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Contents
FY2015 1st Quarter Results [Consolidated]
Outline of FY2015 1st Quarter Results [Consolidated]
FY2015 Full-year Forecast [Consolidated]
Key Points of FY2015 Full-year Forecast [Consolidated]
[Supplement #1-9]
2
4
6
8
10
( billion)
FY2015
FY2014
Q 1 Re sult
Q 1 Re sult
FY2014
YoY
Q 4 Re sult
449.4
443.9
+5.5
472.1
1.8
3.9
2.1
9.6
Ordinary income/loss
10.8
7.5
+3.3
21.5
Profit/loss attributable
to owners of parent
12.7
8.5
+4.2
17.4
Revenue
Operating income/loss
120.02/$
101.94/$
+18.08/$
118.44/$
$369/MT
$607/M T
$238/M T
$335/M T
* Purchase Prices
( billion)
+8.7
YoY
+13.9
YoY
+18.08/$ Weaker
$238/MT
Lower
(*)
Fluctuation of cargo volume/freight rates, etc. 19.3
(Balance)
+3.3
*Including Cost Reduction(+ 6.8 bil) and increase of Equity in earnings of affiliated companies(+ 1.4 bil).
[By segment]
Upper
Lower
( billion)
Bulkships
Containerships
Ferry&
domestic transport
Associated
businesses
Others
Adjustment
Consolidated
Revenue
Ordinary income/loss
FY2015
FY2014
Q 1 Result
Q 1 Re sult
215.2
10.8
194.5
5.0
12.8
0.8
24.8
2.5
1.9
1.3
0.2
449.4
10.8
212.5
10.8
187.3
7.2
13.6
0.6
28.2
3.2
2.1
1.0
0.9
443.9
7.5
YoY
FY2014
Q 4 Re sult
+2.7
0
+7.2
+2.2
0.8
+0.2
3.3
0.7
0.2
+0.3
+1.2
+5.5
+3.3
228.9
22.4
202.3
3.1
13.2
1.1
25.5
1.6
2.0
0.7
1.2
472.1
21.5
billion)
Q1 Result
Q2 Forecast
2nd Half
Previous
Forecast*
Forecast
Variance
449.4
457.6
907.0
917.0
1.8
4.2
6.0
16.0
Ordinary income/loss
10.8
13.1
24.0
29.0
10.0
10.0
5.0
Profit/loss attributable
12.7
7.2
20.0
20.0
Revenue
Operating income/loss
to owners of parent
Average exchange rate
Average bunker price**
120.02/$
$369/MT
122.00/$
$350/MT
121.01/$
$359/MT
118.00/$
$380/M T
+3.01/$
-$21/M T
Forecast
Previous
Forecast*
Full-year
Variance
Forecast
Previous
Forecast*
Variance
899.0
903.0
4.0
1,806.0
1,820.0
18.0
16.0
+2.0
24.0
32.0
14.0
8.0
36.0
31.0
+5.0
60.0
60.0
23.0
23.0
43.0
43.0
122.00/$
118.00/$
$350/MT
$380/MT
4.00/$
-$30/M T
** Purchase Prices
121.50/$
118.00/$
$355/MT
$380/M T
+3.50/$
-$25/M T
2015
Q1
443.9
3.9
7.5
8.5
101.94/$
$607/M T
2nd Half
Full-year
Q2
446.2
0.2
7.0
3.0
102.22/$
$597/M T
890.1
4.2
14.5
11.5
102.08/$
$602/M T
926.9
13.0
36.7
30.8
114.60/$
$404/M T
1,817.0
17.2
51.3
42.3
FY2015
FX Rate
Bunker Price
(9months/M ax)
1.4 bn/1/$
0.12 bn/$1/MT
108.34/$
$503/M T
[By segment]
Upper
Lower
Revenue
Ordinary income/loss
2nd Half
1st Half
(
billion)
Q1 Result Q2 Forecast
Bulkships
Containerships
Ferry&
domestic transport
Associated
businesses
Others
Adjustment
Consolidated
(cf)FY2014 Results
Bulkships
Containerships
Ferry&
domestic transport
Associated
businesses
Others
Adjustment
Consolidated
215.2
10.8
194.5
-5.0
12.8
0.8
24.8
2.5
1.9
1.3
0.2
449.4
10.8
Forecast
211.8
11.2
202.5
-2.5
14.2
1.6
27.1
2.5
2.0
0.1
0.2
457.6
13.1
Previous
Forecast*
427.0
22.0
397.0
-7.5
27.0
2.5
52.0
5.0
4.0
1.5
0.5
907.0
24.0
1st Half
Q1
Q2
212.5
10.8
187.3
-7.2
13.6
0.6
28.2
3.2
2.1
1.0
-0.9
443.9
7.5
205.2
5.6
196.2
-3.6
14.6
1.4
28.2
2.9
1.8
1.0
-0.4
446.2
7.0
