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Research Methodology

The study of conducting research is Research Methodology.


Research:

The word research is composed of two syllables Re and Search.

Re is the prefix meaning Again or over again or a new and Search is the
latter meaning to examine closely and carefully or to test and try.
Together they form, a careful, systematic, patient study and investigation in some
field of knowledge undertaken to establish principles / policies.
Research can also be defined as
1. Search for knowledge
2. Systematic and scientific search for getting relevant answers on any taken up
specific topic.

3. Scientific enquiry into a subject.


4. Research is a movement from the unknown to the known.
5. It is the voyage of discovery
Acc to Bulmer,
Research is primarily committed to establishing systematic, reliable and valid
knowledge about the social world.
Acc. To Clifford Woody,
Research comprises of
Defining and redefining problems.
Formulating hypothesis (basic idea)
Collecting

Organizing
Evaluating datas
Making decisions
Suggesting solutions

Reaching conclusions

Finally, carefully testing the conclusions


To determine whether they fit the formulated Hypothesis.
Research Methods: May be understood as all those methods or techniques that are
used by a researcher for conducting a Research depending upon the methods.
(1)

Library Research:

analysis of historical records and documents.

- Statistical compilation, references, abstracts, guides manipulation (handle with


skill)

(2)

Field Research: Observation, questionnaires, personal, Group or telephonic

interviews, case study.


(3)

Laboratory Research:

Group (team) study, use of audio visual tools.


Research Methodology:

is the way do systematically solve the research problem.

In it we study the various steps that are generally adopted by a researcher in


studying his research problem logically.
When we talk of Research Methodology, we not only talk of research methods but
also consider the logic behind the methods we use in the context of our research study
and explain why we are using a particular method or we are not using a particular
method or technique so that research results are capable of being evaluated either by
the researcher or others.
Steps:

1)Why a particular research study has been undertaken?


2)How the Research problem has been defined?
3)What way and why the hypothesis (basic idea) has been formulated?
4)Why a particular technique of analyzing data is used? (or) How the data were
collected?
5)How the collected data were interpreted?
6)What deletion was made?
7)What was the conclusion?
Finally what was the solution for the Research problem?

Importance of knowing the subject research Methodology:

1)A student preparing himself for a career of carrying out research as his profession

- Will be trained better to do research


- Will help him develop disciplined thinking
- Will help him observe the field objectively.
- Will enable thoroughly to understand the logic behind the research problem.
- Will increase the ability to evaluate the results.
- Face the evaluated results with confidence.
- Useful in various fields such as Govt. Business, administration, community
development & social work.
To qualify a Research or study:
To be a Good or perfect one,

The Research adapted should process certain characteristics,


It must as far as possible be

1) Controlled

2) Rigorous
3) Systematic
4) Valid
5) Verifiable
6) Empirical
7) Critical
1. Controlled:

The research problem should not be affected or influenced by

external factors (i.e. variables other than the participating facts).


2. Rigorous:

The procedures followed to find answers to questions should be

relevant, appropriate & justified. But the degree of rigiour may vary from one problem
to another problem.

3. Systematic: The investigation should follow a certain logical sequence (Not in a


haphazard manner)
4. Valid & Verifiable:

The findings should be valid & can be verified by you or

others at any time.


5. Empirical:

The conclusions drawn should be based on hard evidence, gathered

from real life experiences or observations.


6. Critical: The process of investigation must be foolproof and free from drawbacks.
The process adapted and the procedures used must be able to withstand any critical
scrutiny.
Types of Research
Research can be classified from the view point or perspectives as,
From the view point

Application

objective

1) Pure Research

1) Descriptive

2) Applied Research

Inquiry mode

1) Quantitative Research

2) Correlative

2) Qualitative Research

3) Exploratory
4) Explanatory
1) Pure Research:

(Basic or Fundamental Research)

Gathering, knowledge is termed as pure or basic research. Just to gather


knowledge in order to formulate or generalize theories or policies.
Eg) Research on mathematics.
This types of research adds knowledge to the already existing organized body.
Applied Research:

To find an immediate solution for a pressing practical problem.

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Eg: Social, economical and political trends prevailing in a country.


Applied Vs Fundamental Based on the objectives of Research:
1)

Descriptive Research:
Survey or fact finding enquires of different kinds. It describes the actual
prevailing state of affairs, existing at present.
Otherwise known as ex post facts means existing position of facts /
issues.
Here the variable influencing the research has no control or the
researcher has no control over the variables.
Eg: Frequency of shopping, customer preference etc.

2)

Correlative Research:

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Goes on to discover the existing relationship or interdependence between


two or more aspects / variables.
Otherwise known as comparative study.
Investigates association between variables.
Eg: Sum of humour and job satisfaction, (related variable)
Research problem is workers turnover

Analytical Research:
The researcher has to use facts / information already existing and analyze these
data to make a critical evaluation.
Eg: document study / historical evidence.
Descriptive Vs Analytical Research:

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Explanatory Research:
Attempts to clarify or explain why and how, any particular research problem arises
and can be solved.
4. Exploratory Research:

Study undertake to explore a new area or an unknown

destination.
III. Based on the Inquiry Mode:
1)

Quantitative Research:
Relates to aspects that can be quantified and expressed in terms of quantity.
Otherwise known as structured Research.
In this type of Research, the objectives, design, sample and all the other
factors influencing the research is pre determined.

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The research problem and its solution will be expressed in terms of quantity and
hence statistical and economic analysis is adapted in this type of Research.
Quantitative Research:
Otherwise known as unstructured research.
The aspects related to quality / kind or texture.
Eg: Behaviour science
Apart from the above, other types of Research are,
Conceptual Research: Research related to some abstract idea or theory
Used by philosophers or thinkers for developing new concepts.
Empirical research
(based on experiments or experience)
Otherwise known as experimental type of Research.

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The result obtained by adapting Empirical Research is considered to be most


powerful (evidence enclosed)
Based on the time consumed to complete a particular research,
a) one time Research: restricted to a single time period.
b) Longitudinal Research: Conducted over several time period.
Qualities of a Researcher
Top 10 qualities of a Researcher
1)

Ananalytical mind:

Constant analysis on a variety of factors.

2)

A people person :

For respondents to get the best out of interviews /

focus groups.
3)

The ability to stay calm:

especially when you have pressing deadlines.

Keep well focused and think logically there will always be an end point.

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4)

Intelligence :

Researcher requires critical analysis, but most of all

common sense.
5)

Curiosity:

Have curiosity and be passionate about developing deeper to

unearth more insight.


6)

Quick thinker:

Things dont always go as you plan, so you need to be able

to think fast.
7)

Commitment:

Research is a tough job, the hours may be long, the

deadlines short.
8)

Excellent written and verbal communication skills: So that different

audience can clearly understand the findings.


9)

Sympathetic:

Having a sympathetic ear when listening to some

respondents (cry etc) is a good skill, to have.

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10)

Systematic: Check, check and check again. Spending a proper amount of

time for checking always pays.


According to Micheal Foster,
1)Truthful data / facts desire for accuracy of observation.
2)No expressions like approximately, almost or nearly.
3)Should poccess alert mind. Nature is constantly changing, be keen and watchful
to notice such changes, no matter how small or insignificant they may.
4)Scientific inquiry desire for knowledge it requires moral courage, Steadfast
(constant / not changing) endurance (to tolerate the difficulty, suffer patiently)
- When a research scientist feel defeated or completely lost, he needs immense
courage and the sense of conviction (found guilty)
-

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Significance or Importance of Search


1)Doubt is better than over confidence for it leads to inquiry, inquiry leads to
invention. Process or the three stages of research to bring out economic policies.
1)Investigation of prevailing economic structure with the available
facts.
2)Analyse or diagnose the data.
3)Prediction for future developments.
2)Research encourages scientific and inductive thinking.
Eg:- Role of Research in :
1)

Economics:

Researches done on applied (production and sales of goods in a profitable


manner) economics is increasing in modern days. Govt. & business sectors have

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become more complex, they face several operational problems to solve this
problems, and Research is carried on.
To frame Govt. economic policies.
Govt. budget a formulation depends on the analysis of needs & desires of
the people, available of revenues needs research.
Decision making requires proper research.
Allocation of a countries scarce resource also needs research.
2)Business Decisions:
In business sectors there are both planning and operational problems.
a) Problems Research:

Investigation of the present structure and

development of the market relating to purchase, production, promotion


and sales.

