Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
DAILY
EXPIRY
R4
R3
R2
R1
PP
S1
S2
S3
S4
ALUMINIUM
31-SEP-2015
113
111
109
107
107
105
104
102
100
COPPER
31-SEP-2015
323
319
315
313
311
309
307
303
299
CRUDE OIL
19-SEP-2015
3201
3117
3033
3004
2949
2920
2865
2781
2697
32363
31858
31353
31137
30848
30632
30343
29838
29333
31-AUG-2015
136
134
132
131
129
128
127
125
122
199
195
191
189
187
185
183
179
175
GOLD
LEAD
05-OCT-2015
NICKEL
31-AUG-2015
693
685
677
673
669
665
661
653
645
SILVER
04-SEP-2015
49312
47812
46312
45324
44812
43824
43312
41812
40312
ZINC
31-AUG-2015
162
160
159
158
157
157
156
154
153
EXPIRY
R4
R3
R2
R1
PP
S1
S2
S3
S4
ALUMINIUM
31-AUG-2015
119
115
111
109
107
105
103
99
95
COPPER
31-AUG-2015
340
330
320
315
310
305
300
290
280
CRUDE OIL
19-AUG-2015
3918
3619
3320
3147
3021
2848
2722
2423
2124
GOLD
05-OCT-2015
32457
31924
31391
31155
30858
30622
30325
29792
29259
LEAD
31-AUG-2015
147
141
134
132
128
126
122
115
109
226
214
202
194
190
182
178
166
154
NICKEL
31-AUG-2015
738
713
688
679
663
654
638
613
588
SILVER
04-SEP-2015
51255
49014
46773
45504
44532
43263
42291
40050
37809
ZINC
31-AUG-2015
168
164
160
159
156
155
152
149
145
EXPIRY
SYOREFIDR
20-AUG-2015
R3
R2
R1
PP
S1
S2
S3
S4
684
672
660
656
648
644
636
624
612
SYBEANIDR
20-AUG-2015
3455
3407
3359
3341
3311
3293
3293
3215
3167
RMSEED
18-SEP-2015
4918
4843
4768
4742
4693
4667
4618
4543
4468
JEERAUNJHA
18-SEP-2015
18885 18595
18305
18170
17145
GUARSEED10
20-OCT-2015
3628
3577
3526
3505
3475
3454
3424
3373
3322
TMC
20-SEP-2015
7961
7633
7305
7087
6977
6759
6649
6321
5993
DATE
R4
EXPIRY
R4
R3
R2
R1
PP
S1
S2
S3
S4
SYOREFIDR
20-AUG-2015
700
682
664
658
646
640
628
610
692
SYBEANIDR
20-AUG-2015
3635
3526
3417
3369
3308
3260
3199
3090
2981
RMSEED
18-SEP-2015
5233
5040
4847
4781
4654
4588
4461
4268
4075
JEERAUNJHA
18-SEP-2015
19832 19187
18542
18288
15962
GUARSEED10
20-OCT-2015
3868
3727
3586
3535
3445
3394
3304
3163
3022
TMC
20-SEP-2015
9008
8366
7724
7296
7082
6654
6440
5798
5156
DATE
EXPIRY
R4
R3
R2
R1
PP
S1
S2
S3
S4
USDINR
29 AUG 2016
67.75
67.55
67.35
67.15
67
66.80
66.60
66.40
66.20
EURINR
29 AUG 2016
75.85
75.65
75.45
75.25
75.05
74.85
74.65
74.45
74.20
GBPINR
29 AUG 2016
89.80
89.60
89.40
89.20
89
88.80
88.60
88.40
88.20
JPYINR
29 AUG 2016
65.65
65.45
65.25
65.05
64.80
64.60
64.40
64.20
64
DATE
DAILY
EXPIRY
R4
R3
R2
R1
PP
S1
S2
S3
S4
USDINR
29 AUG 2016
68.10
67.80
67.50
67.20
66.90
66.60
66.30
66
65.70
EURINR
29 AUG 2016
76.20
75.90
75.60
75.30
75
74.70
74.40
74.10
73.80
GBPINR
29 AUG 2016
90.20
89.90
89.60
89.30
89
88.70
88.40
88.10
87.80
JPYINR
29 AUG 2016
66
65.70
65.40
65.10
64.90
64.70
64.50
64.30
64.10
DATE
INTERNATIONAL UPDATE
Oil futures edged up on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar backed off a two-week high hit the day before,
although doubts that crude producers would agree next month to an output freeze continued to drag
on prices. The U.S. dollar has retreated from Monday's peak as investors look ahead to jobs data
this week that Federal Reserve Vice Chair Stanley Fischer has said will be important to whether the
U.S. central bank raises interest rates soon. A weaker dollar makes oil purchases cheaper for buyers
using others currencies, potentially spurring demand. Yet doubts of agreement in talks on an output
freeze among members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries continues to
weigh on prices. "There's a feeling that the OPEC production freeze talks might result in something
positive, but it's just talk," Brent crude futures were trading at $49.38 per barrel at 0505 GMT, up
12 cents from their previous close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up 17 cents at $ 47.15
a barrel. Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih told Reuters last week he does not believe
an intervention in oil markets is necessary since the "market is moving in the right direction".This
was followed by the United Arab Emirates energy minister Suhail bin Mohammed al-Mazroui
saying OPEC's current share of the oil market is "at a good level". As well, Iraq - which increased
crude exports this month from its southern ports compared with July - will continue ramping up
output, its oil minister said on Saturday.
