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4 authors:
Mathew Fetzner
Samantha C. Horswill
University of Regina
7 PUBLICATIONS 36 CITATIONS
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P.A. Boelen
R. Nicholas Carleton
Utrecht University
University of Regina
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ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Abstract Intolerance of uncertainty has received substantial empirical attention in recent years. The contribution of intolerance of uncertainty to the development and
maintenance of anxiety disorders has become increasingly
recognized by researchers; however, relationships between
intolerance of uncertainty and symptoms of posttraumatic
stress disorder remain largely unexplored. As part of a
larger study, North American community members
(n = 122, 81 % women) with a heterogeneous trauma
history completed self-report measures assessing intolerance of uncertainty and its dimensions (inhibitory and
prospective intolerance of uncertainty) and posttraumatic
stress disorder symptoms (re-experiencing, avoidance,
numbing, hyperarousal). Intolerance of uncertainty total
scores accounted for statistically significant variance in
each posttraumatic stress disorder symptom score except
re-experiencing. Inhibitory intolerance of uncertainty
scores accounted for statistically significant variance in
each posttraumatic stress disorder symptom score except
re-experiencing. Prospective intolerance of uncertainty
scores did not account for statistically significant variance
in any of the posttraumatic stress disorder symptom scores.
Results suggest that intolerance of uncertainty relates differentially to posttraumatic stress disorder symptom clusters and inhibitory intolerance of uncertainty appears to be
the main component of the relationship.
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Method
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Participants
Measures
Participants included 122 trauma-exposed community
members (81 % women), ranging in age from 18 to
60 years old (Mage = 33.83 years; SD = 14.41 years). The
most prevalent demographics endorsed by study participants were Caucasian (82 %), single/never married (46 %),
had at least partial college/university education (53 %),
were either a student (31 %) or employed full-time (34 %),
and had a household income less than $19,999 (23 %).
Participants were excluded from the current study based on
age restrictions (i.e., participant had to have been between
the ages of 18 and 65 years old) and if they did not complete at least 95 % of study measure items.
Procedure
Participants were recruited from across North America
through online social media advertisements calling for
individuals who currently experience anxiety or have in the
past. As a consequence, the current sample likely includes
a disproportionately high number of people experiencing
higher-than-average levels of anxiety. Respondents were
asked to voluntarily and anonymously complete an Internet-based survey as part of a larger ongoing study investigating risk factors and symptoms of anxiety disorders.
Permission to conduct the present study was obtained from
the local University research ethics board. A total of 1,075
participants logged on to complete the survey and were
presented with measures assessing anxiety disorder risk
factors (including AS, IU, and neuroticism). Of these participants, 357 (33 %) chose to answer additional questions
and were each randomized to one of three different sets of
questionnaires assessing specific anxiety disorder symptoms. Only 112 of 357 participants (11 %) were randomized to receive questionnaires containing items relevant to
the current study (focusing on trauma and PTSD symptoms); 83 of the 112 participants (74 %) completed the
questionnaires. A further 39 participants were initially
randomized to one of the two other sets of questionnaires
(focusing on either social/generalized anxiety or health
anxiety/physical health). Following completion of this
initial questionnaire set, these 39 participants chose to
complete another set of questionnaires, were randomized to
the trauma-focused questionnaire set, and completed the
questionnaires necessary for the current study, resulting in
a total study population of 122 participants. Response
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Analytic Procedure
To begin, prevalence of probable PTSD in the current
sample was established based on the aforementioned cutoff score. Thereafter, to assess for potential differences in
IU between PTSD and other anxiety disorders, IU total and
subscale scores from those meeting criteria for probable
PTSD in the current sample were compared against those
meeting criteria for other mental disorders in previous
research conducted by our research team (Carleton et al.
2012). A power analysis to determine necessary sample
size, descriptive statistics, skewness and kurtosis, and
correlation analyses were performed to characterize the
data and initial interrelationships. Next, a series of four
hierarchical regression analyses were run to examine if IU
total scores accounted for statistically significant unique
variance in PCL-C subscale scores above and beyond time
since index trauma, neuroticism, and anxiety sensitivity.