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b)Operational Research: Relates to application of logical, mathematical and


analytical techniques to solve market problems there by minimize
cost and profit maximization.
c) Motivational Research:

Helps

to

determine

people

behavior

or

consumer response.
All the above three are responsible for business decision making.
3)Social sectors: To gain knowledge on unknown aspects and do something better
and more efficiently.
Social scientist gains their knowledge for their own sake and for the development
of the society.
1.

Formulating the Research problem:a) The formulation of a general topic into a specific Research problem thus

constitutes the first step in a scientific inquiry.

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Two steps are involved in formulating the Research problem,


a) Understanding the problem thoroughly.
b)Rephrasing the same into meaningful terms from an analytical point of view.
1. Identify a broad field or subject area of interest to you.
2. Dissect the broad area into small area.
3. Select what is of most interest to you.
4. Raise Research questions.
5. Formulate objectives
6. Assess your objectives
7. Double check
The best way to understand the problem is to discuss with his own
colleague or guide.

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Examine all available literatures to get himself acquainted (get used to )


with the selected problem.
Review two types of literature
Conceptual literature :
Concerning concepts & theories
Empirical Literature : Concerning studies made earlier which are similar to the one
proposed.
Outcome of the review will be the knowledge so as to pre determine what data or
materials are available for operational purposes.
Next step the Researcher rephrases the problem into Analytical or operational
terms.
PUT THE PROBLEM INTO SPECIFIC TERMS

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This step is of greatest importance in the entire research process.


The problem to be investigated must be defined unambiguously or clearly.
Prof W.A. Neiswanger States,
The statement of the objective of the Research problem is of basic importance
because,
(i)

It determines the data which are to be collected

(ii) Characteristics of the relevant data


(iii) Choice of techniques to be used in these explorations
(iv) Frame a Final report
Step II
Extensive Literature Survey:
A brief summary of the problem should be written down.

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Make extensive literature survey

Sources of survey can be, journals, bio-graphics, Govt. reports, books, conference
proceedings etc.
Based on the nature of the problem.

Earlier study if any which is similar to the study in hand should be carefully
studied.
A good library will be a great help to the researcher at this stage.
Stage III:
Developing Hypothesis :

(Development of working Hypothesis)

State in clear terms the working hypothesis (Basic Idea of the Research problem)
It is a tentative assumption in order to test to logical or empirical consequences.
Provide the focal point for research.

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Hypothesis should be very specific and very well limited to the place of research in
hand because it has to be tested.
Hypothesis guides the researched by limiting the area of Research and keep him
on the right track.
It sharpens his thinking and focuses attention on important facets of the problem.
It indicates the type of data required for the study.
Type of methods of data analysis done.
How to develop working Hypothesis?
1)Discuss with collogues / experts, about the problems, its origin, its objectives and
solutions.
2)Examination of data/ records if available.
3)Review similar studies / similar problems.

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4)To secure greater insight into the practical aspects of the problem conduct
personnel investigation or field interviews.
STEP IV:
Preparing the Research Design:
Research design is the conceptual structure within which research is conduction. It
constitutes the blue print for the collection, measurement and analysis of data.
The function of the Research design is to provide relevant evidence with minimal
expenditure of effort, time and money. It provides an outline of what the researcher is
going to do in terms of 1) Framing the hypothesis, 2) its operational implications and
3) finally data analysis
The Research design highlights certain decision,
1)The nature of the study
2)Purpose of the study

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3)Location where the study would be conducted


4)The nature of data required
5)From where the data would be collected
6)The techniques of data collection that would be used
7)What time period the study would cover
8)The type of sample design that would be used
9)The method of data analysis that would be adapted
10) The manner in which the report would be prepared
Type of Research Design :

4 types

1)Sampling Research Design :

Deal with selection of relevant items

2)Observational Research Design:


observations) that is to be made.

Deals

with

the

observations

(field

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3)Statistical Research design:

Deals

with

the

information

on

the

data

collected & analysed.


4)Operational Research Design:

How the above three are carried out.

Determining sample Design:


All the items considered in any field of inquiry constitutes a universe or
population. Study of the entire population without leaving out a single item is
known as Census Study
This type of census study is practically not possible.
So we select few items from the entire population for our study purpose. The
items so selected constitutes what is technically called sample.
The way of selecting such a sample is known as the Sample Design.
These samples can be either probability samples or non probability samples.

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Probability:Each item in the population has on equal chance of being selected for the
study.
1)Simple random sampling
2)Systematic random sampling
3)Stratified random sampling
4)Cluster / area random sampling.
Non Probability sampling: All the items do not have an equal chance of being selected
for the study.
The selection depends upon the convenience & judgment of the Researcher.
Mixed sampling: When more than one type of sampling technique is used for a
study, it is mixed sampling.

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The sample design to be used in a Research study must be decided by the


researcher considering the nature of the study.
6.

Collecting the Data:


Gathering appropriate data which are made use in Research study.
Data can be collected in several ways either through (1) Experiment (or) (2)
through surveys.
In experimental means, when a researcher conducts a research, some
quantitative measurements are observed, based on which, he examines the
truth of the underlying hypothesis.
In case of surveys, data are collected by
1)By observations
2)Through personnel interview

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3)Through telephone interviews


4)By mailing of questionnaires
5)Through schedules / enumerators
The Researcher should select one of these methods of collecting the data taking in
account the
1)

Nature of investigation

2)

Objective & scope of Inquiry

3)

Financial Resources

4)

Time frame

5)

Desired degree of Accuracy.

6)

Execution of the Project: (Putting a plan)

Important step in Research study.

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See that the project is executed in a systematic manner and in time.


Eg) If the survey done in a project is via Questionnaire the answers can be
machine coded / processed
If interview were conducted, make sure that the interviewers is well trained to
keep the survey as much as realistic as possible.
8. Analysis of Data :
After the data are collected the researcher turns to the task of analyzing the
data the analysis of data require closely related operations, like coding, Editing
& Tabulation.
The wide data collected should be condensed into small manageable groups, for
easy analysis.
Coding:

The collected data are transformed into symbols that may be

tabulated or counted.

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Editing: Unwanted & irrelevant data will be removed.


Tabulation: Technical procedure where the data are put in the form of tables.
Research Design:
The most important step after defining the Research problem is preparing the
Research Design
Research design is the conceptual structure within which the research is
conducted.
It constitutes the BLUE PRINT for collection, measurement and analysis of data.
Research design provides an answer to the question, what the Researcher is going
to do with regards to framing hypothesis, its operational implications and how to
analyse the data?
Research Design: - Decisions

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Highlights certain decisions,


1)Nature of the study
2)Purpose of the study
3)Location where the study would be conducted
4)Nature of DATA required
5)From where the DATA can be collected
6)Time period of the study
7)Type of sample design to be used
8)Techniques of data collection
9)Methods of Data Analysis
10) Preparation of Report.

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Research Design
May be sub divided into,
1) Sampling design:

Deals with, the method of selecting items for the study.

2) Observational design:

Relates to the condition under which the observations are to

be made.
3) Statistical Design:

Deals with the no of items selected or the study and how

the selected data will be analysed.


4) Operation design:

The technique by which the sampling, observational and

statistical designs can be carried out.


Research Design Features :
1) Helps to identify the type and source of information needed for the study.
2) Specifies the methods to be adopted in collecting & analyzing data.

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3) Specifies the time schedule of the research and the monetary budget involved.
Concepts Relating to Research Design
1) Dependent and Independent variables :
Variables : A magnitude that varies is known as variable
Continuous variable :

Values that can be expressed even in decimal poins are

known as continuous variables


Eg: age (4 years 3 months)
Height (5.2 cm)
Weight (45.3 kg)

Non continuous Variables: Value that can be expressed only in integer values are
called Non continuous variables

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Eg: No. of students in a class ( 45)


No. of children in a family (3)
Statistically known as discrete variables
Dependent or Endogenous variables :
When the change in one variable depends on the change in other variable, it is
known as dependent or Endogenous variable.
Demand -----

Price (independent)
Independent or Exogenous variable

The variable that causes the change in the dependent variable is known as
independent or exogenous variable.
Demand (Dependent) ------- Price ,Income

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Here demand is a dependent variable while price / income is an independent


variable.
Extraneous variable :
The independent variable which is not directly related to the purpose of the study
but affects the dependent variable is know as Extraneous variables.
The influence caused by the extraneous variable on the dependent value is
technically known as Experimental Error
A research study or a Research design should always be framed in such a manner
that the influence of Extraneous variables on the dependent variable is
completely controlled and the influence of the independent variable is clearly
evident.
Control:
Good Research design should minimize the effect for Extraneous variables.