Gold gave up early gains in Asia on Tuesday as the dollar gained further and data sets from Japan
showed noted improvement as investors looked ahead to non farm payroll figures in the U.S. at the
end of the week for a clearer view of a possible Fed rate hike this year. Gold for December delivery
on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange fell 0.06% to $1,326.255 a troy
ounce. Silver futures on the Comex were nearly steady at $18.770 a troy ounce, while copper
futures gained 0.29% to $ 2.090 a pound. In Japan, household spending fell 0.05% in July year-onyear, less than the 0.9% decline expected, and gained 2.5% month-on-month, beating the 1.1%
increase seen. The unemployment rate fell to 3.0%, below the expected 3.1% level seen. Also in
Japan, retail sales dipped 0.2% in July month-on-month, compared with a 0.9% drop expected.
Overnight, gold prices held on to overnight losses in North American hours on Monday, trading at
five-week lows after senior Federal Reserve officials indicated a U.S. interest rate increase was on
the cards in the near term. Odds for an interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve in the coming
months spiked after Fed Chair Janet Yellen said Friday that the case for an increase was
strengthening, while Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer indicated a tightening is possible at the next
review in September.
Gold gained in Asia on Tuesday as investors looked ahead to nonfarm payroll figures in the U.S. at
the end of the week for a clearer view of a possible Fed rate hike this year. Gold for December
delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange edged up 0.07% to $
1,328.05 a troy ounce. Silver futures on the Comex rose 0.49% to $ 18.860 a troy ounce, while
copper futures gained 0.05% to $ 2.085 a pound. Overnight, gold prices held on to overnight losses
in North American hours on Monday, trading at five-week lows after senior Federal Reserve
officials indicated a U.S. interest rate increase was on the cards in the near term. Odds for an
interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve in the coming months spiked after Fed Chair Janet
Yellen said Friday that the case for an increase was strengthening, while Vice Chairman Stanley
Fischer indicated a tightening is possible at the next review in September.
Crude rebounded slightly in Asia on Tuesday as investors took advantage of a sharp overnight fall
ahead of U.S. industry estimates on stockpiles later in the day. Crude oil for October delivery on the
New York Mercantile Exchange edged up 0.06% to $ 47.01 a barrel. The American Petroleum
Institute will release its estimates of crude and refined product stock at the end of last week, while
the U.S. Department of Energy reports more closely-watched data on Wednesday. Overnight, oil
prices extended overnight losses during North American hours on Monday, falling almost 2% as a
broadly stronger U.S. dollar and fading hopes of a production freeze weighed on sentiment.
Meanwhile, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent oil for November delivery declined 74
cents, or 1.48%, to trade at $ 49.41 a barrel. Oil's losses came as the U.S. dollar climbed to a twoweek high following hawkish comments from two top Federal Reserve officials that hinted at a
potential U.S. interest rate hike as early as next month. Fed Chair Janet Yellen said Friday at a
gathering of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, that the case for an increase was
strengthening, while Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer indicated a tightening is possible at the next
review in September. An increase in U.S. interest rates tends to lift the dollar, which would make
oil more expensive for traders who conduct business in other currencies. Meanwhile, chances that
the upcoming meeting among major oil producers in late September would yield any action to
reduce the global glut appeared minimal after Iran said it would only cooperate in talks to freeze
output if fellow exporters recognized its right to fully regain market share.
