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MEMORANDUM

TO:

HEANEYFORCONGRESS

FROM:
PATRICKLANNEPUBLICOPINIONSTRATEGIES

SUBJECT:
RECENTPOLLFINDINGS

DATE:
JUNE13,2016

Asyouknow,PublicOpinionStrategiesrecentlycompletedasurveyof400Republicanprimaryvotersin
NewYorks19thCongressionalDistrict.ThesurveywascompletedJune89,2016andhasamarginof
errorof+/4.9%in95outof100cases.Thismemorandumwillreviewthekeyfindingsofthepoll.

KEYFINDINGS

1. Andrewisgainingground.
SinceourinitialpolllastDecember,AndrewhascutJohnFasosleadbymorethanhalfandnow
trailsbyjustninepoints.

Candidate
12/1215
5/45
6/89

Heaney
10%
18%
28%

Faso
33%
36%
37%

2. Itisawideopenrace.
OversixintenRepublicansarestilldecidingwhomtheywillsupportinthiselection.Justovera
quarter(26%)ofRepublicansareundecidedandonly38%ofvotersaredefinitelyvotingfora
candidate.Thereisampleroomformajorballotmovementinthefinaltwoweeksofthis
campaign.

TheBottomLine
AndrewhasmadesteadyprogressinthisraceandhisoutsidermessagehascutJohnFasosleadinhalf.
Keepinmind;recentlyreleasedpollingonthisracewasconductedduringJohnFasosallies$500,000
barrageofmisleadingnegativeattacksagainstAndrewandpriortoAndrewsresponseadairing.

Intheseremainingtwoweeks,Republicanswillbepresentedwithaclearchoiceofwhocanbestfix
WashingtonDC:aconservativeoutsideroracareerpoliticianandlobbyist.Withmorethan60%of
Republicanfunctionallyupforgrabs,thereisplentyofopportunityforsignificantballotmovementin
thiscampaign.

NY19PollFindings

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