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Confounded Relationship
The relationship between dependent and independent variable is said to be
confounded by an extraneous variables.
Research Hypothesis:
When the formulated hypothesis is tested by adopting scientific methods, it is
known as Research Hypothesis.
Experimental & Non Experimental Hypothesis testing:
When the objective of the Research is to test the hypothesis, it is Research
hypothesis.
Research in which the independent variable are (handled with skill) manipulated,
it is experimental hypothesis testing.
When the variables are not manipulated, it is non experimental hypothesis testing.

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Experimental & Control Groups:


When a group is exposed to usual conditions in an experimental hypothesis,
research it is control Groups.
When the group is exposed to special or certain new conditions, it is experimental
groups.
8. Treatments:
The different conditions to which the experimental & control groups are subject to
is known as treatments.

9. Experiment: Fertilizers and crops)


Process of verifying the truth.
Absolute Experiment:

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Determine the fact


Comparative Experiment:
Determine the impact in comparison with another fact.
10. Experimental units
Pre-determined block to which different treatments are applied.
Eg : animal testing
Types of Research Design
There are three different types of Research design,
1)

Exploratory Research Design:


Is a Formulative Research design
Main purpose is the discovery of ideas & insights

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Should be flexible enough considering different dimensions of the problem


under study.
2)

Descriptive and Diagnostic Research Design:


Descriptive Research Design is concerned with describing the characteristics
of a particular individual or a group.
Study concerned with narration of facts or characters related to an individual,
group or institution are descriptive research studies.
Diagnostic Research design determines the frequency with which a variable
occurs or its relationship with another variables.
Both the Research designs should be planned carefully.
Research design should be Rigid (No flexibility)

3)

Hypothesis testing Research Design:

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Test the hypothesis of causal relationship between two or more variables.


Adopt procedure that not only reduce bias but enhance reliability and
facilitates deriving Inferences (results) about the Research problem.
Importance of Research Design:
Facilitates the smooth flow of the various stages of Research.
Helps yield maximum information with minimum effort, time and money.
Helps to plan in advance data collecting and analysis techniques.
Prepare with utmost care to avoid errors.
Attain reliability
Characteristics of a Good Research Design
Posses the qualities of being flexible, suitable efficient & economical.

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Should minimize bias and maximize reliability of data collection & Analysis.
No experimental error should be allowed
Should yield maximum information
Research problem should be viewed from different angles or dimensions.
The choice of Research design depends on,
Nature of the Research problem
Objectives of the Research problem
Skills / ability of the Researcher
Methods of gathering information
Availability of monetary support
Time schedule

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HYPOTHESIS
A Research hypothesis is a predictive statement, which is capable of being tested
using scientific methods, which involves independent and dependent valuables. (eg)
the female students perform as well as the male students.
This statement is a hypothesis that can be objectively tested and verified.
It is a proposition that can be put to test in order to examine its validity.
Characteristics of Hypothesis
1)A hypothesis should be precise and clear. If not clear, the inferences will not be
reliable.
2)It must be capable of being put to test.

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3)It should state the relationship between the variables, in case relational
hypothesis.
4)It should be stated in a simple language.
5)It should be consistant and derived from all known facts.
6)Hypothesis must be amenable to testing within a reasonable period of time
7)Hypothesis should explain what it actually

to explain. (the solution for the

Research problem). The explanation should be on empirical reference.


Concepts Relating to Testing of Hypothesis
1)Null Hypothesis & Alternative
Hypothesis (Statistical Analysis)
Null Hypothesis: Denoted by H0. If both the variables (say male or female) or (Head
or Tail) are equally good, it is Null Hypothesis.

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Alternative Hypothesis:

Denoted by Ha or H1. If one variable is considered superior

to other or vice versa or if there is a difference, it is alternative hypothesis.


Mean Population (u) or (p)
Total / No. of variables
Null Hypothesis
Ho : u = 100
Alternative Hypothesis
Ha :

u = 100

Ha :

u > 100

Ha :

u < 100

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Aspects to be considered while formulating Null Hypothesis


1)The researcher always tries to reject Null hypothesis since Alternative Hypothesis
should be proved.
2)Null hypothesis when it is actually true, when rejected involves great risk, the
level of significance should be considered.
3)Null hypothesis should be very specific (No approximation)
The level of significance:
Important concept of hypothesis testing.
It is a certain percentage chosen with great care, reason and thought
(eg) let us consider the level of significance to be 5%. It means the Researcher
takes a risk of rejecting Null hypothesis (Ho) by 5% when Ho is actually true.
3.

Decision Rule
The researcher should make a decision, if to accept or Reject Ho.

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The decision rule should be decided on the number of items to be tested and the
basic of which to accept or reject.
4.

Type I and Type II Errors

(i)

Researcher may reject Ho, when it is true Type I Error (which must have been
accepted).

(ii) Researcher may accept Ho, when it is false Type II Error (which must have been
rejected)
5.

One tailed and Two tailed Tests:

(i)

One tailed test rejects the Null hypothesis when the sample mean is either greater
or lower than the hypothesized value of the population mean.
Two tailed Test: When the sample mean is both greater and lower than the
hypothesized value of the population mean.
Procedure for Hypothesis Testing:

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1. Testing hypothesis refers whether the formulated hypothesis is valid or not


2. Whether to Accept or Reject Null Hypothesis.
(i)

Making a formal statement:


Making a formal statement of the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis.

(ii) Selecting a significant level of testing


A pre-determined level of significance should be specified.
Either 5% or 1% level can be considered for the purpose.
(iii) Deciding the Distribution to use:
Choice should be made generally relates to Normal distribution or t-distribution.
(iv) Selection of random sample & computing an Appropriate value
Selection of Random sample

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Computing suitable value


Drawing a sample for furnishing Empirical data.
(v) Calculation of Probability:
The diverged results from the expected results, when Ho is true.
(vi) Comparing the probability:
By making a comparison with the assumed significance level.
If the value is less than or equal to Ho, in case of one-tailed test, Ho is rejected.
Here type I error is committed.
If the value is greater than the mean, Ho is accepted.

Were type-I error is

committed.
compile, compare & compute the data and come out with the inference.

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Null Hypothesis:

The null hypothesis is the proposition or proposal that implies no

effect on the phenomena.


Alternative Hypothesis: is the one predictive statement that implies some effect on
the phenomena.
Concepts Relating to Testing of Hypothesis:

SAMPLE SURVEY
Sampling Design:
An art of obtaining a sample from a given population. The technique or procedure
the researcher adopts for selecting items for the sample from the population or
universe.

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Steps in sampling Design


Type of Universe:
1)The first step in sampling design, is to clearly define the total number of items /
cases to be studied, which is technically known as UNIVERSE
Finite
Universe
Infinite
Finite Universe:The number of items is certain.
Eg: No. of students in a class.
No. of workers in a factory.
Infinite Universe:

The number of items is infinite. (No idea about the number of

items)
Eg: Chennai population, No. of stars

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2)Sampling Unit:
A geographical area like a state, district or village.
Family, religious community or a school.
Individual (Researcher can select one or two such units).
3)Source List: Otherwise known as Sampling Frame
Consists of names of all items of a universe.
If not available the researcher has to prepare a Source list.
It must be reliable, comprehensive, correct and appropriate.
It should be the representative of the population / universe.
4)Size of sample:
Refers to the number of items to be chosen from the universe.

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Size of sample must be optimum. An optimum sample may defined as the


one that satisfies.
The requirements of representatives.
Flexibility
Efficiency
Reliability
Costs or budget should be considered.
Factors Influencing size of sample :
Parameters of Interest:

The items or parameters are selected based on the researchers own interest.

