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• Alexander Mitterfellner, IMCA Annual Conference 2015, Abu Dhabi Dynamic prediction and advisory system integration

Alexander Mitterfellner, IMCA Annual Conference 2015, Abu Dhabi

Dynamic prediction and advisory system integration for optimizing offshore operations

Dhabi Dynamic prediction and advisory system integration for optimizing offshore operations © ABB October 27th, 2015

© ABB October 27th, 2015

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Introduction to offshore ops

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Introduction to offshore ops

- Bigger in size

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Introduction to offshore ops

- Bigger in size

- More complex

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Introduction to offshore ops

- Bigger in size

- More complex

- Harsher environments

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Introduction to offshore ops

- Bigger in size

- More complex

- Harsher environments

- Increased risk

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Cable and Pipe Laying

- Oil & Gas

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Cable and Pipe Laying - Oil & Gas ABB

Cable and Pipe Laying

- Oil & Gas

- Communications

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Cable and Pipe Laying - Oil & Gas - Communications ABB

Cable and Pipe Laying

- Oil & Gas

- Communications

- Power (i.e. Offshore Wind)

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Cable and Pipe Laying - Oil & Gas - Communications - Power (i.e. Offshore Wind) ABB

Environment

Waves
Waves

Multiple wave systems

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Environment Waves Multiple wave systems ABB

Environment

Waves
Waves

Multiple wave systems

Environment Waves Multiple wave systems Varying in depth ABB
Environment Waves Multiple wave systems Varying in depth ABB

Varying in depth

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Environment Waves Multiple wave systems Varying in depth ABB
Varying in height Environment Waves Multiple wave systems Varying in depth ABB

Varying in height

Environment

Waves
Waves

Multiple wave systems

Varying in height Environment Waves Multiple wave systems Varying in depth ABB
Varying in height Environment Waves Multiple wave systems Varying in depth ABB

Varying in depth

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Varying in height Environment Waves Multiple wave systems Varying in depth ABB

Vessel Motions

Heave Sway Roll Pitch Yaw
Heave
Sway
Roll
Pitch
Yaw

Surge

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Vessel Motions Heave Sway Roll Pitch Yaw Surge ABB

Vessel Motions

Heave Sway Roll Pitch Yaw
Heave
Sway
Roll
Pitch
Yaw

Surge

- Environment Vessel motions

- Limited motion control

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Vessel Motions Heave Sway Roll Pitch Yaw Surge - Environment  Vessel motions - Limited motion

Vessel Motions

Heave Sway Roll Pitch Yaw
Heave
Sway
Roll
Pitch
Yaw

Surge

- Environment Vessel motions

- Limited motion control

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Vessel Motions Heave Sway Roll Pitch Yaw Surge - Environment  Vessel motions - Limited motion

Resulting Forces

Forces and moments from ship motions and gravity

Forces Forces and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces
Forces Forces and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces

Strain and tension

and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces (Static and
and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces (Static and

Touchdown fatigue

Hydromechanical Forces (Static and dynamic)

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moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces (Static and dynamic)

Resulting Forces

Forces and moments from ship motions and gravity

Forces Forces and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces
Forces Forces and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces

Strain and tension

and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces (Static and
and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces (Static and

Touchdown fatigue

Hydromechanical Forces (Static and dynamic)

- Vessel motion Line motion

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Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces (Static and dynamic) - Vessel motion  Line motion

Resulting Forces

Forces and moments from ship motions and gravity

Forces Forces and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces
Forces Forces and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces

Strain and tension

and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces (Static and
and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces (Static and

Touchdown fatigue

Hydromechanical Forces (Static and dynamic)

- Vessel motion Line motion

- Hydromechanical loads on line

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fatigue Hydromechanical Forces (Static and dynamic) - Vessel motion  Line motion - Hydromechanical loads on

Exceedance of Limits

Forces and moments from ship motions and gravity

of Limits Forces and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical
of Limits Forces and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical

Strain and tension

and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces (Static and
and moments from ship motions and gravity Strain and tension Touchdown fatigue Hydromechanical Forces (Static and

Touchdown fatigue

Hydromechanical Forces (Static and dynamic)

- Vessel motion Line motion

- Hydromechanical loads on line

- Exceedance of limits Incident

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and dynamic) - Vessel motion  Line motion - Hydromechanical loads on line - Exceedance of
Accident - Failure of operation ABB

Accident

- Failure of operation

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Accident - Failure of operation ABB
Accident - Failure of operation - Loss of line ABB

Accident

- Failure of operation

- Loss of line

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Accident - Failure of operation - Loss of line ABB
Accident - Failure of operation - Loss of line - Consequences: Financial, environmental, human ABB

Accident

- Failure of operation

- Loss of line

- Consequences: Financial, environmental, human

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Accident - Failure of operation - Loss of line - Consequences: Financial, environmental, human ABB

Current solution/approach

Multiple weather forecasts

Current solution/approach • Multiple weather forecasts - Gather boundary conditions ABB

