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206 Techniques o f Value Analysis and Engineering
but by the quality of changes developed and considered and the quality
(call it what you will-skill, art, ability, or luck) of the decision makers
who make changes. Volumes of experience attest to some real need for
assistance in the work area of the decision makers.
Just as in a baseball game-when the fielder may catch thirty flies
during the season, making outs in each case, then make a bad miss on
one, allowing three runs, and find that all that is remembered of him
that evening and in years to come is the one he missed-so it is in deci-
sions affecting change in products or services. Wherever there is change,
there is risk. A manager or engineer may make thirty decisions bringing
great benefit to the business and then make one that is costly, embarrass-
ing, and damaging. He will often receive so much negative recognition
from the one bad decision that the thirty good ones are entirely forgot-
ten, his reputation is damaged, and he may lose promotions and, in some
cases, his job. Therefore, it often becomes a simple matter of enlightened
self-interest for a manager to make an absolute minimum of significant
changes and to make them only when the combination of circumstances
is precisely right to minimize the harm to himself if the results are not
as expected.
Sacrificial behavior is not unknown, especially among the young, but
a program built upon the premise of individuals making self-injuring
decisions continuously for the good of the project or business will not
thrive. It then becomes the opportunity of management to become so
constituted that decisions and actions of their people will be beneficial
to the business and at the same time will not risk injury to the decision
makers. Every decision, small and large, should be makable on the basis
of enlightened self-interest.
This book develops an understanding of and appreciation for en-
lightened self-interest and provides techniques and approaches that com-
bine the self-interest and self-protection of men with the best interests of
the product or service.
of that group perished. As a result, the beautiful valley that they at-
tempted to cross is now known as "Death Valley." The people who
took the unchanged course reached their destination. It is one thing to
favor change; it is another and far more risky one to make changes.
For example,
The requisition on a one-shot order for screw-machine parts called
for 5,000. They cost 10 cents each, total, $500.
The parts could also be made by cold heading; 15,000 was the
minimum order. They cost 2 cents each; total, $300.
The sound general criterion "Buy as required-do not accumulate
excess inventory" added $200, or 66 per cent extra cost.
For example,
Small motors were billed to one plant "on the parts list basis7' at 28
cents each extra ($2,800 extra for each 10,000 order) because coil assem-
blies were on one order and rotor assemblies on another.
The criterion traditional to the area was, "Write separate orders
when ordering materials from different drawing lists so that incoming
Understanding the Decision Environment 209
packages will be marked with the correct drawing list and accumulation
for assembly will be facilitated." This traditional decision added $2,800
of extra cost per order.
For example,
The practice in one plant was to allow twenty weeks for tool
changes.
An approved change in one part reduced costs $50,000 per year, or
$1,000 per week.
Four man-days of tooling work costing $350 were required. Work on
the tools was scheduled to start in sixteen weeks so that it would com-
fortably be ready in the established twenty. Twenty-thousand dollars in
excess cost was to be accepted so that the $350 tool change would "wait
its turn" according to "practice." Fortunately, this plan was discovered by
a value consultant after eight weeks. When brought to the attention of
the manufacturing manager, the tool was made at once, saving $11,000
of the "normal" extra cost.
A surprising observation is that in nearly all cases the criterion that
prevented decision making, keeping extra cost, was in itself a good
generality.
For example,
A plant had the practice of bringing every job into the factory that
the factory could do. Several parts were purchased from a supplier at
84 cents per set. After assembly, the manufacturing cost became $1.33.
When a profitability and market-loss crisis developed, the vendor was
asked to quote on the assembled parts instead of the "loose" parts. He
quoted 86 cents. The total manufacturing cost then became 86 cents
rather than $1.33.
Often, objective value criteria are in conflict with the "way of thinking"
in an area. Overcoming the subjective thinking is very difficult.
210 Techniques of Value Analysis and Engineering
These are the situations associated with subjective feeling. One example
is the "let's make it ourselves" area. Being for this is like being for
"motherhood and "virtue." To develop objective criteria that might show
large amounts of excess cost is emotionally interpreted as being against
"what's good; hence, often no provision is made to rigorously develop
meaningful supplier alternatives for use as effective value criteria.