Budgetary constraint :

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Cost consideration exercises a major influence.


a) Sampling Procedure:
The type or technique used by the researcher to select the items.

The technique should be selected so that for a given sample size & budget, the
sampling error must be very small or negligible.

Sampling Error: may be caused (In case of Non probability sampling) due to
(1) Interviewer Bias
(2) Mistakes
(3) Non response problems
(4) Questionnaire design flaws
(5) Data processing & analysis errors

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In case of probability sampling, (homogenous items ) the sampling error is


negligible since the sample is more accurate.
Characteristics of a Good sample :
Should bind a truly representative sample.
Small sampling error
Should fit into the budgetary constraints.
Result should be applicable in general.
Characteristics of sample techniques :
1)Much cheaper
2)Saves time
3)Much reliable

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4)Suitable for carrying out different surveys


5)Scientific in Nature
Advantages of sampling:
1)Very accurate
2)Economical in Nature
3)Very reliable
4)Suitable for different surveys
5)Less time consumption
6)In case of large universe, sampling method is the only practical method for
collecting the data.
Different types of sample Design:
Classified under two general categories.

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1)Probability sampling
2)Non Probability sampling.
Probability sampling:
Otherwise known as choice sampling or random sampling.
Every item has an equal chance of being included in the sample.
Eg: Lotteries (or) subscribers
When done property, probability sampling ensures that the sample has a similar
composition and profile as that of the entire population.
7 different types of probability sampling,
1)Simple Random sampling
2)Stratified Random sampling
3)Cluster sampling

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4)Systematic sampling
5)Area sampling
6)Multi stage sampling
7)

Sampling with probability propotional to size

(1) Sample Random Sampling


The sample is drawn so that each person or item has an equal chance of being
drawn during the selection.
Eg: Lotteries (in a ball box)
(2) Stratified Random sampling: (strata layers)
- Stratified sampling technique is generally used when the population is
heterogeneous.

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- The entire population is divided into sub population (sub groups) (i.e. the sub
population being homogenous).
- Items are selected from each stratum.
- This method is more reliable & accurate.
- Eg:

50 students of a school having 1000 students on a total were selected &

interviewed on the interest in music.


The students were grouped based on their age, 7 years, 8 years, 9 years, 10 years
& 11 years.
From each age group, 5 students were chosen and totally 50 students were
interviewed.
(3) Cluster sampling:
The entire population is sub divided into mutually exclusive groups or clusters

61

Simple Random sampling is applied and the need clusters are selected for the
study.
If all the elements found in the selected cluster is taken for the study, then it is
one stage cluster sampling.
If random sampling is applied in selecting elements found within the clusters, it is
two stage cluster sampling.
(4) Systematic sampling:
- Selecting every nth element for the study.
1st, 5th, 10th, 15th, 20th .
(5) Area sampling:

when the clusters are in the form of some geographical sub

divisions.
(6) Multi stage sampling:

62

- If the researcher selects elements or items at different stages, it is multi stage


sampling.
-

Eg: Survey of work efficiency in nationalized baulks

- Stage level
- District level
- Towns
- Villages
Items are selected at four stages / levels.
(7) Sampling with probability proportional to size:
- The probability of inclusion into the study is directly proportional to the size of the
clusters.
- This technique is used when the no. of elements present in each cluster varies.

63

- Depending on requirement of the researcher the cluster which is more appropriate


can be selected for the study.
II.

Non Probability sampling:


- Each item does not have an equal chance of being included in the sample.
- 3 types of non probability samplings are,
1)Convenience sampling
2)Quota sampling
3)Judgmental sampling

1)

Convenience sampling:
- Choosing items at the convenience of the Researcher.
Eg: Street interviews (sampling of people who are at easy access)

Drawback:

Lack of accuracy

64

2.

Quota sampling
The researcher simply assume quotas, with certain restrictions imposed on how

they should be selected.


Eg: Caste basic
Benefits:less expensive, very convenient
3.

Judgment sampling : (otherwise known as purposive sampling)


Researcher employs his own Expert judgment about who to include in the

sample frame.
Disadvantages of sampling:
1)Inadequacy of samples
2)Chances of bias
3)Problems of accuracy

65

4)Difficulty of getting the representative sample.


5)Untrained Manpower.
6)Absence of Informants
7)Chances of committing errors.
Sampling Error: Sampling error is the deviation of the selected sample from the true
characteristics, traits, behavior, qualities or figures of the entire population.
Data Collection
Data Collection is the systematic gathering of information (data) for a particular
purpose from various sources. (Various sources can be questionnaires, interviews,
observations existing records and electronic devices).
Two Important sources of Information are,
(i)

Primary Data

(ii) Secondary Data

66

Primary Data:
Refers to the data collected for the first time (Original data)
Example: Proceedings from conferences meetings, Students records.
Secondary Data:
Refers to the data that have already been collected and used earlier by somebody
or some agency.
Example: Online database, Historical books etc.
Example: Taking census (total population) of Government of India Primary Data.
When research is done by some other scientist on the basis of this data, it is
secondary data.
Selecting A particular source of Data depends on,
(1) Purpose & Scope of the study.
(2) Availability of time.
(3) Availability of Resources.
(4) The degree of Accuracy desired.

67

(5) Statistical tools to be used.


(6) Sources

of Information (data).

1. Purpose & Scope of Data Collection:


Should be clearly stated at the very beginning of the study.
A statement indicating the Research problem and the type of information needed
for the study in order to solve the Research Problem, is needed.
Its purpose is to establish a factual information for making decisions.
Scope of the enquiry means the coverage with regard to the type of information,
the subject matter and geographical area.

(b) Availability of Time: The investigation should be done within a reasonable period of time.
Taking which the information collected may become outdated.

68

Example: Demand of a new product launched is studied, if the result comes out
after 2 years, by the time the producer may attain great lose.
So, make sure the investigation is carried out within a reasonable period of time.

(c) Availability of Resources:


Investigation or data collection greatly depends, on resources available like,
1. No. of skilled personnel
2. The Financial Position.
If the no.of skilled personnel to carry our the enquiry is sufficient and the
availability of funds is not a problem, the datas can be collected from a big area
covering a good number of samples.
(d) The desired/expected Degree of Accuracy: Deciding the degree of accuracy is a must for the investigator.

69

Because Absolute Accuracy is not possible in statistical works.


Since Statistics is based on estimates, tools used for measurements in not
always perfect & there may be unintentional bias on the part of the investigator,
enumerator or informant.
Generally the degree of accuracy depends upon the objections of the enquiry.
Example: During purchase of Gold, even 1/10th gram in its weight is significant.
But it is not the same in case of purchasing rice or wheat.

(e) Statistical Tools to be used:


Well defined or identifiable object or group of objects that can be measured or
counted in a statistical investigation is called statistical Unit.

70

In the absence of a clear and precise Statistical Unit Serious errors may be
committed by collecting irrelevant data. This will ultimately lead to fallacious
(Wrong) conclusions.
(f) Sources of Information:
The researcher has to decide about the source from which the information can be
obtained or collected.
1. First hand data.
2. The data from other published sources. (Publications, Journal, Magazines etc.)
(g) Method of Data Collection:1. Primary Data.
2. Secondary Data.
Primary Data:-

71

First hand data.


Either Census or Sample technique is to be used.
Census: Total no.of items have to be investigated.
Sample: Selected representatives from the total population have to be investigated.

CENSUS

SAMPLE

Total No. of items, 100% Selected


Accuracy attained, Time Representations,
consuming,
More Labour.

Expensive Accuracy

cannot

attained,
taken,

Less

Less

100%
be
time

expensive,

Less Laborious.

72

Should be very cautious and careful while choosing a particular method.


Methods of Collecting Primary Data:
May be obtained by applying any of the following methods,
1. Direct Personal Interviews.
2. Indirect Oral Interviews.
3. Information from Correspondents.
4. Mailed questionnaire methods,
5. Schedule sent through Enumerators.
1. Direct Personal Interviews:
A face to face contact is made with the informants.
Interviewer asks them questions regarding the study and tries to get the desired
information.
The information thus collected is first hand and original.

73

Merits:
(i)

Response is encouraging when personally contacted.

