that SAC used to analyze target priorities so could not offer competing
selection lists. Its Basic War Plan of March 1954 planned for up to 735 bombers to
simultaneously and massively attack all targets, military and urban, in the USSR. Eisenhower
preferred to avoid civilian targets, and by 1954 several Air Force planners advocated a "no-cities"
strategy. Other planners and USAF leadership, however, believed that the Soviet Union could
support its "immense armed forces for at least two years of intensive warfare" if industrial and
government centers were not attacked. The possibility existed, they believed, that SAC could in
fact deliver a "decisive" attack on the USSR, a tempting idea given the power of the 15-megaton
hydrogen bombs being tested.[13] LeMay stated in an 1988 interview that[20]
[t]here was a time in the 1950s when we could have won a war against Russia. It would have
cost us essentially the accident rate of the flying time, because their defenses were pretty weak.
One time in the 1950s we flew all of the reconnaissance aircraft that SAC possessed over
Vladivostok at high noon ... We could have launched bombing attacks, planned and executed

just as well, at that time. So I don't think I am exaggerating when I say we could have delivered
the stockpile had we wanted to do it, with practically no losses.[20]
Two studies soon concluded, however, that if such a window existed it had either closed or would
soon. Weapons Systems Evaluation Group stated in February 1955 that destroying all known
Soviet bases would require twice as large a force as the United States expected to field. A
National Security Council study found that by mid-1958 the only defense against a devastating
Soviet attack would be to attack first after being warned, which Eisenhower believed was
impossible. Given the apparent impracticality of massive retaliation strategy, Army Chiefs of
Staff Matthew Ridgeway and his successor Maxwell Taylor argued within JCS that deterrence,
instead of the "worst case" scenario of a full-scale nuclear war, should be the focus. More
conventional forces were needed to prevent limited wars from leading to larger nuclear ones;
similarly, tactical nuclear weapons should be avoided in local wars to prevent escalation.
Eisenhower, however, believed that tactical weapons should be viewed similarly to very large
conventional "blockbusters", and did not want American forces stalled within small wars. Massive
retaliation remained the basis of American war planning,[13] especially since NATO estimated after
the Hungarian revolution of 1956 that during wartime Western forces would retreat to the Rhine
Riverwithin 48 hours.[11]
By the 1950s, around 5,500 targets were listed to receive SAC bomber strikes; these targets
consisted primarily of industrial sites but included counterforce targets. These plans, primarily by
the Air Force, tended to be based on selecting targets in order to use up the available weapons,
rather than considering the desired effects or strategic outcomes.[21] From a 1957 letter from John
H. Moore, former director of nuclear planning, air operations branch, United States European
Command, Air Force target planning methodology can be inferred "blast damage frame," with
such references as "damage to concrete structures" and the requirement for a "high probability of
cratering runways." He cited the "destructive and disruptive nature of nuclear weapons" with
megaton yields: "the cumulative or ancillary effects may be as great or greater than primary
damage." Specifically, he considered delayed radiation but not thermal effects, but called
attention to the idea of "bonus" effects,[22] in which the totality of weapons effects would allow
lower-yield weapons to achieve the "desired destruction." In the letter to the head of the Atomic
Energy Commission, Lewis Strauss, Moore noted that the Pentagon "rigorously suppressed" this
study and destroyed all copies.[citation needed]
Prior to the development of SIOP and survivable command and control, Eisenhower
predelegated nuclear release authority to certain senior commanders. [23] In April 1956, for
example, he authorized Air Defense Command to use Genie air-to-air and Nike Herculessurfaceto-air missiles during a surprise attack.[13] There have continued to be Continuity of Nuclear
Operations Plans (COOP), which designated enough subordinates who, in the event of
the National Command Authority and immediate successors being killed in a "decapitation"
attack, could still retaliate. While the details have never been made public, Eisenhower's
predelegation, and a Federation of American Scientists summary, give a framework.

