Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Polished Poker
Cash Games Volume I
By: John Anhalt
Table of Contents
Introduction ........................................................................................................... 4
About The Author: John Anhalt .............................................................................. 6
Chapter 1: Why are you playing? ........................................................................... 8
First Goals ............................................................................................................ 9
Blog About It .................................................................................................... 10
Make Poker Friends ............................................................................................ 10
Chapter 2: Know Thyself ...................................................................................... 11
Aggression .......................................................................................................... 12
Aggression (too passive) ...................................................................................... 13
Aggression (too aggro) ......................................................................................... 15
Rational Deduction / Logic ................................................................................. 16
Psychological Control / Understanding ............................................................... 21
Tilt ...................................................................................................................... 22
Being a good quitter (Tilt).................................................................................... 24
Self Awareness ................................................................................................... 26
Perceptiveness .................................................................................................... 28
Chapter 3: Get it Together ................................................................................... 31
Bankroll Management ........................................................................................ 31
Poker Software.................................................................................................... 33
Preparation and Diet .......................................................................................... 35
Diet .................................................................................................................... 36
Chapter 4: Glorious Poker Math .......................................................................... 38
Combinations ..................................................................................................... 38
Probability .......................................................................................................... 40
Equity................................................................................................................. 42
Expected Value (EV) ........................................................................................... 42
Fold Equity ......................................................................................................... 43
Chapter 5: Metta World Peace .............................................................................. 44
Tension Count .................................................................................................... 45
Reads and Notes ................................................................................................. 49
List of Abbreviations (Brief Overview) .................................................................. 50
ATC (Any Two Cards) .......................................................................................... 53
FC (Flush Chaser) ............................................................................................... 57
SOOT (Likes to play any two suited cards) .......................................................... 58
AK (Will bet turn unimproved) ............................................................................ 60
CRW (Calls raises with weak hands) ................................................................... 62
LAF (Will lead into pre-flop raises and fold to a raise) ......................................... 64
SVB (Slim Value Bettor) ...................................................................................... 66
Ax (Will play an ace from anywhere) ................................................................... 71
NPR (Will raise a non-premium hand) ................................................................. 72
CBB (Continuation Bet Bad Boards) ................................................................... 74
LA (Look-up Artist) ............................................................................................. 76
Introduction
I'm not going to bullshit you, poker isn't an easy game. It's fairly easy
to learn the rules, and beat some weak players that aren't really sure what
they're doing. However, if you want to be really good at this game, then
you're going to need to put a lot of work in. Just like anything in life, if you
want to be really good at something, you need to prepare, train, take your
lumps, learn from your mistakes, know when to walk away and wait for
another day, and have good mental discipline. If you aren't prepared to
work hard, then be prepared to not be very successful at poker.
I say this having coached for over seven years, played for over nine
on a professional and semi-professional level, and having my own share of
success and failure. Fortunately I've had much more success, and not
much failure in my poker career, but this didn't come without hard work
and dedication to the art of poker. The truth of the matter is, very few
people are successful at poker long term. I've seen studies that say that
less than 5% of players are winners long term. Some people may have some
short term success, but if you want to make it long term you're going to
need to have a level of dedication and discipline that few people do.
My hope is that this book serves as a guide for you. Something you
can go back to again and again, and learn something new from as you grow
in your poker career. My goal is to make this material accessible to anyone,
but it's not aimed at absolute beginners. I'm assuming you've found this
through a friend or poker link somewhere, and you've already had some
success or failure at online poker. There's going to be a lot of common
online poker lingo used, and the glossary may not be enough help if you
aren't already playing online. Don't let that dissuade you if you aren't
already playing online. If you have any questions about the content of
references, I'm an open book. :) Let's begin.
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I've also played as low as 50NL and 100NL in small samples for a
honeymoon challenge. You can read about that and see stats HERE.
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women/men? Knowing why you are playing is important so that you don't
end up wasting energy during your poker career on things that aren't very
necessary.
For example, if you're playing to win some extra vacation money, you
don't want to spend your time constantly looking to play against the best
players at the table. Conversely, if you're playing to win a WSOP bracelet
someday, you don't want to spend most of your time bum hunting tables.
Secondly you want to make sure you have a poker goal in mind.
Goals and motivations can easily get blurred, and
with many people they can sometimes even conflict.
A goal can of course change over time, but knowing
what your initial goal(s) are can quickly let you
know how in alignment they are with your
motivations. If your motivation is to play for vacation money, but your goal
is to win a WSOP bracelet, it's going to be rough going to take small
winnings and purchase high stakes tournament buy-ins. Not that you can't
satellite in for cheaper, but the motivation and goal won't be in complete
alignment and you'll mostly working against yourself. Just make sure
you're clear in your own mind.
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Once you understand your motivations and goals, then you can
begin to make a plan for how to achieve your goals. If you've noticed your
motivation isn't completely in alignment with your goal(s), then be honest
with yourself about what you think you need to change. Set realistic
achievable goals to begin with, and then expand those goals into bigger
goals as you achieve each goal. It's great to have a goal of becoming the
best poker player in the world, but don't make that your first primary goal.
Set something realistic like win my first 5k online. Then once you reach
that, and have some taste of success, expand that to win 20k, and/or win
a $20 buy-in tournament.
Shoot for the stars, but aim for the moon, they say, and for good
reason. You want to have your big lofty goals always as the primary
objective, but you don't want your goals so big that they function as a point
of discouragement when you don't reach them as fast as you think you
should. Have your goals listed out, and make it a habit of checking them
off and continually moving your goals posts closer to your ultimate goal.
First Goals
Take some time now to write out what your initial goals in poker are.
If you aren't sure, then start with something small and expand as you
think of more things you want to achieve. Ideally write them down on a
sticky note or something small that you can pin to your monitor or the
place where youre primarily playing online poker. Carry them in your
wallet if you play a lot of live poker, take them out and read them before
you sit down at the table. It may sound cheesy, but this will keep them
fresh in your mind and help keep you focused and motivated.
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Blog About It
If you aren't afraid of writing, find a place
where you can make a poker blog. State what
your goals are, and spend time each week or two
updating your blog with your progress. It's an
easy way to help keep yourself accountable to
your goals if you have others reading and encouraging you on. If you don't
think you are a good writer, try any ways. There are tons of places now-adays to do this; I'm going to plug my favorite place that has lots of friendly
encouragement from others: http://pokerzion.com/Poker_Forum/blog.php
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ou won't be able to play your best poker if you don't know your
strengths and weaknesses. Just because a particular play works
well for one player, doesn't mean it's going to consistently be the
best option or line for you to take as a poker player. Make sure you
understand what some of your strengths are, and do everything you
Aspects of Poker
Score 110
players. Go through this list and rank how you think you do in each area
based on a score of 1 to 10, with 10 being the absolute best. You can then
formulate a plan on how you'll improve in these areas if you deem them
important to your overall game plan.
If you look at these primary aspects of poker you may notice a
commonality in many of them. This is because there are really only three
main areas of poker that permeate all aspects of the game. These areas are
Aggression (either the lack of or too much), Rational deduction/logic (using
incomplete information and math), and Psychological
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Aggression
If you scored a 5 or less in this area,
then you're going to want to spend some
significant time on these next sections.
Nearly everyone in every major aspect of
their lives tends to be on one extremity of a
polarity or the other. Finding that "sweet
spot," that balance that can yield the best
life results, is usually easier said than
done. It's that same way with aggression at the poker table for most
players. Most players tend to be too passive, or a bit too aggressive.
The intriguing thing about poker though is that it's ok to be too
aggressive, and sometimes too passive as well, as long as you know and
can properly anticipate how your opponents will react to your play. In
general though, it's much better to err on the side of too aggressive in
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poker, rather than too passive. This is why the mantra, "If you don't know
what to do, then bet," gains credence. Because in poker, when a player
folds their hand they give up 100% of their equity. It's rarely a bad thing to
bet, as opposed to checking, which can create a plethora of issues for you
now or on later streets.
Aggression
Total Score:
/4=
Total Score:
/7=
Psychological Control
Total Score:
/3=
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checking, folding, and raising become much clearer with each decision you
have to make. Each decision is like a minigoal. You want to achieve each goal with
excellence, and in order to do that you need
making process.
For example, if you have a slight equity advantage with middle pair
on the turn against an opponent's hand range that will be mostly draws,
and you check instead of bet, then you are not achieving your goal. If you
get to the river and have almost no showdown value versus your
opponents hand range, then you need to look to bet or raise in situations
that make sense for a hand you can reasonably represent.
Looking at each situation from a more mathematical perspective and
focusing on the goal at hand with each decision will make becoming more
aggressive a lot easier to incorporate. You're betting or raising because it's
the absolute best decision given the situation. Until this becomes nearly
crystal clear, your natural lack of aggression and more passive personality
will take reign in the decision-making process instead of the more
mathematical / rational side. And if you don't think you excel at math,
hyper focusing on hand ranges and working on equity using an equity
calculator will improve this area for you over time. It will take work, but if
your goal is to make the best decision possible in each situation, this is the
area that will most improve the problem of not being aggressive enough.
When you are unsure which play is the correct play in a given
situation, you'll lapse to your default psychology, which if it's too passive
you're going to check too often. And as we said earlier, it's better to default
to being too aggressive then too passive in poker. Naturally aggressive
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you can gain more insight into why your game is so aggressive can help
you achieve more balance.
1. Do you get a "rush" from making aggressive moves at the poker
table?
2. Do you get an elevated since of self from being perceived as "table
captain"?
3. Do you enjoy watching others agonize over their decisions?
The bottom line with all of the answers to these questions is, is it
your primary goal to achieve this high at the poker table by your aggressive
play, or are you looking to win money? If your goal is to win the most money
possible, then you'll have to look for other areas of your life to achieve this
same high, or look to balance your emotional state in several aspects of
your own personal life. This is of course much easier said than done, but
this is a key starting place for understanding and examining your
motivations for playing the game of poker.
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all together. There are generally several reasons for this, and I'll list out a
couple of them:
1. People can tend to be lazy, and don't want to put the necessary work
in to really have a complete understanding of this aspect of their
game.
2. Some success is made in this area, but then people are
psychologically blocked from achieving a fuller understanding.
3. There's no definitive goal or learning plan created. Since there's no
one to keep you on task or create learning plans, people tend to take
a scattered "shot gun" approach to learning, and never fully learn.
4. People can be intimidated by the math aspect of poker, and block
themselves psychologically from learning.
5. Ego, and the need to be correct, can prevent people from considering
different reasoning and approaches to how people think about poker,
and thus limit hand range reasoning.
A lot of the above reasons are going to relate to each other. Being lazy
(Point #1 from above), and not having enough drive to complete a goal
(which in this case would be to become good at poker), is usually an
indication of a block (Point #2 from above), but not always. Point #4, can
also be a psychological block similar to Point #2. The bottom line is that if
you know what you need to do to get better at something, but you're not
doing it, then you have a psychological block preventing you from moving
closer to your goal (more on this later).
If you don't feel you are currently blocked, but need to learn more
about how to reason through situations so that you can improve your hand
range estimates and decision making, then you need to formulate a
learning plan first. Here's my suggested learning plan for improving this
aspect of your game:
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1. Get a poker equity calculator. There are several free ones on the
market. You will need one that can
weight hand ranges, and is easy to use.
I recommend using Ace Poker Drills
Calculator, for many reasons, but it
also comes with a free odds and outs
trainer if you need to improve that area
of your game as well. You can download
it from here: ACE POKER DRILLS WEBSITE
2. After every session you play, review all of your biggest winning and
losing pots. Replay them and especially pay attention to hands that
go to showdown so you can see how people at your stakes are
playing certain hands/situations. Mark any hands that you have
questions about. Most poker tracking databases have an easy way to
mark (usually by right clicking) a hand and saving it for later quick
review. If you are playing live, make sure to write down or make any
mental notes about hands you saw so you can review them and
think about them later.
3. While reviewing your latest session, go back to some very old
sessions you've played and filter for any hands that have gone to
showdown. Re-play as many hands as you can for the day, and hide
your opponents hole cards. Grab a piece of paper and pen, or open
up a notepad type application. On each street that is played, make a
rough guesstimate for what you think your opponents equity is
against your hand and write it down. On the river, make a guess at
what you think your opponents top 3 hands are. Open up your
equity calculator and put in your hand and the board and enter in
what you think your opponents hand range is. Note what the
calculator shows is the actual equity versus what your written
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guesstimate was. Do this for each street, and on the river reveal your
opponents actual hand and see how close you were to the three
hands you listed for your opponent.
4. Take any hands you have questions about, and post them for review
by other poker players on your favorite poker forum(s). Make sure to
add any notes and reads you have on players, and your own thought
process. Remember, it's ok to be wrong, this is how you learn. If you
don't like posting on forums, call up some of your poker buddies, or
talk to them on chat applications and ask their opinions. Get your
mind engaged in these poker situations and make sure to pay
attention to how your friends and others think about poker. This
is critical in gaining insight into how other personalities reason
through situations. It's invaluable information. How you think about
poker and situations will not be the same as someone else, and
learning to reason through someone else's poker lens is a key part of
becoming really successful at poker.