(ii) Information are more accurate (if not found accurate, he can be reexamined or
Cross-examined, there by try to obtain the information).
(iii) Provides hope for getting supplementary information, which may be of greater
use latter.
(iv) A delicate situation (Some Personnel Questions) can usually be handled more
effectively by a personnel interview than other survey techniques.
(v) The interviewer can adjust the language according to the status and
educational level of the person interviewed, thereby can avoid inconvenience
and misinterpretation.
Demerits:
(i)

Expensive when the no. of informants is large.

(ii) Greater chance of personnel bias and prejudice. (taking a decision before
finding the full facts).

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(iii) Interviewer should be thoroughly trained & experienced. (untrained personal


will spoil the work)
(iv) Time consuming (Interviewers can be contacted only at the convenience of the
informants)
Conclusion:
Direct personal Interviews can be used in Intensive Field Survey rather than
Extensive Field Survey.
The present day of extreme advancement in communication system, a good
number of survey, can be conducted by News papers & television channels by
replying through e.mails & SMS.
They are less expensive & extremely quick.
Defects No Phone or Television, delicate & sensitive Questions cannot be asked,
value answers.
2. Indirect Oral Interviews:

75

The investigator contact a third party called Witnesses who is capable of


supplying necessary information.
Generally adopted when the information to be obtained is complex or the informer
is not willing to reveal the answers.
Example: When a drug addicted person is interviewed, he will not be willing to
response directly, so the information are gathered via agents (may be relatives).
The accuracy of this method depends on,
(i)

The proven integrity of the Agency/Person.

(ii) Ability of the interviewer to act the right information from the witness.
(iii) Bribery or other reasons may twist the witness to give false information there by
bringing a wrong conclusion.
Conclusion:
(i) Let more care should be taken in the selection of Witness because it is on their
views, the final conclusion is reached.

76

3. Information From Correspondents:


The investigator appoints local agents or correspondents in different places to
collect information under this method.
These correspondents collect the information and transfer or transmit the
information to the central office where the data are processed.
Example: News paper Agencies.
Generally these Agencies are paid staff, sometimes honorary.
Advantages:
1. Cheap
2.

Can be used to get regular information at regular intervals (daily, weekly or


monthly).

Disadvantages:
(i) Lacks Accuracy.

77

4. Mailed Questionnaire Method:


A list of questions pertaining to the survey is known as Questionnaire. It is
prepared and sent to various informants by post.
The questionnaire contains questions and provides space for answers.
A request is made to the informants through a covering letter to fill up the
questionnaire and sent it back within a specified time.
The questionnaire studied can be classified as,
1)The degree to which the questionnaire is formalized or structure.
2)The disguise/lack of disguise of the questionnaire.
3)The communication method used.
4)When no formal questionnaire is used, interviewers adopt other tactics like
showing pictures on which respondents comments.

78

When a research follows a prescribed sequence of Questions it is structured


study.
When no prescribed sequence of Question exists, the study is Non-Structured.
When the questionnaire is constructed in such a way that the Objective is clear
(the questionnaire) it is known as Non-disguised.
When the objective is not clear, the questionnaire is a Disguised one.
On this basis, 4 types of studies can be distinguished,
(i)

Non-disguised Structured.

(ii) Non-disguised Non-structured.


(iii) Disguised Structured.
(iv) Disguised Non-Structured.
Merits: Questionnaire Methods,
(1)

Easily adopted in large populations and when the informants are wide spread

over a large geographical area.


(2)

Relatively cheap & timely.

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(3) Information

pertaining to personnel life or family or confidential matters will be

revealed in written rather than personal interviews or telephones.


Demerits:
(1)

Applicable only among literate people.

(2)

Uncertainty of the Respondents lacks co-operation.

(3)

Lacks Accuracy because the information may not be correct.

Guideline to make this method more Effective:


(i)

Prepaid postage stamp should be affixed.

(ii) Sample should be large.


(iii) Questionnaire should be interesting.
(iv) Legal Compulsion should be made to provide in formations.
5. Schedules sent through Enumerators:Sending Schedules through enumerators or interviewers.

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The enumerators contacts the informants, gets replied to the questions contained
in the schedule and fill them in their own handwriting.
Here the questions are asked face to face and the response is papered.
Merits:
(1)

Applicable among illiterates.

(2)

Very little scope for Non-response, as the enumerators go personally.

(3)

Information are more Reliable & Accurate.

Demerits:
(1)

Expensive Since enumerators are paid personals.

(2)

Success depends on the efficiency of the enumerators.

(3)

Interviewer requires training and experience.

(4)

Variations in answers must be removed to avoid variations.

Secondary Data:

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Are those data which have already been collected and analyzed by some earlier
agency for its own use and later the same data is used by a different agency.
Sources of Secondary Data:
(1)

Published Sources.

(2)

Unpublished Sources.

1. Published Sources:
The Government, Inter National and local agencies publish statistical data.
Chief Among them,
(i) Inter National Publications:Inter National Institutions & bodies like I.M.J.(International Monetary Fund), I.B.R.D.
(International Bank of Reconstruction and Development), I.C.A.F.E. (International
Conference on Agriculture & Food Engineering) and U.N.O. United Nations Organization
publish regular & occasional reports on Economics & Statistical matters.

82

(ii) Official Publications of Central & State Governments:


Several departments of the Central and State Governments publish reports on
different subjects.
Example:- Publications are,
(a)

Reserve Bank of India Bulletin.

(b)

Census of India.

(c)

Statistical Abstract of the states.

(d)

Agricultural Statistics of India.

(e)

Indian Trade Journal.

(iii) Semi Official Publications:


(a)

Indian Statistical Institute (I.S.I)

(b)

Indian Council of Agricultural Research (I.C.A.R.)

(c)

Indian Agricultural Statistics Research Institute (I.A.S.R.I.)

Publish the findings of their research programs.

83

(iv) Publications of various commercial and financial institutions.


(v) Reports of various committees & commissions appointed by the
Government.
(a) Raj Committees Report on Agricultural Taxation.
(b) Wanchoo Committees Report on Taxation & Black Money.

(vi) Journals & News Papers: Powerful source of secondary data.


Current & important matter can be obtained.
From Journals & News papers like Economic Times, Commerce Capital, Indian
Finance, etc.,
Unpublished Sources:
Records maintained by Government & Private Offices.

84

Theses of Research Scholars from universities & institutions.


Precautions in the use of secondary Data:
Proper scrutiny is made before they are used by investigator.
Be Extra-Cautious while using secondary data.
Should not be accepted as such because the secondary data may process,
(Bias, Inadequate Size, Substitution, errors of definition or arithmetical errors)
Factors to be Considered before using the secondary Data:
(i) Suitability of Data:
make sure that the data available is suitable for the purpose of enquiry.
(ii) Adequacy of Data:
Make sure that the data are sufficient or adequate for the present analysis.
(iii) Reliability of Data:
The reliability of data is must, without which there is no meaning in the research.

85

The reliability of data can be tested by finding the agency that has collected the
data, if the agency has used proper methods for collection the data.
EDITING:
Once data have been obtained from primary or secondary sources the next step in
a statistical investigation is to edit the data. (to Scrutinize).
Objective, editing is to detect possible errors and irregulations.
Editing needs great care and attention.
Editing Secondary data is simple but the data collected from survey (Primary
Data) need excessive editing.
Editing Primary Data,
(i)

The data should be complete in every respect.

(ii) The data should be accurate.


(iii) The data should be consistant.
(iv) The data should be homogenous

86

1. Editing For Completeness:


The editor should see that each schedule or questionnaire is complete in all
respects.
Answers to every questions is furnished.
If not answered, try to meet them in person to get the answers.
If not just mark No Answer.
2. Editing For Accuracy:
The reliability of conclusions depends on the correctness of in formations.
If the information is wrong, the conclusion can never be valid.
Editor should see that the in formations are accurate in all respects.
Arithmetic errors can be detected easily & corrected.
If the error is due to fault information supplied, it may be difficult to verify.
3. Editing For Consistency:
Editor should see that the answer to questions are not contradictory in nature.

87

Example: Are you a student? No which class do you study? X


The answers are contradictory and such answers should be classified.
4. Editing For Homogeneity:
Understand the questions in the same sense.
Check uniform interpretation and make sure the information supplied by the
various informants are homogenous & uniform.
Example: Income (Yearly, Monthly, Weekly, Daily)
Choice Between Primary & Secondary Data:
A proper choice between the type of data (Primary or Secondary) needed for a
particular statistical investigations is to be made by considering the nature, objective,
scope of the study, time frame & finances and the degree of precision aimed at, and
the status of the Agency.

