Alexander Mitterfellner, IMCA Annual Conference 2015, Abu Dhabi

Dynamic prediction and advisory system

integration for optimizing offshore operations
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October 27th, 2015

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Introduction to offshore ops

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Introduction to offshore ops

- Bigger in size

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Introduction to offshore ops

- Bigger in size
- More complex

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Introduction to offshore ops

- Bigger in size
- More complex
- Harsher environments

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Introduction to offshore ops

- Bigger in size
- More complex
- Harsher environments
- Increased risk

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Cable and Pipe Laying

- Oil & Gas

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Cable and Pipe Laying

- Oil & Gas

- Communications

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Cable and Pipe Laying

- Oil & Gas

- Communications
- Power (i.e. Offshore Wind)

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Environment

Waves

Multiple wave systems

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Environment

Waves

Varying in depth
Multiple wave systems

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Environment

Varying in height

Waves

Varying in depth
Multiple wave systems

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Vessel Motions
Heave

Sway

Surge
Roll
Pitch
Yaw

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Vessel Motions
Heave

Sway

Surge
Roll
Pitch
Yaw

- Environment Vessel motions

- Limited motion control

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Vessel Motions
Heave

Sway

Surge
Roll
Pitch
Yaw

- Environment Vessel motions

- Limited motion control

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Resulting Forces
Forces and moments from
ship motions and gravity

Hydromechanical Forces
(Static and dynamic)

Strain and tension

Touchdown fatigue

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Resulting Forces
Forces and moments from
ship motions and gravity

- Vessel motion Line motion

Hydromechanical Forces
(Static and dynamic)

Strain and tension

Touchdown fatigue

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Resulting Forces
Forces and moments from
ship motions and gravity

- Vessel motion Line motion

Hydromechanical Forces
(Static and dynamic)

Strain and tension

- Hydromechanical loads on line

Touchdown fatigue

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Exceedance of Limits
Forces and moments from
ship motions and gravity

- Vessel motion Line motion

Hydromechanical Forces
(Static and dynamic)

Strain and tension

- Hydromechanical loads on line

- Exceedance of limits Incident

Touchdown fatigue

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Accident

- Failure of operation

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Accident

- Failure of operation
- Loss of line

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Accident

- Failure of operation
- Loss of line
- Consequences: Financial,
environmental, human

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Current solution/approach
Multiple weather forecasts
- Gather boundary
conditions

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Current solution/approach
Multiple weather forecasts
- Gather boundary
conditions
- Evaluate quality of
forecast in function
of time

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Current solution/approach
Multiple weather forecasts
- Gather boundary
conditions
- Evaluate quality of
forecast in function
of time
- Use as input for the
simulations

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Current solution/approach
Multiple simulations, multiple environments Operational envelope

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Current solution/approach
Multiple simulations, multiple environments Operational envelope
- Run multiple
simulations with
multiple inputs

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Current solution/approach
Multiple simulations, multiple environments Operational envelope
- Run multiple
simulations with
multiple inputs
- Gather results of
simulations

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Current solution/approach
Multiple simulations, multiple environments Operational envelope
- Run multiple
simulations with
multiple inputs
- Gather results of
simulations
- Create operational
envelope/weather
window

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Monitor current solution/approach

Motion monitoring Stay within set defined boundaries

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Monitor current solution/approach

Motion monitoring Stay within set defined boundaries
- Use motion sensors
to monitor situation

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Monitor current solution/approach

Motion monitoring Stay within set defined boundaries
- Use motion sensors
to monitor situation
- Forecast of motions
based on weather
forecast

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Monitor current solution/approach

Motion monitoring Stay within set defined boundaries
- Use motion sensors
to monitor situation
- Forecast of motions
based on weather
forecast
- Limited precision:
Decreased weather
window and limited
operations

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Current solution/approach
Some uncertainties High conservatisms and safety margins
Narrow weather windows