5. Answer questions by other poker players about hands they've played
on your favorite poker forum(s), and/or ask your friends about tough
poker situations they've been in recently. Give as many reasons as
you can about why you think one decision or play is better than
another. Don't just say, "Hey, you should raise!", and definitely don't
say, "What the hell are you thinking, donk?!? That's an easy fold!"
That approach is not conducive to learning and it won't win you any
poker friends.
6. If there's an area of the math part of poker that you know you
struggle with, find material in the form of books, articles, and/or
videos that will help you understand this aspect better. If you are
unsure where to find such material, go on a poker forum and ask. If
there are several areas that you know you struggle in on the math
side, pick on topic a week or every two weeks, month, whatever time
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You can be one of the absolute best poker players in the world, and
have an unbelievable grasp of the aggression and the rational deduction
aspects of the game, and still end up broke if you
don't have a good understanding of your own
psyche. This is the one area where many people fool
themselves into believing they can have chaotic and
unbalanced lives, and somehow still be successful
at poker. Generally speaking, if you aren't very
successful in "life" you're not going to be very
successful at poker. There are reasons why you're not being very
successful in your personal life, and those very same reasons will carry
over at the poker table at one point or another.
That doesn't mean that if you're young, for example, and haven't had
much success in other areas of life for lack of life experience, that you can't
have your first major successes at the
poker table. It does mean that if you
don't have adequate schooling behind
you, and other skills you can also be
successful at, being successful at poker
will be much more difficult to achieve.
Nothing is impossible though if you
want it badly enough.
There are several sub areas in this aspect of poker that we should
explore and expand upon. They include tilt and its many sub variants, selfawareness, and perceptiveness. The ability to understand, and, in most
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cases, control these aspects of ourselves leads to greater success in life and
at the poker table. Let's take a look at each of these subcategories.
Tilt
I'm sure you've heard a lot of people talk
about not letting the past affect your future
decisions, but realistically, this is going to happen
quite a bit. You take a bad beat, get frustrated, and
then get involved in the very next pot, when you
should have been "insta-mucking" your hand to begin with.
Some of us are much better about controlling our emotions and ego
at the table, but most of us, no matter how good we are at this, could make
dramatic improvements in learning how to re-center ourselves, and be
FULLY in the moment. The reality is, the day's events, the current bad beat
you took, the horrible fight you had with your partner, the cat you ran over
on the way to the casino, are all going to affect every decision you make at
the table. And, as you should fully understand, playing your most
profitable poker has to do with making the BEST decision possible as
consistently as possible over a long period of time.
So, consequently, your current state of mind when you sit down at
the table is a crucial factor in determining how successful you can really be
at poker. This is poker at an even higher level; this is the game you'll be
playing against yourself your entire life. It should make a lot of sense then
that not only do you have to learn how to play against an array of different
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personality types on the felt, but you have to learn how to play against
your ego, while balancing your emotional state.
There are really two important concepts to getting yourself in an
ideal state where you can be fully present in the moment:
1. Determining your current state of mind, and how recent past events
may be affecting you, and
2. Letting go of all of those past events, and focusing in with laser-like
precision at only the current decision at hand.
I recommend that you create a personal "ritual" for yourself before
you decide to play a game of poker. You don't have to light candles, burn
incense, and chant to the holy mother cow. It's just a matter of creating a
repetitive set of actions that will prepare your mind to let go of the past,
and focus on the current task at hand. It can be as simple as saying one
sentence to yourself, such as, "I'm ready to play poker, so I'm going to let
everything else go, center myself, and focus my mind to play the best poker
I can play." Something that simple can make a HUGE difference in every
session you play.
If you've noticed one thing about professional sports, you should be
able to notice who the truly great players are in any individual sport. They
are deemed great, not only because they perform extremely well, but also
because they can do this very consistently. A lot of professional athletes
talk about "being in the bubble," where there's no crowd, no winning, no
losing, but instead just the pure action they are doing. Meaning there is no
weight put into whether they score a goal, make that basket, or catch that
improbable throw for a touchdown. It's "merely" the action and only the
action.
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4. You are folding in spots where you normally think you should be
calling so that you can preserve your winnings for your current
session. It's a sure sign of "winners tilt" and it's an indicator you're
not going to be making the most profitable decisions anymore.
5. You are calling too much and losing in spots where it's pretty clear
you should have folded. Another sign that you've lost your ability to
properly reason through a situation. This usually happens when you
perceive youre behind for a session and need to win back some of
your "lost" money.
The first step in getting a grip on tilt is recognizing it. If you don't
have the self awareness to know you're starting to tilt or are in full blown
tilt, then you're not going to be able to quit and end it. The second step is
setting up some kind of talking down process for yourself. Using something
to the effect of reminding yourself that you are here to play your A game,
and be the best poker player you can be. Talking to yourself and reminding
yourself of this goal can help you take a step back and become a little more
objective. Use any strategy that you can employ that will help take you out
of your current emotional state. Some strategies you can use to pull
yourself out of a tilting emotional state:
1. Remind yourself that your goal is to play your A game.
2. Have a chip or some kind of card holder that has a saying that can
remind you to get into your best state of mind possible.
3. Sit out, take a bathroom break, and cool yourself down. If you have
any doubt about your emotional state, don't return to the game.
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A. Meditation
B. Journaling
C. Counseling
D. Analyzing Life Cycles
particular outcome.
5. Write a favorite quote or saying that
will bring you to a good state on a
Self Awareness
There's nearly nothing more valuable in
life, and at the poker table, as self awareness. A
serious lack of self awareness is debilitating to
one's goals for several reasons. First, you'll be
blind as to how and why you function the way
you do which will prevent you from making the best possible choices.
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desires you have from this life. The self awareness trick is that you learn
how to use it to its fullest, and don't allow the bigger part of yourself to be
used by it.
There are no instant answers in this area, but putting some time into
this aspect of your life will pay big dividends long term. It may take a
decent amount of initial time investment, but if you do it early enough in
life, you'll reap many years of rewards from it. That being said, it's never
too late to reflect, and learn about yourself.
Perceptiveness
Perceptiveness goes somewhat hand
in hand with self awareness. Generally the
more self aware you are, the more
perceptive you'll be because you'll have a
greater understanding of human
psychology and motivations. That's not always the case though, and I've
personally seen some very self unaware people who were pretty perceptive.
When you have well developed perceptiveness, you'll be able to more
accurately predict how others are going to act, or react to your actions at
the poker table.
The ability to read, react to, and anticipate your opponents actions
is a huge skill to have in poker. You want to be able to know that when you
raise the flop with a bluff for the second time, how you expect your
opponent to react against your play. Being perceptive enough to read into
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their thought process will allow you to force other players into poor
decisions and make big mistakes.
When you have well developed perceptiveness, you'll be able to see
things that others around you commonly cannot. If you couple this with
self-awareness, you'll have the proper insight to know how to act on what
you're seeing. If you commonly have the feeling that other good poker
players at the table are making plays that you don't quite understand, then
you'll probably want to put some work into this area. A few things you can
do to help improve your perceptiveness:
1. Pay attention. It's easy in today's society to find a million ways to
distract yourself. Everything from
iPods to cell phones and TV's will
be an easy out to keep you from
paying attention to what's
happening at the table.
2. Watch what others are doing, and
always make an effort to figure out why they are functioning the way
they are. Keeping your mind thinking about reasons behind actions
will help you recognize when similar situations arise in the future.
3. Work on reading body language. Not a ton of work has been done in
this area for poker, but there are a few books on the subject. In
general though, if you pay attention and put A + B above together,
you'll learn to form your own conclusions about body language and
how it relates to tells at the poker table.
4. Work on increasing your memory. Since you'll be paying attention
more, and forming more conclusions about your experience, you're
going to want a good memory bank to pull from and access that
information.
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5. Learn to trust your intuition and what how your body reacts to
situations it encounters. This is sometimes called "trusting your gut."
There's some truth in the expression since your stomach or heart
tend to be organs that you can sense and feel more readily when
you're reading a situation and using your intuition to influence your
decision-making process.
Keeping your attention at the tables by making good notes will lead
to good reads and increase your perceptiveness against your opponents.
Learning to blend and use your rational mind to understand hand ranges
and math, and trusting your intuition, will become a deadly combination.
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irst thing you need to do if you're going to play poker on any serious
level is get your bankroll, software (if you're going to play online),
and preparation together. You won't have the level of success you
desire if you aren't prepared in these areas. There are countless
semi-professional and professional poker players that have
Bankroll Management
There are some generally accepted rules on bankroll management for
cash games. Typically 30 buy-ins for the
limit you're playing is a good enough
cushion to absorb any negative variance.
Really though, if you haven't beaten a
particular stake level ever before, and
you drop around 15 buy-ins, you should
be moving down until you can win.
Running bad is going to happen to everyone multiple times
throughout their poker careers. However, let's have a moment of honesty. If
you knew what you were doing, and were skilled enough, you could absorb
most negative variance by making the best play in many other situations.
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This holds especially true the lower the stakes you are playing. The higher
the stakes you're playing, the less this will hold true because the average
potential skill gap between you and your opponent will be less. At micro
and small stakes though, the average potential skill gap can be gigantic.
Don't fool yourself into thinking you're just on a bad run. Take an
honest look at your game, and move down stakes if you need to. There's no
shame in moving down, re-gaining your confidence, improving your game,
and then moving back up. It's worse to continue to lose and blame it on
bad luck.
ins
Micro Stakes
25
Small Stakes
30
Mid Stakes
3040
High Stakes
40+
amounts you're going to play. The higher the stakes, the more buy-ins
you're going to want.
So a quick example is if you're going to play 100NL online, then it's
suggested for a $1 big blind game that you have at least $3k in your poker
bankroll. If you haven't beaten a particular game in a couple of years, don't
expect to just jump back in and beat it at the same level. You'll want to
have some extra buy-ins, or possibly start a little lower than the previous
limits you felt you could beat. In general the games tend to get tougher over
time, and strategies and the amount of available knowledge change and
increase.
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When you decide to cash out and spend some of your poker
winnings, make sure you leave enough buy-ins left for the stakes you want
to play. There's nothing worse than cashing out, not leaving yourself
adequate buy-in cushions, and then going on a losing streak. If you're
worried about the money, you're not going to make good decisions. So
make sure when you cash out you have a plan for your poker bankroll.
Don't leave yourself short.
Sometimes life issues may occur and you'll need to pull out larger
sums of your bankroll than you'd ideally like to. When situations like this
occur, have a plan. Either find someone to temporarily stake you, or play at
smaller stakes until you can re-build your bankroll. Always have a plan.
Poker Software
There's a lot of poker software out there now-a-days. Poker database
tracking software is just one aspect of poker software. Between equity
calculators, hotkey tools, training
programs, poker AI, content
manager, etc., there's a lot of
software to check out and see what
adds value to your game. If you're
going to play online though, you'll
without question want a database
program at the very minimum.
Holdem Manager 2 is the leader in the poker database
industry.
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Diet
As a poker player you're going to be in a lot of conditions where food
and dietary options are pretty poor. I've been in very few casinos that have
good food options, but there are some around. The vast majority of food
option will be starchy, saturated fats that are heavily processed. Those are
not the kinds of food that are going to keep your brain at its peak and your
body in the best condition, but a lot of them do taste good!
We all eat these foods from time to
time, but finding a way to mix in healthier
fruits, vegetables, and complex
carbohydrates will keep you functioning at
your best. As poker players, we want foods
that will translate into a lot of energy, focused and sustained energy, and
are good memory boosters. When I know I'm in for a long session,
especially at casinos for high stakes tournaments that I'll be playing in all
day for several days in a row, I pack a couple of small containers of fruits,
nuts, and vegetables. It makes a noticeable difference, especially at the end
of the day when others are clearly growing tired, and I'm still focused and
alert. Here's a short list of some great foods that taste good and are fairly
easy to keep close by:
FRUITS
PRIMARY BENEFIT
Melons
Bananas
Packed with carbohydrates and are a great and easy energy booster
Apples
Oranges
Blueberries
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Strawberries
Raspberries
Olives
VEGGIES / NUTS
PRIMARY BENEFIT
Edamame
Great mix of complex carbs, fiber, protein and healthy fat to keep you sharp
Peanuts
Pecans
Loaded with beta sitosterol, good for prostrate health and sustained energy
Broccoli
Carrots
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this chapter and fully understand these concepts. Even if you had some
idea and understanding of them before, they should be super clear after
you read this chapter.
Combinations
Counting card combinations at the table in most situations will be
nearly impossible. However,
Unpaired Hand
AK
16
Paired Hand
AA
TPTK on Q high
Flop
AQ
12
Set on Flop
55
KJo
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betting KK+ about 43% of the time (6 combinations twice for a total of 12),
and AKo, AKs the remaining 57% of the time (12 offsuit combinations plus
4 suited combinations for a total of 16). Most of the time they're going to
have AK instead of AA or KK.