U.S. natural gas futures rose for the seventh session in a row on Monday to hit the highest level in
eight weeks as forecasts for warmer than normal temperatures across most parts of the continental
U.S. in the days ahead boosted demand expectations for the cooling fuel. Natural gas for delivery in
October on the New York Mercantile Exchange touched an intraday peak of $ 2.931 per million
British thermal units, the most since July 5. It was last at $2.924 , up 1.1 cents, or 0.38%. Futures
soared more than 11% last week as traders reacted to forecasts for scorching heat across most of the
continental U.S. through September 5 and as traders eyed potential storm activity in the Gulf of
Mexico. Demand for natural gas tends to rise in the summer months as warmer temperatures
increase the need for gas-fired electricity to power air conditioning. Meanwhile, U.S. storage levels
remained in focus. Total gas in storage currently stands at 3.350 trillion cubic feet, according to the
U.S. Energy Information Administration, 8.3% higher than levels at this time a year ago and 8.2%
above the five-year average for this time of year. Some market analysts said persistent heat late into
the season could push power generators to continue burning gas. Unless intense late-summer heat
boosts demand from power plants, stockpiles could possibly test physical storage limits of 4.3
trillion cubic feet at the end of October.
GOLD
Gold edged lower on Monday as the dollar got a boost after hawkish comments from Federal
Reserve Chair Janet Yellen left the door open to a US interest rate hike as early as next month. The
case for raising U.S. interest rates has strengthened in recent months due to improvements in the
labor market and expectations for moderate economic growth, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on
Friday. Spot gold had dipped 0.21 per cent to $ 1,318.06 per ounce at 0614 GMT. The metal closed
last week down 1.5 per cent. US gold futures fell 0.35 per cent to $1,321.20. "We think the pressure
on gold will likely increase as we go into September, as participants are now more willing to bet on
a rate hike given what they have gleaned from top Fed officials on Friday," INTL FCStone analyst
Edward Meir said in a note.
Ever since the government announced a 10% import duty on gold and 15% on jewelry, jewelers
had been looking for loopholes in free trade agreements which allows import of gold jewelry at 1%
duty. This, too, was plugged in March when the government imposed countervailing duty on
jewelry. However, jewellers seem to have finally found a route to avoid the high levies: they have
started importing gold utensils like glass, spoons, tumblers and bowls at 1% duty which are later
converted into bars to make jewelry. So far, the quantity of gold entered through this route is not
alarming since importers are still testing the mechanism. Since April, only about 300-500 grams is
estimated to have been imported from April. In the past, jewelry up to 1-2 tonnes per month is
reported to have been imported via this route. Since gold import duty was increased over the past
few years, now government has not able to get the FTAs signed. And jewelers have found ways to
circumvent government efforts to plug this loophole. In South Korea, for example, special
machinery was bought to make such utensils. Another country from where such concessional gold
is entering India is Indonesia. South Korea and India have signed a Comprehensive Economic
Partnership while India and Asian have signed a Free Trade Agreement. Industry officials say that
once import duty on gold is rolled back to at least 5%, this arbitrage will end as there is also a
cost to import and not just the basic Customs Duty. A similar argument for reducing gold
smuggling is also being made by trade and industry associations.
Gold stood above two-month lows touched in the prior session as investors waited for US non farm
payroll numbers later this week for clues on the timing of a Federal Reserve rate hike, but the
bullion was on track for its first monthly decline since May. Spot gold was up 0.1 per cent at $
1,312.55 per ounce at 0654 GMT on Wednesday. The metal fell 1 per cent to $ 1,308.65 on
Tuesday, its lowest since June 28. Gold was heading for a drop of 2.8 per cent in August. US gold
futures were mostly unchanged at $ 1,315.50 "There is some buying today people are taking the
view that gold is going to fluctuate within a tight range prior to a strong signal from the Fed," said
Richard Xu, a fund manager at HuaAn Gold, China's top gold exchange-traded fund. US consumer
confidence rose to an 11-month high in August, with households more upbeat about the labour
market, in a further sign that the economy was regaining steam after faltering in the first half of the
year. Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on Friday the case for higher rates was strengthening, although
she gave little clarity on the timing of a move. In an interview on Tuesday, Vice Chair Stanley
Fischer said the US, job market is nearly at full strength and that the pace of rate increases by the
Fed will depend on how well the economy is doing. The pace of rate hikes is heavily dependent on
US economic data. Friday's nonfarm report for August, as well as other data, could reinforce
hawkish messages from Fed officials. Gold is highly sensitive to rising US interest rates which
increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion while boosting the dollar in which it is
priced. Gold has a strong downside obstacle at $ 1,304 and an inability to break it may see a relief
rally, said Hareesh V, research head at Kochi, India-based Geofin Comtrade Ltd.
