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TABLE OF CONTENTS
I.
II.
III.
IV.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS..... 13
V.
RECOMMENDATION.. 15
VI.
REFERENCES........... 17
I.
Current
Current Ratio
Average
*Source Morningstar
Year
2012
2013
2014
2015
DRI
0.43
0.54
1.22
0.88
0.77
PNRA
1.73
1.00
1.15
1.26
1.29
EAT
0.55
0.49
0.51
0.45
0.50
Industry
0.90
0.68
0.96
0.86
0.85
Ratio - The current ratio is a measure of a firms current assets to current liabilities. It is a
relevant measure of current liability coverage, a buffer against losses, and a reserve of
liquid funds. It is limited because it is a static measure and does not have a causal relation
to future cash inflows. It can be thought of as a quick way to measure the financial health
of the firm. There is not an ideal benchmark for this ratio. This ratio is not always reliable
because it is easy to manage. If there is high profitability, the current ratio is understated.
DRIs current ratio has been trending upward with a small downturn form 2014 to 2015.
The current ratio increased by more than 2x from 2013 2014, indicating the firm
increased its buffer against losses, which is a good sign for the firm. As of 2015, the
current ratio is still below 1 though, which could indicate DRI will have trouble paying
back short-term liabilities. DRIs 2014 and 2015 current ratios are in line with the
industry average. Given PNRA and EATs large spread, this indicates the industry may
have a wide range of current ratios, meaning that some firms have enough current assets
to pay off current obligations, while some are struggling. Rating: 2
Days Sales in Receivable - Days Sales Outstanding - This measures the number of days a
Days Sales Outstanding
*Source Morningstar
Average
Year
2012
2013
2014
2015
DRI
3.12
3.35
3.62
2.33
3.11
PNRA
6.39
5.88
10.07
9.86
8.05
EAT
0.58
5.21
5.38
5.74
4.23
Industry
3.36
4.81
6.36
5.98
5.13
firm takes to collect revenues after a sale. If a firm cannot collect receivables quickly,
this could impact their own ability to pay outstanding bills. DRIs DSO values have remained
fairly consistent and ranged between 2.33 and 3.62 days. There is not much volatility, which
indicates the firm does an adequate job at collecting from customers. As a whole, DRI does
slightly better than peers in the industry when it comes to collecting. Their DSO value has been
lower than the average for the 4 years covered. Rating: 4
Accounts Payable Outstanding
*Source Morningstar
Average
Year
2012
2013
2014
2015
DRI
15.16
15.27
19.37
14.76
16.14
PNRA
2.83
2.67
3.41
3.36
3.07
EAT
14.85
15.34
15.27
14.85
15.08
Industry
10.95
11.09
12.68
10.99
11.43
Accounts Payable Turnover - This ratio indicates the speed at which a company pays for
purchases on account. The longer a firm takes to pay creditors, the more money they have
on hand for investments in working capital, but if they take a long time to pay off bills, it
may anger creditors. DRI saw a spike in this ratio in 2014 (increased from 15.27 to
19.37) but then a decrease in 2015 back to 14.76. Although there was the increase in
2014, there have not been significant swings, meaning that DRI has maintained a
consistent pay back of purchases on account. This is positive because a spike in this value
indicates the firm may be relying on credit and unable to pay for its purchases. It is
concerning that DRIs accounts payable turnover is about 5x PNRAs. Their ratio is also
higher than the industry average, which means that competitors are better at paying off
purchases on account. DRI may be losing out on getting discounts for paying back on
time or early. As long as the ratio stays consistent, this is a good sign for DRI. Rating: 2
Quick Ratio
*Source Morningstar
Average
Year
2012
2013
2014
2015
DRI
0.08
0.12
0.11
0.51
0.21
PNRA
1.38
0.69
0.86
0.9
0.96
EAT
0.31
0.26
0.26
0.23
0.27
Industry
0.59
0.36
0.41
0.55
0.48
Quick Ratio - This ratio provides a more stringent estimate of a firms ability to pay of
short-term obligations because it excludes inventory from current assets. DRIs quick
ratio was relatively flat for 2012-2014 but saw a significant increase in 2015 to 0.51 from
0.11. This is a good sign for the firm because it indicates that DRI is better able to pay off
short-term obligations than in prior years. In addition, the spike in 2015 brings DRI closer
to the industry average. Rating: 2
Long Term Solvency - The following ratios evaluate the firms capacity to meet its long-term
financial commitments.
