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ABSTRACT
KEYWORDS
Documenting the disposition effect for a large sample of mutual fund managers in the United
States, we nd that stock-level characteristics explain the cross-sectional variation of the effect. The
disposition effect, which is the tendency to sell winner stocks too early and hold on to loser stocks
for too long, is more pronounced for fund managers who invest in stocks that are more difcult to
value. Using different measures of stock and market uncertainty, we show that mutual fund
managers display a stronger disposition-driven behavior when stocks are more difcult to value. We
also nd that the level of the disposition effect is monotonically increasing with the level of
systematic risk (i.e., beta). In addition, we document that the trading behavior of mutual fund
managers is partly driven by attention-grabbing stocks (dividend-paying stocks). Overall, our results
suggest that stock-level uncertainty and trading of attention-grabbing stocks amplify the
disposition effect and that differences in the effect can be explained by mutual fund managers
investment styles. Given that mutual funds hold a large fraction of the U.S. equity market, our
ndings add to the ongoing discussion whether professional investors can create stock mispricings
and shed new light on market efciency.
Introduction
More than $11.6 trillion are invested in equity mutual
funds in 20121, and despite the growing number of index
funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the vast majority of funds remains actively managed. However,
research has consistently shown that on average actively
managed portfolios do not outperform their benchmarks2. Lately, the presence of the disposition effect
among mutual fund managers has been put forward as a
major behavioral-based cause for underperformance
(e.g., Singal and Xu [2011], Scherbina and Jin [2011],
Cici [2010]). The disposition effect refers to the tendency
of investors to prefer holding on to loser stocks rather
than selling their winner stocks. It is based on key features of mental accounting (Thaler [1985]) and prospect
theory (Kahneman and Tversky [1979]). Our focus is on
the analysis of the disposition effect and how stockrelated characteristics inuence the magnitude of the
documented behavioral bias.
The goal of this paper is twofold. First, we analyze to
what extend the disposition effect is present among U.S.
equity mutual fund managers and whether the effect is
more prominent among certain stock holdings. We shed
new light on the question whether professional investors
behave rationally or whether they show signs of irrationality. Specically, we examine under which circumstances the disposition effect is evident among a sample of
actively managed, U.S. mutual fund managers from 1980
to 2010. While extensive research exists on the behavior
of individual investors, there is rather little and mixed
evidence on the effect of biased behavior among mutual
fund managers. It is questionable why the disposition
effect persists since merely pointing out any sort of bias
should cause investors to adjust their behavior and to
make them disappear.
Second, we test the hypothesis whether the cross-sectional variation in the magnitude of the disposition effect
can be explained by differences in investment styles. Previous studies focus on the stock-picking abilities of topperforming mutual fund managers: positive alphas suggest that the respective fund manager has skills (e.g.,
Wermers [2000], Kacperczyk, Sialm, and Zheng [2008]).
However, specic characteristics of the stock holdings of
fund managers and why some managers hold top-performing while other hold underperforming stocks have
not been fully explored yet. We look at the relationship
between the disposition effect and various stock characteristics. Furthermore, we analyze the relationship
100
S. WULFMEYER
101
Related literature
Since Shefrin and Statman [1985] showed that investors
tend to sell winner stocks too early and hold on to loser
stocks for too long (which they termed the disposition
effect), the effect was conrmed for a variety of investor
types, countries, and asset classes. For example, Odean
[1998], Grinblatt and Keloharju [2001], and Shapira and
Venezia [2001] show evidence of the disposition effect
affecting both inexperienced and sophisticated individual
investors in the United States (Locke and Mann [1999],
Coval and Shumway [2005], Odean [1998]), Finland
(Grinblatt and Keloharju [2001]), and Israel (Shapira
and Venezia [2001]), respectively. Evidence of disposition effects is also uncovered in other asset classes, such
as residential housing (Genesove and Mayer [2001]),
executive stock options (Heath, Huddart, and Lang
[1999]), and prediction markets (Hartzmark and Solomon [2012]). Among different explanations suggested
for the observed behavior, the disposition effect is attributed to key features of mental accounting (Thaler
[1985]) and prospect theory (Kahneman and Tversky
[1979]). People tend to value gains and losses relative to
a reference point (e.g., purchase price in Odean [1998]).