- Gather boundary conditions

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Current solution/approach

Multiple weather forecasts

Current solution/approach • Multiple weather forecasts - Gather boundary conditions - Evaluate quality of forecast in

- Gather boundary conditions

- Evaluate quality of forecast in function of time

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Current solution/approach

Multiple weather forecasts

Current solution/approach • Multiple weather forecasts - Gather boundary conditions - Evaluate quality of forecast in

- Gather boundary conditions

- Evaluate quality of forecast in function of time

- Use as input for the simulations

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Current solution/approach

Multiple simulations, multiple environments Operational envelope

Current solution/approach • Multiple simulations, multiple environments  Operational envelope ABB
Current solution/approach • Multiple simulations, multiple environments  Operational envelope ABB

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Current solution/approach

Multiple simulations, multiple environments Operational envelope

Multiple simulations, multiple environments  Operational envelope - Run multiple simulations with multiple inputs ABB

- Run multiple simulations with multiple inputs

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Current solution/approach

Multiple simulations, multiple environments Operational envelope

multiple environments  Operational envelope - Run multiple simulations with multiple inputs - Gather

- Run multiple simulations with multiple inputs

- Gather results of simulations

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Current solution/approach

Multiple simulations, multiple environments Operational envelope

multiple environments  Operational envelope - Run multiple simulations with multiple inputs - Gather

- Run multiple simulations with multiple inputs

- Gather results of simulations

- Create operational envelope/weather window

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Monitor current solution/approach

Motion monitoring Stay within set defined boundaries

Monitor current solution/approach • Motion monitoring  Stay within set defined boundaries ABB

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Monitor current solution/approach

Motion monitoring Stay within set defined boundaries

• Motion monitoring  Stay within set defined boundaries - Use motion sensors to monitor situation

- Use motion sensors to monitor situation

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Monitor current solution/approach

Motion monitoring Stay within set defined boundaries

Motion monitoring  Stay within set defined boundaries - Use motion sensors to monitor situation -

- Use motion sensors to monitor situation

- Forecast of motions based on weather forecast

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Monitor current solution/approach

Motion monitoring Stay within set defined boundaries

Motion monitoring  Stay within set defined boundaries - Use motion sensors to monitor situation -

- Use motion sensors to monitor situation

- Forecast of motions based on weather forecast

- Limited precision:

Decreased weather window and limited operations

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Current solution/approach

Some uncertainties High conservatisms and safety margins Narrow weather windows

Risk & Uncertainty Absolute certainty Uncertainty Some knowledge of probabilities and expected outcomes
Risk & Uncertainty
Absolute certainty
Uncertainty
Some knowledge of
probabilities and
expected outcomes

Probabilities and expected outcomes known

Probabilities and expected outcomes are unknown

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Current challenges

Trained simulation specialist required both onboard Automation eliminates the need for specialist onboard

Increased risk due to manual exchange and input of data Automated data exchange significantly reduces this risk

No real-time monitoring of line responses Real time monitoring and recording of line responses

Long setup time leads to idle time Reduced setup time: Longer workability – reduction of idle time

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Seeked solution: Automation

Trained simulation specialist required both onboard Automation eliminates the need for specialist onboard

Increased risk due to manual exchange and input of data Automated data exchange significantly reduces this risk

No real-time monitoring of line responses Real time monitoring and recording of line responses

Long setup time leads to idle time Reduced setup time: Longer workability – reduction of idle time

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• State of the art hydrodynamic solver – De facto industry standard • Time domain

State of the art hydrodynamic solver – De facto industry standard

Time domain based simulations

Accurate prediction of motions and strains

Multi Threaded

Requires Lay Model, RAOs, Environment, Boundary Conditions

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OCTOPUS-Onboard

E-mail measurements, statistics, status, alarms, configurations, reports to OCTOPUS-Online
E-mail
measurements,
statistics,
status, alarms,
configurations,
reports to
OCTOPUS-Online

CLIENTS

Voyage optimization

reports to OCTOPUS-Online CLIENTS Voyage optimization Heavy weather advice Performance monitoring Hydrodynamic

Heavy weather advice

CLIENTS Voyage optimization Heavy weather advice Performance monitoring Hydrodynamic model OCTOPUS-Server:

Performance monitoring

optimization Heavy weather advice Performance monitoring Hydrodynamic model OCTOPUS-Server: (Our “BLACKBOX”)
Hydrodynamic model OCTOPUS-Server: (Our “BLACKBOX”) Monitoring and data collection Data fusion and processing
Hydrodynamic model
OCTOPUS-Server:
(Our “BLACKBOX”)
Monitoring and data collection
Data fusion and processing
Forecasting of motions, speed loss, fuel consumption
Optimization of speed and heading
Data storage
Automatic generation of reports and KPIs
Send key-data to shore

SERVER

INPUTS

Stability data

GPS/gyro

Weather forecast

Sensors (motions, flow, torque,…)

