Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Unidad 1 Actividad 2
Modelacin Estocstica
Unidad 1 Actividad 2
Para realizar las pruebas de bondad de ajuste es necesario:
1.
2.
Elaborar el histograma
3.
4.
Es importante que grafique su frecuencia esperada en el histograma. Si es discreta el resultado es puntual y si es continua es necesario
trabajar con integrales.
5.
2 , para verificar que los datos proporcionados en cada caso encajan en el modelo que se propone en los
1.
Se tom la muestra a las personas que compraban tortillas con los siguiente datos:
Clase
Frecuencia
1.0914384
1
1.42301676
1
1.75459512
5
2.08617348
8
2.41775184
12
2.7493302
9
3.08090856
8
Variable aleatoria:
: Muestra en kilogramos de tortillas de la persona
n
Espacio de estados:
: [0, ]
Kilogramos de tortillas
Continuo.
Espacio paramtrico:
: {1,2,3, ,44} la t-sima persona
Discreto.
14
12
10
Tabla de frecuencias
i
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Totales
Lim inf.
0
1.0914384
1.42301676
1.75459512
2.08617348
2.41775184
2.7493302
Lim Sup
1.0914384
1.42301676
1.75459512
2.08617348
2.41775184
2.7493302
3.08090856
amplitud
1.0914384
0.33157836
0.33157836
0.33157836
0.33157836
0.33157836
0.33157836
Xi
0.5457192
1.25722758
1.58880594
1.9203843
2.25196266
2.58354102
2.91511938
13.06276008
fi
1
1
5
8
12
9
8
44
Xifi
0.5457192
1.25722758
7.9440297
15.3630744
27.02355192
23.25186918
23.32095504
98.70642702
2.243327887
xi-
-1.697608687
-0.986100307
-0.654521947
-0.322943587
0.008634773
0.340213133
0.671791493
(xi-)2
2.881875254
0.972393815
0.428398979
0.10429256
7.45593E-05
0.115744976
0.45130381
2
fi(xi-)2
2.881875254
0.972393815
2.141994894
0.834340482
0.000894712
1.041704784
3.610430482
11.48363442
0.267061266
Como sabemos, por los datos proporcionados, tenemos que tomar en consideracin que:
() = 2.5
= 0.7
Funcin de densidad
() =
() =
1 () 2
(
)
2
1
(0.7) 2
1 2.5 2
(
)
0.7
Intervalo
1
2
3
4
Lmite
Lmite
Inferior
Superior
1.0914384
1.0914384
1.42301676
1.75459512
Funcin de densidad
1.42301676
1.75459512
2.08617348
2.08617348
2.41775184
2.41775184
2.7493302
2.7493302
3.08090856
1 () =
2 () =
3 () =
4 () =
5 () =
6 () =
7 () =
1.0914384
1
(0.7) 2
1 2.5 2
(
)
0.7
(0.7) 2
(0.7) 2
(0.7) 2
(0.7) 2
2.7493302
(0.7) 2
1 2.5 2
(
)
0.7
1 2.5 2
(
)
0.7
1 2.5 2
(
)
0.7
1 2.5 2
(
)
0.7
0.0815113
0.133731
0.176033
0.185916
2.41775184
3.08090856
(0.7) 2
2.08617348
1
1
1 2.5 2
(
)
0.7
0.0398596
1.75459512
2.41775184
1.42301676
2.08617348
1 2.5 2
(
)
0.7
1.0914384
1.75459512
0.0219203
0
1.42301676
()
0.157544
2.7493302
i
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Totales
Lim inf.