Prospect theory refers to a risk averse preference in the
domain of gains and risk seeking in the domain of losses
(both measured relative to a reference point). The main
idea of mental accounting is that investors set different
reference points for different accounts which determine
102
S. WULFMEYER
Data
Data sources and sample construction
The data used in this study come from four main sources: quarterly fund holdings data from Thomson Financial (previously known as CDA/Spectrum), monthly and
annual mutual fund characteristics from Center for
Research in Security Prices at the University of Chicago
(CRSP), daily and monthly stock return les from CRSP,
and monthly and annual accounting data from Compustat. We obtain our main fund sample by merging the
CRSP Survivorship Bias Free Mutual Fund Database
(CRSP MF, henceforth) and the Thomson Reuters
Mutual Fund Holdings database (TR, henceforth) using
MFLinks from Wharton Research Data Services
(WRDS). For each single fund, information about the
fund characteristics (e.g., sector, style, starting date, manager), performance information (e.g., returns, asset
under management, fees) is extracted from CRSP.
In addition to the fund characteristics from CRSP, we
extract holdings information from the TR database. The
TR database reports all changes in holdings as well as
holdings characteristics, that is, ticker symbol, permno
(CRSPs permanent stock issue identier), cusip (CRSPs
stock identier), and the price of each asset on a quarterly basis. The cusips are used to extract different
accounting information and trading statistics for each
stock from Compustat. The price for each stock is taken
at the date of reporting as well as at the end of each
month as in previous literature (e.g., Frazzini [2006],
Barber and Odean [2008]). Furthermore, we get daily
data from CRSP to calculate stock-related variables, for
example, stock volatilities, betas, market-to-book ratio,
and returns. Data on the annual book value of common
equity, cash ows, market capitalization, intangible
assets, earnings, dividend payments, PPE (property,
plant, and equipment), and total assets are retrieved
from Compustat. Information on analyst coverage is
downloaded from I/B/E/S.
103
Mean
Std. Dev
Min
Max
0
6.9078
0.10
0.3112
0.1600
1.99
0
0
0
0
0
0.0005
0
0
0.0051
0
0.8776
86
11.5998
580 394.60
0.5097
411.6600
54.03
1
1
1
1
0.0345
0.0100
0.1360
0.0600
0.4845
29.5200
4.0476
104
S. WULFMEYER
Sample characteristics
Table 1 presents the summary statistics for the 2,605
funds in our sample for the time period 19802010. The
sample consists of 2,605 funds and 75,545 fund-year
observations. Our sample starts in 1980 with 8 funds and
consists of 1,185 funds in 2010. Monthly total net assets
increase from an average of $227 million in 1980 to
$720 million in 2010. The average fund in our sample is
around 13 years in business with an average fund size of
$ 4 billion. The turnover ratio at the beginning of the
sample period is 77%, which is equal to a holding period
of 1.5 years. While there is signicant variation in the
expense ratio over time, the mean turnover for the whole
sample period is 86%, implying a holding period of
1.2 years. The turnover gures are comparable to those
reported in prior research of between 85% and 100%
(e.g., Singal and Xu [2011], Cici [2010], Kacperczyk,
Sialm, and Zheng [2008]). The expense ratio was 1.26%
in 1980 and increased over time to 1.3% in 2010. The
highest expense ratio was 1.8% in 1985, and the lowest
expense ratio was documented at 0.7% in 1996. Over the
last 30 years, the average mutual fund had a return of
0.82%, with the highest return of 13.1% in 1991. We
document that the average fund charges a front load of
0.6%, paid upfront by the fund investors. The average
rear load is 0.3%, which is charged when withdrawing
the money from the respective fund.
Most of the funds are managed by teams with an average experience of a fund manager of 10 years. We also
report whether a fund is taken over by a new fund manager (dened as three years or less at a specic fund); we
nd that only 3% of the funds are managed by new fund
managers. We also look at a funds capacity which is a
dummy variable equal to one if the fund is open to new
investors and zero otherwise. We nd that mutual funds
are on average open to investors (89%) and that only
around 10% of the funds are closed.