Long-Term Debt to Total Assets A higher ratio indicates a higher degree of leverage,
Long-Term Debt to Total Assets
*Source Morningstar
Average
Year
2012
2013
2014
2015
DRI
25.37
36.74
35.68
25.10
30.72
PNRA
0.00
0.00
7.19
26.37
8.39
EAT
40.94
53.71
55.84
67.61
54.53
Industry
22.10
30.15
32.9
39.69
31.21
which increases the financial risk. DRI has been working to decrease its leverage and
brought its 2015 LT Debts to Total Assets ratio closer to the 2012 value after spiking
almost 10% from 2012 to 2013. Compared to the industry, DRI holds more debt than
PNRA but much less than EAT. This indicates that firms in the industry are split between
choosing to be rely on leverage. Due to DRIs relatively steady LT Debts to Total Assets
ratio, this shows that DRI is able to manage an appropriate level of risk that hovers
around the industry average. Rating: 3
Debt to Equity
*Source Morningstar
Average
Year
2012
2013
2014
2015
DRI
0.82
1.24
1.17
0.62
0.96
PNRA
0.14
0.78
0.23
EAT
1.15
1.9
5.22
13.19
5.37
Industry
0.66
1.05
2.18
4.86
2.19
Asset Turnover
*Source Morningstar
Average
Year
2012
2013
2014
2015
DRI
1.40x
1.33x
0.90x
1.03x
1.17x
PNRA
1.86x
1.95x
1.97x
1.87x
1.91x
EAT
1.93x
1.97x
1.97x
2.05x
1.98x
Industry
1.90x
1.96x
1.97x
1.96x
1.95x
Average
Profitability
ratios - An
DRI
116.90x 109.10x 74.30x 83.60x 95.98x
analysis of the
overall efficiency
PNRA
30.22x 27.92x 26.45x 24.11x 27.18x
of the company to
generate more
EAT
64.68x 65.27x 64.12x 63.58x 64.41x
money.
These ratios
evaluate the
performance of the
Industr 47.45x 46.60x 45.29x 43.85x 45.79x
firm in terms
of turning a profit
y
and
generating value.
ROI- This ratio is applicable to measuring managerial effectiveness, profitability, and
planning and control. A high ROI means the investment gains compare favorably to the
cost of making such investments. However, Darden achieved an average return on
investment of 8.26% from 2012 to 2015. Compared to its peer competitors, DRIs ROI is
the lowest, meaning that the company has not been profitable for the last four years.
Rating: 2
Year
2012
Return on Investment
*Source FactSet
Ave
rage
Year 201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
DRI
14.
12
%
10.
37
%
3.9
4%
4.6
1%
8.26
%
PN
RA
23.
49
%
25.
78
%
23.
34
%
17.
34
%
22.4
9%
EAT
16.
45
17.
88
16.
88
22.
00
18.3
0%
2013
2014
2015
Ind
ustr
y
19.
97
%
21.
83
%
20.
11
%
19.
67
%
20.4
0%
ROA - This ratio shows how profitable a company is relative to its total assets. ROA gives
an idea as to how efficient management is at using its assets to generate earnings.