Presidential involvement and start of civilian policy direction [edit]


In 1958, George Kistiakowsky, a key Manhattan Project scientist and Science Advisor in
the Eisenhower Administration, suggested to the President that inspection of foreign military
facilities was not sufficient to control their nuclear weapons. Kistiakowsky was particularly
concerned with the difficulty of verifying the number, type, and deployment of nuclear-armed
missiles on missile submarines, and proposed that the arms control strategy focus on
disarmament rather than inspections.[24] He was also concerned with the short warning times
available from Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) launches, which took away the lengthy
decision time available when the nuclear threat came exclusively from manned bombers.

Atlas, a first-generation ICBM

Eisenhower sent Kistiakowsky to Strategic Air Command headquarters where he was, at first,
rebuffed. At the same time as the early nuclear arms control work, the Chairman of the Joint
Chiefs of Staff, General Nathan F. Twining, USAF, sent a memorandum[25] in August 1959, to
the Secretary of Defense, Neil McElroy, which suggested that the Strategic Air Command be
formally assigned responsibility to prepare the national nuclear target list, and a single plan for
nuclear operations. Up to that point, the Army, Navy, and Air Force had done their own target
planning. That had led to individual targets being multiply targeted by the different services. The
separate service plans were not mutually supporting, as, for example, by the Navy destroying an
air defense facility on the route of an Air Force bomber going to a target deeper inland. While
Twining had sent the memo to McElroy, the members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff disagreed on
the policy during early 1960.[26][27] Thomas Gates, who succeeded McElroy,
asked President Dwight D. Eisenhower to decide the policy.[28]
Eisenhower said he would not "leave his successor with the monstrosity" of the uncoordinated
and non-integrated forces that then existed. When Kistiakowsky was not given access,
Eisenhower sent him back with a much stronger set of orders giving SAC officers the choice to
cooperate with Kistiakowsky, or resign.
Kistiakowsky's report, presented on November 29, described uncoordinated plans with huge
numbers of targets, many of which would be attacked by multiple forces, resulting in overkill.
Eisenhower was shocked by the plans, and focused not just on the creation of the Single
Integrated Operational Plan (SIOP), but on the entire process of picking targets, generating
requirements, and planning for nuclear war operations. Separate operational plans from the Air
Force and the Navy were combined to form the foundation of the SIOP.

The first SIOP[edit]


The first plan, following the White House policy guidance, was developed in 1960, consisting of a
list of targets (the National Strategic Target List, or NSTL) and the assets to be used against
each target. The targets themselves were pulled from the Bombing Encyclopedia, which listed
over 80,000 targets of interest.[29] This first SIOP was extensively revised by a team at the RAND
Corporation to become SIOP-62, describing a massive strike with the entire US arsenal of 3,200
warheads against the USSR, China, and Soviet-aligned states.
The early SIOP, however, had little flexibility, treating all Communist countries as a uniform bloc.
Document JCS 2056/220 expressed the concerns of U.S. Marine Commandant David Shoup that
the 1961 draft was inconsistent with an 1959 NSC policy guidance paper approved by
Eisenhower.[30] Shoup was especially concerned with language in the draft SIOP that said

The United States should utilize all requisite force against selected targets in the USSRand as
necessary in Communist China, European Bloc and non-European bloc countriesto attain the
above objectives. Military targets in Bloc countries other than the USSR and Communist China
will be attacked as necessary.
The National Security Archive commentary reports that Shoup asked USAF/SAC
Commander Thomas Power "...what would happen if Beijing was not fighting; was there an
option to leave Chinese targets out of the attack plan?" Power was reported to have said that he
hoped no one would think of that "because it would really screw up the plan"that is, the plan
was supposed to be executed as a whole. Apparently Shoup then observed that "any plan that
kills millions of Chinese when it isn't even their war is not a good plan. This is not the American
way."

