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GCEP Energy Tutorial

Wind 101
Patrick Riley
October 14, 2014
Imagination at work.

Agenda

Introduction & fundamentals


Wind resource
Aerodynamics & performance
Design loads & controls
Scaling
Farm Considerations
Technology Differentiators
Economics
Technology Development Areas
GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

Power from Wind Turbines


Power in Wind

Pwind

= 12 r v3 Area

Extractable Power from Wind turbine

Pwind = cp r v Area
1
2

Cp = power coefficient
a measure of aerodynamic efficiency
of extracting energy from the wind

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

v = wind speed
Importance of site identification (local
wind resource) & understanding of
wind shear

Area = rotor swept area


Power increases with rotor2

Configurations
Horizontal-Axis (HAW T)

Vertical-Axis (VAW T)

Upwind vs. Downwind

Lift Based (Darrieus) vs. Drag-Based (Savonius)

Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Darrieus-windmill.jpg
Copyright 2007 aarchiba, used with permission.

Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Savonius-rotor_en.svg
Copyright 2008 Ugo14, used with permission.

Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Wind.turbine.yaw.system.configurations.svg
Copyright 2009 Hanuman Wind, used with permission.

Airborne Wind Turbine

Number of Blades

Source:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Water_Pumping_
Windmill.jpg
Copyright 2008 Ben Franske, used with permission.

Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Airborne_wind_generator-en.svg
Copyright 2008 James Provost, used with permission.

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

Utility-Scale Turbine Types


Convergence of industry
Horizontal axis
Upwind
3 blades
Variable rotor speed
Active (independent) pitch
Main differentiators
Direct drive vs. gearbox
Generator design
Full vs. Partial Power Conversion
Controls
GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

Basic Wind Turbine Terminology


Term

Typical Value*

Definition

Rated Power

1.6MW

Max nominal power output

Diameter

100m

Rotor diameter

Capacity Factor

48%

Annual Energy Production (kWh)


Rated Power (kW) x 24 x 365

Avg wind speed

7.5m/s

Annual average wind speed at hub height

Turbulence Intensity

16%

sU/Uavg @ Uavg = 15 m/s

IEC class

II

Uavg = 8.5 m/s @ hub height


50-yr, 10-min extreme wind = 42.5 m/s
50-yr, 3-sec extreme gust = 59.5 m/s
Turbulence = 18%
(IEC = International Electrotechnical Commission)

Design life

20 years

Calculated Life according IEC 61400 and DPs

*values can vary significantly with turbine & site

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

Utility Scale Wind Uniqueness


Massive Structural Size
GE 1.6-100

Substantial Heights
Rotor
40 to 70 tons
77 to 120m diameter

Hoover
Tower
(87m)

2.5-120,
110m HH
(170m)

Statue of
Liberty
(91m)

Nacelle
57 to 82 tons
Tower
132 to 1200 tons
60m to 139m hub height

Source:
http://en.wikipedia.org
/wiki/File:Hoover_Towe
r_Stanford_January_2
013.jpg
Copyright 2013 King of
Hearts, used with
permission.

Source:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
File:Statue_of_Liberty_7.jpg
Placed in the Public Domain

but Values Low Cost Design Simplicity

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

Conventional Layout
Pitch drive
Pitch bearing

High-speed coupling

Main bearing
Gearbox

Mechanical brake

Hub
Bed Frame
Yaw drives

Generator

Yaw bearing
Rotor main shaft

Electrical top box

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

Wind Resource

Average Wind Speed Map

The Wind Resource is the #1


Driver of Wind Economics
The most productive wind sites:
have high average wind
speeds
are generally somewhat
remote from population
centers
integration with utility grid is
generally challenging

Source: http://www.nrel.gov/gis/images/80m_wind/USwind300dpe4-11.jpg
Copyright 2011 AWS Truepower & NREL, used with permission.

Installed Wind Power Map

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

GW installed
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
>5

Wind Characteristics
Wind Speed Distribution,
%

Wind Speed Distribution

Wind-Shear
Profile
Wind shear

Wind direction distribution

Vwind

12%
10%
8%
6%
4%

2%
0%
0

10
20
Wind Speed, m/s

30

Ground
Source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Wind_rose_plot.jpg
Copyright 2010 BREEZE Software, used with permission.

Extreme winds

1-yr & 50-yr extreme gusts

Turbulence intensity

TI=s/

s : std. dev.
: average
IEC Class A: 18% at 15 m/s
IEC Class B: 16% at 15 m/s
Copyright TOM, used with permission.