Companies that require large initial investments will generally have a lower ROA. If
sales are increasing but the ROA is decreasing, then managers will slow down growth as
they are becoming less profitable. In general, a higher ROA is best. DRIs ROA has
consistently decreased to the point where its most recent year falls 5% below its 2012
level. This continual decrease signals that DRI is not extracting enough profits from
assets year after year. Additionally, within Dardens peer group, Brinker emerged as a
clear front-runner with an average ROA over the four-year time period of 13.44%, which
could signal a shift in consumer preferences. Rating: 2
Return on Asset
*Source FactSet
Average
Year
2012
2013
2014
2015
DRI
8.35%
6.41%
2.61%
3.00%
5.09%
PNRA
15.11%
16.02%
13.94%
10.42%
13.87%
EAT
10.36%
11.31%
10.47%
13.44%
11.40%
Industry
12.74%
13.67%
12.21%
11.93%
12.63%
ROE - This ratio is the amount of net income returned as a percentage of shareholders
equity. ROE measures a corporations profitability by revealing how much profit a
company generates with the money shareholders have invested. An increasing ROE
represents more effective use of the shareholders equity. As evidenced below, DRI and
EAT have exhibited drastic volatility in ROE. Darden, for instance, exhibited the most
volatility from 2012 to 2015 as their ROE decreased from 21.15% in 2013, to 8.75% in
2015. On the other hand, EATs ROE showed exponential growth from 2012 to 2014,
signaling that the firm has been employing its shareholders equity more wisely. Rating:
2
Return on Equity
*Source FactSet
Average
Year
2012
2013
2014
2015
DRI
25.22%
21.15%
8.69%
8.75%
15.95%
PNRA
23.49%
25.78%
24.97%
24.21%
24.61%
EAT
40.39%
71.14%
145.01%
N/A
85.51%
Industry
31.94%
48.46%
84.99%
24.21%
47.40%
Average
Year
2012
2013
2014
2015
DRI
9.22%
7.65%
5.27%
6.72%
7.22%
PNRA
13.29%
13.02%
10.95%
9.65%
11.73%
EAT
8.54%
9.58%
10.02%
10.52%
9.67%
Industry
10.92%
11.30%
10.49%
10.09%
10.70%
Capital Structure
Price-to-Earnings Ratio - This ratio essentially indicates the amount an investor will pay
per dollar of earnings. A higher P/E indicates that investors expect higher earnings growth
than firms with a lower P/E ratio. Leverage has the ability to skew this ratio. PNRA leads
its average industry in terms of this price multiple, which signals that investors expect
higher earnings growth in the future. Furthermore, DRI has experienced growth with its
P/E figure over the past 3 years, which shows continued optimism for the earnings of the
company. Rating: 3
Year
Price-to-Earnings
*Source FactSet
Price-to-Book
2012 *Source2013
FactSet
Average
2014
2015
Average
DRI
Year
12.10x
2012
17.70x
2013
20.50x
2014
20.20x
2015
17.63x
PNRA
DRI
27.00x
3.72x
26.60x
3.34x
26.80x
3.04x
31.40x
3.56x
27.95x
3.42x
EAT
PNRA
14.40x
5.70x
18.30x
6.99x
20.20x
6.37x
14.50x
9.80x
16.85x
7.22x
Industry
EAT
20.70x
7.31x
22.45x
17.44x
23.50x
52.07x
22.95x
N/A
22.40x
25.61x
Industry
6.51x
12.22x
29.22x
9.80x
14.44x
10
Price-to-Book Ratio - This ratio indicates how much an investor is willing to pay for the
stock compared to its book value. A low ratio may indicate that a stock is undervalued,
but it may also indicate that investors are placing a discount on the stock. DRI hovers
below the industry average, which could indicate that investors do not anticipate
management to create value from the companys assets. Rating: 2
PEG - This ratio is a more accurate measure of predicting the true earnings power of a
firm. Investors usually have flexibility in determining the period of growth used in the
denominator. Thus, the PEG ratio varies depending on the source of the data, so multiple
data sites were used in comparing DRI to its two main competitors. A higher figure
indicates that the stock price is higher than the earnings growth, and is therefore
potentially overvalued. On the other hand, a lower PEG ratio signals that investors pay
less for future growth, meaning the stock is undervalued. DRIs PEG ratio is the lowest
compared with its peers, with PNRA having the highest PEG ratio. Overall, while DRIs
low PEG could be a positive sign, it could also be a detriment if it cannot meet growth
expectations in the future. Rating: 3
Price/Earnings to Growth
*Source FactSet
Avera
ge
2012
2013
2014
2015
DRI
10.00
%
13.00
%
16.00
%
13.00
%
13.00
%
PNRA
17.00
%
17.00
%
17.00
%
20.00
%
17.75
%
EAT
13.00
%
14.00
%
15.00
%
15.00
%
14.25
%
Indust
ry
15.00
%
15.50
%
16.00
%
17.50
%
16.00
%
III.
