Year

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Quarter
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4

Black
Plastic
demand
2250
1737
2412
7269
3514
2143
3459
7056
4120
2766
2556
8253
5491
4382
4315
12035
5648
3696
4843
13097

Time
period
2129.275 244.925
2386.2938 197.74375
Intercept

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9622246
R Square 0.9258762
Adjusted R 0.808013
Standard Er889.80665
Observation
16
ANOVA
df
Regression
5
Residual
11
Total
16

Clear
Plastic
demand
3200
7658
4420
2384
3654
8680
5695
1953
4742
13673
6640
2737
3486
13186
5448
3485
7728
16591
8236
3316

Q1
0
0

Time period

Q1

Q2

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0

0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0

Q2

Q3

Q4

-1331.675
-1148.1 4074.725
6831.00625 1384.7625 -1723.981

SS
MS
F
Significance F
8787517 21757503 34.350081745 5.51E-006
8709315 791755.88
7496832

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value
Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept
2129.275 564.95716 3.7689141 0.0031062342 885.81268 3372.7373
Time period 244.925 49.741704 4.9239366 0.0004540141 135.44425 354.40575
Q1
0
0
65535 Err:512
0
0

Q2
Q3
Q4

-1331.675 631.15147 -2.109913 Err:512

-2720.83 57.480019
-1148.1 637.00462 -1.802342 0.0989285098 -2550.138 253.93772
4074.725 646.64215
6.30136 5.82635E-005 2651.4752 5497.9748

Q3

Q4

0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0

0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1

Forecast
Black
Clear Plastic
Plastic
demand
demand
6293
5747.9375
5206.25 12776.6875
5634.75
7528.1875
11102.5
4617.1875

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.9433011
R Square
0.8898169
Adjusted R Squa0.7588413
Standard Error 1379.1308
Observations
16
ANOVA
df
SS
MS
Regression
5 68962155 33792431
Residual
11 20922018 1902002
Total
16
84173
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
885.81268 3372.7373
135.44425 354.40575
0
0

Intercept
Time period
Q1

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
2386.2938 875.63943 2.7252013
197.74375 77.095753 2.5649111
0
0
65535

-2720.83 57.480019
-2550.138 253.93772
2651.4752 5497.9748

Q2
Q3
Q4

6831.0063 978.23544 6.9829879

1384.7625 987.30737 1.4025647
-1723.981 1002.2448 -1.72012

F
Significance F
22.208466 4.06E-005

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
0.019747 459.02435 4313.5631 459.02435 4313.5631
0.0262876 28.057141 367.43036 28.057141 367.43036
Err:512
0
0
0
0

Err:512
4677.9246 8984.0879 4677.9246 8984.0879
0.1883339 -788.2864 3557.8114 -788.2864 3557.8114
0.1133819 -3929.907 481.94467 -3929.907 481.94467

Year

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2009

Quarter
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4

Black
Plastic
demand
2250
1737
2412
7269
3514
2143
3459
7056
4120
2766
2556
8253
5491
4382
4315
12035
5648
3696
4843
13097

Time
period
2107.4313 233.01875
2386.2938 197.74375
Intercept

Clear
Plastic
demand
3200
7658
4420
2384
3654
8680
5695
1953
4742
13673
6640
2737
3486
13186
5448
3485
7728
16591
8236
3316

Q1
0
0

Time period

Q1

Q2

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24

1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0

0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0

Q2

Q3

Q4

-1492.81875 -1153.638 4638.3438

6831.00625 1384.7625 -1723.981

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9606844
R Square 0.9229145
Adjusted R 0.8356917
Standard Er981.83542
Observation
20
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept

SS
MS
F
Significance F
5
124070 34624814 44.897284504 3.95E-008
15 14460012 964000.79
20 87584082

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value
Lower 95% Upper 95%
2107.4313 561.0762 3.7560517 0.0019071869 911.52563 3303.3369

Time period233.01875 38.810453 6.0040204 2.41505E-005

Q1
0
0
65535 Err:512
Q2
-1492.819 622.17889 -2.39934 Err:512
Q3
-1153.638 625.79974 -1.843461 0.0851084867
Q4
4638.3438 631.78839 7.3416096 2.43884E-006

150.29623
0
-2818.962
-2487.498
3291.7187

315.74127
0
-166.6758
180.22308
5984.9688

Q3

Q4

0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0

0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1

Forecast
Black
Clear Plastic
Plastic
demand
demand
6068.75
5747.9375
4808.95 12776.6875
5381.15
7528.1875
11406.15 4617.1875
7000.825
5741.025
6313.225
12338.23

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.9433011
R Square
0.8898169
Adjusted R Squa0.7588413
Standard Error 1379.1308
Observations
16
ANOVA
df
SS
MS
Regression
5 68962155 33792431
Residual
11 20922018 1902002
Total
16
84173

Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
911.52563 3303.3369

Intercept
Time period
Q1

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
2386.2938 875.63943 2.7252013
197.74375 77.095753 2.5649111
0
0
65535

150.29623
0
-2818.962
-2487.498
3291.7187

315.74127
0
-166.6758
180.22308
5984.9688

Q2
Q3
Q4

6831.0063 978.23544 6.9829879

1384.7625 987.30737 1.4025647
-1723.981 1002.2448 -1.72012

F
Significance F
22.208466 4.06E-005

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
0.019747 459.02435 4313.5631 459.02435 4313.5631
0.0262876 28.057141 367.43036 28.057141 367.43036
Err:512
0
0
0
0

Err:512
4677.9246 8984.0879 4677.9246 8984.0879
0.1883339 -788.2864 3557.8114 -788.2864 3557.8114
0.1133819 -3929.907 481.94467 -3929.907 481.94467