417.8
16.5
383.5
-10.8
28.2
2.0
56.4
6.1
4.0
2.1
-1.4
890.1
14.5
413.0
18.0
421.0
2.0
27.0
3.0
52.0
5.0
4.0
2.0
1.0
917.0
29.0
2nd Half
Variance
+14.0
+4.0
24.0
9.5
0
0.5
0
0
0
0.5
+1.5
10.0
5.0
Forecast
417.0
33.0
398.0
-6.0
27.0
3.5
52.0
5.0
5.0
1.0
-0.5
899.0
36.0
Previous
Forecast*
407.0
20.0
412.0
3.0
27.0
3.0
52.0
5.0
5.0
1.0
-1.0
903.0
31.0
Full-year
Variance
+10.0
+13.0
14.0
9.0
0
+0.5
0
0
0
0
+0.5
4.0
+5.0
Forecast
844.0
55.0
795.0
-13.5
54.0
6.0
104.0
10.0
9.0
2.5
0.0
1806.0
60.0
Previous
Forecast*
820.0
38.0
833.0
5.0
54.0
6.0
104.0
10.0
9.0
3.0
-2.0
1820.0
60.0
Variance
+24.0
+17.0
38.0
18.5
0
0
0
0
0
0.5
+2.0
14.0
0
*as of April 30,2015
Full-year
439.4
857.2
37.6
54.1
403.4
787.0
-13.2
-24.1
27.7
56.0
2.3
4.4
51.9
108.3
4.7
10.9
4.2
8.2 [Notes]
2.0
4.1 1) Revenues from customers, unconsolidated subsidiaries and affiliated companies.
2) Bulkships =Dry bulkers, T ankers, LNG carriers/Offshore businesses, Car carriers
3.2
1.8 3) Associated Businesses =Real estate, Cruise ships, T ug boats, T rading, T emporary
926.9 1,817.0 staffing, etc.
36.7
51.3
. (Accumulate stable
[By segment] [FY2015 forecast for ordinary income (increase/decrease in ordinary income from the April 30 announcement)]
Bulkships [55.0 billion (+17.0 billion) ]
Dry bulkers
Large-size vessels: Shipments of iron ore will increase due to seasonal factors, trade will pick up as Chinas port
inventories decline. The demand/supply balance will gradually improve as substantial numbers of vessels are scrapped.
Mid- and small-size vessels (the second half: July-December): Shipment of North America grain will increase due to
seasonal factors. Coal trade for India will be strong.
Anticipate market improvement in the second half (no significant changes from the initial outlook).
[Supplement #1]
1. FY2014 (Result)
(US$/day)
FY2014
Size
Market for vessels operated by
MOL
Apr-Jun
12,900
Capesize
Market for vessels operated by
overseas subsidiaries of MOL
Jan-Mar
1st Half
2nd Half
Full-year
Apr-Sep, 2014
Jul-Sep
Average
13,500
Oct-Dec
13,200
Jan-Jun, 2014
Apr-Jun
15,400
Jul-Sep
5,700
10,500
Jul-Dec, 2014
Oct-Dec
11,900
Average
Capesize
16,800
12,900
14,800
13,500
15,400
14,400
14,600
Panamax
10,400
6,300
8,400
5,900
8,300
7,100
7,700
Handymax
11,600
9,000
10,300
8,900
9,800
9,300
9,800
Small handy
10,000
7,400
8,700
6,200
7,100
6,700
7,700
2. FY2015 (Result/Forecast)
(US$/day)
FY2015
Size
Market for vessels operated by
MOL
Capesize
Market for vessels operated by
overseas subsidiaries of MOL
1st Half
Apr-Jun
5,800
Jan-Mar
2nd Half
Apr-Sep, 2015
Jul-Sep
12,000
Full-year
8,900
Jan-Jun, 2015
Apr-Jun
18,000
Jul-Sep
10,000
Average
14,000
Jul-Dec, 2015
Oct-Dec
11,500
Average
Capesize
5,700
5,800
5,700
12,000
18,000
15,000
10,400
Panamax
4,800
5,200
5,000
8,000
8,500
8,300
6,600
Handymax
6,400
6,800
6,600
8,000
8,500
8,300
7,400
Small handy
5,300
5,100
5,200
5,500
6,000
5,800
5,500
[Notes]
SourceProduct Tanker and LPG Tanker: Clarkson Research Services Limited
1) The general market results are shown in black.
