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A dynamic simulation model for tomato crop growth and development, TOMSIM, is evaluated. Potential crop
growth and daily crop gross assimilation rate (Pgc, d) is computed by integration of leaf assimilation rates over total
crop leaf area throughout the day. Crop growth results from Pgc, d minus maintenance respiration rate (Rm),
multiplied by the conversion efficiency. Dry matter distribution is simulated, based on the sink strength of the plant
organs, which is quantified by their potential growth rate. Within the plant, individual fruit trusses and vegetative
units (three leaves and stem internodes between two trusses) are distinguished. Sink strength of a truss or a vegetative
unit is described as a function of its developmental stage. In this paper, emphasis is on the interactions between the
two submodels of, respectively, dry matter production and dry matter distribution. Sensitivity analysis showed that
global radiation, CO concentration, specific leaf area (SLA) and the developmental stage of a vegetative unit at leaf
#
pruning had a large influence on crop growth rate, whereas temperature, number of fruits per truss, sink strength of
a vegetative unit and plant density were less important. Leaf area index (LAI) was very sensitive to SLA and the
developmental stage of a vegetative unit at leaf pruning. Temperature did not influence the simulated Rm, as increased
respiration rate per unit of biomass at higher temperatures was compensated by a decrease in biomass. The model
was validated for four glasshouse experiments with plant density and fruit pruning treatments, and on data from two
commercially grown crops. In general, measured and simulated crop growth rates from 1 month after planting
onwards agreed reasonably well, average overestimation being 12 %. However, crop growth rates in the first month
after planting were overestimated by 52 % on average. Final crop dry mass was overestimated by 031 %, due to
inaccurate simulation of LAI, resulting partly from inaccurate SLA prediction, which is especially important at low
plant density and in a young crop.
# 1999 Annals of Botany Company
Key words : Crop growth, dry matter production, glasshouse, leaf area, Lycopersicon esculentum, partitioning,
simulation model, tomato, TOMSIM.
INTRODUCTION
Crop growth simulation models are tools that enable us to
integrate knowledge about crop growth, to test hypotheses
about how different parts of the system interact, and to
develop understanding about the system as a whole (Acock
and Reynolds, 1989). Although crop models have great
potential for practical use in agriculture in general and in
horticulture in particular, their use is still limited (Challa,
1990). One reason is the poor validation of most models,
especially at the level of the different submodels combined
with a validation of the model as a whole.
Before a model can be used it must be validated, i.e.
model output, after running the model on historical input
data recorded for the real system, has to be compared with
the real system output. Models are often validated with all
or some of the data used for model development or
calibration (e.g. Jones et al., 1991 ; Bertin and Gary, 1993),
whereas independent data, not used in model development,
should be used (McCarl, 1984). Usually, model validation is
limited to a small range of conditions only ; for example,
Jones et al. (1991), Dayan et al. (1993) and De Koning
(1994) developed models for dynamic simulation of dry
matter partitioning in tomato, but the treatments in their
validation experiments did not create a sufficient difference
0305-7364\99\040413j10 $30.00\0
414
HeuelinkA Dynamic Simulation Model for Tomato Crop Growth and Deelopment
the initial dry mass and the flowering date of the first truss ;
the number of fruits per truss ; and climatic data. Contrary
to the validation of the modules separately, interactions
among the submodels then become manifest. To analyse
possible discrepancies, results are also compared with
simulations where leaf area index (LAI), dry matter
distribution and biomass present (i.e. above-ground crop
mass, not including leaves and fruits already removed) are
input into the model.
MODEL DESCRIPTION
Source/sink
+ ratio
Number of
+ fruits
Pnc
+
Wt
Wveg
LAI
+
+
SLA
HeuelinkA Dynamic Simulation Model for Tomato Crop Growth and Deelopment
415
Experiment
Year
Planting
date
1a
1992
2 March
2b
1992
3c
4d
1989
1991
14 April
7 March
7 June
Treatments
Three plant densities :
3n1, 2n1 and 1n6 plants m#
Fruit pruning in combination with plant
density :
3 fruits\truss and 4n8 plants m#
5 fruits\truss and 2n9 plants m#
7 fruits\truss and 2n1 plants m#
Fruit pruning : 3 or 7 fruits\truss
No truss pruning (control) or every other
truss removed at anthesis
Average 24 h
temperature
(mC)
Average global
radiation outside
(MJ m# d")
20n4
13n7
21n2
17n5
20n0
23n2
15n3
15n3
Reported by : a Heuvelink (1995 a) : Expt 13 ; b Heuvelink (1995 a) : Expt 14 ; c Heuvelink and Buiskool (1995) : Expt 2 ; d Heuvelink and Buiskool
(1995) : Expt 5.