"Slipping past $1,304 will likely trigger a major selloff and probably take prices lower towards
$1,280 initially followed by $1,220, where the 200-day moving average support is placed." Spot
gold may retest a support at $1,308 per ounce, with a good chance of breaking below this level, and
falling more to the next support at $1,303, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao. Silver
edged higher 0.7 per cent to $18.69 an ounce. Platinum was flat at $ 1,053.24. It touched an eightweek low of $ 1,048 Tuesday. Palladium rose 0.6 per cent after touching a five-week low of $
670.72 in the previous session.
CRUDE OIL
Crude prices rose on Friday after losses of more than 3 per cent a day earlier, with investors
treading cautiously ahead of key US employment data that will help gauge the health of the world's
largest economy and oil consumer. Brent crude had climbed 27 cents to $45.72 a barrel by 0426
GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 24 cents at $43.40 a barrel, buoyed
by a weaker dollar. Though rising in this session, Brent and WTI are on track for their biggest
weekly losses since mid-January, hit by oil inventory builds and weak US manufacturing data.
"Downward momentum is a feature of the oil market,". "The end of the U.S. driving season and the
prospect of building inventories create downward risk for the oil price and may see further pressure
on energy stocks today." Investors are looking ahead to non-farm payroll data later in the day for a
sense of the direction of the US economy, with a strong reading seen boosting the chance of a
Federal Reserve interest rate hike soon. A rate rise may strengthen the US dollar, which could
depress oil prices as it would make the dollar-denominated commodity more expensive for holders
of other currencies. Friday's oil price gains may be capped by concerns of slowing global economic
growth. There is also growing skepticism among traders that the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries and other producers such as Russia will agree to freeze production at a
meeting in Algeria later this month. However, lending credence to a freeze, Saudi Arabia, the
world's biggest crude exporter, has appeared to change its stance and is likely to support production
stabilization at the meeting. But further clouding the issue, Russian Energy Minister Alexander
Novak on Friday played down the potential for talks on a possible output freeze.
Oil prices fell early on Wednesday as an unexpected build in US crude stocks weighed on markets,
along with concerns that Chinese crude demand could falter as Beijing clamps down on alleged tax
evasion in the oil industry. International Brent crude oil futures were trading at $ 49.57 a barrel at
0054 GMT, down 39 cents, or 0.8%, from their last close. US West Texas Intermediate crude was
down 46 cents, or 1%, at $47.64 a barrel. Robust Chinese crude demand growth has been driven by
independent refiners, also know as teapots, who began to import crude last June after obtaining
government crude import quotas and licenses. But Beijing's crackdown on alleged tax evasion in
the oil industry, targeting the teapots, threatens to put a lid on Chinese demand. "The question now
is whether the teapots will start cutting runs," a Singapore-based trader said, adding that falling
Chinese demand would be a double whammy for the oversupplied crude market. Reinforcing
concerns about market oversupply, US crude stocks surprisingly rose last week, even though
gasoline inventories fell sharply and distillate stocks drew, data from industry group the American
Petroleum Institute showed on Tuesday.
Oil prices dipped in Asia on Friday after Saudi Arabia's oil minister cast doubt on the need to cut
output, denting hopes for a deal at talks next month aimed at addressing a global supply glut. The
commodity rallied for seven straight sessions and entered a bull market a 20 per cent rise from
recent lows last week after Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia
announced plans to discuss the supply crisis, which has hammered the crude market for more than
two years. Prices have taken a beating this week on concerns about the chances of success at the
Algeria meeting, but they turned higher on Thursday when Iran said it would join in, clearing up
days of uncertainty over its attendance. However, OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia's energy minister
Khalid Al-Falih revived worries about the success of the gathering. In an interview, he told
Bloomberg News: "I don't believe that an intervention of significance is required. I certainly don't
advocate a cut."
COPPER
Copper prices were up by 0.24 per cent to Rs 308.70 per kg in futures trade on Monday as traders
enlarged positions, driven by pick up in demand from consuming industries in the spot market. At
the Multi Commodity Exchange, copper for delivery in August month edged up by 75 paise, or
0.24 per cent to Rs 308.70 per kg in business turnover of 8,533 lots. Likewise, the metal for
delivery in far-month November traded higher by 60 paise, or 0.19 per cent to Rs 314.85 per kg in
2130 lots.
has been almost stagnant in the past few years from India and this has laid pressure on castor oil
prices," Vyas said. India exported about 434,645 tonnes of castor oil during April-February 201516. In 2014-15, the country had exported 459,378 tonnes of castor oil.