I
For example,
1. Attitudes 2. Prior
of superiors, established 3. Objective
Men vary % attitudes, % situation, %
Oneman . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0 75 25
Another. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 15 10
Still another.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 25 25
Possibly ideal. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 0 90
Although decisions affecting most other aspects of the product are based
on cause-and-effect criteria, such as
For quantities, count them
For performance, test them
212 Techniques o f Value Analysis and Engineering
value decisions are often based on criteria far removed from the specific
situation, weighted too heavily on the subjective side and too lightly on
objective facts of the specific value situation. As a result, the flow of
instructions that injure only value do not bring their own correction.
Their effect is to generate sales-volume and profitability problems in the
business. They are not recognized as the cause and accordingly are not
forthrightly dealt with.
For example, automatic equipment was installed to make $50,000 per
year worth of parts. The market-volume and profitability problems that
developed were assumed to be normal. Years later, under critical market
pressure, a value study was made, which showed that functional products
of equal reliability and convenience could have been purchased for
$10,000 per year during the entire period, which would have left $40,000
of additional earnings each year.
get out?" His logic says, "A little." His feelings say, "None." He says,
"Possibly a hard maximum of 5 per cent."
If this engineer is to benefit the company's sales and earnings by a
50 per cent reduction, he needs the help of a new strategy and some
new tactics. Since the deterrent is his feelings, which by now have
stopped aggressive search by his logic, the solution must come through
an approach that deals with his feelings.
Dr. Ralph Graves, eminent psychologist at Union College, Schenec-
tady, N.Y., tells us that logic does not change feelings but that feelings,
being emotions, can be communicated with only in emotional terms.
Therefore the approach created must emotionally communicate in order
to release the man from his past publicly proved work and allow his
feelings to become reorganized in a new situation that may remove one-
half to three-fourths of the cost. This emotional approach must be based
upon logic drawn from the task at hand so that the new adjustment of
feelings will be such that the cost objectives are reached. A strategy of
approaches and techniques must be created that will allow men to
change their own feelings.
I t Is c o m f o r t a b l e t o Avoid
Embarrassment
11-6 M i n i m i z i n g the R i s k of
Personal Loss
value alternatives, the personal loss to the men in the environment must
be reduced or eliminated and that action must start at the top.
One example of the type of communication that is necessary with top
men and bosses at their present stage of recognition of this problem
may be recounted here. Steel J bolts, threaded on one end, were used in
large quantities for a holding function. They cost 11% cents each,
$92,000 per year. Use of the value techniques produced an interchange-
able alternative which accomplished the total function with the same
reliability at a cost of 1%cents each or $12,000 per year, a saving of
$80,000 per year in purchase cost. As already indicated, the important
question always is how to convey this type of information to a manager
or a boss in a way that will allow him to see the merit of the value system
that produced the suggestion rather than to follow the normal pattern of
depreciating the men who previously worked on the job. In this case, it
was handled by the following dialogue (see Figure 8-17, page 147) :
"Mr. Smith, would you like to see what your men are accomplishing by
the use of these value analysis techniques?"
"I certainly would."
"You use large quantities of this J bolt in this application [showing
him the product using it]. Now, if you had the assignment of removing
large amounts of cost from this without in the slightest reducing its
quality or safety factor, how would you go about it?
"Is it made of steel?"
"Yes."
"A piece of standard steel with a hook on one end and a thread on the
other. How can you make it any simpler?"
"That's right, Mr. Smith, that's where your men started. Now let's see
what they produced using the value analysis techniques. This part [show-
ing the value alternative] accomplishes the total function with the same
reliability, but instead of costing 11%cents, this costs 1% cents."
Mr. Smith, startled, said, "How much difference did that make in our
yearly cost?"
"Eighty thousand dollars per year reduction in purchase cost."
And now, for his final comment, "How many men do we now have
doing this type of work?"
Did this mean that men in the organization suffered personal loss? Of
course not, because the manager was put in the same position as they
were in before he answered.
Case Study
DANGER OF EMBARRASSMENT IS MORE FORCEFUL
THAN RESTORED MARKET VOLUME
Case Study
FEAR OF EMBARRASSMENT IS MORE FORCEFUL
IN DECISION MAKING THAN ENDING COMPANY
LOSS
When a company with about $5 million business per year lost its profit
position, the vice-president of engineering asked this author for help in
finding a value engineer. He obtained a good one and then a second man.