We also look at the summary statistics for the number
of shares and the value of trades in our sample. Table 2
shows the trade statistics for the 2,605 mutual funds in
our nal sample. The fund managers purchased about
180,000 stocks and sold 195,000 stocks during the
Table 2. Statistics of Trading Activity
Variable
Buy
Sell
Total
Methodology
We calculate the disposition effect following the method
of Odean [1998] in order to determine how quickly fund
managers realize capital gains as well as capital losses.
We measure the extent to which mutual fund managers
behavior exhibits the disposition effect by the disposition
spread. To determine the disposition effect we use stock
holdings information of mutual funds as well as the
weighted average purchase price. For any given investor,
the proportion of all potential realized gains (PGR) and
realized losses (PLR) is calculated and compared to paper
gains and losses, respectively.
Our research design is implemented as follows: each
quarter that a sale takes place, the selling price is compared to a reference price in order to determine whether
the sale is a realized gain or loss. In order to determine
the reference price, one has to be clear about which cost
basis to use. In our paper, the reference price is the historical weighted average purchase price (WAPP), which
is updated each time a buy transaction takes place4.
Using the WAPP as reference price is based on the
assumption that fund managers regularly update their
reference points after each (net) purchase. The WAPP
for stock i hold by fund x on a day t is calculated as
follows
WAPPi;x;t D SharePrci;t SharesBuyi;t
C WAPPi;x;t 1 SharesHeld i;x;t 1
6 .Shares Held/i;x;t
(1)
Mean
Std. Dev
Min
Max
1780 987
1940 623
3730 610
1080 095
1010 170
917
5290 138
5470 238
5480 693
1
53.5E C 07
53.5E C 07
26.9EC07
1
26.9EC07
This table reports the summary statistics for the number of shares during the
sample period from 1980 to 2010 traded per quarter. The table shows the
number of purchases and the number of sales as well as total trades. Purchases are dened as changes in holdings which are larger than zero. A sale
is dened as a change in stock holdings being equal or smaller than zero.
Variable
Buy
Sell
Total
Mean
Std. Dev
Min
Max
1780 987
1940 623
3730 610
20 9690 60
1010 170
1580 336
0 1.3EC07
5470 238
1.96EC07
1
5.3EC07
5.6EC09
5.76EC08
1
5.76EC8
This table reports the summary statistics for the value of purchases and sales
in dollars traded during the sample period from 1980 to 2010 in the
reported holdings of U.S. equity mutual funds. Purchases are dened as
changes in holdings which are larger than zero. A sale is dened as a
change in stock holdings being equal or smaller than zero.
realized gainsi;t
realized gainsi;t C paper gainsi;t
realized lossesi;t
PLRi;t D
realized gainsi;t C paper gainsi;t
(2)
(3)
We further calculate the disposition spread as difference between proportion of gains realized and the proportion of losses realized by a mutual fund in a given
period (e.g., Dhar and Zhu [2006], Frazzini [2006],
Goetzmann and Massa [2008], Kumar [2009], Odean
[1998], Ringov [2012]).
DSi;t D PGRi;t PLRi;t
(4)
105
disposition effect exhibited by the respective fund manager or team of fund managers. We measure the average
quarterly disposition effect for each fund by aggregating
the number of gains and losses by each fund and taking
the average (see Chiang and Huang [2010]). The annual
disposition effect (which is used in the regression settings)
is calculated as the average of the four quarters of each
year.
Empirical analysis
Disposition effect
Level of the disposition effect
In this section, we look at the disposition spread calculated as the proportion of realized gains (PGR) minus
the proportion of realized losses (PLR). The disposition
spread of all funds in our sample for the entire sample
period from 1980 to 2010 is shown in Panel A of Table 4.