Probability
Probability is the estimate that something will become true or occur.
It doesn't however ensure that an event or outcome will happen though.
Since each event is not related to the prior event, probability theory states
that there is X% occurrence for Y to happen, but it cannot say that Y will
ever happen if there's even a slight chance that it won't. This sometimes
confuses gamblers when probability is applied to expected value (more on
this later).
If you're running bad in poker, you are not guaranteed that you will
not run bad for very long extended time periods. This is what tends to lead
many poker players, and gamblers in general, to ruin or go bust. They
begin to believe they are "due" to win because their luck has been so bad,
but this is not the case. If the probability of Y event happening is
consistently in your favor, then the odds of Y event will increase, but it also
could never happen.
There are a few popular probability theories, and one that is used
quite often in poker is Bayesian probability. The reason it's commonly used
and applied is because Bayesian probability theory takes into account prior
information to help predict future outcomes. This is highly applicable to
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poker situations since in many situations we'll have information about our
opponents, their tendencies, and in some case HUD stats which will help
create a better probability that your opponent has Y hand given this prior
information. Using Bayesian probability in situations like this allows for a
more accurate prediction of the probability of many situations in poker.
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Equity
Equity is the percentage of the pot that
belongs to you based on the percentage of
the time you'll win the pot over many large
samples. This is not the same as expected
value, although the two are sometimes
interchanged in poker conversations often.
Equity is purely the percentage of the time you'll win, lose or split the pot.
For example, if you saw a flop of: QcTd6h which had $100 already in
the pot, and you held AsKh and your opponent had KK, and then went allin and you called, you'd have ~28% equity in the pot. ~28% of the time on
average you could expect to win this pot. Whether this was a good play to
call or not would depend on our equity, in conjunction with our expected
value.
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So calling the all-in on the flop will net a positive expected value of
$1.6 on average. Our equity is low in this situation, so a majority of the
time we will lose, but based on the money in the pot, and our opponents
bet, the expected value net is positive.
Fold Equity
Fold equity is the equity gained in your hand if you bet or raise and
get your opponent to fold. It's an estimation of how often you believe your
opponent will fold multiplied by your opponents current equity. So if you
opponent has 75% equity in their hand, but you estimate that if you bet,
you can get your opponent to fold 50% of the time, then your fold equity
would be:
75% x 50% = 37.5%
So your new hand equity if you bet in this situation would be 25%
(your hand equity if you both saw all five cards) + 37.5% = 62.5%. You've
increased the equity in your hand from 25% to 62.5%, just by betting. This
is why aggression pays off so often in poker because every time you bet,
you give your opponent the chance to completely forfeit their equity in the
hand. Opponents are rarely drawing completely dead, so when you can get
them to fold when they have an equity advantage, it's a huge +EV situation
for you.
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much pressure you apply, and some opponents will over react after one or
two aggressive actions. It's important to understand who these players are,
and the plan of attack you have for table you're currently seated at.
There are really three main styles of play in no-limit holdem, and
variations of those in between. You can play a more passive style, and trap
your opponents, reacting to how they play the game. You can play a more
aggressive style, and attempt to force your opponents to react to you with
the hopes they will react incorrectly and make a big mistake. Finally, you
can play a more balanced approach where you strive to be aggressive in the
most ideal spots, trap in some situations, and overall are aggressive, but
not to the extent where your opponents are forced to react to your play.
There are variations of these three styles, but the main points are
clear. Are you looking to play a more balanced game, a trapping game, or a
very aggressive game? It's generally best to find a game strategy that fits
your psychology the best, and become really good at it. That doesn't mean
you can't at some point learn all three approaches, but it's good to have a
go-to mode that you feel you'll excel at the most. Then as you learn the
other approaches, you adapt and play those styles based on how the tables
and your opponents are playing.
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Tension Count
If you're struggling to understand the proper amount of aggressive
action to take at the table before your opponents are likely to react and
attempt to adapt to your play, then you can keep a mental note of the
Tension Count at the table. The tension count is the ratio of aggressive
action to rounds of poker played. The more aggressive you are within a
round, the higher the tension count becomes. Conversely, the less
aggressive you are, the lower the tension count becomes. The purpose of
the tension count is to try and find that ideal balance so you are being
aggressive enough and adapting your play to the circumstances
appropriately. It's easy to say that if you become more aggressive, then of
course your opponents are going to eventually react and adapt. But
knowing about how far you can push each of them is a bit of an art. If you
feel you already have a good handle on this, then you're probably already
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aware of how tension is built and released at the table and you can skip
over this section. If however it's still a bit of anomaly for you, and you'd like
to become better at knowing how to take advantage of tension counts at
the table, then forge ahead.
Tension counts range from -6 to +6 on average. When playing a full
ring cash game, your tension count is going to start at 0. When playing a
6-max game, it's going to start at +1. Other games, such as 4-handed and
heads up, depend a lot on flow and other dynamics; if you aren't aware of
how tension effects your opponents, then those games aren't generally
recommended to play in. The tension count is somewhat like training
wheels and will give you an idea of how to adjust your play until it becomes
more natural for you.
Action
TC
Action
TC
+1
-1
Pre-Flop 3-Bet
+1
-1
Double Barrel
+1
Fold to a C-Bet
-1
Triple Barrel
+2
-.5
+1
-.5
Possible Float
+1
-1
Every action you take at the table you add or subtract from the
tension count. If you're online and you're playing multiple tables, it's going
to be a bit hard to track of course. So one to two tables is recommended
when first trying to learn and understand this concept. Once you've done it
a bit, and see how it works, then you can take the training wheels off and
drop the tension count.
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TC
+4
+5
+6
So for example, you raised before the flop in a 6-max cash game with
AcQc and got one caller on the button (relative stack sizes 100 BBs). Your
tension count is now at +5 at the table. You flop the nuts, and you should
bet on the largest side of your bet sizing scale. Somewhere between near
pot size and a pot sized bet. Either your opponent is going to have a hand
in this spot, or they aren't, and the size of the bet won't impact them as
much since they will be more susceptible to calling you down lighter than
normal.
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-3
-4
-5
You can make some general assumptions that, if you haven't done
much in a long period at a poker table, most players will have taken some
kind of note or their HUDs will reflect this. In those situations when the
tension count becomes really highly negative, then against other nonstation type players, you can look to make a decent size bluff, or even
something as simple as a pre-flop squeeze in a spot that might be normally
deemed more marginal to make a play on.
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When the tension count becomes really high on the positive side, and
you don't have a hand, this is generally the time to slow down unless you
have some kind of specific read on an opponent. These are the more likely
times that you will be looked up lighter, so you want to minimize the
damage in these spots and make smaller sized bluffs in situations where
your opponent may have very little or nothing, or have a decent hand. If
they have a decent hand, something you may be able to normally push
them off of, you won't be able to get them to fold at the same frequency, so
sizing your bluffs smaller to move them off the really low end of their range,
or not bluffing at all, is best.
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J7o from early position, Q9s from UTG, or 37s from middle
position. Some opponents will just about never do this, some will
occasionally, but NPRs will do it anywhere from semi-regularly to
regularly.
CBB (Continuation bet bad boards) Some opponents like to
continuation bet no matter what. They raise before the flop, and
they want to fire the flop no matter how bad the flop texture is for
their hand. I like to take a note of these guys because it will help
me to know spots I can float and represent a big made hand on
draw heavy flop textures that most missed over cards should be
check/ folding on.
LA (Look-up artist) This is a very profitable opponent to play
against. They will typically call nearly any flop bet you make, but
will fold to further aggression. They tend to like to see how youll
react after they call your first bet, but tend to fold a large
percentage of the time to a second bet.
Now that we have an idea of some of the things to look for, lets look
at how to use this information in a real money game. Were going to take
the above abbreviated notes, expand them a bit more, and show how theyll
apply in actual hands.
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stakes you are playing. Typically you will only see ATC 1 & 2 at small and
mid stakes.
ATC 1 (No grasp of hand strength) The first group of players who
play any two cards really has no solid grasp of hand strength,
position, or why to play certain hands in some situations and not
others. These players are typical also called fish because theyll put
in too much money with weak hands and pay off against dominated
hands. These are players you should like playing with, but you need
to be aware that if you miss the flop, they may have hit it and they
may also call you down with any piece of it. So you dont typically
want to bluff players in this category unless you see them folding a
lot to a second bet (or third). You do however want to value bet your
made hands against them as they will nearly always pay off with
weaker hands or dominated hands.
ATC 2 (Some grasp of hand strength) Youll see a lot of these
players primarily in short-handed games, but they do also show up
in full ring games. These players will play any two cards, but they
typically wont invest too much into the pot unless they have a good
hand after the flop. Theyll commonly call raises with a hand such as
K6o on the button (note this is different than CRW see above) with
the intention of either bluffing you out of the pot OR nailing a big
hand hoping to bust you with your large pocket pair. These players
will be very visible because theyll be involved in a lot of pots, and
theyll usually be fairly aggressive. If they have some grasp of hand
strength, then they are getting involved in a lot of pots for a reason,
and that reason is usually because they believe they can bluff you
out of the pot, or bust you with their unusual T4o hand. These
opponents can be more dangerous, but a lot of times they will still go
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too far with a top pair hand thinking youre bluffing (even though you
have a better kicker then they do). You want to bet into them when
you have a strong hand and hope they dont believe you and make a
move in the wrong spot. Make your bets big and strong against these
opponents, because they tend to not believe people betting into them.
You really dont need to slowplay against these opponents.
ATC 3 (Good grasp of hand strength) These opponents are almost
non-existent at small stakes, you will sometimes see them at
50NL/100NL and above at 6-max. This player can legitimately be
called a solid LAG (loose-aggressive) player. They play nearly any two
cards because they know how to read situations well and win a lot of
hands even when they have the worst hand. They can also read well
when they have a good second best hand and minimize their losses.
Playing this style requires excellent hand reading and making a lot of
difficult decisions. For these reasons youll typically run into a lot of
people that are of the latter two types of ATCs described. Some will
be ATCs that have some concept of hand strength that think they are
good LAG players, but really they arent.
So when taking notes make sure you know what type of ATC you are
facing. Make the appropriate additional note. When you are playing against
an ATC 1, you know this opponent is just basically fishy (bad player).
When you are against ATC 2, this player tends to be more on the aggressive
side. They are usually in a lot of pots because they are impatient and are
action junkies. If you happen to be unlucky enough to see an ATC 3, just
try and stay out of pots with them unless you have a good hand or until
youve developed your post flop skill to a high level.
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In the above example both you and your opponent started with
effective stacks of 100 BBs in a full ring cash game. Everyone folded to you
in middle position and you raised 3.5x the BB with AcQc. The action folded
to the button who called the raise and the blinds folded.
You look at your notes and you notice that you put down that your
opponent was an ATC 2. You dont have any other notes beyond that and
youve only played 8 rotations with this opponent. The flop comes: 7c3dTc
and you make a size pot bet with your nut flush draw and two over
cards. Your opponent then mini-raises you on the flop and you call the
raise. The turn comes the 6c giving you the 2nd nuts. Do you slow down?
No, you should continue to bet this hand aggressively against this type of
opponent. Its very likely that they may try and represent the flush by
raising your bet. You dont however want to bet too aggressively in THIS
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particular situation. A half size pot bet will invite a possible raise which is
what you want. Give your aggressive opponent a little room to hang
themselves, but dont get fancy and check. Just continue to bet into these
opponents.
FC (Flush Chaser)
A lot of no-limit Texas Holdem players just love to make flushes.
Theres something about looking down at J8s that looks so much better
than J8o to a lot of opponents at small and mid stakes. We know however
that the suited cards only out perform their off suit counterpart by 2%
when going to showdown, but our opponents dont seem to mind, or more
accurately, dont know that.
Now lets not get confused between the FC player and the SOOT
player. The FC player likes to chase his flush, but that doesnt mean that
hell play any two suited cards. You may have an initial read of FC, and
then later find out that the player is really more of a SOOT, but make sure
that you make the distinction because it matters.
Most FC players will still play reasonable cards, but theyll call large
flop bets (pot size or more) with their flush draws, which isnt terrible on
the flop. But they will also typically call large turn bets with their draws,
which is bad. Its bad for them but good for you. When you see a person
checking and calling and then check/folding the river to a bet, you can be
pretty sure they were chasing and you can make a note of it (and I suggest
putting a question mark next to the read meaning its not confirmed yet,
but you suspect this to be the case).
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If you are lucky enough to get to see a showdown and their cards,
then also make a note whether they chased with a flush that had likely
over card outs, or they chased with just a flush draw that likely had no
over cards. An example of this would be if they held 8d9d and the board on
the turn read AcTd4d2h. If they are calling large bets on those kinds of
boards when they only have as many as 9 outs, then you can put an
exclamation on their FC note because they are a definite flush chaser.