0
1.0914384
1.42301676
1.75459512
2.08617348
2.41775184
2.7493302
Lim Sup
1.0914384
1.42301676
1.75459512
2.08617348
2.41775184
2.7493302
3.08090856
amplitud
1.0914384
0.33157836
0.33157836
0.33157836
0.33157836
0.33157836
0.33157836
fOi
1
1
5
8
12
9
8
44
Fi (x)= fi (x)dx
0.0219203
0.0398596
0.0815113
0.133731
0.176033
0.185916
0.157544
FEi=N*Fi (x)
0.9644932
1.7538224
3.5864972
5.884164
7.745452
8.180304
6.931936
(Fe i-Foi)2
0.001260733
0.568248211
1.997990166
4.476761979
18.10117868
0.671901532
1.140760708
(Fe i-Foi)2/FEi
0.001307145
0.324005561
0.557086777
0.760815297
2.337007406
0.082136499
0.164565961
4.226924646
Frecuencias Esperadas
14
12
12
10
fOi
FEi=N*Fi (x)
1
1
5
8
12
9
8
0.9644932
1.7538224
3.5864972
5.884164
7.745452
8.180304
6.931936
7.745452
8.180304
8
6.931936
5.884164
FEi=N*Fi (x)
5
3.5864972
4
1.7538224
1 0.9644932
0
1
fOi
Hiptesis
: (2.5,0.7)
: (2.5,0.7)
= 4.226924646
2
Por lo que tomando en consideracin que para calcular ,
Con un nivel de confianza del 95% y con = 0.05, =
1 donde = 7 = 7 1 = 6
2 = 4.226924646
2 0.05,6 = 12.5915
2
Tal que:
2
5%,6
: (2.5,0.7)
: (2.5,0.7)
Por lo que la hiptesis alterna se rechaza.
2. Los tiempos entre llegadas de unos trabajadores a la oficina por la maana diarias se muestran a
continuacin:
Clase
Frecuencia
3.04820223
3.89219203
10
4.73618182
5.58017162
6.42416142
7.26815121
8.11214101
11
8.95613081
Espacio de estados:
: [0,24]
Lim inf.
0
3.04820223
3.89219203
4.73618182
5.58017162
6.42416142
7.26815121
8.11214101
Lim Sup
3.04820223
3.89219203
4.73618182
5.58017162
6.42416142
7.26815121
8.11214101
8.95613081
amplitud
3.04820223
0.8439898
0.84398979
0.8439898
0.8439898
0.84398979
0.8439898
0.8439898
Xi
1.524101115
3.47019713
4.314186925
5.15817672
6.00216652
6.846156315
7.69014611
8.53413591
35.00513084
fi
1
10
5
9
9
6
11
9
60
Xifi
1.524101115
34.7019713
21.57093463
46.42359048
54.01949868
41.07693789
84.59160721
76.80722319
360.7158645
6.011931075
xi-
-4.48782996
-2.541733945
-1.69774415
-0.853754355
-0.009764555
0.83422524
1.678215035
2.522204835
(xi-)2
20.14061775
6.460411446
2.882335198
0.728896498
9.53465E-05
0.695931751
2.816405704
6.361517231
2
fi(xi-)2
20.14061775
64.60411446
14.41167599
6.560068486
0.000858119
4.175590508
30.98046275
57.25365507
198.1270431
3.358085477
12
11
10
10
9
6
6
5
2
1
Funcin de densidad
Despejando:
Tal que: () =
Como el dato que se nos proporciona es = 6.2 tenemos entonces que para sustituir consideramos este dato-
() =
Lmite Inferior
Lmite Superior
3.04820223
3.04820223
3.89219203
1 1
1 1
=
6.2
6.2
3.04820223
1 () =
0
3.89219203
2 () =
3.04820223
3.89219203
4.73618182
4.73618182
5.58017162
5.58017162
6.42416142
6.42416142
7.26815121
7.26815121
8.11214101
4.73618182
3 () =
3.89219203
5.58017162
4 () =
4.73618182
6.42416142
5 () =
5.58017162
7.26815121
6 () =
6.42416142
8.11214101
7 () =
7.26815121
8.11214101
8.95613081
8.95613081
8 () =
8.11214101
i
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Lim inf.
