i hc Cng ngh

Khoa Cng ngh thng tin

THI CUI K MN XC SUT THNG K

HC K 1 NM HC 2012-2013
Thy L Ph
Thi gian: 120 pht
Cu 1.
Mt th nghim gm php ly mt hp mt cch ngu nhin v ly mt vin bi t hp v ghi
li mu ca n (en hoc trng). t A l bin c hp 1 c chn v B l bin c bi mu
en c ly. Vi iu kin no th A v B s c lp?
Cu 2.
Mt knh truyn thng chp nhn mt in p vo ngu nhin v, v cho ra mt in p
Y=v+N, vi N l mt bin ngu nhin Gauss vi gi tr trung bnh 0 v phng sai 2 = 1.
Gi s knh c dng truyn thng tin nh phn nh sau:
truyn 0
nhp -1
truyn 1
nhp +1
Ni nhn (my bt tn hiu) s quyt nh l 0 c gi nu in p l m v l 1 trong
trng hp cn li. Hy tm xc sut ni nhn mc li nu 0 c gi i; nu 1
c gi i. Cho (1) = 0.8413; (2) = 0.9772; (3) = 0.9987.
Cu 3.
Cho X v Y l cc bin ngu nhin c lp, trong X c phn phi u trong on [0,1],
cn bin ngu nhin Y c phn phi chun tc N(0,1). Hy tm cc xc sut sau:
a. P[X2<1/2, |Y-1|<1/2]
b. P[X/2<1, Y>0]
c. P[X+Y<1]
d. P[min(X,Y)>1/3]
Cu 4.
Ngi qun l mt chi nhnh ca mt ngn hng ln mun ci thin iu kin phc v. B ta
d nh tr 1$ cho bt k mt khch hng no phi xp hng ch i trong mt khong thi
gian c cho l qu nhiu (Ngn hng coi thi gian ch i hn 8 pht l qu nhiu). Tuy
nhin, c c hay hn v ci thin iu kin chm sc khch, b y tin hnh mt cuc
iu tra thi gian ch i ca khch hng. Mt sinh vin c thu o thi gian xp hng
ch c phc v ca 50 khch hng c chn ngu nhin. S dng ng h tnh gi, sinh
vin tnh c lng thi gian t lc bt u xp hng cho n khi ngi khch c

lm vic vi nhn vin ngn hng. Nhng khong thi gian ny c ghi chp li bng
di y:
1.4 6.1
1.4 6.6
7.2 8.6
7.3 7.9

10.
4
8.9

6.4

3.5

9.0

4.8

9.0

5.6

9.6

9.4

5.6

6.6

1.2

3.9

5.2

10.
9
3.2

7.1

4.8

2.4

5.8

3.9

5.9

4.1

6.8

2.9

2.0

1.9

1.0

3.9

8.7

3.2

4.6

10.
7
4.0

5.9

7.5

4.5

4.1

2.3

11.0 10.8

Bit gi tr trung bnh x =5.79 v s=2.86. Gi thit thi gian ch ca khch tun theo lut
chun. Cho z 0.05=1.645 , z 0.025=1. 96 , z 0.01=2.3263 , z 0.00 5=2.5758 .
a. Hy tm khong tin cy 90% ca thi gian ch i trung bnh ca khch hng.
b. Hy tm khong tin cy 95% cho t l s khch hng phi ch i hn 8 pht.
c. Vi chnh xc ca khong tin cy 90% cho thi gian ch i trung bnh l 0.5, hy
tm s khch hng cn o thi gian ch i cn thit.
Cu 5.
Mt doanh nghip sn xut lp khng nh rng hn 90% lp ca doanh nghip chy
c t nht 80000 km. Vi mt mu ngu nhin l 200, c 10 lp b hng trc khi chy
c 80000 km. Vi con s trn c th khng nh c li ca doanh nghip khng vi
=0.10?
Cu 6.
Cho cc gi tr quan trc sau:
X
0
5
-1
Y
3
10
2

0
4

3
6

2
5

4
7

2
3

3
5

4
6

a. Hy xc nh h s tng quan mu r.
b. Tm phng trnh hi quy tuyn tnh ca y theo x.
c. V s m my cc cp gi tr ca x v y, v th ca ng hi quy tuyn tnh.

Sinh vin KHNG c s dng ti liu. Cc tnh ton lm trn n 4 ch s sau du phy.