The four dependent variables included (1) PCL-C reexperiencing, (2) PCL-C avoidance, (3) PCL-C numbing, and
(4) PCL-C hyperarousal. Independent variables included
the time since index trauma, ASI-3 total score, and Big 5
Mini-markers neuroticism subscale in step one, and then
IUS-12 total score in step two. Input of independent variables into steps one and two was based on the temporal
nature of time since index trauma in relation to the
development of PTSD, and neuroticism as being a consistent trait preceding the development of anxiety disorders
(Goldberg and Huxley 1991). No studies specifically outline the temporal etiology of anxiety sensitivity in respect
to IU; however, the established relationship between anxiety sensitivity and PTSD made anxiety sensitivity an
appropriate choice to input in step 1.
Evidence supports IU as an important, possibly necessary component of anxiety and anxiety sensitivity (Carleton 2012; Carleton et al. 2012, 2007b), suggesting primacy
of placement in a regression model (Tabachnick and Fidell
2001); however, the current study was designed to determine whether IU would account for statistically significant
and substantial variance beyond that accounted for by other
independent variables. As such, in the interest of thoroughness and paralleling prior research (Carleton et al.
2010), the four hierarchal regression analyses were also run
reversing the order of entry described above.
A third and fourth series of four analyses investigated
the unique contributions of the two IU subscales (i.e.,
prospective and inhibitory IU) to PTSD subscale scores.
The third and fourth series utilized the same dependent and
independent variable placement as the first and second
series respectively; however, each analysis included IUS12 inhibitory IU and IUS-12 prospective IU scores instead
of IUS-12 total scores. In an effort to maximize statistical
variance and power, while also being consistent with the
Results
Participants reported experiencing an index trauma
153 months before the time of data collection. Frequencies of traumatic events endorsed and index traumas are
presented in Table 1. A total of 49 (40 %) participants in
the current sample exceeded the aforementioned cut-off
score on the PCL-C indicating probable PTSD. Participants
meeting criteria for probable PTSD in the current study had
a mean IUS-12 score of 42.04 (SD = 11.35), as well as
mean prospective and inhibitory IU scores of 24.66
(SD = 6.88) and 17.38 (5.17) respectively. As such, after a
Bonferroni correction, the IUS-12 total and subscale scores
in the probable PTSD subsample were not statistically
significantly different (all ps [ .05) from scores reported
by individuals with other mental disorders (i.e., social
anxiety disorder [n = 120], panic disorder with or without
agoraphobia [n = 89], generalized anxiety disorder
[n = 63], obsessive compulsive disorder [n = 60], and
major depressive disorder [n = 26]) previously reported by
Carleton, Mulvogue, and colleagues (2012). Specific
description of the demographic information from the clinical sample compared against is available in the original
manuscript.
A power analysis (f2 = .2, a = .05, number of predictors = 5) suggested that the number of participants available for the current study was sufficient to conduct the
proposed analyses. Table 2 includes the total and subscale
score correlational analyses, as well as measurements of
central tendencies. Pearson correlation analyses revealed
IUS-12 total scores and IUS-12 subscale scores (i.e., prospective IU and inhibitory IU) to be significantly associated
with PCL-C subscale scores, AS, and neuroticism. No
