UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO SCARBOROUGH

Department of Computer and Mathematical Sciences

DECEMBER 2013 SAMPLE EXAM
STAC50H3: Data Collection
Duration: 3 hours
Last Name:

First Name:

Student number:
Aids allowed:
- Class notes/Lecture slides
- A calculator (No phone calculators are allowed)
No other aids are allowed. For example you are not allowed to have any textbook or past
exams.
All your work must be presented clearly in order to get credit. Answer alone (even though
correct) will only qualify for ZERO credit. Please show your work in the space provided;
you may use the back of the pages, if necessary but you MUST remain organized.

t , F and Studentized range distribution tables are attached at the end.

Before you begin, complete the signature sheet, but sign it only when the invigilator collects
it. The signature sheet shows that you were present at the exam.
There are 8 pages including this page and statistical tables. Please check to see you have all
the pages.
Good luck!!
Question:

Total

Points:

10

24

10

15

15

79

Score:

Page 2 of 8
1. (5 points) The ANOVA table for a single-factor design (i.e. one-way ANOVA) is shown
below. Fill in the blanks.
Source
Factor
Error
Total

DF
3
?
19

SS
36.15
?
196.04

MS
?
?

F
?

Solution:
Source DF SS
MS F
Factor 3 36.15 12.05 1.21
Error 16 159.89 9.99
Total 19 196.04
2. (10 points) A manufacturer of television sets was interested in the effect of tube conductivity of four different types of coating for color picture tubes. A completely randomized
experiment was conducted with five observations for each type and the observed mean
for each type is given below.

Variable
Conductivity

Coating
Type
1
2
3
4

Mean
145.00
146.20
131.20
129.40

The 95% confidence interval for the difference between the means of coating type 1 and
coating type 2 using Fishers method is (-4.4, 6.8). Use Tukeys test to compare all
pairs of means. Note for = 0.05, q(4, 16, 1 ) = 4.05.

6.8(4.4)
2

5.6
5.6
Solution: M E =
= 5.6 and 2MnSE = tdf
= 2.12
= 2.6 and
=204=16,0.025
Error
(with n = 5, M SE
q 17 but you dont need M SE in this question ) and Tukeys
q(a,dfError )
2M SE

2.6 7.45 
HSD =
= q(4,16)
2.6 = 4.05
n
2
2
2
Here are some computer outputs (NOT R) to check these calculations:

One-way ANOVA: Conductivity versus Coating Type

Page 3 of 8

Source
Coating Type
Error
Total

DF
3
16
19

SS
1182.1
276.8
1458.9

MS
394.0
17.3

F
22.78

P
0.000

Fisher 95% Individual Confidence Intervals

All Pairwise Comparisons among Levels of Coating Type
Simultaneous confidence level = 81.11%

Coating Type = 1 subtracted from:

Coating
Type
2
3
4

Lower
-4.377
-19.377
-21.177

Center
1.200
-13.800
-15.600

Upper
6.777
-8.223
-10.023

Tukey 95% Simultaneous Confidence Intervals

All Pairwise Comparisons among Levels of Coating Type
Individual confidence level = 98.87%
Coating Type = 1 subtracted from:
Coating
Type
2
3
4

Lower
-6.333
-21.333
-23.133

Center
1.200
-13.800
-15.600

Upper
8.733
-6.267
-8.067

3. In order to compare three teaching methods (method 1, method 2 and method 3) a

researcher selected a simple random sample of 80 students from a large population of
students and 25 of them selected at random were taught by method 1, 30 students
selected at random from the remaining students were taught by method 2 and the
remaining 25 students were taught by method 3. A test was given at the end of the
program and the grades were analyzed and the information below was found from this
analysis. n1 = 25, n2 = 30, n3 = 25, y1 = 65.12, y2 = 59.93, y3 = 66.84, y = 63.71,
s1 = 13.26, s2 = 11.61, s3 = 9.76.
Question 3 continues on the next page. . .