A seminar was held, which considered one purchased item, a large forging,
which cost $500,000 per year. The result was that five changes in this
item were put into effect immediately, keeping all quality and reducing
the cost by $160,000 yearly. Result? The vice-president of engineering
prevented the value engineers from obtaining any increase in salary for
two years, let it be well known that they were unwelcome in the vice-
president's office; ultimately he had them report to someone lower in the
organization, and then ended the activity completely.
What caused this reaction? The realitv of some embarrassment and fear
of more. All management and peers knew that the large forging was the
sole responsibility of the vice-president of engineering. Before the seminar,
he had said, "I've handled that myself; nothing whatsoever that could be
done has been left undone. It is really a waste of time to include it in the
studies." When $160,000 of cost was climinated, he was embarrassed and
probably hurt. Until then, the president had thought he was brilliant in
220 Techniques of Value Analysis and Engineering
Case Study
FEAR O F EMBARRASSMENT IS MORE FORCEFUL
IN DECISION MAKING THAN A PROFIT ON THE
JOB
they will feed their value alternatives to make their work rewarding to
the company and, in the long run, to themselves.
Finally, management people or value consultation specialists who want
to delve deeper into these normal human reactions which delay and
minify the realization of dollar benefits from good value engineering
work will find valuable guidance by studying some good psychological
literature on the subject of human behavior in situations involving
change (see the Appendix, section A-2).
1. What your people believe you think they are determines what they
must do and say.
2. Decisions are very personal. Each is based mainly on minimizing
the risk of embarrassment or personal loss.
3. Feelings control plans and limit decisions.
4. We cannot communicate to men's feelings by logic.
5. What men believe heavily influences their decisions.
6. Most popular beliefs are partly wrong.
7. Men discredit what they do not understand.
8. An idea "unthought of' is as absent and as totally unusable as a
new metal undiscovered.
9. Any new thought or idea or a determined search for new ideas
attacks the feeling of security.
10. Creative people are felt to be hazardous by noncreative or judicial
people.
11. There is no "right" design; rather it is satisfactory for this time.
12. Profit is not added to price. It is taken from cost.
13. Selling prices should be established by market levels as a policy
not an expedient.
14. Costs are determined by our own decisions and actions. Each
decision has been the result of the knowledge, thoughts, feelings, and
logic of the various decision makers.
15. Men must be made to feel that it is good to make their own pro-
duct or services obsolete rather than "cling with pride" until a competitor
does it and takes some of the market with him.
16. Experience shows that management normally cannot make signifi-
cant decisions to change, based upon observed results alone. The risk of
embarrassment is too great. To cause decisions bringing significant
change, either
a. The need must be intense and severe (in which case risk of
embarrassment is probably greater if no change is made than if
a change is risked) or
Understanding the Decision Environment 223
SUMMARY
Value analysis or engineering is a promoter of change. Change always
brings risk. Whenever a change does not develop the expected results,
the "cause-and-cffect" relationship immediately points the finger of error
at the responsible decision maker. Everyone knows he did it. He is un-
comfortable and cmbarrassed, and his reputation is downgraded. His
opportunities for advancement are diminished. As a result, for very valid
realities, a manager learns to avoid embarrassment and to fear it. The
fear of embarrassment becomes an important factor in his decision values
system.
The tragedy is that when the disciplined thinking system produces
large cost savings with no new technology and with small or no addi-
tional investment in equipment, the decision maker is often downgraded
on the basis of "You are not as smart as I thought you were or you
would have done that long before now!" The unstated question that
colors his decision system and becomes a decisive factor in decision
making becomes "Might it be embarrassing to me?" As a result, great
understanding of this situation must be possessed by the decision maker
and others, such as the value analysis specialist, the man's boss, and his
peers, if objective data are to bring prompt profitable actions from good
value analysis change proposals.
The source of the primary injury to a man, which comes from the
embarrassment resulting from a decision to make a good change "that
could have been made years earlier" or an erroneous change "that should
not have been made at all," is his boss or the management group above
him. The boss, unfortunately, all too often makes direct statements that
reveal his critical attitude.
Experience has shown that the fear of possible embarrassment is so
strong that management personnel will not normally make an affirmative
decision for substantial change based on observed and proved results.
They require for prompt decision either severe need or a detailed and
complete understanding of how the benefits are created by the change.
We are faced with a stern reality: T h e manager is the key man. By his
attitudes and actions he can treble the profit results from the value
analysis system, or he can cut them in half.