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

10

Voice of Physics Actuator Disk Theory


Actuator disc

Model
Rotor is a permeable disc
Velocity reduction is equally distributed
before/after the rotor and V2 = (1 2a) V1
a: Axial Induction factor for slow down
Power: Change in momentum caused
by pressure difference across disk

pd = 12 rV13 Ad 4a1 a
P=m

Source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Betz_tube.jpg
Placed in the Public Domain by Anthony vh

for V2=0: only load, no power

Wind speed
(static) Pressure

Main Results

Stream tube

Power
2

=
=
4
a
1

a
Power coefficient: c p 1
3
2 rV1 Ad

Maximum extractable Power is 59.3%


GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

1
Power & Thrust
Coefficients

Thrust
=
= 4a1 a
Thrust coefficient: ct 1
2
r
V
A
1
d
2

Actuator disc

1
0.8

Cp

0.6

Ct

Betz Limit

0.4
0.2
0
0

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
Axial Induction Factor, a

0.511

Optimizing Cps through Configuration

Horizontal-axis wind turbines


More blades increase Cp but increase
cost

Vertical-axis lift (Darrieus)

Limited applicability due to lower Cp

Horizontal-axis windmills

Designed for torque not electricity


results in low tip speed operation

Vertical-axis drag (Savonius)

Used as primary technology for


anemometers

Source: http://www.intechopen.com/books/fundamental-and-advanced-topics-in-wind-power/wind-turbines-theory-the-betz-equationand-optimal-rotor-tip-speed-ratio
Copyright 2011 Magdi Ragheb and Adam M. Ragheb , used with permission.

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

12

Power Curve

Turbine loads & costs correlate


closely to power in wind

4.5
4

Power a, MW

2.5-120

10%

Power in Wind (Betz Limit)

Significant added cost to


continue extracting power in
wind

3.5

12%

Wind Distribution

8%

3
Not enough wind to make effort
to capture energy worthwhile

2.5

6%

2
4%

1.5

Dominated by aero, mechanical,


& electrical losses

Wind Distribution b

2%

0.5
0

0%
0

a)
b)

10

15
Wind Speed, m/s

20

25

30

Power is for a 120m rotor diameter turbine


Wind distribution calculated from Weibull distribution, 7.5 m/s average wind speed, k=2
GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

13

Annual Energy Production (AEP)


t(bin) [h]

c p (bin) []

Power [kW ]

500
0.50

Energy Yield (bin) [kWh]


700,000

2500

450
0.45

400

600,000

0.40

350
300
250
200

2000

electric
aerodynamic
"power curve"

0.35
0.30

1500

0.25
0.20

150

0.15

100

0.10

50

0.05

1000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000
500

100,000

0.00

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

0
0

10

12

v(bin) [m s]

t
Weibull

( bin)

3
( bin)

14

16

18

20

22

24

0
0

10

12

v(bin) [m s]

14

16

18

20

22

v(bin) [m s]

1
r c p elec.(bin) R 2 = AEPactual
2

AEP is the product of:


Wind distribution v3
Rotor size (swept area) R2
Efficiency (aerodynamic, mechanical, electrical)
GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

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14

Power Curve Regions


Rated
Wind speed

Cut-in
Wind speed

Cut-out
Wind speed

2,500.0

30

3 Shaver
Peak

Power curve region:


1 below cut-in
2 cut-in to rated
(partial power)
3 rated to cut-out

25
2,000.0

20

1,500.0
15
1,000.0

pitch, thrust,
RPM RPM

Power [kW]

Power control:
pitch to feather

10

Fine pitch
500.0

constant
speed

variable
speed
0.0

0
0

10

15

20

Variable speed:
RPM ~ wind speed
Constant speed:
RPM constant

Pitch actuation:
> Fine pitch
> Peak shaver
> Power control
(Thrust) Load reduction

25

Wind Speed [m/s]


Power
Power

Thrust [20*kN]

RPM [-]
RPM [-]

pitch [deg]

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

15

Loads Analysis
Simulation Driven ... incorporate wind
turbulence, control strategy, aero & structural
properties

Structural Design ... used to design


components

Certification ... meet specific design load


cases (DLCs)

IEC 61400 ed. 2 / ed.3 (-1 onshore; -2 small; -3


offshore)

DIBt (partly identical with IEC, but HH-dep.windspeeds, add. DLCs)

IEC 61400-1 Ed2

II

III

Vave [m/s]

10

8.5

7.5

Vref [m/s]

50

42.5

37.5

18/16

18/16

18/16

NVN 11400 (similar to IEC)

Bankability required by customer &


financing institutions

TI15 [%]

a/b

Air density [kg/m]


Vertical shear [-]
GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

WIND TURBINE CLASS

Flow angles []

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

1.225
0.2/ 0.11

<8

16

Site Specific Mechanical Loads Analysis

Determine turbine loads suitability at site specific locations


GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

17

Square-Cube Law
Energy capture is proportional to RD2
Loads Mass Cost are proportional to RD3
Energy & Cost

Energy
Loads Mass Cost

Rotor Diameter

but this is a generalization & some economies of scale exist


Tower

Installation
BOP

Power Electronics

and some step changes like blade logistics


GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

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Turbine scale costs and benefits

Turbine cost

BOP $/MW

Nameplate

Technology

Nameplate

Total CapEx

CapEx $/MW

+
Turbine $/MW

BOP cost

Technology

Nameplate

Technology advancements required to beat the cost curve

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

19

Wind System Engineering Objectives


Goal: Assess the system-level value of new
technologies & next-generation product
designs
rating & rotor diameter
hub height
control strategies (loads vs. AEP)
component technologies (cost vs. perf)
rotational speed (noise, DT size, loads)