Results are based on the assumption that trades happen
sometime during the quarter and hence, averages of daily
stock prices during the respective quarter are used. The
PGR, PLR and disposition spread measures are rst
Table 4. Disposition EffectSummary Statistics
Panel A
Period
19801989
19901999
20002010
Total
N
810 186
5090 541
10 2560 718
10 8470 445
Period
N
Non-crisis 10 0500 130
Crisis
7970 315
Total
10 8470 445
0.0464
0.0448
0.0370
0.0396
Panel B
% of funds Mean
56.84
0.0396
43.16
0.0395
100
0.0396
p50
p75
0.0053
0.0064
0.0084
0.0086
0.0441
0.0414
0.0324
0.0348
0.0454
0.0444
0.0371
0.0399
0.0474
0.0469
0.0422
0.0449
Std. Dev
0.0084
0.0088
0.0086
p25
0.0353
0.0342
0.0348
p50
0.0400
0.0397
0.0399
p75
0.0450
0.0448
0.0449
Panel A of this table reports the disposition effect. It reports the number of
observations (N), the percentage of funds, mean, median, the 25th and 75th
percentiles as well as the standard deviation (Sd) of the disposition effect
for the whole period and for different subperiods 19801989, 19901999
and 20002010. The disposition effect is calculated as the proportion of
gains realized minus the proportion of losses realized. The proportion of
gains realized (PGR) is dened as the ratio of realized gains to the sum of
realized and unrealized gains. Accordingly, the proportion of losses realized
(PLR) is measured as the ratio of realized losses to the sum of realized and
unrealized losses. The table displays the absolute share numbers for all
funds in our sample. The underlying assumption for the calculation of (capital) gains and losses is that mutual fund managers rst sell those stocks with
the highest cost basis (HIFO method). PGR, PLR and DS are calculated on a
quarterly and on fund level basis. The numbers are calculated in a two-step
process: rst, the mean PGR, PLR, and DS for each fund is calculated for all
quarters in which the fund has valid data, and second, the mean PGR, PLR
and DS across all funds are averaged. We show results for all four quarters
measured in number of trades. Panel B reports the disposition results for
crisis and noncrisis periods. We dene the following crisis times: the US
recessions from 1980 to 1982 and from 1990 to 1992, the Asian crisis of
1997, the Russian crisis 1998 and the collapse of Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) in 1998, the Dot-com bubble from 2000 to 2001 and the
recent nancial crisis from 2007 to 2009. We report the level of the disposition effect, the number of observations (N) and the percentage of funds.
106
S. WULFMEYER
107
Min
Max
870 066
870 066
870 066
870 066
870 066
870 066
870 048
870 066
870 066
0.5233
0.7349
176.75
13.11
193.42
0.0232
0.4480
0.1014
0.5207
0.9893
2.6857
784.49
35.95
790.23
0.3279
0.4973
0.1599
0.4183
64.8035
282.8433
0.05
2094.79
0.05
0.0019
0
0.0053
0
6.3293
54.3558
23115.20
1107.91
18386.25
15.5973
1
0.9970
6.8626
1630 628
1630 628
1630 628
1630 628
1630 628
1630 628
1630 628
1.41
12.25
0.2072
6.32
0.05
0.37
0.0874
6.59
1.80
0.2125
22.68
0.22
2.60
0.0474
0
5.48
3.5945
0.01
0
0
0.3282
172.00
18.96
10.6995
1834.38
10.80
300.00
0.3560
108
S. WULFMEYER
Table 6. Sorting Results: Stock Characteristics of Mutual Fund Holdings in Different Disposition Spread Deciles
Disposition
decile
Disposition
spread
Market
capitalization
Firm
size
Stock
turnover
Intangible
assets
Book-tomarket ratio
Earnings-per-share
Priceearnings ratio
Dividend
yield
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
t-statistics
0.0335
0.0362
0.0371
0.0379
0.0385
0.0391
0.0398
0.0406
0.0427
0.0457
4.53
5.76
5.25
5.95
3.68
7.98
13.50
20.20
3.73
1.57
102.74
14.10
14.27
14.33
14.15
14.29
14.62
15.25
15.15
13.66
13.13
196.14
11.37
10.57
9.90
8.50
8.53
7.68
7.02
6.33
6.08
5.96
133.11
0.1977
0.1954
0.2023
0.1494
0.1636
0.1622
0.1482
0.1170
0.1133
0.0979
88.89
0.45
0.42
0.45
0.44
0.43
0.44
0.42
0.41
0.53
0.57
18.65
1.31
1.41
1.38
1.21
1.46
1.59
1.77
1.71
1.17
0.76
38.96
17.94
21.35
17.58
19.15
15.65
20.22
23.93
20.56
13.75
22.01
16.12
0.0249
0.0164
0.0190
0.0105
0.0145
0.0339
0.0333
0.0359
0.0189
0.0139
15.57
The table contains the averages of different characteristics of the mutual fund stock holdings by disposition spread deciles. The disposition effect deciles are calculated over the whole sample period from 1980 to 2010. Decile one contains the funds with the lowest disposition spread, whereas decile 10 included funds
with the largest disposition spread. In this table, a fund can only be counted once; if the database contains more than one report for the respective mutual fund,
we calculate the average disposition spread and the average stock characteristics across time. Market capitalization is reported in millions of dollars. Firm size is
dened as the natural log of market capitalization (in millions), which is calculated as the number of shares outstanding (shrout) times price. Stock turnover is
the ratio of the number of shares traded and shares outstanding. The variable intangible assets is the ratio of intangible assets to total assets. Book-to-market
ratio is calculated as the book value divided by the current market price. Earnings per share is net income divided by common shares outstanding. Price-earnings ratio is the stock price divided by earnings (net income). The reported t-statistics show the signicance of the difference between the rst and tenth deciles
for the respective variable.