(3)
416
HeuelinkA Dynamic Simulation Model for Tomato Crop Growth and Deelopment
T 2. Output of the model at reference conditions and partial sensitiity [O\O\I\I, see eqn (4)] of output to a change
in inputs
Model output
Time period 1*
Reference output
Partial sensitivities
Temperature
Global radiation
CO concentration
#
SLA
Number of fruits per truss
Vegetative sink strength
Developmental stage of leaf pruning
Plant density
Time period 2
Reference output
Partial sensitivities
Temperature
Global radiation
CO concentration
#
SLA
Number of fruits per truss
Vegetative sink strength
Developmental stage of leaf pruning
Plant density
Crop growth
rate
(g m# d")
LAI
(m# m#)
2n86
1n32
k0n07
1n00
0n55
0n72
k0n11
0n11
0n56
0n24
k0n07
0n51
0n27
1n35
k0n19
0n19
0n78
0n63
14n70
k0n05
0n89
0n74
0n54
k0n29
0n30
0n53
0n01
Total
dry mass
(g m#)
Rm
(g CH O m# d")
Fruit\plant
ratio
(g g")
0n76
0n54
k0n06
0n66
0n34
0n42
k0n01
0n01
0n48
0n51
0n00
0n82
0n41
0n51
k0n14
0n14
0n54
0n39
0n02
0n00
0n00
0n00
0n33
k0n34
0n00
0n00
2n12
472n2
3n29
0n74
k0n10
0n92
0n75
1n58
k0n99
0n99
1n71
0n02
k0n10
0n89
0n73
0n55
k0n45
0n45
0n77
0n05
0n00
0n90
0n73
0n54
k0n52
0n52
0n83
0n03
0n00
0n00
0n00
0n00
0n25
k0n26
0n00
0n00
83n4
* Average values over two time periods are presented : (1) day 1 to day 60 (representing the period of anthesis of the first truss until first harvest
of ripe fruits) ; and (2) day 61 to day 250 (producing crop).
Partial sensitivity of temperature was expressed per change of 1 K instead of per relative change.
HeuelinkA Dynamic Simulation Model for Tomato Crop Growth and Deelopment
grown crops, based on the measurements of De Koning
(1994 ; Fig. 6.3.9.b) for Nursery II.
The ground reflection coefficient for light was assumed to
be 0n15 for the experiments (bare dark soil ; Rosenberg, Blad
and Verma, 1983) and 0n5 for the commercially grown crops
as, in the latter, the soil was covered with white plastic sheet.
To compare measured and simulated crop growth, the
model was also run with LAI, dry matter distribution and
biomass measured as inputs. The latter was used for the
calculation of Rm only. Cubic spline functions, fitted to
observed values for LAI and dry mass of leaves, stem and
fruits were used. A complete description of this procedure,
used for testing the dry matter production module separately, has been given (Heuvelink, 1995 a).
Sensitiity analysis
Sensitivity analysis showed that global radiation, CO
#
concentration, SLA and the developmental stage of a
vegetative unit at leaf pruning had a large influence on crop
growth rate, whereas temperature, number of fruits per
truss, vegetative sink strength and plant density were less
important (Table 2). Sensitivity of crop growth rate to the
changes in parameters or factors tested differed little between
young and producing crops (i.e. when harvest had commenced), except for sensitivity to plant density, to the
number of fruits per truss and to the sink strength of a
vegetative unit relative to one fruit.
In the young crop, crop growth rate decreased a little at
higher temperature, because more assimilates were partitioned into the fruits, resulting in a decreased LAI (Table
2). Growth rate was proportional to LAI : a 7 % decrease in
LAI as a result of a 1 K rise in temperature resulted in a 7 %
decrease in crop growth rate. Increased dry matter partitioning to the fruits at increased temperature resulted from
increased earliness (increased flowering and fruit development rate).
