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09
Summary
V Ramakrishna
Editor i-notes & Chairman India Insure
At a glance
The events of the last few years like 9/11 terrorist attacks, fuel
crisis etc., serve as profound reminders of the fragility of supply
chains.
which had been introduced or heightened by the very actions they had
taken to drive costs out of their supply chains.
01
(Contd... 02)
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Examples
Operational/ Technological Forecast errors, component/material shortages, capacity constraints,quality problems, machine failure/downtime, software
failure, imperfect yields, efficiency, process/product changes, property losses (due to theft, accidents, etc.), transportation
risks (delays, damage from handling/transportation, re-routing, etc.), storage risks (incomplete customer order, insufficient
holding space, etc.), budget overrun, emergence of a disruptive technology, contract terms (minimum and maximum limit on
orders), communication/IT disruptions
Social
Labor shortages, loss of key personnel, strikes, accidents, absenteeism, human errors, organizational errors, union/labor
relations, negative media coverage (reputation risk), perceived quality, coincidence of problems with holidays, fraud,
sabotage, acts of terrorism, decreased labor productivity
Natural/Hazard
Fire, lightning, flood, monsoon, ice storm, drought, heat wave, cyclones, hurricane, earthquake, tsunami, epidemic, famine
Economy/ Competition
Interest rate fluctuation, exchange rate fluctuation, commodity price fluctuation, price and incentive wars, bankruptcy of
partners, stockmarket collapse, global economic recession
Legal/Political
Liabilities, law suits, governmental incentives/restrictions, new regulations, lobbying from customer/political groups, instability
overseas, confiscations abroad, war, tax structures, customs risks (inspection delay, missing data on documentation)
02
that this was not true. It had no alternative sources of supply since it had
taken the decision some years earlier to single source key components in
a bid to simplify its supply chains as a cost reduction measure. Ericsson
lost an estimated $400m in new product sales as a result of the fire &
stocks dropped by 14%. Thus is the tale of how an Act of God half a
world away would set off a train of events that would eventually precipitate
a major competitive re-alignment.
Case II: A Feb. 1, 1997 fire at Aisin Seiki Co. forced Toyota to close its 18
assembly factories in Japan which build 14,000 cars a day for almost a
week and cost Toyota $195mn. Aisin Seikis Kariya Plant supplied Toyota
with about 90% of major brake parts that were used in nearly all Toyota
models. Post crisis, Toyota realized that acute reliance on a single supplier
was the cause of the work stoppage and then planned to engage in
double-sourcing. Organizations that have single supplier arrangements
are putting all their eggs in one basket and leaving themselves exposed.
Case III: During 2007, toy maker Mattel repeatedly made the headlines for
recall of toys containing significant amounts of lead. In one specific case,
the culprit seemed to be a sub-contractor in China that used uncertified
paint which contained excessive amounts of lead. Lack of supply chain
visibility for Mattel had resulted in this problem.
Case IV: Reports of more than 80 deaths & 400 patients in the US suffering
severe complications after receiving the blood-thinner heparin drug
between January 2007 & February 2008 had American investigators
uncover that the raw material for the drug (made from pig intestines),
became contaminated on its journey from China. The drug was
manufactured by Baxter, Inc., which bought the active ingredient from a
company that outsourced its manufacture to a plant in China, which had
gone uninspected by FDA. FDAs consequential investigation revealed
that the plant was not being able to meet basic good manufacturing
practices.
Such instances highlight the dynamics of todays more global and intertwined
supply chains as a small oversight can result in loss of reputation and
bottom line.
Root Causes of Supply Chain Risks
Globalization: Supply chain risks have become ubiquitous as globalization
causes supply chains to lengthen. While globalization has obvious appeals,
including cheaper costs and access to wider markets, a down side is that
the lack of control over supply chains can lead to delivery and quality
problems. Many countries which can offer lower costs cannot offer the
production, IT and transport infrastructures to guarantee that fluctuations
in demand can be responded to quickly and deadlines can be met.
(Contd... 08)
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09
1.
News TitBits
(Contd... 04)
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03
The insurers will also have to factor the financial aspects of their
customers in their risk assessment and underwriting decisions.
5.
What according to you are the emerging risks likely to impact the
companies in India?
The Indian insurance market is seeing emergence of new risks like
Terrorism, Financial Defaults, D&O Liability. However traditional risks
like Cat Losses viz. Flood, Cyclone, Earthquake continue to be major
concern for the Indian market.. The absence of Data and any scientific
reliable model for assessing exposures of insurers is a serious
concern.
