Beruflich Dokumente
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Introd.uction
Introduction
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enrific discovery is the joy of learning for its own sake, which is
considerable in itself. But research is only the first step; we can't
ignore the lingering question of how we can-and should-use
scientific evidence to our advantage. How do we make the most
of science so that it has a greater purpose than merely quenching
our curiosities?
I have always looked at science as a tool to improve our lives
and environment; it's why I got into the field in the first place.
When I was in the hospital manyyears ago being treated for extensive burns, the nurses would rip the bandages off my skin grafts as
quickly as possible. They figured, following convenLional wisdom,
that short bursts of pain were preferable to prolonged (albeit less
intense) periods of pain. Once I was out of the hospital and enrolled in Tel Aviv University, I turned my first academic research
efforts toward figuring out whether people suffere d less when pain
was brief but intense or ionger-lasting but moderate. fu it turned
out, people fared better with the latter. Reflecting on the gap between how my kind and highly experienced nurses had treated me
and what I found in many controlled experiments showed me that
my nurses hadn't figuned out the best way to remove bandages.
Beyond the issues of burn patients, this made me wonder if we rely
on biases and inaccurate beliefs about how the world works across
many aspects of life to the detriment of ourselves and others. We
think we are rational creatures, but time and time again we misjudge our own preferences, make decisions that fall far from our
best interests, and are swayed by forces that we don't recognize.
What this suggests is that there is ample room for improvement
in almost any aspect of human enterprise and that basing our dec!
sions, guidelines, and procedures on scientific findings is the
fght
xvi
Introduction
we arrive
Introduction
xvii
bark on a relentless pursuit for the freedom to @$#Vol up? Alternatively, can we establish a system in which our freedoms are intact
but Iimited in a way that protects us from ourselves? Mayb. Robert
Frost had a more suitable concept of freedom when he noted, "If
society fits you comfortably enough, you call it freedom." Should
we relinquish our romanticized vision of freedom and replace it
with a more realistic version that accounts for our humanness? IJsing our scientific toolkit, we can make society comfortable enough
to feel free, even if we give some concessions in arenas where it is
in our best interest to accept a bit of guidance. For example, we
can take advantage of smart feedback systems like those described
by Thomas Goetz in "The Feedback Loop" to get people to drive
more slowly or take their cholesterol medication, This way, we can
simultaneously preserve their freedom to speed, but we can also
install "speed meters" that effectively discourage it.
Given the complex costs (limiting freedom) and benefits (better outcomes) that such systems would entail, there is no simple
or single answer to how and when we should be paternalistic.
Instead, we should consider each case independently and weigh
its specific costs and benefits before making decisions that could
limit personal freedoms. At the same Lime, as in all scientific ventures, we should look for principles that can guide our decisions
about when to intervene and when to let people make their own
mistakes. I would like to propose two such principles: interdependence and agency.
The Principle of Interdepmdmce
-regardless
xvru
Introd,uction
A second principle that we can use to guide our paternalistic recommendations comes from our view of agency, or the ability of
individuals to make good decisions for themselves and for others. The most salient example is that of parenting. We don't ex-
'Introduction
XIX
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Introd,uction
this activity increased substantially-along with participants' admiration for their sponsoring gallery's paintings-with each rise
in payment. It may seem surprising that a financial favor could
influence one's enjoyment of art, especially considering that the
favor (payment for participaLion) was completely unrelated to the
paintings. But as with many other types of favors, it was all too
easy to create a feeling of gratitude and the desire to reciprocate.
And, importantly, none of the participants thought their payment
had any influence over their decisions. When asked whether they
preferred their sponsoring gallery because of the paynent, they
scoffed at the mere suggestion.
This lack of appreciation for the power of conflicts of interest
is reflected in the real world. A few years ago I gave a lecture on
conflicts of interest to about two thousand members of the American Medical Association. I asked how many of the physicians in
the audience felt that theirjudgments were affected by conflicts of
interest with their hospital, drug manufacturers, insurance companies, med.ical d.evice manufacturers, or pharmaceutical sales representatives-and not a single person raised a hand. But when I
asked whether they believed that the judgments of other doctors
in the room were influenced by conflicts of interest, nearly everyone raised a hand. And again, when I asked whether they believed
that the judgments of the majority of the MDs in the room were
influenced by conflicts of interest, nearly everyone raised a hand.
Once we establish that conflicts of interest create a bias and
that we do not appreciate how this bias influences us, we can ask
whether we shoufd try to eliminate conflicts of interest altogether.
For example, we have laws prohibiting bribery in my'iad forms,
but what about lobbying? And should we allow companies to finance presidential elections through contributions? Should we allow doctors to receive gifts and benefits from pharmaceutical and
device companies? Should we allow bankers to be paid exorbitant
amounts when their investments happen to do well and load them
first onto the lifeboat when they fail? If we recognize that people
are unlikely to see the effects of conflicts of interest on themselves
and are therefore unlikeiy to self-regulate, we should be willing to
consider a more paternalistic approach.
Now, for the sake of "freedom of choice," we might decide that
we want to allow physicians to consult,for medical companies, because without them companies might not improve their products.
Introduction
xxi
Were Do We
frorn Here?
So here's the issue: if we want to get people to take healthier and
better paths in our complex and tempting modern world, we will
have to prescribe new instnrctions, practices, and regulationsand those in turn will inevitably limit our freedoms. Given that
most of us are apprehensive about surrendering autonomy,.and
for good reason, we should not take such decisions lightly. After
all, allowing people to make their own decisions is important to
our sense of self and independence, and a society without such
basic freedoms is unlikely to be successful or happy.
At the same time, we need to acknowledge that our fallibilities
and our level of societal interdependence are much more extensive than we give them credit for. With such limited agency and
such expansive interdependence, we may want to open the door
to science-based paternalism.
How should we determine when and under which conditions
we should introduce paternalism or phase it out? 1q my view we
should apply a careful cost-benefit analysis to each case. First, we
should consider whether (or to what extent) a particular case is
one in which an individual's actions are likely to darraage others'
Next, we should determine whether in this case people are likely
to naturally make decisions that are in their best long-term interest. If the answers to these two questions are "yes" and "no,"
respectively, we should empirically examine a range of potential
measure the
interventions
-starting with small-scale studies-to
potential costs and benefits of various solutions. To retain personal
freedoms, we should begin by experimenting with more hands-off
approaches that provide better information (such as posting calorie information in restaurants and measuring whether this has any
effect on the consumption of unhealthy foods). And only if we can
document empirically that these interventions fail or fall short of
expectations should we move to more invasive and paternalistic
Go
Introduction
interventions. For example, in the.case of posting calorie information, the evidence across multiple studies (for exampllt r!.
9.eorz study byJ.A. Schwartz,J. Riis, B, D. Elbel, and D. Ariely)'
is quite clear that merely providing calorie information does not
encouragehealthiereating.Thismeansthatitistimetotrymore
aggressive approaches, such as taxation or smaller default portion
sizes.
Potential'
Irrationallyyours,
DAN ARIELY
P.S.
in particular for
fufnmces
Harvey, Ann, et al., "Monetary Favors and Their Influence on Neural
Responses and Revealed Preference,".,Ioumal of Naroscimu (2010\ .
Schwartz,J. A., et al., "Inviting Consumers to Downsize Fast-Food Portions
Si gnifi cantly Reduces Calorie Consumption," H ealth Alfairs 3 1, no. 2
(2012):399-407,