At a recent meeting with representatives of Russia's phytosanitary body, Rosselkhoznadzor, the
government sought an expansion in the permissible number of commodities and exporters. Delhi is
primarily looking to enhance export of dairy products, buffalo meat, groundnut, fish and sea food.
"Russia has accepted Indian Veterinary Service proposals for inclusion into the protocol on dairy
product import from India," said a senior government official. With a meeting scheduled this month
of the Russia-India Intergover-nmental Commission on trade and economic, scientific, technical
and cultural cooperation, both governments are likely to allow creation of a sub-group on
agricultural products. This would allow regular discussion on cooperation between the Russian and
Indian bodies on veterinary science and phytosanitary standards. Data from the Agricultural &
Processed Food Products Export Development Authority showed India's overall agri export
declined 25 per cent in value terms to $146.7 mn in 2015-16 from the $ 195.4 million in 2013-14.
In volume terms, too, shipments fell by 25 per cent in these two years, from 214,198 tonnes in
FY14 to 160,230 tonnes in FY16. India, Russia discuss falling agri exports A note from
Rosselkhoznadzor official Vasily Lavrovsky says India had yet to approve the standard form of the
veterinary certificate for heat-treated dairy products. "Absence of a harmonised certificate might
become an impediment for Indian dairy product import (into Russia)...two Indian plants interested
in import of dairy products to the Russian market were included in Register," he added.
SOYABEAN
After the latest field survey of the soybean crop in key growing regions, trade bodies expect a
much bigger crop this year against last years estimated 69 million tonnes (mt) of production.
Soybean prices are likely to dip by 8-10 per cent on higher production estimates this kharif. In its
crop health survey conducted from August 21-29, the Soybean Processors Association of India
(SOPA) found satisfactory crop health in Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Rajasthan, covering
41 districts and 85 per cent of the soyabean area. The trade body reported a drop of about 9 per
cent in the acreage in Madhya Pradesh, and 8 per cent in Rajasthan. But Maharashtra witnessed an
increase by about 6 per cent over the last kharif season.
Lower soy meal exports and higher soyoil imports is further pressurizing the prices. The export of
soybean meal and its other value added products during July 2016 is just 12,272 tons compared to
30,688 tons in July 2015 down 60% Y/Y. As on Aug 26, soybean is 112.1 lh , down around 1.8%
lower from a year ago level. The acc to a survey report released SOPA, the overall condition of
soybean crop in the country is "satisfactory" with over 30% of crop in good-to-verygood condition,
and nearly 60% in normal condition. In MP, the largest grower of soybean, acreage fell 9.2% fro
TURMERIC
Turmeric futures closed lower on Thursday on lower up country demand and good forecast of rains
in south during next fortnight. Turmeric Sep16 delivery contract on NCDEX closed 2% down to
settle at Rs 7,154 per quintal. The demand from the industrial may support prices. The prices of
turmeric are moving sideways to down due to mixed fundamentals of good sowing acreage coupled
with declining supplies. Turmeric acreage in Telangana as on 24 Aug was up 15.4 % at 45,000
hectares as compared to 39,000 hectares last year. Sowing of turmeric is over in 93 % of normal
area and up by 110 % of normal sowing area. As per dept of commerce data, turmeric exports in
April- May 2016 increased by 31% compared to last year at 21,256 tonnes. As per Spice Board
India, country exported about 29,000 tonnes of turmeric during April-June period up by 20%
compared to same period last year. The arrivals in the main physical markets such as Nizamabad,
Duggirala (AP), Salem, Erode and Sangli reported decreasing. There is expectation of lower
arrivals and good upcountry demand may lend support in coming weeks
JEERA
Jeera futures closed higher yesterday on picking up demand in physical market. NCDEX Sep16
Jeera closed 1.38% higher to close at Rs 18,000 per quintal. The export demand expected to pick up
as prices have corrected enough in last 2 weeks. There is good demand from China and other
countries and may support the prices. In the next few months, the prices will depend on export
demand. {{ According Spice board India data, the exports of Jeera in the first three months (AprJun) of 2016-17 is at 41,000 tonnes, higher by 55% compared to last year same time. As per the
trade sources, India's jeera exports rose nearly 25% to around 50,000 tonnes in Apr-Jul from 40,000
tn in the year-ago period due to good demand from China and Bangladesh. As per 4thadvance
estimate of Gujarat State for 2015-16, production is pegged at 2.38 lt compared to 1.97 lt in 201415. In 2013-14, production was 3.46 lt.
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(c) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates has never served as an officer, director or
employee of the subject company;
(d) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. has never been engaged in market making activity for the
subject company.