6.
04
7.
Last but not the least are the social & environmental risks that the
service provider is exposed to.
3.
What is the most important issue today in the area of risk management
for the logistics industry?
Of course with the present trend the focus is on costs. The constant
pressure on the service provider is to improve efficiency in supply
chain, which is vulnerable to disruptions.
There are major changes in the way goods are stored and distributed
to meet the increasing needs of customers. The transport risk factors,
storage risk factors are to be addressed on a continuous basis. The
hazard register is one of the tools for monitoring the same.
(Contd... 05)
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09
5.
6.
Even companies that appreciate the value & need for robust SCRM
face distinct challenges in mobilizing their organizations to assess
and address supply chain risks. What according to you are the
biggest obstacles to effective supply chain risk management at
organizations?
Dont be economical with the truth, remember the golden rule If in doubt, shout!
Describing the entitys risk appetite (i.e., risks it will take and will not
take)
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05
INSURER
2008-09
New India
456.58
National
360.55
United India
351.33
Oriental
338.93
ICICI-Lombard
317.80
Bajaj Allianz
217.09
Reliance General
140.70
IFFCO-Tokio
120.07
Tata-AIG
76.19
Royal Sundaram
70.52
Cholamandalam
62.04
HDFC ERGO
33.62
Future Generali
26.38
Shriram General
24.63
Bharti AXA
6.47
Universal Sompo
4.99
PRIVATE TOTAL 1100.48
PUBLIC TOTAL 1507.39
GRAND TOTAL
2607.87
Health Insurance
Star Health
102.76
Apollo DKV
4.71
Health Total
107.47
06
GROWTH OVER
THE SAME
PERIOD OF
2007-08 PREVIOUS YEAR
JANUARY
451.30
373.96
316.13
328.68
278.43
212.57
149.17
127.34
82.81
70.30
48.00
17.46
4.42
0.00
0.00
0.00
990.50
1470.07
2460.57
4.29
0.49
4.78
2008-09
1.17%
-3.59%
11.13%
3.12%
14.14%
2.13%
-5.68%
-5.71%
-7.99%
0.31%
29.26%
92.49%
4569.98
3558.95
3491.07
3304.64
3039.67
2214.43
1635.90
1161.53
749.72
663.03
587.97
267.97
150.14
81.94
14.30
12.05
11.10% 10578.65
2.54% 14924.64
5.99% 25503.29
2295.75%
859.49%
2148.33%
GROWTH OVER
THE SAME
PERIOD OF
2007-08 PREVIOUS YEAR
APRIL - JANUARY
484.38
38.01
522.39
4359.75
3296.06
3081.08
3223.58
2903.10
1925.46
1673.64
927.47
672.28
566.20
435.52
185.98
5.43
0.00
0.00
0.00
9295.08
13960.5
23255.6
4.82%
7.98%
13.31%
2.51%
4.70%
15.01%
-2.26%
25.24%
11.52%
17.10%
35.01%
44.09%
13.81%
6.91%
9.67%
157.79 206.98%
0.61 6167.24%
158.39 229.81%
OBSERVATIONS
January 2009
o
The entire industry (excluding the standalone health insurers) grew at a rate of
5.98% for the month of Jan 09 with a total accretion of 147 crores. The growth
rate has reduced for the month of Jan 09 when you compare it with the growth of
14% achieved by the industry in Dec 08.
When standalone health insurers are also included in the figures, the picture
changes with the industry recording a growth rate of 10.14% in Jan 09. The
accretion of the standalone health insurers has been 103 crores In Jan 09.
While in Dec 08 - the PSUs have clocked a remarkable 20.02% growth with an
accretion of 269 crores, in Jan 09 they recorded a minimal growth of 2.54% with
an accretion of 37 crores. While United put up an impressive performance with a
growth of 11.13% in Jan 09, the effect was negated by the poor performance of
the other 3 players especially National with a negative growth of 3.60%.
The private players improved their performance in the month of Jan 09 recording
a growth rate of 11.10% with an accretion of 110 crores compared to 5.23%
growth with an accretion of 50 crs in Dec 08.
The major contributors for the performance in Jan 09 have been ICICI Lombard
with an accretion of 39 crores, United with an accretion of 35 crores, Shriram
General with an accretion of 24.63 crores and Future Generali with an accretion
of 22 crores. These 4 players together have added 121 crores to the total accretion
of 147 crores. New India which was the top performer for Dec 08 with an accretion
of 111 crore out of the total 318 crores dipped its accretion to 5 crores in Jan 09
with a dismal growth rate of 1.17%.
