Date: 08 April 2016

Friends!
1 SD formula which is giving success in weekly forecast from past 29 weeks. Below given
the weekly level for nifty future and bank nifty future for 31st week (i.e. 11th to 15th April 2016).
What is 1 SD formula? Price range= (Price * volatility * square root of day) /square root of 365
Now nifty future of April 2016 expiry last recorded trade is 7583, we are going to find the
weekly trend hence days will be 7 calendar days.
Trend identification as per Fibonacci principle

1sdprice range
Nifty
0.236
0.382
0.5
0.618
0.786
0.888
1.236
1.618

125.176

7583
Nifty future Trend expectation
29.541
7612.54
47.817
7630.82
62.588
7645.59
77.359
7660.36
98.388
7681.39
111.16
7694.16
154.72
7737.72
202.53
7785.53

7553.46
7535.18
7520.41
7505.64
7484.61
7471.84
7428.28
7380.47

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Trend expectation as per 1SD method: Uptrend conformation 7613, successful cross over
above 7660 will target 7694-7737-7785. Down trend conformation 7553 successful fall below
7506 will trigger fall till 7472-7428-7380
Range bound trend identification: if all up move invites sale above 7645 and all down move
invites short covering at 7520 level this indication is sufficient to conclude that the price action is
in the range of 7645 to 7520
What trade decision one trader should take?
a. Buying above 7613 stop loss 7553 hedge with 7550 put option buy for initial target 7660 or
selling future below 7553 stop loss 7613 hedge with 7600 call option buy for initial target

7506 is advisable. These levels are weekly levels hence hedge the position with option for better
money management. For intraday use our 1SD paid software.
How to trade this week nifty future levels? On Monday or any time during the week if nifty
cross 7613 then you buy the nifty future with 7550 put option long. If it achieves the 1st target
7660 during the day or any point during the week revise your stop loss to 7631 and hold the
trade. If the 2nd target 7694 achieved revise the stop loss to 7660 and hold the trade. If the 3rd
target 7737 achieved, then trail or revise the stop loss to 7681. Continue this till last target is not
achieved or trailing stop loss is not triggered. If trailing stop loss trigger, then close the hedging
option position also.
After you initiate the buy trade if the trend changes and stop loss 7553 hits then close the
option trade, future long trade and enter the fresh trade in nifty future short and 7600 call long.
If your trade is with the option hedge and future has reached the stop loss, then do not quit
the trade in hurry better wait for conclusive price crossover of 0.382 retracement or for the
closing session 3:15 to 3:30 then decide.
You can also implement any other option strategy by the way of writing the options to
protect the future trade. Get our complete option course to learn options.

Note: I am using the call long simple option strategy to demonstrate hedging principle in trade.
However, you can write the option also and do any complex strategy to protect the trade.

Bank nifty 1 SD levels

Date: 08 April 2016 Bank nifty trend report for the week (11th to 15th April 2016)

1sdprice range
Bank nifty
0.236
0.382
0.5
0.618
0.786
0.888
1.236
1.618

427.936
15670
Bank nifty Trend expectation
101
15771
163.5
15833.5
214
15884
264.5
15934.5
336.4
16006.4
380
16050
528.9
16198.9
692.4
16362.4

15569.00718
15506.52857
15456.03216
15405.53575
15333.64256
15289.99312
15141.0715
14977.60008

What trade decision one trader should take? Buy above 15833 with stop loss 15506 for
initial target 15934. Use the 15800 put option buy with long future or 16300 call option sell with
long future to hedge the trade. If you sell it at 15506 hedge it with 15800 call or sell 15000 put
option. Since 0.236 price giving triggering in bank nifty because of its high base value I am changing
the entry point to 0.382 price point.

Performance of My 1st week view for April 2016 (i.e. 4th to 8th April 2016)
Nifty future: 04th April nifty given the uptrend breakout at 7785, hence long nifty trade initiated at
7785 with 7700 put option long hedge at 90. 05th April at 11 a.m. nifty future hit the stop loss 7715, at
that time the 7700 put option at 119.85. Net loss= 70 point in future + profit 30 point in
option=40*75=Rs3000 loss in the long trade.
As per our method one must enter the future short at 7715 with 7800 call long at 83.35. Nifty
successfully touched the 7621 trailing with the option at 51.20 Net profit = 94 point in future -32.15
in option=4600 profit
Bank nifty future: As per the report 16064 sell entry given 5th April at 11:04, 16000 call option at 421,
taking the last trade price as reference 16000 call at 235 and future at 15707.
Net profit = 357-186=171*30=5130
6th and 07 April this profit increased because of bank nifty fall below 15662 and touched low
15505, nifty fall below the 7572.

Performance of My 5th

week view for March 2016 (i.e. 28th to 31st march)

How the nifty and bank nifty trend levels using 1SD given to you on 23 rd march 2016 worked on 28th
March?
Nifty future opened at 7715 and made high 7730 at 9:22 and given the downtrend breakout 7704 at 11 a.m.
As per the trend report sell future at 7704 and 7700 call option at 45.30 at 11 a.m. achieved the 0.888 target
7634 on trailing basis at 2:36 same time the 7700 call option was trading at 18.55
Profit and loss analysis: Future profit 7704-7634= 70 , option loss 45.30-18.55=26.75, Net profit 7026.75=43.25*75=3243.75
Bank nifty future open at 15884, given downtrend breakout of 15803 at 1:49 p.m. 15800 call option at that time
was 95.50, as per trend report one must sell future and buy call option to hedge it.
Profit and loss analysis: At 2:22 bank nifty future give 0.888 target 15642 on trailing basis and 15800 call option
at 74.80, future profit 161, option loss 20.7 Net profit =140.30*30=4209
Trend report given to you on 23rd march the performance is analysed on 28th post market hour. This is
the best proof we can create for you to validate the success of 1SD method.
Look at 29th march 2016 nifty future low 7597.50, our last but one (i.e. 1.236) down side target for nifty future
for the week was 7596.36. Days high 7674.90 was close near to 0.5 retracement target of the down trend 7676.
Similar experience you can get in bank nifty trend also.
Conclusion: If you look the daily price point in the chart and compare with the weekly levels we have given, you
will find our calculated point worked as point of pressure some time and point of revival some time.

Refer the past performance of the 1SD weekly trend calculation (from September 2015 to
March 2016)
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will power to trust this concept and use it.