/ g y r o Weather forecast Sensors (motions, flow, torque,…) © ABB Voyage and Operation

© ABB Voyage and Operation Advisory 6 October 2015

/ g y r o Weather forecast Sensors (motions, flow, torque,…) © ABB Voyage and Operation
/ g y r o Weather forecast Sensors (motions, flow, torque,…) © ABB Voyage and Operation
/ g y r o Weather forecast Sensors (motions, flow, torque,…) © ABB Voyage and Operation
/ g y r o Weather forecast Sensors (motions, flow, torque,…) © ABB Voyage and Operation
/ g y r o Weather forecast Sensors (motions, flow, torque,…) © ABB Voyage and Operation

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OCTOPUS-Onboard

E-mail measurements, statistics, status, alarms, configurations, reports to OCTOPUS-Online
E-mail
measurements,
statistics,
status, alarms,
configurations,
reports to
OCTOPUS-Online

CLIENTS

Motion Monitoring & Forecast

to OCTOPUS-Online CLIENTS Motion Monitoring & Forecast Line laying monitoring Hydrodynamic model OCTOPUS-Server:

Line laying monitoring

Motion Monitoring & Forecast Line laying monitoring Hydrodynamic model OCTOPUS-Server: (Our “BLACKBOX”)
Motion Monitoring & Forecast Line laying monitoring Hydrodynamic model OCTOPUS-Server: (Our “BLACKBOX”)
Hydrodynamic model OCTOPUS-Server: (Our “BLACKBOX”) Monitoring and data collection Data fusion and processing
Hydrodynamic model
OCTOPUS-Server:
(Our “BLACKBOX”)
Monitoring and data collection
Data fusion and processing
Forecasting of motions, speed loss, fuel consumption
Optimization of speed and heading
Data storage
Automatic generation of reports and KPIs
Send key-data to shore

SERVER

INPUTS

Stability data

GPS/gyro

Weather forecast

MRU

INPUTS Stability data G P S / g y r o Weather forecast MRU © ABB

© ABB Voyage and Operation Advisory 6 October 2015

INPUTS Stability data G P S / g y r o Weather forecast MRU © ABB
INPUTS Stability data G P S / g y r o Weather forecast MRU © ABB
INPUTS Stability data G P S / g y r o Weather forecast MRU © ABB
INPUTS Stability data G P S / g y r o Weather forecast MRU © ABB

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Codename OCTO-FLEX

The solution – Step 1: Onboard RAO forecast of line responses

• The solution – Step 1: Onboard RAO forecast of line responses - Run RAO +

- Run RAO + Weather based forecast for n minutes

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Codename OCTO-FLEX

The solution – Step 1: Onboard RAO forecast of line responses

solution – Step 1: Onboard RAO forecast of line responses - Run RAO + Weather based

- Run RAO + Weather based forecast for n minutes

- Repead forecast for weather forecast updates and/or changes in heading

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Codename OCTO-FLEX

The solution – Step 1: Onboard RAO forecast of line responses

solution – Step 1: Onboard RAO forecast of line responses - Run RAO + Weather based

- Run RAO + Weather based forecast for n minutes

- Repead forecast for weather forecast updates and/or changes in heading

- Continuously update forecast

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Codename OCTO-FLEX

The solution – Step 2: Real time MRU monitoring of line responses

- Read multiple real time MRU data

OCTO-FLEX • The solution – Step 2: Real time MRU monitoring of line responses - Read

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Codename OCTO-FLEX

The solution – Step 2: Real time MRU monitoring of line responses

- Read multiple real time MRU data

- Run continuous parallel simulations

2: Real time MRU monitoring of line responses - Read multiple real time MRU data -

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Codename OCTO-FLEX

The solution – Step 2: Real time MRU monitoring of line responses

- Read multiple real time MRU data

- Run continuous parallel simulations

- Overlap results

of line responses - Read multiple real time MRU data - Run continuous parallel simulations -

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Codename OCTO-FLEX

The solution – Step 2: Real time MRU monitoring of line responses

- Read multiple real time MRU data

- Run continuous parallel simulations

- Overlap results

- Close the loop by continuously monitoring forecasted versus real time

parallel simulations - Overlap results - Close the loop by continuously monitoring forecasted versus real time

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Automated Process Interface

Automated Process Interface ABB

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Risers

Risers Mooring - Towed systems Possible expansions - Deep sea installations Jacket installation Ship to ship/platform

Mooring

-

Towed systems

Possible expansions

-

Deep sea installations

- Towed systems Possible expansions - Deep sea installations Jacket installation Ship to ship/platform replenishment -

Jacket installation

expansions - Deep sea installations Jacket installation Ship to ship/platform replenishment - Buoy systems etc… ABB

Ship to ship/platform replenishment

-

Buoy systems etc…

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Conclusion/Summary

- Reduced planning time

- Increased weather window – longer lasting operations

- Increased safety – Risk reduction

- Long term fatigue analysis

- Predicted vs measured Adapt safety margins

- Re-evaluate conservatisms

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Q&A

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