(5)
109
Model 2
Model 3
0.0401
0.0397
0.0392
(90.09)
(88.86)
(88.03)
Book-to-market ratio 0.0011
(29.73)
Price-earnings ratio 0.0000
(16.72)
Earnings-per-share
0.0000
(7.77)
PPE
0.0001
(5.23)
Intangible assets
0.0003
(6.55)
Earnings volatility
0.0000
(11.75)
Cash ow volatility
0.0000
(11.33)
Dividend yield
0.0004
(8.60)
Dividend dummy
0.0005
(24.98)
950 278
950 277
N. of cases
950 278
R-squared
0.1201
0.1106
0.1164
Model 4
0.0398
(89.91)
0.0012
(31.70)
0.0000
(13.52)
0.0000
(0.53)
0.0000
(0.20)
0.0003
(6.19)
0.0000
(12.42)
0.0000
(4.95)
0.0007
(14.43)
0.0006
(27.27)
950 277
0.1298
This table reports the regression estimates where the disposition spread in a
given stock in a year is employed as dependent variable. The disposition
effect is rst calculated on a quarterly basis for each fund, secondly, aggregated to annual measures and thirdly, summarized for each stock in the
holdings of mutual funds during our sample period from 1980 to 2010. We
include the following accounting-related stock variables in our regressions:
book-to-market ratio, price-earnings ratio, earnings per share, property
plant and equipment in percentage of total assets, intangibles assets as percentage of total assets, earnings volatility, cash ow volatility, dividend yield
and a dividend dummy being equal to one if the stock is paying a dividend
and zero otherwise. Along with the coefcient estimates, R-squared values
and the number of observations are reported. All specications include
fund-level control variables lagged one period (fund age, fund size, expense
ratio, turnover ratio, fund capacity, returns). All specications include year
and fund xed effects. t-statistics are shown in parenthesis.
denotes 1%,
denotes 5% and
denotes 10% signicance level, respectively.
110
S. WULFMEYER
Model 2
Model 3
Model 4
0.0364
0.0359
0.0358
0.0349
(17.61)
(17.58)
(17.57)
(17.07)
0.0001
Firm size
0.0001
(9.9)
(6.78)
0.0000
Stock turnover
0.0000
(18.54)
(11.81)
0.0006
Stock return
0.0009
(11.02)
(0.65)
0.0044
Market return
0.0178
(48.35)
(1.25)
0.0019
Stock return volatility
0.0010
(11.43)
(1.99)
Market return volatility
0.0181 0.0123
(48.7)
(3.43)
1260 593 1260 593
1260 593
N. of cases
1260 593
R-squared
0.0574
0.0758
0.0761
0.0775
Stock-level DE
This table reports the regression estimates where the disposition spread in a
given stock in a year is employed as dependent variable. The disposition
effect is rst calculated on a quarterly basis for each fund; second, aggregated to annual measures; and third, summarized for each stock in the
holdings of mutual funds during our sample period from 1980 to 2010. We
include market capitalization, rm size, turnover, stock return, return volatility, market return (S&P 500), and market return volatility as stock characteristics. Along with the coefcient estimates, R-squared values and the
number of observations are reported. All specications include fund-level
control variables lagged one period (fund age, fund size, expense ratio,
turnover ratio, fund capacity, returns). All specications include year and
fund xed effects. t-statistics are shown in parenthesis.
denotes 1%,
denotes 5% and
denotes 10% signicance level, respectively.