0
3.04820223
3.89219203
4.73618182
5.58017162
6.42416142
7.26815121
8.11214101
Lim Sup
3.04820223
3.89219203
4.73618182
5.58017162
6.42416142
7.26815121
8.11214101
8.95613081
amplitud
3.04820223
0.8439898
0.84398979
0.8439898
0.8439898
0.84398979
0.8439898
0.8439898
fOi
1
10
5
9
9
6
11
9
60
Totales
fOi
1
10
5
9
9
6
11
9
60
FEi=N*Fi (x)
23.30286
4.670394
4.075998
3.55725
3.104526
2.70942
2.364594
2.063658
()
Funcin de densidad
0.388381
1 1
6.2
6.2
1 1
6.2
6.2
0.0778399
1 1
6.2
6.2
0.0679333
1 1
6.2
6.2
0.0592875
1 1
6.2
6.2
0.0517421
1 1
6.2
6.2
0.045157
1 1
6.2
6.2
0.0394099
1 1
6.2
6.2
0.0343943
Fi (x)= fi (x)dx
0.388381
0.0778399
0.0679333
0.0592875
0.0517421
0.045157
0.0394099
0.0343943
(Fei-Foi)2
497.4175642
28.40470012
0.853779696
29.62352756
34.75661368
10.82791674
74.57023678
48.11284034
FEi=N*Fi (x)
23.30286
4.670394
4.075998
3.55725
3.104526
2.70942
2.364594
2.063658
Comparativ o de Frecuencias
25
23.30286
20
15
11
10
10
4.670394
6
4.075998
3.55725
3.104526
2.70942
2.364594
2.063658
0
1
5
fOi
FEi=N*Fi (x)
(Fei-Foi)2 /FEi
21.34577319
6.081863782
0.20946519
8.327648482
11.19546549
3.996396548
31.53616933
23.31434779
106.0071298
: (6.2)
: (6.2)
2 = 106.0071298
2 0.05,6 = 14.06714045
2
Tal que
2
5%,6
es decir, no es verdad que 106.0071298 14.06714045 as entonces es falsa la , y se acepta la hiptesis alternativa
: (6.2)
: (6.2)
CAJAS
FRECUENCIA
12
10
Al contabilizar los datos, nos damos cuenta de que no son 45 cajas sino 50 de 10
lpices cada uno, tal que = 10
14
12
12
10
10
10
50
6
4
0
0
Variable aleatoria:
: Nmero de lpices con punta en la caja n
Espacio de estados:
: {0,1.2.3 10}
10
Clculo de Probabilidad
=
=1
(1 1) + (2 1) + (3 1) + (4 4) + (5 9) + (6 9) + (7 12) + (8 10) + (9 3)
=
= 312/500 = 0.624
(50 10)
Varianza:
= = (1 )
2 = 50 0.624 (1 0.624) = 11.7312
Columna1
fi
0
1
1
1
4
9
9
12
10
3
0
50
1
10
45
120
210
252
210
120
45
10
1
p
0.624
0.624
0.624
0.624
0.624
0.624
0.624
0.624
0.624
0.624
0.624
q
0.376
0.376
0.376
0.376
0.376
0.376
0.376
0.376
0.376
0.376
0.376
pi
1
0.624
0.389376
0.242970624
0.151613669
0.09460693
0.059034724
0.036837668
0.022986705
0.014343704
0.008950471
q N-i
Columna2
0.0000564778882
0.000056477888
0.0001502071494
0.000937292612
0.0003994870996
0.006999781000
0.0010624656903
0.030977754211
0.0028257066232
0.089967307442
0.0075151771894
0.179168935672
0.0199871733760
0.247786825929
0.0531573760000
0.234983251337
0.1413760000000
0.146239576630
0.3760000000000
0.053932326133
1.0000000000000
0.008950471145
1.000000000000
i
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
fOi
0
1
1
1
4
9
9
12
10
3
0
50
Columna2
0.000056477888
0.000937292612
0.006999781000
0.030977754211
0.089967307442
0.179168935672
0.247786825929
0.234983251337
0.146239576630
0.053932326133
0.008950471145
1.000000000000
FEi
0.002823894
0.046864631
0.34998905
1.548887711
4.498365372
8.958446784
12.3893413
11.74916257
7.311978832
2.696616307
0.447523557
50
(Fe i-Foi)2
(Fe i-Foi)2/Fe i
0.000007974380
