Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Created by:
Syndicate 4 YP 50 B
Reynold Andika
29113319
Tanri Ariandi
29113453
Fitria Rizki
29113462
Dian Putri P.
29113499
Gian Lawalata
29113546
I. BACKGROUND
PT Krakatau Steel Tbk is an extremely well-known steel company in
Indonesia and also the largest steel manufaturer in Southeast Asia. In 2009, the
company has become a market leader with domestic market share 57% in HRC (Hot
Rolled Coil), 32% in wire rod and 33% in CRC (Cold Rolled Coil). Krakatau steel has
ten subsidiaries.
First Initial Public Offering (IPO) of Krakatau in November 2010. PT
Krakatau Steel Tbk offers 3.155.000.000 shares to public which is 20% of the paid-up
capital in order to expand its production capacity, beside adding more production
machine, PT Krakatau Steel Tbk is also planning to use 24,2% of the IPO income to
buy the raw materials (iron ore pellet, scrap, billet and slab), 25% to finance
maturation of 388 hectares land for integrated steel mills project with POSCO) and
15% to increase the capital investment in two PT Krakatau Steel Tbk subsidiary, PT
Krakatau Bandar Samudera and PT Krakatau Daya listrik.
But during the IPO there has been conflicts going on, the share price was
claimed too low. At first offering (2-4 November 2010), 3.155.000.000 shares were
offered at price Rp 850,- per share. At the same time Ministry of State Owned
Enterprises, Mustafa Abubakar and the underwriter denotes the price of its initial
public offering of shares (initial public offering / IPO) of PT Krakatau Steel is
already optimal. This issue triggers Bambang to do a financial performance
measurement of Krakatau Steel compare to other local steel companies. Bambang
decides to compare it to the financial performance of PT Gunawan Dianjaya Steel
and PT Jaya Pari Steel as the steel companies which were already settled in BEI
before PT Krakatau Steel.
II. ANALYSIS
In this case, mr Bambang Suproyatno want to analyze three company, which is
krakatau steel, gunawan dianjaya, and jaya pari. He wanted to know which of those
company is worthed to invest. In order to analyze the perfomance of company, there 3
kind of analysis that can be used :
1 Trend Analysis
Trend analysis is use to analyze the company continuos growth. The better
growth rate of one company, describe the stability of company performance. To
determine the growth of amount of return from of the company, we use 4 aspect
which is revenue, return, market and debt performance for the input value at CAGR
Formula. The comparison table of the 3 company provide below
KRAKATAU
STEEL
?"
REVENUE
Gross
Profit
Margin
GROSS
PROFIT
/
REVENUE
Operating
Profit
Margin OPERATING
PROFIT
/
REVENUE
Net
Profit
Margin
NET
INCOME
/
REVENUE
COGS
to
Revenue
COGS
/
REVENUE
Operating
Exp
to
Revenue OPERATING
EXP
/
REVENUE
MARKET
Earning
per
share
NET
INCOME
/
REVENUE
Book
value
per
share EQUITY
/
OUTSTANDING
SHARE
RETURN
Return
on
Assets
NET
INCOME
/
ASSET
Return
on
Equity
NET
INCOME
/
EQUITY
DEBT
Debt
to
Equity
DEBT
/
EQUITY
Debt
to
Capital
DEBT
/
CAPITAL
GUNAWAN DIANJAYA
2007
2008
2009
2010
2007
2008
2007
2008
2009
2010
11,95%
5,34%
2,11%
88,05%
6,60%
13,16%
6,59%
2,23%
86,84%
6,57%
7,01%
0,15%
2,92%
92,99%
6,86%
15,04%
0,67%
7,15%
84,96%
8,36%
21,01%
14,86%
7,76%
78,99%
6,15%
15,69%
13,37%
13,37%
84,17%
2,32%
11,55%
6,60%
0,66%
88,12%
4,95%
13,08%
8,88%
6,54%
86,92%
3,97%
Rp31
Rp46
Rp39 Rp81 Rp38.024,69 Rp24.585
Rp2.719.881 Rp2.719.881 Rp580.584 Rp589 No
data No
data
2009
JAYA PARI
Rp26
Rp82
2010
2,82%
6,18%
2,99%
8,45%
3,87%
8,52%
6,04%
11,43%
18,19%
No
data
88,02%
135,19%
158,64%
261,23%
120,40% 89,20%
210,42% 92,92%
No
data
No
data
Using the data we can calculate the value of CAGR. The higher company CAGR
value, the better it perfomance. The calculation of CAGR presented below :
GUNAWAN STEEL
8%
8%
50%
-1%
8%
-6%
-6%
9%
2%
-5%
-7%
-11%
-12%
1%
5%
38%
-89%
-92%
no
data
-12%
11%
29%
23%
-4%
no
data
-24%
-21%
0%
-12%
no
data
no
data
19%
32%
Revenue
Aspects
Higher
is
better
Gross
Profit
Margin
Higher
is
better
Operatin
Profit
Margin
Higher
is
better
Net
Profit
Margin
Lower
is
better
COGS
to
Revenue
Lower
is
better
Operatin
Expense
to
Revenue
Due
of
IPO
its
normal
the
Market
Aspects
book
value
is
significantly
Earnings
per
share
Book
Value
per
share
decreasing
for
KS
Return
Aspect
Higher
is
better
Return
on
Assets
Higher
is
better
Return
on
Equity
Debt
Lower
is
better
Debt
to
equity
Lower
is
better
Debt
to
Capital
Comparing the three company above, krakatau steel showed the best performance due
to its stability in growth of financial performance. So investing in Krakatau steel is a
good idea base on this analysis.