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When you have position on a SOOT with a good hand and theyve
limped in front of you, make sure you isolation raise them pre-flop with a
wider range of hands than normal. You want to make them pay as much as
possible for trying to hit their improbable hand (you flop a flush less than
.08% of the time). SOOT players are always fairly loose, so you want to
maximize your advantage by getting in a nice raise before the flop.
Also if youre involved in a hand with a SOOT and a flush draw
comes in, dont pay it off. They wont know that you have this kind of read
on them, so they likely wont be bluffing you. Again, if your opponent is
checking and calling and a flush draw completes, and they suddenly bet,
or check-raise, you should fold. Same thing if youre out of position and
theyve been calling your bets and a flush draw completes on the river, it
may be best to consider folding unless they bet a very small amount.
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Noting that your opponent will fire multiple bullets with a non-paired
hand is important, but it will be rare that youll be able to see them
showdown a hand often enough to know the rate they do this. Of course if
they are fire multiple bullets in nearly every pot theyre involved in, then
you can be quite sure they make this play often. The more important thing
that you can take away as a read within a short session against an
opponent like this is how he bets his made hands versus his bluffs.
Some opponents will have a very definitive pattern here.
So if you get to see an AK opponent go to showdown with an
unimproved hand, and then get to see them go to showdown
with a made hand, you want to note the differences in how
they bet these two hands. A lot of opponents (especially at micro and small
stakes) are not very balanced in how they bet their bluffs versus their made
hands. Note everything you see about the differences, and try and relate
their betting pattern to a ratio of the pot size.
For example, if you see someone bet an unimproved hand on the flop
for a sized pot bet on the flop, but they bet a made hand for slightly
larger or 3/4ths the pot size bet on the flop, this will likely be a pretty
reliable betting tell. If you get to see it more than once, you can almost ink
it, and assume it is. Most of the better players won't vary their bet sizing
much or at all, as you're told in most books and by other players not to,
but you will spot some that do. Youll know in this example when your
opponent is betting weak, theyre weak, and when they bet strong, theyre
strong. You might see the opposite of this, or any other combination of
betting patterns, and different ones also on the turn. So dont only note
that this opponent is an AK, but how they bet their hands as well (you
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should do this with all opponents of course, but especially true when you
see opponents who are firing multiple bullets).
The best thing to do is you are up against an AK player is to raise the
flop if you miss, since raising the turn can get expensive. Also if you have
some kind of modest holding like a small pocket pair that doesn't have
much improvement equity (ability to become an even stronger hand) when
behind, you're sometimes best to raise as well. This way you don't find
yourself in a spot calling multiple bullets with a really marginal hand that
will rarely improve. Also this will allow you to take initiative back in the
hand if they do just call, and then you can check the turn or later turn
your hand into a bluff with more credibility. Just because someone is an
AK doesn't mean they won't have a hand sometimes. You dont want to
invest too much with mid pair or an under pair to the board, unless you
feel very confident in your read. If you hit the flop hard and have position
its best to call their flop bet and raise the turn or call when they bet again.
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especially if you have position. There are a lot of CRW players who will limp
and call large raises with weak hands like J9o, T7o, 56o, etc.
When you notice that a player is calling a lot of raises, pay particular
attention to the hands they show down and note how much they called
with those hands. When you have a big hand and raise, continually try an
increase the size of that raise until you can find a size that will fold them
out. Then do your best to stay within the range that will keep them in the
hand with you.
Don't just go on auto-pilot with your normal pre-flop raise sizes. This
is leaving money on the table when you have fishy players that will pay off
with weaker hands. Don't worry so much about giving away the strength of
your hand, because you're doing this against the CRW player, and not
against the regulars at your table. When there are only regulars left to act,
then do your normal raise sizing. But when isolating weak CRW players, or
open raising with good hands, don't be afraid to adjust your open sizing.
Just make sure to keep it consistent throughout that round at the table.
Don't bump your open raise size up to 7 BBs with KK against a weak
player, and then isolation raise a CRW limper to 4 BBs with A7s. Keep the
sizing consistent, and look to discourage the other regulars from getting
into the pot with you. If and when they adjust you can change your sizing
again.
Most importantly, just make sure you are aware of this type of player
and know that they will have a wide range of hands that theyll play in
missed flops. That means that if you raise with AK and miss, and the flop
comes something like J95, its likely that it may have hit your opponent. If
they have position on you, its still ok (if its heads up) to take a stab at the
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pot, but shut down if youre called. On some even more draw heavy flops
such as Th9d6h, you'll often want to give up and not continuation bet
when out of position.
Another major advantage youll have over this type of opponent is
that theyll commonly go too far with top pair and sometimes middle pair
hands. They tend to be somewhat on the more aggressive side generally,
and also dont believe opponents have the hands theyre representing. If
you hit a nice flop, you can pummel them with big bets and win a nice
sized pot. Even top pair and weak kicker is good enough to get a good sized
pot formed against them.
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LAF P These opponents tend to be a bit more passive, but will take
stabs at the pot with their mid pocket pairs or middle pair type
hands. However, they will fold instantly to a raise fearing the worst of
their opponents hands.
Both of these opponents present a unique opportunity for you to pick
up some extra big bets. When these players bet on the flop, you should
raise with a lot of hands you missed the flop with. You dont want to
completely overdo this concept, but you do want to apply as much pressure
as possible to these opponents. If you have no over cards and no draws or
strong back door draws, then giving up in these spots is fine. Since LAFs
tend to be able to fold their weak hands, you want to test them as see how
much they really like their hand and how far theyll be willing to go with it.
If you do decide to stay ultra aggressive in these situations, make sure
you're aware that your opponent will tend to take a stand at some point.
Use the tension concept to try and time it so that you'll have a big hand
when your opponent does take a stand against you.
Anytime you see someone put a bet in on the flop and fold to a raise,
make a quick note of it. Just because someone does it once or twice doesnt
make them a LAF. Thats why these types of opponents tendencies are
much harder to pick up on. In one session, you may not really know for
sure if someone is a LAF. This is much more of a long term read that you
may have to make against a regular player. There are times however when
you will be able to make this read within a session, and it will be quite
obvious when that time occurs.
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ability against your opponents ability to slim value bet top, second and
third pair effectively.
In the above example, a noted SVB open raised from the hijack (MP)
in a 6-max cash game with effective stacks around 100 BBs. You called in
the CO with 7d7c. The flop came 4dJh5c, your opponent continuation bet,
and you called. The turn brought the Kd, and your opponent bet again. At
this point since you know our opponent
will bet the turn pretty slim he's going
to have a fairly wide betting range of
99+, 4455, J8o+, 5dAd, 67o+, KTo+,
AQo, AdQd, QTo+, AdTd, ATo+,T9s,
A8s+, and probably a couple of more
hands. You probably have around ~25%
equity against our opponents range,
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and you know they are aggressive, since most SVB's are, and you will likely
face a bet on the river.
It's a common example where of course you're going to call the flop
with second pair, but now you're in a spot facing a second barrel against
someone who is aggressive, but also value bets very slim. Your hand
doesn't have much improvement equity when behind (only about 5%). If
you take a look at your opponents hand range though, you should notice
that they are going to have to fold at least half of that range facing a raise,
and if they come back over the top, it's a super simple fold since your
equity will be nearly non-existent.
If there were say 17 BBs in the pot after you called the flop, and your
opponent bet 12 BBs into you on the turn, and you raised to 29 BBs, you'll
risk 29 BBs to win 29 BBs. Your
opponent will only need to fold half the
time, and you do have a miracle card
you will hit 5% of the time that won't
improve your opponents calling range.
If your opponent folds half the time it's
a narrowly profitable play, but if they
fold more than half the time, which is entirely possible against some SVB
opponents, then it's a solid +EV play. In this situation they should only
roughly continue with 45% of their range or less on the turn.
Another fairly common example on the river is when you call the flop
with a draw, turn a pair, and are now facing a bet on the river in a spot
that against some opponents might be good to bluff catch. Against SVBs
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In the above example from a 6-max cash game (but this also applies
to full ring), both players start with effective stacks of 120 BBs. A noted
SVB opponent open raises to 3 BBs in the hijack and you call on the
button with 9h8h. Everyone else folds and the flop comes: 6d7hQs. The
SVB player continuation bets 5 BBs and you call. The turn is the 8d, giving
you a pair and a draw. The SVB player bets 12 BBs into a pot of 17.5 BBs,
and you call. The river brings the Kc, and the SVB player bets 25 BBs into
a pot of 41.5 BBs.
At this point your pair of eights could be a reasonable bluff catcher
against some opponents. Obviously some flush and straight draws missed,
as well as some turned draws. Knowing your opponent can value bet light,
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he can easily have Qx, 66+, Kx, 78, 67, 68, 9T, 45 as well as the previously
mentioned flush and straight draw misses and complete air. If you are
going to choose between a raise or a
call, then you have to do a quick
mental run through of the number of
combinations of straight and flush
draws your opponent can have versus
better value betting hands. Meaning,
are there enough bluffs in his range,
SVB river calling range to a raise
In this case, there are definitely enough Qx, Kx, and TT+ type hands
that you can fold out if you raise. Some two pair combos such as 67, 78
and 68 will also fold out a percentage of the time (sometimes they will call).
The other part of our decision is of course how much to raise, since we are
primarily looking to fold out Qx, Kx,
TT+ and some of the weaker two pair
combos. The stronger two pairs, sets,
and straights obviously aren't going to
fold. Something in the realm of 70 BBs
(or a raise of 45 more BBs) would
accomplish this. You would need your
SVB river value betting range
Only including their river value range, we should be able to fold out
about 56% of that range. So if we evaluated the EV of call versus raise, the
EV of raise would be slightly higher in a scenario such as this. An
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important note is that if you are playing mostly micro stake games, your
opponents calling range is going to be a bit wider on the river. You won't
be running into a lot of good SVBs though, and you can look for many
spots to move some of the regulars that are in your games off of better
hands when you suspect they are value betting slim a good amount.
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opponents who play weak aces a lot tend to be in love with these hands.
They are playing them for a reason, and that reason is primarily because
they believe that if they flop top pair theyll have the best hand.
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because they believe this is the correct thing to do. Against these
opponents you just want to make note what hand they raised, what
position they were in, and how much the raise was for. In future
hands, youll know that if youre in a raised pot against these
opponents, the flop texture is much wider for how hard it will hit
them in general. So youll either have to be cautious OR make them
pay for their weaker hands.
NPR (ISO) These opponents will occasionally switch up their game
and incorporate some non premium hands in profitable situations for
them. For example theyll raise a hand like Q9s with the button after
a couple of limpers. They may also raise some connected cards in
early position, or occasionally re-raise almost any hand from the
blinds. They'll also expand their squeezing range in profitable spots.
Just make note and be aware that you have an opponent thats
capable of making such a play. Most of these opponents will be
somewhat knowledgeable regulars in your games. If you spot them,
then make sure to 3-bet when it's obvious they are isolating light, or
call their squeezes with a wider range when you have position.
Basically they offer the opportunity to re-steal lighter if you're paying
attention.
With any kind of NPR, the first thing to do is just make a note that
you saw them raise a non-premium hand. The second identification stage
will be to see if they are smart (an ISO), not so smart (a fish), or just plain
crazy (maniac). The maniac will be noticeable pretty quickly. The other two
will be a bit more subtle, so youll really have to analyze the situation and
decide if the raise made sense considering the circumstance.
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In the above example, when facing a noted CBB who has open raised
UTG and now continuation bet, calling with an under pair and gutshot is
reasonable. Against most opponents though, you'd typically want to dump
this hand since they shouldn't be betting this board unless they have a
good hand or really good draw.
Not only can your hand be best, but being in position you also have
some option to turn your hand into a bluff if say the Ah or Kh comes on the
turn and your opponent continues to bet. Taking careful note and finding
opponent who will bet unimproved on draw heavy or "wet boards" is a
helpful note to have to maximize every hands expected value.
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LA (Look-up Artist)
One of my favorite opponents to face is the look-up
artist. Theyre an opponent who will call a flop bet (usually in
position) in the hopes that you will check the turn for them
so they can steal the pot. This is sometimes also referred to
as floating the flop. These opponents will not be readily easy to spot, so
they take some concerted effort to pinpoint. Youll have to pay attention to
the opponents who are calling a LOT of flop bets, but theyll fold to a
second bullet (or theyll bet when checked to them nearly always).
Once you believe you have discovered a look-up artist, try and exploit
their weakness by doing the following:
1. If you raise with an unpaired hand before the flop and miss the flop,
you can make a standard continuation bet, but try and make it on
the smaller side. Then be prepared to fire a second bulletbut make
sure that you are always thinking about how the texture of the flop
fits your opponents hand, and whether you can represent properly
the hand youre trying to represent.
2. Secondly, if you flop a big hand, make a continuation bet, this time
on the slightly larger side, and then check the turn to them (if they
have position). If you have two pair or better you can either call their
bet on the turn, or if the flop texture has some probable draws or
potentially could get ugly, then come in for a decent sized checkraise.