0.002823894
0.908467032356
19.38491823
0.422514235148
1.207221298
0.301277718783
0.194512305
0.248368044113
0.055212955
0.001726669794
0.000192742
11.487634423899
0.927219143
0.062919417866
0.005355226
7.225457802296
0.988167221
0.092041665389
0.034132281
0.200277334315
0.447523557
23.24727885
Frecuencias esperadas
Comparativa de Frecuencias
fOi
FEi
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
fOi
10
11
12
10
FEi 0.002823894409 0.046864630624 0.349989049978 1.548887710541 4.498365372104 8.958446783595 12.389341296462 11.749162566857 7.311978831502 2.696616306653 0.447523557274
2 = 23.24727885
:
:
2
Por lo que tomando en consideracin que para calcular ,
Con un nivel de confianza del 95% y con = 0.05, =
1 donde = 11 = 11 1 = 10
2
0.05,6
= 18.307
2 = 23.24727885
2 0.05,6 = 18.307
Tal que 2 2 5%,6 es decir, no es verdad que 23.24727885 18.307 as entonces es falsa la , y se acepta la hiptesis alternativa
:
:
Por lo que el modelo no es el adecuado.
4. En una tienda se contabilizo el nmero de personas que ingresan por minuto los sbados:
fi
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
3
5
7
10
7
6
9
7
3
5
3
5
70
12
10
10
9
6
6
0
fi
10
11
12
10
Variable aleatoria:
: Nmero de personas que ingresan al minuto n
Espacio de estados:
: {0,1.2.3 19}
(8 + 20)
= 14
2
10
() =
1
1
1
=
=
= 0.076923
+ 1 20 8 + 1 13
=
= (0.076923)(70) = 5.38461
FOi
(FEi-FOi) 2
5.686364852
0.147924852
2.609484852
21.30182485
2.609484852
0.378704852
13.07104485
2.609484852
5.686364852
0.147924852
5.686364852
0.147924852
FEi
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
3
5
7
10
7
6
9
7
3
5
3
5
70
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
(FEi-FOi) 2/Fei
1.056040243
0.027471786
0.4846191
3.956057143
0.4846191
0.070330971
2.427482186
0.4846191
1.056040243
0.027471786
1.056040243
0.027471786
11.15826369
Comparativo de Frecuencias
12
10
10
6
6
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
11
10
11
FOi
10
FEi
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
5.38461
FOi
FEi
Hiptesis
:
:
2
Por lo que tomando en consideracin que para calcular ,
Con un nivel de confianza del 95% y con = 0.05, =
1 donde = 12 = 12 1 = 11
12
2 = 11.15826369
2 0.05,6 = 19.6751
Tal que 2 2 5%,6 es decir, no es verdad que 11.15826369 19.6751 as entonces es verdadera la , y se rechaza la hiptesis alternativa
:
:
12
5. Se tom el tiempo en minutos que realizan una tarea ciertos trabajadores, teniendo:
Clase
0
1
2
3
4
5
Frecuencia
9
17
24
14
5
1
Espacio de estados:
: {0,1,2,3 5}
25
24
20
Clase
0
1
2
3
4
5
15
17
15
14
10
5
5
1
0
Series1
Clase
13
0
1
2
3
4
5
17
24
14
Frecuencia
xifi
9
0
17
17
24
48
14
42
5
20
1
5
70
132
2 = = 1.885714286
1.885714286
1.885714286
1.885714286
1.885714286
1.885714286
1.885714286
0.151720649
0.151720649
0.151720649
0.151720649
0.151720649
0.151720649
1
1.885714286
3.555918367
6.705446064
12.64455544
23.84401882
Frecuencia
xifi
9
0
17
17
24
48
14
42
5
20
1
5
70
132
2 = = 1.885714286
i!