SIOP-63[edit]
During 19611962, the Kennedy administration revised this plan as supervised by Secretary of
Defense Robert McNamara. SIOP-63, which took effect in July 1962 and remained mostly
unchanged for more than 10 years, proposed five escalating attack options: [19]
1. Soviet nuclear missile sites, bomber airfields, and submarine tenders.
2. Other military sites away from cities, such as air defenses.
3. Military sites near cities.
4. Command-and-control centers.
5. Full-scale "spasm" attack.
Many smaller target options were also created for possible use. The plan contemplated the
possibility that options 1 and 2 be used to prevent an "impending major Sino-Soviet Bloc attack
upon the U.S. or its allies". By 1963, however, McNamara concluded that such plans were
useless, because the situations for which nuclear weapons might be used were so unpredictable
that advanced planning was impossible.[19]
By the mid-1960s both sides had much more accurate understanding of the opposition's forces.
While the Soviets were catching up to the Americans' strategic nuclear weapons, NATO was
catching up to the Warsaw Pact's conventional forces, in part with tactical nuclear weapons. This
increased both sides' confidence; a 1964 Warsaw Pact plan for Czechoslovakia written as a
result of the Berlin Crisis of 1961 assumed that the East could capture Lyon within two weeks
after the start of hostilities, while contemporary NATO plans expected that it could stop the
Warsaw Pact near the eastern border of West Germany, in contrast to the earlier fears of the
English Channel if at all. The Warsaw Pact plan did not consider the possibility that American
strategic weapons might have crippled the Soviet Union, assuming that superior Soviet air
defenses would have stopped most enemy missiles while invading NATO troops would have, the
plan stated, "suffered enormous losses from [Soviet] nuclear strikes". [16]
The Czechoslovakia plan was approved on 14 October 1964, the day Soviet leader Nikita
Khruschev was overthrown, and after the Prague Spring in 1968 the Soviets had to completely
remove the Czech military from its plans. By the late 1960s the they moved to a war strategy that
lessened the dependence on nuclear weapons, resembling the West's flexible response. Warsaw
Pact plans continued to assume, however, that NATO would make a surprise attack which it
would repulse into the west; the East Germans even prepared occupation currency and new
street signs.[16]

Counterforce migrates to deterrence and warfighting [edit]


Main articles: Counterforce and Mutual assured destruction
Studies began in 19721973 to provide more flexibility for the use of American nuclear weapons.
In January 1974 President Richard M. Nixon approved NSDM-242, intended to add more "limited

employment options" to help manage escalation, to SIOP-63. The related Nuclear Weapons
Employment Policy (NUWEP) of April 1974 provided targets to achieve various goals; for
example, the document stated that the United States nuclear forces must possess the ability to
destroy 70% of the industrial capacity the Soviet Union needed to recover after a war. These
documents formed the basis of SIOP-5 (January 1976), [19] sometimes called the Schlesinger
Doctrine after Secretary of Defense James Schlesinger.[31] The ever-expanding target lists were
split into classes of targets, with a wider range of plans matching strikes to political intentions
from counterforce to countervalue, or any mix/withhold strategy to control escalation. Schlesinger
described the doctrine as having three main aspects:
1. The National Command Authority or its successors should have many choices
about the use of weapons, always having an option to escalate.
2. Targeting should make it very explicit that the first requisite is selective retaliation
against the enemy's military (i.e., tailored counterforce).
3. Some targets and target classes should not be struck, at least at first, to give the
opponent a rational reason to terminate the conflict. Reduced collateral damage
was another benefit of this "withhold" method.
The SIOP policy was further modified during the Carter presidency under Presidential
Directive 59, a key section of which stated
The employment of nuclear forces must be effectively related to operations of our general
purpose forces. Our doctrines for the use of forces in nuclear conflict must insure that we can
pursue specific policy objectives selected by the National Command Authorities at that time,
from general guidelines established in advance. (S)[32][33]
These requirements form the broad outline of our evolving countervailing strategy. To meet
these requirements, improvements should be made to our forces, their supporting C3 and
intelligence, and their employment plans and planning apparatus, to achieve a high degree
of flexibility, enduring survivability, and adequate performance in the face of enemy actions.
The following principles and goals should guide your efforts in making these improvements.
(S)
In other words, PD59 explored a "warfighting" doctrine that suggested that nuclear plans
might change during a war, and that nuclear weapons were to be used in combination with
conventional weapons. Carter's Secretary of Defense, Harold Brown, emphasized selective
counterforce, but also explicitly threatened the Soviet leadership themselves. Major
improvements in U.S. command, control, communications and intelligence (C3I), including
making elements survivable during a nuclear war, were instituted to make the PD-59 doctrine
feasible.[31] By 1982, SIOP-5 contained more than 40,000 possible targets in four categories:
[19]