indices of univariate skewness and kurtosis were sufficiently out of range to preclude the planned analyses (i.e.,
had positive standardized skewness values that exceeded 2
or positive standardized kurtosis values that exceeded 7;
Tabachnick and Fidell 2001); nevertheless, bootstrapping
(2000 samplings) was used on all variables (Byrne 2001;
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Table 1 Trauma reference and endorsement frequency
Type of trauma
Natural disaster
Index
trauma
Frequency (%)
Trauma
endorsement
Frequency (%)
2 (1.6)
38 (30.4)
11 (8.8)
92 (73.6)
3 (2.4)
0 (0)
20 (16.0)
13 (10.4)
3 (2.4)
31 (24.8)
27 (22.1)
49 (39.2)
Physical assault
8 (6.4)
45 (36.0)
0 (0)
1 (0.8)
0 (0)
3 (2.4)
Terrorist attack
1 (0.8)
5 (4.0)
Torture
0 (0)
Sexual assault
27 (22.1)
2 (1.6)
80 (64.0)
Armed robbery
1 (.8)
2 (1.6)
Serious illness
3 (2.4)
31 (24.8)
Public humiliation
8 (6.4)
50 (40.0)
16 (12.8)
68 (54.4)
Being ridiculed
6 (4.8)
71 (56.8)
Other trauma
6 (4.8)
16 (12.8)
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Table 2 Means, standard deviations, skewness and kurtosis, and pearson correlations
S (SES)
K (SEK)
Variable
M (SD)
1. PCL-C rxp
12.50 (5.33)
.42 (.22)
-.71 (.41)
2. PCL-C avd
5.56 (2.68)
.19 (.22)
-1.19 (.41)
.76**
3. PCL-C nmb
13.05 (5.30)
.08 (.22)
-1.14 (.41)
.56**
.62**
-.73 (.41)
.52
**
**
.73**
**
**
.47**
4. PCL-C hyp
14.74 (5.08)
-.15 (.22)
.53
.56**
.02
-.06
5. ASI-3
30.04 (15.78)
-.17 (.22)
-.97 (.42)
.36
6. Time since
trauma
12.10 (12.56)
1.30(.22)
1.01 (.41)
-.15
7. Neuroticism
8. IUS-12 pro
20.60 (5.69)
21.88 (7.04)
.22 (.22)
.01 (.22)
.03 (.41)
-.85 (.43)
.26**
.28**
.17
.29**
.36**
.37**
.40**
.44**
.44**
.38**
-.02
.16 -.40**
9. IUS-12 inh
14.16 (5.84)
.11 (.22)
-1.10 (.43)
.34**
.44**
.49**
.53**
.46**
.04 -.46**
.75**
-.92 (.44)
**
**
**
**
**
**
.95**
35.92 (12.00)
.07 (.22)
.32
.40
-.07
-.02
.38
.45
.50
.44
.12 -.46
.92**
Time since index trauma rated in months; ASI-3 Anxiety Sensitivity Index 3; IUS-12 Intolerance of Uncertainty Scale, Short Form; pro
prospective anxiety; inh inhibitory anxiety; Neuroticism Big 5 mini-markers neuroticism subscale; PCL-C Posttraumatic Checklist Civilian
version; hyp hyperarousal; avd avoidance; nmb numbing; rxp re-experiencing; SE Standard Error; S Skewness; K Kurtosis; *p \ .05; **p \ .01
Table 3 Summary of hierarchal regression analyses utilizing IU total scores as independent variables
DV
PCL-C rxp
Step
1(2)
Constant
PCL-C avd
PCL-C nmb
PCL-C hyp
Coefficient statistics
DR2
p
.30(.24)
.03(.04)
-.14(-.16)
.03(.03)
.17(.56)
Neuroticism
.13(.06)
2(1)
IUS-12 total
.21(.32)
1(2)
.41(.31)
-.05(-.10)
DF
f2
\.01(.04)
.19 (.04)
.16(.03)
7.53(4.49)
.05(\.01)
.10(.09)
13.82(4.27)
\.01(\.01)
.11 (.04)
.50(.24)
\.01(\.01)
.17(.07)
7.75(9.93)
\.01(\.01)
.17 (.08)
Neuroticism
-.01(-.11)
2(1)
IUS-12 total
.31(.38)
.01(\.01)
.91(.24)
.15(.09)
20.39(4.29)
\.01(\.01)
.18 (.08)
1(2)
.38(.30)
.86(.76)
.25(.07)
13.25(8.20)
\.01(\.01)
.33 (.07)
ASI-3
.01(-.02)
\.01(\.01)
Neuroticism
.20(.11)
.05(.29)
2(1)
IUS-12 total
.26(.45)
\.01(\.01)
.24(.09)
29.77(5.70)
\.01(\.01)
.45 (.07)
1(2)
.47(.38)
.52(.95)
.34(.06)
20.49(10.96)
\.01(\.01)
.51 (.01)
.04(.01)
\.01(\.01)
.25(.15)
40.43(9.52)
\.01(\.01)
.33 (.01)
ASI-3
Neuroticism
2(1)
IUS-12 total
-20(.11)
.28(.50)
.03(.24)
\.01(\.01)
DV Dependent variable; Time since trauma rated in months; PCL-C rxp Posttraumatic checklist civilian version re-experiencing subscale; PCL-C
avd Posttraumatic checklist civilian version avoidance subscale; PCL-C nmb Posttraumatic checklist civilian version numbing subscale; PCL-C
hyp Posttraumatic checklist civilian version hyperarousal subscale; ASI-3 Anxiety sensitivity index version 3; Neuroticism Big 5 mini-markers