Make sure that if youve made these plays more than once against
the same opponent that you occasionally mix up your play because theyll
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ost poker players have huge holes in their pre-flop strategy, but
aren't aware of it. Some of this is out of a lack of knowledge, and
for others it can be because of too much ego. Believing you can
play almost any two cards and outplay your opponents ends
badly in a lot of situations. In some situations that may be
absolutely true of course, but in many cases it's not. Everything begins
with pre-flop play, and mistakes made in this part of the game only get
compounded on later streets. So having a solid strategy is paramount in
long term success in no-limit Texas Holdem.
Starting Decisions
Based on my observations and conversations with students, and
fellow poker players, it seems that most players got their understanding of
what hands to open raise pre-flop, cold call, and 3-bet mostly from starting
hand charts, poker discussion, and some trial and error. A lot of players
I've asked started with some sort of hand chart to begin with, and slowly
weaned themselves off into a pre-flop strategy they feel works best for
them.
There's absolutely nothing wrong with referencing starting hand
charts, and talking to your poker friends about starting hands from
different positions at the table. What you want to do as a successful poker
player though is make sure you're really taking in all of the relevant and
available information about any decision you're making at the poker table,
and making the best decision possible. Having a process, or poker thought
algorithm PTA, as I like to call it, is a great reference for successful decision
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making. A poker thought algorithm for pre-flop play looks something like
this:
What is my hand?
Your actual starting hand and its general strength no matter what position you open from will
sometimes trump all other questions. Mainly when you hold AA/KK.
What is my starting position?
How many players will have position on you, and how wide can you open considering the positional
advantage or disadvantage you will have post flop.
Who opened in front of me?
If your opponent is opening really wide this should expand your calling and 3-betting ranges, or viceversa if they are tight. How good is the opponent who is opening?
Who is left to act behind me?
Are the opponents left to act really aggressive? Do they squeeze or 3-bet a lot? Are they passive and
cold call a bunch? Can they outplay me if they have position?
What are the effective stacks of players in the pot?
Is there potential for a really big, small or average sized pot? How good are the players who have the
deep, average, and shallow stacks?
How often do they fold to a raise, re-raise or 4-bet?
If your opponent folds to a re-raise a high percentage of the time, widening your 3-bet bluffing range
is ideal. Can you steal a lot from this player just by opening?
How aggressive is my opponent post flop?
Knowing how aggressive your opponent is on the turn and river will help you know what kinds of
hands to come along with or dump.
Can I outplay my opponent post flop a decent amount?
This is always a tricky question because of course we all want to believe yes. Just be honest, and if
you're not too sure, then it's usually no.
Is there any relevant recent history?
Do you have some recent information about some hands your opponent has overplayed that can help
you widen or tighten your range? Have you been 3-betting and 4-betting your opponent recently and
expect them to react soon?
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Flat Calling
Flat calling, sometimes also called smooth calling, or burning money
as I like to call it, is when you decide to call an opponent's raise, or call the
blind. It's part of poker, and you want to have a flat calling range, but for
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almost all players their flat calling ranges will not yield positive results.
There are a couple of simple reasons for this.
1. Some people play too many hands, and hands in the wrong
situations that are easily dominated.
2. Players who flat call don't have the initiative.
3. Most players don't understand hand ranges and equity well enough
to properly call down in the correct spots.
4. Most players don't bluff in the most profitable spots.
Add it all up, and in most cases you have complete spew. In all
fairness, if most people who played online poker ran the proper filter for
this area, or used software like Leak Buster, they would see anywhere from
bankroll sucking spew to minor winrate draining spew. There are some
players that can and will have a positive winrate in this area, and this is
what you should strive for too. If you suspect that you may have a leak
here though, check your results, and then come up with a game plan for
correcting it.
One of the keys as to why most people don't do well with their flat
calling range is because of statement #2. Statements #3 and #4 are usually
also a problem, but one of the easiest ways to start to patch this kind of
leaks is to focus on the first two to begin with. Tighten up your flat calling
range by not flatting as much, especially out of position. Turn some of your
flatting range into a 3-betting range so that you can take initiative back in
the hand.
Ideally you want to strive to be able to have a marginal flatting range
and confidently call down your opponent in the correct spots, and find
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highly +EV bluffing situations. Those concepts take a lot of time and
experience to pull off successfully. It's definitely something you should
experiment with and work on as part of your long term goals about your
game. In the short term minimizing losses here, and slowly taking some of
those flatting hands and turning them into +EV post flop bluffs and value
call downs is a reasonable plan. You can't continue to improve in poker if
you don't have money to play with.
Here's an example of a typical range you may flat call within a lot of
different situations. To improve your results, stop flatting 2266 from the
blinds to a steal attempt if you're doing it now, unless you're nice and deep
and against a really weak opponent. Don't flat off suited hands in position
against strong opponents. Even
with position, if they are decently
good it's going to be hard to play
them profitably unless you have
some very specific read. Don't flat
ATA9, KTKJ, QTQJ type hands
from early and middle positions.
You'll often be dominated and
you'll still have a lot of players left to act. Don't flat suited connectors out of
the blinds unless there are really weak players in the pot with you that
have decent stack sizes.
Take some of that very same hand range and turn many of them into
3bet bluffs, or in some case 3-bets for value against certain opponents
when in position. 3-bet or fold 2266 from steal attempts when in the
blinds. 3-bet or fold ATA9, KTKJ, QTQJ type hands in latter middle
position instead of flatting. Experiment with different hand ranges based
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on the stakes you're playing. In some games you can 3-bet KQo for value
and still get calls from worse hands, and some games you can't.
Create a situation where you'll be taking initiative more so you'll give
yourself more opportunities to win the hand. Sometimes you'll 3-bet and
your opponent will fold, and often even fold a better hand. Sometimes
they'll call and you'll both whiff, but you'll have initiative and a simple
continuation bet will take the pot. And sometimes you'll out flop your
opponents 3-bet flatting range. Having initiative will also allow you to
control the pot size more often than not, so if you do flop top pair and
there's a lot of action you can check the turn or river.
As you begin turning your flat calling range into a more profitable
hand range, begin to slowly widen your range again. Experiment with
different scenarios by starting with a slightly wider range in position, and
add a few more hands out of position. Keep it slow and steady and know
that most players struggle badly with this area of their game. Make it an
area you're a master at and you'll have a huge advantage on most
opponents.
Blind Play
Similar to flat calling, players
tend to struggle heavily when
playing out of the blinds. It's
understandable of course, since you're out of position almost always
(except when defending against an open small blind raise). Almost everyone
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posts losses from the blinds, but you can minimize your losses, or even
show profit with some smart decision making and solid poker thinking
algorithms. If you are bleeding heavy money from the blinds, then there are
a couple of specific areas you should look at first to make some
adjustments.
1. Your cold calling range from players who open raise from early and
middle positions. If you are primarily playing full ring, then your cold
calling range from the blinds really needs to tighten up. That means
folding hands like AJ, KQ, QJs, etc., against most regulars and tight
players. If someone is opening roughly 9% of their range from early
position in a full ring game, and you call with a hand like AJo, you're
already at an equity disadvantage. Plus you'll be playing out of
position against a hand range that when you both connect, you'll
mostly flop the second best hand more often than the better hand.
It's not a profitable situation. In 6-max games, if someone is opening
roughly 16% of their range, on average you're going to be in a 50/50
equity situation, but out of position. So unless you think you can
really outplay your opponent a lot, folding these hands is ideal. Also,
avoid flatting suited and off suited connectors. Again, you're at a big
equity disadvantage. Unless there are fishy or weak players that have
also called, and effective stacks are somewhere slightly over 100 BBs,
then folding is more profitable. True, a lot of your money is going to
be made by making strong hands with these kinds of starting hands,
but the low frequency you do that, combined with not being in
position will be a drain on your bankroll.
2. Making more definitive decisions against steal attempts, and
reducing cold calling range. This basically means 3-betting or folding
more instead of flatting. Ideally flatting can be much more profitable
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another really weak player in the pot. Then you can widen your
range slightly, but not much.
b. If they are loose: You can widen your calling range to include
some more marginal broadway hands like AJo, KQo, ATs, etc.,
and drop more of the suited connector hand ranges since they
will go down in post flop value versus your opponents more
marginal hand range. Mix in a good amount of leads and
check-raises on the flop against these players with made
hands and whiffed hands. Since their range is wider, they will
have a made hand less often, and you can re-steal a ton
against them if you mix in a good amount of value bets and
bluffs that have good equity. Most opponents won't fight back
against this strategy, but some will. Make notes on who is
being aggressive back, and don't jump to conclusions too quick
about your opponents.
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In the example on the previous page, your opponent open raises from
UTG+1 to 3 BBs with effective stacks of 120 BBs. Your opponent is fairly
tight from this position, opening ~10% of their hands. They have a high
continuation bet percentage of around 80%, but they are pretty passive on
later streets. You are in the big blind with 8s9s, and call the raise.
You check to your opponent, and they continuation bet as expected.
The initial plan when deciding to call the raise to begin with was to call or
check-raise certain flops depending on how hard they likely hit our
opponent, or how hard we expect them to perceive it hit you. In this case
with a gutshot and backdoor flush draw, and stacks being deep enough
that if your opponent does have a hand, you can win a reasonably sized
pot, calling is the best option. You also know your opponent slows down on
later streets. So unless they have Kx+, which will be a fairly small
combination of hands, albeit a larger than normal portion of combos for
most opening ranges because of their tighter play, they will slow down on
the turn and allow you to potentially see all 5 cards.
Calling is preferable over check-raising because unless you're in a
leveling war with your opponent, there are not a lot of hands in our range
we'd want to check-raise on this kind of texture. Calling also ensures that
you at least see the next card, and won't get blown off your hand with a reraise in case your opponent does have a big hand.
You also allow for more options to check-raise the turn if the turn
doesn't supply a helpful card, and it adds a more credible story to you
having a strong hand. Depending on the stakes you play of course, how
hand strength is perceived to a turn check-raise will vary. For the most
part at micro and small stakes games it will be perceived very strongly.
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Your range won't be weighted very much at all to having check / called the
flop with a gutshot.
The important points about calling and taking a flop out of the blinds
versus a tighter player is that you have to have the proper information. You
need to have stats with a reasonable sample size or a very good read that
fits the criteria. Otherwise, you're much better off folding pre-flop.
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J9s+, QTo+, T9s, JTo. This would be roughly 20% of our total range.
Now obviously hands like TT+, AQ+ you'd want to 3-bet a majority of
the time. Occasionally, when your opponent is not good post flop,
flatting with a lot of these hands can be quite profitable, since they'll
flop second best hands so often.
Also, hands like 77/88, A9o, K9s, T9s, JTo depend on how
confident we feel about playing our opponent post flop. If you think if
you have a reasonable advantage, flatting with these hands is fine,
mixing in some 3-bets. Otherwise look to 3-bet or fold these hands.
Now polarizing some of this
range while adding more hands
so you can 3-bet some hands that
have decent equity when called,
and flatting some of the bigger
hands like AQo, AJo, KQs, etc., a
percentage of the time as well,
will keep your opponents defense more off balanced. Of course, most
opponents will know that you will defend lighter and 3-bet lighter. So
how much, and with what kinds of hands, is important.
Add in some hands to our initial range to create a strong
overall defending range: 3-betting hands that won't play very well if
you flat, but that can out flop some of your opponents 3-bet calling
range. Mix in flatting some of your fairly strong to very strong hands
some of the time (exact percentages vary depending upon opponent;
baseline percentage would be 20/80 flat to 3-bet). With this range
your opponent can't be extremely confident in your strength when
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overcalling with suited connectors can play well if you think the small blind
will have a decent hand more often than a speculative hand, or flatting
with AJo can have value against weak opponents with poor post flop skills.
Some of the hands you won't be flatting almost ever, but have great
squeeze EV (shown in picture to the right), are hands like: A2oA9o, A2s
A8s, K3sK9s, K8oKTo, Q6sQTs, Q9oQTo, J8oJ9o, J7sJ9s, T8s+, T9o.
Hands like small pairs can become a flat or a squeeze. If one or both
opponents are deep, flatting can usually be more ideal, or if both or one of
the opponents is really weak post flop, you don't want to push them out of
the pot by 3-betting. If facing two decent regulars, or at least one
reasonably tough opponent, squeezing or folding is usually a higher EV
line.
You always want to keep in mind that if you build history with any of
your opponents or you are squeezing a lot, that your small blind can and
should look to trap occasionally with his stronger hands, knowing you will
squeeze wide. This shouldn't prevent you from squeezing, but it should
reduce some of your range so that your opponent isn't looking to exploit
you.
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ring tend to have similar averages, with full ring actually having slightly
higher cut-off opening ranges to about 34.5%. It's reasonable to assume
that because it's usually opened more often before it gets folded to the cutoff at full ring, that people seize the opportunity slightly more often. In
either case, opening ranges in both games are very similar.
When deciding how you will respond to an opponent who opens from
the cut-off with no callers in-between you, the same poker thought
algorithms need to be applied as in previous situations.