BUMN Financial Scoring Framework
Using Financial Scoring Framework , financial ratio as a benchmark for scoring
the Financial Scoring Framework :
o Return of Equity
o Return of Investment
o Cash Ratio
o Current Ratio
o Collection Period
o Inventory Turnover
o Total Asset Turnover
o Total Equity to Total Asset
Krakatau
Steel
Financial
Indicators
Return
of
Equity
Return
of
investment
Cash
Ratio
Current
Ratio
Collection
Period
Inventory
Turnover
Total
Asset
Turnover
Total
Equity
to
Total
Asset
Total
Score
Category
Ratio
11,4%
13,4%
60,5%
177,3%
29,1
160,9
84,5%
52,9%
Financial
Indicators
Return
of
Equity
Return
of
investment
Cash
Ratio
Current
Ratio
Collection
Period
Inventory
Turnover
Total
Asset
Turnover
Total
Equity
to
Total
Asset
Total
Score
Category
Ratio
26,55%
34,24%
0,89%
169,03%
20,0
118,9
159,15%
60,09%
Score
20
15
0
5
5
4
5
8,5
62,5
Less
Healthy
Grade
AA
Ratio Score
9,48%
14
14,25% 12
12,17%
2
276,83% 5
79,9
4,5
95,4
4
104,01% 4
72,98% 7,5
53
Healthy
Grade
BBB
Table above present the result of BUMN health Classification. From that table we can
take some point:
1. As the year of 2010, Krakatau Steel has a total score by 55 Grade A , that
means healthy company.
2. As the year of 2010, Gunawan Dianjaya Steel has a total score by 62.5
Grade AA , that means healthy company
3. As the year of 2010, Jaya Pari Steel has a total score by 53 Grade BBB , that
means less healthy company
What we are seeking from analysis in BUMN health is the company welfare, as we
knew that, from the table Gunawan Dianjaya is the most welfare company. So base on
this analysis its decided to put Gunawan Dianjaya as the best company.
DuPont Formula
Dupont formula is based from ROE formula which modified. ROE is a basic
aspect to determined how valuable a company in the eyes of investor. The higher
ROE also the more valuable.
Year
2010
Krakatau
Steel
ROE
RESULT
11,43%
Year
2010
Jayapari
Steel
ROE
RESULT
9,48%
Year
2010
ROE
RESULT
Gunawan
Dianjaya
Steel
26,55%
Gunawan Dianjaya Steel shows the highest ROE base on of Dupont analysis.
The result of Dupont Analysis has a positive correlation with the result of Dupont.
A company with good Dupont ROE
performance. Combined the three analysis before, resulting in one company which is
Gunawan Dianjaya, as the best choice company to invest in.
In 2010 PT Krakatau Steel achieved the stage as the healthiest company with
III. CONCLUSSION
IV. RECOMMENDATION
Based on DuPont analysis, we recommend Mr. Bambang to invest in Gunawan
Dianjaya Steel. They have the highest result among another, so as an investor we
should find the best perfomance and with 26,55% of ROE the company has good
financial performance among the other.