1
1
2
6
24
120
0.151720648824
0.286101794925
0.269753120929
0.169559104584
0.079935006447
0.030146916717
FEi
10.62044542
20.02712564
18.88271847
11.86913732
5.595450451
2.11028417
30
25
24
20.02712564
20
18.88271847
17
15
14
11.86913732
10.62044542
10
5.595450451
5
2.11028417
1
0
Frecuencia
FEi
17
24
14
10.62044542
20.02712564
18.88271847
11.86913732
5.595450451
2.11028417
Frecuencia
Frecuencia
9
17
24
14
5
1
70
FEi
10.62044542
20.02712564
18.88271847
11.86913732
5.595450451
2.11028417
FEi
:
:
i
0
1
2
3
4
5
Frecuencia
9
17
24
14
5
1
70
POi
0.128571429
0.242857143
0.342857143
0.2
0.071428571
0.014285714
POAi
0.128571429
0.371428571
0.714285714
0.914285714
0.985714286
1
PEi
0.151720649
0.286101795
0.269753121
0.169559105
0.079935006
0.030146917
0.987216592
PEAi
0.151720649
0.437822444
0.707575565
0.877134669
0.957069676
0.987216592
|PEAi-POAi|
0.02314922
0.066393872
0.00671015
0.037151045
0.02864461
0.012783408
0.066393872
Mxima Dif.
14
6. Se obtiene la vida promedio de personas que ingresan al metro, con los siguiente datos:
0.70120322
9.97873876
18.7561847
27.3652487
44.6405235
62.8232799
85.1637501
3.82789478
10.4324095
21.0961748
33.3724211
49.2872791
65.805463
88.5501612
5.43514037
10.7477322
21.3757331
35.3364142
49.91846
65.9319183
96.8310868
5.48110465
11.3059722
21.8552695
36.6282326
51.7038666
73.5950729
101.110284
6.91737817
11.9890375
22.5434452
36.911625
53.1931192
74.4250676
104.667995
7.70391816
13.0186768
22.626089
38.2818254
55.2318917
77.5394686
9.09879
13.022481
23.1485612
38.9249779
56.2538601
80.6805492
9.38465352
13.4822421
23.5840051
41.7872349
57.7088051
82.2909594
9.60111043
15.7615228
24.7681849
41.9393261
59.3898376
82.7846535
9.82601946
18.0732355
25.4762678
43.6993096
59.9264263
84.3736025
Variable aleatoria:
: Vida promedio de la persona n
Espacio de estados:
: [0,105]
16
14
13
12
10
10
15
Series1
18
13
10
= 1 = 0.0142857142857143
2
Lmite Inferior
0.70120322
15.55360205
30.40600087
45.2583997
60.11079852
74.96319735
89.81559617
amplitud
Lmite Superior
14.85239883
15.55360205
14.85239883
30.40600087
14.85239883
45.2583997
14.85239883
60.11079852
14.85239883
74.96319735
14.85239883
89.81559617
14.85239883
104.667995
Frecuencia
18
13
10
9
5
7
3
xi
8.127402633
22.97980146
37.83220028
52.68459911
67.53699794
82.38939676
97.24179559
fixi
146.2932474
298.737419
378.3220028
474.161392
337.6849897
576.7257773
291.7253868
2503.650215
38.51769561
65
xi-
-30.39029298
-15.53789416
-0.68549533
14.1669035
29.01930232
43.87170115
58.72409997
(xi-)2
923.5699075
241.4261548
0.469903848
200.7011546
842.1199072
1924.726162
3448.519918
2
fi(xi-)2
16624.25834
3138.540012
4.69903848
1806.310392
4210.599536
13473.08313
10345.55975
49603.0502