1. How often is your opponent opening from the cut-off?
a. If they open on the lower end of an opening range (24% or
less): Keep your 3-betting range a bit tighter, unless they have
a really high fold to 3-bet percentage (67% or higher). Keep
your flatting range even tighter since they will tend to have
decent hands more often than most opponents and you don't
want to be stuck flopping second best hands against them.
b. If they open on the wider side of an opening range (31% or
higher): Have a decent 3-betting range, but still much tighter
than defending against an open button raise. Something in the
range of: A2oATo, A2sA9s, K8sKTs, K9oKTo, Q9sQTs,
Q9oQTo, J9o, J9s. Don't always 3-bet every one of these
hands. You want to increase or decrease this range also based
on how often your opponent is folding to 3-bets. The ideal
being someone who is opening too loose, and not re-defending
enough with a reasonably high fold to 3-bet percentage
(somewhere over 65%).
2. How aggressive are they post flop?
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On the other hand, squeezing when an opponent flats from the small
blind puts you up against a tighter range, which will reduce folding
percentages (bad for you), but when you are called by the small blind you'll
have position (good for you). There's less of a chance that your opponent
will trap or will be looking to call to out play you post flop (good for you).
In the above example, you are in the big blind with KcTc (110 BBs),
and a losing regular opens in the cut-off for 3 BBs (100 BBs). The player on
the button is a decent winning regular and calls (135 BBs). The small blind
folds and the action is on you. Let's use our poker thought algorithms to
think through the situation to make the best possible play.
1. How often is our opponent opening from the cut-off? Our
opponent is opening about 28% of his hands from the cut-off.
Right about in the middle of the road, but on a slightly more tight
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side of the opening scale. In a reasonable sample size it's also nice
to see how often our caller flat calls. Obviously being on the
button his flat calling range will be widest. His VPIP overall is
somewhat high at 30%, so we can assume he takes a good
amount of flops. Overall our cut-off opponents opening range,
along with our button opponent's probable slightly looser flatting
range makes the situation for 3-betting slightly positive, and the
situation for flatting fairly neutral since we won't have position on
a tough opponent.
2. How aggressive is our opponent? Our opponent in the cut-off is
reasonably aggressive, but shades slightly more to being passive
with an aggression factor of 2.7. Our opponent on the button is
slightly more on the aggressive side with an aggression factor of
3.8. Since youre squeezing, you need to take into account that
there's a possibility one or both might call. The fact that our most
aggressive opponent has position on everyone is a negative in this
case for both calling and squeezing.
3. What are stack sizes? Effective stacks are 100 BBs, but could be
as high as 110 if the button calls. Pretty reasonable stack sizes for
both squeezing and flatting.
4. Is our hand more for drawing or flopping top pair? In this case it's
a bit of both. Most of the value in our hand will be from making a
straight or flush, but with the king, it has reasonable top pair
showdown value as well. Again, somewhat neutral overall for both
situations.
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Flat with AQo from the small blind against weak BB and marginally decent
regular on the button.
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hands can achieve this goal. So hands like AJs, AQo, KQs, etc.,
can be some hands you look to flat to allow your weak
opponent in the big blind to call with worse hands like A2s+,
KJ, etc.
3. How aggressive is the opponent on the button post flop?
a. If they are more passive (AF of 3 or less), then you can widen
your flatting range a little more. You'll have more of a chance
to get to showdown, and you don't have to be as concerned
about being bluffed or blown off your hand.
b. If they are more aggressive (AF over 3), then you should tighten
your flatting range, and turn some of those hands you might
flat against a more passive opponent into part of your 3-betting
range. If your opponent is aggressive and doesn't like to fold
pre-flop, then you should tighten both your flatting and 3betting range.
Keep your range in the small blind polarized enough so you don't
give good players that are in your big blind incentive to re-steal against
you. Keep your flatting range a little tighter in general, and look to
occasionally trap by flatting some strong hands in tougher games against
good opponents.
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You want to walk yourself through the exact same poker though
algorithms (pgs. 6264) and add one more question:
1. How often is our opponent opening from the cut-off?
2. How aggressive is our opponent?
3. What are the stack sizes?
4. Is our hand more for drawing or flopping top pair?
5. How tricky is our opponent in the big blind? If they are capable of
4-bet bluffing, you'll want to cut off some of your polarized 3-bet
bluffing range so you won't be squeezing quite as often with weak
hands and forced to fold. In this same vein, if they are capable of
4-bet bluffing, then they'll surely be capable of 3-bet squeezing an
open cut-off and two callers with a fairly wide range. Occasionally
flat with QQ+, AK, looking to trap your tricky opponent in the big
blind.
Just make sure that when you are squeezing as a bluff you aren't
committing yourself against shorter stacks. If there's a short stack in the
big blind, it's something to consider, but it's also not likely they will have a
hand worth shoving often enough unless they are a really good short
stacker. Most short stackers are not.
If the cut-off and button are short though, make sure you won't leave
yourself in a spot to have to call off more money getting 2:1 on your money
or better. With any Ax hands you'll be forced to call if your opponent on the
button shoves, and you are getting 2:1 on a call with a hand like A5o. Even
a hand like K7o you'll be slightly priced in to call versus a button's likely
shoving range.
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Equity
Win
Tie
Hand Range
33.68%
33.04%
0.63%
[K7o(100)]
66.31%
65.679%
0.63%
KJs+(100), KQo(100)]
Against an open cut-off with a short stack, you can get away from
more hands since their shoving range will be a little tighter on average
since the button is still in the hand. There will always be exceptions, but
you should assume that most short stacking opponents that open in the
cut-off won't shove as wide as the button will who is closing the action.
Equity
Win
Tie
Hand Range
27.12%
26.84%
0.28% [K7o(100)]
72.87%
72.58%
0.28%
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4. Check Min-Raise Lead: A slightly more risky line, but one that works
well against a fairly wide range of opponents, except absolute fish
who can't fold hands. A decent percentage of opponents won't fold to
min-raises, but when they do it's a cheap way to re-steal. When they
do call, you have setup your hand to look like a monster, so you can
fire a reasonably sized turn bet of 2/3rds to 3/4ths of the pot and
expect to get folds from a lot of your opponents range on most board
textures.
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opponent fires out a continuation bet of 4 BBs into a 6 BB pot. You check
min-raise to 8 BBs and your opponent folds.
Your opponent will be getting 4.5:1 on a call, but it will be extremely
difficult to call with Ax, 6644, 22. These are hands that have very good
equity against you that you can get to fold out. There are some hands you
beat that you will get to fold out, but there are a good amount of drawing
hands they could pick up on the turn that won't fold if you check/call and
lead the turn. But most importantly you will fold out Ax hands that will
have over 70% equity against you, and some hands that will have trouble
continuing like small pairs that have almost the same equity.
If your opponent calls, then you can lead the turn for 2/3rds the pot.
You have possibly 12 over cards, a back door straight and 2nd nut flush
back door as well. There are plenty of bad cards for your opponents range
so that you can shove a lot of rivers as well if you miss hitting anything of
showdown value.
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Chapter 7: 3-Betting
raised pots pre-flop, since you'll likely be playing in a lot of 3-bet pots. We'll
take a look at three primary 3-betting hand ranges and how you'll use
them in common situations.
Value Range
Just about everyone knows that when you re-raise pre-flop with
QQ+, AK, you're doing it for value against your opponents raising range.
What is considered value, of course, depends on your opponent and their
opening range and calling range from each position. So overall value is a
mixture of these two elements.
Some people get confused and think that 3-betting with AQo isn't for
value because your opponent won't call with worse in certain situations. It
will be for value, but not by much because you'll have only a slight equity
edge against a standard cut-off open raising range (say of 30%). And your
opponents 3-bet calling range isn't that great against you either, even
though their calling range from the cut-off will likely be slightly higher,
especially if they have position on you.
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What a lot of people tend to not consider is that there are a ton of
small pairs that you will typically fold out when playing with effective
stacks around 100 BBs. This ends up dropping your equity versus their
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this simple. The flopability of your hand and how many streets of value you
can get with a particular hand matter. Not to mention that 3-betting
decreases your effective stack to pot ratio so that you can comfortably play
a slightly bigger pot with a big pair, and reduces your opponents hands
that can create big pots, like 87s.
The point here though is that certain hands actually gain equity
when you 3-bet them versus lose equity. But there are other things to
consider besides just equity. There's fold equity, decreasing the stack to pot
ratio, and initiative. All of these will factor into whether 3-betting for value
or calling is better.
A baseline for a value 3-bet range is 4.2% of hands, which looks
something like this:
JJ+, AQs+, AQo+. Now clearly if you only 3-bet about 4% of your hands,
you're not going to get much action when you 3-bet, and you're going to be
leaving money on the table. You'll want to add in some more hands as
bluffs, and also find ways to add more value hands against certain
opponents.
Bluffing Range
You may have heard some of your poker friends talk about 3-betting
a polarized range. This is where you 3-bet hands that are more towards the
bottom of your hand range that you wouldn't find profitable to call as a
bluff, and at the very high end of your range (top 4.2%) for value. Then
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some of the remaining hands you leave in your range to call with. So a
typical polarized 3-bet range would look something like this:
For Value: JJ+, AQs+, AQo+
Bluffing: A2sA8s,A2oA8o, K2sK9s, K5oK9o, Q5sQ9s, J5sJ7s, Q8o
Q9o, J7oJ8o
Calling Range: KJo+, KTs+, ATsAJs, AToAJo, QTs+, QJo, JTs, 22TT
These are some example ranges, and while of course you can 3-bet
bluff some other hands, these are more profitable on average to do so. You
can also call with a wider range as well, and include suited and unsuited
connectors, as well as gapped connectors.
Using an example from above, you call with a hand like AJs instead
of 3-bet with it because your equity versus your opponents opening range
is good, and you keep in dominated hands like KJ, JQ, AT, A9, etc. If you
3-bet AJs your equity drops, and you keep in more hands that will
dominate your range like AQ, JJ, etc.
So if you add some of these bluffing hands to your 3-bet value range,
you'll increase your 3-bet range to a percentage that will properly polarize
your total 3-bet range. This means that if you get your total 3-bet
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percentage to around 8%, your opponent won't know when you're 3-betting
for value, or when you're 3-bet bluffing. They'll have to risk calling and
playing a re-raised pot without initiative against you, folding their hand
and giving up their equity, or 4-betting you.
Quasi Range
There will be times when you will want to turn some of your range
you might normally call with, like AJs in the example above, into a 3-bet
quasi-value range. You might do this against opponents who don't like to
fold to 3-bets, or when you want to 3-bet isolate a weak player to keep
other regulars out of the pot. It's quasi because sometimes it can be for
value, and sometimes it will be a bluff. An example of a 3-bet quasi range is
many of our calling hands from the previous examples.
Quasi 3-bet Range: KQo+, KJs+, A9sAJs, AToAJo, QJs+, 99TT
Against players who are opening fairly wide, and don't fold to 3-bets,
re-raising a hand like AJs or KQs has a lot of value. You'll have your
opponent calling with a lot of suited and unsuited connectors, dominated
hands, and small pairs that don't have good flopability. There are a lot of
hands where you'll put your opponent in a defensive position with an
inferior range often enough.
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3-Bet Sizing
Standard 3-bet sizing tends to be 34 times your opponents opening
raise, and sometimes slightly more out of position. In position you'll tend to
want to 3-bet slightly smaller (33.5x), to keep your opponent in with a
weaker range out of position against you, and slightly larger out of position
(3.754.5x) to cut down your stack to pot ratio and increase your fold
equity. What you size your 3-bet to heavily depends on your opponent,
your actual hand, and whether you're looking to increase or decrease your
opponents fold percentage.
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and allows you to isolate weaker players more often can be a very profitable
strategy.
Instead of 3-betting 3.54x your opponents open raise sizing, you 3bet 2.67x your opponents open size in position, and 3.54x out of position.
To keep it simple, if your opponent opens 3x the big blind, then you'd 3-bet
to 8 BBs. If your opponent opens 2.5x the big blind, then 3-bet to 6.7 BBs.
The sizing will take some getting used to depending on the stakes you play,
but you can easily work that out and make a cheat sheet if you need to.
This means that all of your value range and quasi range you're going
to be 3-betting 2.67x your opponents opening amount. The reason you're
going to do this is because it's going to keep a bulk of your opponents
range still in the pot against you. Additionally it's going to place your
opponent in a situation where they're going to have to make a lot of moves
against you post flop to make up for situations when they call with the
weaker part of their range and whiff the flop. They're going to have to do
this out of position without initiative. There are very few opponents capable
of doing this consistently at micro and small stakes games. If you are
playing against one you think is capable, then just don't use this strategy
against them.
Let's take a simple example with 100 BB effective stacks. Your
opponent open raises 3x the big blind from MP and is currently opening
21.6% of hands from that position. You are on the button with KJs and
you 3-bet your opponent to 8 BBs. Your opponent calls and you see a flop
heads up. First of all, let's look at the pre-flop equity versus your
opponents opening range and calling range.