neuroticism subscale; IUS-12 Intolerance of uncertainty scale12 items
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Table 4 Summary of hierarchal regression analyses utilizing IU subscale scores as independent variables
DV
PCL-C rxp
Constant
Step
1(2)
DR2
-.14(-.16)
.06(.04)
\.01(.03)
Neuroticism
.13(.06)
.15(.55)
2(1)
1(2)
ASI-3
Neuroticism
IUS-12 pro
2(1)
IUS-12 inh
Time since trauma
1(2)
.08(.05)
.60(.74)
.15(.30)
.27(.02)
-.05(-.06)
.46(.42)
.41(.29)
-.01(-.12)
\.01(\.01)
.90(.20)
-.09(-.11)
.50(.40)
.44(.53)
\.01(\ .01)
.01(.00)
.85(.94)
ASI-3
.38(.28)
\.01(\.01)
Neuroticism
.20(.11)
.06(.34)
IUS-12 pro
2(1)
IUS-12 inh
PCL-C hyp
.30(.23)
IUS-12 pro
PCL-C nmb
ASI-3
IUS-12 inh
PCL-C avd
Coefficient statistics
1(2)
ASI-3
Neuroticism
IUS-12 pro
IUS-12 inh
2(1)
-.04(-.01)
.69(.93)
.34(.49)
\.01(\.01)
.04(.02)
.52(.710)
.47(.37)
\.01 \ (.01)
.20(.11)
.01(.22)
.02(.07)
.82(.50)
.29(.48)
.01(\.01)
DF
f2
\.01(.01)
.19 (.04)
.16 (.3)
7.53(3.80)
.08 (.11)
2.30(7.61)
.17 (.10)
7.75(3.38)
\.01 (.02)
.17 (.14)
.06 (.20)
8.00(15.04)
\.01 (\.01)
.25 (.14)
\.01 (\.01)
.25 (.10)
\.01 (\.01)
.31 (.10)
\.01 (\.01)
.52 (.12)
\.01 (\.01)
.39 (.12)
.25 (.09)
.07 (.24)
.34 (.07)
.13 (.28)
13.25(4.81)
5.83(18.35)
20.49(8.58)
6.51(22.88)
.11 (\.01)
.12 (.04)
DV dependent variable; Time since trauma rated in months; PCL-C rxp Posttraumatic checklist civilian version re-experiencing subscale; PCL-C
avd Posttraumatic checklist civilian version avoidance subscale; PCL-C nmb Posttraumatic checklist civilian version numbing subscale; PCL-C
hyp Posttraumatic checklist civilian version hyperarousal subscale; ASI-3 Anxiety sensitivity index version 3; Neuroticism Big 5 mini-markers
neuroticism subscale; IUS-12 Intolerance of uncertainty scale12 items; pro prospective anxiety subscale; inh inhibitory anxiety subscale
Discussion
The current study examined IU in terms of total and subscale scores (i.e., prospective and inhibitory IU), assessed
the individual PTSD symptom clusters (i.e., re-experiencing, avoidance, numbing, hyperarousal), utilized a contemporary measure of IU (i.e., the IUS-12), assessed
relationships among a community sample with a heterogeneous trauma history, and examined the role of IU relative to three theoretically relevant and empirically
established variables (i.e., time since index trauma, neuroticism, and anxiety sensitivity). Three key results
emerged. First, IUS-12 total scores accounted for significant unique variance in each of the PCL-C avoidance,
numbing, and hyperarousal subscale scores, but not in the
re-experiencing subscale scores. Second, inhibitory IU
scores accounted for significant unique variance in each of
the PCL-C avoidance, numbing, and hyperarousal subscale
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Conclusions
Results regarding the relationships between IU and PTSD
symptoms may have important implications for therapy.
For example, it may be beneficial for clinicians to assess IU
when treating persons with PTSD, as a vulnerability factor
for, or a result of, traumatic exposure. Treatments targeting
IUespecially ones that target behavioural manifestations
of IU which the current study suggests as being most
strongly related to PTSD (e.g., behavioral exposures to
uncertain situations, Dugas and Robichaud 2007)may be
effective compliments to more trauma-focused interventions (e.g., prolonged exposure or processing of trauma
cognitions). Irrespective of the potential for direct treatment implications, recognizing that IU appears related to
PTSD symptoms independently of several established
constructs may provide beneficial insights for clinicians
and patients.
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