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09
Readers Speak
How long will the soft market continue?
The insurance pricing cycle is a function of the law of supply and
demand - when the supply of insurance as measured by the capital
held by insurers, grows faster than the growth in demand for insurance,
rates fall. In India, detariffication along with injection of additional capacity
supplied by new players entering the market is driving down rate levels
and leading to fiercer competition. But when reductions reach a point
where the market begins to lose money, capacity is likely to contract
and prices will climb as a result.
We would like to know what you think about this. How long will the soft
market continue in India? Are insurers being irrational in their
underwriting or are they responding wisely to competitive pressures?
What about coverage terms - Has competition lead to broader coverage
as well as reduced prices? How sustainable are the current levels of
pricing? Where will risk pricing go in 2009? Can the industry absorb
further cuts?
Your opinion is solicited.
We invite our readers to share their thoughts, ideas and opinions on this
topic (not more than 300 words). The responses should be sent to
knowledge@indiainsure.com and will be published in the May issue of
inotes.
Mr. Priyanko Roy, Asst. Mgr.- Benefits & Compliance, Cambridge Solutions
Ltd, Bangalore
It is always service that tips the scale. A customer will inevitably look at
the minimum price with the widest possible coverage but it is the quality
of service that is the ultimate measure of success for any company. A
customer will always be willingly to pay more for a product if the service
commitment is there, when he is sure that he will be taken care of when
something goes wrong. Companies need to strive to find that perfect
balance between the highest levels of service while offering the best
possible price.
Low prices will not necessarily signify mediocre service - simply because
the price is low (or cheap), may not be an indicator of the quality of
service. So, service providers need to proactively and continually monitor
the service quality because in the long-run it is the companies which
focus on quality experience that will ultimately prevail.
Mr. N Kumar, Manager at a private insurer, Hyderabad
While many clients insist that price alone is not the deciding criteria to
clinch a deal, more often than not, it usually narrows down to the price.
In their frenzy to save money after being squeezed by an economic
downturn, many insurance buyers tend to concentrate on price while
overlooking coverage and service issues. But a single-minded focus on
pricing alone when purchasing insurance for an organization is a major
strategic error. With respect to pricing, just remember the old saying You get what you pay for. While its only natural that all Corporates expect
the service levels to be exemplary irrespective of the price, they could
be in for an unpleasant surprise at the time of a claim. A few coverages
could be price sensitive and thereby could have an adverse effect at the
time of the claim, if the Insured is not aware of the same. Your insurance
policy is only as good as your claims handling services because, the
realization of insurance only comes to fruition when a loss occurs and a
claim is made.
While looking at a broader picture, low price does not necessarily indicate
mediocre service and vice versa. But sometimes, declining prices put
pressure on insurers and brokers to reduce costs, which can lead to a
deterioration of service.
{Views expressed herein are personal and not of the company}
News TitBits
Medical insurers tighten cost levers
Source: Economic Times
Faced with the challenge of rising costs, players in the Indian medical
insurance market are tightening various cost levers to ensure
continued profitability. This review comes after many insurers began
re-examining medical insurance products as group healthcare
policies to corporates are proving to be a drain leading to huge
losses. This has led many insurance companies to resort to retail
sales. According to an official with Oriental Insurance, the company
is actively pursuing retail health insurance and not chasing corporate
accounts. Insurance companies and TPAs are now keeping a stricter
ceiling on treatment rates, beyond which the insured have to pay out
of their own pocket. They are also encouraging the insured to visit
medium-sized hospitals instead of large corporate hospitals to bring
down costs, Jayashree Prasad, senior manager at health
management and consulting company People Health, said.
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07
The way you manage the identified risks depends on the chosen SCRM
strategy on whether to control, transfer or prevent risks.
Disclaimer
Nothing contained in this newsletter shall constitute or be deemed to constitute a recommendation or an invitation or solicitation for any
product or services. The company makes no representation as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of any information contained
herein or otherwise provided and hereby disclaim any liability with regard to the same.
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Mr. Pawan Kumar Mediratta email : pawan.mediratta@indiainsure.com
Hyderabad
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Contact: Ms. Chetna Wasu
e-mail : chetna.wasu@indiainsure.com
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Chennai
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T Nagar, Chennai-600 017. Ph: 044-4202 3797/98 Fax: 044-42023799
Contact: Mr. V.G. Dhanasekaran
e-mail : dhanasekaran.vg@indiainsure.com
New Delhi
Pune
Kolkatta
08
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