2) The forecasts are shown in blue. These are referential charter rates for estimating P/L of free vessels that operates on spot contracts (contract period of less than two years). In case rates have already been
agreed, however, such agreed rates are reflected on P/L estimation of the relevant voyages.
3) M arket for vessels operated by our overseas subsidiaries is shown on Calendar year basis (Jan-Dec), because their fiscal year ends in Dec. and thus their P/L are consolidated three months later.
4) M arket for Capesize=5TC Average(changed on and after FY2014 financial announcement), Panamax= 4TC Average, Handymax= 5TC Average, Small handy= 6TC Average.
10
[Supplement #2]
FY2014(Result)
(US$/day)
Vessel Type
Market for vessels operated by MOL
FY2014
Trade
H1
H2
Full-year
Apr-Sep, 2014
Average
Apr-Jun
11,800
21,500
44,500
59,500
34,300
(39)
(46)
(57)
(59)
(50)
9,800
9,700
14,600
18,000
13,000
(ref : WS)
Singapore - Japan
Jul-Sep
Jan-Jun, 2014
Jan-Mar
Jul-Dec, 2014
Apr-Jun
35,400
Jul-Sep
94,600
Average
Oct-Dec
103,200
74,800
77,000
FY2015 (Result/Forecast)
Vessel Type
(US$/day)
FY2015
Trade
H1
Oct-Dec
Full-year
Average
52,000
32,000
32,000
40,500
36,300
(64)
(61)
(63)
(60)
(61)
24,000
(ref : WS)
Singapore - Japan
Apr-Sep, 2015
Jul-Sep
Apr-Jun
H2
Jan-Mar
85,500
Jan-Jun, 2015
Apr-Jun
97,400
Jul-Sep
91,500
Jul-Dec, 2015
Oct-Dec
44,500
Average
68,000
[Notes]
(Source)Product T anker and LPG T anker: Clarkson Research Services Limited
1)T he general market results are shown in black.
2)T he forecasts are shown in blue. T hese are referential WS for estimating P/L of free vessels that operates on spot contracts (contract period of less than two years). In case rates have already been agreed, however, such agreed
rates are reflected on P/L estimation of the relevant voyages.
3)WS of VLCC for 2014 have been translated by the Flat Rate of 2015.
4)LPG T ankers are operated by our overseas subsidiaries and the market is shown on Calendar year basis (Jan-Dec), because their fiscal year ends in Dec. and thus their P/L are consolidated three months later.
11
[Supplement #3]
12
[Supplement #4]
1. Utilization
Inbound
(W/B)
Outbound
(E/B)
(1,000TEU)
Q1
180
181
100%
182
97
53%
Q2
208
200
96%
199
84
42%
Inbound
(E/B)
Outbound
(W/B)
Asia-Europe
Capacity
Lifting
Utilization
Capacity
Lifting
Utilization
Q1
Q2
122
125
102%
120
78
65%
123
127
104%
124
76
61%
All Trades
Capacity
Lifting
Utilization
Q1
Q2
1,450
1,124
78%
1,545
1,153
75%
FY2014
Q3
200
185
93%
189
95
50%
FY2014
Q3
121
116
96%
122
79
65%
FY2014
Q3
1,502
1,098
73%
Q4
169
165
97%
179
101
56%
Q4
126
117
93%
127
77
60%
Q4
1,502
1,045
70%
Total
757
731
97%
749
377
50%
Total
491
484
99%
493
310
63%
Total
5,999
4,420
74%
Q1
205
188
92%
194
102
53%
Q1
120
100
83%
114
76
67%
Q2
222
211
95%
218
112
51%
Q2
119
110
92%
116
78
67%
Q1
Q2
1,538
1,036
67%
1,554
1,099
71%
FY2015
Q3
206
189
92%
209
113
54%
FY2015
Q3
117
109
93%
119
80
68%
FY2015
Q3
1,471
1,089
74%
Q4
196
185
94%
196
107
55%
Q4
119
109
92%
119
78
66%
Q4
1,422
1,051
74%
Total
829
773
93%
817
435
53%
Total
476
428
90%
468
313
67%
Total
5,984
4,274
71%
79.0
$607
Q2
80.4
$597
FY2014
Q3
78.2
$469
Q4
78.0
$335
Full-year
78.9
$529
Q1
74.2
$369
Q2
74.4
$350
FY2015
Q3
71.3
$0
Q4
74.5
$0
Full-year
73.6
$355
13
30-Jun, 2015
