Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
17R97
COSTESTIMATECLASSIFICATIONSYSTEM
TCMFramework:7.3CostEstimatingandBudgeting
Rev.November29,2011
Note:AsAACEInternationalRecommendedPracticesevolveovertime,pleaserefertowww.aacei.orgforthelatestrevisions.
Contributors:
Disclaimer:Theopinionsexpressedbytheauthorsandcontributorstothisrecommendedpracticearetheirown
anddonotnecessarilyreflectthoseoftheiremployers,unlessotherwisestated.
PeterChristensen,CCE(Author)
KennethK.Humphreys,PECCE
LarryR.Dysert,CCCCEP(Author)
DonaldF.McDonald,Jr.PECCEPSP
JenniferBates,CCE
C.ArthurMiller
JefferyJ.Borowicz,CCCCEPPSP
BernardA.Pietlock,CCCCEP
PeterR.Bredehoeft,Jr.CEP
ToddW.Pickett,CCCCEP
RobertB.Brown,PE
WesleyR.Querns,CCE
DorothyJ.Burton
DonL.Short,IICEP
H.LanceStephenson,CCC
RobertC.Creese,PECCE
JamesD.Whiteside,IIPE
JohnK.Hollmann,PECCECEP
CopyrightAACEInternational
AACEInternationalRecommendedPractices
AACEInternationalRecommendedPracticeNo.17R97
COSTESTIMATECLASSIFICATIONSYSTEM
TCMFramework: 7.3CostEstimatingandBudgeting
November29,2011
PURPOSE
AsarecommendedpracticeofAACEInternational,theCostEstimateClassificationSystemprovidesguidelinesfor
applying the general principles of estimate classification to asset project cost estimates. Asset project cost
estimatestypicallyinvolveestimatesforcapitalinvestment,andexcludeoperatingandlifecycleevaluations.The
CostEstimateClassificationSystemmapsthephasesandstagesofassetcostestimatingtogetherwithageneric
maturityandqualitymatrixthatcanbeappliedacrossawidevarietyofindustries.
Thisguidelineanditsaddendahavebeendevelopedinawaythat:
provides common understanding of the concepts involved with classifying project cost estimates,
regardlessofthetypeofenterpriseorindustrytheestimatesrelateto;
fullydefinesandcorrelatesthemajorcharacteristicsusedinclassifyingcostestimatessothatenterprises
mayunambiguouslydeterminehowtheirpracticescomparetotheguidelines;
uses the maturity level of project definition deliverables as the primary characteristic to categorize
estimateclasses;and
reflectsgenerallyacceptedpracticesinthecostengineeringprofession.
An intent of the guideline is to improve communication among all of the stakeholders involved with preparing,
evaluating,andusingprojectcostestimates.Thevariouspartiesthatuseprojectcostestimatesoftenmisinterpret
thequalityandvalueoftheinformationavailabletopreparecostestimates,thevariousmethodsemployedduring
theestimatingprocess,theaccuracylevelexpectedfromestimates,andthelevelofriskassociatedwithestimates.
Thisclassificationguidelineisintendedtohelpthoseinvolvedwithprojectestimatestoavoidmisinterpretationof
the various classes of cost estimates and to avoid their misapplication and misrepresentation. Improving
communications about estimate classifications reduces business costs and project cycle times by avoiding
inappropriate business and financial decisions, actions, delays, or disputes caused by misunderstandings of cost
estimatesandwhattheyareexpectedtorepresent.
Thisdocumentisintendedtoprovideaguideline,notastandard.Itisunderstoodthateachenterprisemayhave
its own project and estimating processes and terminology, and may classify estimates in particular ways. This
guidelineprovidesagenericandgenerallyacceptableclassificationsystemthatcanbeusedasabasistocompare
against.Ifanenterpriseororganizationhasnotyetformallydocumenteditsownestimateclassificationscheme,
thenthisguidelinemayprovideanacceptablestartingpoint.
INTRODUCTION
AnAACEInternationalguidelineforcostestimateclassificationfortheprocessindustrieswasdevelopedinthelate
1960sorearly1970s,andasimplifiedversionwasadoptedasanANSIStandardZ94.0in1972.Thoseguidelines
and standards enjoyed reasonably broad acceptance within the engineering and construction communities and
withintheprocessindustries.However,inthe1980s,empiricalresearchonthecorrelationofthematuritylevelof
project definition and cost growth and schedule slip led to better understanding of project risks and the wide
implementation of project phase or stagegate scope development processes [3]. This recommended practice
guideanditsaddenda,inconsiderationofthisresearchimproveupontheearlierstandardsby:
1. providingaclassificationmethodapplicableacrossallindustries;
2. unambiguously identifying, crossreferencing, benchmarking, and empirically evaluating the multiple
characteristicsrelatedtotheclassofcostestimate;and
3. aligningwithtypicalphasegateprojectscopedefinitionpractices.
CopyrightAACEInternational
AACEInternationalRecommendedPractices
17R97:CostEstimateClassificationSystem
2 of7
November 29,2011
Thisguidelineisintendedtoprovideagenericmethodologyfortheclassificationofprojectcostestimatesinany
industry, and will be supplemented with addenda that will provide extensions and additional detail for specific
industries.
CLASSIFICATIONMETHODOLOGY
There are numerous characteristics that can be used to categorize cost estimate types. The most significant of
thesearethematuritylevelofprojectdefinitiondeliverables,endusageoftheestimate,estimatingmethodology,
and the effort and time needed to prepare the estimate. The primary characteristic used in this guideline to
definetheclassificationcategoryisthematuritylevelofprojectdefinitiondeliverables.Theothercharacteristics
aresecondary.
Categorizing cost estimates by maturity level of project definition is in keeping with the AACE International
philosophyoftotalcostmanagement,whichisaqualitydrivenprocessappliedduringtheentireprojectlifecycle.
Thediscretelevelsofprojectdefinitionusedforclassifyingestimatescorrespondtothetypicalphasesandgatesof
evaluation,authorization,andexecutionoftenusedbyprojectstakeholdersduringaprojectlifecycle.
Primary
Characteristic
MATURITYLEVEL
OFPROJECT
DEFINITION
ESTIMATECLASS
DELIVERABLES
SecondaryCharacteristic
PREPARATION
EFFORT
ENDUSAGE
METHODOLOGY
Typicalpurposeof
estimate
Typicalestimating
method
Stochastic
(factorsand/or
models)or
judgment
4to20
Expressedas%of
completedefinition
Notes:
EXPECTED
ACCURACY
RANGE
Typicaldegreeof
Typical+/range
relativetoindexof1 effortrelativetoleast
[b]
costindexof1
(i.e.Class1estimate)
[a]
Class5
0%to2%
Screeningor
feasibility
Class4
1%to15%
Conceptstudyor
feasibility
Primarily
stochastic
3to12
2to4
Class3
10%to40%
Budget
authorizationor
control
Mixedbut
primarily
stochastic
2to6
3to10
Class2
30%to75%
Controlor
bid/tender
Primarily
deterministic
1to3
5to20
Class1
65%to100%
Checkestimate
orbid/tender
Deterministic
10to100
[a]Iftherangeindexvalueof"1"represents+10/5%,thenanindexvalueof10represents+100/50%.
[b]Ifthecostindexvalueof"1"represents0.005%ofprojectcosts,thenanindexvalueof100represents0.5%.
Table1GenericCostEstimateClassificationMatrix
Five cost estimate classes have been established. While the maturity level of project definition is a continuous
spectrum, it was determined from benchmarking industry practices that three to five discrete categories are
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AACEInternationalRecommendedPractices