Page 4 of 8
Analysis of Variance Table
Response: Grade
Df Sum Sq Mean Sq F value Pr(>F)
Method
2
722.5 361.26 2.6691 0.07572
Residuals 77 10421.9 135.35
(a) (4 points) Test whether the teaching method has an effect. That is test whether
the three populations have the same mean. Use = 0.10.
(b) (4 points) Calculate a 90 percent confidence interval for 1 .
(c) (4 points) Calculate a 90 percent confidence interval for 1 2 .
(d) (4 points) Calculate a 90 percent confidence interval for 0.51 + 0.52 3
(e) (4 points) Use Bonferronis method to perform all pairwise comparisons between
treatment means.
(f) (4 points) Use Scheffes method to test H0 : 1 = 2 against H0 : 1 6= 2 . Use
= 0.05.
4. (10 points) A chemist wishes to test the effect of four chemical agents on the strength of
a particular type of cloth. Because there might be variability from one bolt to another,
the chemist decides to use a randomized block design, with the bolts of cloth considered
as blocks. She selects five bolts and applies all four chemicals in random order to each
bolt. The resulting tensile strengths follow. Analyze the data from this experiment
(use = 0.05) and test whether the effect of four chemical agents on the strength is
significant.
Bolt
Chemical 1 2 3
1
73 68
2
73 67
3
75 68
4
73 71

4 5
74 71
75 72
78 73
75 75

67
70
68
69

Solution:
Analysis of variance table
Sum of Mean F
Source
Squares DF Square Value Prob > F
Block
157.00 4 39.25
A
12.95
3 4.32 2.38 0.1211
Residual 21.80 12 1.82
Cor Total 191.75 19

Page 5 of 8
5. (15 points) (Montgomery)The yield of a chemical process is being studied. The two most
important variables are thought to be the pressure and the temperature. Three levels
of each factor are selected, and a factorial experiment with two replicates is performed.
The data from this study are given below:
Temperature
150
160
170

Pressure
200 215 230
90.4 90.7 90.2
90.2 90.6 90.4
90.1 90.5 89.9
90.3 90.6 90.1
90.5 90.8 90.4
90.7 90.9 90.1

Analyze the data and draw conclusions. (use = 0.05)

Solution: Analysis of variance table
Source
SS DF
MS
A
0.77
2 0.38
B
0.30
2 0.15
AB
0.069
4 0.017
Residual 0.16
9 0.018

F
p
21.59 0.0004
8.47 0.0085
0.97 0.4700

Interaction effect is not sig at the 5 percent level. Both the main factors of A and B
have significant effects.
6. Consider the population U = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} and the subsets U1 = {1, 2, 3} and U2 =
{7, 8, 9}. Assume that the numbers in these (i.e 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6) sets are also the
measurements on the individuals. A sampling plan is designed by the following steps:
Step 1: Select one of the subsets at random such that P (U1 ) = 1/3 and P (U2 ) = 2/3
Step 2: From the subset selected in spate 1, select a SRSWOR of two individuals.
(a) (10 points) Calculate the inclusion probabilities i for this design.
Solution:
P (1, 2) =
P (1, 3) =
P (2, 3) =
P (4, 5) =
P (4, 6) =
P (5, 6) =

1
3
1
3
1
3
2
3
2
3
2
3

1
3
1
3
1
3
1
3
1
3
1
3

=
=
=
=
=
=

1
9
1
9
1
9
2
9
2
9
2
9

Question 6 continues on the next page. . .

Page 6 of 8

1
2
3
4
5
6

=
=
=
=
=
=

1
9
1
9
1
9
2
9
2
9
2
9

+
+
+
+
+
+

1
9
1
9
1
9
2
9
2
9
2
9

=
=
=
=
=
=

2
,
9
2
,
9
2
,
9
4
,
9
4
,
9
4
,
9

(b) (5 points) Let Y denote the mean of a random sample selected from the sampling
design described above. Is Y an unbiased estimator of YU ? Justify your answer.
Solution: This question is similar to the question on unbiasedness in the midterm
test and so I leave this as an exercise.

END OF EXAM

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