88

Now, Secondary data are generally used from fairly reliable published data by
Government, Private organizations and research agencies, periodicals magazines
etc.,
In fact, primary data are collected only if there do not exist any secondary data.
In some cases both Primary & Secondary data may be used.

QUESTIONNAIRE

Questionnaire can be defined as a group of questions designed to collect


information from a specific subject.
(or)
List of questions sent to a number of persons for getting answers and which
obtains standardized results that can be tabulated and treated statistically.

89

(or)
Media of communication between the investigator and the respondent.
Generally used in social research when the population is varied, large, diverse &
Scattered.
Should be designed with utmost care & caution so that all the needed information
are collected without any difficulty.
Drafting a Good questionnaire Requires Care, Skill, Wisdom, efficiency and
experience.
Points to Remember: While Drafting A Questionnaire
(1) Size of the Questionnaire:
(a) No. of questions should be as small as possible depending on the nature, objectives
& scope of the study.

90

(b) Large no.of questions may irritate the informants and may be difficult to Edit or
Scrutinize by the investigator.
(c) Avoid irrelevant and unimportant questions.
(d) Average No. of questions should be 15 to 25 (at the most).
(e) If it is more than 25, divide it into various sections.
2. The Questions should be Clear:
Should be Easy, Brief, Unambiguous(Clear in meaning), Non offending, courteous
in tone, corroborative (Supportive) in nature & to the point.
3. The Questions should be arranged in a Logical Sequence:
When arranged Logically, the answers can be easily tabulated or coded and does
not leave any chance of omissions.
Example: To find if a person owns a television.
4. Questions should be simple to understand:

91

Vague & Double meaning words should be avoided.


Example: Price/Cost/Rate/ Capital Income/Salary.
5. Questions should be Comprehensive(Includes Everything) and Easily
Answerable:
Questions should be comprehensive (i.e.) it should include all the needed in
formations.
Easy to be answered. Avoid mathematical calculations like Ratios, Percentages
etc.,
6. Questions of Personal And Sensitive Nature Should Not Be Asked:
Avoid personal questions which the respondent may feel shy or irritated to answer.
Example: Do do drink ?
If such questions are unavoidable, a highest amount of politeness should be used.
7. Types of Questionnaire:

92

(a) Shut Questions:


Where possible answers are suggested by the frames & the respondents are
requested to the tick one of them.
Two types of shut Questions.
(i) Simple Alternative Questions:
(Otherwise known as Dichotomous questions) Choose from two clear cut
alternatives Yes or No/ Right or Wrong.
(ii) Multiple Choice Questions:
When it is difficult to define a clear cut alternative, additional Questions between
Yes & No is inserted,
Example: To find if a person smokes? Do you smoke?
(a) Yes, Regularly

(b) No, Never

93

(c) Occasionally

(d) Seldom (rarely) (

Easy & Convenient to answer.


Save Time.
Easy to tabulate.
8. Leading Questions should be Avoided:
Long Questions leading to several answers should be avoided. It should be framed
into short questions.
Example: Why do you use a particular type of car, say Maruti Car, Avoid this
continuous questions.
Instead ask,
Which car do you use ?
Why do you prefer it ?

94

9. Cross Checks:
Should be designed to provide internal checks on the accuracy of the in
formations given by the respondents.
10. Pre-Testing the Questionnaire:
Try out the Questionnaire on a small scale before using in a large scale.
The drawbacks, short comings and problems faced in the small scale informants
can be improved or modified when used in large scale.
11. A Covering Letter:
A Covering Letter should be enclosed for the purpose regarding definitions,
concepts & purpose.
Attach a self addressed envelope in case of mailed questionnaire.
Mentions about Awards or incentives for quick reply.
Promise to send a survey copy of the report.
--------------

95

SAMPLING
A carefully designed sample may actually be better than a poorly planned and
executed census.
Merits:
1. It saves time:
Saves time because fewer items are collected and processed.
2. It Reduces Cost:
Since only few items are studied, there is reduction in cost & reduction in man
power.
3. More Reliable Results can be Obtained:

96

Sampling is more Reliable because


(i) fewer chance of sampling error.
(ii) Experience, Trained & Technical people can be employed to process & analyze the
data.
4. It provides more detailed in formations:More detailed information can be obtained by sample survey.
5. Only Sampling Method to depend upon:
When the population is large and finite, the only method applicable is sampling.
6. Administration Convenience:
The organization and administration is easy in sample survey.

7. More Scientific:

97

Results can be tested since more scientific.


Shortcomings (or) Demerits
1. Illusory (False) Conclusion:
If sampling is not carefully planned & executed, the conclusions may be false.
2. Sample Not Representative:
If the sample taken from the population is not the right representative, the result
may be false or misleading.

3. Lack of Experts:
If there is a lack of experts to plan, execute and analyze the samples, the result
would be unsatisfactory.

98

4. Personal Bias:
There may be personal bias & prejudice in choosing the sampling techniques.
5. Size of Sample:
If the size of the sample is not appropriate, it leads to untrue conclusions.
Essentials of Sampling:
1. It must be the right representative:
The Sample selected should process the similar characteristics of the original
universe.

2. Homogeneity:
Selected samples should be homogenous with the samples & the universe.

99

3. Adequate Samples:
A good number of items should be included for the study.
4. Optimization:
A proper size of sample should be maintained to have optimized results in terms
of cost & efficiency.
Statistical Laws:
Induction:
The logical process of drawing a general conclusion from the study of
representative items is called Induction.
Sampling is based on two fundamental principles of Statistics theory
(i) Law of Statistical Regularity
(ii) The Law of Inertia of Large Numbers.

100

The Law of Statistical:


Regularity: (Mathematical Theory of Probability), States,
A moderately large number of items chosen at random from a very large group
are almost sure to have the characteristics of the large group.
Proof:
1. Average income of 1,000 people is to be found out,
2. We take a sample of 100 people & find the average.
3. Another person takes 100 people & find the average.
The Average income found by both the persons will have least difference.
If the average income of the same 1000 people is found out by census, the result
will be more or less the same.
2. Law of Inertia of Large Numbers:

101

It States, Other Using being equal, as the sample size increases, the results tend
to be more accurate & reliable.
Sampling Error:
The deviations or difference between the actual population and the sample
representative.
Reasons For Sampling Error:
1. Faulty Selection of Sample
2. Substitution
3. Faulty Demarcation (Demographic limit) of sampling Unit:
In case of Area sampling the sampling units at the borders should be decided if to
take it or reject it.
4. Faulty estimation techniques:

102

Wrong selection of sampling techniques.

Types of Sampling Errors:


(i) Bias Error:
Caused due to bias or prejudice on the part of the informant.

(ii) Unbias Error:


Error caused due to the Normal Course of investigation.
Reducing Sampling Error:
Sampling Error can be reduced by increasing the size of the sample.

103

--------

EXPERIMENTS
Experiment is the process of examining the truth of a statistical Hypothesis
related to some research problem.
Experiments are of two types,
1. Absolute Experiment.
2. Comparative Experiment.
Absolute Experiment:
When a researcher wants to determine the impact of a fertilizer on the yield of a
crop, it is a case of Absolute Experiment.
Comparative Experiment:

104

When a researcher wants to determine the impact of one fertilizer as compared to


the impact of some other fertilizer, it will be called as Comparative Experiment.
Research Design are of three types,
1. Research design in case of descriptive & diagnostic studies.
2. Research design in case of exploratory Research studies.
3. Research design in case of Hypothesis Testing Research Studies.
Research Design In case of Hypothesis Testing Research Studies:
Hypothesis testing research studies are generally known as Experimental studies.
The researcher test the casual relationship between the variables.
Professor Fisher is considered as the pioneer of this type of studies. (Experimental
Studies)
He performed this study when he was working at a Agricultural Research Station
in London.