1. Soviet nuclear forces. Examples: ICBM launch centers and control facilities, bomber
airfields, ballistic-missile submarine bases.
2. Conventional forces. Examples: Supply depots, conventional airfields, ammunition
storage, tank storage yards.
3. Military and political centers. Examples: Command posts, communications facilities.
4. Economic and industrial centers. Examples: Factories for ammunition and tanks,
refineries, steel and aluminum plants, power plants.[19]
Whether Soviet military doctrine recognized the difference between counterforce and a
general attack was unknown. A 1982 analysis stated, however, that the technically inferior
Soviet attack-assessment system would likely have difficulty in differentiating between such

attacks. In any case, given that the majority of Soviet nuclear airfields and missile sites were
located west of the Ural mountains, many in major population centers, the analysis
concluded that the American plans for flexible use of force were meaningless. The author
was also skeptical of whether communications to manage escalationwhether on
the MoscowWashington hotline, or between command authorities and their deployed
nuclear submarines and bomberscould be maintained, and observed that use of nuclear
weapons "are not suited to signalling any precise and unambiguous message". [19]

Return to counterforce, with strategic defense[edit]


Main article: Strategic Defense Initiative
During the Reagan administration, there was a return to a strong counterforce strategy
through NSDD-13. This included development of strategic weapons systems that were more
accurate, more survivable, or both. Some of these systems eventually took the role
ofbargaining chips in arms control negotiations, although some, such as the B-2 "stealth"
bomber remained highly classified as potential surprises in war. The B-2 was also seen as a
counter to Soviet deployment of mobile missiles, which only a manned bomber could find
and attack.
In 1983, President Reagan gave a speech proposing, at the least, research and
development into non-nuclear defense systems against nuclear-armed missiles. [31] The idea
of effective Strategic Defense Initiative was a potential disruption to the existing balance
ofMutual assured destruction, even with its "warfighting" refinements.

Renaming and refocusing[edit]


On 1 March 2003, the SIOP was renamed "OPLAN 8022", and later CONPLAN (contingency
plan) 8022.[34] It went into deployment in July 2004, but it was reported cancelled in July
2007. It may have been superseded by an expanded CONPLAN 8044. [citation needed]
Another set of "Global Strike" plans include a jointly coordinated a nuclear option, intended
for other than the general nuclear war situations, principally with Russia but possibly also
with China, postulated in OPLAN 8022. Global Strike plans are codified in CONPLAN 8044.
[35]

Executing the SIOP[edit]

This section needs additional citations for verification. Please help


article by adding citations to reliable sources. Unsourced material ma
challenged and removed. (October 2009)
In the United States, the decision to use nuclear weapons is vested in the National
Command Authority (NCA), composed of the President of the United States and the United
States Secretary of Defense or their duly deputized alternates or successors. The President
alone cannot order an attack. The ordering of use, communication of orders, and the release
of nuclear weapons is governed by the two-man rule at all times.

Deputy's launch keyswitch in an old Minuteman ICBM launch control center. Commander's key was
too far away to be turned by the same person.

10

No one person ever can take such an action. All military personnel that participate in loading,
arming, or firing weapons, as well as transmitting launch orders, are subject to the Personnel
Reliability Program (PRP).
If the NCA decides that the United States must launch nuclear weapons, they will direct the
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff (CJCS) to do so via the Nuclear Football briefcase. At
the NCA/JCS level, the orders will be to execute SIOP strike options, broken into Major
Attack Options (MAOs), Selected Attack Options (SAOs), and Limited Attack Options (LAOs).
Individual countries or regions can be included in or withheld from nuclear attacks depending
on circumstances. The CJCS in turn will direct the general officer on duty in addition to one
other officer on duty in the National Military Command Center (NMCC) at the Pentagon to
release an Emergency Action Message (EAM) containing an Emergency War Order (EWO)
to all nuclear forces; another officer will validate that order.[36] Additionally, the message will
go to the Alternate National Military Command Center (ANMCC),[37]located in Raven Rock
Mountain, Pennsylvania, and also to an airborne command post, either the presidential
National Airborne Operations Center (NAOC) or the military E-6 Mercury Looking Glass.[38] If
the NMCC is destroyed by a first strike, either the ANMCC, NAOC or Looking Glass can
issue the orders to execute the SIOP.