111
112
S. WULFMEYER
113
Figure 1. Valuation uncertainty and the Disposition Effect. Figures (a) and (b) show the mean stock-level disposition effect (PGR PLR)
for the different idiosyncratic volatility deciles. PGR is the proportion of gains realized, and it is dened as the ratio of the number of
realized winner positions and the total number of winners (realized and paper gains). PLR is the proportion of losses realized and is
dened analogously. The idiosyncratic volatility for each stock is estimated each year using daily return time series. Figure (a) displays
the average annual stock-level disposition effect for each of the ten idiosyncratic volatility deciles. Figure (b) shows the sorting results
for the annual stock-level disposition effect estimates for the top three (harder-to-value stocks) and bottom three (easier-to-value
stocks) idiosyncratic volatility deciles.
(6)
where valuation uncertainty is the idiosyncratic volatility, and stock characteristics are book-to market ratio, P/
E ratio, EPS, PPE in percentage of total assets, intangibles
assets as percentage of total assets, earnings volatility,
cash ow volatility, dividend yield, and a dividend
dummy being equal to one if the stock is paying a
114
S. WULFMEYER
Stock-level DE
Idiosyncratic volatility
Beta
Model 1
Model 2
Model 3
Model 4
Model 5
0.0396
(251.87)
0.0018
(89.27)
0.0035
(40.76)
0.0393
(250.21)
0.0018
(90.01)
0.0033
(38.84)
0.0001
(7.16)
0.0000
(40.6)
0.0000
(1.49)
0.0000
(1.56)
0.0002
(7.84)
0.0395
(251.92)
0.0018
(87.15)
0.0034
(39.63)
0.0392
(251.12)
0.0015
(73.28)
0.0034
(39.90)
0.0390
(250.36)
0.0016
(78.96)
0.0032
(37.93)
0.0001
(4.42)
0.0000
(39.75)
0.0000
(18.52)
0.0001
(6.91)
0.0002
(10.29)
0.0000
(21.96)
0.0000
(25.96)
0.0008
(17.89)
0.0005
(62.84)
3110 214
0.2515
Book-to-market ratio
Price-earnings ratio
Earnings-per-share
PPE
Intangible assets
Earnings volatility
Cash ow volatility
0.0000
(30.84)
0.0000
(25.99)
Dividend yield
Dividend dummy
N. of cases
R-squared
3110 254
0.2333
3110 254
0.2377
3110 254
0.2364
0.0005
(20.9)
0.0005
(61.1)
3110 214
0.2449
This table reports the results of the regression analysis of the annual stock-level disposition effect (stock-level DE) and valuation uncertainty. We measure valuation uncertainty as the idiosyncratic volatility which is calculated as the variance of the residuals obtained by tting a one-factor model to the stock return time
series. The idiosyncratic volatility measure for each stock is estimated each year by using daily stock data. In addition, we include the following stock characteristics as control variables: beta, book-to-market ratio, price-earnings ratio, earnings per share, property, plant and equipment to total assets ratio, the ratio of
intangible assets to total assets, earnings volatility, cash ow volatility, dividend yield and the dividend dummy. We further control for possible differences in
fund characteristics by including one year lagged fund-related variables: fund size, expense ratio, turnover ratio, fund capacity and lagged returns. t-statistics are
shown in parenthesis.
denotes 1%,
denotes 5% and
denotes 10% signicance level, respectively.
115
116
S. WULFMEYER
(7)
where valuation uncertainty is the idiosyncratic volatility, and stock characteristics are book-to market ratio, P/
E ratio, EPS, PPE in percentage of total assets, intangibles
assets as percentage of total assets, earnings volatility,
cash ow volatility, dividend yield, and a dividend
dummy being equal to one if the stock is paying a dividend and zero otherwise (for the denition of these variables please refer to Appendix B Tables B.3).
Regression results including year- and fund-xed
effects are reported in Table 10. We further control
for possible differences in fund characteristics by
including the following fund-related variables such as
fund size, expense ratio, turnover ratio, fund capacity,
and returns. All control variables are lagged one year.