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First thing is your pre-flop equity doesn't really change that much.
Yet now you have a re-raised pot, in position against your opponents 3-bet
calling range, and you have initiative. Combine that with the fact that with
two unpaired hole cards, your opponent is whiffing the flop 68% of the
time, you've put them in a tough spot. Of course your opponent isn't going
to have two unpaired hole cards all the time, but between draws, and
hands that can continue, you're going to win the pot with a continuation
bet more than half the time. Most opponents fold to continuation bets in 3bet pots between 50%60% of the time. If you make a slightly over 1/2 pot
sized bet, it's printing money in this situation. Of course the total expected
value of this play also depends on how often you're folding to a 4-bet. Let's
take a look plugging in some expected percentages:
F = (4.5(.20), B = (8(.20), C = .8[-10(.4)+9.5(.6)]
F - B + C = EV
F = How often your opponent folds to your 3-bet. We're saying
conservatively 20%. A good number is between 2030% depending on your
opponent.
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B = How often your opponent is 4-betting and you'll have to fold. 1525% is
a fair number and against better players who will start 4-betting as their
adjustment this will get to ~30%.
C = How often a slightly over half pot sized continuation bet will be called.
40% of the time our opponent is calling, with the entire situation occurring
only 80% of the time.
.9 -1.6 + 1.4 = .7 | EV = +.7 BBs
This isn't even accounting for the equity you have in your hand when
your continuation bet is called, which will jump this number up quite a bit.
This is just the raw EV of a play until the continuation bet on the flop.
Consider when you continue to do this against an opponent, and they
decide to adjust at the incorrect time and you have a big hand (either a big
pair pre-flop, or you flopped a big hand). Having position is huge in this
situation and you can control the size of the pot post flop.
To be fair, let's compare this against the EV of calling KJs in
position. That's a fine hand to call with and take a flop in position against
most opponents. So let's take a look at the hand against the same range,
and same situation.
EV = (5.5(.47) = (3(.53) = +1
Looks like it's just about the same EV if we take the hand to the flop,
but this time our opponent has initiative, and they are continuation
betting. We're also saying we're only folding to a continuation bet in
position 47% of the time to a roughly 3/4ths pot sized bet (5.5). Again, this
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doesn't take into account equity when you call versus your opponents
range. Everything is the same, except that it's a single raised pot, and now
you don't have initiative and you're not continuation betting. You're also
not applying much pressure to your opponent beyond calling and perhaps
floating a decent amount of flops against them. Both plays are pretty close
in EV, and exact in the case of using our numbers, but the goals are
slightly different.
The primary reason you'd employ this 3-betting strategy over flatting
a hand like KJs is to apply pressure, keep your opponent on the defensive
and in re-raised pots out of position against you. You're not going to be 3betting this same hand nearly as often out of position. This is purely an in
position strategy to use against certain opponents, and in certain games.
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Having the bad loose aggressive player on your right is ideal, but the weak
fishy player on your immediate left trumps the bad LAG player. If the fishy
player wasn't on your immediate left, and you had decent regulars to your
immediate left, then the applied pressure 3-betting strategy would work
great. Some better regulars might start to adjust after awhile, but in
general it's a great approach to take to isolate the bad LAG player.
In general, it's best to use a standard 3-betting strategy until you
have players at your table identified. Your goal with an applied pressure 3betting strategy should be to isolate the weaker players, and force your
better opponents into making mistakes, or reacting poorly against your 3bets. If you do this effectively you'll have a wider 3-betting range in these
situations and at the tables where it makes the most sense. An ideal 3betting percentage when employing a standard 3-betting strategy with a
polarized range should be somewhere between 79%. When using an
applied pressure 3-betting strategy, your 3-bet percentage can be anywhere
from 1015% on average.
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it's unlikely you'll have an adequate sample to have stats for 3-bet
from SB vs UTG. On average you'll be looking at an opponent with a
4% 3-bet range or less. So you should be proceeding only with the
very top of your range.
You open a normal range UTG, action is folded to the big blind who 3bets you and has a normal to tight 3-betting range.
Comments: Similar thing as in the small blind, except you can call
with slightly more of your range. Since the big blind is last to act, the
3-betting range will be slightly wider on average, but not by much.
That just means you can call with TT+, AKo, AKs and sometimes
AQs.
You open a normal range UTG, and your opponent on your immediate
left 3-bets you, who has a normal 3-betting range.
Comments: You should be folding most of your range except for JJ+,
AKo, AKs. Against some opponents, TT and AQs can be called. In
general though they should be dumped unless they are somewhat on
the looser 3-betting side of a normal 3-betting range.
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highest EV situations obviously. Some spots that come up often that are
"easy" calls to a 3-bet with 100 BB effective stacks are as follows:
You open on the button, a normal open button range, and get 3-bet by
the big blind who has a fairly wide 3-betting range.
Comments: You both know your range is going to be wider and
lighter than normal. This should be one of the spots you defend
against most aggressively since you'll have position and you have
options between calling or 4-betting light. Assuming your opponent
is 3-betting about 15% of his range, you should look to call with
roughly an equal percentage of your range, or slightly more
depending on how confident you are in outplaying your opponent. All
things being equal, having position is your biggest advantage. If you
assume a somewhat polarized range from your opponent, then you
should be calling with a range similar to this (assuming you'll 4-bet
JJ+, AK most of the time): 88JJ, A9s+, AToAQo, KJo+, KTs+, QTs+,
J9s+, QTo+, T9s, 98s, T9o, 87s. You'll have anywhere from 47%52%
equity depending on how polarized your opponents range is.
You open on the button, a normal open button range, and get 3-bet by
the small blind who has a fairly wide 3-betting range.
Comments: Very similar to the above. You will both have wider
ranges, but the small blind will have a slightly tighter 3-betting range
on average with the big blind still left to act. You should still defend
liberally, unless your opponent is on the tight side of a normal 3betting range for this situation. So assume a roughly 13% 3-betting
range, your defense range should look similar to defend the blind
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with a few more hands cut out: 88JJ, ATs+, AToAQo, KJo+, KTs+,
QTs+, JTs, T9s, 98s, T9o. The goal is to have yourself around the
47%52% equity range against your opponents 3-bet range.
You open in cut-off, a normal cut-off range. The action folds to the big
blind who 3-bets a fairly wide range.
Comments: Despite the fact that your range will be significantly
tighter in the cut-off, your opponents 3-betting range will be almost
as wide as if you had opened from the button. Somewhere between
1013% on average for normal aggressive regulars. So assuming a 3bet range of about 11.5%, then a good defending range would be: 88
JJ, ATs+, AJoAQo, KQo, KJs+, QJs, JTs, T9s. Again, the goal is to
get between 4752% equity versus your opponents range. In this
case you'd be pretty close to 50% equity.
You open in cut-off, a normal cut-off range. The action folds to the small
blind who 3-bets a fairly wide range for this situation.
Comments: Same as above, and
your opponents 3-bet range should
be slightly tighter as opposed to 3betting from the big blind, but not
by much. A range of 8.512% would
be average for this situation. So assuming a 3-bet range of 10%, a
good defense calling range would be: 88JJ, ATs+, AJoAQo, KQo,
KQs. This would be slightly over 48% equity versus your opponents
3-bet range.
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position play, eliminating KQs and/or AJs will jump your equity a
few more points and eliminate some "trouble hands." Most of the
time you'll be 4-betting KK+, AK, but flatting for deception in these
situations adds a lot of value to your hand versus your opponents
range. Again, you will have to mix in a couple of 4-bet bluffs, and
you'll have to turn some of your weaker hands into post flop bluffs to
make this situation profitable overall. It's a marginal spot for good
reason.
You open raise a normal range in the cut-off of about 28%, and an
opponent on the button with a normal polarized 3-betting range of 13%
3-bets you.
Comments: Similar spot to the first example except our opponents 3betting range will tend to be slightly larger in this situation on
average, and our opening range is going to be wider. You'll be a slight
dog versus his 3-betting range, so folding some of the range without
being exploitable, and turning enough hands into 4-bet bluffs is a
fine line since your opponent will know that you'll have a wider 4betting range on average. A baseline calling range would be: 88+,
ATs+, AJo+, KJs+, KQo. This would give you between 5860% equity
again, and keep you slightly under 70% folding percent. Assuming
you always 4-bet KK+, AK in this spot, with the remaining hands
you'll still have between 5557% equity versus your opponents 3betting range.
In general, if you're not comfortable calling in a re-raised pot out of
position, then you need to be tightening up your opening range when you
have reasonably aggressive 3-bettors who have position on you. If you're
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normally opening say 28%, like in the above example, but you have a
player on the button who 3-bets 14% in that dynamic, you need to
considerably reduce your opening range. You'd need to cut off anywhere
from 610% from your open raising range to play the situation profitably.
Make sure you're adjusting your range, based on the opponents that have
position on you.
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ike I've said earlier, the games are increasingly aggressive pre-flop
and post flop. To some degree at certain higher stakes, the 3-betting
and 4-betting has mellowed out a little, but micro and small stake
players are still seeing effects of increased aggression. In order to
properly combat this increased aggression, you need to have a solid
4-bet bluffing plan. 4-betting for value is pretty simple. You have a big
hand against someone who you think will stack off with worse and you 4bet. Finding profitable 4-betting spots is a little trickier, but possible to do
if you are staying cognizant of the opportunities that present themselves.
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2. Add depth to your 4-bet range. So when you do 4-bet, you may get
your opponents to react poorly and 5-bet shove with the wrong
ranges against you. If you're only 4-betting 2% of your range, then
opponents can play near perfect against you if they are at all
competent.
3. Push people off better hand. If you pick your spots and hands well,
you can get people to fold hands like AQo, TTJJ for example or even
better depending on how badly they adjust to your 4-bet range.
Equity
Reasons
A2sA9s
2930%
A2oA9o
2526%
K2sKTs
2527%
K6oKTo
2223%
Q6sQTs
2629%
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JJ+ depending on your opponent and their position. Some hands like KTs
and QTs can be profitable 3-bet calling hands, but in certain situations out
of position, they also make good 4-bet bluffing hands.
Small pairs like 2255, for example, are not hands that you can 4bet bluff and fold with 100 BB effective stacks. You'll have anywhere from
35.737.3% equity versus your opponents shoving range so you'll be
committed to calling. As a rough rule, any hand that has about 3132%
equity versus your opponents 5-bet jamming range, you cannot fold once
you 4-bet.
The bottom line with profitable 4-bet bluffing is that you want to
ideally look for opponents that 3-bet too wide, and don't re-defend their 3bets enough. Once you start getting over an 8% 3-betting range, you can
find a lot of profitable 4-bet bluffing opportunities. As your opponents get
better, they will of course understand your 4-bet bluffing range is going to
widen and jam slightly wider or call accordingly. However, most opponents
at micro and small stakes don't adjust to this well. At micro stakes, you
won't have as many aggressive 3-bettors, but they are still there, and those
are the people you need to target.
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bet sizing. When stack sizes get over that size, don't look to 4-bet bluff very
often since your opponents 4-bet calling range will begin to widen. You
should instead be widening your 4-bet value range, preferably in position of
course. Also you can look to 4-bet ISO in position more to apply maximum
pressure versus your opponents range.
In the above example, in a full ring cash game with effective stacks of
100 BBs, it's folded to you in late middle position (MP2) with QdTd and you
raise 3 BBs. The action folds to the button who 3-bets 10% of his hands
from the button and he 3-bets to 10 BBs. The action folds back to you, and
you 4-bet to 23 BBs.
Is this a profitable 4-bet bluff?
1. He's 3-betting over 8% of his hands, so whether it's profitable or not
is going to come down to 4-bet sizing and how wide he will 5-bet jam
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or call. Most opponents at micro and small stakes are going to play
5-bet jam or fold poker.
2. What your opponents 3-betting range is in a spot like this is actually
irrelevant, unless your opponent is calling a lot of 4-bets. Since this
isn't the case a majority of the time, you can take any range,
polarized or depolarized with quasi ranges in it, and just plug in
what you think a reasonable 5-bet jam range is for your opponent.
We'll say something like roughly 3% of his hands or slightly less
which equates to: QQ+, AQs+, AKo. Swap JJ for AQs, and it won't
make much difference since you are not calling a jam. It will just
slightly alter the fold percentages.
3. If your opponent is opening 10% of his range, and jamming only 3%,
then they'll be folding roughly 70% of the time to a 4-bet.
14.5(.70) - 23(.3) = + 3.3 BBs
4. 4-bet bluffing in this situation has a net profit of +6.3 BBs, since if
you fold you're losing 3 BBs 100% of the time.
Is folding the correct play versus your opponents range if you are jammed
on?
1. If we keep the above 5-bet jamming range of our opponent, and plug
in the numbers you'll end up having slightly under 30% equity
versus your opponents range: (100(.3)) - (77(.7)) = (30 - 54) = -24
BBs.
2. If you 4-bet to 23 BBs and fold, you're losing 23 BBs 100% of the
time. (-24) - (-23) = -1 BBs. So it's narrow but it would be a - 1 BB
EV play.