E-6 Mercury

As the orders go down the chain of command, always subject to the two-man rule,
intermediate headquarters, and eventually the nuclear delivery platforms themselves, will
receiveEmergency Action Messages (EAM) to arm or launch weapons. For most modern
weapons, the EAM will also include codes for Permissive Action Links (PAL).
At a minimum, a PAL code will actually arm a weapon for release. The circuitry controlling
the PAL is deliberately positioned inside the warhead such that it cannot be reached without
disabling the weapon, at a minimum, to a level that would require a full factory-level rebuild.
There may be separate PAL codes for arming and launch. Some weapons have "dial-a-yield"
functions that allow the power of the nuclear explosion to be adjusted from minimum to
maximum yield. Most weapons have additional arming circuitry that, even if a valid launch
code is entered, will not arm the warhead unless the weapon senses that it has been
released on an expected delivery path. For example, the first steps of the final arming
process for a ballistic missile depend on physical characteristics of the weapon release, such
as the acceleration of a rocket launch, zero-gravity coasting, and various physical aspects
of hypersonic reentry into the atmosphere. A gravity bomb dropped from an aircraft will
detect the altitude of release and the decreasing altitude as it falls.
Journalist Ron Rosenbaum has pointed out that the SIOP is entirely concerned with the
identity of the commanding officer and the authenticity of the order, and there are no
safeguards to verify that the person issuing the order is actually sane.[39] Notably,
Major Harold Hering was discharged from the Air Force for asking the question "How can I
know that an order I receive to launch my missiles came from a sane president?" [citation needed]

United Kingdom participation[edit]


Although after World War II, the formal military alliance between the United States and
United Kingdom no longer existed,[14]:72 American postwar war plans required using British air

11

bases until the United States developed ICBMs and long-range bombers. American
General Carl Spaatz and Chief of the Air Staff Lord Tedder informally agreed in 1946 to US
aircraft using British bases. The discussions, and the subsequent actions such as extending
runways, were so secret that it is unclear whether Prime Minister Clement Attleewas aware
of them.[12] By 1948, the year of the Berlin Blockade, British leaders expected that "in a future
world conflict, US and British forces will find themselves fighting side by side" although the
alliance had not been formally renewed.[14]:72 The two countries began coordinating their plans
for a Soviet attack in Europe after the Czechoslovak coup d'tat of 1948, and later that year
General Curtis LeMay, head of Strategic Air Command (SAC), asked Tedder to allow the
basing of American atomic weapons in Britain. By the end of 1948, several British bases
were atomic-capable or were close to being so, but the ability to fight an atomic war from
Britain did not exist until April 1949 when "Silverplate" atomic-capable B-29 bombers began
rotating through the bases,[12] and no American atomic weapons were present in Britain until
1952.[40]:29,97
Aware that with or without bombs, the bases made Britain what Winston Churchill called a
"bull's-eye" for Soviet attack, he and other British leaders repeatedly failed in learning details
of American war plans,[41] and not until 1951 did the United States formally, if vaguely, agree
to consult with Britain before using atomic weapons based there.[14]:120121 As Tedder
complained during the Berlin crisis, when war at any moment seemed possible, the defense
of the West relied "on the use of a weapon about which we in fact know very little". British
plans such as SPEEDWAY (December 1948), which discussed American-British-Canadian
joint planning for the early part of a war over the next 18 months, likely incorporated some
information informally sent by the United States, including projections on future bomb
production and targets. The Chiefs of Staff Committee was dissatisfied, however, writing that
"We are at a disadvantage in that ... we do not know the details of the number of [American]
atomic weapons to be used and so cannot assess with any accuracy the results that can be
achieved."[14]:7174,400402
The Americans preferred that the British not develop atomic weapons at all, but as that was
not possible, they decided that partnership was preferable to losing influence with the United
Kingdom.[42] The British sought an independent, domestic nuclear deterrent that by itself
could persuade the USSR to not attack, in part because they feared that America might not
be willing to defend Europe with its nuclear missiles once the USSR could attack the United
States itself, or during wartime not prioritize targets that threatened the United Kingdom. [43]
[40]:106107
In 1950 RAF Bomber Command asked for, and received, 70 B-29s from the United
States after offering to place them under the control of SAC during wartime. The bombers
were becoming obsolete, however. The British never made them nuclear-capable, [40]:32[42]
[44]
and the RAF refused the US's request for SAC's complete targeting control over the
sophisticated British-built V bombers which began deploying in 1955. Britain's goal of an
independent deterrent aimed at Soviet cities was so important that, when it offered to place
the V Bombers under SACEUR authority in 1953 in exchange for American financial aid to
purchase new fighters, it refused to agree to them being used in a tactical role against Soviet
targets in Europe. The agreement permitted Britain to commit only nominal forces to
SACEUR, and presaged future technology and targeting cooperation. [44][40]:99100
As the USAF began in 1955 helping the RAF to convert V bombers to carry American atomic
weapons under Project E and hydrogen weapons under Project X,[44] cooperation increased
and the United States began sharing some war plan details. Although both nations remained
reluctant to fully share their plansas late as 1956, Britain did not have targeting information
even for SAC aircraft it hostedredundancies were eliminated by one side asking the other
whether it planned to attack various targets.[44][41] In February 1959, the USAF agreed to target
150 Soviet bases that threatened Britain with nuclear weapons, while V bombers would use
nuclear weapons to attack Soviet air defenses before SAC arrived. The RAF retained a
separate plan to attack 30 Soviet cities with hydrogen bombs. The agreement formed the
basis for the ongoing nuclear-targeting cooperation between the two countries, [44] and the
different target types resembled the two nations' different priorities during their World War II
strategic bombing campaign.[41] The Anglo-American dispute during the 1956 Suez Crisis only
briefly disrupted the partnership,[42] and the desire to restore relations to their former level,