In all regression specications, we nd that beta has a
signicant positive inuence on the level of the disposition effect (coefcients of 0.0003 to 0.0034 with tstatistics of 3.77 to 39.86). We document a positive
relationship between the systematic risk of a stock
and the disposition bias, indicating that more biased
mutual fund managers tend to invest in stocks with
higher betas. The beta estimates of the regression
analysis conrm our graphical results of a monotonically increasing relationship between the disposition
effect and the systematic risk of traded stocks.
In Model 1 of Table 10, the only explanatory variable
that we employ is beta. We nd a positive, signicant
relationship (coefcient of 0.0003 with t-statistics of
5.76) between the systematic risk of a stock and the disposition bias while controlling for fund characteristics
and including year- and fund-xed effects.
In the second specication, we can conrm the positive relationship between the disposition bias and beta
while including book-to market ratio, P/E ratio, EPS,
and PPE in percentage of total assets as well as intangibles assets as percentage of total assets.
In the third model of Table 10 we include various additional risk measures, namely idiosyncratic volatility, earnings volatility and cash ow volatility. We nd that beta
be- comes more positive and highly signicant
117
118
S. WULFMEYER
Stock-level DE
Beta
Model 1
Model 2
Model 3
Model 4
Model 5
0.0388
(0.02)
0.0003
(5.76)
0.0384
(0.02)
0.0003
(5.31)
0.0000
(2.12)
0.0000
(34.72)
0.0001
(40.48)
0.0003
(31.05)
0.0002
(12.57)
0.0402
(76.8)
0.0034
(41.17)
0.0393
(0.01)
0.0002
(3.77)
0.0399
(77.04)
0.0034
(39.86)
0.0001
(6.42)
0.0000
(40.39)
0.0000
(15.66)
0.0001
(7.74)
0.0002
(9.34)
0.0015
(75.73)
0.0000
(21.28)
0.0000
(24.04)
0.0007
(16.14)
0.0006
(67.38)
3110 237
0.2799
Book-to-market ratio
Price-earnings ratio
Earnings-per-share
PPE
Intangible asstes
Idiosyncratic volatility
Earnings volatility
Cash ow volatility
0.0017
(84.95)
0.0000
(30.07)
0.0000
(24.32)
Dividend yield
Dividend dummy
N. of cases
R-squared
4920 274
0.1952
4920 274
0.2016
3110 237
0.2641
0.0008
(38.36)
0.0005
(79.74)
4920 032
0.2102
Estimates This table reports the results of the regression analysis of the annual stock-level disposition effect (stock-level DE) and betas estimated from a one-factor
model tted to the daily stock return series using the S&P 500 as market index. We include year- and fund-xed effects as control variables. We further control
for possible differences in fund characteristics by including the following fund-related variables: fund size, expense ratio, turnover ratio, fund capacity, and
returns. All variables are lagged one year. t-statistics are shown in parenthesis.
denotes 1%,
denotes 5% and
denotes 10% signicance level, respectively.
ndings by Kumar [2009] documenting that if fundamentals-based uncertainty is high, the disposition effect is
stronger.
In Model 4, we include the two dividend-related
measures. We document a positive beta as well as a positive relationship between the dividend measures and the
disposition bias. This means that more disposition-prone
fund managers invest in equities with a higher dividend
yield. When interpreting dividends as a signaling feature
of stocks, our results indicate that not only individual
investors but also professional investorslike mutual
fund managersare prone to trade attention-grabbing
stocks. A previous paper by Graham and Kumar [2006]
shows that dividends can be interpreted as a proxy for
attention-grabbing trading behavior of individual investors. Our results are in line with previous papers suggesting that attention-grabbing stocks amplify the
disposition effect.
In Model 5 of Table 10, we show that beta is also positive and highly signicant (co- efcient of 0.0034 with tstatistics of 39.86) including all stock-related variables.
Our results indicate that mutual fund managers with a
lower level of the observed behavioral bias tend to invest
in less risky assets. All stock-related variables are signicant when included in regression model 5. We can
conrm the positive relationship among the book-tomarket ratio, the P/E ratio, and the two dividend-related
measures.
In summary, our results show that less dispositionprone investors tend to invest in less risky equities.
Using graphical and regression-based approaches, we
nd a monotonically increasing relationship between
the level of the disposition effect and stock betas.