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Keep your 4-bet bluff contained to the most optimal spots and you
should be able to easily get your 4-bet range over 3% and close to 4%.
Something between 34.5% is optimal without getting into an area where
you may begin spewing chips.
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that you have a heavily weighted strong range when you are bluffing, and a
weak range or bluff when you are strong can become quite the art in nolimit poker. With some practice and thoughtful execution, it's an aspect of
poker that can separate you from the other regulars in the games you're
playing.
A big part of your perceived range is going to depend on how you'd
play a given range of hands in a particular situation. When you're first
playing someone at your stakes, there's going to be a given "normal" way to
play a range hands for the board that's in play. There will be some general
assumptions made about your opponent until you can glean what their
likely skill level is, and what level they are thinking about poker on. Then,
based on the history that you build with that opponent, and how you've
seen them play past situations, you'll start to alter what their likely range
will be in a particular spot.
That's where making reads and taking good notes on your opponents
really comes into play. For example, if you've seen your opponent call two
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streets on a dry board, and then turn a small pair or bottom pair into a
bluff on the river, then you're going to know that when you reach the river
you're going to want to check/call a good portion of your medium strength
hands to your opponent on the river, or bet small on the turn and river to
induce a bluff.
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In the example above, in a full ring cash game with 100 BB effective
stacks, you open 88 for 3 BBs from early middle position (MP1), and the
table folds to the small blind who calls. The big blind folds and you see the
flop heads-up. The flop comes: Td9c4d. Your opponent checks, and you bet
2/3rds of the pot and your opponent check-raises. Let's take a look at how
an unbalanced range to a more progressively balanced range affects equity,
and should in turn affect your opponents decision if they understand your
range.
1. Your opponent only check-raises open ended straight draws and
flush draws. Your equity versus this
range is going to be roughly 55%. With
the money already in the pot, you should
either look to get it in, or call and shove a
blank turn card when your opponents
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situations. The weaker your opponent is, the more unbalanced your range
can be simply because they won't be placing you on a range of hands well
enough to make good decisions to begin with. This consequently means
that if your opponent isn't thinking much beyond their own hand strength,
you won't need to worry about balancing your range. Most players in small
stakes games and above today will be thinking about ranges, but may not
know how to properly balance their own ranges. Micro stake players mostly
won't understand either concept, except for the most competent of regulars
in your games. For that reason you can keep a mostly unbalanced range
against those kinds of opponents, and play as exploitative as possible.
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board situation against most opponents. Keep in mind, the line you take
with each range should also change based on your opponent, mainly how
good and aggressive they are versus how average or bad they are.
Most opponents will expect you to check/call with your sets, top
pair, and small pairs in this spot. They know that you'll expect them to
continuation bet with almost their entire range, so you'll want to give them
that opportunity knowing that they won't have a strong range often enough
to handle much more pressure than a call.
What you'll want to answer for yourself is, in a situation where youre
out of position to a pre-flop raiser, how do you ideally want to play each of
these range of hands? Your pre-flop hand distribution is going to be
comprised mostly of unpaired hands that will whiff the flop 68% of the
time. You'll flop some gut-shots with suited and unsuited connectors about
16% of the time. The bulk of your range, as you know, will be with air.
Your opponent will know this as well, so the line you take will need to take
that into heavy consideration.
If your opponent doesn't react well to aggression, then donking into
them with your air range that has over cards, gutshots, and sets can be a
good line. You're not going to flop a set often, and when you do, they
usually won't expect you to lead into them until they've seen you do it. If
they have a hand, they're going to call or even raise. You just have to make
sure that if you're consistently donking into them, that when you do have a
set you lead into them as well. Mix in doing it with top pair occasionally as
well.
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~39%
~30%
~40%
~36%
~54%
~47%
~68%
~78%
~94%
~94%
~42%
~49%
~73%
~67%
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mediocre regulars will just fold if they don't have a strong hand here, and
against those opponents it's a highly profitable play. When you can get
your opponent to fold some better hands and when they have the better
equity, it's a very big +EV play for you.
Let's take a look at an example where your opponent is opening
23.4% of their hands. In a 6-max cash game, your opponent in middle
position open raises to 3 BBs and the action folds to you in the big blind
and you call the raise with AsTs. The flop comes Qs7c3s. You check to your
opponent who bets 5 BBs into a 6.5 BB pot. You check-raise to 13 BBs.
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spots, your better opponents will begin to know that you can do this with
top pair, sets, and so on. Even before your opponents have a better idea of
what your range will be here, they'd have to continue with such a large
portion of their range and call 48% of the time or more for it not to be a
profitable play. As it stands, if we say that roughly 8% of the time they'll rebluff you with their air range and you'll have to fold, the math would look
like this:
(-13(.43) + (11.5(.57) = -5.6 + 6.6 = +1 EV
This isn't taking into consideration when you are called, and the
equity you still have in your hand with the two backdoor draws and
possibly at least one over card. Compare this line to when you'd check/call
where you're a 42/58 equity dog against your opponents continuation
betting range, and it's a reasonable line to take in situations like this.
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Let's run through the exact same scenarios as above for comparative
purposes. Your opponent opens a standard 23.4% opening range, and you
call and see a flop of: 6h5h3d.
Coordinated Low Board
Check/Call with Gutshot: ~41% equity versus your opponents
range.
(97s+, 98o, A2s, A2o)
Check/Call with Air: ~47% equity versus your opponents range.
(ATsAQs, AToAQo, KJs+, KJo+)
Check/Call with small pair: ~62% equity versus your opponents
range.
(22, 44, 7788)
Check/Call with Top Pair: ~63% equity versus your opponents
range.
(A6s, A6o, K6s)
Check/Call with Over Pair: ~66% equity versus your opponents
range.
(77JJ)
Check/Call with Two Pair: ~83% equity versus your opponents
range.
(65o, 65s, 53s)
Check/Call with Pair + Draw: ~68% equity versus your opponents
range.
(A3s, 54s, 54o, 64s, 76s, 76o, 44)
Check/Call with a Set: ~90% equity versus your opponents range.
(33, 5566)
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Coordinated Low
Coordinated Broadway
Board
Board
~41%
~28%
~47%
~17%
~62%
~26%
~63%
~63%
~66%
~70%
~83%
~67%
~68%
~64%
~90%
~80%
~53%
~61%
~51%
~42%
~72%
~68%
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significant dog with anything but your top pair+ hands. Most opponents
will narrow down your range to two pair+ and big combo draws. It's still a
decently wide range, and at micro and a lot of small stakes games you can
do this. As your opponents get better, check/raising these kinds of boards
won't be as viable.
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In the above example, you are the pre-flop raiser from late middle
position with KdQd. You have one caller in the cut-off. The flop comes:
8c8d4h. Generally as the pre-flop raiser you're going to want to
continuation bet here, but it's opponent dependent. If you do decide to
continuation bet, you should generally continuation bet less than you
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normally would. About 1/2 the pot or less would be a good size. If you are
raised, you can 3-bet the flop at a cheaper cost or call and lead the turn. If
your opponent just calls your continuation bet, you can make a large bet
on the turn, forcing them to fold out their Ax hands and small pairs. If you
pick up a card that helps your hand such as any diamond, a king or
queen, you can continue with a normal sized turn bet.
There are several viable and profitable lines to take in a common spot
like this, but most of your decisions should rely on how aggressive and
tricky your opponent is. The less tricky and aggressive they are, a standard
continuation bet and double barrel on improved turns will generally be
profitable. Against trickier opponents, betting small, over betting the turn,
and check/calling can all be profitable lines as well.
Let's take a look at general equity on a broadway paired board using
the exact same opening hand ranges for our opponent of 23.4%. Your
opponent open raises, and you call and see a flop of: QcQh8d.
Paired Broadway Board
Check/Call with Gutshot: ~32% equity versus your opponents
range.
(T9s, T9o, J9o+, J9s+)
Check/Call with Air: ~42% equity versus your opponents range.
(AKs, AKo, A9sAJs, A9oAJo, KJs, KJo)
Check/Call with Small Pair: ~42% equity versus your opponents
range.
(22, 4477)
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Paired Broadway
Paired Low Flop
Flop
~34%
~32%
~47%
~42%
~58%
~42%
~62%
~58%
pair)
~71%
~77%
~95%
~91%
~51%
~51%
~72%
~65%
Again you can see that the overall average equity in each hand range
grouping is slightly lower on a broadway paired board versus a low paired
board. If you check/called with your air range and small pairs as your
primary line, you'd have to turn these hands into bluffs a good percentage
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of the time on later streets. So fold out a lot of your gutshot, air, and small
pair range when you're out of position, or look to lead with some
percentage of those hands. Check-raising generally won't be a good line
because your equity isn't as good, and your opponent believing you have a
strong enough hand to check-raise won't work often enough.
In general you're going to have slightly more equity on lower flops
than on broadway flops for most flop textures. This will allow for slightly
more creativity if you choose lines and balance them well with the style of
poker that fits your game best. If you prefer playing a more passive and
trappy game, then you should have a better idea of which boards to
check/call with, and which ranges are best suited for this. If you have a
much more aggressive game, you can see which textures are best for
check-raises and leading at the pot.
Just keep in mind that your approximate flop equity versus your
opponents continuation bet range will be much different versus their turn
betting range. Your flop equity versus their range is not your realized
equity until you can get to showdown. Having an idea of where your hand
grouping stands versus a typical opening range will allow you to see
profitable lines better, and balance your range accordingly. You should go
through each of these flop textures and make sure you understand what
kinds of lines you will take on average against most opponents. Once
you're comfortable with your plan, and you've practiced it a bit, you can
add more and more deception into your hand ranges as your opponents get
more sophisticated.
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Balanced Deception
One way of balancing your range is
playing a board and texture situation the same
way with the widest range of hand groups.
Another way of achieving balance with your
range is playing the same hand differently on the same board texture. So
one time you check-raise with a set on a draw heavy board, and another
time you check/call with it. If you get to showdown against the same villain
with each hand, they are going to have a more difficult time knowing your
range the next time you check/call on a draw heavy board.
In a similar vein, there are slightly more ideal lines to take with
particular hands on certain board textures. Even as you're balancing your
range, you'll note based on the previous pages, there may be some lines
you will take rarely. You'll take a particular line with lots of different hand
groupings, but rarely or almost never with some that won't make for very
profitable lines long term, especially against opponents you don't have
much history with.
As you begin to build history with an opponent, or you think you
have an idea of how your opponent is likely thinking about the game, you
can begin to take some lines that add deeper balance and deception to your
hand strength. This will typically involve taking lines on the flop and/or
turn that against unknown opponents wouldn't typically be the highest EV
line to take. However, you're looking to make up this EV with large bets,
check-raises, or over shoves on the turn or river. Your opponent is so
confused by how you played your hand that they call bigger bets lighter
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than they would on average because they can't put you on enough hands
that would take this line and beat them.
Again, keep in mind that you need to have history or some sort of
insight about how your opponent likely plays. In online games this can be
as simple as recognizing someone as a regular who will likely open raise X
range of hands from each position, and has some grasp of hand ranges and
common lines that opponents, especially other regulars in the game, would
take. Let's take a look at an example:
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squeeze play, or whiffed AQ, AK giving up. The plan is to make all of the
money by the river against a range that on average couldn't handle more
than one street of value. It can also be used as a pot control line against
hands like 99, JJ, where you can call the turn and river if your opponent
bets, or induce weaker hands to bet on the turn like TT, Jx. Neither of
those hands will typically call more than a street for value in a 3-bet pot
unless there's some history.
There's 31 BBs in the pot and the turn brings the 4c. Your opponent
bets 15.5 BBs, and you just call. Lots of draws on the board now, and your
opponents range won't contain very many draws having flat called from the
small blind against an UTG raise, and calling a squeeze out of position. His
hand is going to contain mostly middle and big pairs and a couple of big
broadway hands like AQs. Your hand however can very well look like a
turned draw, top pair, or botched squeeze that has middle pair.
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There are 62 BBs in the pot, and your opponent has 71 BBs left. The
river brings the 2h, your opponent checks, and you over shove. Your
opponent thinks for a bit, and then calls with TcTd, and you have
successfully stacked him. If you had bet the flop, your opponent likely
would have called your flop bet. It's unlikely they would have called the
turn if you bet again since they would have been committed at that point.
In a re-raised pot they would have had to check-raise shove at that point.
Depending on your opponent and history, it's possible they would do
this a percentage of the time. However, if you think through their entire
hand range, this was a fairly safe line to take even though the board is
fairly coordinated. We know a bulk of their range is weighted towards
hands you'd be crushing because it contains a lot of mid and high pairs. In
the event that they did flop a big hand, like a set, and they bet the turn
and river you can call. It's unlikely they would bet the turn and river with a
hand like Jx or TT.
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Much Love,
John Anhalt
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game, odds, outs, and more. Also includes a FREE equity calculator and
odds and outs trainer. It's an ideal format for beginners and micro stake
players to improve their play quickly.
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