12

and the Sputnik crisis, increased American willingness to help Britain improve its atomic
weaponry.[44][40]:161 In March 1957 the United States agreed to sell 60 Thor IRBMs,[42] in 1958
American hydrogen-weapon designs,[44] in 1960 the Skybolt ALBM, and after its cancellation
the Polaris SLBM in 1962 as replacement. Polaris was especially notable; British officials
initially refused to believe the Americans' offer of state-of-the-art submarine missiles at a
moderate price, and one scholar later called it "amazing".[42]
While its contribution to SIOP was minor compared to the enormous SAC arsenal of 1,600
bombers and 800 missiles, as RAF officers who worked with the Americans rose to
leadership positions their experience benefited later partnerships between the two countries.
The joint targeting plan changed over time; the 1962 list for the RAF included 48 cities, six
air-defense sites, and three bomber bases, and the 1963 list had 16 cities, 44 airfields and
other offensive sites, 10 air-defense sites, and 28 IRBM sites. The degree of cooperation
was such by the Cuban Missile Crisis that RAF officers visiting SAC headquarters in
Nebraska reported being "treated just like Americans. We went all through their briefings,
computers, top secret rooms and so forth". While some British officers emphasized the
continuing importance of maintaining the ability to act alone with an independent deterrent if
necessary, by 1962 the independent list was essentially the RAF portion of the joint plan and
no active training was done.[41] The British emphasis on retaining an independent capability,
however, continued over several decades and changes in government. As the Defence
Council stated in 1980,[45]
our force has to be visibly capable of making a massive strike on its own ... We need to
convince Soviet leaders that even if they thought ... the US would hold back, the British force
could still inflict a blow so destructive that the penalty for aggression would have proved too
high.[45]
While current United Kingdom's nuclear forcesfour Trident Vanguard class submarines
are strictly under UK national control, they had two distinct roles under the SIOP. The first
was part of a UK-only retaliatory response to a nuclear attack, whether a full strategic strike,
or a limited tactical strike. The second role was one in which the Royal Navy participated in
the SIOP, in effect becoming an extension of the U.S. Navy's Trident submarines. This role
was to be part of a NATO response to a Soviet nuclear strike. The Royal Navy's contribution
to the SIOP was small. The four Vanguard submarines could strike a maximum of 512
separate targets; equivalent to 7% of the total U.S. nuclear strike capacity.

13

Das könnte Ihnen auch gefallen