In a producing crop, temperature did not influence dry
matter partitioning. However, LAI was also negatively
influenced by increased temperature as final leaf size
decreased. For a producing crop, growth rate was not
proportional to LAI : a 10 % decrease in LAI resulting from
a 1 K temperature increase reduced crop growth rate by
5 %. A change in temperature did not influence Rm. At cool
temperatures a larger biomass compensated for the lower
respiration rate per unit biomass, whereas at warmer
temperatures biomass was reduced, which in turn compensated for the increase in respiration rate per unit biomass
(Table 2).
Global radiation and CO concentration influenced crop
#
growth rate positively (Table 2), mainly as a result of a
change in rate of leaf photosynthesis. Furthermore, LAI
increased with global radiation and CO concentration,
#
which augmented the subsequent crop growth rates. A
higher global radiation or CO concentration increased Rm,
#
because of larger biomass.
Larger SLA resulted in a higher crop growth rate,
explained by a strong positive influence of SLA on LAI and
16
A
12
08
04
00
60
100
140
180
220
100
140
180
220
100
140
Day of year
180
220
16
Total dry weight (kg m2)
RESULTS
417
B
12
08
04
00
60
16
C
12
08
04
00
60
F. 2. Measured (
, , $, #, >, =) and simulated [aggregated
model (IIII) ; model with LAI, dry matter partitioning and biomass
present as inputs (II II)] dry matter production at (A) low, (B)
medium and (C) high plant density. Expt 1 ( , #, =) ; expt 2 (
, $,
>). Plant density was 1n6 m# ( ), 2n1 m# ($, #), 2n9 m# (=),
3n1 m# (>) and 4n8 m# (
). Vertical bars indicate s.e.m. larger than
symbols.
418
HeuelinkA Dynamic Simulation Model for Tomato Crop Growth and Deelopment
T 3. Measured and simulated aerage crop growth rates for the first month after planting* (A) and for the rest of the
experimental period (B)
Crop growth rate (g m# d")
Experiment
A
1
2
3
4
Treatment
Measured
Aggregated model
Aggregated model
1n6 plants m#
2n1 plants m#
3n1 plants m#
2n1 plants m#
2n9 plants m#
4n8 plants m#
3 fruits per truss
7 fruits per truss
control
k50 % trusses
2n21
2n93
4n04
6n29
7n68
8n23
3n96
4n14
4n72
4n46
4n48
4n96
5n59
10n60
11n35
12n09
6n53
6n52
5n10
5n17
2n03
1n69
1n38
1n69
1n48
1n47
1n65
1n57
1n08
1n16
1n52
1n48
1n36
1n23
1n21
1n21
1n33
1n25
1n21
1n14
1n19
1n26
14n2
14n3
14n6
16n1
16n3
16n1
15n2
15n3
10n2
11n0
1n23
1n23
1n12
1n18
1n11
0n94
1n21
1n19
0n99
0n99
1n12
1n15
1n23
1n12
1n11
1n09
0n96
1n18
1n11
1n08
1n03
1n11
Average
B
1
1n6 plants m#
2n1 plants m#
3n1 plants m#
2n1 plants m#
2n9 plants m#
4n8 plants m#
3 fruits per truss
7 fruits per truss
control
k50 % trusses
2
3
4
11n6
11n7
13n0
13n6
14n7
17n1
12n6
12n9
10n3
11n1
Average
HeuelinkA Dynamic Simulation Model for Tomato Crop Growth and Deelopment
7
50
419
40
5
30
4
3
2
1
0
60
7
80
100
120
140
160
180
6
5
20
10
0
50
50
100
50
100
150
200
250
300
150
200
Day of year
250
300
40
30
4
20
3
2
10
1
0
100
0
120
140
180
160
Day of year
200
220
F. 3. Measured (
, , $, #, >, =) and simulated (IIII,II II,
I I I) LAI at three plant densities in (A) expt 1 and (B) expt 2. Plant
density was 1n6 m# ( ), 2n1 m# ($, #), 2n9 m# (=), 3n1 m# (=) and
4n8 m# (
). Vertical bars indicate s.e.m. larger than symbols.