New Technology
LCOE Change

Many system-level trades

Current Technology

Need system-level approach to optimize

driving down LCOE,


changing the optimum rating
Turbine Rating

performance
capital cost
operation & maintenance

Non-obvious interactions abound


Optimizing technology
development & product moves
around lifetime value to wind farm
GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

20

Tower Height Optimization

Shear drives economics


= 0.14
a0.14

Benefits of Tall Tower

Modeling

140

Hub-Height

Higher mean wind speed


Reduced wind shear
Reduced turbulence

Typical applied Power law in flat terrain:


Vh = Vref (h/href )
h is the height above ground
is the wind shear coefficient
Typically 0.14 0.20
(Depends on terrain)
Negative shear
Local increase in wind speed near ground
Occurs on top of ridges and hills

= 0.2
a0.2

120
100
80
60
5.5

6.0
6.5
7.0
Average Wind Speed

Hub-Height dAEP 0.14

dAEP 0.2

80

-9%

-13%

100

0%

0%

120

8%

12%

140

15%

22%

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

21

System Value Optimization


Component Level
Key Metrics

Operation &
Maintenance

Annual Energy
Production

Capital Cost
Technologists
typical focus
areas

Turbine Level

Customers
focus areas

Farm Level

Lifecycle Costs
Lifecycle Costs

Planned
maintenance
Failure rates

Rotor Diameter &


Rating

Fleet Level
Fleet Operations

LCOE, NPV, IRR

Balancing Costs

Servicing strategy

Overall turbine
O&M cost

Grid Integration
Wind Resource

Component
efficiency

Turbine power
curve

Localized loads

Full loads

BOP Costs

Materials

Operational
limits

Logistics

Wake & cable


losses (siting)

Forecasting

Complex multi-physics, multi-dimensional


optimization at farm and fleet levels.
GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

22

Technology Differentiators among Utility-Scale


OEMs
Blade Materials Carbon vs. Glass

Drivetrain Architecture DD vs. Geared

Power Conversion Full Power vs. Partial

Controls

Power

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

23

How are Wind Farms Laid Out ?


Examples:

Array

along a ridge

Spacing
5-9 D
Wind

3-5 D

D: rotor diameter

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

24

Micro Siting Basics


Waked turbines

Find the best wind

Select the best turbine model


Place turbines in energetic
most locations on site
Minimize wake effects
Optimize BOP

Maximize AEP given constraints


Source: http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2011/images/vattenfall-image_300.jpg
Copyright 2010 Vattenfall, used with permission.

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

25

Economics LCOE & Incentives


Incentives

LCOE
250

Production Based
Based on DOE Program Estimates from OpenEI Transparent Cost Database, accessed 10/02/2014.

Production Tax Credit (PTC)


not taxed, 10 years, in addition to PPA

200

US 2.3 cents/kWh

O&M

Feed-In Tariffs
common in Europe, replaces PPA

150

Germany has ~11.3 cents/kWh

Installed Cost Based

100

Investment Tax Credit (ITC)


like solar in US (30% of installed capex), no longer
valid for utility-scale wind)

50

Accelerated Capital Depreciation


40%

0
Onshore Onshore Onshore Offshore Offshore Offshore
Wind
Wind + Wind +
Wind
Wind + Wind +
MACRS MACRS &
MACRS MACRS &
PTC
PTC

Onshore wind competitive in many places

Depreciation
Schedule, % of
Capex

LCOE, $/MWh

Capital

20 Yr. Straight Line

30%

US-MACRS

20%

Germany

10%
0%
0

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

2014 General Electric Company All rights reserved

10
Years

15

20
26

Economics Markets Drive Product Platforms


North American Optimized Product

European Optimized Product

Constrained either by land available or electrical


interconnect Large Project Sizes (often >50
turbines)

Constrained by land available Small farm sizes


(often <10 turbines)
.

Competes with variable cost of gas low PPA


values

Strong feed-in tariff rates AEP valued


.

Moderate wind resource IEC Class II & III

Poorer wind resource IEC Class III & IV

2.3-107

1.85-82.5

1.7-100

1.85-87

Manage cost & performance for low PPAs

3.2-103

2.85-100

2.75-120
2.85-103

Increasing size can pay off with high feed-in tariffs

GCEP Wind 101| 14 October 2014

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27

Current Research Trends


Cost Effective Scaling Large Rotor &
Tower Technologies

Farm Level Optimization Farm


Control & Big Data Analytics

Minimize Loads Advanced Controls &


Sensors

Grid Friendly Storage Integration

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Join the conversation


GE Global Research website
www.ge.com/research

Edisons Desk GEs longest


running blog
www.edisonsdesk.com

Edisons Desk on Twitter

twitter.com/edisonsdesk

Youtube account
www.youtube.com/grcblog

GEs Genius of the Day


www.ge.com/genius

Were on Facebook too!


Engage with GE scientists and engineers
about innovation and science
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