1,000dwt
Bulk carrier
Dry bulker
Capesize
104
Panamax
37
Handymax
72
Small Handy
56
Heavy lifter
43
44
49
(Sub total)
411
(Market Exposure)
Crude oil tanker
Tanker
(177)
42
Product tanker
50
Chemical tanker
75
LPG tanker
(Sub total)
176
(Market Exposure)
LNG carrier
FPSO
Offshore
Car carrier
Containership
Ferry/Domestic carrier
Cruise ship
(105)
67
1
Others
127
118
43
1
2
Total
947
104
34
71
57
6
43
47
48
410
42
47
77
9
175
66
1
123
119
43
1
2
941
20,035
2,878
3,899
1,927
74
2,319
4,300
842
36,273
11,093
2,791
2,188
474
16,546
5,181
2,054
7,491
171
5
13
67,732
[Supplement #5]
31-Mar,
2016
(estimation)
385
(144)
169
(95)
71
2
123
105
49
905
14
FY2014
FY2015
Forecast
(\ bn)
Reveune
Ordinary income/loss
Profit/loss attributable to
owners of parent
[Supplement #6]
FY2016
FY2019
(Plan)
(Target)
1,729
1,817
1,806
1,900
2,100
55
51
60
100
140
(55)
(55)
(75)
80
110
57
42
43
ROA *1
2.4%
2.1%
2.3%
4-5
ROE *2
9.5%
5.8%
5.4%
above 10
*1)
Ordinary incom e Average Total assets at the beginning and the end of the fiscal y ear
*2) Profit/loss attributable to owners of parent Average Shareholders' equity at the beginning and the end of the fiscal y ear
Equity ratio *3
Net gearing ratio *4
29%
30%
32%
(around FY2019)
35-40%
135%
135%
126%
(around FY2019)
100%
99.79
108.34
121.50
100
100
617
503
355
620
620
*3)
FX\/$
Purchase prices
(*)Highly Stable Profits = Profits that are fixed, or expected to be fixed during this midterm manage ment
plan, from contracts
of two ye ars or more . And projected profits from highly stable businesses.
(The segme nts included in: Drybulkers, Tankers, LNG carrie rs, O ffshore businesses, Associated businesses
and O thers)
15
Cash Flows
[Supplement #7]
( billion)
( billion)
-180
180
-159.1
-160
160
-140
140
-119.8
-120
120
105.0
94.2
-100
92.4
-80
100
-70.0
80
-60
60
-40
40
-20
20
-0
FY2013
Result
FY2014
Result
FY2015
Forecast
54.9
57.3
99.79/$
51.3
42.3
108.34/$
60.0
43.0
121.50/$
16
Financial Plan
Shareholders' equity
[Supplement #8]
1,400
billion
1,094.0
1,200
Interest-bearing debt
913.9
1,000
800
Net interest-bearing
debt(*1)
1,183.4
1,054.6
679.1
782.5
1,172.2
1,125.0
1,034.2
1,025.0
785.2
815.0
600
400
200
0
[Equity ratio]
[(Net)Gearing ratio]
200%
50%
Gearing ratio(*2)
Net gearing ratio(*3)
Equity ratio(*4)
161%
40%
151%
149%
135%
30%
30%
132%
150%
135%
29%
100%
FY2013
Result
FY2014
Result
102.92/$
105.39/$
120.17/$
120.55/$
Q1-end
Result
122.45/$
120.17/$
32%
138% 30%
126%
FY2015
Year-end
Forecast
20%
122.00/$
122.00/$
17
ex.Australia
ExxonMobil
ex.PNG
17 SINOPEC
18 SINOPEC
19 SINOPEC
20 SINOPEC
21 SINOPEC
22 SINOPEC
23 Yamal
24 Yamal
25 Yamal
26 Petronet
27 E.ON
28 E.ON
Petrobras
2 Petrobras
3 Petrobras
4 Petrobras
5 Tullow Ghana
ex.Australia
ex.Australia
ex.USA
ex.USA
ex.USA
ex.USA
ex.USA
ex.USA
ex.Australia
16 ExxonMobil
Offshore businesses
2017
2018
2019
2020 (FY)
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020 (FY)
ex.Australia
ExxonMobil
14 ExxonMobil
15
2016
13
2015
ex.Australia
2014
[Supplement #9]
6 GDF Suez
To JAPAN
ex.Australia
ex.PNG
ex.Australia
ex.Australia
ex.Australia
ex.Australia
ex.Australia
ex.Australia
ex.Russia
ex.Russia
ex.Russia
ex.Australia
ex.USA
ex.USA
Brazil
Brazil
Brazil
Brazil
Ghana
Uruguay
To CHINA
To INDIA
To Europe
and others
2014
2015
FPSO
FSRU
18