775.0476593
Probabilidades Esperadas
=
Despejando:
Tal que
() =
() =
1 1
1 1
=
70
70
Lmite Superior
() =
()
0.7012032
15.5536020
15.5536020
30.4060009
15.5536020
1 () =
0.7012032
30.4060009
2 () =
15.5536020
30.4060009
45.2583997
45.2583997
60.1107985
45.2583997
3 () =
30.4060009
60.1107985
4 () =
45.2583997
60.1107985
74.9631973
74.9631973
89.8155962
74.9631973
5 () =
60.1107985
89.8155962
6 () =
74.9631973
89.8155962
104.6679950
1 1
70
70
0.189273
1 1
70
70
0.153088
1 1
70
70
0.123821
1 1
70
70
0.100149
1 1
70
70
0.081002
1 1
70
70
0.065519
104.6679950
7 () =
89.8155962
1 1
70
70
0.05299
16
Lmite Inferior
0.70120322
2
3
4
5
6
7
15.55360205
30.40600087
45.2583997
60.11079852
74.96319735
89.81559617
amplitud
Lmite Superior
14.85239883
14.85239883
14.85239883
14.85239883
14.85239883
14.85239883
14.85239883
15.55360205
30.40600087
45.2583997
60.11079852
74.96319735
89.81559617
104.667995
Frecuencia
xi
18
13
10
9
5
7
3
fixi
8.127402633
22.97980146
37.83220028
52.68459911
67.53699794
82.38939676
97.24179559
65
146.2932474
298.737419
378.3220028
474.161392
337.6849897
576.7257773
291.7253868
2503.650215
38.51769561
xi-
(xi-)2
-30.39029298
-15.53789416
-0.68549533
14.1669035
29.01930232
43.87170115
58.72409997
fi(xi-)2
923.5699075
241.4261548
0.469903848
200.7011546
842.1199072
1924.726162
3448.519918
2
16624.25834
3138.540012
4.69903848
1806.310392
4210.599536
13473.08313
10345.55975
49603.0502
775.0476593
PEx
0.189273
0.153088
0.123821
0.100149
0.081002
0.065519
0.05299
Hiptesis
:
:
Frecuencia
POi
POAi
PEi
PEAi
|PEAi-POAi|
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
18
13
10
9
5
7
3
65
0.276923077
0.2
0.153846154
0.138461538
0.076923077
0.107692308
0.046153846
0.276923077
0.476923077
0.630769231
0.769230769
0.846153846
0.953846154
1
0.189273
0.153088
0.123821
0.100149
0.081002
0.065519
0.05299
0.712852
0.189273
0.342361
0.466182
0.566331
0.647333
0.712852
0.765842
0.087650077
0.134562077
0.164587231
0.202899769
0.198820846
0.240994154
0.234158
0.240994154
Mxima Dif.
17
FEi
12.302745
9.95072
8.048365
6.509685
5.26513
4.258735
3.44435
7. Se tom en la colonia el consumo bimestral de los vecinos en kilowatts, teniendo los siguientes datos:
Espacio de estados:
: {0,1.2.3 39}
Kilowatts de uso
20
18
16
14
12
12
10
8
Series1
12
18
18
18
lmite inferior
amplitud
lmite superior
fi
xi
fixi
xi-
(xi-)2
fi(xi-) 2
15
18
16.5
49.5
-9.95
99.0025
297.0075
18
21
19.5
156
-6.95
48.3025
386.42
21
24
22.5
180
-3.95
15.6025
124.82
24
27
12
25.5
306
-0.95
0.9025
10.83
27
30
18
28.5
513
2.05
4.2025
75.645
30
33
31.5
94.5
5.05
25.5025
76.5075
33
36
34.5
138
8.05
64.8025
259.21
36
39
37.5
150
11.05
122.1025
1587
488.41
1718.85
26.45
29.13305085
Tal que:
=
. .