Ours results indicate that mutual fund managers who
are more prone to behavioral biases tend to hold
high-beta stocks in their portfolio. Investing in high
beta stocks which do not have as high returns as predicted by the CAPM, may be one reason why more
biased fund managers underperform compared to
their less biased counterparts.
119
Notes
1. Source: 2012 Investment Company Fact Book, Investment
Company Institute.
2. See Jensen [1986], Malkiel [1995], Daniel, Grinblatt, Titman, and Wermers [1997].
3. Details on the sample selection procedure can be found in
Appendix A.
4. The share weighted average of all reported purchases is
taken as the weighted average purchase price.
5. Previous papers (e.g., Cici [2010]) analyzed differences in
the assumptions about when a trade takes place (at the
beginning, during or at the end of a quarter). The results
indicate that variations in assumptions about the timing
of a trade do not change the results with respect to the
presence of the disposition effect.
6. Nevertheless, the majority of mutual funds reported their
holdings on a quarterly basis to Thomson prior to June
2005
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Appendix
121
(reporting date). Besides the quarterly frequency of holding reports, a further limitation is that short positions
are unobserved. Also, assumptions about holding returns
and trade timing have to be made. In addition, fdate is
reported referring to the actual date for which the holdings are valid. We follow standard practice and limit our
sample of holdings to those observations where the fdate
is equal or larger than the rdate to avoid the use of stale
data in our analysis (Pool, Stoffman, and Yonker [2012]).
Since we are interested in the domestic portion of
funds portfolios, we remove holdings in rms headquartered outside the United States. We further limit our
analysis to actively-managed equity funds and thereby
exclude index funds, international funds and funds
focused on bonds, governments, real estate investment
trusts, convertible debt, precious metals, and other asset
classes as these types of funds generally hold and trade in
very small quantities of domestic equity. In detail, during
each quarter, we include only mutual funds having a
self-declared investment objective of aggressive growth,
growth, and growth and income, income, at the beginning of each quarter. As CRSP MF provides one observation per period for each share class of each mutual fund
we use the unique wcn (Wharton Financial Institution
Center Number) fund number for aggregation of fund
data across share classes into one observation per fundyear. We calculate weighted-averages using the total net
assets of each class as weight for characteristics that vary
across fund share classes such as returns and expense
ratios. For the total net assets of a fund, we measure the
sum of the total net assets of all the classes of that fund.
We merge the TR database with the CRSP MF database using WRDSs MFLinks, a table which links Thomsons fund identier with those of the CRSP MF
database. Approximately 92% of the target universe is
matched. The unlinked U.S. equity funds are mainly
small, defunct funds where accurate information for a
proper linking procedure is not available. In addition,
fairly new funds are also less likely to be linked since
they are not yet documented in the TR MF database.
We base the selection of our sample on varies ltering
methods which are also applied in previous similar studies (e.g., Kacperczyk, Sialm, and Zheng [2008], Pool et al.
[2012]). We eliminate all balanced, bond, money market,
sector and international funds, as well as funds which
are not primarily invested in equities. In detail, we use
the classication information from Lipper, Strategic
Insight, Wiesenberger Objective and the variable policy.
The following Lipper classication codes are used to
determine the funds as equity: LCCE, LCGE, LCVE,
MLCE, MLGE, MLVE, SCCE, SCGE, SCVE, MCCE,
MCGE, or MCVE. Further, funds are also dened as
equity if they have AGG, GMC, GRI, GRO, ING, or SCG
122
S. WULFMEYER
TNACRSP TNATR
TNACRSP
(8)
123
Volume
12b-1 fees
Expense ratio
Front load
Fund age
Fund costs
Fund size
Funds capacity
Funds trading strategy
Managers experience
New manager
Rear load
Team-managed
Data source
Time period
COMPUSTAT
COMPUSTAT
Monthly
Monthly
CRSP
Daily
COMPUSTAT
Monthly
COMPUSTAT
COMPUSTAT
CRSP
Monthly
Monthly
Daily
CRSP
Daily
CRSP
Daily
COMPUSTAT
COMPUSTAT
Monthly
Monthly
CRSP
CRSP
CRSP
COMPUSTAT
COMPUSTAT
CRSP
Daily
Daily
Daily
Monthly
Monthly
Daily
CRSP
CRSP
CRSP
Daily
Daily
Daily