420
HeuelinkA Dynamic Simulation Model for Tomato Crop Growth and Deelopment
total crop growth rate was largely underestimated for both
crops, due to underestimation of LAI (not shown).
DISCUSSION
50
100
50
100
150
200
250
300
150
200
Day of year
250
300
300
SLA (cm g )
400
200
100
50
100
150
200
250
300
Day of year
F. 6. Measured ($,
) and simulated (IIII) SLA for commercially
grown crops at Nursery I ($) and Nursery II (
).
fruits was 0n74, whereas the measured fraction was 0n64. For
Nursery I, simulated growth was somewhat higher than
when LAI, dry matter partitioning and biomass present
were inputs to the model (Fig. 4 A). This was caused by
overestimation of LAI between days 125 and 250 (Fig. 5 A).
For Nursery II, both simulated crop growth curves were
very similar (Fig. 5 B) and simulated LAI agreed well with
measured LAI (Fig. 5 B). This agreement, however, was the
result of compensating errors in the model, as SLA was
strongly overestimated for both commercially grown crops
(Fig. 6). When measured SLA was an input to the model,
HeuelinkA Dynamic Simulation Model for Tomato Crop Growth and Deelopment
destructive measurements per vegetative unit that indeed
the number of leaves retained on the plants in summer was
greater than predicted by the model. Sensitivity analysis
showed that a small shift in leaf picking can greatly
influence crop growth (Table 2). This is especially true if, as
in the case of the commercially grown crops, LAI is mostly
below 2n5 (Fig. 5), when any variation will have a relatively
large effect on crop photosynthesis and thus crop growth
(Bertin and Heuvelink, 1993).
The validation experiments and the sensitivity analysis
demonstrate the importance of accurate prediction of SLA.
For the commercially grown crops (Fig. 6), as well as for
expt 3, SLA was largely overestimated. Thicker leaves in
the commercially grown crops may have resulted from the
exposure to high CO concentrations (Madsen, 1973).
#
Equation (3) is based on experiments without CO en#
richment, resulting in CO concentrations between 300 and
#
400 mol mol " (Heuvelink, 1995 b), between 1000 and
1600 h, averaged over the whole growing period. For
Nurseries I and II, CO concentration was much higher,
#
being 510 and 549 mol mol", respectively, between 1000
and 1600 h, averaged over the whole growing period.
Overestimation of SLA in expt 3 remains unexplained :
expt 1 (2n1 plants m#) was conducted in the same period
of the year, at almost the same average radiation,
temperature (Table 1) and CO concentration (not shown),
#
but showed good agreement between measured and simulated SLA.
The comparison with commercially grown crops clearly
shows the necessity of model validation at submodel level.
On the basis of total dry matter production (Fig. 4) one
would have concluded that the aggregated model is accurate.
However, the analysis showed that the correct simulation
resulted from overestimation of SLA (Fig. 6) which was
compensated by another error, probably too early leaf
picking. It also shows the necessity of elaborate data sets for
validation.
Note that the results of the sensitivity analysis (Table 2)
depend on the definition of the reference crop . For
example, if the reference crop contained only four fruits per
truss instead of eight, sensitivity of crop growth rate of the
producing crop to the number of fruits per truss was much
reduced (k0n05 instead of k0n3), whereas sensitivity of
fruit\plant ratio was increased (0n4 instead of 0n3). At a
lower number of fruits per truss, less assimilate is partitioned
into the fruits and LAI and existing biomass are higher. The
reduced sensitivity of crop growth rate to change in number
of fruits per truss resulted from a reduced relative effect on
LAI, as average LAI was 70 % higher in the new reference
situation with four fruits per truss, and a reduced relative
influence on Rm as the average biomass present was 24 %
higher. A large LAI, resulting from less leaf removal, is also
the reason that Heuvelink and Buiskool (1995) observed no
influence of fruit pruning (range : twoseven fruits per truss)
on total crop dry matter production, whereas sensitivity
analysis (Table 2) showed decreased crop growth with more
fruit.
Temperature did not influence Rm in the long term,
because after decreased temperatures there was more
biomass present, which compensated for a smaller res-
421
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HeuelinkA Dynamic Simulation Model for Tomato Crop Growth and Deelopment