105

His found out that, by dividing plots into different blocks and then by conducting
experiments in each of these blocks, whatever in formations is collected and
inference drawn from them can be more reliable Professor Fisher laid three
principles of Experimental Designs,
1. The Principal of Replication
2. The Principal of Randomization.
3. The Principal of Local Control.
The Principal of Replication :
The Experiment should be repeated more than once.
The treatment is applied to many experimental units.
The information collected and the inference drawn from these experimental units
will be more reliable and statistically accruable.
Aim: To examine the effect of two varieties of paddy.

106

Example: A paddy field is divided into 2 parts. Grow one variety in one part and the
other variety in the other. Then we compare the yield of the two parts.
Draw conclusion on that basis.

No Principle of Replication is
Field
rrrrr
rrrrr
rr

rrrrr
rrrrr
rr

Treatmentrrrrr

rrrrr
r

Part I

One variety
of Paddy

Part I
Compare the yield of the two parts.
Another
Variety of Paddy.

When Principle of Replication is used:

107

First divide the field into several parts.


Grow one variety in half of the parts and the other variety in the remaining parts.
Collect the information of the two varieties and draw the conclusion by comparing
both.
The Results so obtained will be more reliable and accurate compared to the results
drawn without using the principle of Replication.
The Experiment can be repeated several times.
Field

Treated

rr

rr R r

rr

rr R r

rr

rr R r

rr

rr R r

rr

rr R r

Conclusion drawn.

108

Parts
2. The Principle of Randomization:
Principle of Randomization Provides us a protection against the effects of
Extraneous Variables.
The variations or effects caused by these extraneous variables can be combined
under the heading Chance.
Example: When the researcher grows one variety of paddy in the first half of the field
and the other variety in the next half of the field, there may be a possibility or chance
that the soil fertility of the first half of the field may be different in comparison to the
next half.
In this case, he may go on to cultivate the two varieties of paddy in different parts
of the field on the basis of some random sampling technique.
(i.e.) He may apply Randomization principle and protect himself from the effects of
the Extraneous Factors.

109

By using Randomization Principle a better estimate can be drawn.

When treated

rr r r
r

rr r r
r

rr r r
r

rr r r
r

rr r r
r

110

Conclusion drawn is more


accurate.
(Can protect Effects of Extraneous Variables)

3. The Principle of Local Control:

The extraneous variable which is a known source of variability can be made to


vary extensively or deliberately over a wide range.
Now the variability it causes can be measured and eliminated.
In short, through the principle of Local Control, we can eliminate the variability
due to extraneous factors from the experimental error.

111

The extraneous variable is brought to a control.

Kinds of Experimental Design:


Experimental Design refers to the framework of the structure of an experiment.
Classified into 2 Broad Categories,
1. Informal Experimental designs.
2. Formal Experimental designs,
Informal Experimental Designs:
Designed based only on the difference between the magnitudes or performance.

112

Three Types,
1. Before and after without control design.
2. After Only with Control design.
3. Before and after with control design.
Before and after without control design:
Consider a test group,
Step.1: The dependent variable is measured before introduction of the treatment.
Step.2: The treatment is introduced.
Step.3: The dependent variable is measured after the treatment has been introduced.
Step.4: Inference:

113

The effect of the Treatment : The level o the phenomenon after the treatment.
The level of the phenomenon before the treatment.
Test Area Level of Phenomenon

Treatment Level of

Phenomenon

Introduced
Before Treatment (X)

After Treatment (Y)

Effect of the Treatment = (Y) (X)


Demerit:
With the passage of time, several extraneous variable may be there in the
treatment effect.
(2)

After only with control Design:

114

Step.1: Two Areas are selected, the control Area & the test area.
Step.2: The treatment is introduced in the test area alone.
Step.3: The dependent variable in both the areas are measured, at the same time.

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Step.4: Treatment Effect is calculated by subtracting the value of the dependent


variable in the control area from its value in the test area.
Treatment: 1
Effect = Value of dependent variable in the
control Area Value of Dependent Variable in the test area.

Test Area
Control Area

Treatment Introduced
No

Level of Phenomenon (Y)


Level of Phenomenon (Z)

Treatment
(3) Before And After with Control Design:
Step.1: In this design, two areas are selected and the dependent variables in both the
areas are measured for an identical time period before treatment.

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Step.2: Treatment is introduced only in the test area.


Step 3 : The dependent valuable is measured on both the areas (control
area & test area) for an identical time period.
Setp4 : The effect of the treatment is determined by subtracting the change in the
dependent valuable in the control area with the charge in the dependent valuable of
the test area.

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Treatment :Effect = ((Y) (X)) ((Z)-(A))


Merits: Avoids Extraneous variables resulting from passage of time and non
comparability of control and test areas.
II Formal Experimental Design:

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Offer relatively more control and use specific statistical procedures for analysis types,
1)Complete Randomized design (Generally called C.R. Design)
2)Randomized Block Design (R.B. Design)
3)Latin Square Design (L.S. Design)
4)Factorial Designs .
(1) Completely Randomized Design : Involves two principals, the principle of replication and the principle of Randomized of
the experimental designs.
The items are randomly assigned do experimental treatments.
This design is simpler and easier.
Example: It the research has 2 items of 20 parts and if he wishes to test to under
treatment B, this completely randomized design gives every possible group of 10
items selected from a set of 20, an equal chance of being assigned to treatment A &
treatment B.
One way analysis of variance (one way ANOVA) is used to analyze such a design.

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2. Randomizes Block Design: The subjects or items are first divided into groups, known as Blocks
See that, the items in each group or black is homogenous.
Randomly select items from each given block and assign treatment.
Extraneous variables can be fixed and can be measured.

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The main feature of this study is, each treatment appears the same no of times in each
block.
This design is analyzed two way analyses of variance (two way ANOVA) technique.
3. Latin Square Design: Used in Agricultural Research.
L.S Design is used when two or more extraneous variables is found.
Example: Effect of fertilizer on the field of wheat is do be determined.
Here along with the effect of fertilizer, the fertility of the soil must be considered.
If the facility of the soil is not considered along with the fertilizer the result obtained
may be dependable.

Similarly the impact of the various seeds used many also vary the yield.

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To over come this difficulty L.S design is used.


Each fertilizer (X1, X2, X3, X4, X5) will appear 5 items but will be used only once in
each row and in each coloumn.
Example: No treatment occurs more than once.
I

II

III

X1

B C D

X2

C D E

X3

D E

X4

X5

B C D

Conclusion :

IV

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The field is divided into several blocks (I, II, III, IV & V) and there are variety of fertilizer
(X1, X2, X3, X4, X5).
But each fertilizer is used in each block only once.

a two way ANOVA technique.

4. Factorial Design :
Are used in experiments where the effect of the depended variable, when affected by
more than one variable is to be determined.
Used in social & economic studies where usually large no of factors affect a particular
problem.
Factorial design are of two types:
I . Simple Factorial design

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II. Complex Factorial designs.


Simple Factorial Design :
When the effect of the dependent variable is affect by only two factors, it is simple
factorial designs.
Otherwise known as TWO factors Factorial Design.
Complex Factorial Design :
This design is used when more than two factors at a time affects the dependent
variable.
Or the design considers three or more independent variable.
The greater the no of independent variable, the higher the order of interaction,
analysis possible.

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Advantage :
Accuracy

Can determine the effects of more variable in a single experiment.

OBSERVATION
Observation is defined as a planned method of watching that involves constraints
(steps) to improve accuracy.

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Characteristics of Observation :
i. Observation are direct
ii. takes place in natural situations
iii. Less Structured.
iv. Makes only quantitative study.
Applicable in :
1. Life styles
2. Encounters / Settlement.
3. Relationships

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4. Groups / Organization.
Acc. to Block & Camion :
1. Observed in natural surroundings
2. Understands events affecting social relations.
3. Identifies regulatives in social life.
4. Hypothesis free enquiry.
5. Avoids manipulations of independent variable.
6. Recording is not selective.
Differentiate Experimental Technique & Observation Technique :

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Experimental
Technique

Observation Technique

No such controls

Few Controls.

Not Always

Observation is natural
conducted in large unit.
Conducted in smaller
Fewer subjects are
units
watched for long
No so. Study is towards
period .Study is directed
sharpening the judgment. towards sensitizing the
observer / events.
No so.
Behavior observed is
more different.

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STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Probability: IS a measure of the expectation that an certain event will occur.