Cash Flow Analysis:
Cash From Operating Activities
Darden Incs Cash from Operating
Activities in 2015 was +874.2 M, driving
the business and contributing to the Cash
from Investing Activities. On their Cash
Flow statement, net income was adjusted
in the following ways:
Depreciation, depletion, and amortization:
increased CFO 319.3, meaning that they
depreciated $319.3 M on their equipment.
D&A. Depreciation has been relatively
11
Goodwill: decreased by $36M from 2014 to 2015. Increasing CFO by the same amount. This is
due to the amortization expense of an intangible good, not affecting the cash from Darden.
Impairment and disposal of assets: Darden suffered impairment losses of $62.1M, increasing
CFO by the same amount. This is due to the carrying value of their assets exceeding their fair
market value. This increases CFO because the losses dont affect the Income Statement.
Cash Flow Ratio Analysis:
Cash Flow Adequacy =
Cash from operations
Long term debt paid + asset purchases + dividend paid
The cash flow adequacy ratio measures a
companys ability to generate cash sufficient to
pay its debt, reinvest in its operations and pay
dividend. A value of 1 over several years shows
that the company has the ability to cover these
cash requirements. Darden does seem to have a
problem in generating cash to cover their debt,
plowback, and dividends. They are the lowest of
the group almost every year. Rating: 1
2013
2014
2015
DRI
0.88
0.73
0.79
0.53
PNRA
1.90
1.81
1.49
1.38
EAT
1.56
0.58
1.43
0.92
12
2013
2014
2015
DRI
10%
11%
9%
13%
PNRA
14%
15%
13%
12%
EAT
11%
10%
12%
12%
Operations Index =
Cash from operations
Income from continuing operations
The Operations Index compares cash from operations to
income from continuing operations. This shows how
much cash is generated from their continuing
operations. This is similar to the previous ratio in that it
looks at how much of its cash flow from operations is
attributed from their income in continuing operations. A
company can have a lot of cash inflows but it doesnt
necessarily have to come from income from continuing operations. This makes sense because a
company can generate cash inflows from below their top line. Darden has been collecting more
of their receivables. This increase to 192% means that they generated more cash inflows in total
but less from income from continuing operations. Rating: 5
Operations Index
*Source FactSet
2012
2013
2014
2015
DRI
103%
145%
168%
192%
PNRA
102%
112%
121%
123%
EAT
126%
107%
124%
117%
13
CFROA
*Source FactSet
2012
2013
2014
2015
DRI
13%
14%
8%
15%
PNRA
23%
30%
24%
22%
EAT
21%
20%
24%
26%
14
and the steady trading volumes. DRI shows a more volatile up and down pattern compared to its
peer, but the stock's total return is expected to be in line with the average total return of the
industrys coverage, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months.
Figure 1
15
Figure 3
16
17
meaning greater cash inflows. Lastly, after they sold Red Lobster, their LT Debt to Total Assets
increased. This shows that their PPE decreased more than their debt decreased. This means that
they were using their debt to finance their continuing operations from other restaurant segments
more than Red Lobster and will still need to borrow more making it an attractive space to lend
in. The company has also had substantial increases in their operating index (cash from
operations/income from continuing operations) meaning that they are collecting cash more cash
from operations than operating income. Furthermore, their cash flow/sales ratio has increased
from last year, which is good for debt holders because it means theyre realizing cash from their
sales on account. We would lend to DRI because we have confidence in their ability to pay back
the loan.
18
Sources
Darden Restaurant, Inc. (2015, December 20). Form 10-K. Retrieved from FactSet database.
FactSet Research Systems. (n.d.). Darden Restaurant, Inc.: Ratio Analysis. Retrieved April 26,
2016, from FactSet database.
Morningstar. (n.d.). Darden Restaurant, Inc.: Key ratios. Retrieved April 28, 2016, from
Morningstar Investment Research database.