PEi
FEi
0.035930319
2.155819147
-1.2
0.11506967
0.079139351
4.748361067
-0.6
0.274253118
0.195113767
11.706826
12
0.5
0.304886233
18.293174
30
18
0.6
0.725746882
0.274253118
16.45518707
33
1.2
0.88493033
0.11506967
6.904180213
36
1.8
0.964069681
0.035930319
2.155819147
39
2.4
0.991802464
0.008197536
0.491852155
lmite inferior
amplitud
lmite superior
FOi
Zi
15
18
-1.8
18
21
21
24
24
27
27
30
33
36
Comparativo de Frecuencias
20
18.293174
18
18
16.45518707
16
14
11.706826
12
12
10
8
6.904180213
6
4.748361067
4
4
2.155819147
2.155819147
2
0.491852155
0
FOi
12
18
FEi
2.155819147
4.748361067
11.706826
18.293174
16.45518707
6.904180213
2.155819147
0.491852155
FOi
FEi
Hiptesis
19
:
:
DISTR.NORM.EST(Z
i) PEAi
0.035930319
0.0140696809
-1.2
0.11506967
0.0682636631
-0.6
0.274253118
0.0424135489
0.5166666667
0.5
0.0166666667
49
0.8166666667
0.6
0.725746882
0.0909197844
52
0.8666666667
1.2
0.88493033
0.0182636631
56
0.9333333333
1.8
0.964069681
0.0307363476
60
1.0000000000
2.4
0.991802464
0.0081975359
Mxima Diferencia
0.0909197844
lmite inferior
amplitud
lmite superior
FOi
FOAi
POAi
Zi
15
18
0.0500000000
-1.8
18
21
11
0.1833333333
21
24
19
0.3166666667
24
27
12
31
27
30
18
30
33
33
36
36
39
|PEAi-POAi|
20
10
9
9
8
8
7
7
6
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Series1
10
Variable aleatoria:
: Cantidad de tazas de caf que se preparan en una cafetera en el da n
Espacio de estados:
: {0,1,2,3 20}
21
FOi
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
4
5
5
8
7
5
6
4
9
7
60
(10 + 20)
= 15
2
() =
1
1
1
=
=
= 0.090909~
+ 1 20 10 + 1 11
=
= (0.090909~)(60) = 5.4545~
FOi
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
(FEi-FOi) 2
2.115701157
0.206611157
0.206611157
6.479341157
2.388431157
0.206611157
0.297521157
2.115701157
12.57025116
2.388431157
FEi
4
5
5
8
7
5
6
4
9
7
60
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
(FOi-FOi) 2/FEi
0.387878578
0.037878715
0.037878715
1.187879311
0.437879082
0.037878715
0.05454555
0.387878578
2.304546238
0.437879082
5.312122564
Comparativo de frecuencias
10
9
9
8
8
7
7
6
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5
4
4
3
2
1
0
FOi
FEi
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
5.454545
FOi
10
FEi
Hiptesis
:
:
22
2
Por lo que tomando en consideracin que para calcular ,
Con un nivel de confianza del 95% y con = 0.05, =
1 donde = 10 = 10 1 = 9
2 = 5.31212256388938
2 0.05,6 = 16.919
Tal que 2 2 5%,6 es decir, no es verdad que 5.31212256388938 16.919 as entonces es verdadera la , y se rechaza la hiptesis alternativa
:
:
23
Hola Laura espero te encuentres bien, te felicito por tu dedicacin y empeo por realizar las
actividades. Para esta actividad el objetivo es utilizar la prueba de bondad de
ajuste 2 y Kolmogorov Smirnov en una distribucin propuesta a probar. Los enlaces que
pueden apoyarte son:
http://www.itch.edu.mx/academic/industrial/estadistica1/cap04b.html
http://www.ccee.edu.uy/ensenian/catest2/Material/PRACTICA_13_SOL09.pdf
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JKM5lRb2xh4
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DmMs8G9o8QU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=65rZxhWf3G8