Probability value ranges from 0-1.
The Main terms pertaining to probability theory:-

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1.Random Experiment: An experiment which can be repeated under the same


conditions and the outcome cannot be prod iced is known as Random Experiment.
Example:-

When a coin is tossed, we cannot predict whether head or tail is going to

occur.
2.Sample Space:- A set of possible outcomes of a random experiment is know as sample
space.
Example: When a coin is tossed twice the possible outcomes are HH, HT, TH & TT, IT is
represented,
S = (HH, HT, TH, TT)
3.An Event: Any possible outcome of an experiment is know as an event.

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Example: When a coin is tossed twice, HH is an event.


An event can be classified as,
a. Simple Event: Which has only one sample point
Example: HH, TT.
b. Compound Event: Which has more than one sample point.
Example : TH.
d. Complimentary Event : A and A are complementary events, if A consists of all the
sample point which is not included in A than the sum of the probability of the sample
space is equal to 1.Hence P(A)-P(A) P(A)+P(A) = 1 P(A) = 1 P(A).

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Example: When a dice is thrown, the probability of odd Numbers turn up are complimentary
to even number turn up.
A = 1,3,5
A1 = 2,4,6
e. Mutually Exclusive Event:

A and B two mutually exclusive event, if A prevents the

occurrence of B.
Example: When a coin is tossed once the occurrence of Head prevents the occurrence of
Tail.
If A and B are mutually exclusive events than the probability of occurrence of A or B is the
sum of their individuals probability.

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P(AUB) = P(A) + P(B).


If A and B is joint sets, than the addition theorem of probability can be stated as.
P(AUB) = P(A) + P(B) P(AB)
f. Independent Event: A and B are in dependant event, if the occurrence of A does not
influence the occurrence of B these two events are called independents events.
Example: When a coin is tossed twice the occurrence of head in the first toss dose not
influence the toss in the second coin.
Product of A and B is the product of their individuals probability P(AB) = P(A) X P(B).
Probability Distribution: IF X is total no of success discrete Random variables which takes
the value of X1,X2, X3........... Xn, P1,P2,Pn then follows the probability distribution.

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Properties of probability Distribution / 2 Main properties:


1. P(X1) is greater than or equal Zero and less than or equal / one (Expressed in
fractions).
2. The sum of all be probability distribution will be equal to one.
Example: When a coin is tossed Twice the probability distribution is, X( probability of
obtaining hed) = 0,1,2 P(X1) = , , = .
Expectation of Probability: Let X be the discrete Random Variable, which takes the
value X1, X2, X3..........Xn
Respective probability is P1, P2, P3 ............ Pn
Expectation of Probability distribution: P1X1 + P2X2............PnXn.

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Probability Distribution = (0 x 1/4) + (1 x 1/2) + (2 x ) = 1.


Binomial Distribution: A Binomial experiment is a statistical experiment. It has the following
properties,
(i)

The experiment consists of n repeated trials.

(ii) Each trail can result in just two possible outcomes. We call one of this outcomes as
Success and the other Failure .
(iii) The probability of success is denoted by P, in every trail and the probability of
failure is denoted by l p or q.
(iv) The trials are independent.
(v) The outcome on one trail dose not affect the outcome of other trials.
Notations:

X The number of successes that result from the Binomial Experiment.

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n - The no of trail in the binomial experiment.


P The probability of success on an individual trial.
C - No of coefficient .
Binomial Formula : Suppose a Binomial experiment consists of n ------- and result in X
successes & if the probability of success on an individuals trial is P, then the Binomial
probability is B (x, n, p) = nCx X Px X (1 P)
4

Coefficient of Binomial Distribution: The binomial coefficients are the coefficients in the
expansion of two terms (x + 1)n.
The coefficient of xr in (x+1)n is denoted by nCr or (n/r).
Example: The coefficient of (x+1)2 = (x+1) (x+1)

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= 1x2 + x +x+1
= 1x2 + 2x +1
The Confidents are = 1+2+1
The coefficient of (x+1)3

(x+1) (x+1) (x+1)

= (x2+2x+1) (x+1)
= x3 + x2 +2x2 +2x +x+1
= x3 + 3x2 +3x +1
The Coefficient is

= 1. 3 .3 1

The Pascal triangle lists out all the Binomial Coefficient.

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1
1

1
1 4

2 1

3
6

(x+1)2
1

(x+1)3

4 1

(x+1)4

1 5 10 10 5 1

(x+1) 5

1 6 15 20 15 6 1

(x+1)6

1 7

21 35 35 21 7 1

(x+1)7

Example: A coin is tossed Four Times what is the probability of obtaining two or more
heads? .
Step I : When a coin is tossed One time, the probability of Head of tail is equal,
(ie) P = q =1/2.

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Step II : The various possibilities of Head and tail events will be,
(p+q)4 = 1p4 + 4p3q +6p3q + 6p2q2 + 4pq3 +1q4
------------------------------------------------------------1p4 = (1/2) where P = 1/2) (q = 1/2.)
= x x x 1/2
= 1/16
4p3q = 4x(1/2)3 x = 4 x x x x
6p2q2 = 6 x(1/2 x x x1/2 = 3/8
Therefore, the probability of obtaining 2 or more heads is,
3/8 + + 1/16 = 11/16

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2. POSSION DISTRIBUTION:
When P is very small (Success rate is extremely small) and n is very large (total no
of trail items of events is large) then POISSON distribution is used.
P O (Successes approach zero) (np = m is finite)

The experimental result in outcomes that can be classified as Successes or failure).


X The Actual Number of successes that occurs in a specific region.

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P (x, u) = (eu) (ux)


-----------------------x1
This is Poisson formula here we conduct a Poisson experiment in which the average
number of successes within a given region is U. Then the Poisson probability is as above .
Where x is the Actual number of successes.
e is equal to 2.71828.
u is the mean of the distribution.
The average number of successes (u) that occurs in a specified region is known.
The probability of success is proportional to the size of the region.
The probability of successes occurring in an extremely small region virtually zero.

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Notations:
e = A constant equal to approximately 2.71828.
u = The mean (average) no of success that occurs in a specific region.
Example: The average no of homes sold by A really company is 2 Homes per day. What is
the probability that exactly 3 homes will be sold tomorrow?.
u = 2 (Average of 2 homes sold per day)
x = 3 (3 homes will be sold tomorrow)
e = 2.71828 (Constant)
Poisson Formula:

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P (x, u) = (eu) (ux)


-----------------------x
P(3, 2) = (2.72828) (2)
------------------------------1x2x3
= (0.13534) (8)/6

= 0.180

Normal Distribution and its properties:

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Normal distribution refers do a family of continuous probability distribution described


by the normal equation.

Normal Equation:
The value of the random variable Y is - (x u) /2
1
Y=

C (Coefficient)

Where X is a normal Random variable.


u is the mean

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is the standard deviation


is constant (3.14159)

e is constant (2.71828)
Standard Deviation:
Represented by it means how much variance (difference) or dispersion exist from
the average.
Example:

= Variance (Root of its variance let us consider a population has eight values,

2,4,4,4,5,5,7,9.
Mean: 2+4+4+4+5+5+7+9
------------------------8

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= 40/8 = 5 1) difference between the mean & the mean & the valiance value is
taken.

Standard Deviation 25 square the value.


(2 - 5) = (-3) = 9 ( 4 5) = (-1) =1 (5 5) = 0 = 0
(4 5) = -1

= 1 ( 4 5) = (-1) =1 (7 5) = 2 = 4
(5 5) = (0) = 0

Rate of 9+1+1+1+0+0+4+16 38
---------------------------- = = 4/8
8

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Example: An average light bulb manufactured by Acme Corporation lasts 300days with a
standard deviation of 50 days. Assuming that the bull life is normally distributed what is
the probability that an Acme light bulb will last at most 365 days?
Answer: The value of the normal Random valuable (X) = 365 days.
The mean (u) = 300 days standard deviation = 50 days.
Normal Distribution Y = 1 x e(xu)
2
1
=
502 x 3.14159 x 2.71828 (365 300) /2 x 50

1
=

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50 x 6013 x 2.71828/100 = 1/306.5 x 271 = 884//


Y = .88 or 88%
Hence there is an 88% chance that the bulb will last most 365 days.

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