Risk & Uncertainty

Probabilities and
expected outcomes
known

Absolute certainty

Uncertainty

Probabilities and
expected outcomes
are unknown

Some knowledge of
probabilities and
expected outcomes

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Current challenges
Trained simulation specialist required both onboard
Automation eliminates the need for specialist onboard
Increased risk due to manual exchange and input of data
Automated data exchange significantly reduces this risk
No real-time monitoring of line responses
Real time monitoring and recording of line responses
Long setup time leads to idle time
Reduced setup time: Longer workability reduction of idle time

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Seeked solution: Automation

Trained simulation specialist required both onboard
Automation eliminates the need for specialist onboard
Increased risk due to manual exchange and input of data
Automated data exchange significantly reduces this risk
No real-time monitoring of line responses
Real time monitoring and recording of line responses
Long setup time leads to idle time
Reduced setup time: Longer workability reduction of idle time

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 State of the art hydrodynamic solver De facto industry standard

Time domain based simulations
Accurate prediction of motions and strains
Multi Threaded
Requires Lay Model, RAOs, Environment, Boundary Conditions

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CLIENTS

OCTOPUS-Onboard
Voyage optimization

Heavy weather advice

Performance monitoring

E-mail
measurements,
statistics,
status, alarms,
configurations,
reports to
OCTOPUS-Online

SERVER
Hydrodynamic model

OCTOPUS-Server:

(Our BLACKBOX)

Monitoring and data collection

Data fusion and processing
Forecasting of motions, speed loss, fuel consumption
Optimization of speed and heading
Data storage
Automatic generation of reports and KPIs
Send key-data to shore

INPUTS
Stability data

ABB Voyage and Operation Advisory

6 October 2015

GPS/gyro

Weather forecast

Sensors (motions, flow, torque,)

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CLIENTS

OCTOPUS-Onboard
Motion Monitoring & Forecast

Line laying monitoring

E-mail
measurements,
statistics,
status, alarms,
configurations,
reports to
OCTOPUS-Online

SERVER
Hydrodynamic model

OCTOPUS-Server:

(Our BLACKBOX)

Monitoring and data collection

Data fusion and processing
Forecasting of motions, speed loss, fuel consumption
Optimization of speed and heading
Data storage
Automatic generation of reports and KPIs
Send key-data to shore

INPUTS
Stability data

ABB Voyage and Operation Advisory

6 October 2015

GPS/gyro

Weather forecast

MRU

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Codename OCTO-FLEX
The solution Step 1: Onboard RAO forecast of line responses
- Run RAO + Weather
based forecast for n
minutes

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Codename OCTO-FLEX
The solution Step 1: Onboard RAO forecast of line responses
- Run RAO + Weather
based forecast for n
minutes
- Repead forecast for
weather forecast
updates and/or
changes in heading

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Codename OCTO-FLEX
The solution Step 1: Onboard RAO forecast of line responses
- Run RAO + Weather
based forecast for n
minutes
- Repead forecast for
weather forecast
updates and/or
changes in heading
- Continuously
update forecast

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Codename OCTO-FLEX
The solution Step 2: Real time MRU monitoring of line responses
- Read multiple real
time MRU data

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Codename OCTO-FLEX
The solution Step 2: Real time MRU monitoring of line responses
- Read multiple real
time MRU data
- Run continuous
parallel simulations

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Codename OCTO-FLEX
The solution Step 2: Real time MRU monitoring of line responses
- Read multiple real
time MRU data
- Run continuous
parallel simulations
- Overlap results

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Codename OCTO-FLEX
The solution Step 2: Real time MRU monitoring of line responses
- Read multiple real
time MRU data
- Run continuous
parallel simulations
- Overlap results
- Close the loop by
continuously
monitoring
forecasted versus
real time

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Automated Process Interface

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Possible expansions
Risers

Deep sea installations

Jacket installation

Mooring - Towed systems - Ship to ship/platform replenishment - Buoy systems etc

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Conclusion/Summary

- Reduced planning time

- Increased weather window longer lasting operations
- Increased safety Risk reduction
- Long term fatigue analysis

- Predicted vs measured Adapt safety margins

- Re-evaluate conservatisms

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Q&A

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